1:45 — Blink And You Miss It Sprint Handicap Stakes
5f · Soft · HCAP · 11 runners
Cinque Verde to leadFREEHISTORIC
How it ran
Paddy's Day led; the map had Cinque Verde in front.
Trilby won at 4.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.
4 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Cinque Verde
Prominent · 4
ExclamationSolar AclaimTemple Of AthenaPaddy's Day
Midfield · 3
Francisco's PieceVintage ClaretsBaldomero
Hold Up · 3
Sir YoshiTrilbyLethal Nymph
Cinque Verde is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with no genuine challenger for the lead, Connor Beasley should be able to dictate from the front at a controlled, sustainable tempo — particularly significant on soft ground at Beverley's sharp 5f, where there is little room to make up ground and position from the outset matters enormously. The pace is unlikely to be truly searching, which compresses the field and limits the advantage available to hold-up types attempting to close from the rear. Solar Aclaim, Exclamation, Paddy's Day, and Temple Of Athena will push for prominent positions behind the leader, creating a bunched early order that will test those who get shuffled back. Francisco's Piece, Vintage Clarets, and Baldomero are true hold-up horses redistributed into midfield on the map because there are more rear-runners in this field than can realistically operate from their natural position — in practice, at least some will find themselves further back than ideal. This race shape strongly favours horses who can secure a prominent pitch close to Cinque Verde, as a controlled single-leader tempo on soft ground is unlikely to set up a late finish for genuine hold-up types.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Cinque Verde Leads, Prominents Strike
62% probability
If Cinque Verde dictates a measured pace and the prominent horses track closely enough to pounce inside the final furlong.
Beasley settles Cinque Verde into an uncontested rhythm on the soft, and horses like Solar Aclaim or Exclamation — travelling prominently throughout — have enough gas to collar or pass the leader late. Soft ground tests stamina evenly, and those who have been racing close to the pace all the way avoid the energy cost of a wide or tardy move.
Solar AclaimExclamationCinque VerdePaddy's Day
B
Front-Runner Holds On
20% probability
If the pace proves genuinely moderate and Cinque Verde is never seriously pressed, allowing him to coast home.
An uncontested lead on soft ground with a field of hold-up types behind is a genuine scenario for Cinque Verde to win travelling within himself, hitting the rising ground near the finish with energy in reserve. His sole win at this course and distance on similar ground is a key data point, and a lack of true pace pressure makes this shape real.
Cinque VerdeTrilbySolar AclaimPaddy's Day
C
Soft Ground Closers Pounce
11% probability
If the pace collapses late and horses with soft-ground stamina and a late run find the winner coming back to them.
Trilby is the most credible beneficiary here, having won on soft ground over this trip and capable of producing a strong late surge if the front runners tire; Sir Yoshi and Lethal Nymph could also pick up ground if the race unfolds at a stronger tempo than expected. However, the redistribution of Francisco's Piece, Vintage Clarets, and Baldomero — all natural hold-up horses — means many of the true closers will be racing out of their best role and their chances are tempered accordingly.
TrilbySir YoshiLethal NymphFrancisco's Piece
D
Chaotic Early, Midfield Benefits
7% probability
If early jostling for the prominent positions disrupts the predicted order and a horse from midfield slips through on the rail.
With Solar Aclaim, Exclamation, Paddy's Day, and Temple Of Athena all seeking prominent ground behind the one confirmed leader, a scrappy opening furlong could see gaps appear; a horse like Trilby or Lethal Nymph finding a clean route through on the inside could capitalise. This scenario requires a degree of fortune and a specific rail bias to materialise, making it genuinely low-probability.
TrilbyLethal NymphTemple Of AthenaSir Yoshi
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Cinque Verde's ability to sustain his lead on soft ground is pivotal — if he finds the testing surface beyond him in the closing stages, the race opens up dramatically for the prominent horses tracking him.
WATCH
Solar Aclaim and Exclamation are both seeking prominent positions behind the sole front-runner — watch the first furlong for any bump or interference between these two that could compromise one or both.
WATCH
Trilby's soft-ground form and course win make him a latent threat in any scenario where the pace collapses; if PJ McDonald can find a clean passage on the inner, he could arrive late and fast.
NOTE
Francisco's Piece, Vintage Clarets, and Baldomero are all natural hold-up horses who are likely to find themselves further back than ideal — monitor their early positioning; if any manages to secure an unexpectedly prominent spot, its chance improves materially.
