Archive›Bangor-on-Dee · 16 May 2026

Bangor-on-Dee

16 May 2026 · 6 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

2:10 — Family Fun Day 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m½f · Good · CLS4 · 13 runners

Lead contested: Saint Jeannais v MaskarvelFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Mr Mojo Risin and Heffalump led; the map had Saint Jeannais and Maskarvel in front.

Saint Jeannais won at 2.20 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Saint JeannaisMaskarvel

Prominent · 5

Mr Mojo RisinMasterfieldMagna PatchNoble DonDinkys Rose

Midfield · 2

Anxious MomentsPretty Darn Quick

Hold Up · 4

Knolton ParkHeffalumpCappa LassLilycala

Saint Jeannais and Maskarvel will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set an honest gallop over this trip. Mr Mojo Risin will track prominently behind the leaders, while the large contingent of hold-up horses including Heffalump, Knolton Park, Lilycala and Cappa Lass will settle at the rear. With two keen pace-setters up front and a 13-runner field, the tempo should be solid rather than stop-start, creating a searching test over the final half-mile. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and patient hold-up horses who can pick up the pieces when the pace-setters weaken, while making life difficult for those needing to be handy throughout.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Late

45% probability

If Saint Jeannais and Maskarvel go too hard early and fold in the final furlong

The honest gallop will find out the leaders' stamina reserves, allowing the best of the hold-up horses to sweep through late. Patient tactics and class will prevail over early positioning.

HeffalumpKnolton ParkCappa LassLilycala

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Mr Mojo Risin can sit perfectly behind the pace-setters and time his challenge

The prominent position gives him first run on the leaders when they weaken, avoiding the traffic problems that could beset the hold-up brigade. His recent Kelso form suggests he has the tactical speed to capitalize.

Mr Mojo RisinMasterfieldNoble DonMagna Patch

Front Runner Dominates

15% probability

If Saint Jeannais or Maskarvel gets an uncontested lead and controls the tempo

One pace-setter could steal a march by dictating fractions, building an unassailable advantage while the hold-up horses leave too much to do. Saint Jeannais's course-and-distance win gives him the edge in this scenario.

Saint JeannaisMaskarvelMr Mojo RisinNoble Don

Maiden Surprise

10% probability

If the market leaders all disappoint and a lesser-fancied runner finds improvement

The competitive nature of maidens can produce shock results when established runners fail to progress. A horse showing hurdling aptitude for the first time could capitalize on others' shortcomings.

Anxious MomentsMagna PatchMasterfieldDinkys Rose

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Saint Jeannais and Maskarvel could set unsustainable fractions if both insist on leading, compromising each other's chances

WATCH

Several hold-up horses including Heffalump and Knolton Park are returning from long layoffs which may blunt their finishing kicks

NOTE

Mr Mojo Risin's prominent racing style could prove ideal if he can avoid getting involved in the early pace battle

WATCH

Multiple runners with recent poor form including Anxious Moments and Pretty Darn Quick look outclassed at current levels

NOTE

The 7lb claiming riders on Lilycala, Masterfield and Dinkys Rose add an element of unpredictability to their chances

2:45 — Wigan Beer Company Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m3½f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Nevershedatear to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Siege Of Acres led; the map had Nevershedatear in front.

Dream's Ka won at 3.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Nevershedatear

Prominent · 3

Asta La VistaVesaliusMr Mahler

Midfield · 4

Vinnie O'NeilPeace In The ParkMy FortuneDante's Inferno

Hold Up · 3

Siege Of AcresGreer HillDream's Ka

Nevershedatear is the sole confirmed front-runner and will get an uncontested lead from the start. The prominent runners Mr Mahler, Asta La Vista and Vesalius lack the early pace to pressure him, creating a sustainable rhythm through the early stages. This moderate gallop will set up perfectly for the strong contingent of hold-up horses including Dream's Ka, Dante's Inferno, Greer Hill, My Fortune, Siege Of Acres, Peace In The Park and Vinnie O'Neil to unleash finishing kicks. The lack of early pressure on Nevershedatear combined with the 2m3½f trip strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late surges.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If Nevershedatear sets uncontested fractions and the pace stays moderate throughout

The lack of early speed allows patient hold-up horses to get into perfect striking positions turning for home. Dream's Ka, Dante's Inferno and Peace In The Park can all unleash telling late runs to sweep past a weakening leader.

Dream's KaDante's InfernoPeace In The ParkMy Fortune

Front Runner Holds On

20% probability

If Nevershedatear kicks clear approaching the final flight and none of the hold-up horses can respond

His recent C&D second suggests he has the stamina for this trip when allowed easy fractions. The hold-up horses fail to close quickly enough on the testing ground, leaving Nevershedatear clear.

NevershedatearMr MahlerAsta La VistaDream's Ka

Prominent Tracker Strikes

10% probability

If Mr Mahler or Asta La Vista track closer than usual and kick approaching two out

One of the prominent runners gets first run on the field while Nevershedatear weakens and before the hold-up horses can respond. This tactical switch catches the field flat-footed in the closing stages.

Mr MahlerAsta La VistaNevershedatearPeace In The Park

Chaos Benefits Outsider

5% probability

If the pace collapses completely or there are multiple jumping errors at crucial stages

The race falls apart tactically, allowing an unconsidered runner like Vesalius or Siege Of Acres to benefit from the mayhem. Normal form lines go out the window in a muddling contest.

VesaliusSiege Of AcresVinnie O'NeilMy Fortune

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Nevershedatear could get such an easy lead that none of the hold-up horses can peg him back despite the style mismatch

WATCH

Dream's Ka only had 12 days between runs and quick turnaround might blunt his finishing kick when it matters most

NOTE

Mr Mahler's front-running tactics could put unexpected pressure on Nevershedatear if he tracks closer than usual early

WATCH

The ground could be more testing than advertised given the consistent 'Good' readings across all six races on the card

NOTE

Asta La Vista's settling issues last time might resurface if the pace is too slow and he gets lit up early again

3:20 — Remembering Kitty Warburton Handicap Hurdle

2m½f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Krak likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Krak led, as the map showed.

Roysse won at 34.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

4 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Krak

Prominent · 2

Diamonds GaloreCity Of Diamonds

Midfield · 3

ItsinthenameRoysseDog Fox

Hold Up · 3

FasolPaddockwoodFromheretoeternity

Krak is the only confirmed front runner in this field and should get an uncontested lead, setting a sustainable gallop throughout the 2m½f trip. The prominent runners Diamonds Galore and City Of Diamonds will track close enough but are unlikely to pressure the leader early. With six hold-up horses including Fasol, Fromheretoeternity, and Dog Fox needing room to maneuver late, this becomes a tactical puzzle where the leader may steal too much ground. This race shape clearly favors either the uncontested front runner or the most talented hold-up horse who can produce the best late kick.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Krak Wires Field

45% probability

If Krak gets easy early fractions and maintains his stamina edge

The leader builds an insurmountable advantage turning for home while the hold-up brigade leaves their challenges too late. Krak's drop in trip and first-time cheekpieces could provide the extra edge needed to hold off late challengers.

KrakDog FoxFasolDiamonds Galore

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

35% probability

If the pace becomes truly pedestrian and allows a strong finishing kick

The crawling gallop plays into the hands of the classiest closer who can unleash a devastating turn of foot. Fasol's Nicholls training and consistent form gives him the edge in a sprint finish from the talented hold-up contingent.

FasolFromheretoeternityItsinthenamePaddockwood

Prominent Tracker Prevails

12% probability

If Diamonds Galore can dictate ideal positioning tracking Krak

The Henderson-trained gelding gets first run on the leader while avoiding traffic problems that could befall the hold-up horses. His recent consistent form and prominent style perfectly suits sitting second throughout before striking decisively.

Diamonds GaloreCity Of DiamondsKrakRoysse

Pace Collapses Completely

8% probability

If Krak goes too slow and gets swamped by multiple closers

The lack of early pace results in a messy cavalry charge where the most unexposed horse with untapped potential can emerge. Itsinthename's limited experience over hurdles could mask significant improvement for the Scholfield stable.

