Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
5:42 — DundalkStadium.com Handicap
6f · Standard · HCAP · 11 runners
Son Of Wind to leadFREEHISTORIC
How it ran
Rattletheonionbag led; the map had Son Of Wind in front.
Jered Maddox won at 3.75 — was held up, as the map had it.
3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Son Of Wind
Prominent · 4
An LaochmorSnowballsSovereign BanterRattletheonionbag
Midfield · 3
Hot To FoxtrotRough DiamondCooee Call
Hold Up · 3
Oxford CircusWinemakerJered Maddox
Son Of Wind is the only confirmed front runner in this field and should get an uncontested lead with Sovereign Banter, An Laochmor and Rattletheonionbag settling just behind in the early positions. The lack of pace pressure means Son Of Wind can dictate fractions and kick clear turning for home before the hold-up horses get organized. With multiple hold-up horses including Oxford Circus, Winemaker, Jered Maddox and Hot To Foxtrot all needing to come from the back, they'll face a traffic nightmare and rely on the leader faltering. This pace setup clearly favors the prominent racers who can track the soft lead and pounce when Son Of Wind weakens.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Uncontested Leader Holds
35% probability
If Son Of Wind gets easy fractions and kicks clear at the furlong pole
The lack of early pace allows him to save energy for a sustained drive, while the hold-up brigade get caught flat-footed trying to make up too much ground. His style perfectly suits getting first run on this field.
Son Of WindSovereign BanterAn LaochmorRattletheonionbag
B
Prominent Tracker Strikes
40% probability
If Son Of Wind sets steady fractions but gets collared by a well-positioned stalker
An Laochmor or Sovereign Banter can sit the perfect trip behind the uncontested leader and time their challenge to perfection. They avoid the traffic issues plaguing the hold-up horses while having enough tactical pace to respond.
An LaochmorSovereign BanterSon Of WindSnowballs
C
Hold-Up Horse Rallies
20% probability
If the early pace is particularly sedate and allows time for a strong closer to organize
Oxford Circus or Winemaker could find racing room late and use superior class to reel in tired leaders. However, they need significant help from pace collapse and clear running to overcome their poor draws.
Oxford CircusWinemakerJered MaddoxHot To Foxtrot
D
Pace Collapses Completely
5% probability
If Son Of Wind goes too slowly early and multiple horses converge simultaneously
The race becomes a sprint from the two-furlong pole with no clear pace advantage. This chaos scenario could suit any horse finding room, but the superior handicapped horses like Winemaker might prevail.
WinemakerSovereign BanterOxford CircusAn Laochmor
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Son Of Wind breaking slowly would completely change the pace dynamic and favor the hold-up horses
WATCH
An Laochmor and Sovereign Banter both breaking alertly to secure the ideal stalking positions
WATCH
Oxford Circus and Winemaker getting squeezed for room in the straight with multiple hold-up horses converging
NOTE
Jered Maddox showing early pace despite his hold-up classification given his course knowledge
NOTE
The pace through the first two furlongs determining whether closers get any chance whatsoever
6:15 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden
6f · Standard · MDN · 8 runners
Real Encounter to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Allsortz and Real Encounter led, as the map showed.
Allsortz won at 2.75 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.
2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Real Encounter
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 5
HinderCoastingBeach BarbieAughlishAtallah
Hold Up · 2
AllsortzMeriden
Real Encounter is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the outset, likely getting an uncontested lead in this small field. With most rivals carrying hold-up styles (Aughlish, Meriden, Allsortz, Atallah), there's minimal early pressure, allowing Real Encounter to control fractions. The tactical setup creates a moderate pace that builds gradually, with the bulk of the field relying on late kicks. This race shape strongly favours horses that can travel well and finish, as the lone leader may have plenty left in reserve but could be vulnerable to a well-timed closer with genuine ability.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Leader Gets Away
45% probability
If Real Encounter establishes easy fractions and maintains stamina reserves
The front-runner controls the race unchallenged and kicks clear when the hold-up horses make their moves. His 196-day break becomes less relevant given the tactical advantage of an uncontested lead.
Real EncounterHinderBeach BarbieAllsortz
B
Late Surge Prevails
35% probability
If the newcomers show superior class and Real Encounter's long layoff tells
The pace allows talented debutants or improving types to unleash finishing kicks that overwhelm the leader. Quality emerges as the decisive factor over tactics.
HinderBeach BarbieReal EncounterAllsortz
C
Experience Counts
12% probability
If Allsortz or Aughlish benefit from racecourse familiarity and surface knowledge
The proven performers use their experience to time runs perfectly while newcomers struggle with race positioning. Course form becomes the edge in a tactical affair.
AllsortzAughlishReal EncounterHinder
D
Pace Collapse
8% probability
If Real Encounter stops quickly and multiple closers arrive together
The leader's stamina gives way in the final furlong, creating a bunched finish where any of the hold-up horses could prevail. Raw speed in the final 100 yards decides the outcome.
Beach BarbieCoastingAughlishAllsortz
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Real Encounter's market move given 196-day absence and uncontested lead scenario - any strong support indicates stable confidence
WATCH
Hinder's market reception as the pedigree standout represents serious Group-winning families and could show significant improvement
NOTE
Beach Barbie and Coasting as debutants from different stables - their market positions will reveal connections' expectations
WATCH
Allsortz's quick return after nine days suggests connections spotted something in last run worth following up immediately
NOTE
The pace development in the first two furlongs - if Real Encounter goes too fast early, it opens up the race significantly
6:50 — Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap
7f · Standard · HCAP · 13 runners
Lead contested: Straight Back Up v Private LarryHISTORIC
How it ran
Methgal led; the map had Straight Back Up and Private Larry in front.
Royal County Glory won at 4.33 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.
4 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 2
Straight Back UpPrivate Larry
Prominent · 2
CaoilteRoyal County Glory
Midfield · 5
RodeeveQueen LeilaWill Be KingBrosna GreenCosmic Force
Hold Up · 4
MethgalFerrari DesertImperial FighterMacadam's Rock
Private Larry and Straight Back Up are the confirmed front runners, though both carry warnings for fading in the finish. Private Larry showed his keen tendencies when failing to stay 1m2f at Navan, while Straight Back Up has been well held in recent efforts. Royal County Glory racing prominently will likely sit just behind the leaders, with the majority of this field preferring to come from off the pace. The early pace should be honest but not destructive, setting up a finish where horses with tactical speed and finishing kick will have the advantage over pure front runners and one-paced hold-up horses.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Tactical Speed Dominates
45% probability
If the pace is honest but not too strong through the middle stages
The prominent racers and those with early speed who can finish will have perfect positioning as the confirmed leaders fade. Royal County Glory and Ferrari Desert can capitalize on ideal race positioning.
Royal County GloryFerrari DesertMethgalQueen Leila
B
Strong Early Gallop
30% probability
If Private Larry goes too fast early and drags Straight Back Up into a pace duel
The honest pace becomes destructive, suiting the patient hold-up horses who can unleash late runs. Imperial Fighter and Will Be King benefit from the collapse up front.
Imperial FighterWill Be KingMacadam's RockCosmic Force
C
Front Runner Survives
15% probability
If Private Larry settles better than usual and gets an uncontested lead
The gelding operation helps Private Larry's temperament and he gets loose on the lead without pressure. Straight Back Up can also benefit if tracking a slower pace than usual.
Private LarryStraight Back UpRoyal County GloryFerrari Desert
D
Pace Collapses Completely
10% probability
If both leaders go too slowly and create a sprint finish
The race becomes a messy affair with little pace, favoring horses with the best turn of foot regardless of position. Queen Leila and Ferrari Desert have shown the most natural speed in recent runs.
Queen LeilaFerrari DesertRoyal County GloryMethgal
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Private Larry's early pace-setting - if he goes too fast he'll set up the race for closers but fade badly himself
WATCH
Royal County Glory's positioning - needs to avoid getting trapped behind the pace-setters if they go too slowly
WATCH
Ferrari Desert and Methgal both coming off good recent course form - either could be overbet as obvious contenders
NOTE
Will Be King's stamina after 25 days since promising reappearance - the step up in trip should suit if fit enough
NOTE
Imperial Fighter's freshness after 35 days off - hold-up horses often need the run but he has shown course ability before
7:20 — BAR 1 Betting Grand National Extra Places Maiden
1m · Standard · MDN · 10 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
7:50 — View Restaurant Summer Offer Handicap
1m4f · Standard · HCAP · 12 runners
Jawhary likeliest to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Palazzo Persico led; the map had Jawhary in front.
Celtic Druid won at 6.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.
6 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Jawhary is the only confirmed front runner in this field and should get an uncontested lead through the early stages. With 11 hold-up horses behind him, the pace will be steady rather than strong, allowing Jawhary to dictate terms without pressure. The large contingent of closers will bunch up in behind, setting up a sprint finish where stamina and tactical positioning become crucial. This sustainable pace scenario strongly favours prominent racers like Jawhary who can avoid the traffic problems that will plague the hold-up brigade.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Uncontested Leader Dominates
45% probability
If Jawhary gets a soft lead and stays the trip
The front runner controls the tempo throughout and has enough left to resist late challenges. Hold-up horses struggle to make up ground from the crowded pack behind.
JawharyCeltic DruidPalazzo PersicoMephisto
B
Strong Stayer Emerges
30% probability
If the pace becomes truly crawling and stamina tells
The race becomes a test of staying power over tactical speed in the final furlong. Horses with proven course form and stamina reserves benefit most.
Celtic DruidDesert FriendJawharyPalazzo Persico
C
Traffic Causes Chaos
15% probability
If the large field creates significant interference in the straight
Several hold-up horses get blocked runs and the race falls to those with clear passages. Positioning and luck become decisive factors.
Palazzo PersicoSarmiento PowerCeltic DruidJawhary
D
Pace Collapses Completely
10% probability
If Jawhary goes too slow and gets swamped late
The race becomes a sprint from the furlong pole with fresh closers overwhelming the leader. Raw speed trumps tactical advantage.
Desert FriendMephistoSlowdownbarneyDoctor Grace
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Jawhary must handle the pressure of being the only pace-maker, any early challenge could expose stamina limitations
WATCH
Traffic problems are likely with 11 hold-up horses converging in the straight, positioning will be crucial for closers
NOTE
Celtic Druid carries 5lb penalty from last month's course win but Sadhbh Tormey's claim reduces the burden
WATCH
Desert Friend's tongue-tie application worked last time but he faces a 4lb rise and longer trip today
NOTE
Several runners return from significant breaks including Grey Fable, Fine Print and Expert Analysis who all need the run
8:20 — Greyhound Racing Every Weekend Handicap
1m2½f · Standard · HCAP · 7 runners
Lead contested: Ramair v A Pretty PennyHISTORIC
How it ran
Ramair led, as the map showed.
Keepsgettingbetter won at 2.10 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.
3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 2
RamairA Pretty Penny
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 3
MusashiSea Of DubkaCameclose
Hold Up · 2
KeepsgettingbetterElm Creek
Ramair and A Pretty Penny are both confirmed front-runners, but with A Pretty Penny now a non-runner, Ramair becomes the sole recognized pace-setter in this seven-runner field. This leaves Ramair potentially uncontested on the lead through the early stages, which could create a steady honest gallop rather than a searching pace. With most runners preferring to be held up (Cameclose, Keepsgettingbetter, Elm Creek, Musashi, Sea Of Dubka), the lack of early pace pressure should suit horses that can travel prominently and have a turn of foot, rather than pure hold-up horses who need a strong pace to close into.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Steady Pace Suits Handy
45% probability
If Ramair gets an easy lead and the hold-up horses are caught flat-footed
The moderate early pace leaves the field bunched turning for home, favouring horses that can position closer and have acceleration rather than pure closers. Keepsgettingbetter and Elm Creek can travel handier than their hold-up style suggests and benefit from this tactical setup.
KeepsgettingbetterElm CreekRamairCameclose
B
Ramair Wire-to-Wire
25% probability
If Ramair gets loose on the lead and the field fails to apply enough pressure
With no other confirmed pace-setters, Ramair could steal a march and prove hard to peg back over this stamina-sapping trip. His fade-in-finish warning becomes less relevant if he gets his own way in front and the pace stays manageable.
RamairKeepsgettingbetterElm CreekCameclose
C
Strong Pace Develops Late
20% probability
If multiple hold-up horses move together turning for home creating a fast finish
The tactical nature of the early running gives way to a sprint finish that favours the strongest closer. This setup would particularly suit horses with recent form improvement and good finishing kicks.
Elm CreekKeepsgettingbetterMusashiSea Of Dubka
D
Longshot Surprise Package
10% probability
If the handicapper has underestimated one of the reformed horses with gear changes
Musashi with first-time visor and gelding operation, or Sea Of Dubka stepping into handicaps, could outrun their poor maiden form. The tactical nature of the race could mask their lack of early pace and set up their late run.
MusashiSea Of DubkaElm CreekCameclose
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Watch if Ramair gets an uncontested lead through the first half-mile as this could set up a tactical race that doesn't suit the hold-up majority
WATCH
Monitor Musashi in the market as first-time visor and gelding operation for Joseph O'Brien could signal significant improvement from poor maiden form
WATCH
Keep an eye on how aggressively the jockeys ride turning for home as the pace scenario will determine whether hold-up horses get the strong finish they need
NOTE
Watch Elm Creek's early positioning as he may be able to race handier than his hold-up classification suggests, especially with cheekpieces retained
NOTE
Observe if Keepsgettingbetter can repeat her last-time finishing kick as she's the only horse in the field with recent winning form
About this analysis
Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.
Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.