3:37

Archive›Ffos Las · 12 August 2026

Ffos Las

12 August 2026 · 6 races

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Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →
3:37 — Faucets The Bathroom Specialists Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)
6f · Good · CLS4 · 5 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
4:07 — Birthday Boy Leighton Happy 80th Handicap Stakes
5f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners
Lead contested: Miracleoftheandes v Sheik YerboutiFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Little Jaybee led; the map had Miracleoftheandes and Sheik Yerbouti in front.

Happier won at 5.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
MiracleoftheandesSheik Yerbouti
Prominent · 1
Portacloy
Midfield · 3
HappierRiver EdgeMiss Gold
Hold Up · 3
The Coffee PodLittle JaybeeDark Sun
Miracleoftheandes and Sheik Yerbouti are both confirmed front-runners and will contest the lead from the outset over this sharp 5f at Ffos Las, creating a genuinely contested early gallop rather than a soft-pedal opening. On Good turf with no pace concession, the two leaders are likely to push each other through the first two furlongs at an honest clip, which sets up a race that plays into the hands of horses who can sit just off the speed and pounce when the front two come back to them inside the final furlong. Sheik Yerbouti carries a fade flag and a 57-day absence, so Miracleoftheandes may assert for control, but the pace effect remains the same — a contested lead burning energy early. This shape most directly suits prominent-to-midfield types who travel smoothly in the slipstream rather than true closers, and the runners tagged as redistributed (Happier, River Edge, Miss Gold) are genuine hold-up horses pushed into the midfield bracket on the map because the field holds more hold-up types than the pace shape can naturally accommodate at the rear; of those three, River Edge has the most relevant form profile for this track and trip and is most likely to extract value from whatever gaps appear, though none of the three will get an ideal position.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Contested Lead, Prominent Wins
52% probability
If Miracleoftheandes and Sheik Yerbouti burn each other up at the front, a prominent racer sitting a length or two off the pace collects.
The two front-runners press each other through the first half of the race, and the horse who has tracked them without exerting herself swoops in the final 100 yards as the leaders empty.
PortacloyDark SunHappierRiver Edge
B
Front Runner Asserts Fully
22% probability
If Miracleoftheandes shakes off Sheik Yerbouti early and dictates a controlled gallop from the front.
With Sheik Yerbouti failing to sustain a challenge — as his fade flag and lay-off suggest is possible — Miracleoftheandes gets a soft lead and simply gallops rivals into the ground on this flat, unforgiving 5f.
MiracleoftheandesPortacloyDark SunThe Coffee Pod
C
Pace Collapse, Closers Benefit
17% probability
If the contested pace is fierce enough to detonate both front-runners before the final furlong, leaving a gap for the backmarkers.
Dark Sun, who has won over this course and distance on Good ground, is the best-credentialed closer in the field and would be the primary beneficiary, looming late as the pace implodes.
Dark SunThe Coffee PodRiver EdgeLittle Jaybee
D
Hold-Up Types Deliver Late
9% probability
If the race fractures chaotically and genuine closers thread through from the rear in the dying strides.
This shape depends on Happier, River Edge, or Miss Gold racing in their true hold-up role, but all three are redistributed in the pace map and unlikely to get that clean position; the scenario is discounted accordingly, with River Edge's strong Good-ground 5f course record the only credible hook.
River EdgeHappierMiss GoldDark Sun

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHMiracleoftheand…Sheik YerboutiPortacloytHappierRiver EdgepMiss GoldtbThe Coffee PodhLittle JaybeeDark Sunp5. Miracleoftheandes6. Sheik Yerbouti1. Portacloy3. Happier4. River Edge7. Miss Gold8. The Coffee Pod9. Little Jaybee2. Dark Sun
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Sheik Yerbouti's 57-day absence combined with his fade-in-finish flag means watch him in the opening furlong — if he is slow away or immediately outpaced by Miracleoftheandes, the assumed pace contest collapses into a unilateral lead scenario.
KEY
Portacloy needs to secure his prominent position from stall draw before the pace heats up; if he gets crowded or shuffled back in the first two furlongs, he loses the race shape that suits him most.
WATCH
Dark Sun's hold-up style is the most reliable closer in the race, but on a flat 5f at Ffos Las there is limited room to make up ground — watch whether the early pace is truly honest enough to bring the rear runners into play at all.
WATCH
River Edge has the best course-trip-going alignment of the hold-up group, but as a redistributed runner forced out of its natural rearward position, watch whether Gina Mangan can find a tactical slot mid-race or whether the horse simply gets shuffled into an uncomfortable no-man's-land.
NOTE
The cluster of three redistributed hold-up types (Happier, River Edge, Miss Gold) all seeking a similar position means there may be interference or checking in midfield as the pace develops — watch the first two furlongs for positional scrimmaging between this group.
4:37 — Meyer Timber EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
7½f · Good · CLS3 · 7 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
5:10 — Dandara Homes Handicap Stakes
1m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners
Nammos likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Big Moonrise led; the map had Nammos in front.

Oviedo won at 7.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Nammos
Prominent · 1
Rival
Midfield · 5
OviedoKing Of The DanceBig MoonriseUncle AlbertChange Of Fortune
Hold Up · 3
Ivat GhiaAngel's CallKev
Nammos is the sole confirmed front-runner in a field of ten, and with no confirmed pace rival to press him, he is likely to coast along at a sustainable gallop on Good ground over the Ffos Las mile. The bulk of the field — Oviedo, King Of The Dance, Big Moonrise, Uncle Albert, and Change Of Fortune — are genuine hold-up types redistributed into midfield on the map because there are simply too many closers to place at the back, meaning several of them will be forced to race closer to the pace than they would naturally choose. With Nammos uncontested and likely to control a steady tempo, the race shape strongly favours a horse who can race prominently or in a tracking position just behind the leader — setting up a stamina-based grind to the line that punishes those forced wide late from deep in the pack. The tactical verdict is clear: prominent racers who can travel close to Nammos and pounce turning in hold the structural advantage; deep closers face a more difficult task against a pace that is unlikely to be truly searching.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Nammos Controls, Rival Pounces
58% probability
If Nammos sets a steady, uncontested lead and the pace remains moderate throughout the mile.
Nammos dictates every yard from the front at a sustainable gallop, and Rival, tracking prominently in second or third, has the perfect position to deliver a measured challenge in the final two furlongs. This shape suits horses close enough to the pace to benefit from a leader who sets an honest but not punishing tempo, with the winner emerging from the front two-thirds of the field.
RivalNammosAngel's CallKing Of The Dance
B
Hold-Up Horse Weaves Through
20% probability
If the steady pace compresses the field and a genuine hold-up specialist finds a gap late.
Angel's Call, who won over this course and distance on Good ground, would be the chief beneficiary if a bunched mid-race procession creates enough daylight in the straight for a late charge. Ivat Ghia, who placed second over 8f on Good, also profiles as a horse that could close from the rear if the finishing straight opens up sufficiently.
Angel's CallIvat GhiaKing Of The DanceChange Of Fortune
C
Pace Quickens, Nammos Outstayed
14% probability
If one of the redistributed hold-up types manages to secure a closer position and the pace picks up sharply in the final quarter-mile.
King Of The Dance, who has placed four times in similar company and holds course form, would be best placed among the redistributed runners to exploit a mid-race acceleration given his consistent proximity to the pace in recent runs. However, the STYLE_FIT discounts on several in this scenario lower its overall likelihood, as many of these horses are not naturally suited to securing the tracking role this shape demands.
King Of The DanceRivalAngel's CallIvat Ghia
D
Chaos — Pace Falls Apart
8% probability
If Nammos sets an unusually slow tempo and the race degenerates into a sprint for home with little early gallop.
In this scenario, the finishing speed of a lightly-raced type like Big Moonrise or Ivat Ghia could surprise the field if class handicappers are caught flat-footed in the scrimmage to the line. However, Big Moonrise is returning from 197 days off and has not won, making this the least probable outcome in a race where Nammos is expected to at least ensure a controlled pace.
Big MoonriseIvat GhiaChange Of FortuneUncle Albert

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHNammosRivalOviedoKing Of The Dan…pBig MoonriseUncle AlberttChange Of Fortu…pIvat GhiahAngel's CallpKev2. Nammos1. Rival5. Oviedo4. King Of The Dance6. Big Moonrise7. Uncle Albert8. Change Of Fortune9. Ivat Ghia3. Angel's Call10. Kev
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Rival is positioned to be the chief beneficiary of Nammos's uncontested lead — watch whether Muscutt slots him directly into second or third at the break, as that position is the pivot point for the most likely race shape.
WATCH
King Of The Dance (hg:p, tongue-tie) has the best similar-going placing record among the redistributed hold-up types — if Murphy manages to secure a tracking berth rather than being forced wide late, he could outrun his redistribution discount.
WATCH
The field contains at least five genuine hold-up horses all attempting to find positions near the rear — watch the first two furlongs to see if there is any traffic bunching or shuffling for position that could compromise several runners' races simultaneously.
NOTE
Big Moonrise returns from 197 days off with no form over a mile or on Good going — monitor his pre-race market moves as any significant support from the David Evans yard would be the only meaningful reason to take him seriously on this occasion.
NOTE
Angel's Call won over this course and trip on Good — if the pace is slow enough to bring hold-up horses into the finish, she has the most relevant course-and-distance credentials of any closer in the race and warrants monitoring in the betting.
5:40 — Golwg Gwendraeth "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Won A Flat Race In 2026)
1m · Good · HCAP · 6 runners
The Stone Power likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Next Guilian led; the map had The Stone Power in front.

The Stone Power won at 4.33 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
The Stone Power
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 3
Port LouisJohn HarrisonBrave New World
Hold Up · 2
Next GuilianRoyal Bodyguard
The Stone Power is the sole confirmed front-runner in a field of six and faces no meaningful pace pressure, giving Rhys Clutterbuck a free rein to dictate terms at whatever tempo suits his mount on Good ground over one mile at Ffos Las. With Port Louis, John Harrison, and Brave New World all genuine hold-up types who have been redistributed to midfield on the pace map — simply because the field cannot accommodate that many closers at the rear — the true shape of this race is a single horse controlling affairs with a loose-leader advantage throughout. That uncontested lead on a flat track and honest Good ground strongly favours those who can sit close enough to The Stone Power to avoid conceding too much early ground; pure closers will need a searching gallop that is unlikely to materialise. This race shape decisively favours prominent and close-tracking runners who can hold a position just behind the leader and pounce in the straight, rather than true hold-up horses whose finishing kicks depend on a contested early pace that simply will not be supplied.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Stone Power Controls Cleanly
67% probability
If The Stone Power goes unchallenged in front and sets a moderate, sustainable gallop that saps the finishing kick of hold-up types.
The Stone Power bowls along uncontested, conserving energy into the home straight, and the proximity riders who track him within two lengths are ideally placed to challenge; pure closers find themselves with too much ground to make up against a horse that has never been stretched.
The Stone PowerRoyal BodyguardNext GuilianJohn Harrison
B
Close Tracker Swoops Late
16% probability
If a horse sitting second or third tracks The Stone Power to the turn and outstays him in the final furlong on Good ground.
Royal Bodyguard or Next Guilian, positioned just off the pace, benefits as The Stone Power ties up inside the final furlong; Good ground form for both makes this credible, and Daniel Muscutt's positional awareness suits the stalking role.
Royal BodyguardNext GuilianJohn HarrisonPort Louis
C
Hold-Up Horses Get Lucky Break
10% probability
If The Stone Power sets a surprisingly strong early pace that brings hold-up runners into play at the two-furlong pole.
Port Louis or John Harrison, despite being mapped out of their natural rearward position, benefit if an unexpected injection of tempo opens the race up; both carry history of finishing into the frame on Good ground, though their redistribution means this requires an atypical scenario to unfold.
Port LouisJohn HarrisonRoyal BodyguardNext Guilian
D
Upset From the Handicap Basement
7% probability
If Brave New World, freshened after 41 days off and aided by Ashley Lewis's claim, improves sharply on its flat debut form.
Ed Walker's operation has strong recent strike rate at 9/43 over the 14-day window, and stepping up from 7f to a mile could unlock hidden stamina in a lightly-raced three-year-old; however, three consecutive finishing positions of 7th and a lack of Good-ground experience make this the longest of the plausible outcomes.
Brave New WorldNext GuilianJohn HarrisonPort Louis

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHThe Stone PowerPort LouispJohn HarrisonBrave New WorldNext GuilianRoyal Bodyguard1. The Stone Power5. Port Louis4. John Harrison6. Brave New World3. Next Guilian2. Royal Bodyguard
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch The Stone Power's early stride pattern — if Rhys Clutterbuck eases out from the gate and is immediately unchallenged, the race is effectively controlled from the front and all challengers must account for the free lead.
WATCH
Royal Bodyguard's 54-day absence is the primary fitness query; if Daniel Muscutt is instructed to ride conservatively on a horse that needs race-fitness, it may be too far back to reel in The Stone Power in a slow-run mile.
WATCH
Port Louis has a documented tendency to fade in the closing stages and is being ridden by a 7lb claimer — if it attempts to sit closer than its natural style dictates, an early fade in the straight is a realistic outcome that could compromise other runners' paths.
NOTE
John Harrison and Brave New World are both running out of their natural positional roles; if either rider tries to force a prominent early position, it could create a brief injection of pace in the first two furlongs that would reshape the race for late finishers.
NOTE
Brave New World's step up from 7f to 1m on Good turf for Ed Walker is worth monitoring in the market — any significant support for a horse with three seventh-place finishes would suggest connections have seen improvement at home ahead of this entry.
6:10 — Dress For The Occasions Handicap Stakes
1m4f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners
Belle Of Kt likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Meet Me In Meraki led; the map had Belle Of Kt in front.

Belle Of Kt won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Belle Of Kt
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 3
Noble GraceClaytons KolatonicA Daughters Love
Hold Up · 2
Meet Me In MerakiBulldog Spirit
Belle Of Kt is the sole confirmed front-runner in this six-runner 1m4f handicap and, with no genuine rival to press her from the gates, she will control the tempo entirely from her own counsel on Good ground at Ffos Las. The pace she sets is likely to be honest but comfortable — a mare who has won twice recently and clearly relishes dictating — making this a race run to suit those who can race close to the tempo rather than those forced to make up ground from the rear. The field holds considerably more hold-up types than the race shape can accommodate at the back: Noble Grace, A Daughters Love, and Claytons Kolatonic are all genuine hold-up horses redistributed into midfield slots on the map, meaning at least some of them will find themselves racing even further back than their natural position suggests. This shape — a single uncontested leader controlling a moderate gallop on flat, Good turf over 1m4f — strongly favours horses able to race prominently or in close order behind the pace, as the finish is likely to be decided by those who have tracked Belle Of Kt and can sustain into the straight without needing to manufacture momentum from the rear.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Belle Controls, Close Trackers Win
68% probability
If Belle Of Kt bowls along uncontested and the few horses able to sit close behind her (Meet Me In Meraki, Bulldog Spirit) track within striking range throughout.
Belle Of Kt sets a manageable pace, the closers just off her shoulder travel smoothly and have enough in reserve to challenge over the final two furlongs; the winner is almost certainly among those who raced in the first three or four throughout.
Meet Me In MerakiBulldog SpiritBelle Of KtNoble Grace
B
Late Swooper Lands Blow
16% probability
If the pace is genuinely strong enough to crack the leader and one of the true hold-up horses (Noble Grace, A Daughters Love) manages to thread through late.
A sustained gallop stretches the field and creates a proper end-to-end race, giving a horse with a late kick a clear run up the straight; Noble Grace, a proven winner on Good ground over this trip, is best positioned of the hold-up brigade.
Noble GraceA Daughters LoveMeet Me In MerakiBulldog Spirit
C
Belle Of Kt Leads And Wins
11% probability
If the pace Belle sets proves just slow enough that she conserves energy and the pursuing pack is unable to muster a serious challenge entering the straight.
Belle Of Kt's recent winning form at 1m2f-1m4f and her willingness to make her own running suggests she can get away from the field if allowed to dictate entirely unchallenged; Millie Wonnacott (5) riding a confident front-running race would be the key execution.
Belle Of KtNoble GraceMeet Me In MerakiBulldog Spirit
D
Pace Collapse, Chaos Late
5% probability
If Belle Of Kt is ridden too aggressively early and fades sharply inside the final two furlongs, leaving the race wide open for whichever hold-up horse has settled best.
This is a low-probability scenario given Belle's recent strong form and her handler's evident front-running intent; Claytons Kolatonic, stepping up sharply in trip from 8f on Good ground, is the wild card if others fail to sustain.
Claytons KolatonicA Daughters LoveNoble GraceMeet Me In Meraki

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHBelle Of KtNoble GraceClaytons Kolato…A Daughters LoveMeet Me In Mera…Bulldog Spirittp3. Belle Of Kt4. Noble Grace5. Claytons Kolatonic6. A Daughters Love1. Meet Me In Meraki2. Bulldog Spirit
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Belle Of Kt is allowed a completely uncontested lead — if Wonnacott is given a hands-and-heels ride in front, the margin she builds by the home straight could prove decisive and should not be underestimated.
WATCH
Noble Grace, A Daughters Love, and Claytons Kolatonic are all genuine hold-up horses packed into the rear half; watch for traffic complications in the straight if all three are angling for the same gap behind Belle Of Kt.
WATCH
A Daughters Love is only 8 days since her last run and has shown a habit of making errors when asked to win — if Darragh Keenan cannot get a clear passage from the back, her late run may arrive too late on a flat, straightforward track.
NOTE
Claytons Kolatonic steps from 8f to 1m4f with 58 days off — monitor his early behaviour in the market; any significant drifting in price would suggest connections themselves are uncertain about the trip and fitness combination.
NOTE
Bulldog Spirit's trainer Bernard Llewellyn has just one winner from four runners in the last 14 days — note whether Muscutt is instructed to ride him closer than usual, as a revised tactical approach in a small field could alter this horse's place prospects markedly.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 12 August 2026.

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