Archive›Cork · 3 May 2026

Cork

3 May 2026 · 8 races

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Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

1:20 — Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

5f · Good To Soft · MDN · 12 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

1:55 — UNQUESTIONABLE Standing At Rathbarry Stud Maiden

6f · Good To Soft · MDN · 18 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:30 — Book Tickets Online At CorkRacecourse.ie Handicap

7f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 14 runners

Dos Mukasan likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Gerrit's Gem led; the map had Dos Mukasan in front.

Key Witness won at 5.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Dos Mukasan

Prominent · 5

Genuine ArticleKey WitnessDmaniacCollecting CoinGerrit's Gem

Midfield · 4

Va Va VroomDark ViperQuatre BrasBrewing

Hold Up · 4

Gleneagle BayFinal VoyageAviatriceNancy J

Dos Mukasan is the sole confirmed front runner and will set the early tempo from the gates. Key Witness, Collecting Coin, Dmaniac and Gerrit's Gem should track close behind in prominent positions, creating a solid group within the first four furlongs. The large field of hold-up horses including Gleneagle Bay, Final Voyage, Aviatrice and Nancy J will be positioned off the pace, relying on strong finishing kicks. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can sit close enough to strike but avoid the front-running burden that Dos Mukasan must carry under top weight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

65% probability

If the early pace is honest but not overly strong with Dos Mukasan controlling from the front

Key Witness and Collecting Coin can track the leader comfortably and have enough left to outfinish him in the straight, while the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground on the yielding surface.

Key WitnessCollecting CoinDmaniacGerrit's Gem

Hold-Up Challenge Succeeds

20% probability

If Dos Mukasan sets a strong pace under pressure from prominent runners

The pace collapses in the final two furlongs allowing Aviatrice and Gleneagle Bay to close from off the pace with their superior class ratings.

AviatriceGleneagle BayNancy JFinal Voyage

Front Runner Holds On

10% probability

If Dos Mukasan faces little early pressure and conserves energy through moderate fractions

His class from French victories tells as he maintains the lead throughout, while prominent runners lack the pace to get by and hold-up horses start their moves too late.

Dos MukasanKey WitnessCollecting CoinDmaniac

Outsider Emerges Late

5% probability

If the pace is genuinely run throughout creating a truly-run race scenario

Quatre Bras benefits from his recent turf form improvement and gets the strong pace he needs for his finishing kick to be effective.

Quatre BrasBrewingVa Va VroomDark Viper

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Dos Mukasan faces a potentially impossible task carrying 140lbs as the lone front runner in a 14-runner handicap

WATCH

Aviatrice returns after 177 days off her Listed AW win but drops 7lbs in the weights if fully tuned

NOTE

Key Witness has won his last two starts and Alan Persse's 5lb claim makes him effectively the best-treated runner

WATCH

The going has deteriorated from Good To Soft to Yielding which will test the stamina reserves of all runners

NOTE

Gerrit's Gem has won three times at Cork including over this 7f trip and represents stable debut value

3:05 — Goffs Irish EBF Polonia Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies)

5½f · Good To Soft · LST · 10 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ipanema Queen and Rosie Frith led, as the map showed.

Royal Bay Cen won at 8.50 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

Royal Bay CenRosie FrithBear On The RunTornado Kiss

Prominent · 4

Havana AnnaIpanema QueenThenandnowDawn Romance

Midfield · 1

Quiet Mutiny

Hold Up · 1

Oh Cecelia

Royal Bay Cen, Tornado Kiss, Bear On The Run, and Rosie Frith will clash for the early lead, creating a fierce gallop from the off. The prominent runners Havana Anna, Ipanema Queen, and Thenandnow face traffic dangers in the congested pack behind four confirmed front-runners. With such strong pace pressure over 5½f, the leaders will burn each other up in the opening half-mile. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and those who can settle off the pace, as the early gallop will set up a staying test that rewards late finishers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Benefits Closers

55% probability

If the four front-runners go too fast early and weaken significantly

Oh Cecelia's hold-up style becomes a major asset as she picks off tired leaders, while Havana Anna can use her class to sweep past fading pace-setters.

Oh CeceliaHavana AnnaQuiet MutinyIpanema Queen

Prominent Runners Avoid Traffic

25% probability

If Havana Anna and Ipanema Queen can secure clean runs behind the leaders

Their superior class tells as they avoid the early pace battle but stay close enough to strike, with the pace still strong enough to soften up the front rank.

Havana AnnaIpanema QueenOh CeceliaThenandnow

One Leader Dominates

12% probability

If Royal Bay Cen or Tornado Kiss can steal a march while rivals fight for position

The winner gets first run on the field and holds on grimly, taking advantage of their rivals' positioning battles to build an unassailable lead.

Royal Bay CenTornado KissRosie FrithBear On The Run

Midfield Surprise

8% probability

If the pace is just moderate enough to allow tactical runners to stay in touch

Thenandnow's recent form improvement and Dawn Romance's course familiarity allow them to benefit from a perfectly-judged ride through traffic.

ThenandnowDawn RomanceQuiet MutinyOh Cecelia

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Royal Bay Cen, Tornado Kiss, Bear On The Run, and Rosie Frith creating excessive pace pressure that burns them all up

WATCH

Havana Anna and Ipanema Queen getting trapped behind the wall of leaders with nowhere to go at the business end

NOTE

Oh Cecelia getting the perfect tow behind the strong gallop to unleash her finishing kick

WATCH

Quiet Mutiny's inexperience showing when the pace quickens in this much stronger company

NOTE

The ground conditions affecting the sprint finish, with several runners unproven on yielding surfaces

3:43 — HORSE AND JOCKEY HOTEL Cork Derby (Premier Handicap)

1m4f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 19 runners

Happy Pharoah likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Rock Of Ireland led; the map had Happy Pharoah in front.

Londonofficecallin won at 41.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

5 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Happy Pharoah

Prominent · 7

Helvic DreamTaipanPerry MasonKilmeadenStar HarbourLifting SailsSea Coral

Midfield · 5

ImmutableLondonofficecallinRock Of IrelandGenoahThatwilldoso

Hold Up · 6

Comfort ZoneNavy WatersMockingAlba ChiaraZoffmanTruth Be Told

Happy Pharoah will take them along from the front with minimal early pressure, as the prominent runners Helvic Dream, Taipan, Star Harbour and Londonofficecallin are unlikely to press aggressively early. This sets up a moderate gallop through the first mile with the large field bunching behind the leaders. The race will develop into a sprint finish over the final three furlongs as the hold-up horses Navy Waters, Comfort Zone, Zoffman, Truth Be Told, Mocking, Alba Chiara, Genoah and Thatwilldoso unleash their challenges. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up merchants who can deliver a sustained finish on the testing ground.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Happy Pharoah sets only a moderate pace and the race becomes tactical

The large field will converge entering the straight creating traffic problems for prominent racers while the patient hold-up horses get clear runs and superior finishing kicks. Navy Waters, Comfort Zone and Truth Be Told are perfectly positioned to exploit this scenario with their proven staying power at the trip.

Navy WatersComfort ZoneTruth Be ToldMocking

Prominent Pair Strike

25% probability

If the pace quickens approaching the straight and some hold-up horses get blocked

Happy Pharoah and Helvic Dream can utilise their forward positions to steal vital lengths while others are still organising their challenges behind. The yielding ground will blunt some finishing kicks allowing the prominent duo to hold on.

Happy PharoahHelvic DreamTaipanKilmeaden

Front Runner Wires Field

12% probability

If Happy Pharoah gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning for home

His Leopardstown specialist record and proven stamina reserves allow him to build an unassailable lead before the closers can respond. The testing conditions will sap the energy from late-running horses attempting to make up significant ground.

Happy PharoahLifting SailsImmutablePerry Mason

Unexposed Improver Strikes

8% probability

If the race develops into a true staying test favouring lightly-raced types

Truth Be Told's trainer switch and step back up in trip could unlock significant improvement that catches more exposed rivals off guard. Lifting Sails also fits this profile having shown promise in limited turf appearances.

Truth Be ToldLifting SailsGenoahSea Coral

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Happy Pharoah could steal this if allowed uncontested lead as his three Leopardstown wins prove his effectiveness when controlling pace

WATCH

Navy Waters represents clear danger from rear given his proven stamina at this trip and victory over Alba Chiara previously

WATCH

Truth Be Told switching trainers after 206-day break could produce significant improvement when stepping back up to preferred distance

NOTE

Comfort Zone showed strong finishing effort when third at Naas in October suggesting readiness for longer trip challenge

NOTE

Track any market move for Genoah given his low turf rating may not reflect true ability despite limited grass experience

4:15 — Racing Again Sunday, May 10th Apprentice Handicap

1m · Good To Soft · HCAP · 11 runners

L L Koulsty likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Venetian Star led; the map had L L Koulsty in front.

Johnny Soda won at 4.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

L L Koulsty

Prominent · 3

KalirVenetian StarJojo's Legacy

Midfield · 4

Johnny SodaCoincidental GloryHarmaniGrey Intentions

Hold Up · 3

Matilda JoslyngageArctic AssassinBear Right

L L Koulsty appears the most natural pace-setter with proven front-running ability, likely to get an uncontested lead given the predominantly prominent/hold-up field composition. The large contingent of prominent runners (Harmani, Jojo's Legacy, Kalir, Coincidental Glory, Venetian Star, Johnny Soda) will likely settle just behind the leader rather than pressure early. With hold-up horses Arctic Assassin, Matilda Joslyngage, Bear Right and Grey Intentions waiting in rear, this sets up a steady gallop with the real action delayed until the final 2-3 furlongs. This pace scenario strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can utilize the uncontested fractions.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If L L Koulsty gets soft fractions without early pressure

The proven course winner controls from the front while prominent runners hesitate to commit early on the yielding ground. L L Koulsty's stamina proves decisive as hold-up horses find insufficient pace to close effectively.

L L KoulstyCoincidental GloryHarmaniJohnny Soda

Prominent Battle Develops

30% probability

If multiple prominent runners press L L Koulsty from halfway

Harmani, Johnny Soda and Kalir engage the leader turning in, creating a strong gallop that exposes stamina limitations. The most resolute stayer among the prominent group prevails in a driving finish.

Johnny SodaKalirCoincidental GloryHarmani

Late Closer Strikes

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely in the final quarter-mile

Arctic Assassin and Matilda Joslyngage benefit from an overly steady tempo that allows their finishing kicks to be effective. The Curragh winner Arctic Assassin's recent form advantage proves decisive in a tactical finish.

Arctic AssassinMatilda JoslyngageL L KoulstyBear Right

Complete Pace Collapse

10% probability

If no horse wants to make the running early

The field bunches dangerously with multiple runners hitting the front simultaneously in the final furlong. Chaos ensues with any horse capable of quickening late having chances regardless of rating.

Grey IntentionsBear RightVenetian StarJojo's Legacy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

L L Koulsty breaking fast and getting uncontested fractions will be extremely difficult to peg back

WATCH

Arctic Assassin settling kindly in rear given recent winning form provides significant closing threat

NOTE

Matilda Joslyngage's ability to handle the step back up in class after 206-day absence

NOTE

Johnny Soda and Venetian Star both running prominently early will indicate if genuine pace pressure develops

WATCH

Multiple prominent runners bunching turning in could create traffic problems for hold-up horses

4:50 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)

1m2½f · Good To Soft · MDN · 13 runners

Lead contested: Zitkala Sa v AravalliHISTORIC

How it ran

Yousaynothingatall led; the map had Zitkala Sa and Aravalli in front.

Yousaynothingatall won at 2.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Zitkala SaAravalli

Prominent · 1

Contrite

Midfield · 6

Spa RosePalinaMare CrisiumChurchfield LadyLady KellyThemis

Hold Up · 4

YousaynothingatallDreamkeeperLake BonneyMiss Romagna

Zitkala Sa and Aravalli will contest the early lead in this fillies maiden, with both confirmed front-runners likely to post honest fractions over the 1m2½f trip on yielding ground. The honest gallop they set will create a tactical race where the prominent runners like Contrite can track the pace, while the hold-up horses including Yousaynothingatall, Lake Bonney and Dreamkeeper will have plenty to do from the back. The sustained gallop and testing ground conditions heavily favour the prominent racers and early position runners over pure hold-up performers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Tracker Prevails

45% probability

If the two leaders engage early and create honest fractions throughout

The sustained pace will set up perfectly for horses like Contrite and the debut runners with prominent styles to strike late. Hold-up horses will struggle to make up ground on the testing surface against the solid gallop.

ContriteMare CrisiumChurchfield LadyPalina

Hold-Up Horse Surge

30% probability

If the early pace becomes overly strong between Zitkala Sa and Aravalli

The front-runners will weaken in the final furlong, allowing the proven hold-up performers to close strongly. Yousaynothingatall's class and Lake Bonney's Ballydoyle polish become decisive factors.

YousaynothingatallLake BonneyDreamkeeperMiss Romagna

Front Runner Survives

15% probability

If one of the leaders gets an uncontested lead and dictates moderate fractions

Either Aravalli or Zitkala Sa will kick clear entering the straight and hold on gamely. The lack of early pressure allows the pace-setter to reserve enough energy for the finish.

AravalliZitkala SaContriteMare Crisium

Newcomer Surprise

10% probability

If the debut runners show significantly more ability than their pedigrees suggest on paper

The combination of freshness and untapped potential allows one of the first-time starters to overcome their inexperience. The yielding ground plays to their advantage as stamina types.

Mare CrisiumChurchfield LadyPalinaSpa Rose

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Yousaynothingatall drops significantly in class after near-miss in handicap company and could outclass this maiden field

WATCH

Watch the market for Mare Crisium and Churchfield Lady as stable confidence could reveal hidden ability in these well-bred debutants

WATCH

If either Zitkala Sa or Aravalli gets an uncontested early lead the pace could collapse and favour the front-runner

NOTE

Lake Bonney represents powerful Ballydoyle operation and any market support would be significant given debut promise

NOTE

Ground conditions have deteriorated to yielding which will test the stamina reserves of all runners over this extended distance

5:27 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden

1m2½f · Good To Soft · MDN · 13 runners

Frank Pickle likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Atomic City led; the map had Frank Pickle in front.

Atomic City won at 1.33 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Frank Pickle

Prominent · 2

Dreamed To DreamSunrush

Midfield · 6

Hard PromisesGaelic DrillsRoi Du NordAbbotsfordSilver CuffMusical Master

Hold Up · 4

MaxminelliAtomic CityRoaming CoyoteAmrum

Frank Pickle is the only confirmed front runner in this 13-runner maiden, meaning he can dictate terms without early pressure over this testing 1m2½f trip on yielding ground. The pace will be sustainable rather than punishing, with prominent runners like Sunrush and Dreamed To Dream likely to track behind Frank Pickle through the early stages. With most of the field comprising hold-up horses including Atomic City, Hard Promises, and the lightly-raced Gaelic Drills, the race will develop into a patient affair before the real action begins in the final three furlongs. This controlled pace scenario clearly favours prominent racers and those with tactical speed who can position close to the pace, as the hold-up brigade will face a wall of horses when making their moves.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Prominent

65% probability

If Frank Pickle sets uncontested fractions and the pace stays steady

The race becomes a tactical affair where horses positioned handy can kick clear before the backmarkers organize their challenges. Prominent runners with class get first run on the field.

Frank PickleGaelic DrillsSunrushDreamed To Dream

Late Surge From Quality

20% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes crawling

The race turns into a sprint finish where the highest-rated horses with natural ability can overcome poor positioning. Class tells in a bunched finish.

Hard PromisesAtomic CityMaxminelliRoi Du Nord

Front Runner Folds Early

10% probability

If Frank Pickle doesn't handle the yielding ground or trips

The race lacks early pace and becomes messy with no clear leader, suiting horses that can adapt tactically. Mid-division runners benefit from the chaos.

Gaelic DrillsAtomic CityMaxminelliAmrum

Surprise Package Emerges

5% probability

If one of the newcomers or lightly-raced horses shows unexpected improvement

A horse with hidden ability or significant improvement takes advantage of weak opposition in this moderate maiden. Breeding and connections matter.

Hard PromisesAbbotsfordRoi Du NordAmrum

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Frank Pickle could get an uncontested lead but may not stay this trip on testing ground under pressure

WATCH

Hard Promises is a complete unknown on debut but expensive breeding suggests significant ability

NOTE

Gaelic Drills showed promise on debut for Bolger and is open to major improvement

WATCH

Atomic City needs cover in running but could struggle to get competitive position from wide draw

NOTE

Track the market moves on Roi Du Nord and Abbotsford as both have question marks but potential upside

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 3 May 2026.

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