1:47 — Download The RacedayReady App Amateur Jockeys' Handicap
1m · Soft · HCAP · 22 runners
Lead contested: Cartwheel v Star StartFREEHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 2
CartwheelStar Start
Prominent · 7
Thanks AngelEy Up Its JazzDapper Gee GeeAsian JourneyAlazwarTees GeorgeSummer Evening
Midfield · 6
King Of SpeedKinross ClaretWoodleighOilisaMisemeraldAmaysmont
Hold Up · 7
King Of YorkLuminous WarriorPort LouisFour FiftyStar CastRising ForceRainwater
Cartwheel and Star Start are the only genuine front-runners in this 22-runner field, setting up a likely contested early lead that could create an honest gallop. The large field with numerous hold-up horses (King Of York, Rising Force, King Of Speed, Luminous Warrior) means pace pressure will build through the race, favoring those who can settle and finish strongly.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Contested Early Pace
35% probability
If Cartwheel and Star Start engage in a speed duel from the start
The two leaders burn each other out in the first half-mile, creating a strong gallop that sets up the race for the closers. King Of York and Rising Force benefit most from the honest pace, with prominent runners like Dapper Gee Gee and Ey Up Its Jazz struggling to bridge the gap.
King Of YorkRising ForceLuminous WarriorStar Cast
B
Tactical Battle
30% probability
If one front-runner gets an uncontested lead while the other settles
Star Start or Cartwheel steals a march with softer fractions, making it difficult for the large pack of hold-up horses to close the gap in time. The prominent runners Asian Journey and Tees George find themselves in the perfect stalking position to strike.
Star StartAsian JourneyDapper Gee GeeTees George
C
Messy Sprint Finish
25% probability
If the early pace is moderate with both leaders compromising
A bunched field turns into a cavalry charge in the final two furlongs as 15+ horses remain in contention. The prominent racers who avoided traffic troubles and those hold-up horses with clear runs benefit from the scramble.
Ey Up Its JazzThanks AngelAlazwarSummer Evening
D
Closer's Paradise
10% probability
If the early pace collapses completely with neither leader committing
An extremely slow early pace leaves too much to do for the front-runners, creating a true test of finishing speed. The best of the hold-up merchants with proven turn of foot get their ideal scenario in the final three furlongs.
OilisaWoodleighKing Of SpeedKinross Claret
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Cartwheel and Star Start's early battle will determine whether closers or speed horses dominate the finish
WATCH
Traffic problems are inevitable with 22 runners, particularly affecting Asian Journey and Port Louis who need smooth passages
WATCH
Ey Up Its Jazz's soft ground superiority could be decisive if the race becomes a sprint finish
NOTE
King Of York's draw and early position will indicate whether he can secure the ideal stalking spot
NOTE
Rising Force needs to be handy enough early to avoid being trapped behind the large field of runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
2:55 — William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap (Div I)
7f · Soft · HCAP · 16 runners
It'sneverjustone likeliest to leadHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 1
It'sneverjustone
Prominent · 3
Jimmy SpeakingTactical PlanAlfa Whiteburd
Midfield · 7
Green PursuitGrabajabbaBackspinJust Queen HighGolden StrikeBeauty ChoiceVictory Sound
Hold Up · 5
An Outlaw's GraceQuest For FunPacketofbiscuitsUnder The TwilightNakaaha
It'sneverjustone will likely lead with Jimmy Speaking and Tactical Plan tracking prominently, creating a moderate but sustainable gallop early. The large field of predominantly hold-up horses means the pace could become pedestrian through the middle sections, setting up a cavalry charge finish where positioning and draw will be crucial.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Sustained Pace Battle
35% probability
If It'sneverjustone, Jimmy Speaking and Tactical Plan all go forward aggressively
The early pace becomes genuinely strong as the prominent runners engage, stretching the field and creating gaps. Late closers with stamina like Quest For Fun and An Outlaw's Grace can pick off tired leaders.
Quest For FunAn Outlaw's GraceGolden StrikePacketofbiscuits
B
Crawling Pace Kickback
40% probability
If It'sneverjustone gets an easy lead with no pressure from prominent runners
The race becomes a tactical crawl until the final 2f, creating a bunched field and sprint finish. Horses with turn of foot like Grabajabba and Jimmy Speaking thrive in the resulting melee.
If It'sneverjustone secures perfect fractions and kicks clear turning in
The leader gets ideal splits and finds extra gear when challenged, holding off late closers. Tactical Plan stays closest throughout while hold-up horses never quite get there.
It'sneverjustoneTactical PlanJimmy SpeakingQuest For Fun
D
Draw Bias Emerges
10% probability
If the soft going creates a significant rail bias or wide track advantage
Track position becomes decisive regardless of pace dynamics, favoring horses drawn to exploit the best ground. The tactical shape matters less than being in the right part of the course.
Golden StrikeBeauty ChoiceUnder The TwilightNakaaha
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
It'sneverjustone could get easy fractions if Jimmy Speaking and Tactical Plan don't press early enough
WATCH
Grabajabba needs the pace to be strong enough to set up his finishing kick from the rear
WATCH
Quest For Fun requires genuine gallop and clear run to utilize proven soft ground ability
NOTE
Just Queen High's recent heavy ground win makes her interesting if getting cover in midfield
NOTE
The large field of hold-up horses could create traffic problems turning into the straight
3:30 — William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap (Div II)
7f · Soft · HCAP · 15 runners
Epictetus to leadHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 1
Epictetus
Prominent · 6
MiletusCaptain ParmaZarathosShazaniForever My PrinceAlbeseeingyer
Midfield · 4
SingouraFolkeneAnother InvestmentRed Mirage
Hold Up · 4
Capital GuaranteeWar HowlStanageMelvin Udall
Epictetus will lead uncontested with moderate fractions, setting up perfectly for his style. The real battle happens behind as Captain Parma, Zarathos, Forever My Prince, Singoura, Shazani, and Miletus all want prominent positions, creating a scramble that will see several forced wide or shuffled back turning for home.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Uncontested Leader Scores
35% probability
If Epictetus gets easy lead fractions and prominent runners clash behind
The leader kicks clear turning in while the scrimmaging pack sorts itself out too late. Hold-up horses find gaps but can't reel in the escaped front-runner.
If the pace congestion creates serious interference 2-3 furlongs out
Multiple prominent runners get hampered or forced wide, allowing a patient hold-up horse to thread through late. The pace collapse sets up a perfectly-timed finish.
Melvin UdallCapital GuaranteeWar HowlStanage
C
Soft Ground Specialist
20% probability
If the soft going really bites and stamina becomes crucial
Horses with proven soft ground form like Shazani and Albeseeingyer stay on strongly while others tire. The testing conditions favor those who've won or placed on similar going.
ShazaniAlbeseeingyerMiletusForever My Prince
D
Class Prevails Late
20% probability
If the higher-rated horses overcome their tactical disadvantages
Capital Guarantee and Miletus use their class edge to power through despite being held up. Their superior ratings tell in a driving finish as lesser horses weaken.
Capital GuaranteeMiletusStanageWar Howl
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Epictetus could steal this if he gets soft lead fractions with the field scrapping behind him
WATCH
Traffic chaos inevitable 2-3 furlongs out as six prominent runners converge on limited space
WATCH
Another Investment's finishing fade tendency makes him vulnerable if pace becomes strong
NOTE
Shazani's soft ground record makes him dangerous if others struggle with conditions
NOTE
Capital Guarantee and Miletus need significant pace collapse to overcome their tactical disadvantage
4:05 — William Hill NRMB On The Grand National Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Soft · HCAP · 13 runners
3 vying for the leadHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 3
Atherstone WarriorPort Of LondonSunriseontheboyne
Prominent · 4
Castle StuartAshnakPer ContraSpioradalta
Midfield · 2
Spoken TruthSay What You See
Hold Up · 4
Too SoonHave SecretKnights GoldHarvey
Three confirmed front runners - Atherstone Warrior, Port Of London, and Sunriseontheboyne - will ensure a strong gallop from the start in this competitive handicap. With most of the field preferring to come from behind (Too Soon, Harvey, Have Secret, Knights Gold, Spoken Truth, Say What You See all hold-up types), the pace-setters will have company early before the race develops into a stamina test over the final 3f on testing ground.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Strong Pace Collapses
35% probability
If the three leaders go too fast and burn out
The early gallop becomes unsustainable on soft ground and the pace collapses in the final 2f. Hold-up horses with proven stamina surge through to dominate the finish.
Too SoonHave SecretHarveyAshnak
B
Front Runner Survives
25% probability
If one pace-setter gets tactical separation
Atherstone Warrior or Port Of London establishes a 2-3 length lead turning in and has enough left to hold off late challengers. The strong pace suits their racing style and recent form.
Atherstone WarriorPort Of LondonCastle StuartAshnak
C
Prominent Tracker Wins
30% probability
If the pace is strong but controlled
Castle Stuart, Ashnak or Spioradalta track the leaders without over-racing and time their move perfectly. They get first run on the weakening pace-setters and hold off the deep closers.
Castle StuartAshnakSpioradaltaHave Secret
D
Late Surge Triumph
10% probability
If the pace is moderate early
The leaders don't go fast enough early allowing hold-up horses to get into contention sooner. Say What You See or Harvey produce devastating late kicks to overhaul the entire field.
Say What You SeeHarveyToo SoonKnights Gold
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Port Of London has won once but never placed from 5 starts on testing ground - major concern for a pace-setter
WATCH
Spoken Truth has habit of fading when in contention and may not last home if getting involved early
NOTE
Watch how aggressively the three front runners go early - if Atherstone Warrior takes them on he could set it up for closers
WATCH
Per Contra has never won from 15 attempts on soft/heavy ground despite showing ability on good surfaces
NOTE
Say What You See's recent purple patch includes soft ground wins and represents the main hold-up threat if pace is strong
4:40 — William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap
1m2f · Soft · HCAP · 8 runners
3 vying for the leadHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 3
AssarancaSiam RubyDryburgh
Prominent · 3
Only In ManilaArc Ole OleKelly Burn
Midfield · 0
None
Hold Up · 2
MorbehSteel Fixer
Three confirmed front runners (Assaranca, Siam Ruby, Dryburgh) will create a fierce early battle and strong gallop throughout this 1m2f test. The soft ground will amplify the stamina demands, with hold-up horses Morbeh and Steel Fixer relying on the pace collapse to strike late.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Pace Collapses Late
40% probability
If the three leaders go too hard early on soft ground
The strong gallop will take its toll in the final furlong, allowing the closers to capitalize. Morbeh's hold-up style and recent 10f win make him perfectly suited to pick up the pieces.
MorbehOnly In ManilaArc Ole OleKelly Burn
B
Front Runner Survives
25% probability
If Siam Ruby can dictate at a manageable tempo
Her recent 10f win shows stamina, and if she can control the pace she may have enough left. Assaranca's soft ground form gives him the best chance to challenge from the pace.
Siam RubyAssarancaOnly In ManilaArc Ole Ole
C
Prominent Raider Strikes
25% probability
If the pace becomes truly brutal between the three leaders
The horses tracking just behind will be perfectly positioned to strike when the pace collapses. Only In Manila's consistent form and Arc Ole Ole's recent soft ground win make them ideally placed.
Only In ManilaArc Ole OleKelly BurnMorbeh
D
Pace Stays Solid
10% probability
If the leaders settle into a sustainable rhythm without destroying each other
The race becomes a straight test of ability rather than tactics, favoring those with the best recent form. Only In Manila's consistency and Siam Ruby's stamina come to the fore.
Only In ManilaSiam RubyArc Ole OleAssaranca
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Steel Fixer historically fades badly in the finish even when well-positioned, making him a risky proposition despite his style.
WATCH
Watch how aggressively Assaranca, Siam Ruby and Dryburgh contest the early lead as it will determine the race shape.
NOTE
Morbeh has never placed on soft ground from four attempts, making his hold-up style dependent on exceptional pace collapse.
WATCH
Kelly Burn stepping up to 1m2f for first time with prominent style that may not suit if pace is fierce.
NOTE
Only In Manila's tactical versatility allows him to adapt to whatever pace scenario develops.
5:15 — William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap
6f · Soft · HCAP · 20 runners
Big Cyril to leadHISTORIC
Race shape
Lead · 1
Big Cyril
Prominent · 8
Fine InterviewBaldomeroDark ThirtyJungle DrumsTerritorial KnightSixtygeesbabyIt Just Takes TimeValley Ofthe Kings
Big Cyril is the only confirmed front runner in this field of 20, setting up a sustainable pace without early pressure. Nine horses (Fine Interview, It Just Takes Time, Kodiac Thriller, Sixtygeesbaby, Jungle Drums, Dark Thirty, Orne, Baldomero, Physique, Territorial Knight, Valley Ofthe Kings) all want prominent positions, creating severe traffic congestion turning for home when the pace lifts.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Big Cyril Controls Tempo
35% probability
If Big Cyril gets uncontested fractions and the prominent pack gets snarled up
The leader kicks clear as the congested group behind struggles for racing room. Hold-up horses like Lord Bertie and Korker get clear runs late but the damage is done.
Big CyrilIt Just Takes TimeTerritorial KnightFine Interview
B
Prominent Pack Collapse
25% probability
If the nine prominent runners go too fast chasing Big Cyril in soft conditions
The pace becomes unsustainable by halfway, causing mass capitulation in the final furlong. Pure hold-up horses with stamina reserves sweep past the tiring leaders.
Lord BertieWovenKorkerArctic Summer
C
Traffic Chaos Finish
30% probability
If the prominent group bunches up 2f out creating multiple interference incidents
Racing room becomes impossible to find as tired horses drift across the track. The winner emerges from whoever gets the clearest passage, likely from the outside.
Fine InterviewSixtygeesbabyJungle DrumsPhysique
D
Steady Pace Sprint Home
10% probability
If Big Cyril goes very steady and the field stays compact until the final 2f
The race becomes a dash from the distance with fresher horses having more kick. Recent sprint form and tactical speed becomes crucial over stamina.
I Need Your LoveOur Absent FriendsThornaby PearlThe FixerGlory Hyde
Hold Up · 5
Juan Les PinsSpoofCharlie MasonImpressorHarry's Halo
My Mate Kev stands as the sole confirmed front runner in this 18-runner field, meaning he can dictate the pace without early pressure from fellow leaders. With prominent runners like Fuji Mountain, Thunder Star, Our Absent Friends, Yes I'm Mali, Emperor Caradoc, Ay Gee Ell, I Need Your Love, Thornaby Pearl, The Fixer, Vince L'Amour, and J Street likely to settle just behind, the pace should be honest but not frantic early. This sets up perfectly for the large contingent of hold-up horses including Charlie Mason, Spoof, Juan Les Pins, Glory Hyde, Harry's Halo, and Impressor to get their preferred strong finish.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Uncontested Lead Holds
25% probability
If My Mate Kev gets soft fractions with the prominent pack not pressuring early.
The leader builds a useful advantage before the cavalry charge begins, giving him enough cushion to resist the closers. The hold-up horses come too late despite the strong pace suiting their style.
My Mate KevOur Absent FriendsFuji MountainThunder Star
B
Prominent Pace Pressure
35% probability
If the prominent runners bunch up behind My Mate Kev and create a strong gallop throughout.
The sustained pace sets up perfectly for the hold-up merchants who get the strong end-to-end gallop they need. Juan Les Pins and Spoof benefit most from their patient tactics.
Juan Les PinsSpoofImpressorCharlie Mason
C
Mid-Race Injection Wins
25% probability
If one of the prominent runners like Fuji Mountain or Vince L'Amour injects pace from the 3f pole.
The move catches My Mate Kev and puts enough pressure on to soften up the early leaders while not allowing the hold-up horses time to organize. The mid-move horse gets first run on the field.
Fuji MountainVince L'AmourYes I'm MaliAy Gee Ell
D
Late Dash Dominant
15% probability
If the pace collapses with My Mate Kev going too slow and the prominent pack being too patient.
The race becomes a sprint finish where the best turn of foot wins rather than stamina and positioning. Harry's Halo and Glory Hyde can unleash their finishing kicks from ideal positions.
Harry's HaloGlory HydeThunder StarI Need Your Love
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Watch if My Mate Kev gets too easy a lead early - could steal this if uncontested through halfway
WATCH
Monitor how aggressively the prominent pack positions behind My Mate Kev in the opening two furlongs
NOTE
Observe whether Juan Les Pins and Spoof get the patient ride their hold-up styles require
WATCH
Check if any of the prominent runners make an early move to pressure My Mate Kev before the 3f pole
NOTE
Watch for traffic problems developing in the final furlong with so many hold-up horses needing room
About this analysis
Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.
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