4:20

Archive›Chepstow · 24 April 2026

Chepstow

24 April 2026 · 8 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →
4:20 — Dunraven Windows Miss Millbrook Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m3½f · Soft · NOV · 10 runners
Quay Item likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Piping Rock led; the map had Quay Item in front.

Beau Quali won at 2.10 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Quay Item
Prominent · 3
Piping RockBeau QualiTreasure Planet
Midfield · 3
The Last PromiseVanderflierYellow Warning
Hold Up · 3
Shuil RoccoEquity ReleaseDrumlee Orders
Quay Item is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the start, likely setting a steady, sustainable gallop over this 2m3½f trip on soft ground. With Piping Rock, Beau Quali and Treasure Planet sitting prominently behind the leader, there's enough pace interest to ensure honest fractions without destructive pressure early. The lack of multiple pace-pressers means Quay Item can control the tempo, creating conditions where horses positioned close to the pace can travel smoothly into contention. This tactical setup clearly favors prominent racers and front-runners who can stay in touch without expending excessive energy, while hold-up horses face the challenge of making up significant ground in testing conditions.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Quay Item Controls Tempo
40% probability
If Quay Item is allowed to dictate a comfortable early pace without serious pressure
The Henderson-trained leader can use his proven stamina to kick clear approaching the final flight, with the soft ground suiting his style perfectly. Prominent racers who travel easily behind him will benefit from the honest gallop but may struggle to reel him in up the testing Chepstow hill.
Quay ItemPiping RockTreasure PlanetBeau Quali
B
Prominent Pressure Tells
35% probability
If Piping Rock or Beau Quali apply sustained pressure to Quay Item from the fourth last hurdle
The increased tempo exposes any stamina doubts in the leader while setting up the race for horses with tactical speed who can stay close to the pace. Piping Rock's consistent form figures and Gavin Sheehan's tactical awareness become decisive factors in a battle between the front division.
Piping RockBeau QualiTreasure PlanetQuay Item
C
Hold-Up Challenge Emerges
15% probability
If the early pace becomes too slow and allows a strong finisher to close from off the tempo
Vanderflier or one of the other hold-up horses finds significant improvement from their recent wind surgery or stable switch to mount a late challenge. The soft ground aids their stamina but the sustained nature of Chepstow's finish makes this a difficult task against horses who've traveled smoothly throughout.
VanderflierDrumlee OrdersShuil RoccoYellow Warning
D
Pace Collapses Early
10% probability
If Quay Item fails to handle the soft conditions or makes jumping errors under the 7lb claimer
The race becomes a scramble with no clear pace-setter, potentially suiting an improver like Treasure Planet who can adapt tactically. Paul Nicholls' juvenile has shown progressive tendencies and Harry Cobden can position him to take advantage of any pace disruption.
Treasure PlanetBeau QualiPiping RockVanderflier

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHQuay ItemRPR133Piping RockRPR123Beau QualiRPR131Treasure PlanetRPR117The Last PromiseRPR-Vanderflierp · RPR107Yellow WarningRPR66Shuil RoccoRPR-Equity ReleaseRPR-Drumlee Orderst · RPR-1. Quay Item2. Piping Rock4. Beau Quali3. Treasure Planet5. The Last Promise6. Vanderflier7. Yellow Warning8. Shuil Rocco9. Equity Release10. Drumlee Orders
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Quay Item under the 7lb claimer - any jumping errors or pace misjudgment from the inexperienced rider could collapse the front-running plan entirely
WATCH
Vanderflier's quick return after disappointing efforts - if the wind surgery has worked he could outrun odds from his hold-up position
NOTE
Treasure Planet's jumping - Paul Nicholls juveniles can find significant improvement but hurdles technique will determine if he can capitalize on any pace scenario
NOTE
Early pace development - watch if any of the prominent horses challenge Quay Item early which could set up the race for closers
WATCH
Beau Quali's hurdles record - despite recent seconds his 0-13 stat over obstacles suggests he may find winning difficult even in this moderate contest
4:55 — Sun Trade Windows Final Pride Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
3m2f · Soft · HCAP · 6 runners
Manothepeople likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Inflexible led; the map had Manothepeople in front.

