Archive›Catterick · 22 April 2026

Catterick

22 April 2026 · 7 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

1:52 — racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Birkenhead likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Birkenhead led, as the map showed.

Lucius Aurelius won at 6.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Birkenhead

Prominent · 3

Miss RainbowFortunate StarLucius Aurelius

Midfield · 3

BarmybladeLet's Go HugoJamie's Choice

Hold Up · 3

Tuscan PointTommy McJohnNacho Nacho Nacho

Birkenhead is the only confirmed front runner in this field and should get an uncontested lead with the prominent runners Miss Rainbow, Lucius Aurelius and Fortunate Star likely to sit just behind rather than challenge early. The majority of the field are hold-up horses including Nacho Nacho Nacho, Tommy McJohn, Let's Go Hugo, Tuscan Point, Jamie's Choice and Barmyblade, which means limited early pressure on the pace. With one leader and a bunched field behind over this sharp 5f at Catterick, the race sets up perfectly for the front runner and prominent racers who can avoid traffic problems. This tactical scenario strongly favours early pace and prominent runners who can secure good positions from the start.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner Dominance

45% probability

If Birkenhead gets away cleanly and dictates fractions without pressure

The 9-year-old can use his experience to control the race from the front while the hold-up horses get caught in traffic behind. Miss Rainbow and Fortunate Star can track the leader and benefit from the honest pace but Birkenhead's course form gives him the edge.

BirkenheadMiss RainbowFortunate StarLucius Aurelius

Prominent Tracker Success

30% probability

If Miss Rainbow or Fortunate Star can sit perfectly behind Birkenhead then quicken

The C&D winners can use their local knowledge and sit in the slipstream before pouncing late when the leader tires. Their recent form edge over the veteran front runner should tell in a driving finish.

Miss RainbowFortunate StarBirkenheadLucius Aurelius

Hold-Up Horse Late Surge

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and allows the back markers time to organize

Tuscan Point or Nacho Nacho Nacho could benefit from their recent winning form if they get clear runs through. The lighter weights on some hold-up horses like Jamie's Choice could also count if traffic clears.

Tuscan PointNacho Nacho NachoTommy McJohnLet's Go Hugo

Outsider Ambush

10% probability

If the favorites get compromised by pace or positioning issues

Barmyblade showed C&D winning form last spring and could surprise at big odds if Tim Easterby has him ready. Tommy McJohn brings Irish form and the blinkers that helped him win his nursery.

BarmybladeTommy McJohnLet's Go HugoJamie's Choice

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Birkenhead breaking slowly would eliminate the main pace angle and create chaos in a field full of hold-up horses

WATCH

Traffic problems developing in the final furlong as nine hold-up horses try to find room behind limited early pace

NOTE

Miss Rainbow and Fortunate Star both raced here recently so watch for any jarring up or fitness concerns in preliminaries

WATCH

Tommy McJohn and Nacho Nacho Nacho both return from lengthy breaks which is risky over this minimum trip

NOTE

Tuscan Point carrying a 10lb penalty from his recent win but talented 3lb claimer Taryn Langley offsets some of that burden

2:22 — Bet At racingtv.com Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Victor Cee to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Naana's Shadow led; the map had Victor Cee in front.

Naana's Shadow won at 4.50 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Victor Cee

Prominent · 3

Naana's ShadowCome On OverSoca Star

Midfield · 2

Peggy BooRotokura Belle

Hold Up · 2

Paroda DivaMoretons

Victor Cee is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 8-runner field and will dictate proceedings from stall to finish without serious pace pressure. The prominent runners Soca Star, Naana's Shadow, Rotokura Belle, and Come On Over will track behind but none are natural gate speed merchants who will press early. This creates a moderate tempo where Victor Cee can control fractions through measured splits before the field closes late. This race shape clearly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can position close to the pace, as hold-up horses will face a difficult task making up ground against runners already handy to Victor Cee's sustainable gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Victor Cee Leads

45% probability

If Victor Cee breaks cleanly and settles into an easy rhythm without early harassment from the prominent pack

Victor Cee gets soft sectionals and kicks clear in the straight while the prominent runners struggle to reel him back from their tracking positions. The lack of early pace pressure allows him to save energy for a decisive move.

Victor CeeRotokura BelleNaana's ShadowSoca Star

Prominent Duel Develops

30% probability

If two or more of Soca Star, Naana's Shadow, Rotokura Belle press Victor Cee from the gates creating genuine pace pressure

The increased tempo suits runners with tactical speed who can sit closer than usual, with Rotokura Belle and Naana's Shadow having the recent form edge to capitalize. Victor Cee may crack under sustained pressure having been off for 106 days.

Rotokura BelleNaana's ShadowCome On OverSoca Star

Late Closer Emerges

15% probability

If the moderate pace sets up perfectly for hold-up horses to unleash sustained finishing kicks in the final two furlongs

Paroda Diva and Moretons benefit from the patient ride as the early leaders wilt, though they still face the challenge of covering significant ground. The 5f trip demands they begin their moves earlier than ideal.

Paroda DivaCome On OverMoretonsNaana's Shadow

Messy Start Scramble

10% probability

If Victor Cee misses the break or gets caught wide, creating early positional chaos among the prominent runners

The race loses its tactical structure with multiple horses fighting for the lead, leading to a faster early pace that could set up an unlikely winner. Form horses may not handle the scrimmaging.

Come On OverPeggy BooMoretonsSoca Star

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Victor Cee breaking slowly or getting caught wide would destroy the entire pace scenario and create tactical chaos

WATCH

Watch if any of the prominent quartet Soca Star, Naana's Shadow, Rotokura Belle decide to press Victor Cee early and create genuine pace pressure

NOTE

Monitor how quickly Paroda Diva and Moretons begin their closing moves as 5f leaves minimal time for hold-up tactics to develop

WATCH

Rotokura Belle breaking from stall 8 again could cause positioning issues despite overcoming wide draw when winning here recently

NOTE

Peggy Boo's undefined running style makes her positioning crucial to determine if she races prominently or from behind

2:52 — Download The Raceday Ready App Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

1m4f · Good · CLS4 · 5 runners

Lead contested: Lord v Mythical ValentineHISTORIC

How it ran

Lord led, as the map showed.

Cranachan won at 1.80 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

LordMythical Valentine

Prominent · 1

Cranachan

Midfield · 1

Tide Lines

Hold Up · 1

King Of Roses

Lord and Mythical Valentine will set the early pace in this small field, with both having confirmed front-running tendencies. Cranachan will sit prominently just behind the leaders, while King Of Roses and Tide Lines are likely to settle further back. The modest pace from two leaders over 1m4f should create an honest gallop without being overly strong early. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and closers, as the pace-setters may soften each other up and become vulnerable in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Tracker Pounces

45% probability

If Cranachan can track the pace without being drawn into early battles

The Ralph Beckett runner showed significant improvement last time at this trip and can exploit tired leaders. His prominent style is perfectly suited to pick off weakening front-runners Lord and Mythical Valentine.

CranachanKing Of RosesMythical ValentineLord

Late Closer Strikes

30% probability

If King Of Roses can overcome his poor debut and lengthy absence

The hold-up runner benefits from the pace battle ahead and his German form suggests better ability than shown at Ayr. His style is ideally suited to a race where the early pace will set it up for closers.

King Of RosesTide LinesCranachanMythical Valentine

Front Runner Survives

15% probability

If Lord can dictate terms and see off Mythical Valentine early

The German import has winning form at similar trips and may have too much class for this field. His front-running style succeeds if he can establish a clear lead and maintain it.

LordMythical ValentineCranachanKing Of Roses

Pace Collapse Benefits Outsider

10% probability

If both leaders go too fast early and come back dramatically

Tide Lines gets the perfect setup as a lightly-raced runner with unknown ability but potential upside. The Charlie Johnston stable angle and fresh legs could prove decisive in a slowly-run finish.

Tide LinesKing Of RosesCranachanLord

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lord and Mythical Valentine could set unsustainable fractions if they engage in early speed duel

WATCH

King Of Roses faces significant fitness test returning after seven months off following poor debut

NOTE

Cranachan carries momentum from improved Kempton effort where he narrowly failed at this distance

WATCH

Tide Lines represents unknown quantity but Charlie Johnston's 2/38 record suggests confidence needed

NOTE

Good going throughout the card should suit all runners with no obvious surface concerns

3:22 — EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

7f · Good · NOV · 7 runners

Got The Booty to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Stella Lucente led; the map had Got The Booty in front.

Borjina won at 1.44 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Got The Booty

Prominent · 3

Le PuyStella LucenteBorjina

Midfield · 1

Soda

Hold Up · 2

Enduring StoryCotai Starlight

Got The Booty will lead this small field from the start, with no other natural front-runners to challenge her early dominance. Le Puy, Borjina and Stella Lucente are likely to settle in behind the leader in a compact group, while hold-up horses Enduring Story and Cotai Starlight will track from the rear. The lack of early pace pressure means Got The Booty can dictate fractions and kick for home when ready. This tactical setup strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can position close to the pace, as the hold-up horses will struggle to make up ground in a slowly-run race with limited pace collapse.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leader Dominates Throughout

45% probability

If Got The Booty faces minimal early pressure and controls the tempo

She can dictate comfortable fractions and have enough left to resist late challenges. The prominent runners will be close enough but the leader's tactical advantage proves decisive.

Got The BootyStella LucenteBorjinaLe Puy

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If the early pace becomes slightly stronger with multiple horses tracking close

This creates a more even tempo that allows the prominent runners to stay within striking distance and time their challenges perfectly. Stella Lucente's recent form edge gives her the advantage in a tactical finish.

Stella LucenteBorjinaGot The BootyLe Puy

Pace Collapse Favours Closers

15% probability

If Got The Booty goes too slowly early and the field bunches up turning for home

The hold-up horses get their preferred scenario with a sprint finish from the back. Enduring Story's higher rating becomes relevant despite recent poor form.

Enduring StoryCotai StarlightStella LucenteGot The Booty

Newcomer Spring Surprise

10% probability

If Soda shows significantly more ability than her breeding suggests on debut

Her fresh legs and unknown quantity factor could prove decisive against more exposed rivals. The lack of early pace suits a newcomer who can position anywhere.

SodaStella LucenteGot The BootyBorjina

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Got The Booty is non-runner despite being listed, completely changes the pace dynamic if confirmed out

WATCH

Borjina returns from 209 days off but stable running at 25% strike-rate, fitness could be sharp

NOTE

Soda makes debut for in-form Gemma Tutty yard, market support would indicate above-average ability

WATCH

Enduring Story has been well-beaten in both runs this year, turf switch may not solve obvious problems

NOTE

Stella Lucente drops to fillies-only company after two good seconds in mixed maidens

3:52 — Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Vince Le Prince likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Tattie Bogle led; the map had Vince Le Prince in front.

Evocative Spark won at 4.33 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Vince Le Prince

Prominent · 2

Tattie BogleAsian Journey

Midfield · 3

Crocodile PowerSimply BlueRoundhay Park

Hold Up · 3

JenniHabrdiEvocative Spark

Vince Le Prince will take the field along from the front with Asian Journey and Tattie Bogle likely to track him in the early stages, creating a moderate gallop rather than fierce pressure. The pace should be sustainable through the middle stages before quickening from 2f out as the hold-up horses make their moves. With six of nine runners showing hold-up tendencies including recent C&D winner Evocative Spark, this race shape strongly favours closers who can deliver late kicks. The early leaders will face a wall of horses coming from behind in the final two furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horse Dominance

65% probability

If the pace stays moderate and the field bunches up turning for home

The sustainable gallop allows the six hold-up runners to close strongly, with superior finishing kicks deciding the outcome. Evocative Spark, Habrdi and Simply Blue benefit most from this tactical setup.

Evocative SparkHabrdiSimply BlueRoundhay Park

Front Runner Survives

20% probability

If Vince Le Prince faces minimal early pressure and gets soft fractions

The uncontested leader maintains enough in reserve to hold off late challengers, particularly given his proven C&D form. Asian Journey could also benefit from tracking the winner throughout.

Vince Le PrinceAsian JourneyTattie BogleEvocative Spark

Prominent Tracker Strikes

10% probability

If Asian Journey or Tattie Bogle position perfectly behind Vince Le Prince

The patient prominent runners avoid the late traffic problems that may hamper the hold-up brigade while having enough left to pass the leader. This tactical position proves optimal in a bunched finish.

Asian JourneyTattie BogleVince Le PrinceEvocative Spark

Pace Collapse Chaos

5% probability

If Vince Le Prince goes too slow early then the field sprints from 3f out

The suddenly fierce tempo favours only the freshest horses with natural speed, creating an upset result. Roundhay Park's 176-day break could prove advantageous in these circumstances.

Roundhay ParkSimply BlueCrocodile PowerJenni

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Evocative Spark faces 4lb rise but won this race two weeks ago using identical hold-up tactics against Vince Le Prince

WATCH

Vince Le Prince could face severe tactical disadvantage with six hold-up horses targeting him in the closing stages

NOTE

Asian Journey and Tattie Bogle's early positioning behind the leader will determine if they avoid late traffic problems

WATCH

Simply Blue stepping up from 6f winning trip but James Owen's 5/48 record suggests each runner needs close scrutiny

NOTE

Jenni returns from longest absence in field at 190 days but has two previous wins at this 7f trip on turf

4:25 — Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Rosenpur to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Rosenpur led, as the map showed.

Aberama Gold won at 2.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Rosenpur

Prominent · 2

No ReturnYorkshire Glory

Midfield · 1

Dorney Lake

Hold Up · 2

VingegaardAberama Gold

Rosenpur is the sole confirmed front runner and will be allowed to bowl along at a comfortable tempo from the gates. No Return and Yorkshire Glory can sit prominent but neither has the pace to pressure Rosenpur early, creating a dream scenario for the leader. The four hold-up horses (Aberama Gold, Dorney Lake, Vingegaard) will be bunched at the back relying on a strong finish. This sustainable pace heavily favours front runners and prominent racers who can avoid the traffic problems that will engulf the hold-up brigade.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Rosenpur Leads Throughout

60% probability

If Rosenpur gets an uncontested lead as expected

George Wood can dictate fractions and kick clear turning for home while the hold-up horses are still finding racing room. His left-handed track form and 170-day break become positives in this tactical setup.

RosenpurNo ReturnYorkshire GloryAberama Gold

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If No Return or Yorkshire Glory can sit close enough to pounce

The prominent pair avoid the inevitable traffic jam behind while staying within striking distance of Rosenpur's sustainable gallop. Yorkshire Glory's recent Newcastle success suggests he can handle this tactical scenario despite the turf return.

Yorkshire GloryNo ReturnRosenpurDorney Lake

Hold-Up Horse Storms Home

12% probability

If the pace collapses completely and racing room appears late

Aberama Gold or Dorney Lake find clear water in the final furlong when the leaders tire. However, this requires perfect passage and a complete pace collapse that seems unlikely given the tactical makeup.

Aberama GoldDorney LakeVingegaardRosenpur

Complete Pace Collapse

3% probability

If all runners go steady from the start creating chaos

The race becomes a messy sprint where any horse can win depending purely on luck in running. This scenario requires Rosenpur to go slow early which contradicts his natural front-running style.

VingegaardYorkshire GloryNo ReturnDorney Lake

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Rosenpur getting loose on the front end - if he's 3+ lengths clear at halfway he may prove unbeatable

WATCH

Yorkshire Glory's turf form translating from his winter AW dominance - surface switch is the key question

WATCH

Traffic problems for the hold-up quartet in a small field where racing room will be at a premium

NOTE

No Return's recent form dip continuing or bouncing back to his early season Lingfield promise

NOTE

Vingegaard's first-time blinkers sparking improvement after three modest comeback runs

5:00 — Racing Again 11th May Handicap

1m6f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Free Pic likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Nakatomi led; the map had Free Pic in front.

Free Pic won at 1.83 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Free Pic

Prominent · 1

Nakatomi

Midfield · 4

InletRock ArmourRegal GloryRajawail

Hold Up · 2

StellarmasterpieceArctic Fox

Free Pic and Nakatomi are the only prominent runners in this small field, with Free Pic likely to set the tempo having shown clear front-running tendencies and coming off a confidence-boosting win. With six of eight runners carrying hold-up styles, there will be minimal early pressure allowing Free Pic to dictate comfortable fractions through the early stages. The large contingent of hold-up horses including Stellarmasterpiece, Arctic Fox, Rock Armour, Inlet, Regal Glory and Rajawail will create a bunched field turning for home before the typical late charge unfolds. This race shape clearly favours horses with proven finishing kicks and hold-up tactics, as they'll benefit from the modest early pace and have optimal conditions to unleash their turn of foot.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Brigade Strikes

65% probability

If Free Pic sets uncontested fractions and the hold-up horses get the perfect setup they crave

The large pack of hold-up runners will have ideal conditions to time their challenges, with the moderate early pace suiting closers perfectly. Stellarmasterpiece and Arctic Fox are best positioned to capitalize with their proven course form and finishing ability.

StellarmasterpieceArctic FoxRock ArmourRegal Glory

Free Pic Steals It

20% probability

If Free Pic gets away with very soft fractions and kicks again when the field comes to him

His recent winning form suggests confidence is high and minimal early pressure could allow him to have enough left for the finish. The lack of other genuine pace angles gives him every chance to control the race on his terms.

Free PicNakatomiStellarmasterpieceRock Armour

Traffic Chaos Benefits Closer

10% probability

If the large hold-up contingent creates a wall of horses and blocks several fancied runners

With so many horses needing room to maneuver late, some will get better passages than others through the pack. An unfancied hold-up horse like Rock Armour could benefit from a cleaner run while others struggle for racing room.

Rock ArmourInletRegal GloryArctic Fox

Nakatomi Prominent Play

5% probability

If Nakatomi goes more aggressively early to support Free Pic and creates genuine pressure

This would create a stronger pace that could set up the race for the fastest finisher among the hold-up horses. However, Nakatomi lacks the class to sustain this role effectively given his maiden status.

Arctic FoxStellarmasterpieceFree PicRock Armour

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Free Pic could steal this if he gets uncontested fractions early with no other genuine pace pressures

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems in the home straight with six hold-up horses likely to be bunched together seeking room

WATCH

Arctic Fox's fitness after 176-day layoff could be crucial given his prominent claims on paper

NOTE

Stellarmasterpiece's stamina for 1m6f needs monitoring as both previous course efforts at this trip saw her fade

NOTE

Monitor early positioning of Nakatomi to see if he takes a more aggressive role to support Free Pic's pace

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 22 April 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →