Archive›Fairyhouse · 5 April 2026

Fairyhouse

5 April 2026 · 10 races

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1:30 — Ryan's Cleaning Maiden Hurdle

2m½f · Soft · MDN · 28 runners

Mont St Michel to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Mossy Way and Newbrook Diamond led; the map had Mont St Michel in front.

Colcannon won at 3.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

9 of 25 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mont St Michel

Prominent · 9

ColcannonNewbrook DiamondEben ZaabeelBrave BrigadierMossy WayBlue Du NeufIl PirataGood ThoughtsFun Daddy

Midfield · 10

Midfield MagicCrystal YeatsBrother WalfridTheabsolutegov'norCodger's RockAreema DreamerOld SaxonyZarushioHerecomesmybabyClonbury Court

Hold Up · 8

Splendid FellowThatsmyroadieGod The HighnessChopsticksClaude Du ValTyson FuryThiscouldbetheoneDeep Warrior

Mont St Michel is the sole confirmed front runner and should get an uncontested lead at a comfortable gallop over this stamina-testing trip on soft ground. With most rivals adopting prominent or hold-up tactics, he'll face minimal early pressure and can dictate terms throughout the maiden hurdle. The lack of pace pressure means the race will likely develop into a staying test from the back of the last hurdle, where stamina and tactical positioning become crucial. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can track the leader and hold-up horses with a strong finish, as they can capitalize on any faltering by Mont St Michel in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Holds On

45% probability

If Mont St Michel maintains his gallop and the lack of early pace doesn't expose stamina limitations

The leader gets first run approaching the final flight while others are still making ground, and his advantage proves decisive. Front runners and prominent trackers who stayed close benefit most from the honest pace.

Mont St MichelColcannonNewbrook DiamondMossy Way

Late Kick From Prominent

30% probability

If the moderate early pace allows prominent runners to conserve energy and unleash a sustained drive

Horses like Colcannon and Newbrook Diamond can track Mont St Michel comfortably before quickening past him late. Their tactical positioning and class edges prove telling in a stamina test.

ColcannonNewbrook DiamondSplendid FellowBrave Brigadier

Hold-Up Horse Swoops Late

20% probability

If the steady pace and soft ground create perfect conditions for a late charge from the rear

The lack of early speed allows hold-up horses to close strongly, with one timing their run to perfection. Splendid Fellow or Chopsticks could benefit from the tactical setup and their finishing kicks.

Splendid FellowChopsticksClaude Du ValTyson Fury

Outsider Benefits From Chaos

5% probability

If the pace collapses completely and allows a long-priced runner to steal through

The moderate gallop and large field create opportunities for horses to improve dramatically on previous form. A horse with decent placed form could capitalize on the tactical scenario.

Mossy WayBlue Du NeufFun DaddyEben Zaabeel

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mont St Michel could get an uncontested lead and prove hard to peg back if he stays the trip on soft ground

WATCH

Brother Walfrid pulled up last time and represents unknown quantity despite strong stable connections

WATCH

Large field of 28 runners creates potential for interference and traffic problems, especially for hold-up horses

NOTE

Several runners returning from long breaks including Claude Du Val (784 days) and Brave Brigadier (379 days)

NOTE

Multiple lightly raced horses making hurdle debuts or with limited experience could improve significantly

2:05 — Cawley Furniture Novice Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Soft · HCAP · 22 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mi Lucky Cailin led; the map had Maverick Mack and Green Hope and Umpire's Call and Frankie's Freebie in front.

Katie Daniels won at 34.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

8 of 20 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

Maverick MackGreen HopeUmpire's CallFrankie's Freebie

Prominent · 9

Doctor ElvisTir OgSome SongSticwiththeprocessMi Lucky CailinDiamond TippZam BobblerKatie DanielsJaynemax

Midfield · 2

Minority InterestSheer Raz

Hold Up · 7

Don JefeTakenasredRoyal SoldierAurea FortunaLauro's LegendSky And SandPoet's Gale

Green Hope, Maverick Mack, Umpire's Call and Frankie's Freebie will create a fierce early gallop with no shortage of pace. The field will string out quickly on soft ground over 2m4f, with prominent runners like Some Song, Doctor Elvis and Sticwiththeprocess caught in traffic problems approaching the business end. The sustained gallop will expose stamina limitations and favour horses that can settle and produce late kicks. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can stay wide and time their challenges perfectly.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If the early pace is truly strong and the field strings out significantly

The relentless gallop will compromise prominent runners and create perfect conditions for closers to pick off tired leaders. Horses like Aurea Fortuna and Don Jefe can use their class to sweep past faltering pace-setters.

