Archive›Clonmel · 14 May 2026

Clonmel

14 May 2026 · 8 races

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4:47 — Aisling Kennedy Memorial Claiming Hurdle

2m3½f · Good · DEFAULT · 11 runners

Rocky's Howya to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Rocky's Howya and Anysignofhim led, as the map showed.

Rocky's Howya won at 3.75 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Rocky's Howya

Prominent · 4

JerandmeLightkeeperYou Done WellCircus Act

Midfield · 3

AnysignofhimSolly AttwellMidnight Eagle

Hold Up · 3

God Of ThunderWoodstream LadSpinning Web

Rocky's Howya stands alone as the confirmed front runner and will control this race from flag to finish without pressure. The prominently-raced horses like Lightkeeper, Jerandme and You Done Well will track behind but lack the tactical speed to challenge early. With numerous hold-up horses including Woodstream Lad, Spinning Web, God Of Thunder and Midnight Eagle, the pace will be steady and controlled throughout. This sustainable gallop strongly favours front runners and early prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the large contingent of hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Rocky Controls Uncontested

45% probability

If Rocky's Howya jumps well and faces no early pressure from prominent runners

The leader dictates comfortable fractions and has enough left to resist late challenges up the hill. Hold-up horses get caught in traffic as the field bunches approaching the final flight.

Rocky's HowyaLightkeeperYou Done WellJerandme

Prominent Trackers Strike

30% probability

If Lightkeeper or You Done Well apply early pressure and force a stronger gallop

The increased pace stretches the field and allows the prominently-placed horses to kick clear before the hold-up brigade can organize their runs. Class tells in the finish.

LightkeeperYou Done WellRocky's HowyaJerandme

Hold-Up Horse Charges Late

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and Rocky's Howya stops to a walk in front

Woodstream Lad or God Of Thunder find clear runs and power through a weakening field with superior finishing kicks. The sustained gallop suits their patient tactics.

Woodstream LadGod Of ThunderSpinning WebSolly Attwell

Chaos and Long Shot

10% probability

If multiple fallers or refused create carnage and destroy the race shape

The disruption allows an outsider like Circus Act or Anysignofhim to inherit a position they could never achieve on merit. Surviving becomes more important than racing ability.

Circus ActAnysignofhimYou Done WellMidnight Eagle

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Rocky's Howya must jump cleanly at the first few flights as any early mistake hands tactical advantage to prominent trackers

WATCH

Lightkeeper's fitness after 231-day break under pressure from You Done Well tracking alongside in the early stages

NOTE

Traffic problems developing at the third-last flight where hold-up horses Woodstream Lad and God Of Thunder need clear runs

WATCH

God Of Thunder's jumping and attitude after refusing to race last time, any repeat antics eliminates a main danger

NOTE

The uphill finish testing stamina reserves of Rocky's Howya if Lightkeeper or You Done Well have applied early pressure

5:20 — Tote Guarantee Never Beaten By SP (C & G) Maiden Hurdle

2m3½f · Good · MDN · 17 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Minella Diamond led; the map had Tomthescaffolder and Springhill Warrior and Welcome Back in front.

Minella Diamond won at 4.50 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

TomthescaffolderSpringhill WarriorWelcome Back

Prominent · 1

Minella Diamond

Midfield · 8

Tolka RowMillion Dollar ManIt's Time To LeaveLoyal TouchSilly MongooseChina GrillAkakoSycamore Cove

Hold Up · 5

WhatdoyoucallhimJalfreziCaptain HanleyAjp FalcoAcheron

Springhill Warrior, Tomthescaffolder and Welcome Back will ensure a genuine gallop from the start, with all three confirmed front-runners likely to dispute the early lead. This creates a demanding test of stamina over 2m3½f, with the pace likely to be strong throughout given the competitive nature between these leaders. The strong gallop will suit hold-up horses who can stay on strongly, while prominent racers may get caught between speeds. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses with proven stamina who can pick up the pieces when the pace collapses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Collapse

45% probability

If the three leaders go too fast early and weaken significantly from 2f out

The genuine gallop will stretch the field and create openings for hold-up horses with stamina to sweep past tiring leaders. Minella Diamond's class and Captain Hanley's solid staying form make them prime beneficiaries.

Minella DiamondCaptain HanleyLoyal TouchAcheron

Tactical Battle Develops

30% probability

If one of the leaders drops back early creating a more sedate tempo

This allows prominent racers to position better and hold-up horses lose their advantage from a strong pace setup. It's Time To Leave and Million Dollar Man could prove too good if the pace doesn't play to stayers.

It's Time To LeaveMillion Dollar ManMinella DiamondTolka Row

Front Runner Dominates

15% probability

If Springhill Warrior gets an uncontested lead and controls the tempo

Elliott's charge can dictate terms and kick clear when it matters, using his class advantage. The reduced pace pressure allows his superior ability to shine through in the closing stages.

Springhill WarriorWelcome BackTomthescaffolderIt's Time To Leave

Pace Sustains Throughout

10% probability

If all three leaders maintain their effort to the line without weakening

The relentless gallop finds out every horse's stamina reserves with only the most genuine stayers lasting home. This extreme test heavily favours proven marathon performers with recent race fitness.

Loyal TouchMinella DiamondCaptain HanleyAcheron

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Springhill Warrior could prove too classy if the break hasn't dulled his edge and he handles the step up in trip

WATCH

It's Time To Leave and Million Dollar Man are complete unknowns who could have significant hidden ability

NOTE

Captain Hanley has been running respectably on the flat and the step back to hurdles with headgear applied could spark improvement

WATCH

The three front-runners may go too fast early and set it up perfectly for the hold-up brigade

NOTE

Minella Diamond's class and experience advantage could tell if positioned to take advantage of the likely strong pace

5:50 — Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

2m3½f · Good · HCAP · 19 runners

Ixigreczed to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kilbarry Ce Ce led; the map had Ixigreczed in front.

Hob's Angel won at 10.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ixigreczed

Prominent · 2

Kilbarry Ce CeThewaybackhome

Midfield · 10

Lady AquarelleItaintmebabeLittle Boy SivolaCarlas Big JimSet The ToneBallinagaine GirlGalilean PrinceCholoCruisin SusanHob's Angel

Hold Up · 6

Charlie's GiftWhiskey SerenadeGlobal SkiesAndyourbirdcansingThe Sugarhill LadySarah's Express

Ixigreczed will be the sole confirmed front-runner in this competitive handicap hurdle, likely to set a steady sustainable gallop without early pressure. With only Kilbarry Ce Ce and Thewaybackhome likely to race prominently, the majority of this 19-runner field will be held up or tracking from midfield positions. The lack of genuine pace pressure should create a searching test over this extended trip, with the race developing into a staying examination from the back of the last flight. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses with proven stamina who can finish strongly, as they'll benefit from the modest early pace and get first run on a vulnerable leader.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If the pace stays steady throughout and Ixigreczed comes under pressure turning for home...

The lack of early pace will suit patient hold-up performers who can quicken late over this stamina-testing trip. Proven stayers like Whiskey Serenade, Sarah's Express, and Andyourbirdcansing will have every chance to pick off the front-runner.

Whiskey SerenadeSarah's ExpressAndyourbirdcansingCharlie's Gift

Prominent tracker prevails

25% probability

If Kilbarry Ce Ce or Thewaybackhome can track the leader without doing too much work early...

Racing in the slipstream of Ixigreczed will provide the perfect position to strike when the leader weakens, avoiding both the hard early work and the traffic problems. Kilbarry Ce Ce's recent form suggests he's well-handicapped for this longer trip.

Kilbarry Ce CeThewaybackhomeSet The ToneLittle Boy Sivola

Leader lasts home

12% probability

If Ixigreczed gets an uncontested lead and finds renewed form at this longer trip...

The lack of early pressure could allow the front-runner to conserve energy for a sustained finish, especially if his recent poor efforts were due to being outpaced over shorter distances. His hold-up rivals may leave their challenges too late on ground that's riding slower than ideal.

IxigreczedHob's AngelCarlas Big JimItaintmebabe

Moderate pace backfires

8% probability

If the early pace is so slow that it becomes a sprint finish from the last flight...

A crawling pace could negate the stamina advantages and turn this into a dash for speed horses who normally struggle over longer trips. This would particularly suit any hold-up horse with a sharp turn of foot rather than pure staying power.

Set The ToneLittle Boy SivolaGlobal SkiesCholo

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ixigreczed's jumping under pressure - if he makes mistakes when challenged he could bring down others in a bunched field.

WATCH

The pace through the middle section - if it stays too steady it could set up a cavalry charge finish that favours different horses.

NOTE

Kilbarry Ce Ce's position early - if he gets caught wide tracking the leader it could compromise his chance significantly.

NOTE

Traffic problems at the last flight - with so many hold-up runners the run-in could get very congested.

WATCH

Ground conditions deteriorating - any rain could favour different horses than current form suggests.

6:20 — Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

2m3½f · Good · HCAP · 19 runners

Amron Diamond to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ballingurteen led; the map had Amron Diamond in front.

Loi Des Jeux won at 2.88 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

2 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Amron Diamond

Prominent · 5

ListenheretomejackGlendine BillyBite ThatMollys DollySineads Fancy

Midfield · 7

Something SimpleLoi Des JeuxTedworthFinnicky FillyLouloulessBallingurteenGetaway Blondie

Hold Up · 6

Hillstar BluesSoldier SaintLet It SettleListentomewillyaKoeur A PrendreOld Kenmare

Amron Diamond stands out as the only confirmed front runner in this 19-runner field, giving him a clear tactical advantage to dictate terms without early pressure. With most runners adopting hold-up or midfield tactics, the early pace will be moderate and sustainable, allowing Amron Diamond to build a rhythm over the 2m3½f trip. The large field of hold-up horses will create traffic problems in the home straight as they all seek racing room simultaneously. This race shape strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can secure clear runs, while the army of hold-up horses will face significant tactical disadvantages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominance

55% probability

If Amron Diamond maintains his lead unchallenged through moderate fractions

The lone leader builds an unassailable advantage while the packed field of hold-up horses struggle for racing room in the straight. His 224-day break becomes irrelevant as tactical positioning trumps fitness concerns.

Amron DiamondMollys DollyBite ThatListenheretomejack

Prominent Tracker Success

25% probability

If the prominent racers track Amron Diamond closely and pounce late

Mollys Dolly, Bite That or Listenheretomejack benefit from following the pace without setting it, then striking when the leader tires. Their tactical positioning gives them first run on the hold-up brigade.

Mollys DollyBite ThatGlendine BillySineads Fancy

Hold-Up Horse Breakthrough

12% probability

If the pace collapses completely and stamina becomes the deciding factor

Despite traffic issues, one well-positioned hold-up horse like Tedworth or Old Kenmare finds a clear passage and benefits from the strong gallop. The 2m3½f trip plays to their strengths if they avoid trouble.

TedworthOld KenmareFinnicky FillyHillstar Blues

Chaos and Outsider Win

8% probability

If multiple fallers or significant interference disrupts the field

A rank outsider like Listentomewillya or Koeur A Prendre benefits from the chaos while better-fancied horses encounter trouble. The large field and jumping test creates opportunities for unconsidered runners.

ListentomewillyaKoeur A PrendreBallingurteenSomething Simple

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Amron Diamond could steal this from the front if the 224-day layoff hasn't dulled his fitness edge

WATCH

Traffic chaos likely in the straight as 15+ hold-up horses seek racing room simultaneously

NOTE

Watch Mollys Dolly and Bite That tracking the leader early as the main tactical threats

WATCH

Several runners showing fading tendencies could compound traffic issues if they weaken in-running

NOTE

Jockey bookings on Koeur A Prendre and Hillstar Blues suggest stable confidence despite tactical disadvantages

6:50 — Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap Hurdle

2m3½f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Crossing The Bar likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ned In The Park and Le Kap led; the map had Crossing The Bar in front.

Colleen Danu won at 12.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Crossing The Bar

Prominent · 4

Ned In The ParkLe KapColleen DanuPenny Express

Midfield · 3

IshanBrianna LilySpeakasyoufind

Hold Up · 4

Arctic FlameLe DiabloImarajanOh So Charming

Crossing The Bar will set a sustainable pace from the front with minimal early pressure, as most of this field prefers to settle behind the leaders. Penny Express, Ned In The Park, Le Kap, Colleen Danu and Ishan will track in the second rank, while the hold-up horses Oh So Charming, Arctic Flame, Le Diablo and Imarajan will settle towards the rear. With only one confirmed front-runner and plenty of prominent racers happy to sit second, this creates a tactical race run at a measured gallop until the business end. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up horses who can capitalize on the steady early pace and time their challenges from off the speed.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

45% probability

If the pace stays steady throughout and Crossing The Bar isn't pressured early

The patient riders get perfect splits as the field comes back to them over the final half-mile, with stamina telling late. Arctic Flame and Le Diablo are perfectly positioned to strike from the rear with their superior finishing kicks.

Arctic FlameLe DiabloOh So CharmingImarajan

Prominent Tracker Wins

30% probability

If the front group increases the tempo from the second-last hurdle

One of the prominent racers gets first run on the leaders and holds off the late challengers with superior tactical position. Penny Express or Ned In The Park use their class to quicken clear before the hold-up horses can respond.

Penny ExpressNed In The ParkLe KapColleen Danu

Front Runner Holds On

15% probability

If Crossing The Bar gets an uncontested lead and the chasers leave it too late

The pace-setter builds an unassailable advantage turning for home as the field fails to close quickly enough. Crossing The Bar's stamina reserves prove decisive when the late challengers finally mount their bids.

Crossing The BarPenny ExpressLe KapArctic Flame

Pace Collapse Surprise

10% probability

If multiple horses try to improve position simultaneously approaching the last hurdle

The steady early gallop becomes a messy sprint finish where any horse with a clear run can capitalize. One of the unfancied runners like Ishan or Colleen Danu sneaks through on the inside as the market leaders get shuffled back.

IshanColleen DanuImarajanLe Kap

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Crossing The Bar could steal this if given too much rope early after his lengthy absence

WATCH

Check for market moves on Le Diablo who won easily last time and carries just 156 pounds

NOTE

Arctic Flame and Oh So Charming both wear tongue-ties suggesting connections expect improved efforts

WATCH

Several trainers running below form including Patrick Foley with two runners requiring fitness leaps

NOTE

The amateur riders on Ned In The Park and Imarajan could provide tactical advantages or disadvantages

7:20 — Watch Danny's Diary @ToteRacing Mares Maiden Hurdle

2m½f · Good · MDN · 18 runners

Another Blunder likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Jumbos Jet led; the map had Another Blunder in front.

Jumbos Jet won at 4.00 — led, where the map had it raced prominently.

9 of 18 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Another Blunder

Prominent · 6

NirisqueKaleo AmetsaJumbos JetGame PhoenixChautuaquaArizona Robbins

Midfield · 6

Mrs MasonLaura's ChoiceHeatherhill LadyCarleys LillyWings Of AfricaThe Fog Horn

Hold Up · 5

Torque De LuneShine BrightMuted MelodyCrossbar GetawayOur Girl Ellie

Another Blunder is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from the outset with little early pressure in this large field of maidens. The prominent runners like Chautuaqua, Nirisque, and Jumbos Jet will track behind but are unlikely to apply sustained pressure given the maiden context. With many hold-up horses including Muted Melody, Our Girl Ellie, and Crossbar Getaway needing to be produced late, the pace will likely be steady rather than searching. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can position close to the pace without having to make ground from the rear in a competitive 18-runner field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Running

45% probability

If Another Blunder leads unchallenged through steady fractions

The leader gets an easy time of it and the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground in the large field. Prominent runners tracking just behind benefit from the ideal position to strike when the pace lifts.

Another BlunderChautuaquaNirisqueJumbos Jet

Prominent Takeover

30% probability

If the pace collapses completely and prominent runners move forward early

Horses like Nirisque and Chautuaqua get ideal racing room to build momentum and take control. The De Bromhead and Hogan yards excel in these tactical scenarios.

NirisqueChautuaquaGame PhoenixKaleo Ametsa

Hold-Up Success

15% probability

If the pace is genuinely run and the field spreads out significantly

The backmarkers get the strong pace they need to unleash their finishing kicks. Muted Melody and Our Girl Ellie benefit from their proven ability to close strongly.

Muted MelodyOur Girl EllieCrossbar GetawayTorque De Lune

Pace Scramble

10% probability

If multiple prominent runners engage Another Blunder early creating a messy pace

The race becomes stop-start with positioning crucial rather than pure ability. An unconsidered runner could benefit from the chaos while favourites get compromised.

Wings Of AfricaGame PhoenixKaleo AmetsaThe Fog Horn

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Another Blunder must handle being alone on the lead for the first time in 307 days

WATCH

Nirisque and Chautuaqua could clash for the same prominent position behind the leader

WATCH

The large field of 18 runners creates significant traffic problems for hold-up horses

NOTE

Wings Of Africa and Arizona Robbins show concerning fade patterns that could repeat

NOTE

Multiple horses returning from lengthy breaks including Another Blunder and Crossbar Getaway

7:50 — Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Handicap Hurdle

2m½f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Expound to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Expound led, as the map showed.

Chanceawetmorning won at 2.10 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Expound

Prominent · 5

TheflyingbeeTir OgSense Of OccasionChanceawetmorningLady Doyanne

Midfield · 2

Tingarran ExpressChosen Shant

Hold Up · 4

BallycashinSonny MayEye Of A TigerTakarengo

Expound stands alone as the confirmed leader with a sustainable style, meaning he'll dictate terms without early pressure. Five runners (Sense Of Occasion, Tingarran Express, Lady Doyanne, Theflyingbee, Tir Og, Chanceawetmorning) all want prominent positions, creating a traffic jam behind the leader with scrimmaging likely from the third-last hurdle. The hold-up quartet (Ballycashin, Eye Of A Tiger, Sonny May, Takarengo) will rely on gaps opening late as the prominent group tangles. This setup strongly favours the lone leader Expound and patient hold-up types who can exploit the prominent runners' mutual interference.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Expound uses his uncontested lead intelligently and the prominent group cancel each other out

The veteran gets an armchair ride in front while five horses scrap for position behind, never mounting a serious challenge. His stamina over this longer trip proves decisive as the field comes to him tired.

ExpoundEye Of A TigerBallycashinSonny May

Hold-Up Horse Pounces

30% probability

If the prominent congestion creates serious interference and gaps open late for patient runners

The five-way battle for second position creates a stop-start pace that suits horses held up out of trouble. A strong stayer emerges from the pack with a clear run.

Eye Of A TigerBallycashinSonny MayTakarengo

Prominent Survivor Emerges

15% probability

If one of the five prominent runners can secure an early position without getting trapped

Class tells as either Lady Doyanne or Sense Of Occasion finds racing room while their prominent rivals struggle in traffic. They track Expound smoothly and outbattle him from the last.

Lady DoyanneSense Of OccasionTheflyingbeeTingarran Express

Late Leader Collapse

10% probability

If Expound's long absence (273 days) catches up with him in the final half-mile

The leader ties up badly after setting honest fractions, opening the door for whichever horse gets first run from the congested pack. Fitness issues prove costly despite the tactical advantage.

ChanceawetmorningTir OgLady DoyanneEye Of A Tiger

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for early interference as five prominent runners (Sense Of Occasion, Lady Doyanne, Theflyingbee, Tir Og, Chanceawetmorning) converge behind Expound

WATCH

Monitor Expound's jumping rhythm after 273 days away - any mistake hands initiative to hold-up horses

WATCH

Eye Of A Tiger and Ballycashin need clear runs from two out as prominent group likely bunched together

NOTE

Tingarran Express returning after 77 days may need the run despite solid historical going record

NOTE

Amateur rider on Theflyingbee could be tactically outmaneuvered in this pace-sensitive contest

8:20 — John Walsh (Mainstown) Memorial INH Flat Race

2m½f · Good · DEFAULT · 10 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 14 May 2026.

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