Archive›Doncaster · 14 June 2026

Doncaster

14 June 2026 · 8 races

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2:00 — Apres Christmas Village At Doncaster Racecourse Apprentice Handicap

1m4f · Soft · HCAP · 6 runners

No obvious leaderFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Idyllic led.

Optician won at 5.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

Holly MistCaledonianIdyllicRed Derek

Hold Up · 2

TigerOptician

With all six runners showing hold-up tendencies and no confirmed pace-setters, this small field will likely settle into a pedestrian early gallop. Holly Mist may find herself reluctantly setting the pace from Tiger and Optician, but none will want to make the running on testing ground over this staying trip. The lack of early pace will create a bunched field turning for home, leading to a tactical sprint finish where positioning and a clear run will be crucial. This race shape strongly favours horses with tactical speed who can quicken off a slow pace rather than pure stamers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Slow Pace Tactical Finish

55% probability

If the early pace is pedestrian with Holly Mist reluctantly leading

The field will be tightly bunched at the two-furlong pole, turning this into a sprint finish where tactical speed and a clear run matter most. Horses who can quicken off the bridle will have a significant advantage over pure stamina types.

TigerHolly MistOpticianCaledonian

Mid-Race Positioning Battle

25% probability

If Tiger and Optician challenge Holly Mist for the lead entering the back straight

A genuine pace will develop mid-race, stretching the field and creating a more honest test of stamina on the testing ground. This will suit horses who can stay strongly rather than those relying on a turn of foot.

IdyllicRed DerekCaledonianTiger

Early Breakaway Success

12% probability

If Holly Mist or Tiger decides to make all from the front

The lack of pace pressure will allow the leader to dictate terms and potentially steal a march on the field. Late challengers will struggle to peg back a horse who has conserved energy up front.

Holly MistTigerRed DerekOptician

Complete Stalemate Sprint

8% probability

If all six horses sit and wait until the final two furlongs

The race will become a pure lottery where the best-positioned horse with the clearest run will prevail regardless of ability. Class and form lines become almost irrelevant in this type of tactical battle.

OpticianCaledonianTigerHolly Mist

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tiger's trainer Ian Williams is 0/40 in the last 14 days, suggesting stable confidence may be low

WATCH

Watch for early positioning of Holly Mist as she may reluctantly inherit the lead and dictate the pace

NOTE

Monitor how aggressively the jockeys ride early - any pushing for position could create the pace this race lacks

WATCH

Red Derek carries just 121lbs and could be underestimated given his solid record on testing ground

NOTE

Caledonian returns after a 30-day break which could be ideal preparation for this staying test

2:30 — British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Soft · NOV · 13 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:00 — Hilton Garden Inn Doncaster "Confined" Novice Stakes (Two Runs Or Less) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Soft · NOV · 6 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:30 — Summer Saturday Series At Doncaster Racecourse Handicap

7f · Soft · HCAP · 16 runners

Rousham likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Surgeon Commander and Hakin Adraar led; the map had Rousham in front.

Gunalt Wavelength won at 5.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

5 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Rousham

Prominent · 1

Popty Ping

Midfield · 9

Black Rock BeautyWillowinghurnSingardaHakin AdraarGunalt WavelengthLifeguardSurgeon CommanderForever TwentyOnly Dream Big

Hold Up · 5

Circle Of TrustNorfolk BlueUncertaintyMagic Lady MaeEyes Front

Rousham and Popty Ping will set a sustainable gallop from the front, with both prominent runners unlikely to create excessive early pressure. The majority field of hold-up horses including Circle Of Trust, Norfolk Blue, and Black Rock Beauty will be happy to settle and wait for the turn-in kick. This creates a moderate pace that should stay even throughout, building to a cavalry charge finish as the field bunches up in the final two furlongs. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up horses who can deliver their finishing kick from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominant

55% probability

If the pace stays even and the field comes together turning for home

The large contingent of closers get ideal racing conditions with plenty to aim at. Circle Of Trust, Black Rock Beauty, and Norfolk Blue can time their challenges perfectly off the sustainable gallop.

Circle Of TrustBlack Rock BeautyNorfolk BlueGunalt Wavelength

Front Runners Steal It

25% probability

If Rousham and Popty Ping are allowed too easy a lead through steady fractions

The pace-setters kick clear before the hold-up brigade can organize their finishing effort. Both have winning form and the soft ground won't inconvenience their stamina reserves.

RoushamPopty PingCircle Of TrustGunalt Wavelength

Improved Handicapper Strikes

15% probability

If one of the lightly-raced improvers finds significant progression from recent runs

Horses like Surgeon Commander or Forever Twenty, dropping in grade with fresh handicap marks, capitalize on lenient weights. Their hold-up style suits the likely pace scenario perfectly.

Surgeon CommanderForever TwentyOnly Dream BigHakin Adraar

Pace Collapses Early

5% probability

If both Rousham and Popty Ping disappoint or are restrained, creating crawling fractions

The race becomes a pure sprint from the two-furlong pole with no genuine pace. This neutralizes the stamina advantage and creates a lottery finish where any horse can win.

Norfolk BlueEyes FrontMagic Lady MaeSingarda

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Rousham could steal this if allowed an uncontested lead given his front-running style and course-winning form

WATCH

Circle Of Trust has strong course form but needs Ryan Stott to time his challenge perfectly from off the pace

NOTE

Black Rock Beauty returns to winning course and distance with stable jockey Oisin Orr reunited

WATCH

Surgeon Commander drops significantly in class carrying just 127lbs after recent course success

NOTE

Forever Twenty and Only Dream Big both carry featherweights that could prove decisive in tight finish

4:05 — Grace And Dotty Fedoras And Feathers Handicap (Div I)

7f · Soft · HCAP · 13 runners

Alpha Capture likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Tardaff led; the map had Alpha Capture in front.

Alpha Capture won at 5.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Alpha Capture

Prominent · 4

Magic BoyMister MojitoHighfield VikingBeale Street

Midfield · 4

WrydcroftThe Childe Of HaleTardaffMereside Madness

Hold Up · 4

JeneverCaragioTennessee GoldGreen Pursuit

Alpha Capture and Magic Boy will likely set a steady early pace from the front, with Beale Street, Highfield Viking and Wrydcroft tracking prominently. The moderate early tempo will allow the large contingent of hold-up horses including Jenever, Caragio, Tennessee Gold and Green Pursuit to get into contention turning for home. With 13 runners and several prominent racers ensuring no runaway leader, this sets up perfectly for strong finishers to sweep up from off the pace. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce sustained finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the early pace remains steady and the field stays bunched

The large group of closers will have plenty to aim at turning in, with the soft ground helping stamina-laden finishers. Jenever, Caragio and Green Pursuit can all unleash strong finishing efforts to overhaul the front-runners.

JeneverCaragioGreen PursuitTennessee Gold

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If Magic Boy or Wrydcroft can secure ideal tracking positions behind the leaders

They avoid the early speed battle while staying close enough to pounce when the pace lifts. Magic Boy's recent winning form and Wrydcroft's progressive profile make them dangerous from this position.

Magic BoyWrydcroftHighfield VikingBeale Street

Front-Runner Survives

12% probability

If Alpha Capture faces minimal early pressure and controls the tempo

The confirmed front-runner can dictate terms and prove hard to peg back on the testing ground. Alpha Capture's stamina-laden pedigree suggests staying power over this trip.

Alpha CaptureMagic BoyBeale StreetHighfield Viking

Outsider Surprise

8% probability

If the principals fail to fire and a progressive type emerges late

The handicap nature and large field create upset potential for an improving runner. The Childe Of Hale and Tardaff both have scope for better efforts.

The Childe Of HaleTardaffWrydcroftGreen Pursuit

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Alpha Capture could face tactical isolation if Magic Boy and Wrydcroft track him closely from the start

WATCH

Watch for Jenever getting a clean run through from the back as she has a strong finishing kick

NOTE

Magic Boy's early positioning will be crucial given his dual prominent/pressing style

WATCH

The soft ground may not suit all runners despite the going report suggesting good to soft

NOTE

Rose Dawes' 5lb claim on Wrydcroft could prove significant in a tight handicap finish

4:40 — Grace And Dotty Fedoras And Feathers Handicap (Div II)

7f · Soft · HCAP · 12 runners

Berry Clever likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Shazani and Ziggy's Condor led; the map had Berry Clever in front.

Bella Bisbee won at 21.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Berry Clever

Prominent · 3

Commander Of LifeZiggy's CondorBella Bisbee

Midfield · 4

Mystical StormShazaniChifaMacedonian

Hold Up · 4

They All Know MePulsar StarFollow Your HeartIntervention

Berry Clever will lead from the gates with minimal early pressure, as the majority of this field prefer to settle off the pace. Commander Of Life, Ziggy's Condor, and Bella Bisbee may track the leader but none are aggressive front-runners, allowing Berry Clever to dictate terms through steady fractions. The race will develop into a sprint finish as the large contingent of hold-up horses including They All Know Me, Follow Your Heart, and Pulsar Star make their moves in the final two furlongs. This sustainable pace scenario clearly favours the prominent racers and patient hold-up horses who can finish strongly, while making life difficult for those needing a strong gallop throughout.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Finish

60% probability

If Berry Clever leads uncontested through moderate fractions

The large group of hold-up horses will have perfect conditions to unleash their finishing kicks in the final two furlongs. Class horses like They All Know Me and Follow Your Heart thrive when able to produce one sustained effort.

They All Know MeFollow Your HeartPulsar StarMystical Storm

Prominent Tactics Win

25% probability

If Berry Clever maintains his lead but gets strong support from Commander Of Life tracking close

The two prominent runners control the race from the front and kick clear before the hold-up brigade can organize their challenge. Berry Clever's recent course form and De Sousa's tactical nous prove decisive.

Berry CleverCommander Of LifeBella BisbeeZiggy's Condor

Late Surge Prevails

12% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely slow with multiple horses still in contention at the two-furlong pole

The race becomes a pure sprint finish where the strongest finishers with recent form dominate. Horses coming from the back of the field find the gaps and superior turn of foot.

Pulsar StarMystical StormThey All Know MeShazani

Front Running Shock

3% probability

If Berry Clever gets an uncontested lead and maintains stamina to the line

The leader's proven 7f ability on this course allows him to resist all challengers despite the tactical disadvantage. The hold-up horses leave their runs too late on the testing ground.

Berry CleverBella BisbeeCommander Of LifeFollow Your Heart

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Berry Clever breaking fast and establishing an uncontested lead could make him very difficult to peg back

WATCH

They All Know Me getting a clear run in the straight as his finishing kick has been potent in recent starts

NOTE

Commander Of Life's early positioning as he could provide crucial pace pressure or tactical support to Berry Clever

WATCH

The ground conditions affecting the closing speeds of the hold-up horses in the final furlong

NOTE

Follow Your Heart finding racing room as his experience and recent winning form make him dangerous if getting a clear passage

5:15 — Royal Ascot Tips On attheraces.com Handicap

1m · Soft · HCAP · 18 runners

Yafaarr likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Midnight's Dream and Rory's Gold led; the map had Yafaarr in front.

Woodleigh won at 7.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 17 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Yafaarr

Prominent · 1

Back From Dubai

Midfield · 11

ScepticGoal LineEy Up He's A StarOnemorenomoreHachimanWoodleighMercurius PowerMini MacEvelyn's PhoenixBizarre LawCreate

Hold Up · 5

Whiskey PeteRory's GoldOnslow GardensMidnight's DreamMaui Breeze

Yafaarr and Back From Dubai will contest the early lead, with Yafaarr's prominent style likely to see him dictate terms from the front. The lack of confirmed front-runners means Yafaarr can control a steady tempo without significant early pressure. With 16 hold-up horses packed behind, the pace will be measured early before accelerating sharply in the final 2-3 furlongs as the field fans out. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the large hold-up contingent.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Yafaarr Controls Tempo

45% probability

If Yafaarr settles into an uncontested lead and dictates a measured pace.

He can kick clear when the cavalry charge begins, while the packed field behind struggles with traffic and positioning. The prominent runners and any horses that can secure early positions will have a crucial advantage.

YafaarrBack From DubaiScepticBizarre Law

Early Speed Duel

25% probability

If Back From Dubai or another runner challenges Yafaarr for the early lead.

The increased tempo will suit the stronger stayers among the hold-up horses who can close late. Woodleigh and Sceptic can benefit from the stronger gallop with their proven finishing kicks.

WoodleighScepticOnslow GardensOnemorenomore

Traffic Chaos Finish

20% probability

If the large field bunches up turning for home creating a wall of horses.

Only the horses with clear runs or those already positioned prominently can capitalize. Yafaarr's early position becomes even more valuable while David Allan's experience helps Evelyn's Phoenix find daylight.

YafaarrEvelyn's PhoenixBack From DubaiMini Mac

Slow Pace Sprint

10% probability

If no horse wants the lead early and Yafaarr settles further back than expected.

The race becomes a pure sprint finish favouring the horses with the best turn of foot. Bizarre Law's recent Soft ground win and Silvestre De Sousa's tactical skills come to the fore.

Bizarre LawMini MacHachimanEy Up He's A Star

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

NOTE

Yafaarr's early positioning will be crucial - if he settles further back than expected the whole race dynamic changes

WATCH

The large field of 18 runners means traffic problems are almost inevitable, watch for horses getting blocked in the straight

KEY

Several trainers including Ian Williams and Jessica Macey are having poor spells - their runners may underperform expectations

NOTE

Back From Dubai's recent course win on similar going makes him the main danger to Yafaarr's front-running tactics

WATCH

Goal Line has a pattern of fading in the finish which could cause interference problems in a large competitive field

5:45 — Download The At The Races App Handicap

6f · Soft · HCAP · 15 runners

No obvious leaderHISTORIC

How it ran

The Tunguska Event and Hellcat led.

That's Random won at 5.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

4 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 11

That's RandomDontwaste A MomentHenriette RonnerHead For FreedomSoul WarriorHellcatFull GasBoston MaxAthenian SpiritPower Of ChoraAntique Blue

Hold Up · 4

The Tunguska EventCosmic ClaretsCome On OverSolar Cooper

With no confirmed front runners identified, this 15-runner field will likely see several horses reluctantly take it up early before drifting into a sprint finish. The Tunguska Event and Dontwaste A Moment have shown early pace recently and may be pressed forward, but neither wants to make it. Boston Max and Solar Cooper could also find themselves handy if connections are positive. The lack of committed pace-setters creates a messy early tempo that will inevitably quicken dramatically in the final 2f, heavily favouring hold-up horses with a strong turn of foot who can exploit the sprint finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sprint Finish Chaos

55% probability

If the early pace collapses completely with no one wanting to lead

The field bunches dangerously approaching the final 2f before exploding into a cavalry charge finish. Hold-up horses with the best turn of foot and racing room prosper in the mayhem.

The Tunguska EventBoston MaxSolar CooperDontwaste A Moment

Moderate Early Tempo

25% probability

If The Tunguska Event or Solar Cooper take up a sensible position early

A more honest pace develops allowing patient types to still get their run, but those with tactical speed can also capitalize. The race opens up more evenly for different profiles.

Cosmic ClaretsCome On OverAthenian SpiritFull Gas

Late Pace Injection

12% probability

If Dontwaste A Moment or Boston Max kick clear entering the final furlong

One horse gets first run and puts the race to bed before the closers can respond. Early positioning and jockey timing become crucial factors.

Dontwaste A MomentThe Tunguska EventBoston MaxSolar Cooper

Wide Open Scramble

8% probability

If multiple horses make their move simultaneously in the final 2f

The sprint finish becomes a lottery with little separating the field at the line. Younger horses with less racing experience may struggle in the melee.

Soul WarriorHellcatHenriette RonnerFull Gas

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

The Tunguska Event and Dontwaste A Moment may be forced wider than ideal if no early leader emerges, compromising their finishing positions

WATCH

Boston Max and Soul Warrior both show concerning late fade patterns that could be exploited by stronger finishers in a sprint finish

NOTE

Solar Cooper's recent course win with De Sousa suggests the partnership has found the key to this track

WATCH

Multiple horses returning from breaks of 40+ days including That's Random and Henriette Ronner may need the run

NOTE

Several 3lb+ claimer bookings suggest connections are not fully confident, particularly relevant in a competitive sprint finish

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 14 June 2026.

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