Inflexible won at 2.88 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Manothepeople
Prominent · 1
Charles Ritz
Midfield · 3
Loup De MauldeInflexibleAmateur
Hold Up · 1
Broomfields Cave
Manothepeople is the sole confirmed front runner in this small field and will dictate proceedings from the outset over this stamina-sapping 3m2f trip. Behind him, Inflexible, Loup De Maulde, Charles Ritz and Amateur all show prominent tendencies, creating a bunched group in behind the leader through the early stages. The pace will be measured rather than frantic given Manothepeople's uncontested lead, with the real action delayed until the closing stages as the prominent runners fan out to challenge. This tactical setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can benefit from the steady gallop and finish with one sustained run, making Broomfields Cave's patient style perfectly suited to exploit this race shape.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Uncontested Leader Dominates
45% probability
If Manothepeople gets an easy lead and stays on strongly
The measured pace plays into his stamina strengths and he proves hard to peg back in the closing stages. His course and distance success gives him a significant edge when allowed to dictate terms.
ManothepeopleCharles RitzBroomfields CaveInflexible
B
Hold-Up Horse Swoops Late
35% probability
If the steady pace allows Broomfields Cave to deliver his trademark late run
The patient tactics pay dividends as he storms past tiring leaders in the final furlong. His excellent recent form and proven ability at this level make him the primary beneficiary of a truly-run race.
Broomfields CaveAmateurManothepeopleLoup De Maulde
C
Prominent Tracker Strikes
15% probability
If one of the prominent runners can stay close enough to Manothepeople and outkick him
Inflexible or Charles Ritz use their forward positions to stay in touch before finding extra in the final half-mile. Their proximity to the pace gives them the tactical edge over the hold-up horses.
InflexibleCharles RitzManothepeopleBroomfields Cave
D
Stamina Test Favours Veteran
5% probability
If the soft ground and extended trip becomes a true test of stamina
Amateur's proven ability over longer trips at this course comes to the fore in the closing stages. His multiple Ffos Las victories show he can find extra when the pace becomes searching.
AmateurManothepeopleBroomfields CaveLoup De Maulde

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHManothepeoplep · RPR137Charles RitzRPR134Loup De Mauldetp · RPR140Inflexiblep · RPR140Amateurp · RPR136Broomfields Cavep · RPR1361. Manothepeople2. Charles Ritz5. Loup De Maulde4. Inflexible6. Amateur3. Broomfields Cave
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Manothepeople could get too easy a lead in front with no other natural pace angles in this small field
WATCH
Inflexible's fitness after 16 months off - his Uttoxeter win may not reflect true ability level yet
NOTE
Broomfields Cave's jumping at the last two fences where he can get low when in contention
NOTE
Charles Ritz handling the step up in trip to 3m2f for the first time in his career
WATCH
Amateur's advancing years at 13 making him vulnerable if the pace quickens significantly
5:30 — Braceys My Coranna Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div I)
2m · Soft · CLS4 · 14 runners
Grand Harbour to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Grand Harbour led, as the map showed.

Mariole won at 8.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

4 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Grand Harbour
Prominent · 3
MarioleWhatcombeGood Girl Rachel
Midfield · 6
Queens UpJubertileeCaspadaLakeview LassAngel WaveGo Try
Hold Up · 4
PolemonMy Boy AaronTrapper JohnBoth Of Us
Grand Harbour is the only confirmed front runner in this 14-runner maiden hurdle field, with Good Girl Rachel and Mariole likely to race prominently but neither aggressive pace-setters. This sets up a moderate gallop with Grand Harbour able to dictate terms without pressure, allowing the large pack of hold-up horses including My Boy Aaron, Both Of Us, Polemon and Trapper John to track behind in a bunched field. The lack of early pace will create a tactical affair that builds steadily, likely producing a sprint finish from the final hurdle. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those with tactical speed who can position close enough to strike, rather than pure hold-up horses who need a stronger gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Tactical Sprint Finish
45% probability
If Grand Harbour sets steady fractions and the field remains bunched turning for home
The race becomes a dash from the last hurdle where horses with tactical pace can quicken best. Those positioned prominently or just behind the leaders can strike decisively while pure hold-up horses get caught too far back.
My Boy AaronBoth Of UsGood Girl RachelMariole
B
Sustained Gallop Suits Stayers
25% probability
If Good Girl Rachel or Mariole press Grand Harbour early creating honest pace throughout
The stronger gallop stretches the field and favours those with stamina and finishing kick from off the pace. Hold-up horses get their preferred scenario with more time to wind up their challenges.
PolemonTrapper JohnMy Boy AaronBoth Of Us
C
Front Runner Dominates
20% probability
If Grand Harbour gets completely uncontested lead and finds improvement on hurdle debut
The modest pace allows the leader to save energy early then pull clear when the pressure comes, with soft ground aiding stamina. Prominent runners and those who can track the leader closest have best chance of chasing home.
Grand HarbourGood Girl RachelMarioleMy Boy Aaron
D
Inexperienced Collapses
10% probability
If several of the hurdle debutants and lightly-raced horses make jumping errors or fade dramatically
The race falls apart tactically with fallers and mistakes creating gaps, allowing any horse who jumps fluently and stays on their feet to pick up the pieces. Experience over hurdles becomes the key factor.
My Boy AaronTrapper JohnBoth Of UsPolemon

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHGrand HarbourRPR77MarioleRPR109WhatcombeRPR99Good Girl RachelRPR94Queens UpRPR-Jubertileeh · RPR-CaspadaRPR89Lakeview LassRPR80Angel WaveRPR77Go TryRPR52Polemontp · RPR110My Boy AaronRPR116Trapper JohnRPR110Both Of Ust · RPR1045. Grand Harbour4. Mariole6. Whatcombe3. Good Girl Rachel7. Queens Up8. Jubertilee9. Caspada10. Lakeview Lass11. Angel Wave12. Go Try13. Polemon1. My Boy Aaron14. Trapper John2. Both Of Us
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Grand Harbour could get uncontested lead if no other horse goes forward early, making him very dangerous despite poor hurdle debut
WATCH
My Boy Aaron has been placed three times recently over hurdles and looks the most consistent performer in weak maiden company
WATCH
Both Of Us carries just 150lbs as a four-year-old and represents strong connections despite modest rating
NOTE
Jubertlee makes hurdle debut at age nine from point-to-point racing where recent form suggests ability
NOTE
Several horses including Queens Up and Angel Wave return quickly from poor efforts, suggesting connections expect improvement
6:05 — Braceys My Coranna Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)
2m · Soft · CLS4 · 13 runners
Five Valleys likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Miss Kingston led; the map had Five Valleys in front.

Miss Kingston won at 4.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Five Valleys
Prominent · 4
Cheap SandwichesCalibosOne IslandNowherenearmilan
Midfield · 4
TeletimeLouis Des LandesFootage DetectivesScrumpyjack
Hold Up · 4
MaestrowJust Call Me BuzzAimericMiss Kingston
Five Valleys will look to make the running from the front with One Island and Cheap Sandwiches likely to track closely in prominent positions. The pace should be genuine but not frantic given Five Valleys' tendency to fade suggests he won't go too fast early. With most runners preferring to be held up including Aimeric, Miss Kingston and Just Call Me Buzz, this creates a patient tactical affair where the pace will build gradually. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can position handily and kick when the tempo lifts, rather than hold-up horses who may find too much to do.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent Runners Dominate
55% probability
If Five Valleys sets a steady pace without burning out the field early
The patient tempo allows prominent runners to travel strongly and strike first when the pace quickens approaching the final flight. Hold-up horses struggle to make up the ground as the leaders have saved enough for a sustained finish.
One IslandCheap SandwichesNowherenearmilanCalibos
B
Late Surge Prevails
25% probability
If the early pace becomes too slow and the field bunches up turning for home
A sprint finish develops where horses with the best turn of foot can overcome positioning disadvantages. The patient early fractions allow hold-up horses to get into contention and unleash their finishing kicks.
Miss KingstonAimericJust Call Me BuzzTeletime
C
Five Valleys Wire-to-Wire
12% probability
If Five Valleys finds more stamina than his previous fade suggests and gets loose
His front-running style pays dividends when he can dictate throughout and the field fails to organize an effective pursuit. The honest pace he sets proves just sustainable enough to hold off late challenges.
Five ValleysOne IslandCheap SandwichesNowherenearmilan
D
Market Surprise
8% probability
If one of the lesser-fancied runners finds significant improvement from their debut efforts
The steady pace allows an improving horse to travel within themselves before producing an unexpected late rattle. Previous form proves misleading as jumps racing often reveals hidden ability.
Louis Des LandesScrumpyjackFootage DetectivesMaestrow

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHFive ValleysRPR-Cheap SandwichesRPR-Calibostp · RPR110One Islandt · RPR101NowherenearmilanRPR100TeletimeRPR-Louis Des LandesRPR99Footage Detecti…RPR97ScrumpyjackRPR59MaestrowRPR-Just Call Me Bu…RPR-AimericRPR-Miss KingstonRPR1165. Five Valleys2. Cheap Sandwiches4. Calibos1. One Island3. Nowherenearmilan6. Teletime7. Louis Des Landes8. Footage Detectives9. Scrumpyjack10. Maestrow11. Just Call Me Buzz12. Aimeric13. Miss Kingston
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Five Valleys must be monitored early - if he gets an easy lead and doesn't face pressure, he could steal a march despite his fading tendency
WATCH
Louis Des Landes in the betting ring - any market support suggests connections confident after his early unseating last time
NOTE
Miss Kingston's headgear - any equipment changes could signal trainer's attempt to harness her inconsistent but proven ability
WATCH
One Island's jumping - his hurdles debut saw him drop out tamely so early fluency will be crucial for Nicholls runner
NOTE
Aimeric's positioning - smart Flat horse needs to be handy enough to use his class when the tempo lifts in the straight
6:37 — Dunraven Windows Gats And Co Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
2m · Soft · HCAP · 4 runners
Hypotenus to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Parramount and Hypotenus led, as the map showed.

Torneo won at 1.62 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Hypotenus
Prominent · 2
ParramountBonza Boy
Midfield · 0
None
Hold Up · 1
Torneo
Hypotenus will take this field along from the front with no other confirmed pace-setters in this small field of four. The sole front-runner can dictate terms and set a controlled gallop over two miles on testing ground, unlikely to face early pressure from prominent runners Bonza Boy and Parramount. Torneo as the only hold-up horse faces a tactical disadvantage if the pace becomes pedestrian and he's left with too much to do. This race shape strongly favours front-running and prominent tactics, with Hypotenus able to dominate and the forward-going horses getting first run.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hypotenus Controls Throughout
45% probability
If Hypotenus jumps cleanly and faces no early pressure from the prominent horses
He can dictate ideal fractions and kick clear approaching the last fence when the hold-up horse still has ground to make up. The uncontested lead on testing ground suits his front-running style perfectly.
HypotenusBonza BoyParramountTorneo
B
Prominent Pair Challenge
30% probability
If Bonza Boy and Parramount press Hypotenus earlier than usual to prevent him stealing the race
The increased pace stretches the field and creates gaps for the experienced prominent runners to exploit down the stretch. Torneo's hold-up style becomes even more compromised in a truly-run affair.
Bonza BoyParramountHypotenusTorneo
C
Late Torneo Surge
15% probability
If the pace collapses completely and Torneo gets the slow-run race his style demands
The hold-up horse can use his superior class rating to outfinish tired leaders in the final furlong. His recent jumping errors become less costly in a tactical finish where position matters most.
TorneoHypotenusBonza BoyParramount
D
Parramount Surprise
10% probability
If the veteran's chasing inexperience proves an advantage rather than hindrance in this small field
His fresher legs over fences compared to these seasoned chasers help him find extra in the closing stages. The testing conditions suit his stamina reserves better than his more exposed rivals.
ParramountBonza BoyTorneoHypotenus

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHHypotenust · RPR130Parramounttp · RPR125Bonza Boyp · RPR130TorneoRPR1311. Hypotenus3. Parramount2. Bonza Boy4. Torneo
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch Hypotenus at the first few fences after 64 days off - any early jumping error surrenders his crucial tactical advantage
WATCH
Monitor if Bonza Boy's rightward jumping tendency worsens on the testing ground and disrupts his rhythm
WATCH
Check if Torneo gets squeezed for room in the small field turning for home given his hold-up style needs a clear run
NOTE
Observe whether Parramount's chasing inexperience shows when the pace quickens, having had just one fence start
NOTE
Watch for early pressure on Hypotenus from the prominent horses - any sustained challenge changes the entire complexion
7:07 — Sun Trade Windows Cherry Gold Handicap Hurdle
2m · Soft · HCAP · 5 runners
The Kemble Brewery likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

The Kemble Brewery led, as the map showed.

The Kemble Brewery won at 2.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
The Kemble Brewery
Prominent · 1
American Land
Midfield · 1
Razzle Dazzle Boy
Hold Up · 2
Wreckless EricInside Man
The Kemble Brewery looks the most natural early leader with his prominent style, likely setting a steady tempo without pressure from the small field. Razzle Dazzle Boy and American Land may track closely in second and third, while the hold-up pair Wreckless Eric and Inside Man will settle towards the rear. With only five runners and no confirmed strong pace-pressers, this sets up as a moderate gallop that will quicken from the final flight. This tactical shape strongly favours the prominent racers who can position handy and have something left to kick, rather than hold-up horses who need a strong pace to close into.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent Pair Dominate
45% probability
If The Kemble Brewery sets reasonable fractions without early pressure
The handy runners can conserve energy and outkick the field from ideal positions, with hold-up horses struggling to make up ground in the small field. This tactical setup perfectly suits prominent racers with the class to finish strongly.
The Kemble BreweryRazzle Dazzle BoyAmerican LandWreckless Eric
B
Hold-Up Hero Strikes
25% probability
If the early pace becomes genuinely strong with multiple prominent runners pushing forward
The strong gallop sets up perfectly for a closer to sweep past tired leaders, with Wreckless Eric's class telling late. Inside Man could also benefit if the pace collapse is severe enough for his finishing kick.
Wreckless EricInside ManThe Kemble BreweryAmerican Land
C
American Land's Perfect Storm
20% probability
If the going continues to dry out and he gets an ideal stalking position
His preference for good ground surfaces and his hat-trick winning form comes to the fore in a moderate pace scenario. The 8-year-old's experience could prove decisive in a tactical finish from his prominent position.
American LandThe Kemble BreweryRazzle Dazzle BoyWreckless Eric
D
Razzle Dazzle Breakthrough
10% probability
If his long absence proves no hindrance and he reproduces his C&D seconds form
His proven effectiveness at the track and distance combined with less weight than the top-rated pair could see him capitalize on a moderate pace. The 62-day break might have him fresher than his more recently raced rivals.
Razzle Dazzle BoyInside ManThe Kemble BreweryAmerican Land

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHThe Kemble Brew…tp · RPR133American Landt · RPR128Razzle Dazzle B…RPR130Wreckless Ericp · RPR130Inside ManRPR1311. The Kemble Brewery3. American Land2. Razzle Dazzle Boy4. Wreckless Eric5. Inside Man
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch The Kemble Brewery's early positioning - if he gets an uncontested lead the small field may struggle to peg him back
WATCH
Monitor American Land for signs of struggling on the current going compared to his good ground hat-trick sequence
NOTE
Check if Wreckless Eric gets the strong pace he needs or if the small field creates a tactical disadvantage for hold-up horses
WATCH
Observe Razzle Dazzle Boy for any signs of ring-rust after his 62-day layoff despite his course form
NOTE
Watch for any market moves on Inside Man given his trainer's poor recent 14-day strike rate
7:37 — Dunraven Bowl Pink Eyed Pedro "Grassroots' Open Hunters" Chase
2m7½f · Soft · CLS5 · 7 runners
Yippee Ki Yay to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Yippee Ki Yay and Poppa Poutine led, as the map showed.

Stumps Or Slips won at 1.91 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Yippee Ki Yay
Prominent · 3
Ideal Du TabertPoppa PoutineWindance
Midfield · 1
Important Notice
Hold Up · 2
Stumps Or SlipsPink Eyed Pedro
Yippee Ki Yay will dictate from the front with no genuine pace pressure in this small field. The confirmed leader has shown he can sustain his gallop at Chepstow without being harassed early. Important Notice, Stumps Or Slips and Pink Eyed Pedro will all need cover and a patient ride from off the pace. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, as the sustainable early gallop will set up perfectly for closers to strike in the final half-mile.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Late kick prevails
60% probability
If Yippee Ki Yay sets uncontested fractions and the hold-up horses time their moves perfectly
The leader will weaken approaching the final fence as fresher finishers surge past with superior stamina reserves. Stumps Or Slips and Important Notice benefit most from this patient tactical approach.
Stumps Or SlipsImportant NoticePink Eyed PedroIdeal Du Tabert
B
Front runner stays
25% probability
If Yippee Ki Yay maintains his rhythm and the closers leave their runs too late
The leader's recent form suggests he can sustain his effort over this trip on favorable going. The prominent racers Ideal Du Tabert and Poppa Poutine lack the tactical speed to reel him in.
Yippee Ki YayPoppa PoutineIdeal Du TabertWindance
C
Mid-race pressure builds
10% probability
If the prominent horses Ideal Du Tabert or Poppa Poutine press Yippee Ki Yay earlier than expected
This creates a stop-start gallop that fragments the field and makes timing crucial. The experienced campaigners with tactical nous gain the advantage in a messy finish.
WindancePink Eyed PedroImportant NoticePoppa Poutine
D
Pace collapses completely
5% probability
If Yippee Ki Yay goes too slow early and multiple horses challenge simultaneously turning in
A sprint finish ensues where class and recent form become decisive factors. The highest-rated horses with sharpest preparation hold sway in a bunched finish.
Stumps Or SlipsIdeal Du TabertYippee Ki YayImportant Notice

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHYippee Ki Yayp · RPR123Ideal Du Taberttp · RPR113Poppa Poutinep · RPR-Windancet · RPR98Important Noticet · RPR110Stumps Or SlipsRPR120Pink Eyed Pedrot · RPR1125. Yippee Ki Yay4. Ideal Du Tabert6. Poppa Poutine7. Windance2. Important Notice1. Stumps Or Slips3. Pink Eyed Pedro
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Yippee Ki Yay if he goes too fast early - could capitulate quickly approaching the final fence
WATCH
Important Notice for jumping errors - only 5 days since last run and has been sketchy over fences recently
NOTE
Stumps Or Slips positioning turning in - needs to be within striking distance to unleash his superior finishing kick
WATCH
Poppa Poutine for ring rustiness - 391 days off and unseated last time makes him unpredictable
NOTE
Pink Eyed Pedro's jumping rhythm - the 15-year-old needs to be fluent to compensate for his advancing years
8:07 — Braceys Master Charm Mares' Handicap Hurdle
2m7½f · Soft · HCAP · 7 runners
I Spy A Diva likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kilworth and Slim Marvel led; the map had I Spy A Diva in front.

Roaring Home won at 4.33 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
I Spy A Diva
Prominent · 2
Hard DealtKilworth
Midfield · 2
Slim MarvelLove Me
Hold Up · 2
Star WalkingRoaring Home
I Spy A Diva will take them along at a steady gallop with Hard Dealt, Love Me, Slim Marvel and Kilworth all comfortable tracking in the prominent positions early. The lack of confirmed front runners means the pace will be manageable rather than searching, allowing the field to stay bunched through the middle stages. Star Walking and Roaring Home from the rear will need the pace to collapse or find gaps in the straight. This honest gallop over 2m7½f on testing ground favours the prominent racers who can position handily and kick when it matters rather than hold-up horses needing a strong pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent Power Play
45% probability
If the pace stays steady and the prominent runners control proceedings
I Spy A Diva and Hard Dealt can dictate from the front while Love Me and Kilworth travel smoothly in behind to strike. The manageable gallop allows these handy runners to save energy for a sustained drive up the straight.
Hard DealtLove MeKilworthI Spy A Diva
B
Hold-Up Horse Revival
25% probability
If the early pace quickens unexpectedly or the prominent group go too hard
Star Walking and Roaring Home benefit from a collapse as the front-runners tire on the testing ground. The class of Star Walking particularly shines when others have overdone it early.
Star WalkingRoaring HomeHard DealtLove Me
C
Staying Power Test
20% probability
If the soft ground and 2m7½f trip finds out the less genuine stayers
Love Me's proven stamina and Kilworth's recent Plumpton success over similar conditions give them the edge. The combination of testing ground and extended distance sorts out the true stayers from the rest.
Love MeKilworthI Spy A DivaStar Walking
D
Long Shot Surprise
10% probability
If the market leaders fail to handle the conditions or underperform
Slim Marvel or Roaring Home capitalize on a weak renewal where the favorites disappoint. Either could benefit from a tactical race where positioning matters more than raw ability.
Slim MarvelRoaring HomeLove MeHard Dealt

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHI Spy A DivaRPR123Hard DealtRPR122KilworthRPR121Slim MarvelRPR121Love Met · RPR124Star Walkingt · RPR125Roaring HomeRPR1244. I Spy A Diva1. Hard Dealt3. Kilworth5. Slim Marvel2. Love Me6. Star Walking7. Roaring Home
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Star Walking carrying 170lbs at top of handicap could struggle to concede weight to in-form rivals
WATCH
Love Me's tongue tie first-time application suggests breathing issues that need monitoring throughout
WATCH
I Spy A Diva returning after 113-day break may need the run despite trainer's decent strike rate
NOTE
Roaring Home's recent poor form on sound surfaces could reverse on preferred testing conditions
NOTE
Hard Dealt running just one day after last outing could indicate trainer confidence or desperation

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 24 April 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →