Archive›Dundalk (AW) · 1 April 2026

Dundalk (AW)

1 April 2026 · 7 races

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5:15 — Sunday 12th July Ladies Day At Dundalk Stadium Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Bye Bye Now to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Bye Bye Now led, as the map showed.

An Laochmor won at 2.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Bye Bye Now

Prominent · 4

Jordan BreezeSnowballsAn LaochmorQueen Of Newark

Midfield · 3

Star ReignCooee CallShe's A Gift

Hold Up · 4

SceitiminiJazzitWhats It All AboutPhil's Dream

Bye Bye Now will set uncontested fractions from the gates with only An Laochmor, Snowballs and Jordan Breeze likely to press early. The sustainable tempo over 5f on turf will allow prominent runners to track comfortably while the large contingent of hold-up horses (Whats It All About, Sceitimini, Jazzit, Phil's Dream, Star Reign, Cooee Call, She's A Gift) will need the pace to collapse to be competitive.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Bye Bye Now Controls

45% probability

If the lone leader maintains steady fractions without serious early pressure

Bye Bye Now dictates throughout and holds off late challengers. The prominent trio struggle to make serious inroads against the controlled tempo.

Bye Bye NowAn LaochmorJordan BreezeJazzit

Early Pace Pressure

30% probability

If An Laochmor, Snowballs and Jordan Breeze all press Bye Bye Now from the start

The increased tempo compromises all four early runners in the final furlong. Phil's Dream and Jazzit benefit from the stronger pace with late surges.

Phil's DreamJazzitSceitiminiAn Laochmor

Prominent Runners Dominate

15% probability

If the three prominent runners settle well and kick together turning for home

An Laochmor, Snowballs and Jordan Breeze overwhelm the lone leader with superior tactical speed. The hold-up brigade arrive too late despite the modest early pace.

An LaochmorJordan BreezeSnowballsBye Bye Now

Hold-Up Horse Surge

10% probability

If Bye Bye Now sets slower fractions than expected and multiple closers get organized

Phil's Dream and Jazzit time their runs perfectly as the pace collapses completely. The early runners pay for the pedestrian tempo with comprehensive defeat.

Phil's DreamJazzitSceitiminiStar Reign

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Bye Bye Now could steal this if allowed uncontested fractions with no other natural leaders in the field

WATCH

Jordan Breeze and An Laochmor both show fading tendencies despite their prominent styles creating tactical concerns

WATCH

Multiple hold-up horses including Whats It All About, Sceitimini and Star Reign have recent finishing problems

NOTE

Phil's Dream has won twice recently over 5f and could benefit if the prominent runners go too fast early

NOTE

The good going suits most runners but several including Jordan Breeze and multiple hold-up types have shown fading patterns recently

5:45 — Put The Fun Into Fundraising At Dundalk Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Mc Loven to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Edmond Halley and Mc Loven led, as the map showed.

Clonmacash won at 10.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

7 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mc Loven

Prominent · 5

Beauty QueenI Bid You AjouDontspoilasaleI'm SpartacusEdmond Halley

Midfield · 2

RappellAmemri

Hold Up · 4

InishfallenCollective PowerSporting HeroClonmacash

Mc Loven will lead uncontested as the only confirmed front-runner, setting a comfortable tempo without early pressure. The real battle develops behind with Beauty Queen, Dontspoilasale, I Bid You Ajou, I'm Spartacus, and Edmond Halley all wanting prominent positions, creating congestion and tactical complications turning for home when the hold-up brigade of six strong finishers unleashes.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Survives

30% probability

If Mc Loven gets soft fractions and the prominent pack interferes with each other

The leader builds a decisive advantage while the chasers jostle for position, then holds off late challenges weakened by traffic problems. Mc Loven's stamina proves enough when not harassed early.

Mc LovenBeauty QueenI'm SpartacusDontspoilasale

Closers Charge Through

35% probability

If the prominent runners go too hard chasing Mc Loven and create openings

The pace collapses in the final furlong as tired leaders surrender to fresh finishers who avoided early trouble. Collective Power and Sporting Hero benefit most from clean runs through gaps.

Collective PowerSporting HeroClonmacashRappell

Prominent Tactical Winner

25% probability

If one of the prominent runners secures the perfect stalking position without over-racing

Beauty Queen or I'm Spartacus gets first run on the leader while avoiding the worst of the scrimmaging behind. They kick clear before the hold-up horses can organize their challenge.

I'm SpartacusBeauty QueenMc LovenI Bid You Ajou

Chaos Favors Outsider

10% probability

If severe interference mars the finish with multiple horses checking

The race falls apart tactically with several contenders blocked or short of room at crucial moments. Amemri or another outsider profits from the clearest passage to steal victory.

AmemriEdmond HalleyInishfallenRappell

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Edmond Halley has virtually no form on good ground (1 run from 15) making him a complete unknown

WATCH

Traffic congestion likely at the 2-furlong pole when five prominent runners converge behind Mc Loven

WATCH

Collective Power's perfect going record means any market drift would be significant negative signal

NOTE

Mc Loven's early fractions will determine everything - watch for any pressure from the prominent pack

NOTE

I'm Spartacus and Beauty Queen must secure clean positions early or risk being trapped behind stragglers

6:15 — New Saddle Bar At Dundalk Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Love Bomb likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Love Bomb led, as the map showed.

Stone Bear won at 7.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Love Bomb

Prominent · 2

Stone BearRoyal County Glory

Midfield · 6

Pretty LizBullet BourbonSpirit AboveLady LandhortCause I Like YouDream Legend

Hold Up · 4

One Cool BearJampa LingFaustynaDream And Believe

Love Bomb stands as the only confirmed front runner in this 13-runner field, likely to get an uncontested lead with Royal County Glory and Stone Bear the closest prominent runners but unlikely to apply serious early pressure. This sets up a tactical affair where Love Bomb can dictate terms early, but the overwhelming number of hold-up horses (9 runners) creates a bunched finish where stamina and position will be crucial over finishing power.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Holds

35% probability

If Love Bomb gets easy fractions and doesn't fade as usual

Love Bomb controls the pace without pressure and has enough left to resist the late charge. The prominent runners Royal County Glory and Stone Bear fill the places as the hold-up brigade arrives too late.

Love BombRoyal County GloryStone BearFaustyna

Strong Closer Strikes

30% probability

If the pace becomes steady and favors stamina over speed

The tactical nature allows the classier hold-up horses to unleash devastating finishing kicks. Faustyna and One Cool Bear benefit most from the patient approach with their higher ratings.

FaustynaOne Cool BearJampa LingStone Bear

Prominent Pair Prevail

25% probability

If Love Bomb fades as expected and pace pressure builds

Royal County Glory and Stone Bear capitalize on their forward positions as Love Bomb weakens in the final furlong. Their tactical speed proves superior to the hold-up horses who get caught in traffic.

Royal County GloryStone BearLove BombJampa Ling

Messy Sprint Finish

10% probability

If the large field creates interference and a stop-start pace

The race becomes a lottery with positioning crucial and several horses getting hampered in the straight. Lady Landhort's recent win gives her confidence while Pretty Liz finds gaps from her patient style.

Lady LandhortPretty LizDream And BelieveCause I Like You

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Love Bomb's early fractions will determine if she can sustain her kick or fade as usual

WATCH

Traffic problems likely with 9 hold-up horses converging in the straight

WATCH

Stone Bear's recent course win makes him dangerous if getting prominent position

NOTE

Royal County Glory has strong place record here and suits the tactical nature

NOTE

One Cool Bear's high rating means any sign of holding his form makes him dangerous

6:45 — Dundalk Stadium Open All Summer Maiden

6f · Good · MDN · 10 runners

Saint Agatha to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Basilano led; the map had Saint Agatha in front.

Ocean's Breath won at 1.57 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Saint Agatha

Prominent · 3

Ocean's BreathHasitaFalcon Queen

Midfield · 3

Green AmoroDun AonghasaSalama Blue Point

Hold Up · 3

BasilanoAllsortzA Daughters Love

Saint Agatha will lead uncontested with Ocean's Breath, Falcon Queen and Hasita tracking in behind, creating a steady but not breakneck gallop over this 6f trip. The lack of genuine pace pressure should favor the prominent racers and hold-up horses like Basilano and Allsortz, who can time their runs in the final two furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Kicks

35% probability

If Saint Agatha gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning for home

The leader builds an unassailable advantage as the field struggles to close the gap. The prominent runners can't match the acceleration having tracked the pace.

Saint AgathaOcean's BreathFalcon QueenHasita

Hold-Up Horse Swoop

30% probability

If the early pace is genuinely slow and becomes a sprint finish

Basilano and Allsortz get perfect cover before unleashing finishing kicks that the pace-tracking horses cannot match. The leaders get swamped in the final furlong.

BasilanoAllsortzDun AonghasaGreen Amoro

Prominent Tracker Prevails

25% probability

If Saint Agatha sets reasonable fractions but tires in the final furlong

Ocean's Breath or Falcon Queen inherit the lead and hold off the late closers with their superior fitness. The hold-up horses leave their run too late on the quick ground.

Ocean's BreathFalcon QueenSaint AgathaHasita

Maiden Surprise Package

10% probability

If the known quantities all underperform or compromise each other

Dun Aonghasa or Green Amoro capitalize on a muddling pace with superior ability finally coming to the fore. The experienced horses either fade or get caught up in pace battles.

Dun AonghasaGreen AmoroOcean's BreathBasilano

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Saint Agatha getting too easy a lead through the first half-mile could make her very hard to catch

WATCH

Basilano and Allsortz need to be positioned perfectly to unleash their finishing kicks effectively

NOTE

Ocean's Breath's early position will be crucial as she needs to stay prominent without overracing

NOTE

The debut runners Dun Aonghasa and Green Amoro for any market moves indicating hidden ability

WATCH

Hasita's tendency to fade when pressed suggests she needs everything to fall right tactically

7:15 — Dundalk Stadium Group Deals Available Apprentice Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Mehmar likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kitty Bear and Alex Belardo and Punk Poet led; the map had Mehmar in front.

Alto Sax won at 13.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mehmar

Prominent · 3

Comfort LineAlex BelardoPunk Poet

Midfield · 4

Master GarveyDeep VeinHi GeorgeAlto Sax

Hold Up · 3

Star MindPalazzo PersicoKitty Bear

With multiple prominent runners (Mehmar, Comfort Line, Alex Belardo, Punk Poet, Master Garvey) likely to press forward, this will develop into a genuinely-run contest from the outset. The abundance of hold-up horses (Palazzo Persico, Kitty Bear, Star Mind, Alto Sax, Deep Vein, Hi George) suggests the pace will be solid throughout, creating opportunities for late closers if the prominent group goes too hard early.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Pace Holds

35% probability

If the prominent group maintains even pressure without overdoing it early

The pace stays honest but sustainable, allowing the front-runners to stay strong late. Hold-up horses struggle to make significant inroads against the established rhythm.

MehmarComfort LineAlex BelardoPunk Poet

Early Speed Duel

25% probability

If Mehmar, Comfort Line and Alex Belardo engage in early pace pressure

The prominent runners compromise each other through the first half-mile, setting up perfect conditions for closers. The pace collapses in the final two furlongs as fresh horses arrive.

Palazzo PersicoStar MindKitty BearAlto Sax

Tactical Crawl Development

25% probability

If the prominent runners show mutual respect and go too slowly early

A stop-start tempo develops with the large hold-up contingent bunched behind a dawdling pace. The race becomes a sprint from the two-furlong pole, favoring horses with tactical speed.

Alex BelardoKitty BearComfort LineStar Mind

Late Injection Fails

15% probability

If the pace is genuinely strong throughout and hold-up horses are trapped

Solid early fractions are maintained to the line, preventing the back-markers from making their usual late moves. The race stays up front with prominent runners dominating.

MehmarMaster GarveyComfort LinePunk Poet

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Deep Vein and Hi George both show patterns of fading in the finish, making their hold-up styles particularly vulnerable if the pace is strong

WATCH

Watch how aggressively Mehmar goes forward early as this will set the tempo for the entire field behind

WATCH

The large contingent of hold-up horses could create traffic problems in the straight if they all arrive together

NOTE

Alex Belardo's versatile style makes him key tactical player who could adapt if early pace differs from expectations

NOTE

Monitor whether Comfort Line and Punk Poet cooperate or compete early as both prefer prominent positions

7:45 — BAR 1 Betting "Great App, No Joke" Fillies Maiden

1m2½f · Good · MDN · 9 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

8:15 — View Restaurant Summer Offer Handicap

1m4f · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

Lead contested: Timeless Charm v ExpoundHISTORIC

How it ran

Sir Callisto and Brandon Creek and Sarmiento Power led; the map had Timeless Charm and Expound in front.

Sir Callisto won at 5.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Timeless CharmExpound

Prominent · 2

EchinaceaBaila Conmigo

Midfield · 6

Billie FrechetteBeat The DevilBrandon CreekSarmiento PowerBreathe AgainEdge Of Darkness

Hold Up · 4

LiberateDerry LadYosemite GoldSir Callisto

Timeless Charm and Expound will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set an honest gallop over this staying trip. With most of the field carrying hold-up tactics, the pace battle between these two leaders should create a strong end-to-end tempo that will test stamina reserves and favor horses with proven finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leaders Collapse Late

35% probability

If Timeless Charm and Expound burn each other out in a sustained pace battle

The two front-runners will weaken dramatically in the final furlong after setting too strong a pace. Late-running specialists like Liberate and Yosemite Gold will sweep past the tiring leaders with powerful finishing efforts.

LiberateYosemite GoldSir CallistoBillie Frechette

Front Runner Dominates

25% probability

If Timeless Charm gets an uncontested lead while Expound settles behind

With a clear advantage up front, Timeless Charm will dictate ideal fractions and kick clear in the straight. Expound will chase hard but cannot reel in the leader who has conserved energy perfectly.

Timeless CharmExpoundBaila ConmigoEchinacea

Mid-Race Tactical Battle

25% probability

If the pace becomes messy with Echinacea and Baila Conmigo moving up to challenge the leaders mid-race

A bunched field will create traffic problems and tactical complications turning for home. Horses with good positioning like Sir Callisto and Beat The Devil will find cleaner runs to strike late.

Sir CallistoBeat The DevilBillie FrechetteSarmiento Power

Sustained Strong Gallop

15% probability

If both leaders maintain their challenge to the line in a genuine staying test

The honest pace will turn this into a true test of stamina over the extended trip. Only the most genuine stayers like Billie Frechette and Derry Lad will handle the sustained effort required.

Billie FrechetteDerry LadTimeless CharmLiberate

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Timeless Charm and Expound could set suicidal fractions if they engage in a prolonged speed duel from the start.

WATCH

Traffic problems likely in the straight with so many hold-up horses converging from the back simultaneously.

WATCH

Derry Lad, Edge Of Darkness and Brandon Creek all show concerning patterns of fading when races intensify.

NOTE

Billie Frechette has never finished out of the frame on similar going conditions.

NOTE

Yosemite Gold's recent course and distance victory makes him particularly dangerous if getting the right pace setup.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 1 April 2026.

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