Archive›Fairyhouse · 6 April 2026

Fairyhouse

6 April 2026 · 8 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

2:05 — Farmhouse Foods Novice Handicap Hurdle

2m · Soft · HCAP · 22 runners

7 vying for the leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Kentucky Beach and Wackestone led, as the map showed.

Jet To Monte Carlo won at 11.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led.

5 of 21 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 7

ArslanLincoln Du SeuilJet To Monte CarloCamlin ParkKentucky BeachThankyouforthedaysLikealightswitch

Prominent · 9

SaveforarainydayTatateoWackestoneCombsWithabitoflukCourt CanyonPremier RogueDesert HavenWalk On Annilog

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 6

Radiator SpringsMigdamKabyliaHesgonethatwayMart LanePoet's Gale

Seven confirmed front runners including Arslan, Lincoln Du Seuil, Jet To Monte Carlo, Likealightswitch, Camlin Park, Kentucky Beach and Thankyouforthedays will create a fierce early gallop over this 2m trip on testing ground. With 9 horses wanting prominent positions, severe traffic problems are guaranteed approaching the business end, particularly 2-3 hurdles out where the field will concertina. The relentless pace on soft ground will expose stamina limitations and create a war of attrition. This race shape heavily favours hold-up horses who can avoid the early carnage and pick up the pieces late, with patient riders holding the decisive advantage.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the front runners go too fast early and burn out on the soft ground

The fierce pace will collapse the leaders in the final half-mile, setting up perfectly for the closers who avoided the early battle. Patient rides on horses like Radiator Springs and Kabylia will be rewarded as they pick off tired leaders.

Radiator SpringsKabyliaMart LaneMigdam

Prominent Runners Survive

25% probability

If the pace is strong but sustainable with smart tactical rides from the prominent brigade

Horses like Saveforarainyday and Withabitofluk can position just off the leaders without getting embroiled in the speed duel. They'll have enough left to kick clear when the leaders weaken but before the hold-up horses arrive.

SaveforarainydayWithabitoflukTatateoCourt Canyon

Surprise Front Runner

12% probability

If one of the pace-setters gets an easy lead due to others taking each other on

Thankyouforthedays or Likealightswitch could steal a march if the other leaders neutralise each other early. The winner will need to be tough enough to see out the trip when challenged.

ThankyouforthedaysLikealightswitchArslanKentucky Beach

Tactical Collapse

8% probability

If the pace is slow early due to too many leaders eyeing each other up

A messy tactical affair could develop with no one wanting to make the running, turning it into a sprint finish. This would suit horses with a turn of foot regardless of usual running style.

HesgonethatwayWackestoneCombsPremier Rogue

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Massive early pace collision between Arslan, Lincoln Du Seuil, Jet To Monte Carlo, Likealightswitch, Kentucky Beach, Thankyouforthedays and Camlin Park will create chaos

WATCH

Traffic problems at 3rd last hurdle where 9 prominent runners will hit the bottleneck simultaneously as pace collapses

WATCH

Radiator Springs and Kabylia positioning - if they get trapped behind walls of horses they cannot win despite suiting the pace

NOTE

Saveforarainyday's hood removal suggests supreme confidence from Cromwell yard - market will reveal expectations

NOTE

Michael Kenneally's 5lb claim on Tatateo meaningless if he cannot navigate the traffic problems this race will create

2:40 — O'Driscoll's Irish Whiskey Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2)

2m · Soft · G2 · 10 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kai Lung led, as the map showed.

Proactif won at 2.25 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

ProactifMoulin LabbeKai LungHarwa

Prominent · 4

Macho ManMajoliqueMichonneAdrienne

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

North ShoreMinella Boss

Kai Lung, Proactif, Moulin Labbe and Harwa will ensure a genuine gallop from the start, with four confirmed front-runners in a 10-horse field creating inevitable pressure up front. The soft ground will compound stamina demands as these pace-setters drag each other along, likely creating a searching test. With four runners also wanting prominent positions (Macho Man, Majolique, Adrienne, Michonne), traffic problems are guaranteed turning for home. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses like North Shore and Minella Boss who can benefit from the pace collapse and find clear running late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Benefits Closers

55% probability

If the four front-runners (Kai Lung, Proactif, Moulin Labbe, Harwa) go too fast early on soft ground

The leaders will weaken from 2 out, allowing hold-up horses with clear runs to sweep past tired rivals. North Shore's class and Minella Boss's finishing kick become decisive advantages.

North ShoreMinella BossMacho ManMajolique

Mullins Front-Runner Dominates

25% probability

If one of Proactif or Kai Lung can dictate fractions and control the pace

Willie Mullins' superior tactical awareness allows his front-runner to time their effort perfectly, staying clear of the traffic behind. The winner comes from having both the pace control and the class to sustain their effort.

ProactifKai LungNorth ShoreMacho Man

Prominent Runner Times Move

12% probability

If the midfield congestion allows a prominent runner to find the perfect split 2 out

Macho Man or Majolique can avoid the pace battle while staying close enough to strike when gaps appear. Their tactical positioning proves superior to both the struggling leaders and traffic-hit hold-up horses.

Macho ManMajoliqueAdrienneMichonne

Outsider Benefits Chaos

8% probability

If the pace battle and traffic problems eliminate all the fancied runners

Adrienne or Michonne find themselves in the right place when carnage unfolds ahead, inheriting victory through superior positioning. The soft ground aids their stamina while others have expended too much energy.

AdrienneMichonneMinella BossHarwa

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for early pace battle between Kai Lung, Proactif, Moulin Labbe and Harwa burning each other out before halfway

WATCH

Monitor North Shore's early position as he needs to settle and conserve energy for his trademark late surge

WATCH

Check if Macho Man can secure ideal prominent pitch without getting caught in the midfield squeeze

NOTE

Observe Minella Boss's jumping rhythm early as the tongue-tie addition suggests temperament concerns

NOTE

Watch for any market moves on the Mullins runners as stable has strong 14-day form and multiple chances

3:15 — Fairyhouse Steel Handicap Hurdle

2m5½f · Soft · HCAP · 21 runners

Eagles Reign to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Eagles Reign led, as the map showed.

Fierce Handay won at 6.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Eagles Reign

Prominent · 8

Meet And GreetTimeless TreatyGrann's BoyKovanisHgranca De ThaixSlane HillHealys PubFierce Handay

Midfield · 6

Must Go NowEl ChampoFad EadrainnBuachaillbochtBlue MosqueCatch The Beast

Hold Up · 6

WelonlyhavedoneShabby HillJony RFiveonefiveEclipse ChaserArch Empire

Eagles Reign is the sole confirmed front-runner and will get an uncontested lead, allowing him to set a measured tempo early before potentially quickening. The prominent runners like Meet And Greet, Timeless Treaty, Fierce Handay and Hgranca De Thaix will track behind but none are aggressive pace pressers. This creates a tactical race where the pace will be reasonable early but not searching, before a long sustained drive from the home turn. The sustainable gallop and long run-in clearly favours horses with tactical speed and finishing kick - hold-up horses will get the perfect setup to unleash late runs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Eagles Reign sets his usual measured tempo without early pressure...

The pace will be moderate early allowing closers to position perfectly before unleashing finishing kicks up the long Fairyhouse straight. Welonlyhavedone, Shabby Hill, Jony R and Fiveonefive all have the tactical speed to pick up leaders in the final furlong.

WelonlyhavedoneShabby HillJony RFiveonefive

Prominent Trackers Strike

25% probability

If the prominent group decides to apply more pressure from halfway...

This forces Eagles Reign into a more searching gallop, setting up the race for horses tracking in behind with natural cruising speed. Timeless Treaty and Fierce Handay are perfectly positioned to capitalize while Meet And Greet could find renewed form.

Timeless TreatyFierce HandayMeet And GreetHgranca De Thaix

Front Runner Stays Strong

12% probability

If Eagles Reign gets his fractions perfect and kicks clear turning in...

