Archive›Downpatrick · 14 June 2026

Downpatrick

14 June 2026 · 7 races

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1:50 — Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

2m6f · Good · MDN · 14 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:20 — Randox Maiden Hurdle

2m3f · Good · MDN · 17 runners

Amina likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Sum Story led; the map had Amina in front.

In The Trenches won at 3.25 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Amina

Prominent · 1

In The Trenches

Midfield · 10

Western ShoresSum StoryMydreamtellEuro AgentCapri GearDouble OrderColwyn BayAllroadsleadtoromeAdifferentballowaxEye Contact

Hold Up · 5

Yup BroPaymelaterMoundofthehostagesMagical ActJet Renegade

Amina will lead from the start with no other confirmed front runners, creating a steady but uncontested gallop through the early stages. In The Trenches may take a prominent position but won't pressure the leader aggressively. The large field of hold-up horses including Allroadsleadtorome, Colwyn Bay, and Jet Renegade will create a traffic-heavy finish as they all seek room to mount challenges. This pace scenario strongly favours horses that can settle close enough to avoid the late scramble while having the pace to strike decisively.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If Amina gets an easy lead and quickens decisively from the last hurdle

The mare will have too much in reserve after the comfortable gallop, with the hold-up horses struggling to close the gap in time. Her previous placed efforts suggest she can capitalize when getting things her own way.

AminaIn The TrenchesMydreamtellWestern Shores

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If In The Trenches or another prominent runner can get first run on the leader

The pace will be honest enough to set up a perfectly-timed challenge from just behind the leader, avoiding the late traffic problems. Horses that can position prominently will have the tactical edge over those relying on late runs.

In The TrenchesAminaJet RenegadePaymelater

Hold-Up Horse Finds Gap

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and one of the closers finds a clear passage

A patient ride will pay dividends if the early gallop is too slow and the field bunches up for a sprint finish. The best of the hold-up horses can still prevail despite the tactical disadvantage.

AllroadsleadtoromeJet RenegadeColwyn BayEuro Agent

Lightly Raced Improver

10% probability

If one of the unexposed horses shows significant improvement from their debut

The step up in trip or experience will unlock untapped potential in horses like Mydreamtell or Western Shores. Their lack of exposed form becomes an advantage if they've improved significantly at home.

Western ShoresMydreamtellAminaMagical Act

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Amina must be monitored early to see if she gets the uncontested lead as expected

WATCH

In The Trenches positioning crucial as only realistic pace challenger to the leader

WATCH

Traffic problems likely in straight with 16 hold-up horses needing room simultaneously

NOTE

Western Shores and Mydreamtell market moves could signal yard confidence in improvement

NOTE

Jockey tactics on Euro Agent will reveal intended running style and realistic chances

2:50 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle

2m3f · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

She's A Fine Wine likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Tir Og led; the map had She's A Fine Wine in front.

She's A Fine Wine won at 7.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

She's A Fine Wine

Prominent · 5

Long GoneTir OgHillhead RunnerRadar AheadYou Make Me Smile

Midfield · 4

Wild MandateMiss LiaGangster GrannyMidnight Eagle

Hold Up · 4

Hasten SlowlyMiss ManzorRockstown GirlLayenda

She's A Fine Wine will lead from the outset with no obvious challengers for the early pace, creating a sustainable gallop rather than a fierce tempo. The prominent runners Long Gone, Hillhead Runner, Tir Og and Radar Ahead will track the leader in the second rank, while the hold-up brigade including Hasten Slowly, Miss Manzor and Rockstown Girl will need the pace to collapse late. With only one confirmed front runner and multiple prominent types happy to sit behind, this sets up as a moderate pace that will quicken from the home turn. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can track the leader and have the tactical speed to strike when the pace lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Moderate Pace Suits Prominents

55% probability

If She's A Fine Wine sets a steady tempo without pressure from behind...

The prominent runners get the perfect trip tracking the leader before quickening from the home turn when the hold-up horses have too much to do. Long Gone and Hillhead Runner are ideally positioned to strike in the straight with their higher ratings.

Long GoneHillhead RunnerTir OgRadar Ahead

Strong Finish Benefits Hold-Up

25% probability

If the pace collapses in the straight and becomes a sprint finish...

The hold-up horses get their preferred scenario with plenty left in the tank for a late surge. Hasten Slowly and Miss Manzor can unleash their finishing kicks when the early pace-setters tire.

Hasten SlowlyMiss ManzorRockstown GirlLayenda

Leader Dominates Throughout

12% probability

If She's A Fine Wine gets an uncontested lead and kicks clear turning for home...

The lack of early pace pressure allows her to dictate terms completely and build an unassailable advantage. Her class advantage at OR 119 tells when given these ideal conditions.

She's A Fine WineLong GoneYou Make Me SmileGangster Granny

Messy Pace Benefits Outsiders

8% probability

If the moderate pace becomes stop-start with multiple moves throughout the race...

The tactical nature plays into the hands of unexposed or improving types who can handle the changing rhythms. Gangster Granny and You Make Me Smile can capitalize on the chaos with their recent good form.

Gangster GrannyYou Make Me SmileWild MandateMiss Lia

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

She's A Fine Wine showing any signs of rust early given her 245-day absence could derail her class advantage

WATCH

Long Gone and Hillhead Runner settling kindly behind the leader as their positioning will be crucial to their chances

WATCH

Hasten Slowly getting a strong enough pace to aim at given the likely moderate gallop may not suit her hold-up style

NOTE

Radar Ahead and Wild Mandate showing any sharpness early after their respective long layoffs

NOTE

The pace through the first mile as a moderate tempo strongly favours the prominent runners over the hold-up brigade

3:20 — Join Racing TV Now With A Free Trial Handicap Hurdle

2m2f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Chanceawetmorning likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Malbay Madness won at 9.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

5 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Chanceawetmorning

Prominent · 4

Red GloryMr Master MacCloonainraMalbay Madness

Midfield · 3

DontgowithjoeYosemite GoldMetamorpheus

Hold Up · 4

Arch EmpireKamino BelloBridgeheadBruant

Chanceawetmorning will take up the running from the start without serious pressure, as most of the field prefer to sit off the pace. Red Glory, Mr Master Mac, Cloonainra and Malbay Madness will track in behind but none are confirmed front-runners. The lack of genuine pace-pressers means Chanceawetmorning can dictate a steady rhythm through the early stages before quickening. This sustainable tempo strongly favours prominent racers and those with tactical speed, while making life difficult for the many hold-up horses who need a strong gallop to be effective.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Leaders

65% probability

If Chanceawetmorning gets an easy lead with Red Glory and Mr Master Mac tracking but not pressuring early.

The pace becomes too steady for the hold-up brigade to close effectively, allowing the prominent runners to kick clear when the tempo lifts approaching the home turn. Chanceawetmorning and the early stalkers have too much in hand over the backmarkers.

ChanceawetmorningRed GloryMr Master MacMalbay Madness

Mid-Race Pressure Creates Pace

20% probability

If Red Glory or Mr Master Mac move up to challenge Chanceawetmorning before the home turn.

The increased gallop stretches the field and brings the hold-up horses into play, particularly those with proven finishing kicks. Arch Empire and Kamino Bello benefit from the stronger tempo to close from off the pace.

Arch EmpireKamino BelloBridgeheadMalbay Madness

Sprint Finish Favours Class

10% probability

If the field stays bunched turning for home with multiple horses still in contention.

The race becomes a test of pure ability rather than tactics, favouring the highest-rated horses regardless of running style. Red Glory's class tells despite the long absence while Chanceawetmorning holds on grimly.

Red GloryChanceawetmorningMr Master MacArch Empire

Shock from Backmarkers

5% probability

If Chanceawetmorning sets a genuinely strong pace from the start under pressure.

The early leaders weaken dramatically in the final furlong, allowing a late closer to pick up the pieces. Dontgowithjoe or Metamorpheus emerge from the pack to capitalize on the collapse up front.

DontgowithjoeMetamorpheusKamino BelloBridgehead

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Chanceawetmorning gets too easy a lead early and kicks clear turning for home before the hold-up horses can respond.

WATCH

Red Glory travels strongly despite the long break, suggesting De Bromhead has him ready to run a big race fresh.

WATCH

Mr Master Mac races too keenly in the prominent position and fails to see out the trip under pressure.

NOTE

Arch Empire gets a good position early instead of being held up, indicating connections expect a steady pace.

NOTE

The pace through the first mile is genuine rather than steady, bringing the backmarkers into serious contention.

3:55 — Dunlop Homes Rated Novice Hurdle

2m2f · Good · NOV · 10 runners

Beat The Devil likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Butch Coolidge led; the map had Beat The Devil in front.

Blue Moon Boy won at 9.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Beat The Devil

Prominent · 3

Lumiere Du LargeMaxwell SmartButch Coolidge

Midfield · 3

Annie's AngelPure LogicBlue Moon Boy

Hold Up · 3

HoundsworthSea Of DoubtFedneys Park

Beat The Devil will establish the lead unchallenged from the flag, with his natural front-running style and highest OR of 120 making him the logical pacesetter. Lumiere Du Large, Butch Coolidge, Maxwell Smart and Pure Logic will track prominently behind, creating a genuine pace through the early stages. The sustained tempo will stretch the field, putting pressure on the hold-up horses Houndsworth, Fedneys Park, Sea Of Doubt and Blue Moon Boy to get into contention early. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can secure good positions early and kick from the front group.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

55% probability

If Beat The Devil sets honest pace and prominent trackers respond

The sustained gallop will suit horses positioned handy who can quicken from good positions. Hold-up horses will struggle to make up ground against the strong pace.

Lumiere Du LargeButch CoolidgeMaxwell SmartPure Logic

Front Runner Bolts

25% probability

If Beat The Devil gets soft lead and kicks clear

The class horse exploits weak pursuit to build unassailable advantage turning for home. His 120 OR suggests he has gears others lack when allowed easy time.

Beat The DevilLumiere Du LargeButch CoolidgePure Logic

Hold-Up Late Surge

12% probability

If early pace collapses and becomes crawling affair

Fedneys Park and Sea Of Doubt get the slow-run race they need to unleash finishing kicks. The patient tactics pay dividends in sprint finish.

Sea Of DoubtHoundsworthBlue Moon BoyFedneys Park

Chaos and Outsider

8% probability

If interference or jumping errors disrupt the market leaders

Blue Moon Boy or Annie's Angel capitalize on others' misfortune with clear runs. Weight advantages and fresh conditions help unfancied runners.

Blue Moon BoyAnnie's AngelPure LogicSea Of Doubt

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Beat The Devil's jumping after 222-day absence - any early mistake will destroy front-running tactics

WATCH

Maxwell Smart's fitness after 57-day gap - previous form shows he needs regular runs to stay sharp

NOTE

Fedneys Park's early positioning - hold-up horse who fades late needs to be closer than usual

WATCH

Pure Logic's jumping rhythm - recent falls suggest confidence issues that could resurface under pressure

NOTE

Sea Of Doubt's early movement - needs to track the pace closer than usual given strong early gallop expected

4:30 — Cab Plant Handicap Hurdle

2m2f · Good · HCAP · 17 runners

Oh So Charming likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

High Notions led; the map had Oh So Charming in front.

Georginas Jet won at 21.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Oh So Charming

Prominent · 5

Walk WinSpanish JohnDemanding GerryCentaqGeorginas Jet

Midfield · 6

BrysonDark BerkshireThe Poet's WayPatrick StreetMagnificent EraSonny Fella

Hold Up · 5

High NotionsCopper RockerVictoria KesiaBowgate StreetBoston Queen

Oh So Charming will dictate terms from the front with minimal pressure, as no other confirmed front-runners appear in this 17-runner field. Walk Win, Demanding Gerry, Spanish John, Centaq and Georginas Jet will track the pace in prominent positions, but the early fractions should be comfortable. The large field will create a strung-out affair with many hold-up horses needing luck in running. This sustainable pace scenario strongly favours prominent racers who can position close to Oh So Charming and strike turning for home, rather than the numerous hold-up horses who face traffic problems.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Striker Wins

45% probability

If Oh So Charming sets uncontested fractions and the field strings out normally

The pace-tracker gets first run on the leader and has enough in reserve to repel late challengers. Hold-up horses struggle with positioning and the sustained gallop.

Walk WinDemanding GerryOh So CharmingSpanish John

Front Runner Holds On

30% probability

If Oh So Charming gets soft sectionals and kicks clear turning for home

The leader builds an unassailable advantage as chasers commit too late on the testing climb. Prominent horses get closest but fall short of catching the winner.

Oh So CharmingWalk WinDemanding GerrySpanish John

Late Surge Succeeds

15% probability

If the early pace becomes pedestrian and the field bunches approaching the home turn

A traffic-free hold-up horse with superior finishing kick exploits the slow tempo. The front division ties up as fresher legs emerge from the pack.

High NotionsBowgate StreetVictoria KesiaCopper Rocker

Chaos and Longshot

10% probability

If Oh So Charming stops quickly or multiple fallers create interference

The race falls apart tactically with several fancied runners compromised by trouble. An unfancied runner with a clear passage capitalizes on the carnage.

CentaqGeorginas JetBoston QueenDark Berkshire

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Oh So Charming getting harassed early would completely change the race dynamics and open it up for closers

WATCH

Walk Win's tendency to fade in the final furlong could cost him if he tracks the pace too closely

NOTE

High Notions needs a clear run from the back but has the class to win if getting racing room

WATCH

The large field size creates significant potential for traffic problems affecting multiple hold-up horses

NOTE

Demanding Gerry's consistent prominent style makes him the most reliable each-way option

5:05 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race

2m2f · Good · DEFAULT · 8 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 14 June 2026.

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