ItsinthenamePaddockwoodDog FoxRoysse

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Krak gets soft early fractions as he could steal the race from the front with minimal pressure

WATCH

Monitor the early positioning of hold-up horses Fasol and Fromheretoeternity as traffic could be decisive

NOTE

Observe Diamonds Galore's jumping rhythm as any mistakes could compromise his ideal tracking position

WATCH

Check if Dog Fox shows ring rustiness after 173-day absence despite his proven course and distance form

NOTE

Watch for market moves on Itsinthename given his unexposed profile and potential stable confidence

3:55 — Bangor-On-Dee Grand Wynnstay Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m1½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Lead contested: Personal Ambition v ObsessedwithyouHISTORIC

How it ran

Sir Tivo led; the map had Personal Ambition and Obsessedwithyou in front.

Grain d'Oudairies won at 5.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Personal AmbitionObsessedwithyou

Prominent · 3

CalicoGrain d'OudairiesSir Tivo

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Homme PublicGabriel's Getaway

Personal Ambition and Obsessedwithyou will dispute the early lead in this small field, with both confirmed front-runners likely to ensure a genuine gallop from the start. The relatively short field of seven means there's limited scope for tactical maneuvering, and with two eager leaders up front, the pace should be honest throughout. This setup creates a race where prominent runners like Calico, Grain d'Oudairies and Sir Tivo can track the leaders without getting too far back, while hold-up horses Gabriel's Getaway and Homme Public face the challenge of making up ground in a race that may not develop the strongest finish. The genuine early pace favors prominent racers and those with tactical speed over pure hold-up merchants.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Trackers Prevail

45% probability

If the two leaders Personal Ambition and Obsessedwithyou go too fast early and weaken

The honest pace will suit those sitting in behind the leaders who can quicken when the front two falter. Class horses like Calico and the good-ground loving Sir Tivo can use their tactical speed to strike.

CalicoSir TivoGrain d'OudairiesObsessedwithyou

Front Runner Dominates

30% probability

If one of the leaders gets first run on the other and kicks clear

Obsessedwithyou's recent winning form and ability to make all could prove decisive if she can get the better of Personal Ambition early. Her tactical advantage from the front would be hard to peg back in this small field.

ObsessedwithyouPersonal AmbitionCalicoSir Tivo

Hold-Up Charge Success

15% probability

If the early pace is particularly strong and the field comes back to the closers

Gabriel's Getaway and Homme Public could benefit if the front-runners go too hard and the race falls apart. Their hold-up style would then become an advantage as they pick up the pieces late.

Gabriel's GetawayHomme PublicGrain d'OudairiesCalico

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If both leaders make jumping errors or one refuses to go on

The race could become a sprint from halfway if the early pace setters exit or slow dramatically. This would create a tactical free-for-all where any style could prevail depending on position.

Sir TivoCalicoPersonal AmbitionGrain d'Oudairies

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Personal Ambition and Obsessedwithyou could go too fast early if they get into a speed duel, compromising both their chances

WATCH

Sir Tivo's 213-day absence is significant despite his fresh-running ability and needs watching for ring fitness

NOTE

Gabriel's Getaway's jumping must improve significantly as his fluency issues become more costly in a race run at genuine pace

WATCH

Homme Public returning from wind surgery with poor recent form needs to prove the operation was successful

NOTE

Watch for how aggressively Obsessedwithyou's 5lb claimer rides the early pace as inexperience could disrupt tactics

4:30 — Classic Additions Handicap Chase

3m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Kenzo Des Bruyeres to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Good Work led; the map had Kenzo Des Bruyeres in front.

Special John won at 4.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Kenzo Des Bruyeres

Prominent · 4

Special JohnCahier's DenSlaney OperaGood Work

Midfield · 3

GilbertinaFriends Don't AskOn The Platform

Hold Up · 2

Walking The WalkGetaway Glory

Kenzo Des Bruyeres will lead from the start with his proven front-running style, but faces immediate pressure from four prominent runners (Cahier's Den, Special John, Good Work, Slaney Opera) all wanting to track close. This congestion will create a searching gallop through the middle stages as they jostle for position approaching the business end. The sustained pace will set up perfectly for the hold-up horses Walking The Walk and Getaway Glory to deliver late challenges, making this a race that strongly favours patient tactics and finishing kick over early positioning.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

45% probability

If the prominent pack goes too hard chasing Kenzo Des Bruyeres through the middle stages

The sustained gallop will empty the tanks of the early pace-setters, allowing the patient runners to sweep past in the final half-mile. Walking The Walk and Getaway Glory can use their proven C&D form to maximum advantage.

Walking The WalkGetaway GloryFriends Don't AskGilbertina

Front Runner Holds On

25% probability

If Kenzo Des Bruyeres gets an uncontested lead and dictates moderate fractions

His dual Irish point wins show he has the stamina to sustain a long kick, and if the prominent horses fail to apply enough pressure early, he can have enough left to resist late challenges. James Bowen can judge the pace perfectly from the front.

Kenzo Des BruyeresOn The PlatformSpecial JohnCahier's Den

Prominent Runners Strike

20% probability

If the prominent quartet can force a strong pace without emptying their own tanks

Special John or Cahier's Den can use their recent form edge to break clear from the chasing pack before the hold-up horses get into gear. Their class advantage over the field becomes decisive in a truly-run race.

Special JohnCahier's DenSlaney OperaGood Work

Chaos Favours Outsider

10% probability

If the pace battle becomes messy with multiple fallers or mistakes at crucial fences

Friends Don't Ask can benefit from a muddling contest where his recent Fontwell third suggests he's found form again. The 80-1 winner profile could repeat if the fancied horses encounter trouble.

Friends Don't AskGilbertinaOn The PlatformWalking The Walk

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kenzo Des Bruyeres must be allowed an uncontested lead early or his front-running tactics will backfire spectacularly

WATCH

Special John needs to overcome his recent habit of failing as favourite, particularly with Matt Griffiths taking over riding duties

WATCH

Good Work's jumping errors could cause carnage in the prominent pack where four horses will be tightly bunched

NOTE

On The Platform's fitness after 562 days off will be revealed early, but his course winner's knowledge could be crucial

NOTE

Walking The Walk's stamina reserves at age 11 after 364 days absent will determine if he can repeat his strong C&D record

5:05 — Ladies Day On Saturday 23rd May Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m1½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Is This For Real led, as the map showed.

King Ulanda won at 10.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Pigeon HouseNibras GoldIs This For Real

Prominent · 2

Park AnnonciadeHudson

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Ice In The VeinsKing Ulanda

Pigeon House, Is This For Real, and Nibras Gold will clash for the early lead, creating a fierce gallop from the start. All three are confirmed front-runners who struggle to settle, guaranteeing a strong pace throughout this 2m1½f test. The relentless gallop will stretch the field and expose any stamina limitations, particularly over Bangor's demanding circuit. This pace scenario strongly favours hold-up horses like Ice In The Veins who can pick up the pieces late when the pace-setters weaken.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Collapse

45% probability

If all three front-runners engage in a speed duel from the off

The sustained gallop will drain Pigeon House, Is This For Real and Nibras Gold, setting up the race for closers who can stay the trip. Ice In The Veins and King Ulanda benefit most from their patient tactics when others stop.

Ice In The VeinsKing UlandaPark AnnonciadeHudson

Pigeon House Controls

30% probability

If Pigeon House gets an uncontested lead while rivals track

Charlie Todd can dictate fractions and save enough for a strong finish, replicating the Catterick win where he made all unopposed. The prominent runners Park Annonciade and Hudson can track and challenge late.

Pigeon HousePark AnnonciadeIs This For RealHudson

Nibras Gold Class

15% probability

If Nibras Gold's superior flat speed allows him to dominate the pace

His dual flat winner's class and Summer Hurdle form gives him the tactical speed to control this field when fresh after 231 days off. Stan Sheppard can use his pace weapon to dictate terms throughout.

Nibras GoldIs This For RealPigeon HousePark Annonciade

Tactical Meltdown

10% probability

If the front-runners go too fast early and none settle

All three leaders will weaken dramatically in the final half-mile, creating chaos and allowing any horse with stamina reserves to sweep past. The entire complexion changes as tactical speed becomes irrelevant.

HudsonKing UlandaIce In The VeinsPark Annonciade

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pigeon House could steal the race if he gets an uncontested lead while his two pace rivals take each other on

WATCH

Ice In The Veins must settle early for Harry Skelton or he'll get caught up in the pace battle despite his hold-up style

WATCH

Nibras Gold's 231-day absence is a major fitness concern despite his superior class credentials

NOTE

King Ulanda and Hudson both return from lengthy breaks and need to prove their fitness in a race likely to become a stamina test

NOTE

The three confirmed front-runners will create early tempo but watch which one can sustain it longest up Bangor's demanding home straight

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 16 May 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →