Archive›Fakenham · 13 April 2026

Fakenham

13 April 2026 · 6 races

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2:40 — Racing TV Handicap Hurdle

2m7½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

The Wise Traveller to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

The Wise Traveller led, as the map showed.

Rialannah won at 3.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

The Wise Traveller

Prominent · 3

BreezethroughlifeMahon FallsRaby Mere

Midfield · 2

RialannahAlan Bresil

Hold Up · 2

IlitchTropical Speed

The Wise Traveller will look to make all the running from the front, with Breezethroughlife and Mahon Falls likely tracking prominently in second and third. Behind them, the hold-up horses Rialannah, Tropical Speed, and Ilitch will settle towards the rear, while Alan Bresil and Raby Mere occupy mid-division berths. With only one confirmed front-runner in an 8-runner field over 2m7½f, The Wise Traveller can dictate a steady gallop without early pressure. This tactical setup strongly favours the prominent racers and those with tactical speed, as they can position close enough to strike when the pace inevitably quickens, while pure hold-up horses may find themselves with too much ground to make up.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Steady Pace Suits Prominents

45% probability

If The Wise Traveller sets an uncontested lead and the pace stays steady until the home turn.

Breezethroughlife and Mahon Falls can track the leader comfortably before challenging with their superior class and fitness. The hold-up horses struggle to close the gap when the race develops into a tactical affair.

BreezethroughlifeMahon FallsRaby MereTropical Speed

Strong Gallop Tests Stamina

30% probability

If the pace becomes genuine early with Raby Mere or Breezethroughlife pressing The Wise Traveller.

The stronger gallop plays to the stamina strengths of Ilitch and Tropical Speed who can pick up the pieces late. Rialannah's proven staying power also comes into play over this extended trip.

Tropical SpeedIlitchRialannahAlan Bresil

Front Runner Dominates

15% probability

If The Wise Traveller bounces back to his Plumpton winning form and maintains a strong gallop throughout.

Despite his recent poor efforts, The Wise Traveller's class rating of 113 TS suggests he has the ability to wire the field. His 18lb weight advantage over the main contenders becomes crucial in the closing stages.

The Wise TravellerRaby MereAlan BresilBreezethroughlife

Collapse Creates Chaos

10% probability

If The Wise Traveller stops quickly or falls, leaving no clear pace angle in the race.

The race becomes a muddling affair where horses with tactical speed like Alan Bresil and Raby Mere can position prominently. Late-running types benefit from the slower overall time but need to be closer than usual.

Alan BresilRaby MereMahon FallsIlitch

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

If The Wise Traveller shows early signs of distress or reluctance, as he pulled up just seven days ago at Plumpton

WATCH

Watch for Tropical Speed's fitness after 137 days off, particularly how he handles the early pace having won last time making all

NOTE

Breezethroughlife's positioning in the first half-mile will be crucial as he needs to track close enough to The Wise Traveller without getting involved in early pace battles

NOTE

Monitor how aggressively Raby Mere and Mahon Falls position themselves, as both have shown prominent tendencies that could pressure the leader

WATCH

Keep an eye on Ilitch for any signs of bleeding given his last-start issue, which could affect his ability to finish strongly

3:10 — Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Mares' Handicap Chase (Queen Boudicca Mares' Chase Series Qualifier)

3m · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Gilbertina likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Moviddy led; the map had Gilbertina in front.

Fortunefavorsdbold won at 2.75 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Gilbertina

Prominent · 1

Fortunefavorsdbold

Midfield · 1

Ballygelly

Hold Up · 2

MoviddyAnnie Nail

Gilbertina is the only confirmed front runner in this small field and should get an uncontested lead with Fortunefavorsdbold likely to track her in second. The three hold-up horses (Moviddy, Annie Nail, Ballygelly) will sit back and rely on late challenges over the final half-mile. With no pace pressure early, Gilbertina can dictate terms and potentially steal a march, but the galloping nature of Fakenham's 3m trip typically sees races develop into proper staying tests. This setup favours prominent runners who can position close enough to the pace to strike when it matters, as the hold-up brigade may find too much ground to make up if Gilbertina gets first run.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Steals It

35% probability

If Gilbertina maintains a steady gallop and quickens before the hold-up horses can respond...

She can exploit her tactical advantage by getting first run on the turn for home while the closers are still organizing their challenges. Tom Midgley's 3-claim reduces her burden to an effective 164lbs, making her harder to peg back.

GilbertinaFortunefavorsdboldMoviddyAnnie Nail

Late Surge Succeeds

30% probability

If the early pace allows the hold-up horses to get into contention turning for home...

Moviddy's superior class (OR 97, RPR 103) can tell in a driving finish, especially given her previous course success. The 21-day break since her last run could have her primed for improvement.

MoviddyAnnie NailGilbertinaBallygelly

Course Specialist Strikes

20% probability

If Annie Nail reproduces her course-winning form from last spring...

Her dual course success (over fences and hurdles) gives her a significant edge, and the 7-day turnaround suggests connections are confident. At just 145lbs, she receives a huge weight advantage over the principals.

Annie NailBallygellyMoviddyGilbertina

Repeat Winner Returns

15% probability

If Ballygelly can replicate her victory in this exact race twelve months ago...

Her proven course and distance credentials are undeniable, but the 28-day layoff and inconsistent form create doubts. The good ground conditions match her previous winning conditions perfectly.

BallygellyFortunefavorsdboldAnnie NailMoviddy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Gilbertina gets an easy lead early - she could steal a decisive advantage before the closers get organized.

WATCH

Monitor Annie Nail's position turning for home given her dual course wins and significant weight advantage at just 145lbs.

WATCH

Check if Moviddy travels strongly in the back half - her superior RPR of 103 could prove decisive in a driving finish.

NOTE

Observe Fortunefavorsdbold's jumping rhythm early as any mistakes could end her chances of tracking the pace effectively.

NOTE

Watch Ballygelly for signs of her best form returning given her exact race victory here twelve months ago.

3:40 — Woodfordes Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m7½f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Natus Vincere to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dartmouth Rose led; the map had Natus Vincere in front.

Dartmouth Rose won at 2.10 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Natus Vincere

Prominent · 1

Honey I'm Good

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Dartmouth RoseSilver Gale

Natus Vincere will take this field along from the front with no natural pace rivals, setting a controlled gallop over this staying trip. Honey I'm Good may track in second from her prominent position, while Dartmouth Rose and Silver Gale will be held up in the rear of this small field. With Natus Vincere unopposed for the lead, he can dictate fractions and kick when ready, creating a tactical race where the front-runner holds all the cards. This race shape strongly favours the leader and any horse with tactical speed to respond to his move.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

55% probability

If Natus Vincere gets an uncontested lead and kicks clear approaching the last

With no pace pressure, he can time his effort perfectly and use his class advantage to pull clear late. The hold-up horses will struggle to make up ground against a controlled gallop.

Natus VincereHoney I'm GoodDartmouth RoseSilver Gale

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If Honey I'm Good travels smoothly tracking Natus Vincere and outfinishes him

Her handicap mark looks workable based on 2024 form and she can use her prominent style to stay close enough to strike. Eleanor Williams' 7lb claim becomes crucial in a tight finish.

Honey I'm GoodNatus VincereDartmouth RoseSilver Gale

Hold-Up Horse Late Surge

12% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong and Dartmouth Rose gets a perfect run from the rear

Her recent Southwell win showed career-best form and Jack Quinlan can time a late challenge if the leaders weaken. The 7lb rise remains a concern but class may tell.

Dartmouth RoseSilver GaleNatus VincereHoney I'm Good

Pace Collapse Benefits Closer

8% probability

If Natus Vincere goes too fast early trying to kill off the race

Silver Gale could benefit from a strongly-run race despite her poor qualifying form, as her third at Warwick over 3m2f suggests she needs a test of stamina. Gavin Sheehan knows how to produce a late run.

Silver GaleDartmouth RoseHoney I'm GoodNatus Vincere

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Natus Vincere if he gets loose on the front end - no natural pace rival to apply pressure until it's too late

WATCH

Honey I'm Good's jumping under pressure - needs to travel smoothly to use her prominent position effectively

NOTE

Silver Gale's early position - if held too far back she may not get home despite needing a strong pace

NOTE

Dartmouth Rose without cheekpieces - won last time in first-time headgear so removal could blunt effectiveness

WATCH

The pace through the middle section - if Natus Vincere goes too steady the hold-up horses get a better chance

4:10 — Woodfordes Supports Dereham Meeting Point Handicap Chase

3m5f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Prince Cleni likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Blackacre led; the map had Prince Cleni in front.

Esperti won at 2.25 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Prince Cleni

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 1

Blackacre

Hold Up · 2

Slaney OperaEsperti

Prince Cleni will dictate from the front in this small field, with his natural front-running style facing no pressure from three confirmed hold-up horses. The sustainable pace will allow all four to stay in touch through the early stages, but the lack of pace pressure means the race will develop into a tactical affair. The moderate gallop will suit horses with a strong finishing kick who can quicken off the steady tempo. This race shape clearly favours hold-up horses with tactical speed who can exploit the lack of early pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Hold-Up Battle

55% probability

If Prince Cleni sets uncontested fractions and the field remains bunched turning in

The steady pace allows all three closers to arrive with chances, favouring those with the best finishing kick and race fitness. Esperti and Slaney Opera can unleash their strongest weapons in the final half-mile.

EspertiSlaney OperaPrince CleniBlackacre

Front Runner Kicks Clear

25% probability

If Prince Cleni quickens approaching two out and gets first run on his rivals

The leader exploits his positional advantage when the closers are still getting organized, building a decisive advantage. His stamina reserves prove crucial over this extended trip.

Prince CleniEspertiSlaney OperaBlackacre

Blackacre Returns Fresh

12% probability

If Blackacre's 175-day break has recharged his batteries and he produces his Newton Abbot form

The longest-absent runner surprises with a bold late challenge, his freshness compensating for lack of recent race practice. His proven staying ability at this trip becomes the decisive factor.

BlackacreSlaney OperaEspertiPrince Cleni

Pace Collapses Completely

8% probability

If Prince Cleni goes too slowly and the race becomes a crawling sprint finish

The lack of genuine pace turns this into a messy scramble where positioning and luck matter more than ability. The horse who gets the clearest run in the final furlong prevails.

Prince CleniBlackacreEspertiSlaney Opera

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Prince Cleni's early fractions - if he goes too fast early he'll compromise his stamina reserves for the finish

WATCH

Blackacre's jumping fluency after his long layoff - any rustiness will end his chances in this small field

NOTE

How aggressively Sean Bowen positions Esperti - his tactical placement will determine if he can unleash his finishing kick

WATCH

Slaney Opera's settling ability behind the steady pace - if he pulls hard he'll negate his stamina advantage

NOTE

The pace through the middle section - if it remains pedestrian, the finish will be all about who produces the strongest surge

4:40 — Weatherbys Design & Print Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m · Good · CLS4 · 4 runners

Crackalackin likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sense Of Reason led; the map had Crackalackin in front.

Jamada won at 1.67 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Crackalackin

Prominent · 1

Somkiyr

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

JamadaSense Of Reason

Crackalackin will set the pace from the front with minimal pressure in this small field, likely accompanied by Somkiyr in the early stages before that one drops away. The sustainable tempo will suit those who can travel well behind the leader, with Jamada and Sense Of Reason both possessing the class to pick up the pieces. With only four runners and one clear pace-setter, this sets up perfectly for hold-up horses who can time their challenge, as the lack of early pace pressure means Crackalackin may have enough left to be caught by superior class late on.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Class Tells Late

55% probability

If the pace stays steady and the race becomes a sprint from the last

Jamada and Sense Of Reason can utilize their superior ratings to reel in Crackalackin's honest gallop. The hold-up pair have the tactical speed to capitalize when the leader weakens approaching the final flight.

JamadaSense Of ReasonCrackalackinSomkiyr

Wire-To-Wire Special

25% probability

If Crackalackin adapts immediately to hurdling and maintains his flat speed

His uncontested lead could prove decisive if he jumps cleanly and finds the switch from polytrack to turf hurdles seamless. The lack of early pace pressure preserves his stamina for a sustained kick.

CrackalackinJamadaSense Of ReasonSomkiyr

Somkiyr Gate-Crashes

12% probability

If the recent run has sharpened Somkiyr beyond his modest ratings suggest

He could press Crackalackin early then find extra reserves when the favorites make their moves. His prominent style keeps him in touch when the pace quickens.

SomkiyrJamadaCrackalackinSense Of Reason

Pace Collapse Drama

8% probability

If all runners wait too long and Crackalackin gets an easy lead throughout

The lack of pressure could see him steal a march that proves unpeggable despite his modest hurdling debut. Even classy hold-up horses need something to aim at.

CrackalackinSomkiyrJamadaSense Of Reason

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Crackalackin's jumping on hurdling debut - any mistakes could hand the race to the hold-up pair

WATCH

Monitor if Jamada gets too far back in a slowly-run race as he may need the tempo to lift

NOTE

Check if Somkiyr can press the pace early enough to set up the race for the closers

WATCH

Watch for Tom Cannon being too patient on Sense Of Reason in a race that may lack genuine pace

NOTE

Observe if the small field creates tactical complications for the hold-up horses

5:10 — Sandcliff Cromer "Grassroots" Maiden Hunters' Chase (For The Turner Trophy)

3m · Good · CLS5 · 4 runners

On Lovers Walk likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Chapelier led; the map had On Lovers Walk in front.

On Lovers Walk won at 2.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

On Lovers Walk

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 1

Chapelier

Hold Up · 2

Royal CaveMister Splash

On Lovers Walk will likely lead from the start given their prominent style and lack of other natural front runners in this small field. With Mister Splash, Chapelier and Royal Cave all holding up runners, On Lovers Walk should get an easy time in front and dictate terms throughout the 3m trip. The pace will be sustainable rather than searching, as no horse will apply early pressure to the leader. This race shape strongly favours the early leader and prominent runners, as the hold up horses will struggle to close from off the pace against a horse that's had such an easy lead.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Lovers Walk controls

45% probability

If On Lovers Walk gets the expected easy lead and maintains stamina

The leader dictates a steady gallop and kicks clear approaching the last fence when the hold up horses are still gathering momentum. Miss Micklewright can time her effort perfectly from the front.

On Lovers WalkMister Splash

Point experience tells

30% probability

If Mister Splash's recent point form translates under rules

The experienced pointer closes strongly in the final half mile, using superior fitness from recent Fakenham and Higham wins. Barlow's 3lb claim becomes crucial in a tight finish.

Mister SplashOn Lovers WalkRoyal Cave

Cave springs surprise

15% probability

If Royal Cave reproduces her shock Hutton Rudby point win

The 7-year-old stays on best of all in the final furlong, benefiting from the 7lb weight allowance and fresher legs than the older horses. Her recent winning form gives confidence.

Royal CaveMister SplashOn Lovers Walk

Pace collapses completely

10% probability

If On Lovers Walk stops quickly after a long absence

The race becomes a crawl and turns into a sprint finish where any of the hold up horses can prevail. Chapelier's veteran experience in tactical affairs could prove decisive despite poor recent form.

ChapelierMister SplashRoyal CaveOn Lovers Walk

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

On Lovers Walk could stop quickly in the straight after 242 days off the track

WATCH

Mister Splash may struggle to get competitive position from rear with inexperienced amateur jockey

NOTE

Royal Cave's 7lb weight advantage could prove significant if race becomes tactical

WATCH

Chapelier looks outclassed but veteran experience in small fields can never be dismissed

NOTE

Ground conditions remain consistent Good throughout the card favouring all runners equally

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 13 April 2026.

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