Archive›Beverley · 12 May 2026

Beverley

12 May 2026 · 6 races

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2:30 — Clearanswer Call Centres Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

7½f · Good · CLS4 · 6 runners

Food For Thought likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Lovers Leap led; the map had Food For Thought in front.

Lovers Leap won at 1.15 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Food For Thought

Prominent · 1

Lovers Leap

Midfield · 2

LongevityTalking In Kode

Hold Up · 2

Crown Of DreamsWay Of The Will

Food For Thought (non-runner) was the only confirmed front runner, leaving Lovers Leap and Longevity as the likely pace-setters in a small field of six. Without a natural speed horse, the early gallop will be moderate with Lovers Leap and Longevity likely to dispute the lead through steady fractions. The lack of genuine pace pressure means hold-up horses Crown Of Dreams, Way Of The Will and Talking In Kode will find it difficult to make up ground in the straight. This moderate pace scenario strongly favours prominent racers who can position close to the pace and kick clear when the tempo lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Moderate Pace Favours Leaders

65% probability

If Lovers Leap and Longevity set a steady tempo without pressure from behind

The lack of early speed allows the front pair to control the race and kick clear when asked, making it hard for hold-up horses to close the gap. Lovers Leap's superior form figures and recent Beverley experience give her the edge in a tactical finish.

Lovers LeapLongevityCrown Of DreamsWay Of The Will

Hold-Up Horse Strikes Late

20% probability

If the pace collapses completely in the middle stages creating a sprint finish

Crown Of Dreams or Way Of The Will could benefit from their natural closing kick if the leaders go too slowly early and tire in the final furlong. However, both need significant improvement on recent form to capitalize.

Crown Of DreamsWay Of The WillLovers LeapTalking In Kode

Surprise Pace Battle Early

10% probability

If multiple horses unexpectedly go forward creating genuine early speed

A fast early gallop would set up the race for closers, but with limited early pace in this lineup, it would require tactical errors from jockeys. This scenario benefits the hold-up horses but seems unlikely given the field composition.

Way Of The WillTalking In KodeCrown Of DreamsLovers Leap

Longevity Springs Surprise

5% probability

If Longevity shows dramatic improvement from her poor autumn form

The Tinkler filly would need to find significant improvement after recording meagre RPRs, but her prominent style suits if she can find her best form. This represents an unlikely but possible upset scenario.

LongevityLovers LeapCrown Of DreamsWay Of The Will

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Food For Thought is listed as non-runner which removes the main pace angle and changes the entire complexion

WATCH

Lovers Leap's cheekpieces worked well at Beverley last time and any market confidence would be significant

NOTE

Way Of The Will is the sole four-year-old after a long absence and needs to show immediate improvement

NOTE

Crown Of Dreams represents the in-form Furtado yard and could be better than her Newcastle debut suggests

WATCH

The moderate early pace will make it difficult for any hold-up horse to make up ground in the straight

3:00 — Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish "Confined" EBF Novice Stakes (One Run Or Less) (GBB/IRE Inc')

5f · Good · NOV · 6 runners

No obvious leaderHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Ronson won at 13.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

Bladey LadyAnchianoRonsonMr Darling

Hold Up · 2

Navy LightSuzie May

With all six runners showing hold-up tendencies and no confirmed front runner, this race will likely see the field bunch together through moderate early fractions. Anchiano or Bladey Lady may drift forward by default given their higher ratings, but neither has shown pace-pressing inclinations. The lack of natural speed will create a messy, tactical affair that builds into a sprint finish over the final furlong. This race shape strongly favours horses with a finishing kick who can quicken off the moderate pace, disadvantaging those who fade in the finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Bunched Sprint Finish

60% probability

If the pace stays moderate throughout with all runners still in contention turning for home

The superior-rated newcomers Anchiano and Bladey Lady will have the class edge in a drag race finish. Their higher official ratings and connections suggest they possess the raw ability to outkick the exposed opposition when it matters.

