Archive›Doncaster · 24 April 2026

Doncaster

24 April 2026 · 7 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

1:40 — Grace And Dotty Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 17 runners

Thank The Lord to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Doralee and Golden Prosperity and Thank The Lord led, as the map showed.

Canaria Queen won at 13.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

3 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Thank The Lord

Prominent · 5

Golden ProsperityTrust SergeiDoraleeTilsworth Ony TaAnglesey Lad

Midfield · 6

NewyorkstateofmindVault Of HeavenIsla BellaZiva's StarNo GainLil Wade

Hold Up · 5

Opal StormCanaria QueenBeerwahAuntie JoMasterclass

Thank The Lord is the sole confirmed front-runner and will set a sustainable pace without early pressure from the 17-runner field. Golden Prosperity, Anglesey Lad, Trust Sergei, Doralee and Tilsworth Ony Ta will track in prominent positions behind the leader. The large field will create a strung-out affair with many hold-up horses needing luck in running over the minimum trip. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can sit close to the pace and kick, as hold-up horses face significant traffic problems in a big field sprint.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Tracker Prevails

45% probability

If the prominent horses get first run on Thank The Lord turning for home

The pace-trackers will have positional advantage and momentum to sweep past the tiring leader in the final furlong. Hold-up horses will struggle to weave through traffic and make up ground over 5f.

Trust SergeiGolden ProsperityAnglesey LadDoralee

Hold-Up Horse Lucky

30% probability

If the pace collapses and gaps open in the final two furlongs

Strong stayers from the back like Opal Storm and Masterclass can utilise their finishing kick when the field spreads out. Their proven ability to win from behind becomes crucial when others stop.

Opal StormMasterclassCanaria QueenBeerwah

Front-Runner Stays

15% probability

If Thank The Lord gets soft fractions and kicks clear at the two-pole

The leader's class tells when given an easy time in front, holding off late challenges. His recent placed efforts suggest he retains ability off this reduced mark.

Thank The LordAuntie JoTrust SergeiGolden Prosperity

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If Thank The Lord stops quickly and prominent horses also tire

The race becomes a cavalry charge with any horse getting a clear run capable of winning. Form horses with tactical pace like No Gain can capitalise on the carnage.

No GainIsla BellaVault Of HeavenNewyorkstateofmind

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Thank The Lord must be monitored early as the sole pace-setter could dictate the entire race tempo

WATCH

Traffic problems are inevitable in this 17-runner sprint so watch which hold-up horses get clear runs

NOTE

Trust Sergei's early position will be crucial as he needs to avoid getting shuffled back in the big field

WATCH

Opal Storm's finishing kick timing is critical as she must find gaps late in a crowded finish

NOTE

Golden Prosperity's recovery from poor Thirsk run last weekend needs assessing in the market

2:15 — Summer Saturday Series Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 17 runners

Finn Ironside to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Wrydcroft and Finn Ironside led, as the map showed.

Wrydcroft won at 5.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

8 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Finn Ironside

Prominent · 6

SingouraMecca's SymphonyClasinaPearly SquirrelGiantYehudi

Midfield · 5

The New Bay PearlSir DavidReginald CharlesOnemorenomoreEy Up He's A Star

Hold Up · 5

YafaarrPianoforteBorn A RebelZiggy's AngelWrydcroft

Finn Ironside is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 17-runner field and should get an uncontested lead with the prominent runners Giant, Mecca's Symphony, Singoura, Pearly Squirrel and Yehudi likely to settle behind him. This sets up a sustainable pace scenario where the leader won't be pressured early, allowing the large pack of hold-up horses including Ey Up He's A Star, Yafaarr, Pianoforte, Wrydcroft and Onemorenomore to get into contention. The tactical verdict strongly favours hold-up horses who can close from off the pace, as Finn Ironside's uncontested lead will create the perfect setup for closers to time their runs in a big field sprint finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Favours Closers

55% probability

If Finn Ironside gets an easy lead and the prominent horses settle kindly behind him

The moderate early pace allows hold-up horses to close strongly in the final two furlongs as the leader and prominent runners come back to them. This scenario perfectly suits the strong contingent of closers who can pick up the pieces late.

WrydcroftEy Up He's A StarOnemorenomoreYafaarr

Prominent Horses Apply Pressure

25% probability

If Giant, Singoura or Pearly Squirrel decide to press Finn Ironside from the outset

A faster early pace stretches the field and creates a more tactical affair where the prominent runners can dominate proceedings. Those settling closer to the pace gain a crucial positional advantage over the hold-up brigade.

GiantSingouraPearly SquirrelMecca's Symphony

Front Runner Steals It

12% probability

If Finn Ironside gets completely uncontested fractions and kicks clear entering the straight

The leader builds an unassailable advantage as the field fails to organise a challenge early enough in the home straight. His proven ability to make all at York shows he can execute this tactic successfully.

Finn IronsideGiantSingouraPearly Squirrel

Messy Pace Suits Versatile Types

8% probability

If the large field creates traffic problems and an uneven gallop with multiple pace angles

The race becomes a tactical lottery where positioning and racing luck matter more than pure pace preferences. Horses with tactical speed who can adapt to circumstances hold the edge.

Reginald CharlesSir DavidBorn A RebelZiggy's Angel

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Finn Ironside's early fractions as he's the only front-runner and any pressure could compromise his stamina reserves

WATCH

Monitor Giant's adaptation to turf racing after strong all-weather form, as surface switch adds uncertainty to prominent tactics

WATCH

Watch for Pearly Squirrel's start after missing the break last time, as early position is crucial for prominent runners

NOTE

Observe how the Irish raiders Ziggy's Angel and Born A Rebel handle the occasion, as both have tactical speed to be involved

NOTE

Check market moves on The New Bay Pearl with new trainer and wind surgery, as any support could indicate improvement expected

2:50 — Natural Innovations Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Good · NOV · 6 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:25 — Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Lead contested: Silver State v SaxophonistHISTORIC

How it ran

Silver State and Welbury led, as the map showed.

Silver State won at 2.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Silver StateSaxophonist

Prominent · 3

ToastmasterWelburyTarmonbarry Kid

Midfield · 1

Attention Seeker

Hold Up · 1

Booziebrunch

Silver State and Saxophonist are both natural front runners who will clash for the early lead in this 7-runner field. Silver State has shown his best form when allowed to dominate, while Saxophonist returns from a 185-day break but has led in previous starts. Behind them, Toastmaster, Welbury, and Tarmonbarry Kid will sit prominent, with only Booziebrunch likely to be held up. This sets up a genuinely run race with sustained pressure on the leaders throughout, strongly favoring horses that can track the pace and deliver their challenge from prominent positions.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Horses Pounce

45% probability

If Silver State and Saxophonist duel early and weaken

The pace clash allows Toastmaster and Welbury to strike from their tracking positions, benefiting from the honest gallop without doing the donkey work. Their prominent style perfectly suits this scenario.

ToastmasterWelburyTarmonbarry KidBooziebrunch

Silver State Dominates

35% probability

If Silver State breaks cleanest and gets first run on Saxophonist

His recent handicap wins came from leading throughout, and with Rose Dawes' 5lb claim he can dictate terms and kick clear when it matters. The shorter break gives him a fitness edge over his main pace rival.

Silver StateBooziebrunchToastmasterWelbury

Saxophonist Returns Winner

12% probability

If the 185-day break has freshened Saxophonist up significantly

Daniel Tudhope can use his experience to steal a march on Silver State early, with the fresh horse having enough in reserve for the finish. Market support would confirm this theory.

SaxophonistTarmonbarry KidSilver StateWelbury

Hold Up Horse Swoops

8% probability

If the early pace is suicidal between the two leaders

Booziebrunch can use his hold-up style to devastating effect, picking off tired horses as the only runner not committed to the early pace battle. His recent Southwell second suggests he's in good form.

BooziebrunchAttention SeekerToastmasterWelbury

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Silver State and Saxophonist's early battle - if both go too hard they'll set it up for the prominent trackers

WATCH

Market support for Saxophonist on his return from 185 days off - significant money would suggest he's ready

WATCH

Attention Seeker's tendency to hang badly when racing keenly could see him compromise his position

NOTE

Tarmonbarry Kid showing any early speed - the gelding operation may have changed his racing style

NOTE

Booziebrunch getting a clear run in the straight as the only hold-up horse in a pace-heavy field

4:00 — Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Percy's Daydream to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Percy's Daydream and Finally Escaped led, as the map showed.

Percy's Daydream won at 5.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Percy's Daydream

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

Oh Yes You DoAlkumatic Jo JoAblonNanny ParkFinally Escaped

Hold Up · 3

SalikoMyrrhLittle Miss India

Percy's Daydream will lead unopposed from the flag with eight hold-up horses tracking behind, creating a sustainable tempo that should see her lasting longer than usual. The lack of pace pressure means the early fractions will be modest, setting up a sprint finish from the 2f pole where the closers can unleash their kicks. With Little Miss India, Ablon, and Myrrh all possessing finishing speed over this staying trip, the patient riders will have every chance to time their challenges. This race shape strongly favors hold-up horses who can quicken off the moderate gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Lasts

45% probability

If Percy's Daydream gets soft fractions and the field comes too late

The lone pace-setter gets an armchair ride for 10f before finding enough in the tank to repel late challenges. Her sustainable style and 218-day break work in her favor when the kick comes.

Percy's DaydreamSalikoAblonLittle Miss India

Closers Overhaul Leader

35% probability

If the hold-up horses time their runs perfectly in the final 2f

The moderate pace allows multiple closers to wind up together, with the classiest finishers prevailing in a bunch finish. Ablon and Little Miss India's recent form gives them the edge.

AblonLittle Miss IndiaMyrrhOh Yes You Do

Stamina Test Emerges

12% probability

If Percy's Daydream goes too fast early or the pace quickens unexpectedly

The race becomes a true test of staying power where the most genuine stayers benefit from the strong gallop. Myrrh's pedigree and Saliko's 1m2f victories become crucial assets.

MyrrhSalikoPercy's DaydreamOh Yes You Do

Pace Collapse Surprise

8% probability

If Percy's Daydream goes too slow and creates a messy sprint finish

The crawling pace leads to a cavalry charge where positioning and luck matter more than class. Any hold-up horse getting a clear run can capitalize on the scramble.

Nanny ParkFinally EscapedAlkumatic Jo JoLittle Miss India

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Percy's Daydream's early fractions - if she goes too fast the race dynamics completely flip toward the stayers

WATCH

Little Miss India's break from the stalls - her slow starts could be fatal if she gets too far back in a small field

NOTE

Ablon's positioning turning for home - her recent front-running win suggests she may need to be closer than usual

WATCH

The general pace through the first half-mile - if it's crawling it becomes a lottery sprint rather than a staying test

NOTE

Myrrh's finishing kick after 193 days off - her class is obvious but fitness after the long break remains unproven

4:35 — Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Good · NOV · 15 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

5:10 — Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Berkshire Schmokin to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Frustration led; the map had Berkshire Schmokin in front.

Cotton Bud won at 12.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Berkshire Schmokin

Prominent · 3

RumbustiousTommo's GinjaninjaFrustration

Midfield · 3

MadjidClaytons KolatonicRisk Averse Rebel

Hold Up · 3

Kiss For An AngelCotton BudBrave Leader

Berkshire Schmokin is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the outset without early pressure. With prominent runners Tommo's Ginjaninja, Rumbustious, and Frustration likely to track but not challenge early, the pace will be steady and sustainable through the first half. The large contingent of hold-up horses including Kiss For An Angel, Cotton Bud, Brave Leader, and Madjid will create a backlog that must rely on the final 2-3 furlongs for their challenge. This tactical setup heavily favours prominent racers and the lone front-runner, as they can control fractions and have first run on the patient closers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running

45% probability

If Berkshire Schmokin establishes an uncontested lead and dictates steady fractions.

P J McDonald can judge the pace perfectly without early pressure, allowing his mount to kick clear when the field comes under pressure. The hold-up brigade will struggle to peg back the controlled advantage over this trip.

Berkshire SchmokinTommo's GinjaninjaRumbustiousCotton Bud

Prominent Tracker Victory

30% probability

If Tommo's Ginjaninja or Rumbustious travel strongly behind the leader and strike at the optimal moment.

The prominent runners can monitor Berkshire Schmokin's move and time their challenge perfectly, having the tactical advantage of racing handy without doing the early donkey work. Their finishing kick proves decisive as the leader weakens and hold-up horses arrive too late.

Tommo's GinjaninjaRumbustiousKiss For An AngelBerkshire Schmokin

Strong Pace Collapse

15% probability

If Berkshire Schmokin goes too fast early or the prominent runners press him into stronger fractions.

The early pace becomes unsustainable, causing the leaders to weaken significantly in the final furlong. This opens the door for the strongest finishing hold-up horses to sweep past, with Kiss For An Angel and Cotton Bud best positioned to capitalize.

Kiss For An AngelCotton BudMadjidRisk Averse Rebel

Weak Pace Drag

10% probability

If the early pace becomes crawling slow with no pressure on Berkshire Schmokin through halfway.

The race becomes a sprint from the 3f pole, heavily favouring horses with tactical pace who can quicken off the bridle. Berkshire Schmokin maintains his advantage through superior positioning, while the best hold-up horses struggle to make up ground in time.

Berkshire SchmokinFrustrationTommo's GinjaninjaBrave Leader

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Berkshire Schmokin could get an uncontested lead and prove very hard to peg back if allowed to dictate his own fractions

WATCH

Kiss For An Angel's 171-day absence and gelding operation create uncertainty about his current fitness and attitude

WATCH

The large number of hold-up horses could create traffic problems turning for home if they're all looking for racing room

NOTE

Tommo's Ginjaninja's prominent style and recent improvement make him the biggest threat to the front-runner

NOTE

Watch the early fractions - if Berkshire Schmokin goes too freely early, it opens the door for the closers

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 24 April 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →