Archive›Beverley · 4 May 2026

Beverley

4 May 2026 · 8 races

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1:57 — EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qual') (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) (Div I)

5f · Soft · CLS4 · 11 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:30 — EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qual') (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) (Div II)

5f · Soft · CLS4 · 11 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:05 — Mayday Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Soft · NOV · 6 runners

Donna Rumma likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Silesia led; the map had Donna Rumma in front.

Lake Muritz won at 5.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Donna Rumma

Prominent · 1

Lake Muritz

Midfield · 2

Persian SunsetSilesia

Hold Up · 2

Love A GiggleShowmethebubbles

Donna Rumma will dictate terms from the front with her consistent pace-setting style, likely getting an uncontested lead in this small field. The prominent runners Lake Muritz and Silesia will track her but neither has shown aggressive early tendencies. With Love A Giggle and Showmethebubbles held up at the back, there's a clear pace divide that should create a steady tempo throughout. This race shape strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can position close to Donna Rumma's expected lead.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Donna Rumma dominates

45% probability

If Donna Rumma gets her favoured soft ground lead without pressure

She can control the fractions and kick clear in the final furlong, making use of her proven form on similar conditions. Her recent consistency and tactical advantage make her the logical beneficiary.

Donna RummaLake MuritzSilesiaLove A Giggle

Prominent trio battle

30% probability

If Lake Muritz or Silesia press Donna Rumma early and create genuine pace

The tempo quickens enough to set up a driving finish between the three prominent runners, with class and fitness deciding. Donna Rumma's recent race fitness could prove decisive in a sustained battle.

Lake MuritzDonna RummaSilesiaLove A Giggle

Hold up surprise

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes crawling

Love A Giggle's winning form and stronger finishing kick can overcome positioning disadvantages in a sprint finish. The weight penalty becomes less relevant in a slowly-run race that suits her hold-up style.

Love A GigglePersian SunsetDonna RummaLake Muritz

Persian Sunset unknown

10% probability

If Persian Sunset shows unexpected early pace or tactical speed

The lightly-raced filly with unknown ability could exploit any pace scenario given her high rating and fresh legs. Her trainer's recent strike rate suggests she's been placed to advantage.

Persian SunsetLove A GiggleDonna RummaLake Muritz

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Donna Rumma breaking clear early could signal an unassailable tactical advantage given the small field

WATCH

Persian Sunset's market moves will reveal stable confidence in this complete unknown with the high rating

NOTE

Love A Giggle's ability to overcome her 7lb weight penalty depends entirely on pace development

WATCH

The gap between prominent and hold-up horses could become unbridgeable if Donna Rumma gets loose

NOTE

Showmethebubbles showing early pace would signal a significant tactical switch from her usual pattern

3:40 — We Love A Bank Holiday Handicap

5f · Soft · HCAP · 16 runners

Hvar likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Alfa Duplicate led; the map had Hvar in front.

Alfa Duplicate won at 7.00 — led, where the map had it was held up.

1 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Hvar

Prominent · 5

Yellow DiamondsShowtownIce Cold AlexCome On OverBlack Missile

Midfield · 5

BelieveinmenowStar NoirHoundhillHead For FreedomO Fortuna

Hold Up · 5

Bye LawArtistaAlfa DuplicateExplosive FinnishGoldenstateofmind

Hvar is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from the gates, likely getting an uncontested lead in this 16-runner handicap over the minimum trip. The prominent racers including Yellow Diamonds, Showtown, Star Noir, and Come On Over will settle just behind but won't pressure early on soft ground that encourages waiting tactics. With a large field and only one natural leader, this sets up as a tactical affair where the pace will be steady early before a cavalry charge in the final two furlongs. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and those that can produce a sustained finish, as the early pace will be insufficient to string out this large field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Hvar gets an easy lead and the pace stays modest through halfway

The field will bunch up turning for home allowing the strongest finishers to weave through and time their challenge perfectly. Horses like Artista, Explosive Finnish, and Bye Law who need cover and a strong pace to aim at will find ideal conditions.

ArtistaExplosive FinnishBye LawHead For Freedom

Prominent Racers Strike

25% probability

If the prominent group applies more pressure than expected and Hvar comes back to them

Yellow Diamonds and Showtown are well-positioned to capitalize from their handy positions without having done the early donkey work. Their tactical speed and ability to quicken off a steady pace makes them dangerous when others are still getting organized.

Yellow DiamondsShowtownStar NoirCome On Over

Hvar Wires The Field

12% probability

If Hvar gets completely loose on the lead and the soft ground plays to his favor

The leader builds an unassailable advantage while the pack fails to organize a cohesive challenge on the testing surface. His recent win at Redcar shows he can dominate when getting things his own way from the front.

HvarBlack MissileIce Cold AlexHoundhill

Pace Collapses Completely

8% probability

If nobody wants to race early and it becomes a crawl until the final furlong

The race becomes a pure sprint finish where the handiest horses with natural gate speed can steal a march on the field. This would suit horses like Believeinmenow who can be prominent early but also has a sharp turn of foot.

BelieveinmenowO FortunaAlfa DuplicateGoldenstateofmind

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hvar getting a soft lead could be decisive as he's the only natural front runner in this large field

WATCH

Yellow Diamonds looks the main threat to any pace scenario given her soft ground win and tactical speed

NOTE

The apprentice riders on Black Missile and Houndhill may struggle to get the best positions in a big field

WATCH

Artista and other hold-up horses need the pace to develop properly or they'll be climbing a mountain

NOTE

Track the early fractions as any horse getting first run on this tactical setup could steal a decisive advantage

4:15 — New Whistlejackets Guinness Bar Handicap

5f · Soft · HCAP · 8 runners

Hedge Fund to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Canon's House led; the map had Hedge Fund in front.

Copper Knight won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Hedge Fund

Prominent · 3

Canon's HouseMaster Of My FateHundred Caps

Midfield · 2

Copper KnightEmerald Harmony

Hold Up · 2

Ventura ExpressTrilby

Hedge Fund will take this race up from the front and should get an uncontested lead with most of the field happy to settle behind him. The prominent runners Copper Knight, Master Of My Fate, Canon's House, Emerald Harmony and Hundred Caps will track the leader in a cluster, while hold-up horses Trilby and Ventura Express drop out the back. With only one confirmed front runner, Hedge Fund can dictate a steady gallop before quickening, but the sheer weight of prominent runners tracking him means they'll be perfectly positioned when the pace lifts. This race shape strongly favours the prominent runners who can sit close enough to strike but avoid doing the donkey work that Hedge Fund will be forced into.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Pounce

45% probability

If Hedge Fund sets steady fractions and the prominent pack times their move perfectly

The patient prominent runners get the ideal trip tracking the lone leader before unleashing their finish in the final furlong. Copper Knight's class and Master Of My Fate's recent Southwell win make them perfectly suited to this tactical scenario.

Copper KnightMaster Of My FateCanon's HouseEmerald Harmony

Front Runner Sustains

30% probability

If Hedge Fund's 198-day break has freshened him up and he can quicken off steady fractions

The leader gets first run on his rivals and his superior TopSpeed rating of 91 tells as the field struggles to reel him back. His previous course form shows he can handle Beverley's unique demands when fresh.

Hedge FundCanon's HouseMaster Of My FateCopper Knight

Hold-Up Horses Swoop

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint from the 2f pole

Trilby and Ventura Express get the perfect setup from their patient positions as the early pace-setters tie up. Their hold-up style thrives when the race becomes a raw speed test over the final two furlongs.

TrilbyVentura ExpressHundred CapsEmerald Harmony

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If Hedge Fund goes too slow early and gets swamped by the field turning for home

The race becomes a messy scramble with no clear pace advantage, favouring the most naturally speedy horses regardless of position. This chaotic finish suits horses with raw pace like those showing higher recent RPR figures.

Hundred CapsCanon's HouseMaster Of My FateTrilby

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hedge Fund may not handle the return from his 198-day absence and could fold quickly if headed

WATCH

Master Of My Fate carries top weight but the 5lb claimer allowance negates this disadvantage completely

NOTE

Both Paul Midgley runners Trilby and Ventura Express come from a stable hitting just 0 winners from 10 recent runners

WATCH

Canon's House has been off for 30 days and may need the run despite his previous course experience

NOTE

Copper Knight at 12 years old remains remarkably consistent but has never won at Beverley in four previous attempts

4:50 — Churchill Tyres Handicap

1m4f · Soft · HCAP · 9 runners

Sea Master to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

El Ghaawy led; the map had Sea Master in front.

Sea Master won at 3.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Sea Master

Prominent · 4

AssuredFreddy RobinsonEl GhaawyDaring Leader

Midfield · 1

The Pug

Hold Up · 3

KameelCloudy RoseMuhib

Sea Master will lead uncontested early with his confirmed front-running style, setting a steady tempo on the soft ground. The real battle develops behind him where Freddy Robinson, Assured, El Ghaawy, The Pug and Daring Leader all want prominent positions - creating dangerous traffic congestion turning for home. This becomes a war of attrition in the final 3f as the pace quickens and the soft ground takes its toll. The race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can avoid the early scrimmaging and deliver late challenges.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Heroes Strike

45% probability

If the prominent group goes too hard chasing Sea Master from 4f out

The soft ground amplifies stamina demands as the early pace collapses, allowing patient riders to weave through tired horses. Kameel and Cloudy Rose benefit most from this tactical setup with their proven hold-up styles.

KameelCloudy RoseMuhibSea Master

Sea Master Stays Strong

30% probability

If Sea Master maintains his recent winning form and gets uncontested fractions

His soft ground form is solid and the lack of early pressure allows him to dictate throughout before holding off late challengers. The winner's recent success at this trip on similar ground makes him hard to peg back.

Sea MasterFreddy RobinsonCloudy RoseKameel

Prominent Battle Royal

15% probability

If the four prominent runners engage in early tactical warfare behind Sea Master

The pace becomes unsustainably fast as Freddy Robinson, Assured, El Ghaawy and The Pug refuse to give ground. This sets up perfectly for the strongest closer to sweep past exhausted leaders in the final furlong.

Cloudy RoseKameelMuhibDaring Leader

Pace Collapse Special

10% probability

If Sea Master stops quickly and the prominent group stalls turning in

The race becomes a crawl with no genuine pace, turning into a tactical sprint where track position matters most. The handiest horse with the best finishing kick prevails in a bunched finish.

Daring LeaderFreddy RobinsonThe PugEl Ghaawy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for severe traffic problems 3f out as five prominent runners fight for position behind Sea Master

WATCH

Monitor Sea Master's jumping from the gates - any slow start invites immediate pressure from the prominent brigade

NOTE

Check if Assured shows early rust after 207-day layoff when the pace intensifies

WATCH

Watch Kameel and Cloudy Rose getting clear runs - both need luck in running from their hold-up positions

NOTE

Observe Warren Fentiman's positioning on Muhib - the 3lb claimer must avoid getting boxed in

5:25 — Brian Dixon Memorial Handicap

7½f · Soft · HCAP · 10 runners

Mandarin Spirit to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dunkeld Dreamer led; the map had Mandarin Spirit in front.

Lyrical Song won at 11.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mandarin Spirit

Prominent · 4

Jungle RulerNight PatrolCool MollySuddenly I See

Midfield · 4

Dunkeld DreamerThe Resdev ScholarNorth ForceLyrical Song

Hold Up · 1

Gorey Gold

Mandarin Spirit will lead from the gate as the only confirmed front runner, likely setting a sustainable pace over 7½f on this testing ground. The real battle develops behind him with Jungle Ruler, North Force, Suddenly I See, The Resdev Scholar, Lyrical Song, Dunkeld Dreamer, Cool Molly and Night Patrol all wanting prominent positions - creating significant congestion and potential traffic problems turning for home. Only Gorey Gold sits back as a genuine hold-up horse, giving him a clean passage while the prominent pack scraps for racing room 2-3 furlongs out. This race shape strongly favours horses that can either lead cleanly or come from the back, as the prominent runners face tactical nightmares in heavy ground.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leader Gets Away

35% probability

If Mandarin Spirit breaks cleanly and the prominent pack allows him easy fractions early

The front runner exploits the congestion behind by building an unassailable lead while rivals get shuffled back in traffic. His sustainable pace on testing ground becomes the winning weapon.

Mandarin SpiritGorey GoldThe Resdev Scholar

Hold-Up Strikes Gold

30% probability

If the prominent congestion creates the expected traffic problems turning for home

Gorey Gold gets the clearest passage of all while prominent rivals get checked and shuffled, allowing him to pick up the pieces late. Tudhope's tactical riding from the back proves decisive in this messy affair.

Gorey GoldLyrical SongMandarin SpiritDunkeld Dreamer

Form Horse Overcomes Traffic

25% probability

If Suddenly I See or Jungle Ruler can secure early position without getting trapped

The best-handicapped horses use class to overcome the tactical disadvantage, with their recent winning form proving too strong despite poor positioning. Superior ability trumps pace dynamics.

Suddenly I SeeJungle RulerNorth ForceCool Molly

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Mandarin Spirit goes too slow early and the prominent pack stays patient

The race becomes a sprint finish where the freshest horse wins, turning into a messy scramble that suits whoever gets the last clear run. Recent course form becomes crucial.

Night PatrolThe Resdev ScholarDunkeld DreamerCool Molly

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for Mandarin Spirit to steal a march if the prominent pack gets bunched up behind him early

WATCH

Monitor the first two furlongs closely - if 5+ horses are racing in a line, traffic problems are inevitable

WATCH

Gorey Gold's positioning will be crucial - if he's too far back on this testing ground, even his hold-up style won't help

NOTE

Watch for early scrimmaging between the prominent runners - whoever gets squeezed out early is effectively done

NOTE

Keep an eye on Cool Molly's turf debut - her all-weather form suggests she has ability but surface switch is unknown

5:56 — Support Independent Racecourses Handicap

1m½f · Soft · HCAP · 15 runners

Evelyn's Phoenix likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Nakatomi and Far Ahead led; the map had Evelyn's Phoenix in front.

Coolree won at 6.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

3 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Evelyn's Phoenix

Prominent · 4

Copper And FiveLaw DegreePenny GhentNakatomi

Midfield · 6

Cloch NuaBantzDandy's AngelFar AheadWath CourtRajawail

Hold Up · 4

CoolreePisanelloHostelryWoodleigh

Evelyn's Phoenix is the only confirmed front-runner and will set the pace without pressure, likely creating a steady tempo through the early stages. Copper And Five, Law Degree, and Penny Ghent will sit prominently behind, but this modest group won't create any significant early pressure. The majority of the field are hold-up horses who will need the pace to collapse in the final 2-3 furlongs. With a solo leader able to dictate comfortable fractions on soft ground over this staying trip, this race strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can stay close to the pace and kick when it matters.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Evelyn's Phoenix Controls

45% probability

If the solo leader sets modest fractions without early pressure from the prominent group

Evelyn's Phoenix gets an uncontested lead and kicks clear in the straight while the hold-up brigade leave their runs too late on the testing ground. The prominent racers who stayed in touch have the best chance of reeling in the leader.

Evelyn's PhoenixCopper And FiveLaw DegreePenny Ghent

Prominent Pressure Tells

30% probability

If Copper And Five and Law Degree press forward to challenge the leader from halfway

The increased tempo softens up Evelyn's Phoenix while still being strong enough to blunt the finishing kicks of the hold-up horses. One of the prominent racers who stayed closest benefits most.

Copper And FiveLaw DegreeEvelyn's PhoenixPenny Ghent

Hold-Up Horse Swoops

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely in the final quarter-mile allowing closers time to wind up

The soft ground and modest early gallop creates the perfect storm for a strong stayer to come from the back and time their run perfectly. Pisanello or Coolree could capitalise.

PisanelloWoodleighCoolreeHostelry

Outsider Benefits Chaos

10% probability

If the favourites fail to fire and the race becomes scrappy with no clear pace narrative

An unfancied runner who gets the right trip at the right time steals it while the market principals underperform. The race becomes a lottery.

Dandy's AngelCloch NuaNakatomiFar Ahead

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Evelyn's Phoenix breaks slowly or gets headed early as the race relies heavily on this solo leader scenario playing out

WATCH

Copper And Five and Law Degree both go forward aggressively from the start which could set up a different pace dynamic entirely

NOTE

The ground rides slower than expected which would further blunt the finishing kicks of the hold-up horses

WATCH

Pisanello gets a clear run in the straight as he has the class edge if the pace sets up perfectly for closers

NOTE

Any market moves for the outsiders Dandy's Angel or Cloch Nua suggest stable confidence in this weak contest

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 4 May 2026.

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