The Method
Every race published on PaceMap goes through the same process. Here's what happens between declarations closing and the analysis landing in your browser.
For every declared runner, we pull their recent form and analyse how they've raced. Not what the form book says in text — the actual positional data. Were they making the running, tracking the pace, sitting midfield, or held up?
Every horse is classified into one of four running style groups: front runner, prominent, midfield, or hold-up. This classification is built from historical race data, not assumption. A horse described as a hold-up horse that's actually been racing prominently for the last six runs gets classified accordingly.
Once the field is classified, we model the likely pace shape of the race. How many front runners are there? Is there likely to be genuine early pressure, or will the race crawl? Is there prominent congestion that creates a traffic problem two out?
From this we build four scenarios — A through D — each with a probability weighting based on the evidence. Each scenario describes how the race is likely to unfold and which running style profiles it favours.
Every race includes specific watch points — concrete things to look for that could change how the race plays out. Horses that jump poorly drawn wide. Pace collapse risk if the sole front runner has a history of stopping. Prominent congestion that could cause problems in running.
Each runner gets a one-line tactical note covering the factors most relevant to how they fit into the race shape.
The running style classifications, pace scenarios, probability weightings, and runner profiles are all produced by a systematic data engine. The written analysis — the pace dynamic narrative, scenario descriptions, runner notes and watch points — is then generated by AI, based on that structured output.
This means the language is AI-generated, but it is grounded in the data. AI is not making predictions or expressing opinions — it is translating what the model has computed into plain English. No tips, no recommendations, and no information beyond what the underlying analysis contains.
Everything is live by 6pm the evening before racing. You get the full picture before the market opens in the morning.
PaceMap doesn't tell you who to back. There's no ratings system, no nap of the day, no tipster angle. It tells you where the traffic will be, which horses have a structural advantage given the likely pace, and which face an uphill task. What you do with that is entirely up to you.