4:40 — Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)
5f · Good To Soft · MDN · 13 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
5:12 — Follow Us On Social Media Handicap
5f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 11 runners
Rosie Frith to leadFREEHISTORIC
How it ran
Allsortz led; the map had Rosie Frith in front.
Allsortz won at 7.00 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.
4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Rosie Frith
Prominent · 4
Tornado KissBay Of SupremacyAllsortzTreasured Royal
Midfield · 3
Joyful TidingsLove BombSoulful Diva
Hold Up · 3
AmiataBad Boy RizzFox In Flight
Rosie Frith is the sole confirmed pace-setter and will dictate terms from the front without pressure in the early stages. The prominent runners Tornado Kiss, Joyful Tidings, Allsortz, Treasured Royal and Bay Of Supremacy will track her in a loose line, while the hold-up horses Amiata, Bad Boy Rizz, Fox In Flight and Soulful Diva will be held up in rear. With only one leader and a moderate pace likely, this race strongly favours the prominent runners who can position close enough to strike but avoid the front-running burden that may catch up with Rosie Frith.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Prominent Runners Dominate
60% probability
If the pace stays steady and Rosie Frith weakens in the final furlong
The trackers get first run on the tiring leader with enough left to hold off the closers. Bay Of Supremacy and Allsortz are perfectly positioned to capitalize on their recent good form.
Bay Of SupremacyAllsortzTornado KissTreasured Royal
B
Hold-Up Surge
25% probability
If the pace is genuinely slow and the field bunches up turning for home
The patient tactics of the hold-up horses pay dividends as they find clear runs through tiring horses. Amiata's class and Bad Boy Rizz's finishing kick become decisive factors.
AmiataBad Boy RizzFox In FlightSoulful Diva
C
Front Runner Holds On
10% probability
If Rosie Frith gets very soft fractions and the prominent horses fail to organize
The leader's tactical advantage proves insurmountable despite her big weight burden. Her stamina reserves from longer trips help her resist the late challengers.
Rosie FrithBay Of SupremacyTornado KissAmiata
D
Pace Collapse Scramble
5% probability
If several prominent runners go too early and stop quickly
The race becomes a messy affair where positioning trumps class ratings. The fresher horses with the clearest runs benefit from the tactical chaos.
Joyful TidingsFox In FlightLove BombSoulful Diva
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Rosie Frith dictating uncontested fractions could make her very hard to peg back despite the 141lb burden
WATCH
Bay Of Supremacy and Allsortz both racing prominently could clash for the same tactical position behind the leader
WATCH
Bad Boy Rizz needs luck in running from his hold-up style in a small field where gaps may be limited
NOTE
Amiata dropping back to 5f after 6f success requires sharp early pace to utilize his finishing kick
NOTE
Fox In Flight returning after 158-day break makes his fitness level the key unknown factor
5:42 — Buy Tickets Online At www.corkracecourse.ie Handicap
5f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 17 runners
Jordan Breeze likeliest to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Steel Magnolia led; the map had Jordan Breeze in front.
Jordan Breeze won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.
1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Jordan Breeze
Prominent · 6
An LaochmorKilmood SusanBallysax Lil' MickSnowballsArt Of UnitySteel Magnolia
Jered MaddoxJazzitSpirit AboveHero Of The HourOxford Circus
Jordan Breeze is the primary pace-setter with prominent runners Kilmood Susan, An Laochmor, Steel Magnolia, and Snowballs likely to sit close. With multiple prominent horses but only one confirmed leader, the pace should be honest but not destructive. The large field of 17 runners over the minimum trip creates tactical complications, with hold-up horses needing luck in running on the tight Cork circuit. This race shape favours prominent racers who can track the pace and kick, as pure front-runners may get pressured while hold-up horses face traffic problems in a big field sprint.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Prominent Tracker Prevails
45% probability
If Jordan Breeze sets sustainable fractions without excessive pressure
The pace-tracking horses get first run on the field while hold-up horses struggle for room in the cavalry charge. An Laochmor or Steel Magnolia can utilise their tactical speed to strike from ideal positions.
An LaochmorSteel MagnoliaJordan BreezeKilmood Susan
B
Front Runner Wire-to-Wire
25% probability
If Jordan Breeze breaks cleanly and the prominent horses don't press early
The leader gets an easy time in front and kicks clear in the final furlong before the field can organise. Jordan Breeze maintains her recent good form to hold off late challenges.
Jordan BreezeKilmood SusanAn LaochmorSteel Magnolia
C
Hold-Up Horse Traffic Luck
20% probability
If the pace collapses or a hold-up horse finds a clean passage
The early speed fizzles out creating a tactical affair where the patient riders benefit. Art Of Unity or Hero Of The Hour get the splits they need to unleash their finishing kicks.
Art Of UnityHero Of The HourOxford CircusOnly Spoofing
D
Pace Collapse Scramble
10% probability
If Jordan Breeze goes too slow and multiple horses converge simultaneously
The race becomes a messy sprint where any horse with tactical speed can win from any position. The form book goes out the window in a blanket finish where positioning matters more than ability.
Jordan Breeze breaking slowly would create early scrambling and tactical chaos in this big field sprint
WATCH
Rain arriving before the race significantly helps Art Of Unity and Steel Magnolia while hindering Hero Of The Hour
WATCH
An Laochmor and Colin Keane combination tracking Jordan Breeze closely through the early stages
NOTE
First-time headgear changes on Snowballs (blinkers retained) and Jazzit (first-time cheekpieces) for immediate impact
NOTE
The 3yo handicappers Spirit Above, Windsor Lily and Mini Cotai all stepping down significantly in trip for first time
6:12 — Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)
6f · Good To Soft · MDN · 14 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
6:42 — Cork Racecourse Maiden
7f · Good To Soft · MDN · 15 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
7:12 — Blackwater Apprentice Handicap
7f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 9 runners
Dragon Of Malta likeliest to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Smoke Them Out led; the map had Dragon Of Malta in front.
L L Koulsty won at 4.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.
3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Dragon Of Malta
Prominent · 3
L L KoulstySmoke Them OutSend Harry
Midfield · 2
Usuario AmigoGoal Exceeded
Hold Up · 3
Gleneagle BayMallavellyBrewing
Dragon Of Malta is the standout pace-setter with L L Koulsty and Send Harry likely to race prominently, but this looks a moderate pace scenario given the field composition. With five hold-up horses (Gleneagle Bay, Usuario Amigo, Mallavelly, Goal Exceeded, Brewing) and only three genuine early types, the tempo will be controlled rather than demanding. Dragon Of Malta can dictate terms without serious pressure through the early stages, setting up a tactical finish. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and front-runners who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will affect the large hold-up contingent in the straight.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Controlled Front Running
45% probability
If Dragon Of Malta gets an easy lead with L L Koulsty and Send Harry tracking.
The pace will be steady but not slow, allowing the leaders to kick clear when the hold-up horses are stillorganising. Front-runners and prominent racers avoid the scramble and have first run on the field.
Dragon Of MaltaL L KoulstySend HarrySmoke Them Out
B
Sustained Pace Battle
30% probability
If L L Koulsty and Send Harry press Dragon Of Malta early creating genuine tempo.
The increased pace will suit the proven hold-up performers who can produce their best finishing kicks. Mallavelly and Goal Exceeded have the class to capitalise on a strong gallop.
MallavellyGoal ExceededGleneagle BayUsuario Amigo
C
Traffic Jam Finish
15% probability
If the pace collapses completely and all nine runners hit the straight in a bunch.
The prominent racers get first run while the hold-up horses struggle for racing room in a blanket finish. L L Koulsty's 3yo profile and Send Harry's consistency give them the edge in a messy conclusion.
L L KoulstySend HarryDragon Of MaltaSmoke Them Out
D
Late Closer Triumph
10% probability
If Dragon Of Malta sets fractions too slow and the field compacts approaching the final furlong.
Usuario Amigo or Brewing could emerge from the pack if they get the perfect trip through. However, this requires everything to fall right for horses drawn in the pack.
Usuario AmigoBrewingGoal ExceededMallavelly
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Dragon Of Malta may need the run badly after 192 days off, despite being the logical pace-setter
WATCH
Watch for traffic problems in straight affecting Mallavelly, Goal Exceeded and other hold-up horses in small field
NOTE
L L Koulsty could be overpriced given 3yo allowance and forward style that suits this race shape
WATCH
Brewing's AW-only winning record makes him vulnerable on turf return in testing conditions
NOTE
Send Harry's consistency and prominent style could be undervalued in what looks a tactical contest
7:42 — Mallow Fillies Maiden
1m4f · Good To Soft · MDN · 13 runners
Camelot Queen to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
I Hope You Dance led; the map had Camelot Queen in front.
Carmel's Phoenix won at 6.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.
1 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Camelot Queen
Prominent · 1
Sangreal
Midfield · 7
WerifesteriaWalls CrossTickle The CatInvincible DestinyBenakiDe Vega QueenCosmetic
Hold Up · 4
Carmel's PhoenixGaoth ChuilI Hope You DanceMare Crisium
Camelot Queen is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the gate, likely setting a sustainable gallop without pressure through the early stages at this 1m4f trip. With most of the field showing hold-up tendencies (Gaoth Chuil, De Vega Queen, Mare Crisium, Carmel's Phoenix, I Hope You Dance, Cosmetic) and only Sangreal showing prominent tendencies, there's minimal early pace pressure. The lack of pace competition creates a tactical race where Camelot Queen can control fractions, while the hold-up brigade will need the leader to come back to them in the final furlongs. This race shape strongly favours the front-runner and any horse that can track closely, as the soft early pace may not provide enough tempo for the back-markers to make up significant ground.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Camelot Queen Controls All
45% probability
If Camelot Queen gets her own way in front through moderate fractions
She can dictate ideal fractions and prove hard to peg back, while the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground from too far back. The lack of pace pressure allows her to save energy for a sustained finish.
Camelot QueenSangrealCarmel's PhoenixI Hope You Dance
B
Late Charge Succeeds
30% probability
If the pace becomes very slow and the field bunches up turning for home
The hold-up horses get the perfect setup with a sprint finish from the back, allowing superior class to show. Carmel's Phoenix's Listed form and recent improvement become decisive factors.
Carmel's PhoenixI Hope You DanceSangrealCamelot Queen
C
Prominent Tracker Strikes
15% probability
If Sangreal tracks Camelot Queen closely and the fractions remain honest
The O'Brien filly can use her prominent style to stay in touch before out-battling the leader, while avoiding the traffic issues that may affect those held up. Her superior breeding and 270,000gns price tag suggest untapped ability.
SangrealCamelot QueenBenakiInvincible Destiny
D
Newcomer Surprise
10% probability
If one of the Harrington newcomers shows significant improvement on debut form
The Frankel breeding of Invincible Destiny or War Of Will bloodlines of Werifesteria could produce a performance well above their inexperienced profiles. Fresh legs and unexposed ability upset more exposed rivals.
Invincible DestinyWerifesteriaWalls CrossTickle The Cat
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Camelot Queen breaking slowly or being hustled early would completely alter the pace scenario and favour hold-up horses
WATCH
Watch for any newcomer showing early pace alongside Camelot Queen as this would create the tempo the hold-up horses need
NOTE
Shane Foley's tactics on Werifesteria will reveal whether Harrington expects immediate impact or is giving her experience
NOTE
Colin Keane's positioning on Gaoth Chuil in the early stages will show if she's expected to overcome her long absence
WATCH
Market moves for any of the Harrington or O'Brien newcomers could signal significant stable confidence in untapped ability
8:12 — Racing Again June 14th Handicap
1m2½f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 21 runners
Magna Gee Gee to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Not Simple led; the map had Magna Gee Gee in front.
Deuteronomy won at 23.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.
3 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Magna Gee Gee is the only confirmed front-runner in this large field and should get an uncontested lead at a sustainable gallop. With She's Ideal, Not Simple and Barretstown sitting prominent behind the leader, the pace will be steady rather than frantic through the early stages. The real race begins when the large pack of hold-up horses including Starting Monday, Khormor Syd and Hosanna Power mount their challenges from the 3f pole. This tactical setup strongly favours horses with a finishing kick who can stay the extended 1m2½f trip.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Hold-up horses dominate
65% probability
If the early pace stays moderate and the field remains bunched turning for home
Starting Monday and Khormor Syd will have ideal conditions to unleash their proven finishing kicks in the final 2f. Both have strong recent form and the tactical setup plays directly into their hands.
Starting MondayKhormor SydHosanna PowerSeti
B
Prominent runners capitalize
20% probability
If Magna Gee Gee sets genuine fractions and the hold-up brigade fails to quicken
She's Ideal can use her recent good form to stay on strongly, while Not Simple might recapture his Cork winning form from this position. The pace scenario would suit their racing styles perfectly.
She's IdealNot SimpleBarretstownMiss Crinshawn
C
Front-runner gets away
10% probability
If Magna Gee Gee builds an unassailable lead while the field hesitates behind
The leader could steal a march turning for home and prove hard to peg back despite moderate recent form. Her all-weather winning ability suggests she has untapped potential on turf.
Magna Gee GeeHighway Sixty OneRed VeilDeuteronomy
D
Complete outsider strikes
5% probability
If the pace collapses into a sprint finish and the fancied horses disappoint
Barretstown defends his course and distance victory from 2024, or long-absent Highway Sixty One capitalizes on his low weight. Chaos in large handicaps can produce shock results.
Starting Monday and Khormor Syd both represent the same yard which has strong recent form - expect one to be the chosen runner
WATCH
Magna Gee Gee could steal this if the field allows her too much rope in front given the lack of early pace pressure
NOTE
Several horses including Seti and Highway Sixty One are returning from long layoffs which makes their fitness questionable
WATCH
Multiple horses including Not Simple, Lauderdale King and Believeth have patterns of fading in the finish
NOTE
The large field size increases the chance of traffic problems for hold-up horses who need clear runs
About this analysis
Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.
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