Archive›Down Royal · 29 May 2026

Down Royal

29 May 2026 · 8 races

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4:30 — BOYLE Sports Money Back If 2nd To SP Fav Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

3 vying for the leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Cashel Blue won at 10.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Baggot StreetPlushySpiced Gold

Prominent · 3

This GuyLove BombCashel Blue

Midfield · 1

Mini Cotai

Hold Up · 3

Hooves Your DaddySpirit AboveLady Landhort

Baggot Street, Plushy, and Spiced Gold will all want the early lead in this 5f sprint, creating a fierce pace battle from the off. This aggressive early tempo will stretch the field and test stamina reserves over the final furlong. The strong gallop will set up perfect conditions for horses with prominent or hold-up styles who can finish strongly. This race shape clearly favours prominent runners and closers who can capitalize on the expected pace collapse.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Favours Closers

45% probability

If the three front-runners engage in a speed duel through the early stages

The pace will be unsustainable and create opportunities for horses tracking just behind or held up early to strike in the final furlong. This Guy and Mini Cotai are perfectly positioned to benefit from this likely scenario.

This GuyMini CotaiLove BombHooves Your Daddy

One Leader Dominates

30% probability

If Baggot Street breaks cleanest and establishes an uncontested lead

The recent winner can dictate terms without pressure and potentially kick clear, especially with his proven 5f form and confidence boost from his last victory. Plushy could also benefit if he secures the early position.

Baggot StreetLove BombThis GuyCashel Blue

Moderate Pace Suits Prominents

15% probability

If the pace-setters are more restrained than expected in the opening two furlongs

Prominent runners like Love Bomb and This Guy can track the leaders comfortably and have enough left for a sustained challenge. The race becomes more tactical, suiting horses with tactical speed.

Love BombThis GuyBaggot StreetMini Cotai

Chaos Benefits Outsiders

10% probability

If the pace collapses completely with multiple horses stopping in the final furlong

The race could open up for unfancied closers with fresh legs who avoided the early battle entirely. Cashel Blue drops significantly in grade and could surprise at big odds.

Cashel BlueSpirit AboveMini CotaiHooves Your Daddy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Spiced Gold could fold quickly if pressured early, potentially taking others down or creating interference

WATCH

Watch the break closely as Baggot Street needs to secure an early position to avoid getting trapped behind the pace battle

NOTE

Colin Keane on This Guy - his tactical riding could be crucial if the pace develops as expected

WATCH

Love Bomb's tendency to fade in the finish could be amplified if she gets involved in the early pace battle

NOTE

Monitor Mini Cotai for a sustained late run if the leaders tie up as expected in the final furlong

5:05 — BOYLE Sports Money Back Meetings Every Day Fillies & Mares Maiden

7f · Good · MDN · 14 runners

Croi Gra to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Hasita and Croi Gra led, as the map showed.

What About Us won at 3.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

8 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Croi Gra

Prominent · 5

JusticiarWhat About UsHasitaCactusWearing Stars

Midfield · 5

Youse Raven MadSioux The BossRuby VegaDandymariaMiss Moore Cen

Hold Up · 3

Courtlough GulaRebel WaveDue In June

Croi Gra is the only confirmed front runner in this field and will dictate terms from the start, likely getting an easy lead given her style and previous keen racing tendencies. With What About Us and Justiciar providing prominent support but no other genuine pace pressers, the tempo will be comfortable through the early stages. The lack of pace pressure means Croi Gra can control fractions, while prominent racers like What About Us, Hasita and Cactus can track into good positions. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and hold-up horses who can benefit from the expected steady gallop and finish strongly.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running Success

40% probability

If Croi Gra settles better than her last keen performance and dictates comfortable fractions.

The lack of pace pressure allows her to string the field out and kick clear in the straight, while her previous third at Gowran shows she has the ability when not over-racing. Her trainer Lupini is in good form and Leigh Roche can utilize the tactical advantage.

Croi GraWhat About UsJusticiarHasita

Prominent Tracker Pounces

35% probability

If What About Us and other prominent racers get the perfect trip tracking the lone leader.

The steady gallop suits What About Us perfectly given her two encouraging frame finishes at Dundalk, and Joseph O'Brien's excellent strike rate gives confidence. The tactical setup allows prominent racers to conserve energy and outkick the leader late.

What About UsJusticiarHasitaCactus

Hold-Up Horse Charges

20% probability

If the pace becomes too slow and hold-up horses get a strong finishing kick.

Rebel Wave and Due In June benefit from a sprint finish scenario where their closing style can be maximized. The lack of early pace means hold-up horses aren't strung out and can deliver one sustained run.

Rebel WaveDue In JuneCourtlough GulaMiss Moore Cen

Debut Winner Emerges

5% probability

If one of the newcomers has significant undisclosed ability and benefits from the tactical setup.

The steady pace allows a well-bred newcomer like Dandymaria or Sioux The Boss to show their true colours without pace pressure. Their connections suggest potential above their maiden status.

DandymariaSioux The BossRuby VegaYouse Raven Mad

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Croi Gra over-races early again as her keen tendencies could compromise her tactical advantage despite having the lead to herself.

WATCH

Monitor What About Us for market confidence as Joseph O'Brien's strong strike rate and her frame finishes suggest she could be well-handicapped.

NOTE

Observe any significant market moves for the newcomers Dandymaria and Sioux The Boss as their breeding suggests potential above maiden level.

WATCH

Check if Justiciar shows more enthusiasm early as his prominent style suits but recent disappointing efforts raise effort questions.

NOTE

Watch for late money on Hasita as her never-nearer Cork third suggests she may have been given an easy time and could improve significantly.

5:40 — BOYLE Sports Extra Places Every Day Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 17 runners

Brains to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Shoot To Kill and Minaun View led; the map had Brains in front.

Faoladh won at 6.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

6 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Brains

Prominent · 6

ThaloriaShoot To KillImperial DreamFaoladhMinaun ViewDynamic Force

Midfield · 5

Eichan SanRappellLohengrinBurford BeautyGoldsmith

Hold Up · 5

Una MatataCharming WhisperLand Of The GiantsBay Of DreamsAmemri

Brains is the lone confirmed front-runner in this 17-runner field and should get an uncontested lead through the early stages. With most runners holding prominent or hold-up styles, the pace will likely be moderate through the first half-mile before quickening significantly in the final two furlongs. The lack of early pace pressure means Brains can dictate terms and potentially steal a march, while the large field creates traffic concerns for hold-up horses. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can track Brains closely and hold-up horses with proven tactical speed to navigate the inevitable late congestion.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

35% probability

If Brains gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning for home

The veteran can control the tempo completely and use his experience to time his effort perfectly. Hold-up horses get caught in traffic as the field bunches behind the slow pace.

BrainsShoot To KillImperial DreamFaoladh

Prominent Tracker Strikes

40% probability

If the pace quickens from the 3f pole as prominent runners challenge Brains

Horses positioned just behind the leader can respond immediately to any injection of pace and avoid the traffic problems further back. The moderate early gallop sets up perfectly for a sustained drive.

Shoot To KillImperial DreamFaoladhThaloria

Hold-Up Horse Flies Late

20% probability

If the pace collapses completely in the middle stages creating a sprint finish

Smart hold-up horses with tactical pace can weave through the field as it spreads out in the final furlong. The large field creates gaps for late closers with room to manoeuvre.

Land Of The GiantsAmemriUna MatataCharming Whisper

Chaos and Outsider

5% probability

If significant interference occurs in the home straight with this large field

Traffic problems and checking allow a horse with a clear run to emerge from an unlikely position. The race becomes a lottery favouring any runner who gets a clean passage.

Dynamic ForceBay Of DreamsEichan SanMinaun View

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Brains must be monitored closely for market support as the lone pace angle gives him a significant tactical advantage

WATCH

Traffic problems are inevitable with 17 runners - watch for hold-up horses getting clear runs in the final two furlongs

NOTE

Imperial Dream and Shoot To Kill both carry claiming jockeys taking off significant weight in a competitive handicap

WATCH

Una Matata returns to turf after 63 days off following excellent AW form - her adaptation will be crucial

NOTE

Land Of The Giants drops back in trip after winning over 9f last time but has winning form at this distance

6:15 — BOYLE Sports Home Of The Early Payout Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

Lead contested: Thistle Cross v Dervo AnnieHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Meriden won at 9.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

5 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Thistle CrossDervo Annie

Prominent · 3

Queen Of NewarkFontaine KhaledHoney Dale

Midfield · 5

StonyfallsBullet BourbonAnother Nice'dayBeau ArmySand Art

Hold Up · 4

Sweet Baby ZouMeridenImnotleavinyouAndosky

Thistle Cross and Dervo Annie will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set an honest gallop over this 7f trip. Queen Of Newark and Fontaine Khaled should track the pace in prominent positions, while the large contingent of hold-up horses including Imnotleavinyou, Sweet Baby Zou, and Andosky will be anchored towards the rear. With two keen leaders and 14 runners on good going, the pace will be solid throughout, setting up the race perfectly for the hold-up horses who can finish strongly when the early leaders tire.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Favours Closers

55% probability

If Thistle Cross and Dervo Annie duel early and maintain honest fractions

The sustained gallop will stretch the field and exhaust the front-runners, allowing the patient hold-up horses to unleash their finishing kicks in the final two furlongs. Imnotleavinyou's recent consistency in staying-on efforts makes him perfectly suited to capitalise.

ImnotleavinyouAndoskySweet Baby ZouBeau Army

Moderate Pace Benefits Prominent

25% probability

If one of the leaders settles without serious pressure and dictates terms

Queen Of Newark or Fontaine Khaled can track the tempo and strike when the pace quickens, avoiding both the early exertion and the traffic problems that may hinder the back markers. Queen Of Newark's recent career-best suggests improved form.

Queen Of NewarkFontaine KhaledMeridenHoney Dale

Front Runner Steals It

12% probability

If Dervo Annie or Thistle Cross gets an uncontested lead and softer fractions

The leader can conserve energy early and have enough left to resist late challengers, particularly if the hold-up horses are caught too far back in the large field. Dervo Annie's front-running style suits this tactical scenario better.

Dervo AnnieThistle CrossQueen Of NewarkStonyfalls

Chaos Favours Outsider

8% probability

If traffic problems and interference affect the fancied runners in the straight

The large field creates opportunities for a well-positioned outsider to find clear running while others are shuffling for room. Stonyfalls returns from a long break with handicap debut conditions that could spring a surprise.

StonyfallsSand ArtAnother Nice'dayBullet Bourbon

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Thistle Cross and Dervo Annie could set unsustainably strong fractions if they engage in early speed duel

WATCH

Imnotleavinyou may get caught wide or in traffic given his hold-up style in this large 14-runner field

NOTE

Queen Of Newark's market movement after her career-best third will indicate stable confidence

WATCH

Sweet Baby Zou represents Joseph O'Brien who has 10 winners from 60 runners in the last 14 days

NOTE

Stonyfalls faces the market test after 203 days off to gauge yard expectations for handicap debut

6:50 — His Majesty's Plate (Listed Race)

2m · Good · LST · 6 runners

Lead contested: Dallas Star v Mont St MichelHISTORIC

How it ran

Dallas Star led, as the map showed.

Carmers won at 1.83 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Dallas StarMont St Michel

Prominent · 2

Tennessee StudCarmers

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

LayfayetteAlba Chiara

Dallas Star and Mont St Michel will ensure genuine early tempo over this 2m trip, with both horses needing to use their natural front-running tendencies. The presence of two confirmed leaders creates an honest gallop scenario where they'll either engage early or one will concede, but the pace will be fair throughout. Tennessee Stud and Carmers can track from prominent positions behind the leaders. This setup strongly favours hold-up horses like Layfayette and Alba Chiara who can exploit the pace and finish late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

50% probability

If Dallas Star and Mont St Michel engage early and create strong tempo

The dual pace angle sets up perfectly for closers to pick off tired leaders in the final furlong. Layfayette's proven late kick and Alba Chiara's course form become decisive advantages.

LayfayetteAlba ChiaraTennessee StudCarmers

Prominent Tracker Wins

30% probability

If one leader gets soft fractions while the other drops back early

Tennessee Stud or Carmers can position perfectly behind moderate pace and kick clear before hold-up horses get organized. Their class edge over the leaders becomes telling.

Tennessee StudCarmersDallas StarLayfayette

Front Runner Steals It

15% probability

If Dallas Star gets uncontested lead with Mont St Michel settling

Dallas Star can dictate comfortable fractions and prove hard to catch despite class concerns. His Group 3 winning form gives him enough quality to hold on.

Dallas StarMont St MichelTennessee StudCarmers

Pace Collapse Surprise

5% probability

If both leaders go too hard early and prominent horses also tire

Alba Chiara's course advantage and low weight become decisive when classier rivals hit the wall. Her Ulster Cesarewitch win here shows her effectiveness at the track.

Alba ChiaraLayfayetteTennessee StudMont St Michel

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Dallas Star getting uncontested lead could be dangerous given his front-running ability and Group 3 winning form

WATCH

Tennessee Stud showing signs of needing the run after 104-day absence would compromise the market leaders

WATCH

Mont St Michel breaking alertly alongside Dallas Star creates the strong pace scenario that suits closers

NOTE

Layfayette's positioning in midfield early will indicate if connections plan typical hold-up tactics

NOTE

Alba Chiara jumping from the gates sharply would suggest confidence in her Down Royal course form

7:25 — BOYLE Sports Handicap

2m · Good · HCAP · 17 runners

Tassarolo likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Al What and Timandi led; the map had Tassarolo in front.

Our Lucky Lady won at 3.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

4 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tassarolo

Prominent · 2

Pons AeliusVelvet And Vine

Midfield · 9

Al WhatMiners CabinMephistoJuralityEdge Of DarknessOur Lucky LadySynchronizeSioux GritBang Po

Hold Up · 5

TimandiFine PrintAmong The PinesLisnadillMaxwell Smart

Tassarolo is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate a sustainable gallop without early pressure in this large handicap field. The prominent group of Pons Aelius and Velvet And Vine may track closely, but the majority are hold-up horses who will need the pace to develop. With 13 of 17 runners employing hold-up tactics, the race will develop into a cavalry charge from the back, creating a premium on horses with tactical speed and those who can position well mid-race. This shape strongly favours prominent racers and those hold-up horses with proven finishing kicks, while penalising one-paced plodders who rely on a strong gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Setup

55% probability

If Tassarolo leads uncontested and maintains an even gallop throughout

The large field will bunch up turning for home, creating a messy sprint finish that favours horses with tactical pace who can avoid trouble. Hold-up horses with finishing speed like Jurality and Mephisto can weave through to capitalise.

JuralityMephistoMaxwell SmartFine Print

Prominent Group Pressure

25% probability

If Pons Aelius or other prominent runners challenge Tassarolo mid-race

The increased tempo stretches the field and creates a more genuine test of stamina over the 2m trip. This setup benefits proven stayers who can sustain their effort like Tassarolo himself and any hold-up horse with stamina reserves.

TassaroloFine PrintMaxwell SmartOur Lucky Lady

Crawling Early Pace

15% probability

If Tassarolo goes too slowly early with no pressure applied

The race becomes a pure sprint from the 3f pole with minimal stamina test, favouring horses with the best turn of foot regardless of trip preferences. Short-priced favourites with class like Mephisto and those who've shown speed recently get first run.

MephistoAl WhatJuralityFine Print

Traffic Chaos Finish

5% probability

If the large field creates significant interference in the straight

Early positioned horses avoid the worst of the trouble while many fancied runners get hampered or checked. Those prominent early like Pons Aelius and any hold-up horse drawn wide with room to manoeuvre benefit from cleaner passages.

Pons AeliusVelvet And VineMaxwell SmartTimandi

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tassarolo must handle the 2m trip as his stamina is unproven beyond 1m4f despite controlling the early pace

WATCH

Among The Pines returning from 233 days off with new trainer after being last of 17 on handicap debut

WATCH

Multiple hold-up horses including Miners Cabin, Al What and Edge Of Darkness show concerning fading tendencies in recent runs

NOTE

Pons Aelius trying tongue-tie for first time on career-low mark with inexperienced apprentice jockey

NOTE

Fine Print due to run over hurdles Wednesday at Wexford which could impact participation here

8:00 — BOYLE Sports Daily Racing Rewards Handicap

1m2½f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Misty Cove likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Harmani won at 4.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Misty Cove

Prominent · 3

Sutton HooOustHarmani

Midfield · 5

Rapide VegaVantage CodeChestnut PalaceLord AusGrey Intentions

Hold Up · 4

Pierre GrosseEniacChapel LaneAnother Day Done

Misty Cove is the only confirmed front runner and will dictate a sustainable pace without pressure through the early stages. The prominent runners Harmani, Oust and Sutton Hoo will track the leader while the majority of the field consists of hold-up horses who need to be produced late. With limited early pace and a large contingent of closers, this sets up as a tactical affair that will become a sprint from the 3-furlong pole. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can position close to the pace and have something left to kick, as the hold-up horses will struggle for room and clear runs in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

45% probability

If Misty Cove maintains a steady tempo and the prominent horses get first run

The lack of early pace allows Harmani, Oust and Sutton Hoo to travel comfortably in behind before striking decisively in the straight. The hold-up majority gets caught in traffic as these handily-placed runners skip clear.

HarmaniSutton HooMisty CoveOust

Late Surge Prevails

30% probability

If the pace becomes truly crawling and the closers get lucky with gaps

The tactical nature allows the better hold-up horses like Pierre Grosse and Eniac to weave through and deliver their finishing kicks. Their class and late turn of foot proves decisive when the race becomes a pure sprint home.

Pierre GrosseEniacAnother Day DoneChapel Lane

Front Runner Stays

15% probability

If Misty Cove gets soft fractions and kicks again turning for home

The lack of early pressure allows the leader to conserve energy before quickening decisively in the straight. The closers are caught flat-footed by the change of pace while the prominent horses can't match the leader's renewed effort.

Misty CoveHarmaniSutton HooPierre Grosse

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If the early pace is funeral-slow and causes a bunched finish

The crawling tempo creates a cavalry charge finish where any horse can win depending on luck in running. The race becomes a lottery with positioning and gaps more important than ability or running style.

Rapide VegaChestnut PalaceVantage CodeAnother Day Done

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lord Aus has been slowly away in all three runs this year and could be left with too much to do again

WATCH

Another Day Done hasn't run for 47 days and may need this outing despite wearing the first-time visor

NOTE

Sutton Hoo returns after 91 days off and needs to prove his Dundalk maiden form translates to turf

WATCH

The pace could collapse completely with only Misty Cove showing early speed, creating a messy finish

NOTE

Several horses making handicap debuts including Rapide Vega and Lord Aus add unpredictability to the outcome

8:30 — BOYLE Sports Best Odds Guaranteed Maiden

1m2½f · Good · MDN · 14 runners

Divelment to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Nermal and Divelment and Gatlinburg led, as the map showed.

Teologia won at 2.88 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Divelment

Prominent · 4

Moon VegaMaxminelliNermalAvec Grand Plaisir

Midfield · 5

GatlinburgCosmic FunkTavaruaAmrumKingcharles

Hold Up · 4

Sonny CorleoneTeologiaSecond LineEspritroyale

Divelment is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the outset, likely establishing a steady but uncontested lead through the early phases. With most of the field preferring hold-up tactics (Teologia, Gatlinburg, Cosmic Funk, Sonny Corleone), the early pace will be comfortable rather than fierce. The real race will develop from the home turn as the hold-up brigade look to close the gap, but Divelment's uncontested early advantage could prove decisive. This tactical setup clearly favours front-running and prominent racers who can track the leader without pressure.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Divelment Controls Tempo

45% probability

If Divelment establishes an uncontested lead and maintains a sustainable pace throughout

The lack of early pace pressure allows him to dictate ideal fractions and kick clear when the hold-up horses are still organising their challenges. His prior AW placings over this trip demonstrate stamina for a strong finish.

DivelmentMaxminelliNermalMoon Vega

Hold-Up Horses Swarm Late

30% probability

If the prominent racers fail to track Divelment closely enough early on

The conservative early pace sets up a cavalry charge finish where the strongest stayers prevail over the final two furlongs. Teologia's recent improved form and Gatlinburg's step forward at Killarney position them perfectly.

TeologiaGatlinburgSonny CorleoneCosmic Funk

Prominent Tracker Strikes

15% probability

If Maxminelli or Nermal can sit perfect stalking positions behind Divelment

The tongue-tie improvement for Maxminelli or Nermal's wide-draw experience from Dundalk allows them to time their challenge perfectly in the straight. They get first run on the hold-up horses while having Divelment's measure.

MaxminelliNermalMoon VegaAvec Grand Plaisir

Pace Collapse Finish

10% probability

If Divelment goes too fast early or the prominent horses fail to make their presence felt

The race becomes a pure stamina test where the longest-priced hold-up horses with questionable form suddenly become competitive. Fresh legs and natural improvement carry the day over tactical positioning.

AmrumEspritroyaleTavaruaSecond Line

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Divelment could steal this if allowed uncontested lead by prominent racers failing to track him closely

WATCH

Maxminelli's tongue-tie improvement may not translate from Ballinrobe claimer to stronger maiden company

NOTE

Moon Vega returning from 170-day break could either show natural improvement or need the run

WATCH

Several hold-up horses with fading tendencies (Gatlinburg, Second Line, Kingcharles) may disappoint again

NOTE

Large field of 14 runners creates potential traffic problems for hold-up horses requiring late room

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 29 May 2026.

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