Archive›Catterick · 30 May 2026

Catterick

30 May 2026 · 7 races

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1:55 — Pennine Brewing Company Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Good · NOV · 6 runners

Skip To Victory to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Vinciamo led; the map had Skip To Victory in front.

Forest Phoenix won at 11.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Skip To Victory

Prominent · 2

VinciamoStoneacre Joe

Midfield · 1

Aurora's Doublesix

Hold Up · 2

Forest PhoenixGwen Tennyson

Skip To Victory will take the field along from the front with no other confirmed pace-setters in this 6-runner field. Vinciamo and Stoneacre Joe will sit prominent behind the leader, while Forest Phoenix, Gwen Tennyson and Aurora's Doublesix are all hold-up horses who need to come from behind. With only one front runner and three hold-up horses, this creates a moderate early pace that should quicken significantly in the final 2f. This race shape strongly favors prominent runners who can track Skip To Victory and kick clear when the pace lifts, as the hold-up horses face a tactical disadvantage with limited early pace to aim at.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

65% probability

If Skip To Victory sets sustainable fractions without pressure from other pace-setters

Vinciamo and Stoneacre Joe get perfect trips tracking the leader and have too much tactical speed for the hold-up brigade when the pace quickens. The three hold-up horses struggle to make up ground against runners with better positions.

VinciamoStoneacre JoeSkip To VictoryForest Phoenix

Skip To Victory Wire-To-Wire

20% probability

If Skip To Victory's all-weather speed translates effectively to turf on debut

The front runner gets away with soft fractions early and has enough left to resist the late challengers in a race that suits her confirmed pace-setting style. Her 5f specialization gives her an edge over rivals stepping back in trip.

Skip To VictoryVinciamoStoneacre JoeForest Phoenix

Tactical Collapse Benefits Closers

10% probability

If Skip To Victory goes too fast early or fades dramatically on turf debut

The pace becomes genuinely strong or the leader stops badly, creating gaps for the hold-up horses to exploit in the final furlong. Forest Phoenix and the other closers suddenly have something to aim at.

Forest PhoenixGwen TennysonSkip To VictoryVinciamo

Stoneacre Joe Bounces Back

5% probability

If Stoneacre Joe's Haydock flop was purely ground-related and he returns to Doncaster form

The Tim Easterby runner settles better than expected and uses his proven 6f ability to outfinish rivals when stepped back to 5f. His recent good-ground form gives him an edge over the 5f specialists.

Stoneacre JoeVinciamoSkip To VictoryForest Phoenix

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Skip To Victory could get easy lead and soft fractions with no other pace pressure, making her very hard to peg back

WATCH

Forest Phoenix, Gwen Tennyson and Aurora's Doublesix all need hold-up rides but may lack sufficient early pace to target

NOTE

Stoneacre Joe needs to bounce back quickly from disappointing Haydock effort just 9 days ago

WATCH

Vinciamo returns from 51-day break with headgear change, fitness levels uncertain despite good recent work

NOTE

Three Tim Easterby/Dylan Cunha trained runners suggest tactical pace battle between connections

2:27 — Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Lead contested: I'm Dan Dare v FlybarHISTORIC

How it ran

I'm Dan Dare led, as the map showed.

I'm Dan Dare won at 3.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

I'm Dan DareFlybar

Prominent · 4

Sea Her ExcelWith GloryMoretonsHavin A Flyer

Midfield · 1

You Mystify Me

Hold Up · 3

O FortunaPowernapTanaka

Flybar and I'm Dan Dare will ensure a strong gallop from the gates in this 5f sprint, with both confirmed early leaders likely to dispute the pace through the opening two furlongs. Six horses want prominent positions (Havin A Flyer, Moretons, With Glory, Sea Her Excel, You Mystify Me joining the leaders), creating significant congestion and tactical pressure approaching the final furlong. The hold-up horses O Fortuna, Powernap and Tanaka face a tough task from the rear given the likely honest pace and short trip. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can secure good early position without getting embroiled in the early speed battle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

65% probability

If the early leaders Flybar and I'm Dan Dare set sensible fractions without killing each other

The prominent pack can settle nicely behind the pace-setters and strike approaching the final furlong when the leaders tire. Horses like You Mystify Me and Moretons are perfectly positioned to capitalize with their tactical speed.

You Mystify MeMoretonsI'm Dan DareWith Glory

Leaders Survive

20% probability

If Flybar and I'm Dan Dare share the early work and one kicks clear at the right moment

The winner comes from the front with tactical nous, taking advantage of fitness or class to hold off the prominent challengers. I'm Dan Dare's recent near-miss at Redcar suggests he's ready to strike.

I'm Dan DareFlybarYou Mystify MeMoretons

Hold-Up Surprise

10% probability

If the early pace is genuinely strong and the leaders/prominent pack tie up badly

The hold-up horses get a perfect setup with a collapse in front, allowing O Fortuna or Powernap to sweep through late. This requires the front group to go too fast early.

O FortunaPowernapTanakaSea Her Excel

Pace Meltdown

5% probability

If Flybar and I'm Dan Dare engage in a sustained speed duel from the start

The entire field comes back to the closers as the early pace proves suicidal, creating opportunities for any horse with late kick. Even Tanaka could benefit from this chaos scenario.

TanakaO FortunaPowernapYou Mystify Me

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for scrimmaging behind Flybar and I'm Dan Dare if six prominent runners bunch together approaching the two-furlong pole

WATCH

Monitor I'm Dan Dare for signs of rustiness given recent yard change and whether cheekpieces again spark improvement

NOTE

Observe You Mystify Me's early positioning on handicap debut as running style remains unclear from limited form

NOTE

Check if Flybar shows any sharpness after 252-day absence given Hugo Palmer's stable form

WATCH

Watch for Sea Her Excel's pulling tendencies compromising jockey tactics in the prominent positions

2:58 — Download The Raceday Ready App Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Good · CLS4 · 6 runners

Mr Writer likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Gardening led; the map had Mr Writer in front.

Mr Writer won at 1.57 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mr Writer

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 3

Two CommandersBrouhahaGardening

Hold Up · 2

Grasmere BoyPacific Glory

Mr Writer will take this field along from the front as the only confirmed pace-setter, setting what should be a sustainable tempo with no early pressure expected. Two Commanders represents the unknown quantity as a well-bred newcomer who could track the leader, while Grasmere Boy, Brouhaha, Pacific Glory and Gardening will all settle towards the rear given their hold-up styles. With five of six runners preferring to come from behind and only Mr Writer keen to race prominently, this creates a tactical advantage for horses that can sit handy and produce a sustained effort, rather than those needing a furlong to get organized from the back.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Newcomer strikes gold

45% probability

If Two Commanders shows ability on debut and tracks Mr Writer before challenging

The Edward Bethell newcomer gets the perfect tactical trip behind the pace-setter and his superior breeding tells. Hold-up horses find it difficult to make up ground with limited pace to aim at.

Two CommandersMr WriterGrasmere BoyPacific Glory

Standard setter prevails

30% probability

If Mr Writer's class advantage proves decisive despite tactical pressure

The Fanshawe runner controls from the front and has enough in hand to repel Two Commanders' challenge. His proven form at this level gives him the edge over exposed rivals.

Mr WriterTwo CommandersGrasmere BoyBrouhaha

Hold-up surprise

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish

Grasmere Boy or Brouhaha produce late kicks to catch the front pair napping in a messy finish. The lack of early pace allows the hold-up horses to stay in touch longer than expected.

Grasmere BoyBrouhahaMr WriterTwo Commanders

Pace backfires completely

10% probability

If Mr Writer goes too fast early trying to secure his advantage

The front-runner pays for aggressive tactics and weakens badly, allowing any of the hold-up horses to pick up the pieces. Pacific Glory or even Gardening could benefit from a truly-run race.

Pacific GloryGardeningGrasmere BoyBrouhaha

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Two Commanders' market moves will reveal Edward Bethell's confidence in this well-bred newcomer's debut chances

WATCH

Mr Writer's early fractions as he may overdo the front-running tactics if feeling pressure from Two Commanders

NOTE

Grasmere Boy's position turning for home as hold-up horses need to be closer than usual with limited pace

NOTE

Brouhaha's jumping from the stalls after being slowly away on debut at Southwell

WATCH

Pacific Glory and Gardening struggling to get competitive positions if the pace becomes truly pedestrian

3:35 — Netherfield FC Team Of 1990 Handicap

2m · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Tracker Issue likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Tracker Issue and Zephlyn led, as the map showed.

Not So Sobers won at 2.25 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tracker Issue

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 3

ZephlynNot So SobersLillistar

Hold Up · 2

Fleur De MerCaptain Robert

Tracker Issue is the only confirmed front runner in this small field and will be allowed to bowl along at a comfortable tempo without pressure. The hold-up merchants Not So Sobers, Zephlyn, Fleur De Mer, Captain Robert and Lillistar will all settle behind, creating a bunched group tracking the leader. This will produce a slow early pace followed by a sprint finish over the final 3-4 furlongs as the field closes on Tracker Issue. The lack of pace pressure strongly favours hold-up horses with a strong finish who can time their run perfectly in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If Tracker Issue sets a pedestrian pace and the field remains bunched turning for home

The patient hold-up horses will have too much finishing kick for the tiring leader. Zephlyn and Captain Robert, both proven over the trip with good finishing speed, will surge clear in the final furlong.

ZephlynCaptain RobertFleur De MerNot So Sobers

Tracker Issue surprises

20% probability

If Tracker Issue maintains a steady gallop and the hold-up horses leave their run too late

The leader will have enough left in reserve to hold off late challengers who get caught flat-footed. His prominent running style suits the lack of early pace perfectly.

Tracker IssueZephlynCaptain RobertFleur De Mer

Messy sprint finish

10% probability

If multiple hold-up horses make their move simultaneously in the straight creating traffic problems

The finish becomes chaotic with horses getting blocked and hampered, allowing an outsider to slip through. Lillistar or Not So Sobers could benefit from a cleaner passage.

LillistarNot So SobersFleur De MerCaptain Robert

Early pace collapse

5% probability

If Tracker Issue goes too slow and gets swamped early by impatient connections

The race becomes a crawl before exploding into a mad dash, suiting the horse with the best turn of foot. Captain Robert's AW form suggests he has the pace for this scenario.

Captain RobertFleur De MerZephlynNot So Sobers

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tracker Issue could steal this if he gets away with a slow pace and none of the hold-up horses can reel him in

WATCH

Zephlyn's fitness after 58 days off - if fully wound up his course form makes him dangerous but the layoff is significant

NOTE

Captain Robert's turf form as all his recent good runs have been on artificial surfaces at Southwell

NOTE

The pace early on - if it's genuinely slow this becomes a lottery sprint finish where anything can happen

WATCH

Traffic problems in the straight as five hold-up horses will all be making their moves in the same area simultaneously

4:12 — Ann Whitehouse Memorial Veterans' Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Lead contested: Mark's Choice v QuercusHISTORIC

How it ran

Quercus led, as the map showed.

Holbache won at 9.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Mark's ChoiceQuercus

Prominent · 2

HolbacheRamon Di Loria

Midfield · 1

Wen Moon

Hold Up · 2

Good EarthEvocative Spark

Mark's Choice and Quercus are both confirmed front runners who will contest the early lead, with Ramon Di Loria and Holbache sitting prominent just behind. This creates an honest gallop over 6f at Catterick with sustained pressure from the start. The hold-up horses Good Earth, Wen Moon, and Evocative Spark will need to weave through traffic in the final 2f. This race shape clearly favours prominent runners who can track the pace without getting embroiled in the early battle, as the front runners will soften each other up.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Prevail

45% probability

If Ramon Di Loria or Holbache can track the early pace battle without getting drawn in

The front runners will duel and tire, allowing the prominent horses to strike with perfectly timed runs. Ramon Di Loria is back on his last winning mark while Holbache has solid course form at this trip.

Ramon Di LoriaHolbacheEvocative SparkMark's Choice

Hold-Up Artist Strikes

30% probability

If the early pace is truly breakneck between Mark's Choice and Quercus

Good Earth or Evocative Spark can exploit the collapse of the pace battle with late runs. Evocative Spark arrives in red-hot form having won here twice already this season over 7f.

Evocative SparkGood EarthWen MoonRamon Di Loria

Front Runner Survives

15% probability

If Mark's Choice can establish a clear lead over Quercus early

The leader will have enough left to hold off late challenges in a race that doesn't develop the expected pace pressure. Mark's Choice drops 2lb and could find improvement on his first visit to Catterick.

Mark's ChoiceQuercusRamon Di LoriaHolbache

Long Shot Special

10% probability

If the pace completely collapses or the favourites underperform

Wen Moon or a returning Quercus could spring a surprise at bigger odds. Wen Moon has strong good ground form while Quercus loves this course despite recent poor form.

Wen MoonQuercusGood EarthHolbache

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mark's Choice and Quercus both want to lead which could create suicidal fractions over this sharp 6f trip

WATCH

Good Earth may struggle to get competitive position from hold-up style if the pace is only moderate

NOTE

Evocative Spark has won twice here this season but both over 7f so the drop to 6f is an unknown factor

WATCH

Ramon Di Loria returns after 65-day absence which could blunt his finishing kick despite favorable weight

NOTE

Holbache makes course debut after 144-day layoff with inexperienced 5lb claiming jockey taking over

4:43 — Racing TV Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Agric Ranger likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Zoustar Dreams led; the map had Agric Ranger in front.

Zoustar Dreams won at 7.50 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Agric Ranger

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 3

Mademoiselle BellePopulusBattenburg Belle

Hold Up · 2

Zoustar DreamsMereside Spark

Agric Ranger will lead from the gates with no other confirmed pace angles in this field, creating a sustainable tempo that won't stretch the field early. The prominent runner will dictate terms without pressure, allowing the five hold-up horses to track him in a compact group through the early stages. This creates a straightforward tactical race where positioning into the straight becomes crucial, with the pace likely to quicken only in the final two furlongs. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and those who can position close enough to strike, as the lack of early pace will make it difficult for true hold-up horses to close from too far back.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Agric Ranger Controls

45% probability

If Agric Ranger gets an uncontested lead and maintains control of the pace

The Tim Easterby gelding can dictate ideal fractions and prove hard to peg back when the field comes to him in the straight. His prominent style perfectly suits the race shape and his debut effort at Pontefract suggests more improvement to come.

Agric RangerMademoiselle BelleBattenburg BelleZoustar Dreams

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

30% probability

If one of the hold-up horses can get close enough to Agric Ranger turning for home

Mademoiselle Belle or Battenburg Belle could benefit from the sustainable pace if they position within striking distance. The lack of early speed allows them to sit closer than usual and time their challenge perfectly.

Mademoiselle BelleBattenburg BelleAgric RangerPopulus

Pace Collapses Late

15% probability

If Agric Ranger's pace proves too slow and the race becomes a sprint from the three-furlong pole

The field bunches up entering the straight and it becomes about who has the most natural speed in the closing stages. Zoustar Dreams could benefit from a truly-run sprint finish despite her poor recent form.

Zoustar DreamsMereside SparkMademoiselle BelleAgric Ranger

Outsider Emerges

10% probability

If the main fancies fail to fire and the race opens up for an improver

Populus with cheekpieces or Mereside Spark returning from a break could outrun their odds if the pace sets up perfectly. The small field and moderate pace creates opportunities for lesser-fancied runners.

PopulusMereside SparkBattenburg BelleZoustar Dreams

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Agric Ranger breaks slowly or gets headed early, as he's the only natural pace angle and this would completely change the race dynamic

WATCH

Mademoiselle Belle's position turning for home, as she needs to be close enough to strike given the likely lack of strong pace

WATCH

Populus shows early speed despite her hold-up style, as first-time cheekpieces can dramatically change running patterns

NOTE

Battenburg Belle gets a smooth passage through the race, as she's shown her best form when getting clear runs at this distance

NOTE

The overall pace through the first half-mile, as a truly slow tempo could turn this into a pure sprint that suits different profiles

5:17 — Bet At racingtv.com Handicap

1m4f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

La Tosca to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Red Rifle led; the map had La Tosca in front.

Red Rifle won at 13.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

La Tosca

Prominent · 2

MohaassetFavourite Friend

Midfield · 2

Star Of EmeraldEvergreen Emerald

Hold Up · 2

Red RifleGemical

La Tosca will take the field along from the start with no real pace pressure, as the only confirmed front-runner in this small field. Mohaasset and Favourite Friend may sit handy but both are more prominent racers than genuine pace-setters. The sustainable early gallop will create a tactical affair over the final 3f where positioning becomes crucial. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, as they'll benefit from the modest pace and have plenty of cover to launch from.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the pace stays modest throughout and La Tosca maintains control

The lack of early pressure allows closers to get into perfect positions and the race becomes a sprint from 2f out where stamina and late pace matter most.

GemicalStar Of EmeraldRed RifleEvergreen Emerald

La Tosca Stays Clear

25% probability

If La Tosca gets an easy lead and finds extra gears when asked

Her uncontested early advantage becomes decisive as the hold-up horses struggle to peg back her margin despite the slow pace.

La ToscaFavourite FriendMohaassetGemical

Prominent Racers Strike

12% probability

If Mohaasset or Favourite Friend track closer and kick earlier

The handy horses avoid the late traffic that could hinder the hold-up brigade and strike before the closers can wind up.

MohaassetFavourite FriendLa ToscaGemical

Pace Collapse Finish

8% probability

If La Tosca comes back to the field dramatically in the final furlong

The race becomes a sprint where any horse with a turn of foot can win regardless of early position.

Star Of EmeraldRed RifleEvergreen EmeraldGemical

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

La Tosca could get an uncontested lead that proves too valuable given the lack of early pace pressure

WATCH

Star Of Emerald making debut on turf after gelding operation - market support would be significant

WATCH

Gemical's hold-up style perfectly suits the likely pace but needs to show more than previous efforts suggest

NOTE

Favourite Friend switching to blinkers from cheekpieces could spark improvement from prominent position

NOTE

Evergreen Emerald will benefit from the step up in trip but needs dramatic form turnaround to compete

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 30 May 2026.

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