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Archive›Clonmel · 16 September 2026

Clonmel

16 September 2026 · 7 races

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4:00 — Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Fillies Maiden
1m2f · Good To Soft · MDN · 8 runners
Essential Comedy likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Noble Honour and Essential Comedy led, as the map showed.

Noble Honour won at 3.25 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Essential Comedy
Prominent · 1
Noble Honour
Midfield · 5
Emily EstherfayeSusie's AngelEstrallitaShanalaGriselinia
Hold Up · 1
Coilins Girl
Essential Comedy is the lone confirmed pace-setter from stall one and, with no credible challenger looking to push forward from the remainder of the field, she will stride into an uncontested lead and dictate entirely on her own terms over this flat 1m2f on good-to-yielding ground. Noble Honour and Shanala are both likely to track in the prominent-to-midfield range behind her, while the hold-up types — Coilins Girl chief among them — will settle toward the rear. The going report confirms good-to-yielding conditions throughout the card, which is a surface that rewards horses with a strong sustained gallop rather than a sharp turn of foot, suiting those who can stay close to a pace that, given its uncontested nature, is unlikely to be truly searching. This race shape squarely favours prominent racers who can track the leader without burning fuel and pounce in the straight, with hold-up horses facing a stiff task if the pace is modest enough to leave little ground to make up late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Lone Leader Controls
68% probability
If Essential Comedy bowls along unchallenged and sets a tempo that suits her stamina rather than the closers.
Essential Comedy dictates from stall one, controls the fractions on the flat Clonmel circuit, and may simply prove too far clear for rivals to reel in; Noble Honour, tracking prominently in second or third, is ideally placed to pounce if the leader ties up, while Shanala from midfield has ground form and can pick up into the straight.
Essential ComedyNoble HonourShanalaCoilins Girl
B
Prominent Tracker Wins
16% probability
If Essential Comedy sets a decent pace but ties up in the final furlong, handing the race to a stalking prominent runner.
Noble Honour, always travelling close to the pace under Shane Foley, is perfectly positioned to hit the front early in the straight and hold on; Shanala, also prominent-to-midfield, gets a similarly smooth passage and can fill the minor placings.
Noble HonourShanalaEssential ComedyCoilins Girl
C
Midfield Finisher Strikes
10% probability
If the pace is genuinely strong enough to spread the field and leave something in reserve for the hold-up horses.
Coilins Girl, stepping back from a lengthy absence and ridden by Seamie Heffernan, would benefit most from a strong gallop burning off rivals; Emily Estherfaye or Shanala, both midfield types with fair staying form, could also pick up late ground on the good-to-yielding surface.
Coilins GirlShanalaEmily EstherfayeNoble Honour
D
Outsider Springs Surprise
6% probability
If the pace collapses and produces a messy, slowly-run affair that scrambles form entirely.
Griselinia, unknown quantity with no public form to assess, or Susie's Angel, who showed little on debut but is bred for further, could benefit from pure chaos; form lines become irrelevant and an unexposed runner exploiting a false pace cannot be ruled out entirely.
GriseliniaSusie's AngelEstrallitaEmily Estherfaye

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHEssential ComedypNoble HonourEmily EstherfayehSusie's AngelEstrallitaShanalaGriseliniaCoilins Girl1. Essential Comedy2. Noble Honour5. Emily Estherfaye6. Susie's Angel7. Estrallita3. Shanala8. Griselinia4. Coilins Girl
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Noble Honour is the main danger to Essential Comedy — watch whether Shane Foley pushes up to sit directly on the leader's quarters from stall six, as that position through the back straight will be decisive.
WATCH
Essential Comedy races at a shorter trip than her recent form entries suggest she has been trained for; if she finds the 1m2f coming too quickly, she could capitulate in the final furlong and hand the race to those tracking her.
WATCH
Coilins Girl's 201-day absence is the biggest unknown in the race — watch her in the paddock for signs of fitness and note whether Heffernan travels with confidence early, as a fresh horse for this yard can be dangerous first time out.
NOTE
The entire card is returning good-to-yielding conditions, so the surface is consistent throughout the day; horses who have shown they handle cut are not disadvantaged by any deterioration in going.
NOTE
Griselinia is completely unexposed and has no form line to price up — if she shows natural early pace from stall two she could find herself on the heels of Essential Comedy, creating an unforeseen pace duel that would alter the race shape entirely.
4:35 — Slievenamon Maiden
1m2f · Good To Soft · MDN · 7 runners
Lead contested: Blue Nasturtium v Ready To MingleHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Kakori won at 2.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Blue NasturtiumReady To Mingle
Prominent · 2
TherewillbegloryKakori
Midfield · 1
Place Your Regrets
Hold Up · 2
Desert SwingQueen Of Chenab
Blue Nasturtium and Ready To Mingle are both confirmed front-runners and will contest the early lead from the off, with Blue Nasturtium drawn on the inside in stall 2 giving her a natural advantage to press for the rail. The resulting contested gallop on Good to Yielding ground over 1m2f at Clonmel should produce an honest, even tempo rather than a sprint-and-collapse — enough pace to stretch the field but not a suicidal burn-up. Therewillbeglory, settled in a prominent position just behind the duel, is ideally placed to travel within herself before producing her effort in the straight without having burned energy fighting for a lead. This race shape — a genuine contested pace with a quality prominent racer sitting just off it — strongly favours the hold-sit-and-pounce prominent profile, which is precisely where Therewillbeglory operates.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent sits, pounces
63% probability
If the two leaders cut each other's throats at an honest gallop and the prominent tracker times her run to perfection.
Therewillbeglory settles just off the pace duel, saves ground around the turn and has first run on the leaders entering the straight; the Good to Yielding surface rewards a horse with tactical speed rather than pure finishing kick. This is the default shape and the one that most directly suits the top-rated prominent racer in the field.
TherewillbegloryKakoriBlue NasturtiumReady To Mingle
B
Front runner endures
18% probability
If Blue Nasturtium or Ready To Mingle dictates at a controlled tempo and conserves enough to hold on.
A low-key early pace reduces the cost of leading and allows the front-runner to build an unassailable rhythm before the rest can organise a challenge; on softening ground a horse travelling comfortably on the front end can be very hard to peg back. Blue Nasturtium, handled by W.J. Lee and trained by the in-form K.J. Condon yard, is the more likely candidate to take full advantage if the gallop is misjudged.
Blue NasturtiumReady To MingleTherewillbegloryKakori
C
Hold-up horses finish
12% probability
If the pace duel is genuinely hot and the closers get an unusual amount of cover before delivering a late run.
Desert Swing and Queen Of Chenab are genuine hold-up types and would benefit if a strong gallop leaves the field strung out and the winner comes from off the pace; however, both have shown a tendency to fade in the finish and their form reads poorly. Even in a pace collapse, their finishing ability is questionable, making this a low-probability scenario.
Desert SwingQueen Of ChenabTherewillbegloryKakori
D
Maiden surprise emerges
7% probability
If Place Your Regrets, a lightly raced unknown quantity, is further forward than expected and benefits from the pace dynamics.
With no public form to assess and a style that is currently unknown, Place Your Regrets is a genuine wildcard; Nathan Crosse's booking and the extra weight concession suggest connections have some confidence. The scenario only truly fires if the race pace is strong enough to burn off the more exposed rivals while Place Your Regrets travels kindly under a cold hold.
Place Your RegretsKakoriTherewillbegloryBlue Nasturtium

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHBlue NasturtiumReady To MingleTherewillbegloryKakoritPlace Your Regr…Desert SwingvQueen Of Chenab3. Blue Nasturtium4. Ready To Mingle1. Therewillbeglory2. Kakori5. Place Your Regrets6. Desert Swing7. Queen Of Chenab
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Blue Nasturtium and Ready To Mingle are on a collision course for the early lead — watch the first two furlongs to see which one gives way, as the horse forced to race in its less natural position may be compromised for the rest of the race.
WATCH
Ready To Mingle returns from 301 days off; if she shows any signs of blowing up approaching the home turn, it could dramatically affect how much pace the field has been asked to follow, distorting the finish.
WATCH
Desert Swing wore a visor for the first time today — watch for any change in behaviour at the start or in the early stages, as first-time headgear on a hold-up horse can produce erratic running.
NOTE
The going is officially Good to Yielding throughout the card at Clonmel — no track bias has been flagged but monitor the first race result closely to see whether front-runners or hold-up horses are holding their advantage into the straight.
NOTE
Place Your Regrets is a complete unknown; watch the paddock and early market moves for any significant market support that might signal stable confidence in what is otherwise an unassessable runner.
5:05 — Suir Blueway Handicap
1m2f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 14 runners
Ella's Gold likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ochtar Againn led; the map had Ella's Gold in front.

Mare Crisium won at 5.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Ella's Gold
Prominent · 3
John La BearBorora AuraMare Crisium
Midfield · 6
Ochtar AgainnCadrevilleQueen Of AstolatSweetie TooGarryowen GreenMrs Lady Bella
Hold Up · 4
ConcaireZitkala SaArizona StarIncredible Army
Ella's Gold is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 14-runner 1m2f handicap and, with no other genuine pace-setters likely to dispute the lead, she should bowl along unchallenged at a sustainable gallop on Good to Yielding ground. That lone-leader scenario creates a slowly-run or evenly-run race with a single tempo-setter dictating through the early stages, which historically on a flat track like Clonmel compresses the field and sets up a stamina-test into the straight rather than a searching end-to-end gallop. Prominent racers who can travel just off Ella's Gold and quicken in the straight are best placed to exploit this shape — horses forced to come from the rear on an honest but not punishing pace will find the gaps closing quickly. This race shape squarely favours the handy, prominent racer who can sit second or third, stay in touch through the middle mile, and produce a sustained finishing effort, making John La Bear and Borora Aura well positioned stylistically, though the Strand Scorecard's selection of Cadreville as the top pick represents the quality closer that the compressed pace may still bring into play. The field contains considerably more hold-up types than the race shape can naturally accommodate — Queen Of Astolat, Sweetie Too, Garryowen Green, Mrs Lady Bella, and Cadreville are all genuine hold-up horses by record, with Ella's Gold, John La Bear, and Borora Aura the runners realistically poised to secure the positions closest to the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Ella's Gold Controls, Prominent Pounces
52% probability
If Ella's Gold leads unchallenged at a fair clip and prominent racers track her comfortably into the straight.
Ella's Gold sets a sustainable tempo with John La Bear and Borora Aura stalking her, and one of them peels off to lead the charge two furlongs out; the Good to Yielding surface rewards those who have been travelling through the race rather than making ground from cold.
John La BearBorora AuraMare CrisiumOchtar Againn
B
Quality Closer Gets There Late
22% probability
If the pace is genuinely steady and the field bunches, allowing a well-handicapped closer to weave through in the final furlong.
Cadreville, despite being mapped in midfield due to sheer field density, is a hold-up type by inclination whose last five runs show progressive form at 10f-12f on Good ground matching today's conditions; a slow-run race that concertinas the field gives a free-travelling closer one clean late run.
CadrevilleQueen Of AstolatZitkala SaIncredible Army
C
Pace Collapse, Midfielders Inherit
16% probability
If Ella's Gold goes too hard for the conditions and ties up in the final two furlongs, leaving the race to those tracking in midfield.
With several prominent and midfield types crowding the middle of the pack, a pace collapse shuffles the race to horses like Mare Crisium or Ochtar Againn who have been travelling economically just off the leaders; Good to Yielding ground increases the chance of early-paced runners emptying.
Mare CrisiumOchtar AgainnArizona StarConcaire
D
Hold-Up Runners Dominate
10% probability
If the pace is genuinely testing and the field strings out, rewarding those held up deepest.
True hold-up runners like Sweetie Too or Garryowen Green would need both an unusually testing gallop and a clear run through traffic to land this scenario; their redistribution away from natural rear positions makes this the least likely shape, and neither has yet won in this grade.
Sweetie TooGarryowen GreenMrs Lady BellaIncredible Army

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHElla's GoldpJohn La BeartBorora AuraMare CrisiumOchtar AgainnpCadrevillepQueen Of AstolatpSweetie TooGarryowen GreentMrs Lady BellaConcairehZitkala SabArizona StarIncredible Army5. Ella's Gold1. John La Bear2. Borora Aura3. Mare Crisium4. Ochtar Againn6. Cadreville7. Queen Of Astolat8. Sweetie Too9. Garryowen Green10. Mrs Lady Bella11. Concaire12. Zitkala Sa13. Arizona Star14. Incredible Army
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Cadreville is the Strand Scorecard's top selection and holds the key tactical position — watch whether Reese Holohan (7lb claim) can find a clear path through from midfield in the straight, as a clean run looks essential given how crowded the rear of this field is.
KEY
Borora Aura is identified as a leading danger by the Scorecard and the Mulvany yard is firing; watch whether G.F. Carroll can position him in the slipstream of Ella's Gold from draw 11, as his chance depends heavily on securing a prominent berth in a field where that space is contested.
WATCH
Ella's Gold is the sole pace-setter and her ability to dictate is unquestioned, but if Ben Coen is asked to quicken the tempo she may leave rivals with nothing to chase — or if she weakens sharply late, the complexion of the race changes entirely; monitor market moves for any sign of a tactical change.
WATCH
Queen Of Astolat and Sweetie Too are genuine hold-up horses backed into the midfield on the map due to overcrowding at the rear; if either gets the run of things in the straight despite the compressed field, they could outrun their apparent position — but a clear passage must be considered far from guaranteed.
NOTE
The going is reported as Good to Yielding across all seven races at Clonmel today; conditions have not changed through the card, so the surface is consistent and no runner should be disadvantaged by late deterioration — those with proven form on this ground have a genuine edge.
5:35 — Camida Gold Champion Handicap
1m2f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 10 runners
Lead contested: Areana v ExpoundHISTORIC

How it ran

A Pretty Penny led; the map had Areana and Expound in front.

Sinbad My Dad won at 5.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
AreanaExpound
Prominent · 4
Satono ChevalierSinbad My DadA Pretty PennyEarthwatch
Midfield · 1
Lough Leane
Hold Up · 3
Quatre BrasSolomon CoopFemme Beauty
Areana and Expound are the two confirmed front-runners and will fight for the lead from the outset, creating a genuinely contested gallop over this mile-and-two on good-to-yielding ground at Clonmel. With Satono Chevalier, Sinbad My Dad, and Earthwatch all wanting prominent positions, there is notable congestion in the first half-mile, raising the risk of traffic interference two to three furlongs from home. This race shape — a contested lead setting an honest pace — typically burns off the non-stayers and sets things up for horses who can race prominently without being embroiled in the early scramble, then sustain their effort through the final quarter-mile on softish ground. Prominent types with proven stamina and the ability to travel smoothly into the race suit this shape best; genuine closers face an uncertain passage given how compressed the midfield will be. The field carries more prominent and front-running types than can all secure their preferred berths — Satono Chevalier, with the widest body of form at this trip, is best placed to land a prominent pitch, while Sinbad My Dad and Earthwatch may find themselves shuffled wider or further back than ideal.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Contested Lead, Prominent Wins
57% probability
If Areana and Expound fight for the front and the honest gallop scythes through the field, allowing a settled prominent runner to pick them off.
The two leaders burn each other out through the first half-mile, and a horse travelling smoothly just off them has the race set up perfectly as they weaken in the final two furlongs on softish ground. Prominent types who have already shown they stay this trip and handle similar ground are ideally placed to pounce.
A Pretty PennySatono ChevalierSinbad My DadFemme Beauty
B
Front-Runner Steals It
20% probability
If Areana or Expound breaks more cleanly, controls the fractions, and the pace proves kinder than expected.
One leader shakes off the other early and is allowed to bowl along at a manageable tempo, conserving enough energy to hold on through the final furlong. Areana's recent front-running wins show she can do this, though her tendency to fade late in a finish is the key risk.
AreanaExpoundSatono ChevalierSinbad My Dad
C
Closer Delivers Late
15% probability
If the early duel is genuinely fierce and the prominent pack gets tightly bunched, leaving a gap for a horse held up to thread through.
A genuinely strong gallop empties the race out, and a horse who has found daylight from the back arrives with a late run to catch a tiring field close home. Femme Beauty's solid recent form and three wins on good ground make her the most plausible beneficiary if she can find a clear passage.
Femme BeautyLough LeaneQuatre BrasSolomon Coop
D
Pace Collapse, Midfield Surge
8% probability
If traffic congestion disrupts the early order and the pace fractures, allowing a resurgent midfield runner to benefit from the chaos.
The bunching of prominent types creates interference two to three furlongs out, causing a disjointed finish where a horse caught in midfield sneaks through a gap. This is the least likely shape given the confirmed dual front-runners, but Sinbad My Dad's placed effort at this trip keeps him in contention if the race falls apart.
Sinbad My DadEarthwatchSatono ChevalierQuatre Bras

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHAreanabExpoundtpSatono ChevalierpSinbad My DadbA Pretty PennyEarthwatchtpLough LeanetQuatre BrasSolomon CoopFemme Beauty5. Areana6. Expound2. Satono Chevalier3. Sinbad My Dad1. A Pretty Penny7. Earthwatch8. Lough Leane9. Quatre Bras10. Solomon Coop4. Femme Beauty
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Areana ran just one day ago — watch for any signs of a below-par effort early, which would immediately change the pace dynamic if she fails to fire from the front.
KEY
The prominent group of Satono Chevalier, Sinbad My Dad, Earthwatch, and Expound all want to be in the first three or four — watch for significant jostling and potential interference on the first bend.
WATCH
Lough Leane is back quickly after 12 days and is a natural front-end horse likely to find himself in unfamiliar territory in midfield — watch whether Adam Browne-Souza can angle for a clear run two furlongs out.
WATCH
Femme Beauty is three years old and drops back from open company — if she gets caught in traffic behind the prominent bunching, her late run may arrive a fraction too late on softish ground.
NOTE
Areana's known tendency to fade in the finish combined with Expound's front-running style means the leader's advantage could be short-lived — watch whether either can sustain a clear lead turning for home.
6:10 — Camida Winning Solution Handicap
1m2f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 14 runners
Among The Pines likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ardeur led; the map had Among The Pines in front.

Guy's Girl won at 5.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Among The Pines
Prominent · 3
ArdeurBrewel HillShare The Treasure
Midfield · 6
Guy's GirlMiss GlenvilleMedieval NightChou ChouTalking ToughChant d'Or
Hold Up · 4
HastilyJazz DreamersReponse FinaleAlto Sax
Among The Pines is the confirmed sole front-runner and will control the tempo from the outset, likely rolling along at a sustainable gallop over this mile-and-two on ground officially described as Good to Yielding. With no rival genuinely keen to dispute the lead, Seamie Heffernan can dictate matters from draw three without burning excessive energy, creating a race that will be run at a measured, uncontested clip until the field rounds into the home straight. That controlled scenario typically sets up for hold-up runners who can produce a late burst, though the ground being on the softer side also rewards horses with stamina and the ability to travel through the pack from a prominent position. The field holds considerably more hold-up types than can all settle at the rear — Medieval Night, Chou Chou, Talking Tough, Chant d'Or and others will be forced to race closer to the pace than is ideal, which may blunt the effectiveness of a true late-closers' charge; the runners most likely to naturally secure the prominent berths behind Among The Pines are Reponse Finale and Ardeur. This race shape marginally favours prominent-to-midfield runners who travel smoothly and quicken from a good position in the straight, rather than those needing a truly hot pace to come from the clouds.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Controlled Pace, Prominent Pounce
54% probability
If Among The Pines dictates a steady tempo and a prominent traveller picks them off entering the home straight.
Among The Pines sets an uncontested gallop that keeps the race honest but not truly searching, and a horse tracking in second or third position is ideally placed to challenge two furlongs out and sustain the run to the line on the softening turf. Runners who travel prominently and have the stamina for this distance on Good to Yielding ground are directly in the firing line.
Chou ChouReponse FinaleArdeurMedieval Night
B
Late Closers Pick Up Scraps
22% probability
If the pace is just strong enough to string the field out and genuine hold-up horses can weave through beaten rivals in the final furlong.
A moderate-to-fair gallop set by Among The Pines still creates enough early attrition for a fresh-legged runner to pass tired horses in the closing stages, particularly on ground that rewards stamina over raw speed. The fact that several natural hold-up types will be racing closer than preferred reduces the pool of true closers, but Alto Sax and Reponse Finale have the profiles to benefit if gaps appear.
Alto SaxReponse FinaleChou ChouMedieval Night
C
Front Runner Sticks On
16% probability
If the pace is so sedate that Among The Pines bowls along well within themselves and simply has too much left in the tank at the finish.
A lone leader who never gets seriously pressed can steal a decisive advantage before the field wakes up, and on a flat course with no significant home-straight rise to find them out, a fresh, well-judged front-running ride could prove very difficult to reel in. Among The Pines is the obvious beneficiary, though the horse's recent form must improve sharply for the theory to be realised.
Among The PinesArdeurBrewel HillShare The Treasure
D
Messy, Competitive Finish
8% probability
If the prominent and midfield horses get bunched in a slow-run race and several challengers arrive together in the straight.
A pedestrian early pace can produce a sprint finish where positional advantage at the two-furlong pole is everything, and in a fourteen-runner handicap with multiple horses forced out of their preferred positions, crowding and traffic issues could shuffle the result unpredictably. Lower-rated runners with big handicap marks to exploit could sneak into the argument in this chaotic shape.
Guy's GirlTalking ToughHastilyJazz Dreamers

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHAmong The PinestArdeurBrewel HillShare The Treas…Guy's GirlpMiss GlenvilletpMedieval NighttbChou ChouTalking ToughpChant d'OrHastilyJazz DreamersbReponse FinaleAlto Saxb5. Among The Pines3. Ardeur6. Brewel Hill7. Share The Treasure8. Guy's Girl9. Miss Glenville4. Medieval Night1. Chou Chou10. Talking Tough11. Chant d'Or12. Hastily13. Jazz Dreamers2. Reponse Finale14. Alto Sax
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Among The Pines could exploit the uncontested lead — if Seamie Heffernan controls the gallop and the horse is fully fit after 110 days off, the temptation to wait and wait could see the field concede too much ground to reel in.|
WATCH
Chou Chou is the Strand Scorecard's top selection and will be racing closer than natural — watch how Conor Cusack positions the horse in the first three furlongs, as a poor early placing could undermine the selection's winning chance regardless of ability.|
WATCH
Reponse Finale arrives on just six days' rest after a recent run; Gavin Cromwell rarely rushes horses back without purpose, so monitor market moves — if gambled on, it is a significant indicator of stable confidence in the quick turnaround.|
NOTE
Miss Glenville has not run for 610 days and her going and fitness profile is entirely unknown — she is a potential wild card if the return has been well timed, but also a runner to watch for signs of greenness or unruliness in the early stages.|
NOTE
The cluster of hold-up horses forced into midfield — Medieval Night, Talking Tough, Chant d'Or — could create a logjam between the three-furlong and two-furlong markers; any horse drawn towards the outside rail in that group will have a significant advantage in terms of clear running.|
6:43 — Jerry McDonnell Memorial Tipperary Perpetual Cup Handicap
2m1f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 12 runners
Not Just Any Eagle likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Not Just Any Eagle led, as the map showed.

Not Just Any Eagle won at 6.00 — led, as the map had it.

7 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Not Just Any Eagle
Prominent · 3
MichonneHighwindTatateo
Midfield · 4
Filey BayLady PlimsollJabbarZanahiyr
Hold Up · 4
War RoomsZoffmanRoyal HollowTeed Up
Not Just Any Eagle is the sole confirmed pace-setter and, with only one horse prepared to make the running across a 12-runner field, should bowl along at a controlled, uncontested gallop over this 2m1f trip on ground that has eased to Good to Yielding. The prominent types — Michonne, Tatateo, and Highwind — will be content to track close behind rather than force the issue, meaning the pace is unlikely to be genuinely searching. Over this trip and going, front-runners and horses racing prominently have a strong record, while hold-up horses have consistently underperformed expectations, making a late swooping finish a less reliable weapon. The race shape strongly favours horses able to travel in the first half-dozen, with enough stamina to assert once Not Just Any Eagle's early lead is reeled in from the home turn.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Steady Pace, Prominent Wins
62% probability
If Not Just Any Eagle dictates a controlled gallop and the race is run at a rhythm that suits horses travelling in the top half.
The prominent-tracking trio of Michonne, Tatateo, and Highwind will have the energy reserves to quicken off the modest tempo, and the Good to Yielding surface rewards those who travel smoothly throughout rather than making up ground late. Lady Plimsoll, running from midfield with a consistent placed record at this trip, is ideally suited if she can creep into contention before the last.
Lady PlimsollMichonneTatateoHighwind
B
Late Surge After Collapse
17% probability
If Not Just Any Eagle sets a pace that burns out the prominent racers and the race fractures turning for home.
A genuine gallop over 2m1f on soft-ish ground can expose hold-up horses' stamina advantages, and War Rooms — who has won off a fast finish previously — and Royal Hollow, with a solid placed record at this distance, would be the main beneficiaries. Lady Plimsoll's consistent finishing thread still makes her a factor even from midfield.
War RoomsRoyal HollowLady PlimsollTeed Up
C
Midfield Horse Picks Up
14% probability
If the pace is muddling and horses ahead of the field tire entering the straight, leaving a gap for a strong-finishing midfield type.
Lady Plimsoll's consistency — four placings in her last five runs, including over this sort of trip — marks her as the standout candidate, while Jabbar, whose flat form shows placed efforts at 2m-plus, could pick up late ground. The Good to Yielding surface tempers the chance of a dramatic late burst, keeping this scenario to a supporting role.
Lady PlimsollJabbarFiley BayWar Rooms
D
Disruption Changes Shape
7% probability
If a rival challenges Not Just Any Eagle for the lead early, forcing a contested gallop that scrambles the anticipated race shape.
A pressured Not Just Any Eagle could fade in the straight, handing advantage to whoever has settled just off the pace — Michonne or Tatateo most likely — while Zanahiyr, lightly raced and unexposed over this trip, could emerge as a surprise beneficiary if the race plays into a staying test. This scenario depends on horses racing outside their typical patterns and is treated as a low-probability outcome.
MichonneZanahiyrTatateoRoyal Hollow

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHNot Just Any Ea…MichonneHighwindpTatateotFiley BayhtLady PlimsollJabbarpZanahiyrtpWar RoomspZoffmanpRoyal HollowTeed Up5. Not Just Any Eagle2. Michonne4. Highwind3. Tatateo6. Filey Bay1. Lady Plimsoll7. Jabbar8. Zanahiyr9. War Rooms10. Zoffman11. Royal Hollow12. Teed Up
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

WATCH
Not Just Any Eagle leads throughout but is racing somewhat out of his natural position — watch in running to see whether he finds a comfortable rhythm or starts to edge off the rail, which could signal he is below his best.
KEY
Lady Plimsoll is the Strand top selection and her consistent placing record makes her the one to watch in the straight; if she is seen travelling smoothly into the final half-mile she could prove very hard to peg back.
NOTE
War Rooms ran just four days ago — monitor his paddock behaviour and early movement, as a horse returning so quickly can show signs of tiredness that only become apparent once the race unfolds past the halfway point.
WATCH
The going at Clonmel has eased to Good to Yielding for this race, softer than what several runners have been running on recently — horses who have been struggling on better ground may be helped, while any with a soft-ground concern flagged in their form should be reassessed.
NOTE
Zanahiyr is lightly raced and genuinely unexposed over 2m1f; if Declan McDonogh is seen travelling keenly and with ease in the middle part of the race, the handicapper may not yet have caught up with this horse's ability.
7:13 — John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap
2m1f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 8 runners
Cornmarket likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Miss Gitana led; the map had Cornmarket in front.

Cornmarket won at 11.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Cornmarket
Prominent · 2
Highlander AddictMiss Gitana
Midfield · 3
Gallo Dell CieloPeace WalkRich Belief
Hold Up · 2
Duke OttoPiatra Neamt
Cornmarket is the sole confirmed pace-setter in this eight-runner field, likely to bowl along in front from draw three at a sustainable clip over the 2m1f trip on good-to-yielding ground. With no rival willing or able to seriously press for the lead, the race should develop at an even, uncontested tempo — the kind that keeps the field compact through the middle stages before quickening in the straight. Front-runners and prominent racers have an excellent record over this trip and going, and with a steady pace rather than a searching gallop, horses racing in the first half of the field will be ideally placed to pounce. This race shape strongly favours prominent-to-midfield runners who can track the pace comfortably and sustain their effort over the final half-mile, giving Gallo Dell Cielo and Highlander Addict the positional advantage they need.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent Tracker Wins
66% probability
If Cornmarket sets a sensible, uncontested pace and the race unfolds in an orderly fashion, those tracking in third to fifth are ideally placed.
The steady gallop on a flat track suits a horse that can sit just off the leader and strike smoothly when asked in the straight; Gallo Dell Cielo, who has won three times recently and handles this ground, is ideally positioned for exactly this scenario.
Gallo Dell CieloHighlander AddictRich BeliefMiss Gitana
B
Front Runner Holds On
17% probability
If the pace is genuinely modest and Cornmarket is allowed to coast through soft fractions with minimal pursuit, the leader could simply outstay the field.
A slow pace at 2m1f can catch the field flat-footed, rewarding the horse that dictates throughout; Cornmarket, though racing at a shorter trip than preferred, has the tactical advantage of setting the tempo entirely on its own terms.
CornmarketMiss GitanaHighlander AddictGallo Dell Cielo
C
Midfield Horse Pounces
11% probability
If the pace quickens sharply earlier than expected and the front-runners fade, a midfield horse with a strong staying profile could emerge late.
Rich Belief has placed five times in his last nine outings at trips around this range and on similar ground, making him a credible beneficiary if the race develops into a test of stamina.
Rich BeliefPeace WalkGallo Dell CieloHighlander Addict
D
Hold-Up Horse Sweeps Late
6% probability
If the pace is genuinely strong and the prominent horses are stretched, a back-marker could mop up late — though hold-up horses have a poor record over this trip and going.
Duke Otto and Piatra Neamt would require a pace collapse to appear on terms at the finish, and neither has the recent form or distance profile to inspire confidence in this shape.
Duke OttoPiatra NeamtRich BeliefPeace Walk

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHCornmarketbHighlander Addi…Miss GitanatGallo Dell CieloPeace WalkRich BelieftDuke OttoPiatra Neamtp5. Cornmarket2. Highlander Addict4. Miss Gitana1. Gallo Dell Cielo6. Peace Walk3. Rich Belief7. Duke Otto8. Piatra Neamt
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Cornmarket sets the pace entirely unopposed — watch whether he is allowed a soft lead through the first mile, as that could make him very difficult to pass in the straight.
WATCH
Gallo Dell Cielo is the Strand Scorecard selection and arrives in strong form with three recent wins, but carries 165lbs and is stepping up in trip — watch for any signs of weakening late as the distance tests his stamina limits.
WATCH
The Patrick J Flynn yard saddles three runners (Highlander Addict, Duke Otto, Gallo Dell Cielo) — watch for any market move that signals which of the trio is the stable's intended runner, as trainer returns in this 14-day window are modest.
NOTE
Rich Belief has a headguard fitted and tends to travel well in midfield — watch whether he gets a clear run turning for home, as his closing profile could make him dangerous if traffic opens up late.
NOTE
The going at Clonmel has been officially reported as good-to-yielding for the 2m1f races on the card — any further deterioration in ground conditions late in the evening would suit horses with proven stamina profiles over Rich Belief and Peace Walk.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 16 September 2026.

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Clonmel pace map, 16 September 2026 — PaceMap