Archive›Bangor-on-Dee · 18 April 2026

Bangor-on-Dee

18 April 2026 · 8 races

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1:17 — Broxton Gates Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m½f · Good · NOV · 13 runners

3 vying for the leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Alsakib led; the map had Static Charm and Knock Off Soxs and Phantom Gold in front.

Alsakib won at 3.75 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Static CharmKnock Off SoxsPhantom Gold

Prominent · 5

SenatorTunisyaLaristoteChico MagnificaSaxon Cross

Midfield · 2

L'Hybris Is BornAnxious Moments

Hold Up · 3

AlsakibKarthalaCappa Lass

Knock Off Soxs, Static Charm, and Phantom Gold will ensure a strong gallop from the off, with all three confirmed front-runners likely to dispute the early lead. This pace will stretch the field and create a demanding test of stamina over 2m½f, particularly as they navigate the hurdles at a decent clip. The strong gallop will suit horses with tactical speed who can position prominently without getting involved in the early skirmishes. This race shape clearly favours prominent racers and those with proven stamina who can quicken off a solid pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Gallop Suits Prominent

55% probability

If the three leaders go a strong gallop throughout

The pace will stretch the field and favour horses like Senator and Tunisya who can sit prominent without engaging early, then quicken when the leaders tire. Hold-up horses will struggle to make up ground against this sustained pace.

SenatorTunisyaLaristoteChico Magnifica

Leaders Collapse Late

25% probability

If Knock Off Soxs and Static Charm burn each other out

The strong early pace will set up the race for closers like Alsakib who has the class to finish strongly from off the pace. Late-running horses with stamina will benefit as the pace-setters weaken in the final furlong.

AlsakibKarthalaL'Hybris Is BornAnxious Moments

Phantom Gold Dictates Steadier

12% probability

If Phantom Gold takes them along at a more measured tempo

The veteran's racecraft allows him to control the pace, making it a sprint finish where his recent winning form counts. This steadier gallop would suit horses who need a tactical race rather than a stamina test.

Phantom GoldSaxon CrossCappa LassChico Magnifica

Messy Pace Benefits Outsiders

8% probability

If the three leaders interfere with each other early

The disrupted pace creates opportunities for unconsidered horses like the lightly-raced Anxious Moments to slip through. A stop-start gallop would negate the class advantage of the higher-rated runners.

Anxious MomentsL'Hybris Is BornTunisyaSaxon Cross

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Knock Off Soxs and Static Charm could go too fast early and collapse, making the pace unsustainable for even the prominent runners.

WATCH

Phantom Gold despite his age and low rating has winning form and could surprise if allowed to dictate a steadier tempo.

WATCH

Senator has excellent form figures on good ground and represents the in-form Jamie Snowden stable who are running at 21% strike-rate.

NOTE

The lightly-raced pair L'Hybris Is Born and Anxious Moments are hard to assess but could outrun their odds if the pace unfolds to suit.

NOTE

Alsakib will need the strong early pace to materialize to have any chance from his hold-up position.

1:52 — Gieves & Hawkes Novices' Handicap Chase

3m · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

Subtle Fortune to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

El Rojo Grande led; the map had Subtle Fortune in front.

Huckleberry Sting won at 13.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Subtle Fortune

Prominent · 6

Streamsforth LadAtlanta BraveSandscapeEl Rojo GrandePeckforton HillsBlack Occ

Midfield · 3

KapamazovShuile WarriorHuckleberry Sting

Hold Up · 4

Siege Of AcresRockvaleTory HillHarksman

Subtle Fortune will lead from the start with no serious challenger for the early pace, creating a sustainable rhythm through the first two miles. The real battle develops behind as six horses (Streamsforth Lad, Black Occ, Sandscape, Atlanta Brave, Peckforton Hills, Kapamazov, El Rojo Grande) all want prominent positions, creating inevitable traffic problems when the race begins in earnest approaching two out. Hold-up horses like Siege Of Acres and Tory Hill will benefit from the early congestion and measured gallop, getting first run while the prominent brigade sorts itself out. This pace shape strongly favours hold-up runners who can avoid the mid-race scramble and produce late finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the prominent runners get tangled up turning for home and can't get clear runs.

The sustained gallop and traffic chaos plays perfectly into the hands of horses held up out of trouble. Siege Of Acres and Tory Hill emerge from the pack with devastating late runs while the prominent horses are still fighting for racing room.

Siege Of AcresTory HillHuckleberry StingHarksman

Prominent Power Prevails

25% probability

If one or two of the prominent horses can secure ideal positions and avoid the congestion.

El Rojo Grande or Kapamazov use their recent form advantage to thread through the traffic and maintain their challenge. Their superior recent efforts tell as Subtle Fortune's long lead becomes unsustainable.

El Rojo GrandeKapamazovStreamsforth LadPeckforton Hills

Lone Leader Survives

12% probability

If Subtle Fortune gets an uncontested lead and the chasing pack neutralizes each other.

The measured pace suits the front-runner perfectly while the prominent horses spend too much energy fighting amongst themselves. Subtle Fortune kicks clear approaching the last while the field is still sorting itself out behind.

Subtle FortuneBlack OccAtlanta BraveSandscape

Surprise From Midfield

8% probability

If a lightly-raced improver finds gaps while the favorites are stuck in traffic.

Shuile Warrior or another unconsidered runner benefits from the chaos ahead to emerge with a perfectly timed challenge. The pace collapse and traffic problems allow a horse with less recent form to strike at generous odds.

Shuile WarriorRockvaleSubtle FortuneKapamazov

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for multiple prominent runners getting hampered turning for home when Streamsforth Lad, Atlanta Brave, Kapamazov and El Rojo Grande all need the same racing room.

WATCH

Monitor if Subtle Fortune gets too comfortable in front as the 18-day break and amateur rider could leave him vulnerable to a late surge.

NOTE

Check if Siege Of Acres gets the clean passage his hold-up style requires as McCain's string is in good form recently.

WATCH

Observe whether Tory Hill's 14-day turnaround affects his usual finishing kick despite the weight advantage.

NOTE

Note if any of the longer-absent runners like Sandscape or Shuile Warrior show market support indicating hidden improvement.

2:27 — Bangor-On-Dee Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m7f · Good · NOV · 5 runners

Reckless Spending likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Reckless Spending and Park Princess led, as the map showed.

Reckless Spending won at 1.91 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Reckless Spending

Prominent · 1

Park Princess

Midfield · 1

Pottersville

Hold Up · 2

Johnny MoonshinePatrick's Wells

Reckless Spending will lead or race prominently with Park Princess and Pottersville likely to track close behind, creating a trio of prominent runners who should ensure a reasonable gallop without excessive pressure early. The two hold-up horses, Patrick's Wells and Johnny Moonshine, will be anchored at the back in a small field where cover will be limited. With sustainable pace expected and the prominent trio all holding strong credentials, this race shape clearly favours the prominent racers who can secure good positions and avoid traffic problems that could affect the back-runners in such a small field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Trio Dominate

55% probability

If the early pace is sustainable and the prominent runners maintain their positions without excessive pressure.

The three prominent runners can dictate terms and kick clear approaching the final flight. The hold-up pair struggle to make up ground from the back of such a small field with limited pace to aim at.

Reckless SpendingPark PrincessPottersvillePatrick's Wells

Class Tells Late

25% probability

If the pace becomes more testing and Reckless Spending's superior rating comes into play.

Henderson's charge can use his class advantage and Nico de Boinville's tactical nous to outlast his rivals. Park Princess may find the 134 OR of Reckless Spending just too strong despite her recent winning form.

Reckless SpendingPark PrincessJohnny MoonshinePottersville

Hold-up Horse Strikes

12% probability

If the prominent trio go too fast early and come back to the field approaching the final hurdle.

Patrick's Wells or Johnny Moonshine can pick up the pieces from their patient rides. The back-runners benefit from the pace collapse and superior finishing kick.

Patrick's WellsJohnny MoonshinePark PrincessPottersville

Upset Special

8% probability

If going conditions deteriorate or one of the favourites makes a significant jumping error.

Pottersville could benefit from his lower weight and Rebecca Curtis's good recent form. The race opens up with the market leaders compromised.

PottersvilleJohnny MoonshinePatrick's WellsPark Princess

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Reckless Spending's jumping rhythm early - if rusty after 63 days off, it could compromise his position-dependent style.

WATCH

Monitor the early pace set by the prominent trio - if too conservative, it hands the initiative to Patrick's Wells and Johnny Moonshine.

NOTE

Observe Park Princess's fluency over the obstacles as any jumping errors could be costly given the small field dynamics.

WATCH

Check ground conditions throughout the card - any deterioration could impact Reckless Spending's effectiveness given his soft ground concerns.

NOTE

Watch for tactical positioning after the second flight as the small field means early positioning will largely determine the outcome.

3:02 — Keegans Independent Drinks Suppliers Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

2m3½f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

They Want Me likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

I've Madeupmymind led; the map had They Want Me in front.

They Want Me won at 3.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

They Want Me

Prominent · 3

Shengai EnkiLocquirecI've Madeupmymind

Midfield · 2

Crack OpsVinnie O'Neil

Hold Up · 3

SutherlandLejo Du SeuilKillycarn

They Want Me is the only confirmed front runner in this 9-runner field and should get an uncontested lead with the next closest prominent runners Shengai Enki, Crack Ops, and I've Madeupmymind likely settling just behind rather than pressuring early. This sets up a sustainable gallop that will allow the pace to build gradually over this 2m3½f trip, with the real action delayed until the final half-mile when the hold-up horses Sutherland, Killycarn, Lejo Du Seuil, and Vinnie O'Neil start making their moves. The lack of early pace pressure heavily favours horses that can travel kindly in the early stages and have a strong finishing kick, making this a race that should strongly suit the hold-up brigade who can time their challenges late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If They Want Me sets reasonable fractions and the prominent horses don't apply early pressure

The pace builds steadily allowing the back markers to travel comfortably before unleashing late runs when it matters. Sutherland and Killycarn are perfectly positioned to exploit this tactical scenario with their proven finishing kicks.

SutherlandKillycarnLejo Du SeuilVinnie O'Neil

Prominent Duo Strike

25% probability

If Shengai Enki and Crack Ops track They Want Me closely and kick clear before the hold-up horses can respond

The race develops into a battle between the three prominent runners with the early positioning proving decisive on this sharp Bangor track. Both have the class and recent form to capitalize if they can steal a march on the closers.

Shengai EnkiCrack OpsThey Want MeI've Madeupmymind

Sustained Speed Wins

12% probability

If They Want Me maintains a strong gallop throughout and the field comes to him late rather than early

The front runner's stamina proves superior over this staying trip as late challengers find themselves chasing shadows. They Want Me's solid recent form suggests he can sustain the effort required.

They Want MeI've MadeupmymindShengai EnkiLocquirec

Pace Collapses Early

8% probability

If They Want Me goes too fast early or the prominent horses engage in a speed duel

The race becomes a sprint finish where any horse with a turn of foot can capitalize on the early pace casualties. This chaos scenario opens the door for any runner with tactical speed regardless of early position.

Crack OpsLejo Du SeuilKillycarnSutherland

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Vinnie O'Neil's tendency to fade in the finish combined with 113 days off makes him a major pace liability if prominent early

WATCH

They Want Me's ability to sustain the gallop will determine whether this becomes a tactical race or genuine speed test

NOTE

Sutherland's early positioning will be crucial as he needs to avoid getting too far back on Bangor's sharp turning track

WATCH

Crack Ops needs to prove he can handle the step up in class despite his recent confidence-boosting victory

NOTE

The gap between They Want Me and the prominent horses after the first circuit will indicate how the race will develop

3:40 — Keegans Independent Drinks Suppliers Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

2m3½f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Eremenko v I C U In My DreamsHISTORIC

How it ran

I C U In My Dreams led, as the map showed.

Las Canals won at 6.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

EremenkoI C U In My Dreams

Prominent · 2

Titanium RingGimarias

Midfield · 2

Good Boy GriffHang On

Hold Up · 3

Las CanalsDiamond JimTramuntana

Eremenko and I C U In My Dreams will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set an honest gallop over this staying trip. Titanium Ring and Gimarias sitting prominent will keep them honest, preventing any crawl. The sustained pace will set up the race for the hold-up horses, with Diamond Jim, Las Canals, Tramuntana, Good Boy Griff and Hang On all having ammunition to finish strongly. This pace scenario clearly favours hold-up horses who can use their kick in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the early pace is honest between Eremenko and I C U In My Dreams

The sustained gallop will play into the hands of the closers who can use their finishing speed. Diamond Jim and Las Canals both have winning form and the tactical edge.

Diamond JimLas CanalsTramuntanaGood Boy Griff

Front Runners Battle Home

25% probability

If Eremenko kicks clear turning in and I C U In My Dreams responds

The two leaders could have enough in reserve to hold off the closers in a driving finish. Eremenko's class edge with De Boinville makes the difference.

EremenkoI C U In My DreamsTitanium RingDiamond Jim

Prominent Tracker Strikes

12% probability

If Titanium Ring gets the perfect stalking trip behind the leaders

Tom Bellamy can time his challenge perfectly as the leaders tie up, with Gimarias also benefiting from tracking the pace. The prominent runners split the difference between pace and position.

Titanium RingGimariasDiamond JimEremenko

Pace Collapse Surprise

8% probability

If both leaders go too fast early and completely capitulate

Even the moderate hold-up horses like Good Boy Griff and Hang On could benefit from a total pace meltdown. The finish becomes a lottery for whoever has anything left.

Good Boy GriffHang OnTramuntanaLas Canals

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Eremenko and I C U In My Dreams both trying to lead could result in a suicidal early pace that compromises both

WATCH

Titanium Ring's prominent style could be caught between the leader's battle and the hold-up horses' finishing kick

NOTE

Diamond Jim has winning form on good ground and the hold-up style that suits this pace setup

WATCH

Las Canals returning from 39-day break may need the run despite his tactical advantage

NOTE

Good Boy Griff needs the strong pace to materialize to have any chance from his basement rating

4:10 — Broxton Gates Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m4½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Lead contested: Presentandcounting v Admiral StewartHISTORIC

How it ran

Presentandcounting led, as the map showed.

My Noble Lord won at 6.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

PresentandcountingAdmiral Stewart

Prominent · 3

DoyouknowwhatimeanJorebelDuel Au Soleil

Midfield · 1

Lady Jago

Hold Up · 2

My Noble LordCarrigeen Castle

Presentandcounting and Admiral Stewart will ensure a strong early gallop as both confirmed front runners with recent front-running form. Presentandcounting returns from a 184-day break but has excellent course record, while Admiral Stewart showed his pace when winning last time out. The sustained tempo will stretch this field over 2m4½f, creating a searching test from the home turn. This honest pace heavily favours the prominent racers and hold-up horses with finishing kicks over pure pace-setters.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Early Tempo

45% probability

If both Presentandcounting and Admiral Stewart go forward together from the start

The dual pace angle creates a relentless gallop that finds out the stamina reserves of all runners. Hold-up horses My Noble Lord and Carrigeen Castle get the perfect setup to unleash late runs.

My Noble LordCarrigeen CastleDoyouknowwhatimeanJorebel

Tactical Battle

30% probability

If Admiral Stewart takes them along at a steadier clip with Presentandcounting tracking

The more measured pace allows prominent runners to stay closer and kick from better positions turning in. Doyouknowwhatimean and Jorebel can use their class and tactical speed to full effect.

DoyouknowwhatimeanJorebelAdmiral StewartDuel Au Soleil

Front Runner Dominance

15% probability

If one of the pace-setters gets an uncontested lead and dictates terms

A lone leader scenario allows Presentandcounting or Admiral Stewart to control the fractions completely. The front runner can quicken when they choose and hold off late challenges.

PresentandcountingAdmiral StewartDoyouknowwhatimeanMy Noble Lord

Stamina Collapse

10% probability

If the early pace is unsustainably fast between the two leaders

Both front runners tie up badly in the final furlong after a speed duel throughout. The race falls apart completely, allowing any horse with energy left to pick up the pieces.

Lady JagoCarrigeen CastleDuel Au SoleilMy Noble Lord

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Admiral Stewart's first-time tongue-tie could spark improved performance or cause distraction in a horse who needs to concentrate on front-running duties

WATCH

Presentandcounting's 184-day absence is a major concern despite his course record, watch for any early signs of rustiness or fitness issues

NOTE

My Noble Lord has never raced on good going so his effectiveness on this surface remains completely unknown despite recent soft ground success

WATCH

The pace battle between Presentandcounting and Admiral Stewart could set up perfectly for Doyouknowwhatimean to strike from his prominent position

NOTE

Lady Jago's poor recent form makes her hard to recommend but the drop to bottom weight and 3lb apprentice claim creates each-way potential

4:42 — Overton Handicap Hurdle

2m7f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Speed Davis likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kintail and Dwight K Schrute led; the map had Speed Davis in front.

Speed Davis won at 10.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Speed Davis

Prominent · 1

Kintail

Midfield · 4

Our DylanCarismatic SoldierGolden GlanceRobert d'Ores

Hold Up · 3

HillviewTiger OrchidDwight K Schrute

Speed Davis will likely lead from the off with his prominent style, but at 2m7f over hurdles he's unlikely to be pressured early by this field of predominantly hold-up horses. With eight of nine runners showing hold-up tendencies, Speed Davis can dictate a steady gallop through the middle sections before the real race begins approaching the final two flights. This creates a tactical setup where the hold-up horses will need to find racing room and produce sustained finishing efforts from off the pace. The lack of early pace pressure strongly favours patient, strong-finishing hold-up horses who can produce their best work late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Gallop Scenario

65% probability

If Speed Davis maintains control without serious early pressure and sets steady fractions

The hold-up brigade gets the perfect setup to unleash finishing kicks, with the pace only quickening from the second-last hurdle. Class horses like Dwight K Schrute and Our Dylan can produce their trademark late surges.

Our DylanDwight K SchruteTiger OrchidCarismatic Soldier

Mid-Race Injection

20% probability

If Kintail or another prominent runner decides to press Speed Davis from halfway

The tempo lifts earlier than expected, potentially stretching the field and favouring horses with more tactical speed. Those that can travel strongly into the race while still having a kick will benefit over pure hold-up types.

KintailCarismatic SoldierSpeed DavisTiger Orchid

Messy Pace Collapse

10% probability

If Speed Davis ties up or falls and leaves a tactical vacuum with no clear leader

The race becomes a scramble with hold-up horses suddenly having to make their own running earlier than ideal. Horses with more versatile styles or those who can quicken from closer positions gain an edge.

Tiger OrchidDwight K SchruteKintailOur Dylan

Speed Davis Stays

5% probability

If the leader maintains his gallop and the closers fail to produce their usual finishing kick

The front-runner capitalizes on his uncontested lead and the soft early fractions to keep going when the field tries to close. Any other horse sitting closer to the pace throughout becomes dangerous.

Speed DavisKintailRobert d'OresGolden Glance

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Speed Davis could tie up badly in the closing stages if his 141-day layoff tells, potentially creating a tactical mess

WATCH

Traffic problems likely in the straight with eight hold-up horses all needing room to mount their challenges simultaneously

NOTE

First-time headgear on Tiger Orchid and tongue-ties on Golden Glance and Robert d'Ores suggest their connections expect improved efforts

WATCH

Kintail's positioning will be crucial as the only horse likely to race prominently behind Speed Davis early

NOTE

Ground conditions remain consistently good across all distances, removing any going-related tactical advantages

5:17 — Family Funday On 16th May "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m½f · Good · CLS4 · 12 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 18 April 2026.

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