NOTE
The Beverley 5f rising finish can expose horses who have used too much energy in the early stages on soft — watch for any prominent racer who hits the front too soon and ties up in the final 100 yards.
2:20 — Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull Handicap Stakes
1m4f · Soft · HCAP · 9 runners
Clansman to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Clansman led, as the map showed.
Valley Of Flowers won at 5.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.
5 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Clansman
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 5
Northern BraveL'Eagle AidValley Of FlowersBarak WarriorTopathemorning
Hold Up · 3
Prince Of CalypsoMayaadaUnchartedterritory
Clansman is the sole confirmed front-runner in this nine-runner field and, with no genuine rival to press him from the off over 1m4f on soft ground at Beverley, he is likely to control this race at a sustainable, measured tempo from the front. Behind him, the bulk of the field are true hold-up types — L'Eagle Aid, Valley Of Flowers, Northern Brave, Barak Warrior and Topathemorning all prefer to race from off the pace — meaning the midfield will be congested and the genuine rear-of-field positions fewer than the race shape map can accommodate. Prince Of Calypso, Mayaada and Unchartedterritory are the most credible pressurisers from a prominent or mid-division pitch, but none is a natural front-runner capable of forcing Clansman into an honest gallop. The field holds more hold-up horses than can realistically secure their natural position; of the redistributed types, Northern Brave and Unchartedterritory look most likely to press forward and grab a more prominent pitch than their natural style suggests, given the absence of pace competition. A single-pace, steadily-run soft-ground affair over a stiff 1m4f favours those who can race prominently and quicken from a handy position, rather than deep closers who will be waiting on a late surge that may never materialise.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Clansman Controls, Prominent Wins
58% probability
If Clansman gets a soft lead and sets a fair but not gruelling tempo on soft ground, allowing a handy tracker to pounce in the straight.
Clansman dictates from the front on his favoured Beverley track, and the race is set up perfectly for any horse sitting second or third and travelling within themselves; soft ground over 1m4f on this stiff course places a premium on stamina and a smooth, prominent run.
Prince Of CalypsoUnchartedterritoryClansmanMayaada
B
Clansman Leads And Wins
20% probability
If Clansman sets an uncontested lead at a pace perfectly suited to himself and none of the hold-up brigade can close on the strong Beverley straight.
With no pressure applied and an experienced front-runner in control, Clansman simply conserves energy throughout and has enough in reserve to repel challengers; his two wins at Stamford Bridge show course form is transferable and his last two runs at Beverley on this course suggest he is well placed.
ClansmanPrince Of CalypsoUnchartedterritoryMayaada
C
Muddling Pace, Late Surge
14% probability
If Clansman sets a stop-start crawl that brings the entire field into contention turning for home, compressing the race into a sprint-finish on soft ground.
A falsely-run race on soft ground could produce a bunched finish where stamina reserves and a clear run matter most; this shape marginally helps the redistributed hold-up horses if they can find daylight, though their out-of-role positioning makes a clean passage unlikely.
Northern BraveBarak WarriorValley Of FlowersL'Eagle Aid
D
Soft Ground Attrition Test
8% probability
If the soft ground proves significantly more demanding than anticipated and the pace collapses in the home straight, turning the race into a stamina slog.
Horses with proven soft-ground form and the biggest stamina reserves will grind past a tiring field; this is the least likely shape given Clansman's experienced front-running profile.
Valley Of FlowersUnchartedterritoryNorthern BraveMayaada
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Clansman is uncontested up front — watch whether Billy Garritty attempts to steal this on the front end given the complete absence of pace pressure; if he builds a significant advantage, closers will struggle to reel him in on soft ground over 1m4f.
WATCH
Prince Of Calypso is the most likely horse to track Clansman and dictate the terms for the prominent challengers — watch his early positioning; if Oisin Orr slots in second, he controls the narrative for the rest of the race.
WATCH
Northern Brave and Unchartedterritory are both natural hold-up horses likely to push forward in this race due to the absence of pace — watch for a contested midfield scramble for position in the first two furlongs that may unsettle some of the more reluctant stayers.
NOTE
Valley Of Flowers, L'Eagle Aid and Barak Warrior are all true hold-up types competing for the same late-race ground; if the field stacks up in the straight, a traffic-jam finish becomes a real risk and the horse with the cleanest passage, not necessarily the best form, may benefit.
NOTE
Soft ground is confirmed across the card at Beverley today — watch the market for any drifters among runners whose recent form is exclusively on good or faster, particularly Barak Warrior (firm win last time) and Mayaada (all form on good).
2:55 — Dearing Plastics Celebrating 40 Years Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Soft · HCAP · 11 runners
Everyoneknowsadave likeliest to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Ziata led; the map had Everyoneknowsadave in front.
Fans Favourite won at 4.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.
5 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Everyoneknowsadave is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 11-runner field and, with no serious challenger for the lead, will likely dictate at a controlled, sustainable tempo on soft ground over 1m2f at Beverley — a track that already rewards those who travel well through a race. That uncontested lead on a testing surface is a significant tactical advantage, allowing Everyoneknowsadave to control fractions and preserve energy into the final climb. Behind, Ciao Capo and Rapide Vega are the other genuine prominent types likely to slot into second and third early, while Lady Hornblower and Fans Favourite — both true prominent racers — are competing for positions the map cannot accommodate and will be shuffled wider or further back than ideal. This race shape strongly favours horses that can travel prominently without burning resources, as the soft ground will drain stamina from hold-up runners who need a strong pace to close into. The field contains more natural front-running and prominent types than the pace map can place — Fans Favourite and Lady Hornblower in particular are unlikely to secure their natural position and will race less effectively than their style demands.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Everyoneknowsadave Leads Unchallenged
60% probability
If Everyoneknowsadave gets a clean break and controls a moderate tempo from the front with no sustained pressure.
On soft ground over 1m2f at Beverley's testing uphill finish, a front-runner allowed to set its own rhythm conserves energy that hold-up horses must find late — Everyoneknowsadave's recent form (1-2 in last three) and Rhys Elliott's experience aboard make this the dominant shape. Horses able to travel in the slipstream — Ciao Capo and Rapide Vega — are best placed to mount the only credible challenge.
EveryoneknowsadaveCiao CapoRapide VegaZiata
B
Prominent Pair Strike Late
22% probability
If Ciao Capo or Rapide Vega track Everyoneknowsadave closely and overhaul it in the final two furlongs when the soft ground takes its toll on the leader.
Both hold solid recent form at this trip — Ciao Capo has won three of its last four at 10f on good ground and Rapide Vega grabbed a soft-ground win last time — and either could exploit a slightly generous pace set by Everyoneknowsadave on tiring ground. The prominent positions they secure naturally make them the most logical beneficiaries when the front-runner begins to flatten out.
Ciao CapoRapide VegaZiataFans Favourite
C
Hold-Up Horse Pounces
12% probability
If the pace is genuinely honest enough through the middle section to string the field out and create a true stamina test that rewards the deepest stayer.
Shimmering Sands and Project Geofin are genuine hold-up operators who have shown ability at 10f on good ground, but neither carries compelling soft-ground credentials (both 0W0P in similar going) and a solo front-runner is unlikely to generate the true pace they need. Sunny Orange and Distinction are redistributed from their natural hold-up positions and are racing out of role, reducing the probability of this shape delivering.
If Everyoneknowsadave is challenged early by one of the displaced prominent types bidding to reclaim a front position, causing an unsustainably fast early tempo that burns all pace.
In this unlikely scenario, the field implodes in the final two furlongs and a midfield or rear-of-field runner with stamina catches the spent leaders on the soft surface. Musical Accord, lightly raced and off 86 days, is an unknown quantity that could theoretically emerge if conditions suit an untested staying profile.
Musical AccordZiataShimmering SandsFans Favourite
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Everyoneknowsadave dominates the pace map as the sole front-runner — if it breaks cleanly and settles, it could control this entire race from flag to finish on soft ground.
WATCH
Fans Favourite and Lady Hornblower are both natural prominent types who cannot both get the position they want — monitor the early stages for one or both being checked or forced wider, compromising their race entirely.
WATCH
Ciao Capo's weight of only 133lbs as a three-year-old against older rivals could prove decisive late on soft ground — watch whether Oisin Orr tracks the leader from the second position.
NOTE
Sunny Orange has placed in 14 of 15 soft-ground starts but is racing out of its natural hold-up position today — if the pace is modest, its finishing run will be blunted before it can be deployed.
NOTE
Musical Accord returning after 86 days for Ralph Beckett on soft ground with a bare three-run form string is an unknown variable — if freshness translates to improvement, it could outrun its unfancied position.
3:35 — IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
7½f · Soft · CLS4 · 14 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
4:10 — Churchill Tyres Handicap Stakes
7½f · Soft · HCAP · 13 runners
Lead contested: Mudamer v Swift SalianHISTORIC
How it ran
Son led; the map had Mudamer and Swift Salian in front.
Supreme Clarets won at 4.33 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.
1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 2
MudamerSwift Salian
Prominent · 5
GlenfinnanSonArduis InvictaThe Sweet EscapeHighland Shah
Midfield · 2
Shadow RunSupreme Clarets
Hold Up · 4
ObelixMisunderstoodZowalOne Night Thunder
Mudamer and Swift Salian are the two confirmed front-runners in this 13-runner field, and with both likely to press for early supremacy on soft ground over 7½f at Beverley, an honest-to-contested gallop is the baseline expectation — neither is the type to simply surrender and tuck in. That sustained tempo on a soft Beverley track, which climbs through the home straight and punishes those who race keenly up front, sets up the race for horses who travel smoothly in the first half and pick up off the pace. The field holds more prominent/hold-up types than the map can accommodate: Shadow Run and Supreme Clarets are genuine hold-up horses who have been redistributed into midfield positions on the map because there is no room for them at their natural rear pitch — The Sweet Escape, Son, Glenfinnan, and Arduis Invicta all press for the prominent positions and some must drop back from their preferred spots. On balance, this race shape most strongly favours the genuine mid-to-prominent racer who settles comfortably behind the duelling front pair, avoids the soft-ground traffic battle on the rail, and produces a sustained run from two out — patient hold-up horses with a late burst are disadvantaged by Beverley's uphill finish which rewards galloping relentlessness over a single sharp kick.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Contested Pace, Prominent Crew
51% probability
If Mudamer and Swift Salian fight for the lead, burning energy on soft ground and setting up a strong-run race throughout.
The two front-runners burn each other off through the first half, leaving the prominent horses travelling in behind to mow them down in the final two furlongs as the leaders tie up on the climb. Horses who settled just off the early battle in the first three or four positions are in the prime slot to swoop.
The Sweet EscapeSonGlenfinnanArduis Invicta
B
Front Pair Finds Rhythm
24% probability
If one of the front-runners establishes a clear lead without a sustained duel and the pace steadies.
A more measured tempo gives the leader(s) a chance to control the race and ration their effort, making them harder to pass in the straight on soft ground. Front-running types and horses with tactical speed to land in the first two positions become the main dangers.
Swift SalianMudamerSonGlenfinnan
C
Hold-Up Horses Strike Late
15% probability
If the pace is truly severe and the front pair cut each other's throats, leaving a gap for the closers.
A burning tempo and tired leaders would theoretically open the door for genuine rear-runners, but Shadow Run and Supreme Clarets — the truest hold-up horses — have been crowded out of their natural positions, reducing the likelihood they get far enough back to produce their best run. Misunderstood and Zowal, both held up on soft-ground form, remain the best candidates if a late surge is on.
MisunderstoodZowalOne Night ThunderSupreme Clarets
D
Pace Collapse, Leader Outstays
10% probability
If the early pace is moderate and the field bunches, turning the race into a stamina test from two furlongs out.
A muddling gallop on soft ground at Beverley that reignites briefly in the straight can catch out the midfield and hold-up brigade who need the race to be truly run, instead rewarding a horse with tactical pace and clean air. Glenfinnan, who has course form and travels prominently, and Son, who handles soft and sits handy, profile best for this unpredictable scenario.
GlenfinnanSonThe Sweet EscapeSwift Salian
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Mudamer and Swift Salian are both genuine front-runners drawn in a 13-runner soft-ground field — watch whether either blinks at the start or one crosses the other in the first furlong, because the horse who wins that duel dictates the entire tempo of the race.
WATCH
Shadow Run and Supreme Clarets are true hold-up horses who cannot get to the back of the field as they would want — if either is caught in traffic mid-race on soft ground without their natural run through, their chance is effectively over before the home turn.
WATCH
The Sweet Escape has winning form at 8f on good but this is 7½f on soft — watch the market move carefully, as Joanna Mason will have to commit earlier than this horse's recent form suggests, and if she cannot travel prominently she may not get home.
NOTE
Obelix is flagged for fading in the finish; in soft ground on a track that demands stamina up the Beverley hill, any sign of him disputing a prominent pitch in the early stages should be noted as a negative — he is most dangerous when covered up quietly and produced late, which the race shape may not allow.
NOTE
Glenfinnan's soft-ground record is genuinely absent across his last five runs — all five are on good — and while Connor Beasley knows the track, watch for any signs of him struggling to pick up off the bridle once the climb begins, which would confirm the going as a concern for his win chance.
4:45 — Celebrate National Racehorse Week 2026 Handicap Stakes
1m½f · Soft · HCAP · 12 runners
Lead contested: Style Of Life v Glorious KittyHISTORIC
How it ran
Style Of Life led, as the map showed.
Tarmonbarry Kid won at 10.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.
2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 2
Style Of LifeGlorious Kitty
Prominent · 4
Glen NevisSandy CraicCoolreeFiley Beach
Midfield · 2
Mount KingCobalt Comet
Hold Up · 4
Good Morning AlexRegalianBorjinaTarmonbarry Kid
Style Of Life and Glorious Kitty are the two confirmed front-runners in a 12-runner field, and both are expected to press for the lead from the off on soft ground over 1m½f at Beverley — a combination that almost certainly produces a genuinely contested, honest gallop rather than a crawl. Style Of Life (Tom Kiely-Marshall, tongue-tie, tongue-plate) and Glorious Kitty (Joanna Mason) will fight for supremacy early, ensuring the pace is true and the ground will take its toll on horses who burn energy in the vanguard. The field carries more pace than can naturally be accommodated — Mount King and Cobalt Comet are genuine hold-up horses redistributed into midfield on the map because the rear is crowded with their type, meaning their true role cannot be secured in this shape. This race shape — a genuine two-horse battle up front on soft ground — strongly favours patient, well-positioned hold-up or late-midfield runners who can sit off the contested pace and pick up the pieces in the final two furlongs.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Contested Pace, Closers Pounce
47% probability
If Style Of Life and Glorious Kitty burn each other out early and the race falls apart up front in the final quarter-mile.
The two front-runners set a genuine gallop on soft ground, tire badly in the closing stages, and horses held up off the pace arrive to mop up; soft ground amplifies the stamina test and makes this the most likely outcome in a genuine two-horse lead battle over this trip.
If the front-runners set a strong pace but one prominent runner is able to track close enough to pounce without getting caught in the early scrimmage.
A horse like Sandy Craic or Glen Nevis sits just off the pace in second or third, conserves energy through the middle stages, and hits the front with enough momentum to hold on as the true closers are too far back to reel them in.
Sandy CraicGlen NevisCoolreeFiley Beach
C
Pace Duel, Front Runner Survives
16% probability
If one of the two front-runners (most likely Style Of Life with the tongue-tie tactical advantage) disengages from the duel and steals a march turning for home.
Style Of Life has won off a similar OR at this track before and, if Glorious Kitty fades having pressed too hard, the remaining leader can exploit a soft-ground slog at honest but not suicidal pace; the field may be too strung out to reel them in.
Style Of LifeGlorious KittySandy CraicCoolree
D
Muddled Pace, Hold-Ups Swamp Field
9% probability
If the pace duel fractures chaotically and the closers get an uncharacteristically clean passage on the wide Beverley straight.
This scenario depends on Cobalt Comet and Mount King — both redistributed away from their natural hold-up roles — actually securing the back-of-field position they prefer, which is improbable in this congested setup; even if it occurs, soft ground over 1m½f leaves little room to make up ground from the rear.
Cobalt CometMount KingBorjinaTarmonbarry Kid
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Style Of Life and Glorious Kitty — watch the first two furlongs to see whether either horse gives way or whether they fight stride for stride; a prolonged battle between these two front-runners will inflate the pace dramatically and increase the chance of a closer dominating the finish.
WATCH
Tarmonbarry Kid — Oisin Orr is a high-quality booking for the Fahey yard and this horse has a winning soft-ground run in the book; if he gets a clear passage from his hold-up position as the front-runners fade, he could arrive late with a strong challenge.
WATCH
Borjina — Edward Bethell's T14 strike rate of 7/29 is the best in the race and Kevin Stott is a leading northern jockey; watch whether she settles in hold-up position on her first try at soft ground, as any unsettled behaviour will cost her dearly in the closing stages.
NOTE
Mount King and Cobalt Comet — both are genuine hold-up horses drawn into a congested midfield on the map; watch early to see whether either can drop back to their natural position or whether they get shuffled into an unfavourable tracking role that neutralises their finishing effort.
NOTE
Glen Nevis — Charlie Johnston's yard (5/39 T14) and Jason Hart is a strong combination; watch whether the step up to 1m½f on softening ground brings out improvement or whether he simply hasn't got the stamina to sustain a prominent effort over this trip.
About this analysis
Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.
Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.