AnchianoBladey LadyNavy LightMr Darling

Early Pace Collapse

25% probability

If Anchiano or Bladey Lady gets shuffled back early and the pace becomes crawling

The race becomes a pure test of acceleration from the final two furlongs, suiting any horse with untapped speed. Navy Light's keeping-on fourth at Ripon suggests he may have more in the tank for this tactical scenario.

Navy LightAnchianoBladey LadyMr Darling

Exposed Form Holds

10% probability

If the newcomers fail to fire and the race falls to those with course experience

Navy Light's solid Ripon fourth looks the strongest piece of form, while Mr Darling showed signs of greenness that could be overcome. The familiarity with racing conditions gives them an edge over debutants who disappoint.

Navy LightMr DarlingRonsonSuzie May

Outsider Ambush

5% probability

If the market leaders underperform and an unfancied runner finds significant improvement

Ronson or one of the lesser lights could benefit from the tactical nature and soft pace to spring a surprise. The chaotic finish could see a horse with minimal form suddenly find their stride when it's too late for favourites to respond.

RonsonSuzie MayMr DarlingNavy Light

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Suzie May and Mr Darling both fade in finishes and will be exposed if this becomes a sprint from the furlong pole

WATCH

Navy Light may struggle if the step up to 5f doesn't suit his stamina-based profile from his 6f Ripon run

NOTE

Watch for Anchiano and Bladey Lady's early positioning as their tactics will dictate how the race unfolds

WATCH

Ronson's connections suggest he may be better over 6f and could be outpaced if this becomes truly tactical

NOTE

The soft ground conditions changing to good-to-firm throughout the card could catch out any hold-up horses who need cut

3:30 — Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Selling Stakes

5f · Good · DEFAULT · 5 runners

Merlier to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Merlier led, as the map showed.

Merlier won at 2.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Merlier

Prominent · 2

Saucy JaneJack Rabbit Slims

Midfield · 1

Tide Runner

Hold Up · 1

Artista

Merlier will take this field along from the front as the only confirmed leader, with Saucy Jane and Jack Rabbit Slims likely to press or track closely behind. The pace should be sustainable rather than frantic with just five runners, allowing the leaders to maintain their advantage through the straight. Artista will need to rely on his hold-up style but may find himself too far back in such a small field. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can position close to Merlier early and strike when the pace lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Merlier Controls Throughout

55% probability

If Merlier gets an easy lead and sustainable fractions in the small field

Her proven 5f speed on similar going gives her every chance to dictate and kick clear when asked. The front-runner's advantage is magnified with only four rivals to pass her.

MerlierSaucy JaneTide Runner

Prominent Pair Strike

25% probability

If Saucy Jane or Jack Rabbit Slims press Merlier and create tactical pressure

The pace increases enough to soften up the leader, allowing the prominent runners to inherit the race in the final furlong. Saucy Jane's recent form gives her the edge in this scenario.

Saucy JaneJack Rabbit SlimsMerlierTide Runner

Tide Runner Debuts Strongly

12% probability

If the newcomer shows significant natural ability from his midfield position

The lightly-raced three-year-old's breeding and expensive price tag translate to racetrack ability that overcomes his unfavoured position. His lack of racecourse experience becomes irrelevant with raw talent.

Tide RunnerArtistaMerlier

Artista Charges Home

8% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely strong despite the small field

The hold-up horse benefits from the only scenario that truly suits his running style, swooping late when others have gone too fast too early. His recent third at Pontefract suggests he retains ability.

ArtistaSaucy JaneTide Runner

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Merlier gets a soft lead through halfway - she becomes very hard to peg back with her natural 5f speed

WATCH

Watch Tide Runner's early positioning - if he shows natural speed to stay closer than expected, his breeding suggests untapped ability

NOTE

Watch for early pressure on Merlier from Saucy Jane or Jack Rabbit Slims - any sustained challenge could change the complexion

WATCH

Watch Artista's position turning for home - needs to be closer than usual in this small field to have any realistic chance

NOTE

Watch the pace through the first two furlongs - anything genuinely fast helps the hold-up horses but seems unlikely with one leader

4:00 — Annie Oxtoby Memorial Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Lead contested: Tanjen v Jojo RabbitHISTORIC

How it ran

Hover On The Wind led; the map had Tanjen and Jojo Rabbit in front.

Dandy Dinmont won at 5.50 — was held up, as the map had it.

5 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

TanjenJojo Rabbit

Prominent · 4

Miss BrazenHover On The WindFuji MountainWithout Flaw

Midfield · 2

BeerwahDark Kestrel

Hold Up · 3

Glory HydeSherlockDandy Dinmont

Tanjen and Jojo Rabbit are confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead, with Without Flaw and prominent runners Miss Brazen, Hover On The Wind, and Fuji Mountain tracking close behind. This creates an honest pace over the minimum trip with multiple horses committed forward early. The sustained gallop will stretch the field and create separation, with the large field of hold-up horses (Glory Hyde, Dark Kestrel, Sherlock, Dandy Dinmont, Beerwah) facing a difficult task from the back. This race shape clearly favours prominent runners who can track the pace without having to make up too much ground in the sprint finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runners Collapse

45% probability

If Tanjen and Jojo Rabbit go too hard early and tire in the final furlong

The honest pace tells and the prominent trackers inherit the race as the leaders weaken. Miss Brazen, Hover On The Wind and Fuji Mountain are perfectly positioned to capitalize on their superior tactical position.

Miss BrazenHover On The WindFuji MountainWithout Flaw

Sustainable Pace Holds

30% probability

If the front-runners settle into a manageable rhythm without killing each other

One of the pace-setters survives their own tempo and holds on grimly. Tanjen showed promise when winning her group at Goodwood and Jojo Rabbit has course form.

TanjenJojo RabbitMiss BrazenHover On The Wind

Hold-Up Horse Charge

15% probability

If the early pace is moderate enough to allow closers to make ground

The lack of sustained gallop allows the hold-up brigade to get into contention late. Beerwah's recent Redcar win and Glory Hyde's last-time-out success give them claims if they can get a sight of the leaders.

Glory HydeBeerwahSherlockDark Kestrel

Traffic Chaos Benefits

10% probability

If the large field creates significant interference and trouble in running

Racing luck becomes paramount with 11 runners over the minimum trip. A horse drawn wide or getting a clear run could capitalize while others are hampered in the melee.

Without FlawFuji MountainHover On The WindSherlock

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tanjen and Jojo Rabbit could set unsustainable fractions early and collapse together in final furlong

WATCH

Without Flaw drawn low could get trapped behind horses if the pace collapses and leaders come back quickly

WATCH

Glory Hyde and Beerwah both need gaps late but may struggle to get clear running in large field

NOTE

Miss Brazen's apprentice jockey Lewis Chalkley may need to position her perfectly to capitalize on prominent role

NOTE

Dark Kestrel wearing tongue-tie for first time could show improved effort but still needs pace help

4:35 — Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull Handicap

1m½f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Not Me likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Donna Nook led; the map had Not Me in front.

Coolree won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Not Me

Prominent · 3

Donna NookHopeful JoyBetty Bassett

Midfield · 5

CoolreeTees GeorgeBlufferonthebusSunny OrangeSir David

Hold Up · 4

SuperfortressAmidst The ChaosPrincess NiylaDr Rio

Not Me and Donna Nook are the only confirmed front-runners in this 13-runner field, with both holding prominent positions, so expect a reasonable but uncontested early gallop over this 1m4f trip. The large field of hold-up horses including Coolree, Tees George, and Amidst The Chaos will create a wall of runners tracking behind the leaders. With such a strong bias toward hold-up runners and minimal early pace pressure, this race shape strongly favours horses that can finish from off the pace and handle traffic problems in the home straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If the early pace is steady and the field remains bunched turning for home

The lack of early pace allows closers to get into perfect striking positions, with the race becoming a sprint finish between multiple hold-up runners who can handle traffic. Course specialists with proven finishing kicks will have the tactical advantage.

CoolreeTees GeorgeAmidst The ChaosDr Rio

Prominent runners steal march

20% probability

If Not Me and Donna Nook kick on earlier than expected and open up a gap

The front pair get first run on the field while the hold-up horses are still organizing behind them, creating separation that's hard to close down. Front-runners who can sustain their effort will benefit from the tactical initiative.

Donna NookNot MeHopeful JoyBetty Bassett

Traffic chaos benefits rails

10% probability

If the large field creates significant interference problems in the home straight

Horses drawn low or able to secure rail positions avoid the worst of the scrimmaging, while wide-drawn runners get caught in traffic. Clean runs become premium and those with tactical speed can capitalize on others' misfortunes.

Princess NiylaSunny OrangeBlufferonthebusSuperfortress

Pace collapses completely

5% probability

If both front-runners go too slow and get swamped early in the straight

The race becomes a complete lottery with no rhythm, suiting horses that can produce instant acceleration from any position. Unexposed or well-handicapped runners can take advantage of the messy pace scenario.

Hopeful JoySuperfortressAmidst The ChaosSir David

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Coolree carries a 4lb penalty but has won this exact race twice before and scored at course and distance just eight days ago

WATCH

Traffic problems are highly likely with 11 hold-up runners in a 13-horse field, making draw and jockey positioning crucial

NOTE

Both Sir David and Betty Bassett return from long breaks for connections with modest recent strike-rates

WATCH

The going has been called Good To Firm consistently across the card, potentially disadvantaging Princess Niyla and Blufferonthebus

NOTE

Tees George has a 5lb claiming jockey but excellent recent course form, making the weight allowance potentially significant

5:10 — Racing Welfare Supporting Mental Health Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Regal Knight to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Wadacre Geisha led; the map had Regal Knight in front.

Ciao Capo won at 3.75 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Regal Knight

Prominent · 1

Attention Seeker

Midfield · 4

Wadacre GeishaCaptain BruceRegulus BlackContemplation

Hold Up · 3

Ciao CapoWhat Fools BelieveFareenar

Regal Knight is the only confirmed front runner in this field of 9, with all others holding up or sitting prominent at best. With minimal early pace pressure, Regal Knight can dictate terms and potentially steal a march if allowed an easy lead on the rail. The lack of natural pace-pressers means this will develop into a tactical affair where positioning becomes crucial in the straight. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce a sustained finish, as they'll get the perfect setup behind a slow early gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Survives

45% probability

If Regal Knight gets an easy lead and kicks clear turning in

The lack of early pace allows the front runner to conserve energy and potentially have enough left to resist late challengers. Hold-up horses may leave their run too late chasing a horse who has stolen a decisive advantage.

Regal KnightWhat Fools BelieveCiao CapoRegulus Black

Strong Finisher Prevails

35% probability

If the pace becomes crawling and turns into a sprint finish

The tactical nature plays into the hands of horses with proven finishing kicks who can time their challenge perfectly. What Fools Believe and Ciao Capo are best equipped to produce the required turn of foot.

What Fools BelieveCiao CapoFareenarRegulus Black

Prominent Runner Takes Control

12% probability

If Attention Seeker tracks the leader closely and strikes turning for home

The prominent runner can get first run on the field before the hold-up horses get organized. This scenario requires Attention Seeker to show significant improvement from recent poor form.

Attention SeekerFareenarWhat Fools BelieveContemplation

Pace Collapses Completely

8% probability

If Regal Knight goes too slowly and gets swamped by multiple challengers

The race becomes a messy scramble where any horse with a clean run can capitalize. The lowest-rated horses with less weight could benefit from the chaotic finish.

ContemplationRegulus BlackWadacre GeishaCaptain Bruce

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Regal Knight setting fractions - if he gets loose on the lead the hold-up horses may never catch him

WATCH

What Fools Believe's position turning in - needs to be handy enough to strike when the pace lifts

NOTE

Ciao Capo's early position - gelded newcomer could be sharper and more forward than expected

WATCH

Any market moves for Regulus Black given his handicap debut and step up in trip from Hugo Palmer yard

NOTE

The overall pace through halfway - if it's genuinely slow this becomes a pure sprint finish favoring proven finishers

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 12 May 2026.

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