Archive›Doncaster · 25 April 2026

Doncaster

25 April 2026 · 7 races

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4:35 — Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Torbados likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Twilight Serenade led; the map had Torbados in front.

Mojito won at 4.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Torbados

Prominent · 1

Space Moon

Midfield · 6

ThanosMaximum VelocityBaldosaAntique BlueTwilight SerenadeTwilight Dawn

Hold Up · 4

MojitoThankfully SimmySparkling PinkPopty Ping

Torbados is the only confirmed front-runner in this 12-runner field and should get an uncontested lead on the rail, setting sustainable fractions without pressure from the prominent runners Space Moon. The majority of this field are hold-up horses including Popty Ping, Maximum Velocity, Thanos, and Mojito, creating a large pack that will need to find racing room in the straight. With one horse controlling the tempo and most runners needing to come from behind, this race strongly favours either the lone pace-setter or horses that can sit prominent and avoid the traffic that will inevitably develop among the hold-up brigade.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Torbados gets soft fractions and stays the trip effectively

The gelded son gets an armchair ride on the rail and kicks clear when the hold-up horses are still organising behind him. His third at Lingfield in nursery company suggests he has the class edge when things fall right.

TorbadosSpace MoonMaximum VelocityPopty Ping

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Space Moon can sit second and avoid the traffic problems

The Ellison filly gets the perfect trip tracking the leader and has first run on the field when Torbados comes back to her in the final furlong. Her solid Leicester sixth suggests she's ready to strike.

Space MoonMaximum VelocityTorbadosThanos

Hold-Up Horse Surge

20% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong and the leaders come back dramatically

Maximum Velocity gets the split he needs after his excellent Leicester second and powers through late with Popty Ping. The strong gallop plays to their closing kick style perfectly.

Maximum VelocityPopty PingThanosMojito

Pace Collapses Early

5% probability

If Torbados goes too fast early and multiple horses get competitive positions

The race becomes a messy affair with several horses in contention turning for home, favouring those with the best recent form. Thanos and Mojito benefit from the genuine pace.

ThanosMojitoSpace MoonSparkling Pink

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Torbados early - if he goes too fast trying to make all he could compromise his stamina reserves

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems in the straight with so many hold-up horses needing racing room simultaneously

NOTE

Watch Maximum Velocity's position turning in - needs splits to utilise his strong finishing kick

WATCH

Watch Space Moon's jumping - needs to be handy early to avoid being caught behind the wall of hold-up horses

NOTE

Watch the pace through the middle sections - if it's truly run it could set up a storming finish

5:10 — Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Good · CLS4 · 11 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

5:45 — David Marshall Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Good · NOV · 8 runners

Hallandale Beach to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Aurora's Doublesix led; the map had Hallandale Beach in front.

Manatee Mehmas won at 1.83 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Hallandale Beach

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

You Mystify MeManatee MehmasLady GreyTickhill FlyerAurora's Doublesix

Hold Up · 2

Sanny DooTime To Take Off

Hallandale Beach is the only confirmed front-runner and will dictate a steady, sustainable pace from the gate. With no other natural leaders, he faces no early pressure and can control the tempo through measured fractions. The hold-up horses (Sanny Doo, Time To Take Off, Tickhill Flyer, Aurora's Doublesix) will be bunched behind, while the four newcomers add uncertainty to positioning. This controlled pace setup strongly favours the prominent and hold-up runners who can quicken late, as they'll get optimal race conditions behind an uncontested leader.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If Hallandale Beach maintains his recent improvement and gets soft fractions throughout

His two recent novice efforts show promise and without pace pressure he can dictate ideal terms. The hold-up horses may struggle to close the gap if he finds another gear in the final furlong.

Hallandale BeachTime To Take OffManatee MehmasLady Grey

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

35% probability

If Time To Take Off reproduces her impressive Nottingham maiden win with tactical advantage

She has proven class advantage over this field and James Doyle can position her perfectly behind the uncontested leader. Her strong finishing kick will be potent after controlled fractions.

Time To Take OffSanny DooYou Mystify MeHallandale Beach

Newcomer Surprise

12% probability

If one of the well-bred newcomers shows natural ability first time out

Manatee Mehmas or Lady Grey could exploit the tactical scenario with raw talent despite inexperience. The moderate pace will help them settle and their breeding suggests they belong at this level.

Manatee MehmasLady GreyTime To Take OffYou Mystify Me

Pace Collapses Completely

8% probability

If Hallandale Beach goes too slowly and multiple horses challenge simultaneously

The fractions become so pedestrian that it turns into a sprint finish where any horse can win. This chaos particularly helps the 3lb-claiming apprentice on You Mystify Me in a blanket finish.

You Mystify MeAurora's DoublesixSanny DooTickhill Flyer

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Aurora's Doublesix has a pattern of fading in the final furlong despite being positioned to win - watch if blinkers solve this

WATCH

Lady Grey and Manatee Mehmas are complete unknowns but any market confidence would be highly significant given their connections

WATCH

Hallandale Beach gets an uncontested lead but has yet to convert promising efforts into victory - watch his response to pressure

NOTE

Time To Take Off carries a 7lb penalty but James Doyle's presence suggests strong confidence in her class advantage

NOTE

Watch the early positioning of the four newcomers as their running styles are unknown and could disrupt the expected tactical scenario

6:15 — British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Lead contested: Dreamasar v Golden MuseHISTORIC

How it ran

Vilaine Verlaine led; the map had Dreamasar and Golden Muse in front.

Naga won at 3.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

DreamasarGolden Muse

Prominent · 3

Amora QueenRockin' The BoatNaga

Midfield · 1

Silky Lass

Hold Up · 1

Vilaine Verlaine

Dreamasar and Golden Muse will both want the lead from the off, with Dreamasar's natural front-running style clashing with Golden Muse's recent hat-trick seeking momentum. This early pace battle should create an honest gallop over the 1m2f trip, with the prominent racers Naga, Amora Queen, and Silky Lass tracking just behind the leaders. The sustained pace will set up the race perfectly for closers, as both front-runners may compromise each other early. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and those with finishing kicks over pure pace-setters.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runners Clash

45% probability

If Dreamasar and Golden Muse engage in a pace duel from the start

The early battle will drain both leaders, allowing the prominent runners tracking behind to inherit the initiative and kick clear in the final furlong. Naga's class and Amora Queen's tactical speed become decisive factors.

NagaAmora QueenSilky LassRockin' The Boat

Golden Muse Dominates

25% probability

If Golden Muse can dictate terms uncontested on the front end

Her hat-trick momentum and progressive profile allow her to control the gallop and find extra when challenged, with the light weight proving crucial. The lack of early pressure plays perfectly into Marco Botti's hands.

Golden MuseSilky LassNagaRockin' The Boat

Tactical Kick Prevails

20% probability

If the pace is steady early allowing closers to be competitive

Vilaine Verlaine's hold-up style becomes a weapon despite the long absence, while prominent runners can time their challenges better. The 1m2f distance suits horses with a turn of foot.

Vilaine VerlaineNagaAmora QueenGolden Muse

Dreamasar Wire-to-Wire

10% probability

If Dreamasar can steal a march and avoid the early pace battle

Ed Walker's filly uses her natural speed to establish a soft lead and kick again when challenged, with her class telling in the final stages. The long break proves beneficial rather than detrimental.

DreamasarRockin' The BoatGolden MuseSilky Lass

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Golden Muse and Dreamasar could burn each other out if neither gives way in the opening two furlongs

WATCH

Naga's fitness after 185 days off despite John Gosden's excellent record with returning horses

NOTE

Vilaine Verlaine's market support will indicate connections' confidence after the long layoff

WATCH

Amora Queen's ability to handle this step back up in grade after her Fillies' Mile failure

NOTE

The pace early doors between the two confirmed leaders will determine the entire complexion of the finish

6:45 — M&D Foundations Piling Specialists Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Director's Cut led, as the map showed.

