Archive›Bath · 5 April 2026

Bath

5 April 2026 · 8 races

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2:00 — Weatherbys Global Stallions App Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Bellini Spirit to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Solar Invincible won at 4.33 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Bellini Spirit

Prominent · 4

BelieveinmenowSolar InvincibleDragon SpinRunamara

Midfield · 1

Rogue Rebellion

Hold Up · 3

Beach ParteeJenny JeromeLuna Beaux

Bellini Spirit will take the field along as the sole genuine front runner, but faces immediate pressure from four prominent runners - Believeinmenow, Dragon Spin, Solar Invincible and Rogue Rebellion - all wanting to track closely behind. This congestion will create a strong gallop through the early furlongs as these five horses jostle for position. The pace will be solid but not destructive, with the real drama coming 2-3 furlongs out when the prominent pack starts fanning wide for racing room while hold-up horses Luna Beaux, Jenny Jerome and Beach Partee unleash their finishing kicks. This tactical setup clearly favours the closers who can avoid the early scrimmaging and benefit from the strong pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses strike

45% probability

If the prominent pack goes too hard chasing Bellini Spirit in the early stages...

The strong pace will set up perfectly for Luna Beaux and Beach Partee to sweep past tiring leaders. Both have shown lethal finishing kicks at this trip and can capitalise on tactical chaos ahead.

Luna BeauxBeach ParteeJenny JeromeRunamara

Prominent runner prevails

30% probability

If one of the tracking quartet can secure the ideal position without getting caught wide...

Dragon Spin or Solar Invincible could kick clear before the closers get organised. Their racing fitness and tactical speed gives them the edge over the front runner and hold-up horses.

Dragon SpinSolar InvincibleBelieveinmenowRogue Rebellion

Front runner holds on

15% probability

If Bellini Spirit gets soft sectionals with the prominent runners hesitating early...

The leader could steal a crucial advantage and prove tough to peg back despite the closers' late charge. Carson can dictate terms and kick when it matters.

Bellini SpiritDragon SpinSolar InvincibleLuna Beaux

Traffic chaos decides

10% probability

If the prominent congestion causes major interference 2f out...

The race becomes a lottery with several chances compromised by lack of racing room. An outsider avoiding trouble could sneak through for place money at best.

Jenny JeromeRunamaraBeach ParteeRogue Rebellion

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for traffic problems 2f out when four prominent runners start fanning wide simultaneously

WATCH

Monitor Bellini Spirit's early sectionals - if too slow the closers will have too much time to organise

NOTE

Check how quickly Solar Invincible breaks from the stalls given his need to secure an early position

WATCH

Watch for Luna Beaux getting too far back early as Finley Marsh may struggle to make up ground

NOTE

Observe if Believeinmenow shows ring rust after 194 days off in the preliminary stages

2:35 — Netbet Easter Festival Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Good · NOV · 10 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:10 — Whitsbury Manor Stud / British EBF Lansdown Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares)

5f · Good · LST · 14 runners

Lead contested: Ruby's Profit v Angel SharedHISTORIC

How it ran

Beautiful Diamond and Ruby's Profit led, as the map showed.

Azure Angel won at 23.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Ruby's ProfitAngel Shared

Prominent · 6

Beautiful DiamondHold A DreamShine On MeArugam BayTemple Of AthenaCindy Lou Who

Midfield · 2

Arduis InvictaPalmeira

Hold Up · 4

Miss AttitudeFlowerheadBillie Be QuickAzure Angel

Ruby's Profit and Angel Shared will contest the early lead, with Ruby's Profit likely to get first run as the stronger front-runner. Six runners want prominent positions (Beautiful Diamond, Hold A Dream, Shine On Me, Arugam Bay, Temple Of Athena, Cindy Lou Who) creating dangerous congestion through the first 2-3 furlongs at Bath's tight track. The pace should be honest but not destructive over 5f, with the prominent pack bunching dangerously approaching the final furlong. This setup clearly favours hold-up horses who can avoid the early scrimmaging and find racing room late - Azure Angel, Miss Attitude, Flowerhead, Palmeira and Billie Be Quick all benefit from staying out of trouble.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

45% probability

If the prominent pack causes interference 2f out as predicted

The early pace congestion creates gaps for patient riders, allowing hold-up horses clean runs through. Late-running types capitalise while prominent runners get hampered or over-race.

Azure AngelMiss AttitudeFlowerheadPalmeira

Prominent Survivor Wins

30% probability

If one of the six prominent runners finds clear water early

Beautiful Diamond or Hold A Dream secure good positions without interference, staying on strongly. Their class tells as weaker hold-up horses fail to quicken sufficiently from the back.

Beautiful DiamondHold A DreamShine On MeTemple Of Athena

Front-Runner Steals It

15% probability

If Ruby's Profit gets an uncontested lead while others battle

Ruby's Profit builds an unassailable advantage as the prominent pack fight amongst themselves behind. The free-running leader has enough in reserve to hold off late challengers.

Ruby's ProfitAngel SharedBeautiful DiamondMiss Attitude

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If both front-runners go too slow or get headed early

The race becomes a messy sprint with no true pace, suiting horses with tactical speed. Prominent runners with good acceleration benefit from the muddling pace.

Cindy Lou WhoArugam BayHold A DreamTemple Of Athena

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Beautiful Diamond and Hold A Dream clash for the same prominent position early - one will get shuffled back

WATCH

Ruby's Profit must avoid being headed too early or she lacks a second kick in this company

NOTE

Azure Angel's hold-up style depends entirely on there being enough pace to aim at through the field

WATCH

Miss Attitude needs David Egan to time her late run perfectly from her typical hold-up position

NOTE

Temple Of Athena's recent winner form looks strong but trainer Brian Ellison's 0 from 19 record suggests stable issues

3:45 — Floyds Turfcare And Weed Solutions Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

So Smart to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

So Smart led, as the map showed.

Twilight Madness won at 4.60 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

So Smart

Prominent · 5

Twilight MadnessSecret HandsheikhLevel UpReporterCall Time

Midfield · 3

Tilsworth Ony TaDiamondsinthesandSymbol Of Hope

Hold Up · 4

The Feminine UrgeDandy DinmontHidden VerseDragon God

So Smart will lead from the start with no other confirmed front-runners, setting a sustainable pace without early pressure. The prominent runners Level Up, Twilight Madness, Reporter, Call Time, Secret Handsheikh and Tilsworth Ony Ta will track behind in a loose pack. The large group of hold-up horses including The Feminine Urge, Dandy Dinmont, Hidden Verse, Dragon God, Diamondsinthesand and Symbol Of Hope will be forced to come from well back. This uncontested early pace strongly favours the prominent runners who can track the leader without cover problems, while the hold-up horses face a significant tactical disadvantage in a bunched field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

45% probability

If So Smart sets steady fractions without being challenged early

The prominent pack gets perfect positioning behind the uncontested leader and can time their runs perfectly. Hold-up horses struggle to find gaps and get there too late in a sprint finish.

Level UpTwilight MadnessReporterCall Time

Late Surge Prevails

30% probability

If the pace becomes very sedate and the field compresses turning for home

The hold-up horses get the slow early pace they need and can unleash powerful finishing kicks. Class horses like The Feminine Urge and Hidden Verse can overcome their poor draws.

The Feminine UrgeHidden VerseDandy DinmontDiamondsinthesand

Leader Holds On

15% probability

If So Smart gets soft lead and kicks clear entering final furlong

The uncontested leader has enough left in the tank to resist late challengers after controlling the race throughout. Prominent runners pick up the pieces behind the winner.

So SmartLevel UpTwilight MadnessReporter

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If So Smart stops quickly and prominent runners also tire from tracking

The race becomes a lottery as early leaders fade dramatically in the final 100 yards. Hold-up horses with strongest finishing kicks profit from the pace collapse.

Dragon GodSymbol Of HopeDiamondsinthesandHidden Verse

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

So Smart could get such an easy lead that he's impossible to catch despite his long absence

WATCH

The Feminine Urge has a 208-day break which is massive even for a hold-up horse of her class

NOTE

Hidden Verse has Hollie Doyle riding which suggests strong stable confidence despite the long break

WATCH

Traffic problems will be severe for hold-up horses with 13 runners over this sharp 5-furlong trip

NOTE

Level Up's recent third at this course gives him a tactical edge knowing the track

4:20 — Droneart Show May 8th & 9th Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C and D) (GBB Race)

1m2f · Good · NOV · 8 runners

Colourband likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Colourband led, as the map showed.

Colourband won at 3.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Colourband

Prominent · 2

Baltic FleetSummer Evening

Midfield · 3

Master JorrocksChilli KingWonderful Wendy

Hold Up · 2

Baron WagstaffCape Fear

Colourband will likely dictate from the front with Baltic Fleet and Summer Evening tracking in prominent positions early. With only one confirmed front runner and several hold-up horses including Baron Wagstaff and Cape Fear, the pace should be measured through the middle sections of this 1m2f contest. The lack of early pace pressure will allow Colourband to control fractions before the field bunches turning for home. This sustainable gallop strongly favours prominent racers and those with tactical speed over pure hold-up horses who need a stronger pace to close into.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Colourband Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Colourband gets an uncontested lead and dictates sensible fractions.

The pace-setter will have every chance to kick clear in the straight while hold-up horses struggle to close the gap from too far back. Prominent racers like Baltic Fleet can track the leader and challenge late but may find the winner has stolen a decisive advantage.

ColourbandBaltic FleetSummer EveningMaster Jorrocks

Prominent Battle Develops

30% probability

If Baltic Fleet or Summer Evening press Colourband early, creating a faster gallop.

The increased pace will set up the race for horses with finishing kicks, allowing Cape Fear and Baron Wagstaff to close from off the tempo. Master Jorrocks and Chilli King could benefit from their unknown but potentially strong closing ability.

Master JorrocksCape FearBaron WagstaffChilli King

Tactical Affair Benefits Class

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely with all horses waiting, turning this into a sprint finish.

The race becomes about raw ability and tactical positioning rather than stamina, favouring the higher-rated Master Jorrocks and Chilli King if they have the speed to quicken. Baltic Fleet's prominence gives him an edge over pure hold-up horses in a messy finish.

Master JorrocksChilli KingBaltic FleetColourband

Hold-up Horses Surprise

10% probability

If Cape Fear or Baron Wagstaff produce career-best efforts with strong finishing kicks.

Despite the pace shape working against them, these horses could benefit if connections have found significant improvement since their last runs. Cape Fear has shown some ability on good ground while Baron Wagstaff was reasonable last time at Salisbury.

Cape FearBaron WagstaffSummer EveningBaltic Fleet

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Baltic Fleet shows early pace - could pressure Colourband into a faster gallop than ideal for the leader.

WATCH

Monitor Master Jorrocks and Chilli King in the market - any strong support suggests hidden ability from these unknowns.

NOTE

Observe Summer Evening's positioning early as quick return suggests connections found an immediate opportunity.

WATCH

Check if any hold-up horses get prominent early draws as it would help their chances significantly in this tactical affair.

NOTE

Watch Colourband's jumping from the gates as any slow start would compromise his front-running tactics completely.

4:55 — R.J. King & Sons Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

In The Post to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

The Dark Baron led; the map had In The Post in front.

Law Supreme won at 4.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

In The Post

Prominent · 1

Law Supreme

Midfield · 6

The Hare RailLittle Miss IndiaRisen AgainLook Back SmilingCrimson RoadThe Dark Baron

Hold Up · 3

Tribal RhythmDarvelDark Rosa

In The Post is the lone pace-setter and will dictate terms from the front, likely getting an uncontested lead through steady fractions. Law Supreme may track closely in second but prefers to sit prominent rather than lead, leaving In The Post free to control. With ten hold-up horses bunched behind this modest pace, the field will compress turning for home creating a cavalry charge finish. This honest gallop and bunched finish strongly favours hold-up horses who can quicken late, particularly those with proven finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

65% probability

If In The Post sets steady fractions and the field stays bunched into the straight

The compressed finish allows late-runners to unleash their kicks with multiple horses hitting the line together. Hold-up specialists with tactical speed get the perfect setup to time their challenge.

Law SupremeLittle Miss IndiaThe Dark BaronRisen Again

Early Leader Holds On

20% probability

If In The Post gets very soft fractions and kicks clear turning for home

The pace-setter steals a march when the hold-up brigade are still organising their challenges, holding off late closers. Front-runners and prominent racers benefit from the tactical advantage.

In The PostLaw SupremeDarvelTribal Rhythm

Prominent Racer Strikes

10% probability

If Law Supreme positions closer to the pace and quickens before the hold-up horses

The prominently-raced horse gets first run on the field and builds an unassailable lead while the back-markers are still making ground. Recent winners with tactical pace benefit most.

Law SupremeDarvelLittle Miss IndiaThe Dark Baron

Pace Collapse Chaos

5% probability

If In The Post goes too slow early and multiple horses make forward moves simultaneously

The race becomes a sprint finish with horses coming from all angles, creating interference and hard luck stories. Form horses with the most natural pace benefit from the messy finish.

Look Back SmilingCrimson RoadTribal RhythmDark Rosa

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

In The Post sets crawling fractions early - if he goes too slow the race becomes a sprint finish benefiting horses with natural pace

WATCH

Law Supreme's positioning in the first furlong - if he sits closer than usual he can dominate before the hold-up horses get organised

NOTE

Little Miss India's early position under the apprentice - any prominent showing would be tactical warning given her recent winning form

WATCH

Multiple hold-up horses making simultaneous moves turning for home - creates potential interference in what should be their optimal scenario

NOTE

Tribal Rhythm's jumping from the stalls after long break - any sluggish start compounds his task from the rear given the fitness question

5:25 — Ella Bury Always In Our Hearts Handicap (Div I)

1m · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

Lead contested: Villalobos v Hawaiian KingHISTORIC

How it ran

Happy Chandler led; the map had Villalobos and Hawaiian King in front.

Volendam won at 3.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

VillalobosHawaiian King

Prominent · 1

Cherry Hill

Midfield · 7

NammosPurple SkyHavana ClubBaynoonaHappy ChandlerAmerican RoseMiss Moonshine

Hold Up · 4

Redhot WhisperCiotogMajestic LeoVolendam

Villalobos and Hawaiian King will contest the early lead in this 14-runner handicap, with Cherry Hill likely tracking just behind in third. The dual pace angle should create an honest gallop throughout the mile, though neither leader appears overly keen so the tempo may be more sustainable than destructive. With 11 of the 14 runners carrying hold-up tactics, the pace-setters face minimal early pressure once positions are established. This race shape strongly favours the prominent racers and those hold-up horses with proven finishing kicks, as the likely honest pace will provide a solid foundation for closers to build upon.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Pace Suits Closers

45% probability

If Villalobos and Hawaiian King maintain steady fractions without going too fast early

The honest gallop sets up perfectly for the large contingent of hold-up horses to unleash finishing efforts. Those with proven turn of foot like Purple Sky and Ciotog can capitalise on the solid pace foundation.

Purple SkyCiotogVolendamNammos

Front Runners Steal March

25% probability

If Villalobos kicks clear approaching the final furlong while Hawaiian King weakens

The early leader gets first run on his rivals and the chasing pack fails to respond quickly enough in a large field. Villalobos' recent course form and tactical speed prove decisive.

VillalobosCherry HillHappy ChandlerHavana Club

Pace Collapse Benefits Stalkers

20% probability

If both leaders come back to the field after setting modest early fractions

The race becomes a sprint finish where those positioned handily can quicken first. Cherry Hill and any hold-up horse tracking closer than usual gain crucial positioning advantages.

Cherry HillMiss MoonshineBaynoonaAmerican Rose

Messy Large Field Finish

10% probability

If the pace is too slow and 10+ horses remain in contention turning for home

The race turns into a cavalry charge where luck in running and clear passages become paramount. Any horse getting a clean run can capitalise on the bunched finish.

VolendamHappy ChandlerNammosPurple Sky

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Villalobos and Hawaiian King must both jump alertly as any hesitation from either leader could create messy early positioning in this large field

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems in the home straight as 11 hold-up horses will all be looking for racing room simultaneously

NOTE

Monitor the early pace as neither leader appears overly keen so fractions may be more sedate than optimal for closers

WATCH

Purple Sky's recent course form makes him dangerous if getting clear passage from his hold-up style

NOTE

Keep an eye on the two apprentice riders Searle and Wonnacott as their 5lb claims bring Miss Moonshine and Baynoona down to very competitive weights

5:55 — Ella Bury Always In Our Hearts Handicap (Div II)

1m · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

Rainbow Sign to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Rainbow Sign and Judge Frank led, as the map showed.

Scenario won at 4.33 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Rainbow Sign

Prominent · 6

Bobby DasslerJudge FrankBungle BayMan Is KingSharma d'AmourMishy's Star

Midfield · 3

Red AdmiralJames Park WoodsScenario

Hold Up · 4

PessoaAmathusOasis SunrisePort Noir

Rainbow Sign will attempt to dictate from the front but faces immediate pressure from six prominent runners (Bungle Bay, Sharma d'Amour, Judge Frank, Bobby Dassler, Man Is King, Mishy's Star) who will be scrapping for early position. This congestion will create a fast early gallop through the first half-mile before the pace inevitably steadies. The tactical squeeze comes 2-3 furlongs out when the prominent brigade compounds and the hold-up horses launch their challenges up the inside. This pace shape strongly favours the hold-up merchants who can sit off the early burn and produce late finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If the prominent runners go too fast early and compound in the straight

The early pace burn sets up perfectly for the patient finishers who saved ground and energy. Horses like Pessoa, Amathus, and Scenario can pick off the tiring leaders in the final furlong.

PessoaAmathusScenarioJames Park Woods

Prominent runner survives

25% probability

If one of the early positioned horses can secure an uncontested lead after the initial scramble

Judge Frank or Bobby Dassler get first run on the field and maintain their advantage to the line. The hold-up horses have too much ground to make up despite the strong finish.

Judge FrankBobby DasslerBungle BayMan Is King

Tactical crawl develops

12% probability

If Rainbow Sign gets an easy lead and the field goes to sleep early

The race becomes a sprint from 3f out favouring horses with instant acceleration. Port Noir and Scenario can produce sharp turns of foot from unpromising positions.

Port NoirScenarioRainbow SignMishy's Star

Steady pace throughout

8% probability

If the early prominent congestion settles into a measured gallop without drama

The race becomes a test of pure class rather than tactics, suiting the highest-rated performers. Oasis Sunrise and Judge Frank can grind out victories through superior ability.

Judge FrankOasis SunrisePessoaBobby Dassler

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for traffic problems 2-3 furlongs out when Bungle Bay, Judge Frank, Bobby Dassler, Man Is King, and Sharma d'Amour all converge from prominent positions

WATCH

Monitor Rainbow Sign's early fractions - if allowed to stride clear uncontested, the hold-up horses may have too much ground to make up

NOTE

Track how quickly Amathus and Oasis Sunrise adapt to this shorter distance after recent longer trips

WATCH

Ashley Lewis and Rose Dawes are 5lb apprentice riders on Man Is King and Port Noir respectively in a competitive handicap

NOTE

Check if Pessoa and Scenario can secure racing room on the inner when making their finishing moves from the back

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 5 April 2026.

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