2:20

Archive›Brighton · 23 August 2026

Brighton

23 August 2026 · 6 races

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2:20 — Blackmore Building Contractors Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes
1m4f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners
Sea Of Charm to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Sea Of Charm led, as the map showed.

Wrist Art won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Sea Of Charm
Prominent · 2
Stintino SunsetLittle She
Midfield · 1
The Pug
Hold Up · 2
Highland HarveyWrist Art
Sea Of Charm is the sole confirmed front-runner in this six-runner 1m4f handicap and, with no genuine rival to press her, she is expected to bowl along at a comfortable, sustainable gallop from the outset. Stintino Sunset and Little She will push forward from the prominent positions to track her, likely forming a compact group through the early stages, while Highland Harvey, Wrist Art, and the redistributed The Pug settle in behind. At Brighton's undulating track over this trip, a steady-to-moderate gallop set by an uncontested leader typically compresses the field and makes it difficult for hold-up horses to generate a meaningful finishing kick in the straight. The field holds more hold-up types than the map can comfortably place at the rear — The Pug is a genuine hold-up performer who has been remapped to midfield, but in practice may find that position hard to maintain cleanly. This race shape firmly favours prominent racers and the front-runner herself, as the lack of pace pressure and Brighton's punishing final climb reward those settled close to the lead with cover.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Sea Of Charm Controls
72% probability
If Sea Of Charm leads unchallenged at a fair clip and the prominent horses cannot sustain their challenge up the hill.
Sea Of Charm dictates from the front at a measured gallop, never coming under serious pressure, and the steady pace compresses the field to the point where her rivals lack room to build momentum; Good ground and her course-applicable form over similar trips consolidate the advantage.
Sea Of CharmStintino SunsetLittle SheHighland Harvey
B
Prominent Pair Strike
14% probability
If Stintino Sunset or Little She track Sea Of Charm closely enough to pounce in the final two furlongs when the leader ties.
A modest tempo allows the two prominent horses to sit in a perfect striking position, and one of them edges ahead as Sea Of Charm fades under amateur handling late on; Good ground suits both, and their consistent placed form at this distance profile supports a finish.
Stintino SunsetLittle SheSea Of CharmHighland Harvey
C
Hold-Up Horse Late
9% probability
If the pace picks up sufficiently through the middle stages to string out the field and create genuine late-run conditions.
Highland Harvey, with the strongest recent form figures including a win and multiple places on Good ground, is the likeliest beneficiary as a genuine hold-up type capable of closing if gaps appear; Wrist Art is the secondary threat but lacks a win at this trip.
Highland HarveyWrist ArtStintino SunsetLittle She
D
Chaos Unfolds
5% probability
If the race is disrupted by an uneven gallop, crowding on the undulating track, or amateur errors that scramble the field order.
With six amateur jockeys of varying experience and a course that punishes positional mistakes, a breakdown in running order could allow an unexpected winner to emerge from any position; The Pug, forced wide of its natural role, is the most exposed horse if things unravel.
The PugWrist ArtHighland HarveyLittle She

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHSea Of CharmpStintino SunsethLittle ShetThe PugpHighland HarveyWrist Arttp1. Sea Of Charm2. Stintino Sunset3. Little She5. The Pug4. Highland Harvey6. Wrist Art
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Sea Of Charm — watch whether Mr Henry Main (3lb claimer, amateur) settles her comfortably in front without going too fast early; if she bowls along unchallenged the race is likely hers, but erratic pace-setting would open the door to the prominent horses.
WATCH
Stintino Sunset and Little She — both race prominently and will contest the same ground just off Sea Of Charm's heels; if they crowd each other or one overreaches turning for home on Brighton's camber, both could lose their position at the critical moment.
WATCH
The Pug — watch whether Josh Myers (7lb claimer) can hold the horse's natural hold-up inclination in a small, slowly run field; being shuffled wide or forced to race in an unnatural prominent position would cost it significantly.
NOTE
Highland Harvey — the form horse on paper but entirely dependent on pace developing through the race; if Sea Of Charm dawdles and the field stays bunched, watch for McGaffin (5lb claim) attempting to move earlier than ideal to compensate.
NOTE
Wrist Art — monitor the market move given the step up in trip; if there is support for a horse whose recent runs have been over 8–10f, that confidence may reflect connections believing the extra distance suits, which would make it a genuine each-way factor under Miss Ruby Criscuolo (5lb claim).
2:50 — blackmorebuild.com EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
5½f · Good · CLS5 · 6 runners
Space Dreamer to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Tree Wizard and Tricky Jenny led; the map had Space Dreamer in front.

Space Dreamer won at 4.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Space Dreamer
Prominent · 2
Cruse On ByeTree Wizard
Midfield · 1
Last Dandelion
Hold Up · 2
Water AngelTricky Jenny
Space Dreamer is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with no genuine challenger for the lead, Billy Loughnane should be able to dictate a controlled, metronomic gallop from the front over Brighton's unique undulating 5½f. The two prominent-style runners, Cruse On Bye and Tree Wizard, will press for position behind Space Dreamer but are unlikely to force a genuine pace war, meaning the tempo is likely to be honest rather than scorching. Last Dandelion, a true hold-up horse, has been redistributed to midfield on the map because the field has more hold-up types than the rear of the race can accommodate — Space Dreamer and, to a lesser extent, Cruse On Bye are best-placed to secure their natural positions, while Last Dandelion may find herself shuffled further back than ideal. On Good ground over this trip at Brighton, a settled single-pace gallop set by an uncontested leader favours a horse that can travel prominently and sustain its effort up the final climb, making the prominent-to-lead profile the most advantaged shape in this race.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Space Dreamer Controls Cleanly
70% probability
If Space Dreamer goes unchallenged to the lead and sets a comfortable, unforced tempo from flag to finish.
Loughnane dictates the fractions from his natural front-running berth, and with no rival forcing the issue the race becomes a test of who has the most horsepower in a controlled sprint home. Horses who have tracked the pace from a prominent position are ideally placed to challenge, while hold-up horses face too much ground to make up on a course that does not offer a dramatic late run.
Space DreamerCruse On ByeTree WizardWater Angel
B
Prominent Pair Fire Late
16% probability
If Cruse On Bye or Tree Wizard travel smoothly just off Space Dreamer and produce a decisive finishing effort up the hill.
Space Dreamer's controlled pace keeps the race well within those horses' comfort zones, and a prominent tracker who handles Good ground can accelerate past the leader inside the final furlong. Tree Wizard's multiple placed efforts at 5f on Good going give it a specific scenario claim here if it secures a handy pitch.
Cruse On ByeTree WizardSpace DreamerWater Angel
C
Hold-Up Horse Arrives Late
9% probability
If the pace collapses in the final furlong, opening a gap for a closer to sweep through.
Water Angel or Last Dandelion would need the early leaders to tie up from an overly generous early gallop — unlikely given Space Dreamer's uncontested lead — but Brighton's undulating finish can catch out front-runners who have burned too much energy. Last Dandelion is a true hold-up type racing out of her ideal position, which makes this scenario harder to execute and lowers its realistic probability accordingly.
Water AngelLast DandelionTricky Jenny
D
Messy Break Scrambles Field
5% probability
If a poor or uneven start disrupts Space Dreamer or causes Cruse On Bye to lose ground, fundamentally reshaping the pace picture.
With the single pace-setter compromised, the race becomes a rough-and-tumble sprint with no established rhythm, potentially playing into the hands of any horse that finds a clear run from an unexpected position. Tricky Jenny, with her consistent record of finding a place, could benefit from the chaos if she avoids trouble.
Tricky JennyCruse On ByeLast DandelionTree Wizard

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHSpace DreamerCruse On ByeTree WizardpLast DandelionWater AngelTricky Jenny1. Space Dreamer2. Cruse On Bye3. Tree Wizard5. Last Dandelion4. Water Angel6. Tricky Jenny
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Space Dreamer and the draw: monitor whether Loughnane secures the rail cleanly at the start — any stumble or wide draw disadvantage could fundamentally alter the pace picture in this race.
WATCH
Tree Wizard's 69-day absence after a busy juvenile campaign (four runs) means fitness cannot be assumed; watch the market move for evidence the Kobeissi team is happy with the horse's condition.
WATCH
Last Dandelion has run just three days ago (LR:3d) which is an unusually short turnaround for a juvenile on an undulating track — monitor for any signs of fatigue or jockey adjustment mid-race.
NOTE
Water Angel is lightly raced (one run) and Dylan Cunha's stable is firing at 5/25 over 14 days — an unexposed horse with a live stable angle could outrun her odds if she handles the Brighton undulations well on debut trip adjustment.
3:20 — John Heal Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes
6f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners
Dreams Galore to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Harry's Pop won at 3.00. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Dreams Galore
Prominent · 2
Harry's PopPageant Girl
Midfield · 1
Crowned
Hold Up · 2
Cydney SweeniePriscilla's Hope
Dreams Galore is the sole confirmed front-runner here and, with only Harry's Pop and Pageant Girl likely to track up in behind from prominent positions, she faces no genuine pace pressure from rivals willing to match her stride for stride. On Good ground over 6f at Brighton — a track with a stiff uphill finish that tests stamina — she can dictate a controlled, honest tempo without being harried into setting a suicidal gallop. The hold-up horses Cydney Sweenie and Priscilla's Hope will need something to go wrong in front to land a telling blow, while the prominent pair behind Dreams Galore will be ideally placed if the pace eases. This race shape most clearly favours horses racing prominently or just off the pace — those who can track the leader into the straight and have enough left to outstay her up the hill.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Dreams Galore Controls Throughout
72% probability
If Dreams Galore secures an uncontested lead and sets a sustainable pace that stretches the field on the climb.
She dictates from the front, keeps the tempo honest rather than suicidal, and her rivals simply cannot get to her up the Brighton hill — her two wins on Good ground both came front-running.
Dreams GaloreHarry's PopPageant GirlCrowned
B
Prominent Pair Overhaul Leader
15% probability
If Harry's Pop or Pageant Girl track Dreams Galore closely and outstay her in the final furlong on the testing climb.
One or both prominent horses sit just off the pace and, as Dreams Galore's effort flattens out late, the proximity advantage allows them to collar her without needing a dramatic finishing burst.
Harry's PopPageant GirlDreams GaloreCrowned
C
Late Closer Arrives Strongly
9% probability
If the gallop is genuinely strong enough to set up a stamina-sapping finish that brings hold-up horses into play.
Cydney Sweenie or Priscilla's Hope, racing from deep, need Dreams Galore to have gone too hard early and the leaders to visibly tie up on the hill — a slim dependency given one uncontested front-runner.
Cydney SweenieCrownedPriscilla's HopeHarry's Pop
D
Rank Outsider Upsets
4% probability
If the race falls apart tactically — a slow pace that collapses the field and produces an anything-can-happen sprint finish.
Crowned or Priscilla's Hope, with nothing to lose at big prices, could benefit from total chaos but this requires multiple horses to run well below form simultaneously.
CrownedPriscilla's HopeCydney SweeniePageant Girl

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHDreams GaloreHarry's PopPageant GirlCrownedCydney SweeniePriscilla's Hopeb1. Dreams Galore2. Harry's Pop3. Pageant Girl4. Crowned5. Cydney Sweenie6. Priscilla's Hope
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Dreams Galore — watch whether Billy Loughnane settles her at a sustainable clip or goes too fast too soon; the difference between a controlled lead and a burned-out leader will define the entire race.
WATCH
Priscilla's Hope — first-time blinkers are a significant addition and could alter her behaviour in the early stages, potentially changing her usual hold-up pattern if they sharpen her.
WATCH
Harry's Pop — ran just 6 days ago; monitor any signs of fatigue late on the Brighton climb, as a quick turnaround can leave a horse flat in the final furlong.
NOTE
Pageant Girl — her one win came at 6f on Good, matching today's conditions exactly, but five largely disappointing runs since suggest that may now be some way behind her current level.
3:50 — Blackmore Equestrian Construction Handicap Stakes (Brighton Summer Sprint Series Final)
6f · Good · HCAP · 16 runners
3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dion Baker led, as the map showed.

Giant won at 8.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

7 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3
Dion BakerKentoCandy Warhol
Prominent · 2
Secret HandsheikhBig Time Rascal
Midfield · 6
Diomed SpiritWashington HeirPort HedlandBated BreezeMy Boy JackDaley T
Hold Up · 5
Prefer The SisterTwirlerNeptune LegendGiantArnaz
Dion Baker, Kento, and Candy Warhol are all confirmed front-runners and will immediately contest for the early lead down Brighton's opening straight, guaranteeing a strong, honest gallop over this 6f on Good ground. With three genuine pace-setters fighting for the same real estate, this is not a scenario where one horse controls tempo and conserves energy — the early fractions will be genuinely quick, stretching the field and placing a premium on stamina and the ability to sustain effort into the sharp uphill finish Brighton demands. Secret Handsheikh and Big Time Rascal are likely to land in the prominent group just behind the battling leaders, giving them a relatively handy position without having burned fuel fighting for the front. This shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can race off the honest gallop and produce a sustained late run, particularly those proven on Good ground over 6f at this track — the pace battle up front creates the ideal conditions for a well-tuned closer. The field contains significantly more true hold-up types than the pace map can accommodate at the rear — Diomed Spirit, Washington Heir, Port Hedland, Bated Breeze, Daley T, and My Boy Jack are genuine come-from-behind horses who will be shuffled into midfield positions rather than their natural ground-saving spots, meaning they will need to work harder than usual and their chances must be tempered accordingly.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Pace Collapse, Closers Strike
46% probability
If the three-way pace battle between Dion Baker, Kento, and Candy Warhol burns each other out before halfway, leaving the field strung out and the front rank empty.
The honest early fractions set by the trio of front-runners drain their reserves on the climb to the line, and the race opens up for horses who raced patiently behind the leaders in the prominent-to-midfield group.
Prefer The SisterArnazTwirlerBig Time Rascal
B
Front Runner Survives Melee
27% probability
If one of the three pace-setters — most likely Dion Baker or Kento — establishes a fractional lead and dictates at a controlled enough tempo to hold on.
Rather than a burning three-abreast battle, one runner gets a clear toe and the others are unable to match them stride-for-stride, allowing the leader to ration their effort into the final climb.
Dion BakerKentoSecret HandsheikhBig Time Rascal
C
Prominent Pair Pounce
18% probability
If the pace battle neutralises all three leaders and the race is won from just off the pace by a horse who tracked the leaders without expending early energy.
Secret Handsheikh and Big Time Rascal, both proven at 6f on Good ground and natural prominent types, are best placed to exploit a leader implosion without needing to come from deep.
Secret HandsheikhBig Time RascalPrefer The SisterArnaz
D
Deep Closer Defies Shape
9% probability
If the pace is so fierce and the field so strung out that a true hold-up horse manages to pick through traffic despite racing out of its natural position.
This is the least likely outcome given the volume of redistributed hold-up types crowding the midfield — Washington Heir, Diomed Spirit, and Bated Breeze all face a harder task than usual and must navigate significant traffic on top of an already-compressed rear.
Diomed SpiritWashington HeirBated BreezeNeptune Legend

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHDion BakerpKentopCandy WarholtpSecret Handshei…vBig Time RascaltDiomed SpiritWashington HeirPort HedlandBated BreezeMy Boy JackvDaley TbPrefer The Sist…tTwirlerNeptune LegendtbGiantArnaz5. Dion Baker6. Kento7. Candy Warhol8. Secret Handsheikh4. Big Time Rascal9. Diomed Spirit10. Washington Heir11. Port Hedland12. Bated Breeze13. My Boy Jack14. Daley T1. Prefer The Sister3. Twirler15. Neptune Legend16. Giant2. Arnaz
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
If Dion Baker, Kento, and Candy Warhol race three-abreast from the off, watch for any one of them weakening sharply inside the final 2f and causing interference as the field fans out on Brighton's unique undulating straight.
KEY
Prefer The Sister and Arnaz are the hold-up horses best equipped to exploit the expected pace collapse — watch whether their jockeys get a clean passage through the 16-runner field approaching the final climb.
WATCH
Secret Handsheikh and Big Time Rascal are the prominent types most likely to benefit from the pace battle — watch whether they can maintain position without being sucked into the early tempo war.
WATCH
Tony Carroll has four runners in this race (Neptune Legend, Kento, Washington Heir, Port Hedland, Daley T) which may create tactical complications — watch whether any of the stablemates are ridden to assist another runner or interfere with each other's racing room.
NOTE
Brighton's uphill finish from the 2f pole is a significant stamina test at the end of a truly run 6f — watch for horses that are prominent at the 2f pole but clearly tying up on the climb, as the finishing positions can change dramatically in the final 100 yards.
4:20 — Blackmore Design & Build Handicap Stakes
7f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners
Sea Suite likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

King Of War led; the map had Sea Suite in front.

Knights Gold won at 3.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Sea Suite
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 4
Dapper GuestNorth ViewCuban LadyKing Of War
Hold Up · 2
Knights GoldForeseen
Sea Suite is the sole confirmed front-runner in a field of seven and, critically, faces no genuine pace rival to push her along, meaning she can dictate terms at a comfortable, sustainable gallop over Brighton's undulating 7f. The rest of the field — Knights Gold, Foreseen, Dapper Guest, North View, Cuban Lady, and King Of War — are all hold-up types by nature, leaving Sea Suite to effectively control every fraction from the front. With no pressure expected early, she is likely to bowl along at a tempo that suits herself rather than the closers, and on Good ground at a track that rewards those who travel strongly into the straight, the race shape firmly favours the prominent racer who can dictate and quicken. Note: the field contains significantly more genuine hold-up horses than can realistically be accommodated at the rear — Dapper Guest, North View, Cuban Lady, and King Of War are all true late-closers redistributed to midfield on the map, and with Sea Suite setting a controlled pace, they face the twin problem of racing without their ideal late surge and finding a gap in a compressed, slowly-run field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Sea Suite Controls Throughout
66% probability
If Sea Suite breaks well and sets an uncontested, measured gallop with no rivals willing or able to challenge for the lead.
Sea Suite dictates every fraction on her own terms over Brighton's 7f, quickening before the final turn and putting the race to bed before the hold-up horses can organise their challenges; the prominent-racing profile is the clear beneficiary when the pace is a sole-conductor affair on Good ground.
Sea SuiteKnights GoldForeseenNorth View
B
Pace Collapses, Closers Swoop
16% probability
If Sea Suite sets a falsely slow tempo that leaves the field bunched and a wall of hold-up horses able to produce one late coordinated surge.
With the pace overly modest, the closers get a fair test despite their redistributed positions, and the Better-handicapped hold-up types can close ground rapidly in the final furlong; Knights Gold and Foreseen, the two most consistent hold-up performers with solid form on Good ground, are best placed to benefit.
Knights GoldForeseenNorth ViewKing Of War
C
Pace Quickens Mid-Race, Hold-Ups Caught
11% probability
If Sea Suite injects a strong middle sectional that stretches the field and leaves the true hold-up runners chasing shadows from too far back.
A genuine mid-race injection of pace turns this into a test of stamina and positional quality, ruthlessly exposing those redistributed hold-up horses who cannot get into striking position early enough; Sea Suite and whoever tracks her most closely into the straight hold the decisive advantage.
Sea SuiteNorth ViewKnights GoldForeseen
D
Traffic Chaos Hands It To Foreseen
7% probability
If the bunched, hold-up-dominated field creates significant interference in the straight and only one horse finds clear daylight early.
Foreseen, with Tony Carroll's record of placing horses to peak sharply and a recent win on Good ground at a similar trip, could be the one to slip through a gap if the field stalls momentarily; King Of War's three wins at 7f on Good also makes him a live outsider if the race degenerates into a lottery.
ForeseenKing Of WarCuban LadyDapper Guest

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHSea SuitevDapper GuestpNorth ViewCuban LadyKing Of WartpKnights GoldpForeseen1. Sea Suite5. Dapper Guest4. North View6. Cuban Lady7. King Of War2. Knights Gold3. Foreseen
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch whether Sea Suite breaks cleanly and immediately controls the pace — if she misses the break or is pushed wide early, the entire dominant scenario collapses and the hold-up horses gain a crucial length of momentum.
WATCH
Monitor Dapper Guest's position in running: if David Egan cannot improve on a form string of 864080 despite a good draw, he becomes a significant traffic hazard in a field of seven that is bunched in midfield.
WATCH
Cuban Lady's 59-day absence and step up from 6f to 7f is a dual unknown — if she fades badly in the straight she could obstruct the hold-up closers arriving late, particularly Knights Gold and Foreseen.
NOTE
King Of War's 120lb bottom weight gives J F Egan a fitness edge in a compact field — watch whether he can position closer than his natural hold-up style suggests, given the redistribution of so many rivals to his preferred patch of track.
NOTE
North View has placed twice over 7f on Good recently for Luke Morris at Brighton — if Sea Suite's pace is genuinely modest rather than controlled, he is the hold-up horse most likely to bridge the gap given his proven course-trip-going profile.
4:50 — Blackmore Proudly Sponsoring Brighton Racecourse Handicap Stakes
1m · Good · HCAP · 5 runners
Danehill Star to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Danehill Star and War Chant and Nordic Norm led, as the map showed.

Danehill Star won at 12.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Danehill Star
Prominent · 1
War Chant
Midfield · 1
My Old Mate
Hold Up · 2
Marsh BenhamNordic Norm
Danehill Star is the sole confirmed front-runner in this five-horse field and, with no genuine rival to press him, David Egan can dictate terms at a controlled, sustainable gallop around Brighton's undulating mile. War Chant is the only prominent-style horse and will likely track Danehill Star in second, meaning the pace is set by one horse rather than a contest of wills — a measured tempo is the almost certain outcome. My Old Mate is a genuine hold-up type who has been redistributed to midfield on the map because the field cannot accommodate all hold-up runners at the rear, but in practice Billy Loughnane may well find him further back than the map suggests; Marsh Benham and Nordic Norm are also natural hold-up horses who will genuinely be hunting from the rear. This race shape strongly favours the lone front-runner and any horse with the tactical versatility to sit close to the pace, as a steady, uncontested gallop will make life hard for true closers trying to generate enough momentum from off the pace on Good turf at Brighton.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Danehill Star Controls Unchallenged
71% probability
If Danehill Star leads at a measured tempo and War Chant settles comfortably in second without applying pressure.
Egan dictates every fraction, the pace stays honest but not searching, and the hold-up horses — Marsh Benham, Nordic Norm, My Old Mate — are left needing a finishing burst that a slow pace never generates; Danehill Star's consistent placed record on Good ground over this trip makes him the principal beneficiary.
Danehill StarWar ChantMarsh BenhamMy Old Mate
B
War Chant Presses Hard
16% probability
If Callum Shepherd sends War Chant forward to press Danehill Star and creates a genuinely contested pace.
A stronger gallop opens the race up and gives horses coming from off the pace a real target to close down in the final two furlongs; War Chant's form in similar-going races and recent trainer strike rate give him claims if he can exploit the pace scenario he helps to create.
War ChantMy Old MateMarsh BenhamDanehill Star
C
Late Closers Pounce
9% probability
If the tempo is genuinely strong enough to compromise the leaders and My Old Mate or Marsh Benham can produce a sustained late run.
My Old Mate has back-to-back wins on this trip and going combination and, if racing from a genuinely held-up position further back than his mapped slot, could arrive late with a clean run; Marsh Benham's two recent wins over this identical course and distance configuration make him the other viable finisher in this shape.
My Old MateMarsh BenhamNordic NormWar Chant
D
Nordic Norm Bounces Back
4% probability
If Nordic Norm overcomes 72 days off and a modest similar-going record to produce a career-best effort from hold-up.
A big layoff and a record of zero wins or places on comparable ground makes this an outsider scenario that relies on the Jenkins-trained gelding having improved markedly since his last run; he would need every other horse to underperform.
Nordic NormMarsh BenhamMy Old MateWar Chant

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHDanehill StarbWar ChantpMy Old MateMarsh BenhamNordic Normt1. Danehill Star2. War Chant4. My Old Mate3. Marsh Benham5. Nordic Norm
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Danehill Star is the only confirmed front-runner in a five-horse field — if Egan finds no pressure whatsoever he could set a dawdle that turns this into a sprint, which would compress the finishing order and make the race far harder to read.|
WATCH
My Old Mate's 5-day turnaround is short and, if Loughnane cannot position him in a comfortable spot given the crowded hold-up end of the field, his ability to produce his best form is compromised — watch the early-race positioning closely.|
WATCH
War Chant's headgear flag (p) suggests connections may be trying something different tactically; if Shepherd elects to press Danehill Star hard early rather than settle, the entire race shape changes from a solo-led dawdle to a genuinely contested pace.|
NOTE
Nordic Norm has not run for 72 days and has no wins or places on similar going — monitor market moves in the final hour, as any significant support would suggest stable confidence that is not visible in the public form record.|

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 23 August 2026.

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Brighton pace map, 23 August 2026 — PaceMap