The uncontested leader could prove hard to peg back if he times his effort right, especially with the step back up in trip suiting. Healys Pub could emerge from the pack as the main danger given his recent Naas success.

Eagles ReignHealys PubGrann's BoyBuachaillbocht

Pace Collapses Completely

8% probability

If the early gallop becomes pedestrian with no one willing to commit...

The race becomes a sprint finish where horses with the most natural pace over shorter trips gain an advantage. Blue Mosque and Arch Empire could benefit from their 2m speed in a slowly-run contest.

Blue MosqueArch EmpireEclipse ChaserKovanis

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Eagles Reign could steal this if allowed uncontested fractions - watch for any early pressure from the prominent group

WATCH

Must Go Now has shown a pattern of fading in the finish when the pace lifts in the final furlong

NOTE

Meet And Greet wears first-time cheekpieces after a 78-day break which could spark improvement or hint at problems

WATCH

Several runners return from long breaks including Slane Hill (240 days) and Grann's Boy (163 days) who may need the run

NOTE

The prominent group including Timeless Treaty and Fierce Handay could unite to pressure Eagles Reign if they choose to be aggressive

3:50 — Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Hurdle (Grade 2)

2m4f · Soft · G2 · 10 runners

Kawaboomga to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Glen Kiln led; the map had Kawaboomga in front.

Slade Steel won at 7.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Kawaboomga

Prominent · 4

The Yellow ClayBrewin'upastormSlade SteelStorm Heart

Midfield · 3

Glen KilnBlizzard Of OzFarren Glory

Hold Up · 2

BowensonfireGrainne A Chroi

Kawaboomga is the only genuine front-runner and will dictate a sustainable early tempo without pressure. Storm Heart, Slade Steel, Brewin'upastorm, The Yellow Clay, and Blizzard Of Oz will create serious congestion in the prominent positions, with four or five wanting to track closely. This congestion will create traffic problems from the third-last hurdle as horses begin to make their moves. The clean early pace followed by late tactical complications strongly favours hold-up horses who can avoid the scrimmaging and produce late runs when others are stopping after battling for position.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses prosper

55% probability

If the prominent pack gets tangled up from 3 out as expected

Bowensonfire and Grainne A Chroi will have clear runs while the prominent brigade compromise each other. Their patient tactics prove decisive as they sweep past tired leaders who've been fighting for position throughout.

BowensonfireGrainne A ChroiStorm HeartGlen Kiln

Front-runner stays clear

25% probability

If Kawaboomga gets an uncontested lead and the chasers mark each other

The 6-year-old maintains his advantage as the prominent horses neutralise each other's chances through over-racing. His sustainable galloping style proves perfect for the testing conditions and trip.

KawaboomgaStorm HeartThe Yellow ClayBrewin'upastorm

Prominent positioning wins

12% probability

If one prominent horse avoids the traffic and gets first run

Storm Heart or The Yellow Clay times their move perfectly before the congestion develops. Their class tells as they kick clear while others are still organising their challenges from behind.

Storm HeartThe Yellow ClayKawaboomgaGlen Kiln

Pace collapses completely

8% probability

If Kawaboomga goes too slow and no one pressures early

The race becomes a sprint from the last hurdle with superior class prevailing regardless of tactics. The highest-rated horses prevail in a bunched finish despite tactical positioning.

The Yellow ClaySlade SteelStorm HeartBowensonfire

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for traffic problems from 3 out when Storm Heart, Slade Steel, The Yellow Clay and Blizzard Of Oz all need racing room simultaneously

WATCH

Monitor Kawaboomga's stamina as he's never won beyond 2m and may tire if pace quickens dramatically

NOTE

Check if Bowensonfire gets the patient ride his hold-up style demands rather than being committed too early

WATCH

Observe The Yellow Clay's jumping under pressure given his recent falls and whether the 9lb penalty hampers his effort

NOTE

Watch Glen Kiln's fitness after 71-day break particularly in the closing stages of this competitive heat

4:20 — Underwriting Exchange Fairyhouse Chase (Grade 2)

2m4f · Soft · G2 · 6 runners

Lead contested: Saint Sam v Blood DestinyHISTORIC

How it ran

Found A Fifty and Saint Sam led, as the map showed.

Energumene won at 3.25 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Saint SamBlood Destiny

Prominent · 2

Found A FiftyEnergumene

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Down Memory LaneSa Fureur

Saint Sam and Blood Destiny will contest the early pace as two natural front-runners, with Saint Sam likely to press or share the lead given his aggressive style. The soft ground and 2m4f trip suggests they'll set a solid but not breakneck gallop, allowing the field to stay reasonably compact through the early stages. Found A Fifty and Energumene will track prominently behind the leaders, while the hold-up pair Sa Fureur and Down Memory Lane will be positioned towards the rear. This shape strongly favours prominent runners who can position close to the pace and avoid getting trapped behind a wall of horses when the tempo lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

45% probability

If the pace is honest but not excessive, allowing prominent trackers to stay within striking distance

Found A Fifty and Energumene can use their class and tactical speed to pick off the front-runners in the straight. The soft ground and testing finish will expose any lack of stamina from horses coming from too far back.

Found A FiftyEnergumeneSaint SamBlood Destiny

Front Runner Wire-to-Wire

25% probability

If one of the leaders can dictate terms and steal crucial lengths at the business end

Saint Sam or Blood Destiny could capitalize on their natural pace advantage and make it a test of stamina from the front. The winner would need to respond to challenges while maintaining galloping room on the testing surface.

Blood DestinySaint SamFound A FiftyEnergumene

Hold-Up Horse Charges

20% probability

If the early pace is genuinely strong and the leaders come back dramatically in the final half-mile

Sa Fureur or Down Memory Lane could benefit from a strong pace collapse, using their closing kick to sweep past tired leaders. The soft going would aid their late charge but they need significant pace bias to overcome class deficit.

Down Memory LaneSa FureurFound A FiftyEnergumene

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If both front-runners go too fast early and the race becomes a lottery in testing conditions

The entire field could come together in a messy finish where stamina and jumping accuracy matter most. Any horse still traveling well with two to jump could capitalize on a pace-collapsed race.

EnergumeneSa FureurDown Memory LaneBlood Destiny

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Saint Sam and Blood Destiny could go too fast early if they get into a speed duel, which would set up the race for prominent trackers

WATCH

Energumene needs to be traveling strongly with three to jump as his stamina reserves may not be what they once were at age 12

NOTE

Down Memory Lane requires a strong pace and may struggle to get into contention if the leaders are allowed to dictate soft fractions

WATCH

Found A Fifty must avoid getting shuffled back if the pace is slow, as his prominent style depends on maintaining position throughout

NOTE

The soft ground could level the playing field if it becomes testing enough to expose any fitness or stamina concerns in the older horses

5:00 — BOYLE Sports Irish Grand National Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (Grade 3)

3m5f · Soft · G3 · 30 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Monbeg Genius led; the map had Soldier In Milan and Kiss Will and O'Toole in front.

Soldier In Milan won at 7.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led.

9 of 30 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Soldier In MilanKiss WillO'Toole

Prominent · 12

Better Days AheadSearch For GloryThe Jukebox KidJoystickArgento BoyYeah ManMonbeg GeniusVelvet ElvisOne Big BangKurasso BlueThe EnablerSa Majeste

Midfield · 6

Western WalkShowurappreciationDuffle CoatWaterford WhispersShanbally KidBorn Braver

Hold Up · 9

RushmountFlicker Of HopeC'Est Ta ChanceShecouldbeanythingKaria Des BlaisesGoraibhmaithagatHartur d'ArcBetter Times AheadWeveallbeencaught

