1:25 — 1xBet.ie Supports Safe Gambling Fillies Maiden
6f · Heavy · MDN · 12 runners
Spring Is Here likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 1
Spring Is Here
Prominent · 3
CloselyAmerilisSlaney View
Midfield · 4
OpaliteMeridenFocacciaOchtar Againn
Hold Up · 4
Little Sure ShotAboveheronlyskyEspritroyaleDeirdreanme
Spring Is Here appears the most likely sole pace-setter with her prominent style, creating a sustainable tempo that shouldn't collapse. The strong hold-up contingent of Little Sure Shot, Aboveheronlysky, Deirdreanme and Espritroyale will sit off the pace, while prominent runners Slaney View, Amerilis and Closely should track within striking distance. This sets up a tactical affair where the pace-setter could steal a march if the closing brigade doesn't coordinate their challenge effectively.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Pace-setter gets away
35% probability
If Spring Is Here faces no early pressure and dictates alone
She builds a decisive advantage through honest fractions while the field sits too far back. The closers leave their run too late on the testing ground.
Spring Is HereCloselySlaney ViewAmerilis
B
Prominent battle develops
30% probability
If multiple prominent runners press Spring Is Here from the start
Slaney View and Amerilis join the pace battle, creating stronger gallop that sets up the race for closers. Little Sure Shot benefits from the stronger tempo.
Little Sure ShotAboveheronlyskyCloselySpring Is Here
C
Unknown quantity strikes
25% probability
If one of the lightly-raced newcomers Focaccia, Meriden or Opalite shows unexposed ability
The market principals cancel each other out while a progressive newcomer with undisclosed talent capitalizes. Their fresh legs prove decisive on the demanding surface.
FocacciaMeridenOpaliteLittle Sure Shot
D
Tactical mess unfolds
10% probability
If the pace becomes crawling slow with everyone waiting
Spring Is Here dictates at funeral pace until a mad dash home where luck in running decides. The best-positioned prominent runner survives the scrimmage.
AmerilisSlaney ViewSpring Is HereClosely
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Spring Is Here could steal this if allowed uncontested lead on the heavy ground
WATCH
Little Sure Shot needs the pace to develop properly to unleash her finishing kick
NOTE
Market support for Focaccia, Meriden or Opalite would signal significant undisclosed ability
WATCH
Deirdreanme and Espritroyale both show concerning late fade patterns in recent runs
NOTE
Early positioning of Amerilis and Closely will determine if Spring Is Here gets easy lead
1:55 — Your Game. Your Odds. Your 1xBet.ie Handicap
5f · Heavy · HCAP · 15 runners
Erosandpsyche likeliest to leadHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 1
Erosandpsyche
Prominent · 5
Stag NightNezeehDmaniacBodhi BearStaysound Susie
Midfield · 5
AirspeedSmoke Them OutMagical VisionHeavenly PowerSommelier
Hold Up · 4
KekeTolebiGazelle d'OrGo Athletico
Erosandpsyche will set the early tempo with Stag Night, Smoke Them Out, and Dmaniac likely to join the vanguard on this testing heavy ground. With multiple prominent runners but no confirmed speed merchants, the pace should be genuine but not suicidal, setting up perfectly for the strong contingent of hold-up horses including Tolebi, Keke, and Heavenly Power to unleash finishing kicks.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Sustained Pace Favours Closers
40% probability
If the prominent runners maintain a solid gallop throughout
The early pace will be honest with Erosandpsyche, Stag Night and Dmaniac ensuring no dawdling. This sets up perfectly for the hold-up brigade to produce their customary late charges on ground that rewards stamina.
TolebiKekeHeavenly PowerGazelle d'Or
B
Front Runners Steal March
25% probability
If Erosandpsyche and Stag Night get loose on the front end
The heavy ground could catch out some of the hold-up horses if the pace becomes too moderate early on. Those who position prominently and have proven heavy ground form like Stag Night and Dmaniac can capitalize on any tactical errors.
Stag NightDmaniacSmoke Them OutMagical Vision
C
Tactical Battle Unfolds
20% probability
If jockeys get into a waiting game and the pace becomes stop-start
The large field and multiple hold-up horses could create a messy tactical affair with riders reluctant to commit early. This would favor those with natural speed who can quicken from any position like Nezeeh and Airspeed.
NezeehAirspeedBodhi BearStaysound Susie
D
Heavy Ground Specialist Emerges
15% probability
If the testing conditions become the decisive factor
The heavy surface could level the ratings differential and favor those who have consistently performed on similar going. Magical Vision's outstanding heavy ground record (4W 6P from 12 runs) becomes the trump card.
Magical VisionSmoke Them OutDmaniacStaysound Susie
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Keke's complete lack of form on similar going (0 wins, 0 places from 3 runs) makes the odds-on favoritism highly questionable
WATCH
Erosandpsyche could get an easy lead if rivals are reluctant to commit early in the heavy conditions
WATCH
Magical Vision's exceptional heavy ground record could be underestimated by the market given the lower OR
NOTE
Tolebi and Heavenly Power need the prominent runners to maintain a solid pace to be effective
NOTE
The large field of 15 runners increases the chance of traffic problems for the hold-up horses in the closing stages
2:30 — McDonnell's Bar Handicap
1m4f · Heavy · HCAP · 15 runners
Dutch Gold likeliest to leadHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 1
Dutch Gold
Prominent · 5
God Of ThunderCoul DreamerMr RangoNelson MuntzMaeve Brennan
Dutch Gold will likely lead or share the early pace with several prominent racers including Nelson Muntz, God Of Thunder, and Coul Dreamer creating a competitive but not frantic early gallop. The heavy ground will test stamina reserves in the final 3f, favoring those who can stay on strongly while the early pace-setters may struggle to sustain their effort on the testing surface.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Sustained gallop suits
35% probability
If Dutch Gold sets a steady pace without being pressed hard early
The genuine pace allows front-runners to stay on, with prominent racers having enough left for the finish. Hold-up horses find it difficult to make up ground on the heavy surface.
Dutch GoldCoul DreamerGod Of ThunderNelson Muntz
B
Hold-up horses dominate
30% probability
If the early pace becomes too strong with multiple prominent racers competing
The testing ground takes its toll on early leaders in the final 2f, creating opportunities for closers. Factual Fact and Neptunes Staircase can use their superior ratings to full effect.
If recent heavy ground form becomes the decisive factor
Horses with winning heavy ground experience gain a crucial advantage as others struggle with the conditions. Mr Rango and Factual Fact's recent heavy victories count heavily.
Factual FactMr RangoMaeve BrennanRaydamann
D
Moderate pace favors all
10% probability
If Dutch Gold leads uncontested with minimal early pressure
The sedate gallop keeps all runners in contention turning for home, creating a cavalry charge finish. The highest-rated horses with tactical speed prove decisive.
Neptunes StaircaseDutch GoldFactual FactBlue Moon Boy
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Dutch Gold's recent 24th on heavy ground at shorter trip suggests serious form concerns despite being likely leader.
WATCH
Arch Enemy historically fades in the finish which could be magnified by the stamina-sapping heavy conditions.
WATCH
Rock Of Ireland has shown no recent form of note and may struggle to compete at this level.
NOTE
Mr Rango's extensive heavy ground experience could prove decisive if the surface becomes the key factor.
NOTE
Factual Fact's recent heavy ground victory makes him the form choice if hold-up horses get their chance.
3:05 — 1xBet.ie Supports Irish Racing Gladness Stakes (Listed Race)
7f · Heavy · LST · 10 runners
Wannabe Royal to leadHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 1
Wannabe Royal
Prominent · 2
Big GosseyAlbert Einstein
Midfield · 4
Lord MassususPrincess ChildSaracenNeolithic
Hold Up · 3
Ten Bob TonyRahmiEast Hampton
Wannabe Royal will be the sole leader with Albert Einstein and Big Gossey tracking prominently, creating a sustainable gallop that won't collapse. With eight hold-up horses bottled up behind a modest pace, the race will develop into a cavalry charge from the 2f pole where positioning and traffic navigation become critical.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Front End Holds Firm
25% probability
If Wannabe Royal maintains a strong gallop and the prominent horses stay close
Albert Einstein and Big Gossey get first run on the leaders while the hold-up brigade struggle for racing room. The early pace proves just fast enough to blunt the finishing kicks of the closers.
Albert EinsteinBig GosseyWannabe RoyalTen Bob Tony
B
Perfect Pace For Closers
35% probability
If Wannabe Royal sets a steady tempo allowing the field to compress turning in
The hold-up horses get their ideal scenario with a sprint finish developing from 2f out. Quality prevails as the best closers with racing room surge past tired leaders.
Ten Bob TonyRahmiPrincess ChildEast Hampton
C
Tactical Messy Finish
25% probability
If the moderate pace creates bunching and traffic problems in the straight
Several hold-up horses get hampered while others find clear runs at different times. The winner emerges from those who avoid trouble and get their heads down first.
East HamptonPrincess ChildSaracenLord Massusus
D
Sustained Speed Wins
15% probability
If Albert Einstein or Big Gossey press Wannabe Royal creating genuine pace throughout
The increased tempo stretches the field and prevents the typical sprint finish materializing. Horses with tactical speed who can position prominently prove best suited.
Albert EinsteinBig GosseyTen Bob TonyEast Hampton
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Eight hold-up horses behind modest pace creates serious traffic risks - watch for early positioning moves
WATCH
Wannabe Royal's stamina reserves crucial as sole leader - any weakening turns race into sprint
WATCH
Big Gossey and Albert Einstein's prominence vital - if they sit too far back the pace dies completely
NOTE
Princess Child and East Hampton have best heavy ground records among closers - watch their passages
NOTE
Ten Bob Tony's jockey tactics critical - needs to be closer than usual given weak pace setup
3:40 — 1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Maiden
Thisistheway will lead from the start with Loch Gamhna and Templenoe likely to track him in the early stages, creating a modest pace in the heavy conditions. The majority of the field are hold-up horses including the top-rated Listentodwindblow, Mr Perth and Hiltons Pass, which should allow the pace to build gradually rather than create early pressure. This setup favors horses that can either sustain from the front or have the stamina to finish strongly through the testing ground.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Thisistheway Controls Tempo
35% probability
If Thisistheway gets an easy lead and dictates a steady gallop
The front runner builds a decisive advantage in the heavy going while the hold-up horses struggle to make ground. His proven stamina over longer trips and solid going form gives him the edge.
ThisisthewayLoch GamhnaTemplenoeZenford
B
Closers Battle Home
40% probability
If the pace becomes genuinely run with early pressure on the leader
The heavy ground saps the front runners and sets up a finish for the hold-up horses with stamina. Listentodwindblow's class tells despite his poor recent form, while Mr Perth's unknown ability could be significant.
ListentodwindblowMr PerthHiltons PassZenford
C
Prominent Horses Prevail
20% probability
If the race develops into a war of attrition in the heavy conditions
The horses racing in midfield positions get first run on the leaders and hold off the back markers. Loch Gamhna's recent heavy ground third gives him the edge over Templenoe who has struggled on similar going.
Loch GamhnaTemplenoeThisisthewaySpacebound
D
Longshot Surprise
5% probability
If the favorites fail to handle the conditions or distance
The heavy going levels the playing field and a horse with untapped stamina reserves emerges. Darwin's Angel's breeding suggests he could improve for the step up in trip on this surface.
Darwin's AngelSpaceboundZenfordBilly Jean
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Thisistheway must be watched for how easily he gets to the front as any early pressure could compromise his stamina
WATCH
Mr Perth's market support will indicate connections' confidence about his heavy ground ability
NOTE
Listentodwindblow needs to be positioned closer than usual given his recent poor form
WATCH
Hiltons Pass and Lewis Carroll both show fading patterns so early position will be crucial
NOTE
The pace in the first two furlongs will determine whether this becomes a staying test or tactical affair
4:15 — Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap
1m · Heavy · HCAP · 14 runners
Lead contested: Inventress v Frank PickleHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 2
InventressFrank Pickle
Prominent · 3
Perry MasonAnnie's AngelElectric Beauty
Midfield · 5
Spanish TemptressShoot To KillCharming WhisperSir JeremySpace Warrior
Hold Up · 4
Pillar Of HopeTitaniumEarlsAbbey Actress
Inventress and Frank Pickle will dispute the early lead, with Inventress likely to gain control given her superior rating and recent front-running form. The heavy going will produce an honest, testing gallop that should suit the many hold-up performers in this field. This pace setup favors the strong finishers like Abbey Actress, Pillar Of Hope, and Spanish Temptress who can close late when the leaders tire.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Strong early pace
35% probability
If Inventress and Frank Pickle engage in a sustained speed duel through the first half
The honest gallop becomes punishing on heavy ground, opening up the race for closers with tactical speed. Hold-up horses with proven heavy going form get first run on tired leaders.
Abbey ActressSpanish TemptressPillar Of HopeTitanium
B
Controlled front running
30% probability
If Inventress gets a soft lead with Frank Pickle unable to match her early speed
The favorite dictates terms and keeps enough in reserve to resist late challenges on ground that suits her racing style. Front-runners with tactical awareness hold sway over closers.
InventressPerry MasonElectric BeautyAnnie's Angel
C
Mid-race acceleration
25% probability
If the early pace is steady but Perry Mason or Annie's Angel inject pace from the 4-furlong pole
The race becomes a test of who can quicken best when it matters most, suiting horses with proven tactical speed. Prominent racers with finishing kicks gain advantage over pure hold-up horses.
Perry MasonElectric BeautyAnnie's AngelSpanish Temptress
D
Slow burn finish
10% probability
If both leaders go too slow early and the field remains tightly bunched turning for home
The heavy ground creates a war of attrition where stamina and heavy going experience become paramount. Horses with proven heavy going records and strong staying power prevail.
Pillar Of HopeTitaniumEarlsAbbey Actress
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Frank Pickle's poor heavy going record makes him vulnerable if forced into early pace battle with Inventress
WATCH
Abbey Actress has winning heavy going form but needs strong pace to set up her closing kick
NOTE
Spanish Temptress has excellent heavy conditions record and could be overlooked despite three heavy wins
WATCH
Perry Mason's recent heavy going success makes him dangerous if allowed to travel prominently
NOTE
Electric Beauty's last-start heavy going win suggests current form suits these testing conditions
4:50 — Final Furlong Podcast At 1xBet.ie Maiden
1m2f · Heavy · MDN · 11 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
5:25 — Cavalor Equine Nutrition Handicap
7f · Heavy · HCAP · 23 runners
Royal Impact likeliest to leadHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 1
Royal Impact
Prominent · 8
Merisi DiamondEichan SanMickey The SteelGoldrush KidGenuine JimNot SimpleRed CharlieKilgharrahs Love
Midfield · 7
MereparkLough LeaneMogwliFerrari DesertDeuteronomyAnightawayHell Left Loose
Royal Impact will likely lead from the start with Mickey The Steel, Eichan San and Merisi Diamond tracking close behind in the early stages. The sustainable pace will allow hold-up horses like Zipster, God Knows and Secret Magician to position themselves ideally for late challenges. This pace shape strongly favors closers given the heavy ground conditions and moderate early gallop.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Sustained Gallop Finish
35% probability
If Royal Impact maintains a steady tempo without being pressured early
The pace quickens gradually from the 3f pole allowing prominent runners to stay competitive. Hold-up horses get their ideal setup but face a wall of runners ahead.
God KnowsZipsterMickey The SteelGenuine Jim
B
Late Kick Dominates
30% probability
If the pace stays very modest until the final 2f then explodes
Royal Impact and the prominent runners get caught flat-footed by a sudden injection of pace. The best closers with tactical speed capitalize on the slow early fractions.
ZipsterSecret MagicianGod KnowsRampage
C
Front Runners Persist
25% probability
If Royal Impact gets an easy lead and the challengers wait too long
The leader maintains rhythm on the heavy ground while others struggle to make up ground in testing conditions. Prominent runners who stayed handy throughout prove best placed.
Royal ImpactMickey The SteelEichan SanGoldrush Kid
D
Messy Scramble
10% probability
If Royal Impact fades and multiple prominent runners clash for the lead mid-race
The pace becomes uneven with several horses vying for control turning for home. This creates gaps for hold-up horses but also makes their task more difficult in heavy going.
Ferrari DesertLough LeaneDeuteronomyMogwli
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Royal Impact could get too easy a lead if prominent runners don't engage early enough
WATCH
Multiple faders in field including Zabriskie Point, Red Charlie and Green Icon could cause traffic problems late
WATCH
Mickey The Steel's consistent prominent style makes him dangerous if getting first run on leaders
NOTE
Heavy ground specialists God Knows and Lough Leane both showed recent winning form in similar conditions
NOTE
Secret Magician's extensive heavy ground experience could prove decisive despite poor recent form
About this analysis
Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.
Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.