Archive›Doncaster · 6 June 2026

Doncaster

6 June 2026 · 7 races

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1:20 — Northwick Group Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 16 runners

Candy Warhol to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Candy Warhol and Solar Biricz led, as the map showed.

Melissa Honey won at 5.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

9 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Candy Warhol

Prominent · 5

Run This WayRoundhay ParkMickey MongooseHurstwoodDesert Master

Midfield · 5

TicktybooMelissa HoneySolar BiriczCanaria SunAsadjumeirah

Hold Up · 5

Moonhall LassBibendumMu Mu LandInstant BondBrave Empire

Candy Warhol is the sole confirmed front-runner and will likely get an uncontested lead with only Roundhay Park, Run This Way, Mickey Mongoose, Desert Master and Hurstwood showing any prominent tendencies. With 11 of 16 runners preferring to hold up or race mid-division, the pace will be moderate to steady early before quickening. The lack of pace pressure means Candy Warhol can dictate fractions and kick clear, while the bunched field behind creates traffic problems. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the scrimmaging, with hold-up horses facing a significant tactical disadvantage.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front-Runner Wins

45% probability

If Candy Warhol gets soft fractions and isn't pressed early

The 7yo can string them along at a controlled tempo before kicking clear in the final furlong when the hold-up brigade are still finding their stride. His recent placed efforts show he's race-fit and ready to capitalize on ideal tactical conditions.

Candy WarholRun This WayRoundhay ParkMickey Mongoose

Prominent Tracker Pounces

30% probability

If Run This Way or Mickey Mongoose can sit close enough to Candy Warhol

They can follow the pace-setter through the race before having enough left to collar him late, with Run This Way's recent Thirsk win in blinkers and Mickey Mongoose's AW form suggesting they're both in good heart. The moderate early pace allows them to conserve energy for a telling strike.

Run This WayMickey MongooseCandy WarholHurstwood

Hold-Up Horse Storms Home

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes crawling

The field bunches up turning for home allowing a strong stayer like Instant Bond or Moonhall Lass to unleash a devastating late run through traffic. However this requires everything to fall perfectly into place with a clear run appearing at the crucial moment.

Instant BondMoonhall LassMelissa HoneyBrave Empire

Surprise Outsider Benefits

10% probability

If the favourites cancel each other out in a tactical battle

A lightly-weighted runner like Canaria Sun or Solar Biricz could sneak through while the market leaders are fighting, benefiting from their low weights and fresh conditions. This scenario requires multiple pace angles to misfire simultaneously.

Canaria SunSolar BiriczTicktybooAsadjumeirah

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Candy Warhol could steal this if allowed soft early fractions as the only committed front-runner

WATCH

Traffic problems will be severe for hold-up horses with 11 runners preferring to come from behind

NOTE

Run This Way's blinkers have transformed her recently with two wins from two attempts in headgear

WATCH

Desert Master and Asadjumeirah both trained by Antony Brittain who has 0-12 record in last 14 days

NOTE

Good to firm ground conditions may not suit Roundhay Park who prefers much softer surfaces

1:55 — British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

6½f · Good · CLS2 · 7 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:30 — Dysons And TPI Taping And Jointing Ltd Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Rose Of Honour to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Toca Madera led; the map had Rose Of Honour in front.

Toca Madera won at 2.25 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Rose Of Honour

Prominent · 4

Naana's SparklePaddy's DayBaldomeroMaster Of My Fate

Midfield · 3

CounselSquealerIntervention

Hold Up · 3

Elegant ErinToca MaderaBlinky

Rose Of Honour will lead uncontested from the start, setting a sustainable gallop that won't come under serious pressure until the final furlong. With most rivals (Paddy's Day, Naana's Sparkle, Baldomero, Master Of My Fate, Counsel) sitting prominently behind her, there's no obvious challenger for the early lead. The hold-up horses (Toca Madera, Elegant Erin, Squealer, Blinky, Intervention) will have plenty to find from the rear over this minimum trip. This tactical setup strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can track the pace and pounce, while hold-up horses face a significant disadvantage over 5f on good ground.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Rose Of Honour maintains her unbeaten record by controlling the tempo from the front

Her three wins suggest she's most effective when dictating terms, and with no obvious pace pressure she can reserve energy for the finish. The lack of early speed from others allows her to find the ideal rhythm and kick clear when it matters.

Rose Of HonourNaana's SparklePaddy's DayMaster Of My Fate

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If one of the prominent runners can sit close enough to Rose Of Honour and outkick her in the final furlong

Naana's Sparkle showed good tactical speed when winning at Yarmouth and could track the leader before unleashing a late burst. Paddy's Day has the experience of multiple sprint wins and knows how to time his challenge.

Naana's SparklePaddy's DayRose Of HonourBaldomero

Hold-Up Horse Surprises

15% probability

If the pace becomes too strong in the final two furlongs and the leaders come back to the closers

Toca Madera ran well when third at York last time and has the best recent turf form of the hold-up brigade. His finishing kick could catch tiring front-runners if they go too fast too early.

Toca MaderaElegant ErinInterventionBlinky

Outsider Benefits From Chaos

10% probability

If the favorites fail to fire and one of the unconsidered runners finds the perfect trip

Master Of My Fate has shown ability on the all-weather and could benefit if the pace collapses, while Counsel might find this easier than his recent turf efforts. Both need everything to fall right but have enough class on their day.

Master Of My FateCounselBaldomeroSquealer

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Rose Of Honour's jumping from the stalls - any slow start could compromise her front-running tactics

WATCH

Squealer's finishing effort - known to fade and could signal if hold-up horses have any chance

NOTE

Naana's Sparkle's positioning behind Rose Of Honour - needs to track the leader closely to be effective

WATCH

Paddy's Day's turf adaptation - 1-24 record suggests surface switch remains problematic

NOTE

Toca Madera's early position - must be closer than usual over this minimum trip to have any hope

3:05 — Solar Xpress Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m6½f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Gaelic Approach led, as the map showed.

Any Which Way won at 3.25 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Killer WhaleSiam RubyGaelic Approach

Prominent · 2

Study Of WordsLopeo

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Any Which Way

Killer Whale, Siam Ruby, and Gaelic Approach will ensure a strong gallop from the flag in this small field, with all three habitual front-runners likely to dispute the early lead. The sustained pace over this stamina-testing trip will put maximum emphasis on staying power, particularly as Gaelic Approach showed relentless galloping when winning over 1m6f last time. Study Of Words and Lopeo will need to overcome their prominent style against this strong pace, while Any Which Way's hold-up style becomes a significant tactical advantage. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can benefit from the inevitable pace collapse.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Finish

55% probability

If the three front-runners go too hard early and tie up in the final furlong

The strong gallop will take its toll on the leaders, allowing a closer to sweep up from the back with fresh legs. Any Which Way's hold-up style becomes the winning move as the pace setters fade.

Any Which WayStudy Of WordsLopeoGaelic Approach

Front Runner Survives

25% probability

If Gaelic Approach can dictate a more measured tempo and kick clear

His recent 1m6f win showed he can control the pace and still have enough left, especially with the 3lb rise being lenient. The strong pace plays into his hands if he can avoid getting drawn into a speed duel.

Gaelic ApproachSiam RubyKiller WhaleAny Which Way

Prominent Pair Strike

12% probability

If Study Of Words and Lopeo can sit just off the pace and time their runs perfectly

The Appleby horse has the class edge while Lopeo showed stamina on heavy ground, both avoiding the early burn-up. Their prominent positioning keeps them close enough to strike when the leaders weaken.

Study Of WordsLopeoAny Which WayGaelic Approach

Messy Tactical Affair

8% probability

If the three front-runners engage in cat-and-mouse tactics early on

A slow early pace would negate Any Which Way's tactical advantage and turn it into a sprint finish where class tells. The higher-rated horses would benefit from retained speed over stamina.

Study Of WordsGaelic ApproachLopeoSiam Ruby

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Gaelic Approach breaking clear turning for home - if he survives the early pace battle, he could put the race to bed quickly

WATCH

Any Which Way's early position - if he gets too far back in this small field, even the pace collapse won't help

WATCH

Study Of Words settling kindly behind the speed - William Buick's positioning will be crucial against this strong gallop

NOTE

The pace battle between Killer Whale and Siam Ruby - whoever concedes first could set up the winner

NOTE

Lopeo's jumping and early speed after 42 days off - ring-rustiness could cost him crucial early positioning

3:45 — British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Good · NOV · 12 runners

Shipbourne to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Shipbourne and Deadline led, as the map showed.

Shipbourne won at 2.20 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Shipbourne

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 7

DeadlineBinmalkPark Lane PennyLineofsuccessionBlue IconBrave New WorldAlbemagic

Hold Up · 4

English TimeFlight ControlRace To The EdgeMass For Kathleen

Shipbourne looks the only committed front runner in this novice stakes, giving him a significant tactical advantage as he can dictate terms without pressure. The going upgrade to Good To Firm suits his Frankel pedigree and previous winning form on quicker surfaces. With most rivals showing hold-up tendencies (Flight Control, Race To The Edge, English Time), Shipbourne can build a commanding lead before the closers get organized. This pace scenario strongly favors the leader and any prominent racers who can track him early, as the hold-up brigade will struggle to make up ground against an uncontested pace-setter.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

55% probability

If Shipbourne gets an easy lead through steady fractions

He can kick clear turning for home with plenty left in reserve, making it impossible for the closers to reel him in. The class advantage of his Frankel breeding and debut win shows when allowed to control the race.

ShipbourneFlight ControlEnglish TimeRace To The Edge

Late Charge Succeeds

25% probability

If the pace becomes too slow and bunches up the field

The hold-up horses get a perfect setup to unleash their finishing kicks over the final two furlongs. Flight Control and English Time have shown good late pace and benefit from a strongly-run finish.

Flight ControlEnglish TimeShipbourneRace To The Edge

Prominent Tracker Strikes

12% probability

If one of the less obvious runners sits closer than usual

Horses like Race To The Edge or English Time position themselves handily behind Shipbourne rather than dropping back. They get first run on the leader while avoiding the traffic problems that could hinder the deep closers.

Race To The EdgeEnglish TimeShipbourneFlight Control

Shock Newcomer Impact

8% probability

If debutant Deadline shows immediate ability and positions prominently

The Greatrex newcomer has breeding to suggest 7f capability and could surprise if running a forward race. Lightly-raced types sometimes upset the form book in novice events when showing natural ability.

DeadlineShipbourneFlight ControlEnglish Time

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

If Shipbourne breaks slowly or gets bustled early, it completely changes the race dynamic and opens it up for the closers

WATCH

Watch for any prominent positioning changes from the hold-up horses like Flight Control or English Time in the early stages

NOTE

Monitor the betting market for support for debutant Deadline as Greatrex rarely runs them without expecting a run

NOTE

Track the early fractions - if they go too slow it sets up perfectly for the back markers to close

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems in the straight as most runners will need clear runs from off the pace

4:25 — Summer Saturday Series At Doncaster Racecourse Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Lead contested: Desert Falcon v Monsieur BondyHISTORIC

How it ran

Apotheosis led; the map had Desert Falcon and Monsieur Bondy in front.

Arctic Dawn won at 4.60 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Desert FalconMonsieur Bondy

Prominent · 4

KhafizApotheosisSpell MasterNew Image

Midfield · 2

EminencyMontezin

Hold Up · 4

BillyjohGaleronArctic DawnAkkadian Thunder

Desert Falcon and Monsieur Bondy will contest the early lead, with Desert Falcon likely to dictate as the more experienced front-runner who thrived here last season. Spell Master, Khafiz, Apotheosis and New Image should press from prominent positions, creating an honest tempo through the middle stages. The combination of two keen leaders and several prominent racers will produce a solid gallop that should suit horses with tactical speed rather than pure hold-up specialists. This pace setup clearly favours prominent racers and those with turn-of-foot who can position close enough to strike.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Gallop Benefits Prominents

55% probability

If Desert Falcon and Monsieur Bondy duel early while prominent horses track closely

The pace will be testing enough to blunt pure speed but not collapse, allowing prominent racers with tactical pace to time their challenges perfectly. Horses like Spell Master and Khafiz can position ideally and quicken when it matters.

Spell MasterKhafizNew ImageApotheosis

Strong Pace Suits Hold-Up

25% probability

If the two leaders go too fast and the prominent horses get drawn into the battle

The tempo becomes unsustainably quick, setting up a late charge from the back markers who have conserved energy. Arctic Dawn and Galeron can unleash superior finishing kicks as the early pace collapses.

Arctic DawnGaleronAkkadian ThunderEminency

Moderate Pace Favours Speed

12% probability

If Desert Falcon dominates alone with Monsieur Bondy settling and no early pressure applied

The race develops into a sprint finish where natural pace and course experience become decisive factors. Desert Falcon's front-running prowess and course form prove too strong for late challengers.

Desert FalconAkkadian ThunderMonsieur BondyMontezin

Tactical Battle Among Prominents

8% probability

If neither leader establishes clear control and multiple prominent horses vie for position

The race becomes a messy tactical affair with stop-start fractions that favour horses with instant acceleration. Those able to quicken from any position will capitalize on the lack of rhythm.

ApotheosisNew ImageSpell MasterEminency

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Desert Falcon breaking fast could establish unassailable lead if Monsieur Bondy fails to provide early competition

WATCH

Spell Master and Khafiz fighting for the same prominent position could compromise both their chances

NOTE

Arctic Dawn's finishing kick being unleashed too early if the pace isn't strong enough to set up hold-up horses

WATCH

New Image and Apotheosis tracking the same part of the race could lead to traffic problems in the straight

NOTE

Akkadian Thunder needing to overcome poor recent course form despite his previous success in this exact contest

5:00 — attheraces.com Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Magic Music to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Singoura led; the map had Magic Music in front.

Magic Music won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Magic Music

Prominent · 5

Super HitMayo CountyHighfield SunshineFinn IronsideAmelia's Joy

Midfield · 3

Ziggy's AngelLangton WoldBizarre Law

Hold Up · 4

SingouraPalmarianAge Of BaroqueThapa Vc

Magic Music will take them along as the only confirmed front runner, setting a sustainable gallop without pressure from fellow pace angles. Finn Ironside, Super Hit, Amelia's Joy and Mayo County should track closely behind the leader in a prominent group. The lack of early pace pressure means the tempo will be manageable through the middle sections, setting up a tactical finish where those with finishing kicks can strike. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late runs, as the modest early pace will leave plenty in reserve for the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Heroes Strike

55% probability

If Magic Music sets uncontested fractions and the pace stays steady to 2f out

The moderate gallop allows closers to conserve energy before unleashing decisive finishing kicks in the final furlong. Horses like Thapa Vc, Age Of Baroque and Palmarian can time their challenges perfectly from off the pace.

Thapa VcAge Of BaroquePalmarianBizarre Law

Prominent Pair Persist

25% probability

If the prominent group maintains strong positions turning for home without being headed

Mayo County and Amelia's Joy use their recent form advantage to kick clear from their tracking positions. Their fitness edge over the hold-up brigade proves decisive in a sustained drive to the line.

Mayo CountyAmelia's JoyMagic MusicFinn Ironside

Front Runner Stays Strong

12% probability

If Magic Music gets very soft sectionals and has enough left for the finish

The leader's uncontested fractions leave sufficient stamina reserves to repel all challengers in the closing stages. Finn Ironside provides the main threat from the chasing pack but cannot reel in the winner.

Magic MusicFinn IronsideSuper HitMayo County

Pace Collapse Sprint

8% probability

If the early tempo becomes crawling slow and produces a messy bunched finish

The tactical nature creates interference and hard luck stories as runners get blocked for runs. Form horses struggle to show their true ability while longshots can sneak through gaps for shock results.

Ziggy's AngelLangton WoldSingouraPalmarian

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Magic Music could get uncontested lead and soft fractions that prove impossible to peg back

WATCH

Mayo County faces 6lb penalty from recent Redcar win which may blunt finishing kick

NOTE

Thapa Vc has been meeting trouble in running recently and needs cleaner passage

WATCH

Highfield Sunshine requires wind operation to have worked after disappointing reappearance

NOTE

Langton Wold returns after 17-month absence and needs market support to suggest readiness

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 6 June 2026.

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