Kiss Will, Soldier In Milan, and O'Toole will ensure a strong gallop from the start in this 30-runner marathon, with The Jukebox Kid, Better Days Ahead, and Kurasso Blue also prominent early. The fierce pace combined with testing ground conditions will see stamina become the decisive factor from the home turn onwards. With 12 runners wanting prominent positions, expect significant traffic problems approaching the business end. This punishing pace scenario strongly favours hold-up horses with proven stamina reserves who can pick off tired leaders late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Gallop Collapse

55% probability

If Kiss Will and Soldier In Milan maintain a fierce gallop to halfway on this testing ground

The relentless pace will see multiple prominent runners tire dramatically from three out, opening the door for patient hold-up performers with superior stamina reserves. Fresh finishers will sweep past exhausted pace-setters in the final half-mile.

C'Est Ta ChanceFlicker Of HopeWestern WalkWaterford Whispers

Tactical Prominent Success

25% probability

If the early leaders settle into a more measured rhythm after the initial burst

Better positioned prominent runners can conserve energy for a sustained drive, with their forward position proving crucial when the pace intensifies from the home turn. Those tracking the pace without being caught up front benefit most.

Better Days AheadArgento BoyThe Jukebox KidOne Big Bang

Hold-Up Traffic Chaos

12% probability

If the large field creates significant interference in the straight as tired horses fall back

Several hold-up horses will find their runs blocked by weakening runners, allowing those with cleaner passages or already better positioned to capitalize. Mid-division runners with stamina prove best placed to avoid the carnage.

ShecouldbeanythingYeah ManVelvet ElvisKaria Des Blaises

Front Runner Survival

8% probability

If the testing conditions fail to stop one of the main pace-setters completely

A brave front runner maintains enough reserves to repel late challenges, benefiting from the perfect combination of stamina and tactical position. The strong early gallop actually sets up their staying power advantage.

Kiss WillO'TooleSoldier In MilanSa Majeste

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kiss Will and Soldier In Milan will set a fierce pace but both face serious stamina questions at this marathon distance

WATCH

Traffic problems inevitable from three out as 12 prominent runners converge with tired horses falling back through field

WATCH

Better Days Ahead and Search For Glory carry significant weight disadvantages that could prove telling in testing conditions

NOTE

C'Est Ta Chance and Flicker Of Hope represent the ideal hold-up profile that this race shape strongly favours

NOTE

Yeah Man returns to fences fresh from hurdle runs, suggesting connections believe he's primed for big staying test

5:40 — Join Racing TV Now Handicap Chase

3m½f · Soft · HCAP · 18 runners

Prophet's Corner to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Well Del led; the map had Prophet's Corner in front.

Clonmeen won at 41.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

6 of 17 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Prophet's Corner

Prominent · 7

Prends Garde A ToiButch CassidyBarry LyndonWill DoPatter MerchantChosen WitnessUnion Station

Midfield · 5

Joyau De ThaixAyikoNeyKillaney KingWell Del

Hold Up · 5

Cave CourtSavanteHermino AASupreme GiftClonmeen

Prophet's Corner is the only confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms without serious pressure through the early stages. With most rivals adopting prominent or hold-up tactics, the pace will likely be steady rather than searching over this staying trip on testing ground. The lack of pace pressure means the gallop may not be strong enough to set up the race for closers, while Prophet's Corner gets an uncontested lead to utilize. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can track the leader and strike turning for home.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Prophet's Corner gets an easy lead and isn't headed until late

The lack of early pace allows Prophet's Corner to dictate ideal fractions and kick clear when challenged, while prominent trackers get first run but can't peg back the leader. Prophet's Corner benefits from the tactical advantage while strong stayers like Butch Cassidy and Barry Lyndon get competitive positions.

Prophet's CornerButch CassidyBarry LyndonPrends Garde A Toi

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If one of the prominent racers travels strongly and times their challenge perfectly

The steady early gallop suits the prominent brigade who can sit close without expending energy, then quicken past a tiring Prophet's Corner in the final half-mile. Butch Cassidy or Ayiko use their class edge to overhaul the leader.

Butch CassidyAyikoJoyau De ThaixBarry Lyndon

Hold-Up Horse Prevails

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint from the last mile

The lack of early gallop creates a tactical affair where stamina becomes less important than a strong finish, allowing hold-up horses to close late. Savante or Cave Court benefit from the lack of early pace and finish strongest.

SavanteCave CourtSupreme GiftHermino AA

Pace Chaos Benefits Outsider

10% probability

If Prophet's Corner stops quickly and prominent horses get caught in traffic

Early leader fades badly turning for home while the fancied prominent horses get shuffled back or hampered, creating opportunities for lightly-weighted runners. Well Del or Ney capitalize on the pace collapse with their lower weights.

Well DelNeyKillaney KingUnion Station

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Prophet's Corner could steal this if he gets an uncontested lead and the field allows him too much rope early

WATCH

Butch Cassidy and Ayiko are the main threats to track the leader and have the class to strike late

NOTE

Watch for Savante and Cave Court if the pace becomes truly pedestrian and sets up a sprint finish

WATCH

Will Do's 0-14 chase record makes him hard to trust despite some decent placed efforts

NOTE

Well Del carries just 145lbs and showed improvement for his new yard when winning last time

6:10 — Leinster Reinforcements & Brazil Piling (Pro/Am) Flat Race

2m · Soft · DEFAULT · 13 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Charismatic Kid and The Old Head led, as the map showed.

Charismatic Kid won at 4.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

Jeroboam MachinCharismatic KidSoul AsylumPoetisa

Prominent · 5

State PensionLuidgi Du LuyLeonard VallisDorie MillerOcto Gane

Midfield · 4

The Old HeadQueen AliceBig Boy DanStorm Queen

Hold Up · 0

None

Jeroboam Machin, Charismatic Kid, Soul Asylum and Poetisa will ensure a fierce early gallop over this 2m trip on soft ground. The quartet of confirmed front-runners guarantees a strong pace from flag to finish, with no respite as they battle for control. This sustained tempo will stretch the field and expose stamina limitations on the testing ground conditions. The relentless pace strongly favours prominent racers who can track the leaders without expending excess energy, while hold-up horses face an uphill task getting into contention from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Gallop Grind

55% probability

If the four front-runners maintain a fierce tempo throughout

The strong pace will suit prominent trackers who can position close enough to strike without leading. State Pension and Luidgi Du Luy are perfectly positioned to capitalise when the pace-setters tire.

State PensionLuidgi Du LuyCharismatic KidLeonard Vallis

Leader Dominates Field

25% probability

If Jeroboam Machin or Charismatic Kid controls the tempo

One of the class leaders dictates more measured fractions and kicks clear with superior ability. The Grade 2 winner's class or Elliott's shrewd handling proves decisive in the finish.

Jeroboam MachinCharismatic KidSoul AsylumPoetisa

Mullins Tactical Strike

12% probability

If Poetisa is held up despite her leading tendencies

Patrick Mullins employs patient tactics, allowing the front-runners to burn each other out before unleashing a finishing kick. Her Cheltenham form and tactical versatility gives her a unique edge late on.

PoetisaState PensionLuidgi Du LuyLeonard Vallis

Outsider Shock Success

8% probability

If the market leaders falter on testing ground conditions

The soft ground or fierce pace finds out the favourites' stamina or ground handling. Leonard Vallis's proven soft ground form or a well-backed point winner springs a surprise.

Leonard VallisThe Old HeadLuidgi du LuyState Pension

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Jeroboam Machin may struggle to recapture Grade 2 form after 793 days absence despite class advantage

WATCH

Soul Asylum's ability to maintain strong gallop questioned after dictating modest fractions at Punchestown last time

NOTE

The Old Head and Big Boy Dan warrant market watch as point graduates joining quality yards with unknown ceiling

WATCH

Storm Queen's tendency to fade in finishes makes her vulnerable if front-runners maintain fierce gallop throughout

NOTE

Poetisa's tactical deployment under Patrick Mullins could be key if held up against her natural leading instincts

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 6 April 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →