Archive›Fairyhouse · 28 May 2026

Fairyhouse

28 May 2026 · 7 races

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2:12 — Irish EBF Median Sires Series Race (IRE Incentive Race)

6f · Good · DEFAULT · 9 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:42 — Royal County Optional Claiming Race

6f · Good · DEFAULT · 7 runners

Gloriously Glam likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Lismacbryan led; the map had Gloriously Glam in front.

Spirit Of Eagles won at 12.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Gloriously Glam

Prominent · 2

TawaazonMehmar

Midfield · 2

LismacbryanSpirit Of Eagles

Hold Up · 2

Three SixteenProfit Surge

Gloriously Glam will dominate the early pace from the front with minimal pressure from the prominent runners Tawaazon, Mehmar and Lismacbryan who all lack recent competitive form or early tactical speed. The modest field size and single confirmed pace-setter creates a controlled tempo that will build gradually rather than collapse dramatically. Hold-up horses like Three Sixteen, Spirit Of Eagles and Profit Surge face the dual challenge of overcoming both the sustainable pace and significant class/form deficits. This race shape strongly favours front-running and prominent racers who can stay close to Gloriously Glam's controlled tempo.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Gloriously Glam Controls All

65% probability

If Gloriously Glam gets an uncontested lead and maintains her recent Gowran form.

She dictates throughout on the front end while the held-up horses struggle to make meaningful ground against her controlled but relentless gallop. The lack of early pressure allows her to conserve energy for a strong finish that the trailing pack cannot match.

Gloriously GlamTawaazonMehmarProfit Surge

Prominent Battle Emerges

20% probability

If Tawaazon or Mehmar show improved form and press Gloriously Glam early.

The increased pace pressure forces a genuine speed duel that could set up the race for a closer or late-running type. Gloriously Glam's recent exertions at Gowran may tell if forced to work harder than ideal.

Profit SurgeTawaazonSpirit Of EaglesGloriously Glam

Long Absence Backfires

10% probability

If Tawaazon's 307-day layoff shows as he fails to provide any early competition.

Gloriously Glam gets an even easier lead than expected while the other prominent types also disappoint, leaving the field strung out with no genuine pace pressure. The hold-up horses still lack the class to capitalize despite the tactical advantage.

Gloriously GlamSpirit Of EaglesProfit SurgeMehmar

Class Collapse Opens Door

5% probability

If Gloriously Glam fails to reproduce her Gowran form after quick reappearance.

The entire complexion changes with no genuine pace-setter emerging, creating a messy tactical affair where any horse showing improved form could capitalize. Spirit Of Eagles' recent Sligo placing or Profit Surge's Gowran effort could prove decisive.

Spirit Of EaglesProfit SurgeThree SixteenLismacbryan

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Gloriously Glam must break cleanly to establish her front-running position without early interference from the prominent types.

WATCH

Tawaazon's early positioning will reveal if his long absence has left him sharp enough to provide genuine pace pressure.

WATCH

Three Sixteen's new headgear change suggests attitude issues that could manifest as reluctance or over-racing.

NOTE

Spirit Of Eagles needs the pace to collapse early to have any realistic chance from his hold-up style.

NOTE

Profit Surge's ability to settle closer than at Gowran could determine if she can reverse that form with Gloriously Glam.

3:17 — Fiver Fridays At Fairyhouse June 5th And 12th Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Absoluteassignment to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Jampa Ling led; the map had Absoluteassignment in front.

Stone Bear won at 5.50 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Absoluteassignment

Prominent · 4

Treasured RoyalBaianaJackie Jump UpReimagined

Midfield · 3

Gonna Be GoldenGirl BearAll Hail

Hold Up · 2

Stone BearJampa Ling

Absoluteassignment will lead uncontested from the gates with no other confirmed front-runners in the field. The real battle develops behind as Treasured Royal, All Hail, Jackie Jump Up, Baiana, Reimagined, Gonna Be Golden and Girl Bear all want prominent positions, creating a dangerous squeeze 2-3 furlongs out. This congestion will force some of these prominent runners to check or go wide, while hold-up horses Jampa Ling and Stone Bear get a perfect tow into the race. The uncontested leader and tactical hold-up horses benefit most from this shape.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

35% probability

If Absoluteassignment gets easy fractions without pressure from the prominent pack.

The leader gets perfect splits and kicks clear when the prominent runners clash behind. Absoluteassignment's 20lb weight advantage and tongue-tie addition could spark improvement.

AbsoluteassignmentStone BearJampa Ling

Hold-Up Horses Capitalize

30% probability

If the prominent congestion creates maximum interference and checking 2f out.

Stone Bear and Jampa Ling get ideal position as the prominent pack tangles ahead. The hold-up pair sweep through late as prominent runners pay for their early exertions.

Stone BearJampa LingTreasured RoyalBaiana

Class Prominent Survives

25% probability

If Treasured Royal or Baiana secure ideal position just off the pace without trouble.

These fillies have the class edge and their connections know how to place them. Treasured Royal's recent hood success or Baiana's maiden win form proves too strong late.

Treasured RoyalBaianaGirl BearGonna Be Golden

Reimagined Finds Improvement

10% probability

If the ex-Johnson Houghton runner recaptures his Windsor maiden-winning form on these conditions.

Reimagined drops 8lb from his poor Irish debut and gets perfect good ground. His English form gives him a class edge if the stable has him ready.

ReimaginedAll HailJackie Jump Up

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Treasured Royal, Baiana, Jackie Jump Up and Girl Bear all want the same prominent spot - expect severe checking 2-3f out

WATCH

Absoluteassignment's 122lb minimum weight and huge odds suggest stable expectations are rock bottom despite perfect tactical position

NOTE

Stone Bear gets Siobhan Rutledge's 3lb claim and hold-up style that perfectly suits this pace shape

WATCH

All Hail returns after 319 days off in a race requiring sharp early speed to secure position

NOTE

Reimagined drops to OR 73 having won off OR 75 at Windsor - significant handicapping edge if ready

3:47 — 5 Euro General Admission Next Friday Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 21 runners

Harry Longabaugh to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Apache Star led; the map had Harry Longabaugh in front.

Are You In Or Out won at 8.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

7 of 18 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Harry Longabaugh

Prominent · 8

Are You In Or OutVerhoyenTwotoloseI'm SpartacusJazzy DancerApache StarWhatswrongnowJackandthefox

Midfield · 6

RattletheonionbagLivingston RangeReponse FinaleRun Forrest RunMiqdaadBel Espoir

Hold Up · 6

Green IconRodeeveOxford CircusSon Of WindHappy HenryEl Fontenaro

Harry Longabaugh is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 21-runner field, meaning he can dictate terms without early pressure. The prominent runners like Are You In Or Out, I'm Spartacus, Apache Star and Jazzy Dancer will likely track him in the second rank, but won't force the pace early. This sets up a steady gallop that will quicken late as the large field of hold-up horses including El Fontenaro, Son Of Wind, Happy Henry and Green Icon come with their runs. The lack of pace pressure strongly favours horses that can produce a sharp turn of foot from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Slow Pace Sprint Finish

65% probability

If Harry Longabaugh is allowed to dictate without early pressure

The pace will be modest until the final 2f when the race explodes as 15+ hold-up horses unleash their runs simultaneously. This strongly suits the classier hold-up performers who can quicken best when the race becomes a sprint.

El FontenaroHappy HenrySon Of WindOxford Circus

Prominent Tracking Success

20% probability

If the prominent runners position perfectly behind the uncontested leader

Are You In Or Out and I'm Spartacus get first run on the field from their tracking positions while the hold-up brigade gets caught in traffic. The moderate pace allows these handy types to kick clear before the back-markers organize.

Are You In Or OutI'm SpartacusWhatswrongnowTwotolose

Wire-To-Wire Shock

8% probability

If Harry Longabaugh gets completely uncontested fractions and keeps finding

The front-runner steals such a march that even when the field quickens, his head start proves decisive in a major upset. The lack of early pace pressure allows him to reserve energy for a sustained kick.

Harry LongabaughApache StarVerhoyenJazzy Dancer

Traffic Chaos Longshot

7% probability

If the 21-runner field creates a cavalry charge with significant interference

The race becomes a lottery as multiple horses get hampered in the straight, allowing a well-positioned outsider to emerge from the chaos. This benefits horses drawn to avoid the worst of the scrimmaging.

Livingston RangeReponse FinaleJackandthefoxRattletheonionbag

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Harry Longabaugh could steal this if allowed completely uncontested fractions with no early pace pressure

WATCH

Traffic problems are likely with 21 runners over 6f - watch for horses getting hampered in the straight

NOTE

Are You In Or Out's market movement will reveal stable confidence after long absence and trainer change

WATCH

El Fontenaro and Happy Henry both have finishing kicks that could be lethal if the pace collapses

NOTE

Late scratches could significantly alter the pace dynamics if any prominent runners are withdrawn

4:17 — Book Your Hospitality At Fairyhouse.ie Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Venetian Star likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Fortuity led; the map had Venetian Star in front.

Fortuity won at 5.50 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Venetian Star

Prominent · 4

Merry BlacksmithRoyal County GloryAlandownunderCaoilte

Midfield · 4

FortuityElly BayLady KellyMillhone

Hold Up · 4

Thirsty OwlKc BearChapel IslandOne Cool Bear

Venetian Star will be the lone pace-setter early, with Royal County Glory and Merry Blacksmith settling in prominent positions behind. With limited early speed in this field, Venetian Star can dictate comfortable fractions without pressure through the first 5f. The lack of pace pressure means hold-up horses like Fortuity, Thirsty Owl and One Cool Bear will have work to do from off the pace. This sustainable pace setup strongly favours prominent runners who can track the leader and kick, rather than hold-up horses who need a strong gallop to close into.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Venetian Star Controls

45% probability

If Venetian Star gets easy lead fractions without early pressure

The front-runner can dictate terms and prove hard to peg back, while prominent trackers get perfect trips to challenge. Hold-up horses struggle to make up ground against the controlled tempo.

Venetian StarRoyal County GloryMerry BlacksmithFortuity

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Royal County Glory or Merry Blacksmith get perfect stalking trips behind uncontested leader

The patient prominent horses can time their challenge perfectly and sweep past a tired leader in final furlong. Their tactical positioning proves decisive over the 7f trip.

Royal County GloryMerry BlacksmithVenetian StarCaoilte

Hold-Up Horse Rallies

15% probability

If the pace becomes truly crawling and creates a sprint finish scenario

Late closers like Fortuity and One Cool Bear get the strong finish they need to unleash their turn of foot. The slow early tempo allows them to overcome their tactical disadvantage.

FortuityOne Cool BearKc BearThirsty Owl

Outsider Benefits

10% probability

If the favourites fail to fire or encounter trouble in running

Lightly weighted horses like Lady Kelly or improving types like Chapel Island can exploit the tactical setup. The moderate pace allows lesser lights to stay competitive throughout.

Lady KellyChapel IslandAlandownunderMillhone

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Venetian Star could steal this if getting uncontested lead with Patrick McGettigan's 5lb claim helping

WATCH

Royal County Glory returning to turf after AW success, Julian Pietropaolo's 7lb claim significant factor

NOTE

Fortuity's tendency to fade in finish could be exposed if pace is too slow for hold-up horses

WATCH

Merry Blacksmith's keen racing style needs monitoring, trainer-jockey combination Andrew Slattery rides own

NOTE

Several hold-up horses like Thirsty Owl and One Cool Bear need stronger pace than Venetian Star likely to provide

4:52 — Racing Again Next Friday Apprentice Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 16 runners

Out On Friday to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Out On Friday led, as the map showed.

Moyassr won at 9.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Out On Friday

Prominent · 5

SmithfieldCasheldale LassShanlieveProleek PrinceShe's Ideal

Midfield · 5

Rising SkyAnchors AwayMoyassrPebble IslandHosanna Power

Hold Up · 5

Bright N ShineJe Suis CelebreDoctor GraceGuy's GirlPerfect Judgement

Out On Friday provides the sole confirmed pace angle as the only natural front runner, likely to dictate terms without serious early pressure from the 16-runner field. Smithfield, Shanlieve, She's Ideal, Casheldale Lass and Proleek Prince should track prominently but won't challenge for the lead early. The sustained tempo will create a searching test over 1m2f on good ground, with the pace likely to be honest rather than frantic. This setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can finish late, as the lone leader may weaken in the final stages and prominent racers will have worked harder than usual.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Out On Friday sets steady fractions without serious early pressure

The patient tactics of late runners prove decisive as prominent horses tire from tracking the lone leader over this staying trip. Hold-up specialists get first run on a weakening field in the final two furlongs.

Perfect JudgementDoctor GraceGuy's GirlRising Sky

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If one of the prominent runners settles better than expected behind Out On Friday

Casheldale Lass or She's Ideal travel smoothly in behind before quickening past the tiring leader. Their tactical positioning proves optimal when late runners are left with too much to do.

Casheldale LassShe's IdealSmithfieldPerfect Judgement

Front Runner Survives

12% probability

If Out On Friday finds renewed stamina and the pace proves insufficient to stop him

The veteran's class and course experience (two previous wins here at 1m4f) shine through as he kicks clear turning for home. Hold-up horses struggle to make up the ground on good going that suits the leader.

Out On FridayProleek PrinceSmithfieldCasheldale Lass

Pace Collapse Scenario

8% probability

If the early pace becomes extremely slow with multiple horses challenging Out On Friday

A sprint finish develops from the two-furlong pole as the field remains tightly bunched. The fastest finishers benefit from the lack of early pace and strong stamina becomes less important.

Je Suis CelebreMoyassrPerfect JudgementShe's Ideal

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Out On Friday must be monitored early as the sole pace angle - if he breaks slowly or gets headed, the race dynamics change completely

WATCH

Bright N Shine has been absent 374 days which creates significant fitness concerns despite her course and distance credentials

NOTE

Perfect Judgement and Rising Sky are both stepping up in trip having shown their best form at shorter distances

WATCH

Several runners including Proleek Prince and Anchors Away show patterns of fading in the finish, making their prominent positions risky

NOTE

First-time headgear on Je Suis Celebre and Hosanna Power could spark improvement but both need to overcome poor recent efforts

5:27 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

1m2f · Good · MDN · 7 runners

Mathoura to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Guardian Of Realm and Purely led; the map had Mathoura in front.

Guardian Of Realm won at 9.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mathoura

Prominent · 1

Purely

Midfield · 3

Mandara MistSix WingsMonamie

Hold Up · 2

Mai DahliaGuardian Of Realm

Mathoura will take this field along as the sole confirmed front runner, likely getting an uncontested lead with Purely sitting second early. The pace should be steady rather than fierce given the lack of pace pressure, allowing Mathoura to dictate terms through sensible fractions over this stamina-testing 1m2f trip. Mai Dahlia, Guardian Of Realm, and the newcomer Mandara Mist will need to overcome their hold-up styles against what shapes as a tactical tempo. This pace scenario clearly favours front runners and prominent racers who can avoid the sprint finish that hold-up horses require.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Mathoura Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Mathoura gets soft fractions and maintains her gallop

She can use her proven front-running style to full advantage, staying on strongly when the hold-up horses make their moves too late. Purely could benefit from tracking the winner throughout.

MathouraPurelyMai DahliaGuardian Of Realm

Mandara Mist Class Tells

25% probability

If the well-bred newcomer shows natural ability and adapts quickly

Her superior breeding (half-sister to Group performers) could overcome tactical disadvantage, with jockey Lee finding a way to get competitive. The pace may not be strong enough to set up hold-up horses ideally.

Mandara MistMai DahliaMathouraGuardian Of Realm

Late Surge Succeeds

20% probability

If the pace becomes stronger than expected and sets up closers

Mai Dahlia and Guardian Of Realm could capitalize on their finishing kicks, with the O'Brien second string potentially improving for the step up in trip. Hold-up specialists would benefit from a genuine gallop.

Mai DahliaGuardian Of RealmMandara MistMathoura

Purely Strikes Late

10% probability

If the Ballydoyle filly improves dramatically for the trip change

Her previous efforts suggest she needs everything to fall right, but the stable knows how to place fillies and this represents a significant step up in distance. Front runners might fade if pressed.

PurelyMathouraMai DahliaMandara Mist

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mathoura must be watched for any early keenness that could compromise her stamina reserves over this extended trip

WATCH

Guardian Of Realm's hood retention suggests ongoing settling issues that could derail any tactical advantage from the likely pace

NOTE

Mandara Mist's market moves will reveal stable confidence in this well-bred but unproven newcomer making her debut

WATCH

The pace development in the first half-mile will determine whether hold-up horses like Mai Dahlia get the setup they need

NOTE

Purely's adaptation to blinkers and longer trip could unlock improvement for the Ballydoyle team

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 28 May 2026.

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