Al Azd won at 2.25 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

LopeoDirector's CutAlba Gu Brath

Prominent · 2

Al AzdShushi

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Sailor SongStoneacre Donny

Three confirmed front-runners (Lopeo, Director's Cut, Alba Gu Brath) will create a fierce early gallop over this stamina-testing 1m4f trip. This strong pace will stretch the field and test stamina reserves, particularly as all three pace-setters have questions over their ability to sustain such a gallop. The relentless early tempo will set up the race perfectly for hold-up horses like Sailor Song and Stoneacre Donny to pick up the pieces. This race shape strongly favours closers and late-running types who can capitalize on the inevitable pace collapse.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Collapse

55% probability

If the three front-runners engage in a speed duel from the start

The fierce gallop will drain Lopeo, Director's Cut and Alba Gu Brath, allowing the hold-up horses to sweep past in the final furlong. Sailor Song and Stoneacre Donny are perfectly positioned to benefit from their patient tactics.

Sailor SongStoneacre DonnyAl AzdShushi

One Survives Pace Battle

25% probability

If Director's Cut or Alba Gu Brath can dictate without maximum pressure

The winner breaks clear of the other pace-setters mid-race and has enough left to hold off the closers. Their superior fitness allows them to capitalize on an uncontested lead.

Director's CutAlba Gu BrathSailor SongAl Azd

Prominent Horse Strikes

12% probability

If Al Azd or Shushi track the pace without getting involved early

They avoid the early speed battle but stay close enough to pounce when the leaders weaken. Their tactical positioning proves decisive as they strike between the collapsing pace and emerging closers.

Al AzdShushiSailor SongDirector's Cut

Sustained Gallop Holds

8% probability

If the pace-setters cooperate and maintain a steady but not destructive tempo

The front three work together early before one kicks clear, leaving insufficient time for the hold-up horses to close the gap. The strong gallop never reaches breaking point.

LopeoAlba Gu BrathDirector's CutAl Azd

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Director's Cut, Alba Gu Brath and Lopeo all commit to the early lead as this will create an unsustainable pace

WATCH

Monitor Lopeo's behavior given his 201-day absence and recent gelding operation which could affect his racing temperament

NOTE

Observe Al Azd's early positioning as he may hold the key from a prominent spot if the pace becomes too strong

WATCH

Check how Stoneacre Donny travels given his long absence and whether Cam Hardie can get him into contention from the rear

NOTE

Note the ground conditions as any ease in going would significantly boost Shushi's chances from her current outsider position

7:15 — Follow @attheraces On X Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Lead contested: The Cursor v SomethingHISTORIC

How it ran

Something led, as the map showed.

Ghaiyya won at 11.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

The CursorSomething

Prominent · 2

GhaiyyaSea Of Kings

Midfield · 2

MacheteKimeko Glory

Hold Up · 2

CharmaineMaghlaak

The Cursor and Something are both confirmed front runners who will contest the early lead, creating an honest gallop from the outset. With only two natural pace-setters in an 8-runner field, the tempo should be sustainable rather than destructive over this 1m4f trip. The prominent runners Sea Of Kings and Ghaiyya will track the leaders, while the hold-up horses Maghlaak, Charmaine, Machete and Kimeko Glory will get their preferred strong pace to aim at. This race shape clearly favours the hold-up horses who can benefit from the guaranteed strong gallop and finish strongly up the Doncaster straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the two front runners maintain honest fractions throughout

The sustained pace will perfectly suit the closers who can unleash their finishing kicks. Maghlaak, Charmaine, Machete and Kimeko Glory all get their ideal scenario with a strong gallop to aim at.

CharmaineMacheteMaghlaakKimeko Glory

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If Sea Of Kings or Ghaiyya can track the pace without over-racing

The prominent runners can stay close enough to the leaders while conserving energy for a decisive move. They avoid the risk of traffic problems that could hinder the hold-up brigade.

Sea Of KingsGhaiyyaCharmaineMachete

Front Runner Survives

12% probability

If The Cursor shows improved fitness after his 275-day break and gelding operation

The son of Frankel has class on his side and could dictate terms if the pace becomes too honest for his own good. His July course and distance win shows he has the ability when right.

The CursorSomethingSea Of KingsGhaiyya

Tactical Pace Collapse

8% probability

If both front runners fail to go forward or tire early

The race becomes a tactical affair with no genuine pace, suiting horses that can quicken from prominent positions. This would disadvantage the natural hold-up horses who need a strong gallop.

Sea Of KingsGhaiyyaSomethingKimeko Glory

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

The Cursor is a non-runner which removes one of the key pace angles and reduces early speed

WATCH

Sea Of Kings and Ghaiyya both return from long breaks but their trainers have mixed recent form with returning horses

NOTE

Something needs to bounce back from her Yarmouth disappointment to provide the necessary early pace

WATCH

Maghlaak has been off for over seven months and switches from hurdles back to the flat

NOTE

The going has firmed up to Good To Firm which may not suit all runners who prefer softer conditions

7:45 — Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Union Island likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Pretty Spirited led; the map had Union Island in front.

Fire Eyes won at 8.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

2 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Union Island

Prominent · 1

Pretty Spirited

Midfield · 7

Wolf Of BadenochU S S ConstitutionQueen Of Good NewsRelevant RangePisanelloFire EyesBarleybrown

Hold Up · 4

Siam FoxMarinerWhiskey PeteChuzzlewit

Union Island and Pretty Spirited are the only horses with prominent/lead tendencies in this 13-runner field, creating a surprisingly weak pace scenario for a competitive handicap. With the majority holding up including Queen Of Good News, Pisanello, and Mariner, the early gallop will be modest and controlled. This sets up a sprint finish where late-running horses can get competitive positions turning for home. The lack of genuine pace pressure strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce their best turn of foot in the final two furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Weak Pace Kick

55% probability

If Union Island and Pretty Spirited fail to inject genuine speed through the middle sections

The field remains bunched turning for home creating a cavalry charge finish where the strongest stayers prevail. Hold-up horses with proven finishing kicks get ideal positioning to unleash their speed.

Queen Of Good NewsPisanelloMarinerBarleybrown

Prominent Advantage

25% probability

If Union Island maintains a strong gallop and Pretty Spirited tracks close throughout the race

The pace becomes honest enough to stretch the field but not collapse the leaders completely. Horses racing handy get first run on the weakening hold-up brigade.

Union IslandPretty SpiritedFire EyesU S S Constitution

Late Surge Scramble

12% probability

If the pace is very slow and multiple hold-up horses get blocked for runs in the straight

Traffic problems compound as late runners all arrive together seeking the same gaps. The horse with the clearest passage and best acceleration wins out.

ChuzzlewitBarleybrownRelevant RangeWolf Of Badenoch

Front Running Wire

8% probability

If Union Island gets completely uncontested lead and Pretty Spirited sits second throughout

The lack of pace pressure allows the leaders to maintain their advantage despite the short straight. Late closers have too much ground to make up.

Union IslandPretty SpiritedQueen Of Good NewsPisanello

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Union Island could get completely uncontested lead if Pretty Spirited sits behind rather than engaging early

WATCH

Queen Of Good News rises 4lb after breakthrough win but her hold-up style suits this weak pace scenario perfectly

NOTE

Pisanello and Siam Fox both return from lengthy breaks but both have shown ability to run well fresh

WATCH

Traffic problems likely in straight with 11 hold-up horses converging simultaneously from rear positions

NOTE

Ground conditions firming up throughout card could advantage horses with proven good to firm form

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 25 April 2026.

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