Aurea FortunaDon JefeTakenasredSky And Sand

Prominent tactical winner

20% probability

If one prominent runner can avoid the early traffic and position perfectly

A horse like Some Song or Doctor Elvis finds the ideal pitch behind the leaders without getting caught in the squeeze. They can kick clear when the pace collapses and hold off the late challengers.

Some SongDoctor ElvisSticwiththeprocessTir Og

Front runner survives

10% probability

If the early pace is more measured than expected

Green Hope or Maverick Mack can control the tempo and kick again when challenged. Their superior class tells in the final furlong when rivals come under maximum pressure.

Green HopeMaverick MackUmpire's CallFrankie's Freebie

Outsider from midfield

5% probability

If the race becomes a complete lottery with multiple fallers or interference

A horse like Zam Bobbler or Royal Soldier can benefit from the chaos ahead and emerge as a surprise winner. The race falls apart tactically and rewards those who stay out of trouble.

Zam BobblerRoyal SoldierMinority InterestKatie Daniels

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Green Hope and Maverick Mack could set suicidal fractions that compromise the entire leading group

WATCH

Traffic problems developing 3 furlongs out as 9 prominent runners converge on limited racing room

WATCH

Doctor Elvis and Sticwiththeprocess getting caught behind horses when needing to challenge

NOTE

Aurea Fortuna's position turning in - needs clear run to utilize superior class

NOTE

Don Jefe and Sky And Sand staying wide to avoid interference in closing stages

2:40 — Donohue Marquees Novice Hurdle (Grade 2)

2m · Soft · G2 · 8 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kingston Queen led; the map had How's Hannah and Oldschool Outlaw and Highland Crystal and Future Prospect and Good Girl Kathleen and Charme De Faust in front.

Zanoosh won at 5.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

Leader d'AllierHeads UpMuratEbony King

Prominent · 1

Blake

Midfield · 1

Koktail Brut

Hold Up · 2

Too Bossy For UsLe Labo

Leader d'Allier, Heads Up, Ebony King and Murat will ensure a relentless gallop from the start, with all four having confirmed front-running tendencies. The soft ground at 2 miles will create a stamina-sapping test as these pace-setters battle for early supremacy. Blake will track prominently just behind this speed battle, while the hold-up horses Koktail Brut, Too Bossy For Us and Le Labo face a tactical nightmare. This honest pace on testing ground clearly favours the prominent racers who can avoid the early speed duel but stay close enough to strike.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Tracker Strikes

45% probability

If Blake settles just behind the speed battle and times his run perfectly

The four leaders burn each other out in the testing conditions while Blake conserves energy in the perfect stalking position. His superior class tells as the pace collapses in the final half-mile.

BlakeLeader d'AllierToo Bossy For UsKoktail Brut

Front Runner Survives

30% probability

If one of the leaders breaks clear and maintains the gallop

Leader d'Allier's class and Paul Townend's tactical nous see him edge clear of his pace rivals and hold on grimly. The soft ground plays to his stamina strengths over the hold-up horses.

Leader d'AllierHeads UpBlakeMurat

Hold-Up Horse Powers Home

15% probability

If the early pace is truly savage and collapses dramatically

Koktail Brut or Too Bossy For Us benefit from the carnage up front as their stamina reserves kick in. Their class shines through as the leaders tie up badly in the testing conditions.

Koktail BrutToo Bossy For UsLe LaboBlake

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If multiple front runners weaken simultaneously creating a messy finish

The speed battle becomes unsustainable with all four leaders struggling home, allowing any horse with late reserves to pick up the pieces. Form becomes irrelevant as stamina and trip position decide the outcome.

Le LaboBlakeKoktail BrutLeader d'Allier

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Leader d'Allier could be vulnerable to the pace pressure despite his class if all four leaders go too fast early

WATCH

Watch if Blake can settle behind the speed battle rather than getting drawn into it given his prominent tendencies

WATCH

Too Bossy For Us and Koktail Brut need the pace to collapse completely or they're fighting a losing battle

NOTE

Heads Up has perfect soft ground record but has never faced this level of early pace competition

NOTE

Any of the four front-runners who can steal a two-length advantage early may prove impossible to catch

2:40 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Honeysuckle Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 1)

2m4f · Good · G1 · 26 runners

6 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kingston Queen led; the map had How's Hannah and Oldschool Outlaw and Highland Crystal and Future Prospect and Good Girl Kathleen and Charme De Faust in front.

Zanoosh won at 5.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 6

How's HannahOldschool OutlawHighland CrystalFuture ProspectGood Girl KathleenCharme De Faust

Prominent · 10

Selma De VaryBambino FeverPlace De La NationMange ToutMajoliqueZanooshKingston QueenEchoing SilenceJackie HobbsBlue Velvet

Midfield · 2

MichonneEarly Bird

Hold Up · 8

CarrigmoornaspruceCharisma CatChangeyourstarsA Path To RondaAmen KateLouve D'IrlandeDivaborivaDiamond Du Berlais

Oldschool Outlaw, How's Hannah, Highland Crystal, Charme De Faust, Future Prospect and Good Girl Kathleen will ensure a relentless gallop from the start in this Grade 1 contest. With six confirmed front-runners over 2m4f on yielding ground, the pace will be searingly strong throughout, creating a stamina examination that will find out the pretenders. The combination of the sustained gallop and testing conditions will set up a finish where horses with proven staying power can close from off the pace. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and those who can produce their best effort late, while the prominent runners with stamina will also benefit from the collapse of the early leaders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Collapse

45% probability

If the six front-runners go too fast early and weaken dramatically from the second-last hurdle

The relentless gallop will set up perfectly for the hold-up horses who can pick up the pieces, with proven stayers getting first run on tiring leaders. Late-running types with stamina reserves will have a significant tactical advantage.

A Path To RondaCarrigmoornaspruceCharisma CatAmen Kate

Prominent Stayers Prevail

30% probability

If the early pace is strong but sustainable, allowing prominent horses with stamina to kick clear

The sustained but controlled gallop will suit horses who can race handily and have the engine to finish, avoiding both the early burn-out and the traffic problems. Those positioned in the first six but not leading will have the perfect tactical position.

Place De La NationMange ToutBambino FeverZanoosh

Front Runner Survives

15% probability

If one of the leaders gets an uncontested lead while others battle behind

Highland Crystal or How's Hannah could steal a march if they get a soft lead while the other pace-setters compromise each other. The winner would need to have enough in reserve to hold off the late charge from those given too much to do.

Highland CrystalHow's HannahSelma De VaryMajolique

Mullins Tactical Masterclass

10% probability

If Willie Mullins' multiple runners create a race-winning tactical scenario through positioning

With seven runners, Mullins can control the pace and positioning to set up his best chance perfectly for a late strike. The numerical advantage allows for tactical sacrifices to benefit the stable's main hope.

Selma De VaryPlace De La NationMajoliqueHow's Hannah

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Highland Crystal could steal this if she gets an uncontested lead while the other front-runners battle behind her

WATCH

Place De La Nation and Selma De Vary represent the Mullins battalion with tactical positioning crucial to their chances

WATCH

Carrigmoornaspruce has an excellent record on good ground and the hold-up style that should suit this race shape perfectly

NOTE

Future Prospect's recent fall may have affected confidence which could impact her usual front-running tactics

NOTE

The six confirmed front-runners will create a frantic early pace that should set up a dramatic finish for the hold-up horses

3:15 — Paddy Kehoe Suspended Ceilings Novice Hurdle (Grade 2)

2m4f · Soft · G2 · 12 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

You Proof led; the map had Kiely's Place and He's On Fire and Love Me Tender in front.

He's On Fire won at 4.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it led.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Kiely's PlaceHe's On FireLove Me Tender

Prominent · 5

Saint BacoKsar FatalLazare de StarRoyal GladiatorFrankie John

Midfield · 2

You ProofGenerous Risk

Hold Up · 2

Hipop De LoireI Started A Joke

Kiely's Place, He's On Fire, and Love Me Tender will ensure a fierce early gallop over this stamina-sapping trip on yielding to soft ground. With five runners (Lazare de Star, You Proof, Royal Gladiator, Ksar Fatal, Generous Risk, Frankie John, Saint Baco) all wanting prominent positions behind the leaders, expect serious congestion and interference from the third-last hurdle onwards as the pace inevitably collapses. The combination of strong early pace and soft conditions will set this up perfectly for the hold-up horses who can produce late kicks when the front-runners tie up in the final half-mile. This race shape heavily favours patient tactical rides on horses with proven stamina reserves.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

65% probability

If the strong early pace collapses as expected turning for home

The leaders will tie up dramatically on the testing ground, allowing I Started A Joke and Hipop De Loire to sweep past with finishing kicks. Their patient tactics and stamina reserves will prove decisive when the prominent runners hit the wall.

I Started A JokeHipop De LoireLove Me TenderKsar Fatal

Prominent Runner Survives

20% probability

If one of the prominent trackers avoids the early pace burn and times their run perfectly

Lazare de Star or Saint Baco could benefit from sitting just off the brutal early gallop before striking decisively at the second-last. Their class and tactical positioning would allow them to exploit the leaders' collapse while staying clear of late closers.

Lazare de StarSaint BacoI Started A JokeRoyal Gladiator

Front Runner Wire-to-Wire

10% probability

If Love Me Tender uses superior class to dictate more sensible fractions

The Mullins runner could slow things down mid-race and use his proven stamina to repel all challengers up the hill. His recent Grade 1 form and tactical speed would be crucial in controlling the tempo.

Love Me TenderKiely's PlaceSaint BacoI Started A Joke

Pace Meltdown Chaos

5% probability

If the early gallop is so fierce that even the hold-up horses struggle

The combination of soft ground and suicidal pace could see an unfancied runner like Generous Risk or Frankie John sneak through when everything else stops. Complete tactical chaos would favour any horse with an ounce of stamina left.

Generous RiskFrankie JohnRoyal GladiatorYou Proof

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kiely's Place, He's On Fire and Love Me Tender will create punishing early fractions that could set up dramatic pace collapse

WATCH

Serious congestion expected approaching third-last hurdle as five prominent runners jostle for position behind leaders

WATCH

You Proof's 98-day absence makes him vulnerable despite proven class and Mullins stable strength

NOTE

I Started A Joke and Hipop De Loire positioned perfectly to benefit if front-runners tie up as expected

NOTE

Saint Baco's recent fall raises questions about confidence jumping at speed in competitive field

3:50 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Honeysuckle Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 1)

2m4f · Soft · G1 · 12 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kingston Queen led; the map had How's Hannah and Oldschool Outlaw and Charme De Faust and Future Prospect in front.

Zanoosh won at 5.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

How's HannahOldschool OutlawCharme De FaustFuture Prospect

Prominent · 5

Place De La NationZanooshKingston QueenJackie HobbsBlue Velvet

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 3

CarrigmoornaspruceA Path To RondaAmen Kate

How's Hannah, Oldschool Outlaw, Charme De Faust and Future Prospect will battle for the early lead, creating a strong gallop from the outset in this Grade 1 mares novice hurdle. With Place De La Nation, Zanoosh, Kingston Queen, Jackie Hobbs and Blue Velvet all wanting prominent positions, there's serious congestion brewing behind the leaders, particularly dangerous approaching the final two hurdles. The sustained pace over 2m4f on yielding to soft ground will test stamina reserves severely in the closing stages. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses like Carrigmoornaspruce, A Path To Ronda and Amen Kate who can avoid the early traffic and finish powerfully when the pace takes its toll.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the four front runners engage in a sustained battle and the prominent brigade gets caught in traffic

The strong early gallop will soften up the leaders while the hold-up horses get clean runs to sweep past tired rivals. Carrigmoornaspruce and A Path To Ronda are perfectly positioned to exploit this scenario with their patient tactics.

CarrigmoornaspruceA Path To RondaAmen KatePlace De La Nation

Prominent Position Prevails

25% probability

If one of the prominent runners can secure the ideal position just behind the leaders without getting trapped

Zanoosh or Place De La Nation can track the pace and kick clear when the front runners tire, avoiding both the early battle and late traffic. Their tactical speed gives them the edge over pure hold-up horses.

ZanooshPlace De La NationKingston QueenJackie Hobbs

Front Runner Survives

15% probability

If How's Hannah or Oldschool Outlaw can establish a decisive early advantage and slow the tempo mid-race

The leader gets an easier time of it while the prominent horses are forced to race keenly behind, setting up a staying test that suits the most battle-hardened front runner. How's Hannah's class edge becomes crucial.

How's HannahOldschool OutlawCharme De FaustFuture Prospect

Traffic Chaos Decides

5% probability

If the prominent congestion causes multiple horses to lose momentum and positioning at crucial moments

The race becomes a lottery with several fancied runners getting hampered, allowing an outsider with a clear passage to capitalize on the mayhem. Positioning and luck matter more than ability.

Blue VelvetKingston QueenJackie HobbsFuture Prospect

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

How's Hannah and Oldschool Outlaw could destroy each other's chances if they engage in a speed duel from the start

WATCH

Place De La Nation, Zanoosh, Kingston Queen, Jackie Hobbs and Blue Velvet create traffic nightmare in prominent positions approaching final two flights

NOTE

Carrigmoornaspruce needs clean passage from the back as hold-up horses often get squeezed for room at Fairyhouse

NOTE

Future Prospect's headgear first time suggests connections expect improved performance after disappointing last run

WATCH

A Path To Ronda's 36-day break could leave her needing the run despite Jamie Snowden's good recent form

4:25 — BOYLE Sports Novice Handicap Chase (Listed Race)

2m½f · Soft · LST · 13 runners

Karamoja to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Rockbrook and Anotherway led; the map had Karamoja in front.

Come Walk With Me won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Karamoja

Prominent · 5

Break My SoulJigoroBirdie Or BustRelieved Of DutiesMore Coko

Midfield · 3

MoudanCome Walk With MeRockbrook

Hold Up · 4

Shuffle The DeckJalila MoriviereAnotherwayHarvard Guy

Karamoja will lead from the flag with his confirmed front-running style, likely setting a sustainable gallop on the yielding to soft ground without early pressure from the prominent runners. The lack of other natural leaders means Jigoro, Break My Soul, Birdie Or Bust and Moudan will track in behind but won't force the pace early. This sets up a race where the tempo builds gradually, creating a searching gallop from the third-last fence that will test stamina reserves. This tactical setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can finish with one sustained run rather than prominent runners who get drawn into a grinding battle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

45% probability

If Karamoja sets a steady pace that builds into a stamina test from three out

The patient hold-up runners get the perfect setup to unleash one telling move, while the prominent horses get caught in no-man's land. Shuffle The Deck and Jalila Moriviere can time their challenges perfectly under expert pilots.

Shuffle The DeckJalila MoriviereCome Walk With MeAnotherway

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely searching throughout and tests the stamina of all hold-up horses

The race becomes a test of who can maintain their position closest to the pace without overexerting. Break My Soul and Jigoro have the class and tactical speed to kick clear when others weaken.

Break My SoulJigoroRelieved Of DutiesMore Coko

Karamoja Wire-to-Wire

15% probability

If the front-runner gets an uncontested lead and the field fails to organize a proper challenge

Karamoja dictates terms throughout and has enough in reserve when the inevitable challenge comes up the straight. His recent Fairyhouse win shows he can handle this exact scenario when getting his own way.

KaramojaMoudanBirdie Or BustRockbrook

Pace Collapse Finish

10% probability

If Karamoja sets a crawling pace that produces a sprint finish unsuited to the distance

The race becomes a lottery where any horse with a turn of foot can win regardless of running style. This chaos scenario opens the door for unconsidered runners with residual ability.

Harvard GuyMore CokoRelieved Of DutiesCome Walk With Me

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Karamoja could get an uncontested lead if the prominent horses are too patient early and allow him to dictate terms completely

WATCH

Jigoro's apprentice jockey may struggle with tactical decisions in a 13-runner field where positioning will be crucial

NOTE

Break My Soul has been off since October but his trainer's runners often come back fit first time

WATCH

The ground could ride deeper than advertised given consistent yielding to soft readings across all Fairyhouse races

NOTE

Shuffle The Deck typically needs the race run to suit perfectly but has both the jockey and ground conditions in his favour

5:00 — WillowWarm Gold Cup (Grade 1)

2m4f · Soft · G1 · 9 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sixmilebridge led, as the map showed.

Fleur In The Park won at 23.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

SixmilebridgeJacob's LadderPredators GoldPure Steel

Prominent · 3

Kappa Jy PykeKala ContiFleur In The Park

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Western FoldJimmy Du Seuil

Sixmilebridge, Jacob's Ladder, Predators Gold and Pure Steel will ensure a relentless gallop from the start, with Sixmilebridge likely to grab the early lead given his front-running style and excellent soft ground record. This quartet of pace-setters will stretch the field out over the 2m4f trip, creating a true stamina test on yielding to soft conditions. The strong early pace will set up the race perfectly for hold-up horses with tactical speed who can pick off tired leaders. This race shape strongly favours closers and hold-up merchants who can stay the trip and have the class to capitalize when the pace collapses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Heroes Prevail

55% probability

If the front-runners maintain a fierce gallop through the first two miles

The relentless pace will drain the early leaders, allowing Western Fold and Jimmy Du Seuil to sweep past tired horses with their superior stamina reserves. Both have the class and tactical speed to capitalize when the gallop inevitably slows.

Western FoldJimmy Du SeuilKala ContiKappa Jy Pyke

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If one of the prominent runners can secure the perfect tracking position behind the leaders

Kappa Jy Pyke or Kala Conti can use their class advantage to strike at the optimal moment, having saved energy while staying within striking distance. Their prominent style allows them to avoid the worst of the early pace while remaining close enough to pounce.

Kappa Jy PykeKala ContiWestern FoldJacob's Ladder

Front Runner Survives

12% probability

If the early pace becomes more measured than expected due to tactical riding

Jacob's Ladder or Sixmilebridge could steal a march on the field by dictating terms from the front without burning out. Their recent form suggests they have the stamina to sustain a controlled gallop over the extended trip.

Jacob's LadderSixmilebridgePredators GoldPure Steel

Pace Collapse Special

8% probability

If the multiple front-runners engage in a speed duel that destroys each other

The race becomes a sitting duck for the most patient hold-up horse with the strongest finishing kick. Western Fold's closing style becomes devastating when the entire field comes back to him in the final half-mile.

Western FoldJimmy Du SeuilFleur In The ParkKappa Jy Pyke

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Jacob's Ladder and Sixmilebridge could engage in a devastating speed duel from the start that sets up the entire race for closers.

WATCH

Western Fold's ability to get the right position from his hold-up style will determine if he can capitalize on the expected strong pace.

WATCH

Kappa Jy Pyke needs to avoid getting caught up in the early pace battle despite his prominent running style.

NOTE

Pure Steel and Predators Gold may find themselves outpaced by the classier front-runners in the early stages.

NOTE

The 84-day layoff for both Mullins runners Kappa Jy Pyke and Predators Gold could impact their peak fitness levels.

5:00 — WillowWarm Gold Cup (Grade 1)

2m4f · Good · G1 · 28 runners

10 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sixmilebridge led, as the map showed.

Fleur In The Park won at 23.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 10

Kaid d'AuthieFinal DemandKitzbuhelSixmilebridgeJacob's LadderSalvator MundiPredators GoldDownmexicowayPure SteelPort Joulain

Prominent · 11

Romeo CoolioKappa Jy PykeKoktail DivinGold DancerKala ContiJoystickArgento BoyThe Big WesternerSlade SteelFleur In The ParkKing Of Kingsfield

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 7

Western FoldOscars BrotherJimmy Du SeuilLovely HurlingRushmountKaria Des BlaisesWestern Walk

Final Demand, Kitzbuhel, Kaid d'Authie, Salvator Mundi, Predators Gold, Jacob's Ladder, Sixmilebridge, Downmexicoway and Pure Steel will ensure a relentless gallop from the start in this Grade 1 contest. The pace will be genuinely strong throughout the 2m4f trip on yielding to soft ground, with multiple Mullins runners happy to commit early. This demanding gallop will stretch the field and test stamina reserves to the maximum. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and prominent runners with tactical speed - the pure front-runners face a gruelling task against this quality field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

45% probability

If the early gallop is truly relentless with multiple pace-setters going too fast

The strong pace will collapse the front-runners in the final half-mile, allowing Western Fold and Oscars Brother to use their finishing kicks. Jimmy Du Seuil and Lovely Hurling can also benefit from the strong setup despite their lower ratings.

Western FoldOscars BrotherJimmy Du SeuilLovely Hurling

Tactical prominent runners

30% probability

If Romeo Coolio and Koktail Divin can sit just off the fierce early pace

These quality operators can track the leaders without doing the donkey work, then strike when the pace-setters weaken. Their class and tactical positioning proves decisive in a war of attrition.

Romeo CoolioKoktail DivinKala ContiGold Dancer

Pace collapses completely

15% probability

If the multiple front-runners go suicidally fast and all tie up badly

Even moderate finishers can pick up the pieces when the entire front division stops, creating chaos and opportunity. This becomes a lottery where any horse with stamina reserves can capitalise.

RushmountWestern WalkKaria Des BlaisesThe Big Westerner

Front-runner survives

10% probability

If one pace-setter gets an easier lead while others overrace behind

Kaid d'Authie or Final Demand could dictate sensible fractions while their main pace rivals compromise each other. The leader kicks clear when the chasers fail to respond effectively.

Kaid d'AuthieFinal DemandKitzbuhelSalvator Mundi

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Multiple Mullins pace-setters Final Demand, Kitzbuhel, Kaid d'Authie and Salvator Mundi could overrace and compromise each other

WATCH

Western Fold has been off since disappointing effort but hold-up style perfectly suits this race shape

NOTE

Romeo Coolio's prominent running style could be ideal if he can avoid getting sucked into the early pace battle

WATCH

The Big Westerner and King Of Kingsfield return from long layoffs in a red-hot Grade 1 contest

NOTE

Jimmy Du Seuil drops back from 2m6f to 2m4f which should suit his finishing kick better

5:30 — Race Displays Joseph O'Reilly Hunters Chase

3m1f · Soft · DEFAULT · 10 runners

Five Star Getaway to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Wrappedupinmay led; the map had Five Star Getaway in front.

Five Star Getaway won at 17.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Five Star Getaway

Prominent · 4

Big InterestSolitary ManStuzzikiniCity Chief

Midfield · 3

Now Where Or WhenAsphalt CowboyWrappedupinmay

Hold Up · 2

Hunters YarnChemical Energy

Five Star Getaway will lead alone with no genuine pace pressure, creating a moderate gallop that builds gradually through the middle stages. The prominent brigade of City Chief, Big Interest, Solitary Man, Stuzzikini and Wrappedupinmay will cluster 3-4 lengths back, creating significant traffic congestion turning for home. Hold-up horses Hunters Yarn and Chemical Energy must navigate through this prominent pack while relying on a strong finishing kick. This controlled pace and prominent congestion clearly favours the front-runner and strong finishers who can stay wide - early leaders and patient hold-up horses benefit most.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominance

45% probability

If Five Star Getaway maintains his lead unchallenged through moderate fractions

The 12-year-old gets first run on the field and kicks clear 2 out, with the prominent pack stuck in traffic behind. Only wide-tracking finishers can mount a challenge but it's too late to peg back the leader.

Five Star GetawayHunters YarnChemical EnergyStuzzikini

Prominent Pack Clash

30% probability

If the five prominent runners bunch up and engage in a scrimmage from 3 out

This creates a war of attrition among City Chief, Big Interest, Solitary Man, Stuzzikini and Wrappedupinmay, allowing the strongest traveller to emerge. The moderate early pace leaves enough in reserve for a sustained drive.

Big InterestStuzzikiniCity ChiefSolitary Man

Hold-Up Heroes Strike

20% probability

If Hunters Yarn and Chemical Energy find racing room wide or through gaps 2 out

Both horses unleash their superior class and finishing speed to reel in a tiring leader and outpace the prominent pack. Their fresh legs and higher ratings prove decisive in the final furlong.

Hunters YarnChemical EnergyFive Star GetawayBig Interest

Surprise Package Emerges

5% probability

If Wrappedupinmay or Asphalt Cowboy avoid the prominent traffic and find a smooth passage

One of the less fancied runners benefits from a trouble-free trip while the market leaders are compromised by pace or positioning. Their momentum carries them past faltering favourites.

WrappedupinmayAsphalt CowboyNow Where Or WhenCity Chief

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for severe traffic problems in the prominent pack turning for home as five horses want the same position

WATCH

Monitor Five Star Getaway's stamina reserves in final furlong after lone lead duties at 12 years old

NOTE

Check if Hunters Yarn gets trapped behind the prominent wall and needs to switch wide late

WATCH

Observe whether City Chief shows ring-rustiness after 100-day layoff despite his claims jockey

NOTE

Watch for Chemical Energy tracking wide throughout to avoid the inevitable prominent congestion

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 5 April 2026.

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