Archive›Dundalk (AW) · 23 April 2026

Dundalk (AW)

23 April 2026 · 7 races

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5:10 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

5f · Standard · MDN · 10 runners

Namiid likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Namiid and She's A Gift led, as the map showed.

Real Encounter won at 1.83 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Namiid

Prominent · 3

Real EncounterAughlishCall The Cavalry

Midfield · 4

Frosted SkyEager LadBeach BarbieFalcon Queen

Hold Up · 2

She's A GiftAtallah

Namiid is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from the start without immediate pressure. Real Encounter, Aughlish, Call The Cavalry and Falcon Queen will settle prominently behind, creating a moderate gallop over this sprint trip. The lack of multiple speed horses means the pace will be sustainable rather than fierce, allowing the field to stay in touch. This measured tempo strongly favours prominent racers and hold-up horses who can quicken late, as the lone leader Namiid may become vulnerable in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Namiid Sets Sustainable Pace

45% probability

If Namiid gets an easy lead without early harassment from the prominent group

The uncontested leader controls the race and proves too strong when challenged, with the moderate pace suiting his front-running style. Real Encounter and Aughlish emerge from the chasing pack but cannot reel in the winner.

NamiidReal EncounterAughlishCall The Cavalry

Prominent Runners Capitalize

35% probability

If the prominent horses apply enough pressure to Namiid from halfway without going too fast early

Real Encounter and Aughlish get ideal tactical positions to strike, with the pace honest enough to expose Namiid's stamina. The race becomes a sprint finish between the prominent racers who held perfect positions.

Real EncounterAughlishCall The CavalryFalcon Queen

Late Closer Emerges

12% probability

If the pace becomes too slow and the field bunches up entering the final two furlongs

A hold-up horse like Atallah or She's A Gift gets a perfect setup to unleash a late charge. The sprint finish catches out the early leaders who went too steady and lack the turn of foot to respond.

AtallahShe's A GiftReal EncounterNamiid

Newcomer Surprise

8% probability

If Eager Lad or Frosted Sky show significant improvement on debut or returning from a break

The lightly raced horses benefit from the sustainable pace and surprise the exposed maidens with superior natural ability. Their freshness and potential untapped ability proves decisive against horses who have shown their limitations.

Eager LadFrosted SkyReal EncounterAughlish

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Namiid must be watched for fitness after 217 days off, as any rustiness could derail his front-running tactics

WATCH

Real Encounter's early positioning will be crucial - needs to track Namiid closely without getting involved in early pace

WATCH

Aughlish showed improved pace last time and could press Namiid earlier than expected, disrupting the tempo

NOTE

Eager Lad and Frosted Sky are complete unknowns who could outclass this field if showing natural ability

NOTE

Falcon Queen's headgear and trip drop suggests connections expect her to settle better than previous starts

5:45 — Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap

5f · Standard · HCAP · 10 runners

Plushy to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Plushy led, as the map showed.

Boston Max won at 10.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Plushy

Prominent · 4

Baby BasmaLove BombSubiacoLuminessa

Midfield · 2

Boston MaxLady Landhort

Hold Up · 3

Stone BearHooves Your DaddyGosford Queen

Plushy is the sole confirmed front runner and will lead uncontested through moderate early fractions over this minimum distance. Behind her, Baby Basma, Luminessa, Subiaco and Love Bomb all want prominent positions, creating congestion and potential traffic problems turning for home. The lack of pace pressure on Plushy combined with multiple prominent runners bunching up 2-3 furlongs out creates a tactical setup where either the uncontested leader holds on or hold-up horses get a clear run through gaps. This race shape clearly favours either front runners (Plushy specifically) or genuine hold-up horses who can weave through traffic late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Plushy Gets Away

45% probability

If Plushy breaks cleanly and the prominent group allows her easy early fractions

She builds an unassailable lead while the prominent quartet squabble behind, holding on as late closers lack time over 5f. Stone Bear and Lady Landhort finish fastest but run out of ground.

PlushyStone BearLady Landhort

Hold-Up Heroes Strike

30% probability

If the prominent congestion creates severe traffic problems turning for home

Stone Bear and Lady Landhort get clear runs wide while the prominent runners bunch up and block each other. Their late kicks prove decisive over this sharp track.

Stone BearLady LandhortGosford QueenHooves Your Daddy

Prominent Breaks Clear

15% probability

If one of the prominent runners (Baby Basma or Subiaco) settles better than their rivals

They avoid the traffic snarl and kick clear while others get hampered, with Baby Basma's class or Subiaco's course form proving decisive. The hold-up horses respond too late.

Baby BasmaSubiacoLuminessaLove Bomb

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If Plushy stops quickly and all prominent runners tie up from over-racing

Complete pace collapse allows any horse with energy reserves to pick up the pieces from any position. Form and class become irrelevant as stamina decides the finish.

Lady LandhortGosford QueenBoston MaxHooves Your Daddy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for traffic problems at the 2f pole as Baby Basma, Luminessa, Subiaco and Love Bomb converge from prominent positions

WATCH

Monitor Plushy's jumping from the stalls as sole leader - any slow start invites pressure from prominent group

NOTE

Stone Bear could get first run on field if prominent quartet causes interference turning for home

WATCH

Several runners carry fade warnings (Gosford Queen, Subiaco, Love Bomb, Lady Landhort) suggesting stamina concerns even at 5f

NOTE

Watch for Hooves Your Daddy and Boston Max showing unexpected improvement returning from long layoffs at bottom weights

6:15 — New Saddle Bar At Dundalk Stadium Handicap

1m · Standard · HCAP · 10 runners

Caoilte likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Brave Approach led; the map had Caoilte in front.

Queen Leila won at 13.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Caoilte

Prominent · 2

Elora PrincePush Harder

Midfield · 4

KeskonBeau ArmyIryna's StarWedding Year

Hold Up · 3

Brave ApproachQueen LeilaCause I Like You

Caoilte is the only confirmed front-runner in this field and should get an uncontested lead with Push Harder and Elora Prince settling prominent but not pressuring early. The moderate early pace will allow the large contingent of hold-up horses including Queen Leila, Brave Approach, Cause I Like You, and Beau Army to settle comfortably before launching late challenges. With no pace pressure early and multiple closers converging late, this race strongly favours prominent runners who can position close enough to strike without getting swamped in the final furlong scramble.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Holds

40% probability

If Caoilte gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning for home

The moderate early pace leaves enough petrol in the tank for a sustained drive, while the hold-up brigade gets caught flat-footed by the acceleration. Prominent runners get first run on the leader while avoiding the late traffic.

CaoiltePush HarderElora PrinceQueen Leila

Late Charge Prevails

35% probability

If the hold-up horses get clear runs and time their challenges perfectly

Queen Leila and Brave Approach unleash powerful finishing kicks that overwhelm the tiring pace-setters in the final 100 yards. The sustainable early pace helps both leader and closers, creating a genuine staying test.

Brave ApproachQueen LeilaBeau ArmyCause I Like You

Prominent Runner Strikes

20% probability

If Push Harder or Elora Prince position perfectly behind the leader

They get ideal trips tracking Caoilte's moderate pace before quickening smoothly turning for home. Neither catches the leader flat-footed nor gets caught in late traffic, timing their moves to perfection.

Push HarderElora PrinceCaoilteBrave Approach

Pace Collapse Chaos

5% probability

If Caoilte stops suddenly and the prominent pair also fade

The entire early pace contingent hits the wall simultaneously, creating a messy scramble where any hold-up horse with a clear passage can steal victory. Usually benefits the horse with the best turn of foot regardless of position.

Iryna's StarWedding YearKeskonCause I Like You

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Caoilte must be watched for early position - if anything else goes forward, the pace dynamic changes completely

WATCH

Push Harder returning from 141 days off could need the run despite solid course record when fresh

WATCH

Multiple hold-up horses including Brave Approach, Keskon, Iryna's Star and Wedding Year all have finishing concerns

NOTE

Apprentice jockeys on Elora Prince and Iryna's Star could struggle with pace judgment in tactical finish

NOTE

Queen Leila's 13-day turnaround after improved effort suggests connections confident about fitness

6:45 — View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap

1m · Standard · HCAP · 11 runners

Mullacash Buzz likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mullacash Buzz led, as the map showed.

Comfort Line won at 5.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mullacash Buzz

Prominent · 1

Master Garvey

Midfield · 6

Imperial FighterSonoma SunsetFamous EnoughCosmic ForceDesert Of The SeaBang Po

Hold Up · 3

RampageComfort LineRoman Harry

Mullacash Buzz is the only confirmed front runner in this 11-runner field, likely to get an uncontested lead alongside possible early support from Master Garvey who can race prominently. With nine hold-up horses including Roman Harry, Famous Enough, and Rampage all needing to come from behind, the pace will be genuinely run as they converge in the final two furlongs. The sustainable early fractions followed by intense late pressure strongly favours prominent racers and those with tactical pace who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the back-markers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If Mullacash Buzz gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning for home

The front runner builds an unassailable lead as the hold-up brigade struggle to close the gap in time. Prominent racers like Master Garvey benefit from tracking the winner without getting caught in traffic.

Mullacash BuzzMaster GarveyRoman HarryDesert Of The Sea

Late Surge Prevails

30% probability

If the pace quickens significantly from halfway as multiple hold-up horses improve simultaneously

The sustained gallop stretches the field and allows the classier hold-up horses to demonstrate their superior finishing kick. Roman Harry and Famous Enough benefit from their recent course form and proven ability at the trip.

Roman HarryFamous EnoughRampageDesert Of The Sea

Traffic Chaos Benefits Stalkers

15% probability

If the large field of hold-up horses creates significant interference in the straight

Horses positioned just off the pace avoid the worst of the scrimmaging while those at the back get shuffled out of contention. Desert Of The Sea and Cosmic Force benefit from being able to track the leaders without getting boxed in.

Desert Of The SeaCosmic ForceMaster GarveyComfort Line

Surprise Improver Strikes

10% probability

If one of the outsiders finds significant improvement on this surface or distance

A horse showing better form than recent efforts suggests capitalises on a strong pace setup. Comfort Line or Imperial Fighter could benefit from the tactical scenario despite their recent disappointments.

Comfort LineImperial FighterBang PoSonoma Sunset

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mullacash Buzz may get too easy a lead early if no other horse wants to race prominently, making him very difficult to peg back

WATCH

Roman Harry and Famous Enough both need significant luck in running from the back of this big field to show their best

NOTE

Master Garvey dropping significantly in class could find this easier than recent efforts suggest

WATCH

The large contingent of hold-up horses could create serious traffic problems in the home straight

NOTE

Desert Of The Sea has been running well recently and the claim from Tormey could prove significant

7:15 — Put The Fun In Fundraising At Dundalk Maiden

1m4f · Standard · MDN · 7 runners

Druids Glen to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Changing Lanes led; the map had Druids Glen in front.

Bay Of Stars won at 4.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Druids Glen

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

Changing LanesBell Ex TooBay Of StarsSir Trancealot

Hold Up · 2

MendezI Hope You Dance

Druids Glen will take them along as the sole confirmed front runner, setting a sustainable pace without pressure in this small field of seven. The moderate gallop will allow hold-up horses Mendez, Bay Of Stars, I Hope You Dance and Sir Trancealot to get into contention, while uncertain styles Changing Lanes and Bell Ex Too add variables to the equation. With one uncontested leader creating a steady tempo over this staying trip, the race strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce a strong finish and prominently-raced types who can position handy without getting involved in early pace pressure.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Finish

55% probability

If Druids Glen sets an uncontested lead and the pace stays moderate throughout

The hold-up horses get the perfect setup to unleash their finishing kicks, with the leader vulnerable in the final furlong. Mendez and Bay Of Stars benefit most from this patient tempo.

MendezBay Of StarsI Hope You DanceBell Ex Too

Leader Stays Strong

25% probability

If Druids Glen maintains his advantage and the chasers fail to mount serious challenges

The Frankel colt gets an armchair ride and proves too tough when the closers come looking. His class and pedigree tell under these ideal conditions.

Druids GlenChanging LanesMendezBay Of Stars

Unknown Styles Surprise

12% probability

If Changing Lanes or Bell Ex Too show more pace than expected and join the early battle

The race develops more pressure early, suiting those who can race prominently without being hard used. This tactical shift changes the complexion completely.

Changing LanesBell Ex TooDruids GlenMendez

Collapse All Round

8% probability

If the front runner folds and the hold-up horses fail to fire on the day

The race becomes a messy affair where any horse showing basic competence can win by default. Form lines become irrelevant in this type of scramble.

Sir TrancealotI Hope You DanceBell Ex TooBay Of Stars

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Changing Lanes breaks quickly and shows more pace than expected, completely altering the race dynamic

WATCH

Druids Glen gets too keen early and fails to settle, compromising his stamina reserves for the finish

NOTE

Bay Of Stars shows early signs of ring-rustiness after his 153-day layoff in the preliminaries

WATCH

I Hope You Dance travels poorly through the race after his long 187-day absence

NOTE

The pace becomes crawling slow through the middle stages, setting up a sprint finish

7:45 — DundalkStadium.com Handicap

1m4f · Standard · HCAP · 11 runners

Mont St Michel to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Drucker won at 5.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mont St Michel

Prominent · 4

San AndreasVoice Of ReasonWandering RocksRock Of Ireland

Midfield · 3

La Dame BlancheSir CallistoLiberate

Hold Up · 3

Hollys GracesBeauparcDrucker

Mont St Michel is the sole confirmed front-runner and will get an uncontested lead, setting a sustainable gallop without pressure from the start. The prominent runners Voice Of Reason, San Andreas, Wandering Rocks, Rock Of Ireland and La Dame Blanche will settle behind but none are aggressive early types. This creates a moderate pace with the real action delayed until the final 3f when the hold-up horses Hollys Graces, Sir Callisto, Beauparc, Liberate and Drucker make their moves. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce a sustained finish, as they'll have plenty of horse left when the pace quickens late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If Mont St Michel sets a steady tempo and the prominent horses don't apply enough pressure

The race becomes a sprint from the 3f pole when the closers unleash, with those saving ground and energy throughout perfectly positioned to strike. Hold-up specialists like Beauparc, Sir Callisto and Drucker can produce their best finishing kicks.

BeauparcSir CallistoDruckerHollys Graces

Prominent tracker wins

20% probability

If Voice Of Reason or San Andreas get the perfect trip tracking Mont St Michel in second

These experienced course specialists can use their positional advantage to kick clear before the hold-up horses get organized, with their course knowledge proving decisive. Voice Of Reason particularly suits this scenario given his excellent Dundalk record.

Voice Of ReasonSan AndreasRock Of IrelandWandering Rocks

Front-runner survives

10% probability

If Mont St Michel gets very easy fractions and the field comes too late

The Galileo gelding can use his stamina to resist the late challengers, especially if jockey Huggan judges the pace perfectly after the long break. His class edge from his Ballydoyle days could prove telling if not under severe pressure.

Mont St MichelVoice Of ReasonSan AndreasBeauparc

Surprise package strikes

5% probability

If the pace collapses completely or there's significant interference in the straight

An outsider like Hollys Graces returning from a long break or the lightly-weighted La Dame Blanche can capitalize on a messy race. Fresh legs and a clear passage become more valuable than recent form.

Hollys GracesLa Dame BlancheLiberateWandering Rocks

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mont St Michel could steal this if given a soft lead, watch for any early pressure from the prominent horses

WATCH

Sir Callisto's 5lb rise may not stop him following up his recent course win if getting the right hold-up trip

NOTE

Voice Of Reason's course record is outstanding and he's proven in this grade over this distance

WATCH

Beauparc and Drucker both hold strong claims from their recent course form and suit the likely pace scenario

NOTE

Watch Hollys Graces for market support on return to AW surface where he won his maiden

8:15 — Racing Again May 26th Handicap

1m2½f · Standard · HCAP · 12 runners

Electric Beauty to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Electric Beauty led, as the map showed.

Jawhary won at 4.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Electric Beauty

Prominent · 4

Eastern WindJawharyBarretstownCopper Craft

Midfield · 3

If Dora CouldLady LuckTara Power

Hold Up · 4

Yup BroFine PrintFerrari DesertDoctor Grace

Electric Beauty is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from the outset without early pressure, likely setting a sustainable tempo over this extended 1m2½f trip. Behind her, prominent runners Jawhary, Eastern Wind, Barretstown and Copper Craft will track the pace in the second rank, while the majority of the field are hold-up horses who will need the race to develop. With only one natural leader and a strong contingent of closers, this sets up as a tempo where the pace will be controlled early before quickening late. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can track Electric Beauty and kick when the pace lifts, as they'll have the tactical advantage over both the isolated leader and the wall of closers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Trackers Prevail

45% probability

If Electric Beauty sets reasonable fractions and prominent runners get ideal positioning

The pace-trackers will have perfect striking positions when the tempo increases entering the straight, getting first run on the leader while the hold-up brigade face traffic problems. Jawhary and Barretstown are ideally positioned to exploit this scenario with their proven course form.

JawharyBarretstownEastern WindCopper Craft

Lone Leader Dominates

30% probability

If Electric Beauty gets uncontested fractions and maintains her kick

With no early pressure, she can dictate perfect splits and prove too strong when the field comes at her, using her turf form edge over this AW-specialist field. Her recent Curragh form suggests she has the class to repel late challenges when getting an easy lead.

Electric BeautyFine PrintFerrari DesertDoctor Grace

Hold-Up Horse Surge

20% probability

If the pace becomes too strong mid-race and the early runners tire

The sustained gallop will set up perfectly for the closers to sweep past tired leaders, with clear runs available as front-runners fade. Ferrari Desert's course-winning form and Doctor Grace's finishing kick could prove decisive if they get the right race shape.

Ferrari DesertDoctor GraceTara PowerYup Bro

Pace Collapse Chaos

5% probability

If Electric Beauty goes too slow and creates a sprint finish

A crawling early pace would turn this into a cavalry charge where any horse with a turn of foot could prevail in a blanket finish. The race would become a lottery with positioning and luck determining the outcome more than tactical advantage.

Copper CraftEastern WindLady LuckIf Dora Could

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Electric Beauty setting the fractions uncontested - if she gets easy early splits she could prove hard to peg back

WATCH

Jawhary's early positioning - needs to track the pace to use his finishing kick effectively over this trip

WATCH

Traffic problems developing for hold-up horses in straight - with so many closers a clear run will be crucial

NOTE

Copper Craft's fitness levels after 132 days off and whether removal of headgear impacts his previous improvement

NOTE

Eastern Wind's jumping ability affecting confidence after poor hurdles run despite decent AW return

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 23 April 2026.

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