Archive›Chepstow · 6 June 2026

Chepstow

6 June 2026 · 8 races

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5:10 — Michael Maine Memorial Cup Handicap

5f · Soft · HCAP · 9 runners

So Smart likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Pearl's Edge led; the map had So Smart in front.

Fletcher's Flight won at 21.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

So Smart

Prominent · 2

Call TimeMacarone

Midfield · 3

Son Of AstarTomarloSome Nightmare

Hold Up · 3

Hidden VersePearl's EdgeFletcher's Flight

So Smart will take them along from the front, with Call Time and Macarone likely to track close behind in the early stages. The confirmed front runner So Smart should get an uncontested lead given the lack of other natural pace-setters, allowing him to dictate terms through steady fractions. This sets up a tactical affair where the pace will likely build gradually rather than being truly run throughout. The sustainable pace and lack of early pressure strongly favours prominent runners and those with tactical speed who can position close to the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If So Smart gets an easy lead without early pressure

The seven-year-old can control the race from the front and kick clear when the pace lifts in the final furlong. His recent third over course and distance when leading long shows he handles this exact scenario well.

So SmartCall TimeSome NightmareHidden Verse

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Call Time or other prominent runners get the perfect stalking position behind So Smart

The moderate pace allows trackers to conserve energy before unleashing their finish, with Call Time's course and distance win proving his effectiveness in this tactical setup. The sustained gallop plays to horses who can quicken from prominent positions.

Call TimeMacaroneSo SmartSome Nightmare

Hold Up Surge

20% probability

If the pace becomes even slower than expected in the middle stages

The lack of early speed allows hold-up horses like Some Nightmare and Hidden Verse to get closer than usual before making their moves. Some Nightmare's three course and distance wins show he can excel when getting the right tactical race.

Some NightmareHidden VerseSon Of AstarTomarlo

Speed Collapse Shock

5% probability

If So Smart goes too fast early or gets pressured by multiple prominent runners

An unexpectedly strong pace could set up the race for a closer with tactical speed, though this seems unlikely given the field composition. The veteran Some Nightmare could benefit most from such a collapse.

Some NightmareCall TimeHidden VerseTomarlo

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

So Smart must be monitored for any early pressure from Call Time or Macarone that could compromise his front-running tactics

WATCH

Call Time's fitness after 62 days off and trainer's poor recent form could see him fade if the pace lifts late

WATCH

Some Nightmare needs the pace to develop right for his hold-up style and any strong early gallop would compromise his chances

NOTE

Fletcher's Flight's tendency to race too freely could see him waste energy early and compromise his finishing kick

NOTE

Pearl's Edge returning from seven months off makes any market support significant given the extended absence

5:47 — LSL Racing Horse Sales Syndication Leasing/EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive)

5f · Soft · CLS4 · 9 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

6:20 — Capital Windscreens Supporting Breast Cancer Handicap

7f · Soft · HCAP · 7 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lyra Lea and Electrical led; the map had Poetry Of Time and Island Bear and Aigeas in front.

Poetry Of Time won at 1.62 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Poetry Of TimeIsland BearAigeas

Prominent · 3

ElectricalMighty VegaLyra Lea

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Ebn Sabt

Poetry Of Time, Island Bear, and Aigeas will engage from the off in this 7-runner affair, creating a strong gallop that will test stamina credentials over the 7f trip on testing ground. Poetry Of Time looks the most professional of the pace angle having won comfortably last time, while Island Bear showed decent pace positioning recently and Aigeas needs to bounce back but has early speed. The sustained pace will suit prominent racers like Mighty Vega and Lyra Lea who can track the leaders without getting embroiled in the early battle. This race shape clearly favours prominent runners who can sit close enough to strike but avoid the pace duel.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Suits Trackers

45% probability

If Poetry Of Time and Island Bear go too hard early and Mighty Vega or Lyra Lea track them perfectly

The leaders will tie up in the soft ground allowing the prominent runners to strike with superior finishing kicks. Mighty Vega's recent Lingfield win and Lyra Lea's solid return suggest they can capitalise.

Mighty VegaLyra LeaPoetry Of TimeElectrical

Poetry Dictates Throughout

30% probability

If Poetry Of Time gets an uncontested lead or settles the pace on his terms

The Haggas runner can use his class advantage and proven 7f form to control from the front and kick clear. His comfortable Salisbury win suggests he has more in hand than this mark.

Poetry Of TimeMighty VegaIsland BearLyra Lea

Pace Collapses Late

15% probability

If the early pace is stronger than anticipated and all three leaders weaken significantly

Ebn Sabt from his hold-up position could pick up the pieces despite his poor recent form. The 7lb claimer and drop back from longer trips might help his cause.

Ebn SabtLyra LeaElectricalMighty Vega

Island Bear Springs Surprise

10% probability

If Island Bear improves significantly for the blinkers and gets first run on his rivals

The Newland runner could use his early pace to steal a march turning for home before the others respond. His recent Nottingham fifth wasn't without merit and the headgear change adds hope.

Island BearPoetry Of TimeMighty VegaAigeas

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Island Bear could improve significantly for the first-time blinkers if they help him concentrate better through the race

WATCH

Poetry Of Time may get an easy lead if Island Bear and Aigeas don't show their expected early pace

WATCH

Electrical's attitude post-gelding operation is unknown and he could either improve markedly or show little interest

NOTE

Mighty Vega's recent turf form makes him the most reliable of the prominent runners to capitalise on pace pressure

NOTE

Ebn Sabt represents the only realistic hold-up threat if the pace scenario develops as expected with three leaders going forward

6:53 — Late Arron James Supporting Pancreatic Cancer Handicap

7f · Soft · HCAP · 12 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Kisskodi won at 7.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

Bela SonataReceiptConnie's RoseTerries Royale

Prominent · 4

Slipper TimeThis FarhDapper Gee GeeBrave Byreflection

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 4

KisskodiRacingbreaks RyderUnder The TwilightBold Impact

Terries Royale, Receipt, and Connie's Rose will ensure a strong gallop from the off, with Bela Sonata also likely to be handy early. Receipt has shown tendencies to race keenly and fade, while Terries Royale is on a poor run but will still lead them along at a decent clip. This strong pace will set up the race perfectly for the hold-up horses to pick off the pace-setters in the closing stages. The combination of soft going and a guaranteed strong gallop heavily favours horses with finishing kicks who can sit off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If the pace-setters go too hard early and tire in the final furlong

The strong early gallop will stretch the field and allow the closers to pick them off with superior finishing speed on the testing ground. Horses like Kisskodi, Bold Impact, and Under The Twilight are perfectly positioned to benefit.

KisskodiUnder The TwilightBold ImpactRacingbreaks Ryder

Prominent runners prevail

20% probability

If the pace is strong but sustainable, allowing handy horses to kick clear

This Farh and Dapper Gee Gee can use their prominent positions to strike at the right moment without getting caught up in the early speed battle. Their tactical positioning gives them the perfect launching pad.

This FarhDapper Gee GeeSlipper TimeBrave Byreflection

Course specialist strikes

10% probability

If Connie's Rose can dictate from the front at a more measured tempo

Her intimate knowledge of the track allows her to control the race from the front, using her seven previous course wins to maximum advantage. She can slow things down just enough to have something left for the finish.

Connie's RoseBela SonataReceiptTerries Royale

Pace collapses completely

5% probability

If all the front-runners go off too conservatively and it becomes a sprint

The lack of early pace would turn this into a dash from the 2f marker, suiting horses with natural speed regardless of their usual tactics. Even the hold-up horses would struggle in a slowly-run race that becomes all about acceleration.

This FarhKisskodiDapper Gee GeeSlipper Time

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Receipt will likely race keenly from the front again and could compromise his finishing effort if he battles too hard early

WATCH

Racingbreaks Ryder returns from a 221-day absence and may need this run despite his obvious class advantage

WATCH

Terries Royale has failed to beat a rival in his last run and the cheekpieces reapplication suggests connections are concerned

NOTE

This Farh carries a 3lb penalty for his recent Beverley win but his current momentum could overcome the extra weight

NOTE

Connie's Rose faces a quick turnaround of just 8 days since her narrow defeat at this course and distance

7:25 — V3 UK- Principal Contractor Handicap (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)

1m · Soft · HCAP · 10 runners

Judge Frank likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Judge Frank led, as the map showed.

Scarfo won at 7.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Judge Frank

Prominent · 1

Eye Of The Water

Midfield · 5

SaturnaliaA Rose AdaayMooretown LadScarfoFitzmaurice

Hold Up · 3

Liberty BirdPraise IndeedFifty Sent

Judge Frank is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from the start, with Eye Of The Water likely to track him in second. The pace will be moderate rather than fierce given the lack of early pace pressure, allowing Judge Frank to control the rhythm through the first three quarters. With 8 of the 10 runners having hold-up or midfield styles, this creates a bunched finish where stamina and tactical positioning become crucial. This pace setup clearly favours prominent racers and those with proven tactical speed, as the lack of early pace will make it difficult for pure hold-up horses to find the necessary gaps in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Leaders

55% probability

If Judge Frank gets an easy lead and Eye Of The Water tracks comfortably

The moderate gallop allows the front pair to maintain their advantage as the hold-up brigade struggle for room in a bunched finish. Judge Frank's recent wins came from prominent positions and he gets the ideal scenario here.

Judge FrankEye Of The WaterFifty SentMooretown Lad

Late Surge From Class

25% probability

If the pace becomes too slow and allows superior RPR horses to close

The lack of early pace creates perfect conditions for Fifty Sent and Judge Frank to use their higher ratings in a sprint finish. Both have shown they can quicken when the tempo lifts late.

Fifty SentJudge FrankEye Of The WaterMooretown Lad

Tactical Speed Wins Out

12% probability

If the bunched field creates a messy finish with limited room

Eye Of The Water's prominent style gives him the best position while the hold-up horses get caught in traffic behind the leading pair. His recent AW form suggests he retains enough ability at this level.

Eye Of The WaterJudge FrankFifty SentA Rose Adaay

Outsider Strikes

8% probability

If the favourites fail to fire and the pace collapses completely

The slow tempo allows a patient ride on Mooretown Lad or the step up in trip suits A Rose Adaay perfectly. Both have shown glimpses of ability and could benefit from the tactical nature.

Mooretown LadA Rose AdaayPraise IndeedFitzmaurice

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Judge Frank could get too easy a lead if Eye Of The Water doesn't track close enough, making him very hard to peg back

WATCH

Liberty Bird bled from the nose when pulled up last time and any respiratory issues could see her struggle again

WATCH

Praise Indeed faces a 324-day absence and needs to prove her fitness after switching trainers since last seen

NOTE

Eye Of The Water's prominent style could be crucial if the field bunches up and hold-up horses get trapped

NOTE

Fifty Sent has the highest rating but 49 days off and hold-up style may not suit the likely tactical scenario

7:55 — V3 UK- Principal Contractor Handicap (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)

1m · Soft · HCAP · 9 runners

Homeland likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Marisitta led; the map had Homeland in front.

Prince Ali won at 19.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Homeland

Prominent · 1

Rival

Midfield · 4

NutcrackerUncle AlbertPrince AliMarisitta

Hold Up · 3

CharenceyWhiskey SunriseKing Of The Dance

Homeland appears the lone confirmed early leader, with Rival potentially joining him in the early positions given his prominent tendencies. With just 9 runners and minimal pace pressure, Homeland can dictate a measured gallop through the first half-mile on this testing soft ground. The lack of genuine speed horses means this will develop into a tactical affair with the real race beginning in the final 3 furlongs. This moderate pace scenario heavily favours hold-up horses who can produce a sustained finish, as the leaders will have plenty left for a kick.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Kick Wins

55% probability

If Homeland sets uncontested fractions and the pace is steady throughout

The measured gallop allows hold-up horses to close powerfully in the final 2f as the early leaders tire on testing ground. Patient rides on King Of The Dance and Charencey prove decisive as they sweep past weakening pace-setters.

King Of The DanceCharenceyWhiskey SunriseUncle Albert

Front Pair Dominate

25% probability

If Homeland and Rival establish a clear lead and maintain their advantage

The duo work together early then battle it out in the straight, with their fitness and tactical positioning proving too much for the closers. Soft ground blunts the finishing kick of hold-up horses who find too much to do.

HomelandRivalKing Of The DanceNutcracker

Late Surge Special

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a crawl

The race becomes a pure sprint from the 2f pole, suiting horses with natural speed who can quicken sharply. Whiskey Sunrise and Nutcracker benefit from their recent AW form translating to this tactical scenario.

Whiskey SunriseNutcrackerHomelandCharencey

Pace Collapse Shock

5% probability

If multiple horses challenge Homeland early causing pace to fracture

Early speed duel creates gaps and opportunities for mid-division runners to pick up the pieces. The race splinters allowing an outsider to benefit from the chaos and slip through late.

Prince AliMarisittaKing Of The DanceUncle Albert

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Homeland's 187-day absence could see fitness lacking in the crucial final furlong despite tactical advantage

WATCH

King Of The Dance and Charencey benefiting from patient rides if the pace becomes tactical as expected

NOTE

Rival's prominent position early will indicate whether his lengthy absence has affected his usual racing style

WATCH

Whiskey Sunrise and Nutcracker need to prove their recent AW form translates effectively to turf handicaps

NOTE

Uncle Albert making stable debut for new connections but his fading tendency suggests watching rather than backing

8:25 — Capital Windscreens Supporting Autistic Society Handicap

6f · Soft · HCAP · 12 runners

Lead contested: Punchbowl Flyer v Kaleidoscope EyesHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Too Much Trevor won at 6.00. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Punchbowl FlyerKaleidoscope Eyes

Prominent · 5

The Bear Of SaintsBe An AngelSnuggleOn KeyAutumn Angel

Midfield · 1

Too Much Trevor

Hold Up · 4

Sub ThirteenMargorieRavenglassDiamondsinthesand

Kaleidoscope Eyes and Punchbowl Flyer will dispute the early lead, with Be An Angel, On Key, Autumn Angel, Snuggle and The Bear Of Saints all wanting prominent positions behind them. This creates significant congestion through the first 3f as seven horses fight for the front half of the field, before the genuine pace battle between the two leaders stretches the field. The strong early gallop will set up a tactical finish where those with the stamina to sustain their effort or the class to quicken late will prevail. This pace scenario strongly favours hold-up horses who can avoid the early scrimmaging and benefit from the strong gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Gallop Suits Closers

45% probability

If Kaleidoscope Eyes and Punchbowl Flyer go hard early and the prominent brigade gets into a speed duel

The pace collapses in the final furlong as the leaders tire, allowing patient hold-up horses to sweep past with superior finishing kicks. Margorie, Sub Thirteen, Ravenglass and Diamondsinthesand benefit most from this searching gallop.

MargorieToo Much TrevorSub ThirteenRavenglass

Prominent Horses Dominate

30% probability

If the pace-setters moderate their speed and the prominent runners get perfect positions without over-racing

The race becomes a test of tactical speed rather than stamina, with those positioned handy but not committed able to kick clear. On Key and Autumn Angel are best placed to exploit this scenario from their ideal tracking positions.

On KeyAutumn AngelBe An AngelSnuggle

Leader Gets Away

15% probability

If one of Kaleidoscope Eyes or Punchbowl Flyer establishes a clear lead while the prominent horses squabble behind

The winner gets first run and holds on as the field fails to organize an effective pursuit until too late. Kaleidoscope Eyes has more natural pace and would be harder to peg back than the aging Punchbowl Flyer.

Kaleidoscope EyesPunchbowl FlyerAutumn AngelOn Key

Traffic Chaos Benefits Outsider

10% probability

If the prominent congestion causes interference and checks in the straight as predicted

Several fancied runners get hampered or have to switch around horses, allowing a freely-traveling outsider to steal through. The Bear Of Saints returning from a long break could benefit from a clear passage that others don't get.

The Bear Of SaintsDiamondsinthesandToo Much TrevorSub Thirteen

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kaleidoscope Eyes and Punchbowl Flyer setting too strong an early pace and bringing stamina into play

WATCH

Traffic problems developing 2f out as On Key, Autumn Angel, Be An Angel and Snuggle all converge from prominent positions

WATCH

Margorie and Sub Thirteen getting clear runs from the back as both have claiming jockeys who may struggle in traffic

NOTE

The Bear Of Saints handling the return from 21-month absence and whether fitness is there on debut for new connections

NOTE

Autumn Angel coping with 3lb rise and racing without the headgear that was removed for his recent win

9:00 — Capital Windscreens Supporting Mental Health Handicap

1m4f · Soft · HCAP · 9 runners

Wonderful Wendy to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Electric Bass led; the map had Wonderful Wendy in front.

Big Win won at 3.25 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Wonderful Wendy

Prominent · 3

Big WinPort Of EntryElectric Bass

Midfield · 2

Baileys WarriorMarinakis

Hold Up · 3

Cloudside RockBug BoyRosco Rogers

Wonderful Wendy will lead from the start with no obvious challengers for the front rank, setting up a moderate tempo on ground that won't encourage extreme early pace. Electric Bass and Big Win are likely to sit prominent behind the leader, while Port Of Entry could also press forward if needed. The lack of genuine pace pressure means the leaders will control fractions, creating a race where those who can stay handy and have a turn of foot will be advantaged. This shape clearly favours prominent runners and those with tactical pace over pure hold-up horses who need a strong gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Tempo Holds

55% probability

If Wonderful Wendy sets uncontested fractions and the pace doesn't quicken significantly until the final 3f

The early leaders maintain their advantage as hold-up horses struggle to make ground in the testing conditions. Prominent runners with stamina reserves prove hard to peg back.

Electric BassBig WinPort Of EntryCloudside Rock

Late Kick Succeeds

25% probability

If the pace becomes crawling and creates a sprint finish from the 2f pole

The lack of early pace allows the better quality hold-up horses to get into contention and produce their best finishing kicks. Class tells in a tactical finish where positioning becomes crucial.

Cloudside RockBug BoyElectric BassBaileys Warrior

Front Runner Wires Field

12% probability

If Wonderful Wendy gets easy fractions and has enough in reserve to resist late challenges

The leader capitalises on the lack of pace pressure to control the race throughout and holds on grimly. Those who tried to close late pay for the slow early sections.

Wonderful WendyElectric BassBig WinMarinakis

Pace Collapse Chaos

8% probability

If multiple horses refuse to commit early and the race becomes stop-start with multiple moves

The messy tempo creates a lottery where those with the most tactical speed can quicken when it matters. Experience and racecraft become the deciding factors.

Port Of EntryBug BoyRosco RogersMarinakis

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Wonderful Wendy's early pace setting - if she goes too slow she makes it a sprint, too fast and she stops

WATCH

Electric Bass jumping and travelling in the first half-mile - his best efforts come when getting ideal positioning early

WATCH

Big Win's adaptability to tactical pace having shown his best form in strongly run races recently

NOTE

Cloudside Rock's position turning for home - needs to be closer than usual if pace stays moderate

NOTE

Bug Boy's jumping and movement early - course winner needs to overcome rustiness from long absence

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 6 June 2026.

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