Archive›Bath · 13 June 2026

Bath

13 June 2026 · 8 races

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Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

1:20 — Frasers Plus Designer Outlet Swindon Apprentice Handicap (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier)

2m1f · Soft · HCAP · 9 runners

No obvious leaderFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Lamlash led.

Sapphire Sirocco won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 6

EverestSapphire SiroccoCorsican CaperNora BarnacleLamlashEmperor Dream

Hold Up · 3

Man Of The SeaThe CraftymasterMind Hunter

With no confirmed front runner in this 9-horse field, expect a muddling early pace as horses like Man Of The Sea, The Craftymaster, and Mind Hunter all prefer to settle behind. This lack of natural pace-setters will likely see someone reluctantly take it up, but the tempo should be modest through the early stages. The combination of soft ground and 2m1f distance means stamina will be at a premium in the closing stages. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses with proven stamina who can quicken late, as the slow early pace will set up a sprint finish where class and finishing kick become decisive.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Slow Burn Sprint Finish

65% probability

If the early pace is genuinely slow with no horse willing to commit

The lack of pace will compress the field turning for home, creating a cavalry charge finish where the classiest stayers with the best turn of foot prevail. Horses like Man Of The Sea and The Craftymaster, both proven at this trip with winning form, will be perfectly positioned to strike.

Man Of The SeaThe CraftymasterEverestCorsican Caper

Modest Tempo Staying Test

20% probability

If one horse takes up the running at a steady tempo throughout

The consistent pace will turn this into a proper stamina examination where proven stayers can grind out the finish. This suits horses with multiple runs over extended distances who can sustain their effort.

EverestCorsican CaperMind HunterSapphire Sirocco

Tactical Muddle Chaos

12% probability

If multiple horses get in each other's way with no clear pace scenario developing

The messy tempo will create traffic problems and force jockeys into reactive riding, benefiting the most experienced campaigners who can navigate trouble. Veterans like Man Of The Sea and Mind Hunter thrive in scrappy contests.

Mind HunterMan Of The SeaThe CraftymasterLamlash

Apprentice Inexperience Factor

3% probability

If the young jockeys misjudge the pace and go too fast early

The stronger early pace will stretch the field and expose fitness doubts, particularly hurting horses returning from long breaks. Only the fittest stayers will last home.

Sapphire SiroccoLamlashEverestCorsican Caper

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Emperor Dream's finishing effort after 418 days off - any signs of the noted fading tendency will confirm fitness doubts

WATCH

The early pace development with no natural leaders - watch for which horse reluctantly goes forward and how it affects the tempo

NOTE

Man Of The Sea's jumping from the gates given his hold-up style - needs to settle kindly to utilise his proven finishing kick

WATCH

Traffic problems in the home straight given the likely bunched finish - experience of Taylor Fisher on Man Of The Sea could prove crucial

NOTE

The Craftymaster's fitness returning from 57 days off under an inexperienced apprentice - any early signs of rustiness will be telling

1:55 — Designer Outlet Style Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Soft · NOV · 6 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:30 — Pockets Townhouse Bath Handicap (Bath Summer Sprint Series Qualifier)

5f · Soft · HCAP · 15 runners

Son Of Astar likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Titus Thor and Symbol Of Hope led; the map had Son Of Astar in front.

Dark Sun won at 10.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Son Of Astar

Prominent · 1

Darkened Edge

Midfield · 9

Call TimeMacaroneScent Of MayTitus ThorSymbol Of HopeSnow BootsSisters In The SkyCoco HillCoast

Hold Up · 4

Harry MoleLegendsofthelandDark SunPhoenix Beach

Son Of Astar will break prominently and likely lead with minimal pressure in the early stages, as 14 of the 15 runners are hold-up horses. Darkened Edge may track in second but lacks the natural early speed to challenge Son Of Astar's position. The gentle early fractions will create a sprint finish over the final 2f as the hold-up brigade comes home in a wall of horses. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and those with tactical speed who can avoid traffic, as the large field of hold-up horses will create a bottleneck in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Son Of Astar Dominates

45% probability

If Son Of Astar gets an uncontested lead and kicks clear

He will dictate comfortable fractions and have enough left to resist the late charge, with Darkened Edge best placed to track and challenge. The early leaders avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will plague the hold-up horses.

Son Of AstarDarkened EdgeHarry MoleLegendsoftheland

Hold-Up Horses Swarm

30% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong and Son Of Astar weakens

The superior class of Harry Mole and Legendsoftheland will tell as they sweep past tired leaders. Their hold-up style becomes an advantage if the early pace is honest enough to set up their finishing kicks.

Harry MoleLegendsofthelandScent Of MayDark Sun

Mid-Division Traffic Chaos

15% probability

If the large field creates significant interference in the straight

Horses with racing room and momentum will benefit while others get stopped in their run. Those drawn well or ridden with more urgency early will have crucial positional advantages over those buried in traffic.

Phoenix BeachDark SunCall TimeCoast

Surprise From Rear

10% probability

If a well-handicapped outsider finds a clear passage late

The soft ground will help stamina-laden types who stay on strongly when others tire. Lower-rated horses with less weight will benefit if the pace collapses and class becomes less important.

Sisters In The SkySymbol Of HopeScent Of MayMacarone

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Son Of Astar must break cleanly and establish position early as any delay will hand initiative to Darkened Edge

WATCH

Traffic problems in straight will be decisive with 14 hold-up horses converging simultaneously from rear

WATCH

Harry Mole and Legendsoftheland need clear passages late as their class advantage means nothing if trapped

NOTE

Darkened Edge's prominent style and trainer Mason's 3/7 record make this horse the main pace threat

NOTE

Apprentice jockeys on Son Of Astar, Dark Sun, Macarone and Coco Hill add pressure in tactical race

3:05 — Marsha Naify British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

5½f · Soft · NOV · 11 runners

Secret Harvest likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Clementines Star led; the map had Secret Harvest in front.

Doodling won at 4.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Secret Harvest

Prominent · 1

Doodling

Midfield · 6

Navona GreyHonky Tonk GirlDark Angel LightClementines StarLavender BloomI Can Dream

Hold Up · 3

WhazzimoVelvet GoldmineMiss Gold

Secret Harvest will set the pace with Doodling likely to press her early, creating a sustainable tempo in the soft conditions. With only two confirmed pace angles in an 11-runner field, the early gallop should be comfortable rather than punishing. The lack of pace pressure means Secret Harvest can dictate terms through steady fractions, while the hold-up horses face the challenge of making up ground on testing ground that typically favours those closer to the pace. This race shape clearly favours prominent runners and those with tactical speed to sit handy, as the soft going will make late swoops much harder to execute effectively.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Horse Dominates

45% probability

If Secret Harvest gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning for home

The lack of early pressure allows her to build an unassailable lead, while the testing ground blunts any late challenges from the hold-up brigade. Her prominent style and recent good form make her perfectly suited to exploit these conditions.

Secret HarvestDoodlingDark Angel LightClementines Star

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

30% probability

If the early pace collapses completely and becomes crawling slow

The lack of genuine speed allows the back markers to stay within striking distance and unleash superior finishing kicks on ground that suddenly plays fair to closers. Class and raw ability trump tactical positioning in a sprint finish.

Velvet GoldmineLavender BloomWhazzimoI Can Dream

Lightly Raced Improver

15% probability

If one of the newcomers or lightly raced fillies shows significant improvement

The restricted nature of this contest means any filly taking a step forward from limited experience could outclass these exposed rivals. Fresh legs and untapped potential prove decisive.

Dark Angel LightHonky Tonk GirlNavona GreyClementines Star

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If both Secret Harvest and Doodling fail to go forward as expected

With no genuine pace setters, the race becomes a messy scramble where any horse with tactical speed can steal a march. The winner comes from those able to adapt quickly to the changing dynamics.

Clementines StarNavona GreyMiss GoldDoodling

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Secret Harvest could steal a march if she breaks smartly and gets uncontested lead in the soft conditions

WATCH

Doodling's early positioning crucial as her low rating means she must secure ideal trip to compete with these

NOTE

Dark Angel Light's market moves will reveal stable confidence in this lightly raced Channon-trained filly

WATCH

Both I Can Dream and Miss Gold have shown tendency to fade, making them risky propositions in any finish

NOTE

Clementines Star returning with headgear after long break could signal significant stable expectations

3:50 — Support Ben Saunders Foundation Handicap

1m3½f · Soft · HCAP · 13 runners

Ship To Shore likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Endofastorm led; the map had Ship To Shore in front.

Belle Amie won at 5.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ship To Shore

Prominent · 2

BasiletteVirtual Hug

Midfield · 6

Belle AmieHighland HarveyEndofastormDoggedMy O MyAll About George

Hold Up · 4

OttomanMaster DancerOnlyriversrunfreeBlue Hero

Ship To Shore will take up the early running with Basilette and Virtual Hug tracking close behind, setting a steady gallop that won't be overly testing early. The lack of natural speed horses means the pace will be manageable through the middle stages, allowing the field to stay compact turning for home. With 10 of the 13 runners employing hold-up tactics, this creates a bunched finish where horses with turn of foot will be crucial. This pace scenario heavily favours the hold-up horses who can quicken late, particularly those with proven finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Brigade Dominates

65% probability

If Ship To Shore sets modest fractions and the field stays bunched

The patient tactics pay dividends as the hold-up horses get their preferred finish. Late-running horses with proven finishing speed will have optimal conditions to strike.

Belle AmieBlue HeroMaster DancerOttoman

Prominent Horses Persist

20% probability

If Basilette or Virtual Hug can sustain their effort from the front group

The prominent racers use their forward positions to steal a march on the hold-up brigade. Their early positioning proves decisive when the late charge comes too late.

Virtual HugBasiletteOnlyriversrunfreeHighland Harvey

Pace Collapse Finish

10% probability

If Ship To Shore goes too slowly and creates a sprint finish

The race becomes a pure speed test over the final two furlongs. Horses with the best turn of foot regardless of early position will prevail in a blanket finish.

EndofastormMy O MyBelle AmieDogged

Early Leader Stays

5% probability

If Ship To Shore gets uncontested fractions and maintains momentum

The front-runner takes advantage of the modest pace to build an unassailable lead. The hold-up horses' kicks come too late to reel in the escaped leader.

Ship To ShoreVirtual HugBasiletteBlue Hero

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ship To Shore may not handle the return from such a long layoff and could fold quickly if pressed

WATCH

Highland Harvey and All About George both show patterns of fading in the finish when it matters most

NOTE

The 10 hold-up horses will create traffic problems turning for home if they all come with late runs simultaneously

WATCH

Virtual Hug's recent win gives confidence but drops significantly in trip from usual distances

NOTE

Belle Amie represents the Simcock stable which has been quiet but could be primed for a surprise result

4:27 — Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Handicap

1m · Soft · HCAP · 14 runners

India Gold likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Time For Action led; the map had India Gold in front.

Swiped won at 2.88 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

India Gold

Prominent · 3

ThisonesforyouBosom PalsAneirin's Sword

Midfield · 6

Solar PhoenixBarbuda BayDenby's DreamMusical SoldierTime For ActionLeia Antilles

Hold Up · 4

SwipedBird Of WarFootstepinthewoodsTough Date

India Gold represents the sole confirmed front runner with prominent backup from Bosom Pals, Aneirin's Sword, and Thisonesforyou creating a modest early tempo. The large field of 14 includes 8 hold-up horses who will rely on the pace collapsing, but with only one true leader the gallop may prove too sustainable. India Gold can dictate terms without pressure, controlling fractions that may not soften sufficiently for the back markers. This race shape clearly favors prominent racers and those that can track the pace rather than hold-up horses who need a strong gallop to close into.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Holds

60% probability

If India Gold leads unchallenged and maintains steady fractions throughout

The single pace-setter controls the race without pressure, leaving insufficient pace collapse for the large contingent of hold-up horses. Prominent runners like Bosom Pals and Aneirin's Sword can track the tempo and have enough left to resist the late closers.

India GoldBosom PalsAneirin's SwordSwiped

Early Pace Battle

20% probability

If Bosom Pals or Thisonesforyou challenge India Gold for the early lead

Multiple horses contest the pace creating a stronger gallop that sets up the race for closers. The increased early tempo leaves the front runners vulnerable in the final furlong to late-running types.

Bird Of WarTime For ActionTough DateMusical Soldier

Mid-Race Injection

12% probability

If the prominent horses sit closer than usual allowing a moderate early pace

The race develops into a sprint finish with horses bunched up turning for home. This tactical scenario can suit the more versatile types who can adapt their running style.

SwipedBarbuda BayFootstepinthewoodsDenby's Dream

Complete Pace Collapse

8% probability

If India Gold goes too slowly early and gets headed approaching the turn

An unusually slow pace throughout allows every horse to remain in contention deep into the race. The finish becomes a pure staying test favoring horses with the strongest final furlong kick.

Musical SoldierTime For ActionLeia AntillesSolar Phoenix

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

India Gold sets uncontested fractions early - if leading by 2+ lengths after 2f the hold-up horses face an impossible task

WATCH

Bosom Pals and Thisonesforyou positioning in the first quarter-mile will determine if India Gold gets an easy lead

NOTE

The claimer on Musical Soldier reducing weight to 126lbs could be significant if the pace collapses unusually

WATCH

Bird Of War and Swiped from quality trainers need tracking for market confidence despite pace concerns

NOTE

Bath's good to soft ground reading consistent across the card suggests no deterioration concerns

5:02 — Best Football Betting Offers At freebets.com Handicap (Div I)

1m · Soft · HCAP · 11 runners

Dappled Light likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dappled Light and Daddy Chill led, as the map showed.

Dappled Light won at 6.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Dappled Light

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 7

Terries RoyaleKing Of SpeedDraftedFighting QueenDaddy ChillMishy's StarEye Of The Water

Hold Up · 3

Thapa VcNaval EnsignTime After Time

Dappled Light looks the lone front runner in this 11-runner field, with all other runners preferring to settle behind. This creates a dream scenario for Adrian Wintle's gelding to dictate terms without early pressure, likely setting sustainable fractions on the testing ground. The large field of hold-up horses will create congestion and traffic problems in the straight, making a prominent position invaluable. This race shape strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable scramble behind.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Lead Holds

65% probability

If Dappled Light gets an easy lead without early pressure

The pace-setter controls the race from the front and proves hard to peg back on soft ground with the field bunched behind him. Traffic problems in the large field help preserve his advantage as hold-up horses struggle for clear runs.

Dappled LightThapa VcTime After TimeNaval Ensign

Late Cavalry Charge

20% probability

If the pace becomes too slow and the field compacts entering the straight

Superior class tells as the better-rated horses find gaps and surge late despite the tactical disadvantage. The soft ground aids stamina types who can sustain their runs.

Thapa VcNaval EnsignKing Of SpeedTime After Time

Traffic Chaos Benefits

10% probability

If severe interference occurs in the home straight among the bunched field

Early positioning becomes crucial as several hold-up horses find trouble, allowing those with clear runs to capitalize. Jockey judgment proves decisive in finding racing room.

King Of SpeedDraftedFighting QueenTerries Royale

Surprise Package Emerges

5% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish

An unconsidered runner benefits from the tactical meltdown and superior positioning to steal the prize. Form lines get turned upside down in the scramble.

Fighting QueenEye Of The WaterDaddy ChillMishy's Star

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Dappled Light's early positioning - if he doesn't lead or sit prominent, the race loses its key tactical element

WATCH

Traffic problems at the two-furlong marker where the large field of hold-up horses will converge seeking racing room

WATCH

Thapa Vc and Naval Ensign finding clear runs given their class advantage but tactical disadvantage from the rear

NOTE

King Of Speed and Drafted capitalizing if they get first run on the leaders before the cavalry charge begins

NOTE

Jockey Darragh Keenan's tactics on Dappled Light - whether he commits to making all or tries to be tactical

5:37 — Best Football Betting Offers At freebets.com Handicap (Div II)

1m · Soft · HCAP · 10 runners

Brinton likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Danehill Star and King David led; the map had Brinton in front.

Freedom Bay won at 34.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Brinton

Prominent · 1

Galactic Glow

Midfield · 5

NammosVictory SoundJames Park WoodsPop FavoriteFreedom Bay

Hold Up · 3

RevichKing DavidDanehill Star

Brinton will lead or sit prominently early alongside Galactic Glow, setting a comfortable tempo on the soft ground over this mile trip. With nine hold-up horses behind them, the front pair won't face early pressure, allowing them to dictate terms through steady sectionals. The large pack of hold-up runners including Nammos, King David, Revich and Danehill Star will be bunched behind, setting up a cavalry charge finish. This race shape heavily favours the early positioned horses who can avoid traffic and kick clear before the field closes.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Two Dominate

55% probability

If Brinton and Galactic Glow maintain their early advantage without pressure

The soft ground aids their stamina reserves while nine hold-up horses get tangled up behind in a messy finish. The leaders exploit their positional advantage to stay clear of the late charge.

BrintonGalactic GlowDanehill StarNammos

Hold-Up Charge Succeeds

25% probability

If the pace becomes too slow early and the field bunches significantly

Danehill Star and Nammos get clear runs to unleash their finishing kicks and overhaul tiring leaders. The soft ground becomes less of a factor in a sprint finish.

Danehill StarNammosRevichKing David

Traffic Chaos Benefits

12% probability

If the large pack of hold-up horses causes significant interference in the straight

One or two runners get clear passage while others are blocked, creating an opportunistic winner. Form goes out the window as luck determines the outcome.

Victory SoundKing DavidRevichJames Park Woods

Outsider Emerges Late

8% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a true staying test

The soft ground really tests stamina and an unfancied stayer like James Park Woods finds extra reserves. The handicap weights start to tell on the fancied runners.

James Park WoodsFreedom BayPop FavoriteVictory Sound

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Brinton's jumping and early positioning - if sluggish from the gates his whole race plan crumbles

WATCH

Traffic congestion at the two-furlong pole with nine hold-up horses converging simultaneously

NOTE

King David's fitness after 48-day break and how the first-time visor affects his usual patient tactics

WATCH

Galactic Glow's stamina reserves in the final furlong after setting pace on testing ground

NOTE

Danehill Star getting a clear passage from his draw with Tony Carroll's 8-from-56 strike rate this fortnight

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 13 June 2026.

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