Archive›Carlisle · 29 May 2026

Carlisle

29 May 2026 · 7 races

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2:10 — Andersons - Kitchens Beautifully Built Around You Apprentice Handicap

1m1f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Krissy v RunninsonofagunFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Krissy and Lever Up led, as the map showed.

Krissy won at 1.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

KrissyRunninsonofagun

Prominent · 3

Lever UpCondottiHostility

Midfield · 1

Golden Valour

Hold Up · 3

YafaarrJewel MakerPisanello

Runninsonofagun and Krissy will engage early, with both confirmed front-runners likely to dispute the lead through honest fractions over this staying trip. Behind them, Lever Up, Hostility and Condotti should track prominently, while the hold-up quartet of Yafaarr, Jewel Maker, Pisanello and Golden Valour will look to pick up the pieces. The sustained pace from two keen leaders over 1m1f will set up a strong gallop that should suit the prominent racers and those with proven stamina reserves. This race shape strongly favours horses that can travel smoothly in behind the pace battle and have the tactical speed to strike approaching the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Benefits Closers

45% probability

If Runninsonofagun and Krissy go too hard early and tie up

The strong gallop will set up perfectly for the hold-up horses who can quicken off the bend. Yafaarr's recent Redcar form and Pisanello's Hamilton effort suggest both retain enough ability to capitalise.

YafaarrPisanelloJewel MakerGolden Valour

Prominent Tracker Strikes

35% probability

If one of the prominent horses can get the perfect trip behind the leaders

Lever Up or Condotti can use their tactical position to strike when the leaders weaken. Both have the class to win off reduced marks with the race run to suit.

Lever UpCondottiHostilityKrissy

Front Runner Steals It

15% probability

If either Krissy or Runninsonofagun can dictate a more sensible pace

Krissy's recent Musselburgh wins show she can lead and stay, while the trip suits her stamina. She has the best current form to make all if getting her own way.

KrissyRunninsonofagunLever UpCondotti

Outsider Ambush

5% probability

If the pace is truly savage and the main fancies all disappoint

Golden Valour's encouraging Ayr reappearance or Jewel Maker's reduced mark could see them outrun their odds. Both are proven over similar trips when conditions align.

Golden ValourJewel MakerHostilityYafaarr

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Runninsonofagun and Krissy engage in a speed duel from the start as both are confirmed front-runners

WATCH

Monitor Condotti's jumping from the stalls after 223 days off as fitness could be a question mark

NOTE

Observe how Hostility settles in the early stages as he can be difficult to place and needs to relax

WATCH

Check Lever Up's position turning for home as he needs to be handy to use his reduced mark effectively

NOTE

Watch Golden Valour's finishing kick given his encouraging recent reappearance just 9 days ago

2:40 — Grandad Bill Whinnow EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

5f · Good · NOV · 8 runners

Call Nicki likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lincoln Warrior led; the map had Call Nicki in front.

May Bee In Profit won at 3.25 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Call Nicki

Prominent · 2

May Bee In ProfitTamam Star

Midfield · 4

Lincoln WarriorJustice TimeAodhanState Of Gold

Hold Up · 1

Brixworth Bandit

Call Nicki will lead from the gates with her confirmed front-running style, likely accompanied by prominent runners Tamam Star and May Bee In Profit who both show early pace. State Of Gold and the other prominent types will sit just behind this group, while Brixworth Bandit represents the sole hold-up threat. With only one natural leader and several prominent runners, the pace should be honest but not frantic over this minimum trip. This race shape clearly favors horses with early speed who can either lead or sit prominent, as there's insufficient depth of hold-up runners to generate a strong late kick.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Call Nicki gets an uncontested lead and maintains her momentum

The lack of sustained pressure allows her to dictate fractions and kick clear in the final furlong. Her recent improvement and natural pace advantage become decisive factors in a race lacking genuine speed pressure.

Call NickiTamam StarMay Bee In ProfitState Of Gold

Prominent Battle

30% probability

If multiple prominent runners engage Call Nicki early and create genuine pace

The honest gallop suits horses like Tamam Star and May Bee In Profit who can travel strongly just off the lead. Their tactical speed and finishing kick prove superior to the outright leader.

Tamam StarMay Bee In ProfitCall NickiState Of Gold

Pace Collapse Finish

15% probability

If the early pace becomes pedestrian with no one willing to press Call Nicki

Brixworth Bandit benefits from the slow tempo as his hold-up style becomes more viable when the field bunches late. His fresh legs and wider trip at Beverley suggest untapped potential.

Brixworth BanditMay Bee In ProfitCall NickiTamam Star

Debut Winner Emerges

10% probability

If the lightly-raced newcomers Lincoln Warrior or Justice Time show superior natural ability

Their breeding suggests they possess the raw speed to overcome tactical disadvantages against these exposed rivals. The step up in class from their debuts reveals hidden talent.

Lincoln WarriorJustice TimeCall NickiTamam Star

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Call Nicki's early position - if she breaks slowly or gets headed early, her entire race plan collapses

WATCH

State Of Gold's stalls behavior given she was upset before withdrawal at Musselburgh after poor debut

WATCH

Brixworth Bandit's early position - if the pace is genuine he'll struggle to pick up the pieces from the rear

NOTE

Lincoln Warrior and Justice Time's market moves for any stable confidence in their natural ability

NOTE

May Bee In Profit's settling given her drop back to 5f from 6f may see her keen early

3:10 — Andersons - Quality For The Home Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Lead contested: Lindoro v DigitalHISTORIC

How it ran

Digital led, as the map showed.

Pop Star won at 6.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

LindoroDigital

Prominent · 2

Get Up EverybodySki Angel

Midfield · 3

Midnight LirAlbegoneWee Mary

Hold Up · 3

KomorkisPop StarDandy Dinmont

Lindoro and Digital are the confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead in this 5f sprint. Both natural pace-setters should create an honest gallop from the off, with Digital's experience likely giving him the edge in the early positioning battle. The strong early pace will set up the race for the hold-up horses like Dandy Dinmont, Wee Mary, and Komorkis to close late. This pace dynamic clearly favours the hold-up runners who can conserve energy and benefit from the expected strong gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Early Pace

60% probability

If Lindoro and Digital both break fast and duel for the early lead

The sustained early battle will drain both leaders and create perfect conditions for closers to strike late. Hold-up specialists like Dandy Dinmont and Wee Mary can time their challenges perfectly.

Dandy DinmontWee MaryKomorkisAlbegone

Moderate Honest Gallop

25% probability

If one of Digital or Lindoro establishes an uncontested lead

The lone leader maintains a workable advantage but faces pressure from prominent runners like Get Up Everybody and Ski Angel who can track and pounce. Mid-race positioning becomes crucial.

Get Up EverybodySki AngelDandy DinmontKomorkis

Tactical Slow Start

10% probability

If both front-runners are sluggish from the gates or held up early

The pace becomes messy with prominent runners like Get Up Everybody forced to take up the running earlier than ideal. This suits natural leaders who can quicken off steady fractions.

DigitalLindoroGet Up EverybodySki Angel

Breakaway Leader Scenario

5% probability

If one horse gains a decisive early advantage while others are caught flat-footed

The leader builds an unassailable margin as the field struggles to organize a coherent pursuit. Only horses with natural early speed can capitalize.

DigitalSki AngelGet Up EverybodyLindoro

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Digital and Lindoro must both break alertly or risk compromising the entire pace setup for this race

WATCH

Watch for Dandy Dinmont's early positioning as he needs to avoid being too far back in a potentially slowly-run race

NOTE

Midnight Lir wears first-time blinkers which could dramatically alter his usual hold-up tactics

WATCH

Get Up Everybody's draw and early speed will determine whether he can secure the ideal prominent position

NOTE

Wee Mary's apprentice jockey may struggle with tactical positioning in a potentially messy early pace scenario

3:40 — Andersons - Proudly Local Since 1888 Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Kode Grey to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Muddy Nora and Ghadra led; the map had Kode Grey in front.

Ganthorpe won at 7.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Kode Grey

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 6

Saxon GemMuddy NoraGanthorpeWhat A TahooIndependent AngelGhadra

Hold Up · 3

Saxon GraceOnly Dream BigAuspicious

Kode Grey is the only confirmed front runner and will be allowed to dictate terms from the gates, setting a sustainable pace without early pressure. The field is dominated by hold-up horses (Only Dream Big, Ghadra, Saxon Grace, Ganthorpe, What A Tahoo, Saxon Gem, Muddy Nora, Auspicious, Independent Angel) who will track the early leader through measured fractions. This creates a classic scenario where the pace-setter gets first run while the hold-up brigade must navigate traffic and find racing room in the closing stages. The lack of early pace pressure strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can secure good early position.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Kode Grey Controls Tempo

60% probability

If Kode Grey gets away cleanly and faces no early pressure from the hold-up field.

The Tim Easterby runner dictates comfortable fractions and has enough in reserve to repel late challengers who get caught in traffic. His recent third at Ripon off the same mark confirms he's ready to capitalise on this tactical advantage.

Kode GreyOnly Dream BigWhat A TahooAuspicious

Hold-Up Hero Emerges

25% probability

If the pace proves too slow and allows a strong closer to pick off Kode Grey in the final furlong.

Auspicious or Only Dream Big uses class and recent form to overcome the tactical disadvantage, finding a clear path when it matters. The winner benefits from having more natural ability than the pace-setter.

AuspiciousOnly Dream BigKode GreyWhat A Tahoo

Traffic Chaos Benefits

10% probability

If the large field of hold-up horses creates significant interference in the home straight.

Saxon Grace or What A Tahoo finds a smooth passage through the melee while others get shuffled back or checked. The winner avoids trouble that derails more fancied rivals.

Saxon GraceWhat A TahooGanthorpeKode Grey

Outsider Ambush

5% probability

If the pace collapses completely and allows a lesser-rated horse to steal victory.

Saxon Gem or Ganthorpe benefits from the chaotic finish and basement handicap mark to spring a surprise. The winner gets the perfect run while higher-rated rivals disappoint.

Saxon GemGanthorpeSaxon GraceWhat A Tahoo

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kode Grey must break cleanly to establish his tactical advantage as the only pace-setter

WATCH

Traffic problems developing in the home straight with nine hold-up horses converging simultaneously

NOTE

Only Dream Big stumbled badly last time but finished strongly when clear, watch for repeat interference

NOTE

What A Tahoo building on recent Ripon third, needs to confirm that career-best effort wasn't a fluke

WATCH

Auspicious carrying 3lb penalty for Redcar win, higher weight could blunt finishing kick in tight finish

4:10 — andersonslimited.co.uk Handicap

1m3f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Taylormade Lad likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Alpine Sierra and Taylormade Lad led, as the map showed.

Alpine Sierra won at 2.10 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Taylormade Lad

Prominent · 1

Alpine Sierra

Midfield · 3

NaturaliaHimselfFallons First

Hold Up · 2

Sweet KissRavenscraig Castle

Taylormade Lad and Alpine Sierra will set a measured gallop from the front, with both horses comfortable in prominent positions over this staying trip. The four hold-up horses (Naturalia, Ravenscraig Castle, Sweet Kiss, Himself) will track behind in the small field, creating a bunched affair. Alpine Sierra's recent front-running success suggests he may dictate from the front if Taylormade Lad settles more prominently. This sustainable pace over 1m3f on good ground strongly favours the prominent runners who can control their own destiny and avoid traffic problems.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Alpine Sierra Leads Throughout

45% probability

If Alpine Sierra employs the same front-running tactics that brought recent wins at Hamilton and Musselburgh.

He can dictate the fractions and has shown he stays well when allowed his own way. The hold-up horses will find it difficult to peg back a horse in such good form over this trip.

Alpine SierraTaylormade LadNaturaliaSweet Kiss

Prominent Pair Duel

30% probability

If both Taylormade Lad and Alpine Sierra go forward together and engage in a pace battle.

This creates the perfect setup for one of the hold-up horses to strike late down the outside. Naturalia's second at Catterick over 1m4f suggests she handles this trip well when getting the right race shape.

NaturaliaSweet KissAlpine SierraHimself

Taylormade Lad Controls

15% probability

If Taylormade Lad takes over the running while Alpine Sierra settles more prominently behind.

His course and distance win last August gives him a clear edge, and Michael Dods' patient approach with this lightly-raced sort could pay dividends. The hold-up horses may struggle to reach the leaders in time.

Taylormade LadAlpine SierraSweet KissNaturalia

Slow Pace Surprise

10% probability

If both prominent runners settle more conservatively than expected, creating a tactical affair.

This would suit the strongest finisher from the back, with Sweet Kiss having won three times last season when getting the right setup. Himself's AW wins earlier this year show he has a turn of foot when things fall right.

Sweet KissHimselfTaylormade LadFallons First

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Alpine Sierra's early positioning will determine the race shape - if he goes forward like his recent wins, he'll be hard to peg back.

WATCH

Watch Taylormade Lad's settling - if he races keenly early on this return to his winning track, it could compromise his finishing kick.

NOTE

Sweet Kiss may need this longer trip after her comeback run over 1m3f, but Jake Dickson's 7lb claim makes her interesting on her best form.

WATCH

The small field of seven could create traffic problems for the four hold-up horses if the pace is slow.

NOTE

Naturalia drops 3lb from her last handicap mark and showed her best form comes over these longer distances on good ground.

4:45 — Hoover - Performance That Lasts Handicap (Div I)

7f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Pallas Lord to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Glorious Kitty and Singoura and She's A Goldigger led; the map had Pallas Lord in front.

Glorious Kitty won at 3.25 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Pallas Lord

Prominent · 2

Glorious KittyFinn Ironside

Midfield · 4

Sir DavidKing SharjaNo Nay NevermindShe's A Goldigger

Hold Up · 3

SingouraValentine CatcherRory's Gold

Pallas Lord will take the field along from the front with minimal pressure, as the only confirmed front-runner in this field. Finn Ironside and Glorious Kitty may sit prominent but neither has early pace to challenge Pallas Lord's lead. The pace will be steady and sustainable through the early furlongs, setting up a finish where positioning matters more than raw pace. This tactical scenario strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late runs, as they'll get the perfect tempo to unleash finishing kicks in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Comfortable Front Running

45% probability

If Pallas Lord gets an uncontested lead and maintains rhythm

The veteran gets first run on his rivals turning for home and proves hard to peg back on ground that suits. His 1-1 course record and recent close third at Hamilton suggest he can sustain the gallop.

Pallas LordKing SharjaGlorious KittyFinn Ironside

Late Charge Succeeds

30% probability

If the pace stays steady and hold-up horses get clear runs

The lack of early pace allows closers to position perfectly and unleash telling late runs. Singoura's recent good form and King Sharja's narrow Southwell defeat suggest both have the finishing kick.

SingouraValentine CatcherKing SharjaSir David

Prominent Pair Strike

15% probability

If Finn Ironside or Glorious Kitty can press forward early

Either prominent runner gets into an ideal stalking position behind Pallas Lord and times their challenge to perfection. Glorious Kitty's recent win shows confidence while Finn Ironside ran well at Doncaster.

Glorious KittyFinn IronsidePallas LordSingoura

Pace Collapses

10% probability

If Pallas Lord goes too slowly or stops quickly

The sedate gallop becomes a sprint finish where the best handicapped horses prevail regardless of position. This brings several runners into contention including those dropping down in class.

King SharjaSingouraValentine CatcherGlorious Kitty

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pallas Lord could get too easy a lead early if Finn Ironside and Glorious Kitty fail to press forward

WATCH

Glorious Kitty drops back in trip after winning over a mile which may not suit her rhythm

NOTE

King Sharja represents value given his narrow recent defeat and favorable handicap mark

WATCH

Several hold-up horses including Valentine Catcher and No Nay Nevermind face traffic concerns in running

NOTE

Weather conditions remain good across the card suggesting no significant ground changes expected

5:15 — Hoover - Performance That Lasts Handicap (Div II)

7f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Carolus Magnus likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

El Pinto led; the map had Carolus Magnus in front.

The Gay Blade won at 13.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Carolus Magnus

Prominent · 2

El PintoThe Gay Blade

Midfield · 3

Ziggy's AngelEmerald ArmyDoon The Glen

Hold Up · 3

Kings MerchantJet WarriorJamaican Storm

Carolus Magnus will control affairs from the front with The Gay Blade and El Pinto likely tracking close behind in the early stages. With only one confirmed front-runner in a field of nine, Carolus Magnus can dictate a measured tempo without serious pressure through the first half of this 7f contest. The pace is likely to be sustainable rather than fierce, creating a scenario where the field remains bunched turning for home. This setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, as the modest early gallop will leave them with plenty to aim at in the final two furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Carolus Magnus sets an uncontested lead with modest fractions

The field will be tightly bunched entering the straight, allowing late-runners to unleash finishing kicks against horses who've done more early work. Jet Warrior and Emerald Army are perfectly positioned to exploit this tactical advantage.

Jet WarriorEmerald ArmyKings MerchantJamaican Storm

Prominent Runners Control

25% probability

If The Gay Blade or El Pinto press Carolus Magnus early

The increased tempo will stretch the field and tire the hold-up horses, making it difficult for back-markers to close the gap. Carolus Magnus benefits from his proven ability to handle pressure while maintaining his position.

Carolus MagnusThe Gay BladeEl PintoDoon The Glen

Front-Runner Wire Job

12% probability

If Carolus Magnus gets completely uncontested fractions

He can save enough energy to resist late challenges, particularly given his strong recent form and trip suitability. The 8-year-old's experience becomes crucial in judging pace and timing his effort.

Carolus MagnusZiggy's AngelThe Gay BladeEmerald Army

Pace Collapse Sprint

8% probability

If all prominent runners go too slowly early

The race becomes a sprint from the 3f marker where sharp acceleration matters most. Doon The Glen's sprint speed and Jet Warrior's recent winning form become decisive factors.

Doon The GlenJet WarriorEmerald ArmyKings Merchant

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Jet Warrior running on one day's rest could indicate either supreme confidence or desperation from connections

WATCH

The Gay Blade bled at Ayr last time which may compromise breathing and stamina at crucial moments

NOTE

Carolus Magnus needs to break cleanly to establish his preferred front-running position without early pressure

WATCH

Emerald Army represents Ruth Carr stable that had a well-fancied runner beat him narrowly last time at same track

NOTE

Kings Merchant drops significantly in grade but 18-day gap questions immediate sharpness

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 29 May 2026.

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