Archive›Ffos Las · 21 April 2026

Ffos Las

21 April 2026 · 7 races

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4:38 — South West Rail Solutions Ltd Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m4f · Soft · NOV · 12 runners

Lead contested: Kings Champion v RathkennyFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Rathkenny led, as the map showed.

Crystal Island won at 2.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Kings ChampionRathkenny

Prominent · 5

Uptown DandyCedar CreekFairye ForthAxel BleueMalinaero

Midfield · 1

Yellow Card

Hold Up · 4

Crystal IslandHome Made HeroDylans MoonPappariche

Kings Champion and Rathkenny will dispute the early lead in this 12-runner field, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set a solid gallop on the soft ground over 2m4f. Five horses want prominent positions (Fairye Forth, Uptown Dandy, Axel Bleue, Malinaero, Cedar Creek) creating congestion and traffic dangers approaching the business end. The hold-up quartet (Crystal Island, Home Made Hero, Dylans Moon, Yellow Card) will need luck in running as the prominent brigade bunches up turning for home. This race shape strongly favours the front-runners and early prominent racers who can secure clear sailing, while hold-up horses face a tactical nightmare in a field this size.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runners Dominate

45% probability

If Kings Champion and Rathkenny maintain strong gallop without faltering

The honest pace stretches the field and eliminates traffic problems, allowing the leaders to use their stamina on testing ground. Hold-up horses get too much to do as the prominent bunch stays competitive throughout.

Kings ChampionRathkennyUptown DandyFairye Forth

Prominent Surge

35% probability

If the five prominent runners time their moves perfectly through the congestion

The leaders tire slightly allowing the prominent brigade to sweep past, with Uptown Dandy's recent C&D win and Axel Bleue's return from absence paying dividends. Traffic clears just enough for well-positioned runners to strike.

Uptown DandyAxel BleueFairye ForthCedar Creek

Hold-Up Surprise

12% probability

If the early pace collapses and gaps appear for the hold-up horses

Crystal Island and Home Made Hero get the perfect setup as the prominent congestion creates openings for late runners to exploit their superior class. The Henderson/De Boinville combination capitalizes on tactical chaos ahead.

Crystal IslandHome Made HeroDylans MoonKings Champion

Chaos Finish

8% probability

If multiple fallers or serious interference disrupts the prominent positions

The race becomes a lottery with outsiders like Pappariche or Yellow Card benefiting from the elimination of better-fancied rivals ahead. Long-priced finishers emerge from the wreckage of a messy contest.

PapparicheYellow CardMalinaeroDylans Moon

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kings Champion and Rathkenny setting unsustainable pace that eliminates both front-runners and sets up chaos finish

WATCH

Traffic jam developing 2-3 out as five prominent runners converge simultaneously on the leaders

WATCH

Uptown Dandy repeating C&D winning tactics from heavy ground experience last month

NOTE

Crystal Island getting clear run from De Boinville's expert hold-up ride through the inevitable congestion

NOTE

Cedar Creek's hurdles debut after bumper success but 475-day absence making fitness a complete lottery

5:12 — SWRSL - Dan Boulton Novices' Handicap Hurdle

3m · Soft · HCAP · 13 runners

Air Apparent likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Getaway King and Air Apparent led, as the map showed.

Fanny Moon won at 29.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Air Apparent

Prominent · 4

Washington ParksSmile BackKastellionGetaway King

Midfield · 4

GlenmuickFanny MoonDessie HazeEaststone Buck's

Hold Up · 4

Hidden TargetGolden PrinceMoon Over ClyroStiletto

Air Apparent looks the most obvious front runner with his prominent style and scope for improvement, likely setting an uncontested lead early. Smile Back, Kastellion and Getaway King should press forward in the prominent positions, but none appear keen to force a strong gallop over this 3m trip on soft ground. The pace will be steady rather than searching, with the real race beginning from 3f out when the hold-up horses start making their moves. This moderate early pace strongly favours the hold-up horses who can conserve energy and deliver late kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If the pace stays steady as expected with Air Apparent allowed an easy lead

The patient riders will have plenty left in the tank for sustained finishes, while the early leaders fade from 2f out. Hold-up specialists like Hidden Target, Stiletto and Golden Prince can time their runs perfectly.

Hidden TargetStilettoGolden PrinceDessie Haze

Prominent horses fight out

20% probability

If Smile Back or Getaway King decide to press Air Apparent and inject more pace

The stronger gallop will stretch the field and prevent the hold-up horses from closing effectively. Air Apparent's stamina and improvement curve could see him hold on under pressure.

Air ApparentGetaway KingSmile BackKastellion

Late pace collapses

10% probability

If the leaders go too slowly and bunch the field turning for home

A cavalry charge develops with multiple horses hitting the front simultaneously in a sprint finish. The horse with the best turn of foot rather than staying power prevails.

Dessie HazeFanny MoonEaststone Buck'sGolden Prince

Outsider shock emerges

5% probability

If Washington Parks shows his old ability returning from the year-long break

His fresh legs and proven class could see him outrun his odds despite the layoff concerns. The patient approach with Tom Bellamy could pay dividends if he's retained ability.

Washington ParksGlenmuickMoon Over ClyroEaststone Buck's

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Air Apparent could get an uncontested lead if no other horse wants to go with him early

WATCH

Washington Parks at huge odds after year off but Tom Bellamy booking and tongue-tie addition suggests connections expect improvement

NOTE

Hidden Target and Golden Prince both stepping up significantly in trip but breeding suggests they should handle it

WATCH

Dessie Haze carries a 6lb penalty for his recent Chepstow win which could prove costly in this competitive field

NOTE

Several horses wearing headgear for first time including cheekpieces on Moon Over Clyro and Glenmuick

5:42 — South West Rail Solutions Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m3½f · Soft · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Jeu d'Opale v Calli BlackHISTORIC

How it ran

Calli Black led, as the map showed.

Latenightrumble won at 9.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

5 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Jeu d'OpaleCalli Black

Prominent · 2

Hold Up La ColmineGaelic Rambler

Midfield · 2

LatenightrumbleBrulure Noire

Hold Up · 3

BowensparkJaccoursLermoos Legend

Jeu d'Opale and Calli Black will contest the early lead, with both showing clear front-running tendencies despite Calli Black's extended absence. The honest gallop they create should set up a genuine staying test over this 2m3½f trip on soft ground. Gaelic Rambler and Hold Up La Colmine will track closely behind the leaders, while the hold-up brigade including Bowenspark, Brulure Noire, and Lermoos Legend will need the pace to collapse late. The combination of two pace-setters and testing ground clearly favours the prominent racers and those with tactical speed who can position close to the pace without getting embroiled in the early battle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Racers Prosper

45% probability

If the two leaders set a solid but not suicidal pace through the early stages.

The honest gallop suits horses positioned in the slipstream who can strike approaching the final fence when the leaders weaken. Gaelic Rambler and Hold Up La Colmine are perfectly placed to capitalize on their tactical positioning.

Gaelic RamblerHold Up La ColmineJaccoursLatenightrumble

Front Runner Stays Strong

30% probability

If Jeu d'Opale or Calli Black gets an uncontested lead and controls the tempo.

The leader can dictate fractions and save enough for a sustained finish, with their natural front-running style proving decisive on testing ground. Late challengers struggle to close on the honest pace.

Jeu d'OpaleCalli BlackGaelic RamblerHold Up La Colmine

Hold-Up Horses Charge

15% probability

If the early pace becomes too strong between the two front-runners.

The leaders exhaust each other in battle, creating the perfect setup for patient hold-up horses to sweep past in the final furlong. Bowenspark and Brulure Noire benefit from their patient tactics paying dividends.

BowensparkBrulure NoireLermoos LegendLatenightrumble

Course Specialist Returns

10% probability

If Lermoos Legend overcomes his long absence and rediscovers his Ffos Las form.

The 11-year-old's intimate knowledge of this track compensates for fitness concerns, allowing him to time his challenge perfectly. His five previous wins here demonstrate the value of course experience over recent form.

Lermoos LegendBrulure NoireGaelic RamblerJaccours

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Jeu d'Opale may not handle the soft ground despite front-running style, having won on heavy but struggling on softer surfaces previously

WATCH

Lermoos Legend's 189-day absence could prove too much to overcome despite his excellent course record at Ffos Las

NOTE

Watch for early scrimmaging between Jeu d'Opale and Calli Black that could set up the race for prominent runners

WATCH

Hold Up La Colmine needs the new cheekpieces to spark significant improvement after underwhelming chase efforts

NOTE

Brulure Noire's course experience and weight drop could compensate for recent poor form figures

6:12 — SWRSL - Alfie Boulton Handicap Hurdle

2m · Soft · HCAP · 8 runners

Chillhi likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Corner Forward led; the map had Chillhi in front.

Trust House won at 1.83 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Chillhi

Prominent · 1

Asta La Vista

Midfield · 4

CaelanAeroplane BlondeEastern ShoresCorner Forward

Hold Up · 2

Trust HouseThankyouandplease

Chillhi is the only confirmed front runner in this small field and will dictate terms from the start. With no obvious pace pressure, he can set sustainable fractions and control the race from flag to finish. The majority of rivals (Caelan, Thankyouandplease, Eastern Shores, Trust House, Aeroplane Blonde, Corner Forward) are hold-up horses who will be bunched together off the moderate pace. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those capable of tracking the leader, as the hold-up horses will face a traffic nightmare when trying to make their moves simultaneously.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Chillhi Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Chillhi produces anything close to his best form after the 187-day layoff.

He sets uncontested fractions and kicks clear turning for home, with only the prominent runners able to respond effectively. The mass of hold-up horses struggle to organize their challenges behind the steady pace.

ChillhiAsta La VistaTrust HouseThankyouandplease

Hold-Up Traffic Jam

30% probability

If the soft ground produces an even slower pace than expected from Chillhi.

The bunched field of hold-up horses creates a wall of traffic in the home straight, allowing one with racing room to emerge late. Caelan or Trust House could benefit from superior class if finding clear runs.

Trust HouseCaelanThankyouandpleaseEastern Shores

Chillhi Folds Early

15% probability

If Chillhi's fitness tells after six months off and he weakens before the final furlong.

His early collapse opens up the race for the prominent Asta La Vista to inherit the lead, while the pick of the hold-up horses makes ground. The pace scenario becomes more conventional with normal acceleration patterns.

Asta La VistaTrust HouseEastern ShoresCaelan

Pace Duel Emerges

10% probability

If Asta La Vista or another runner decides to challenge Chillhi for the early lead.

The unexpected pace battle sets up a perfect scenario for the best of the hold-up horses to sweep past tired leaders. Trust House and Caelan would be ideally positioned to capitalize on the stronger gallop.

Trust HouseCaelanThankyouandpleaseEastern Shores

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Chillhi's fitness after 187 days off for new trainer Barry John Murphy - if he's wound up tight, he controls this race completely

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems at the final turn with six hold-up horses bunched together behind a likely modest pace

NOTE

Asta La Vista's early positioning will be crucial - if he tracks Chillhi closely, he's perfectly placed to strike

WATCH

Amateur jockey Mr Jack Stenhouse on Thankyouandplease in a competitive handicap after Friday's exertions

NOTE

Trust House and Caelan need the pace to develop properly in the final half-mile to showcase their class advantage

6:42 — South West Rail Solutions Ltd Handicap Chase

3m · Soft · HCAP · 13 runners

Ahanaglogh to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mythe Bridge led; the map had Ahanaglogh in front.

Esperti won at 4.50 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ahanaglogh

Prominent · 5

Tommys CharmBataillonMythe BridgeJohn W CreasyValirann Gold

Midfield · 3

Martalmix'jacHenry Box BrownStadmallen

Hold Up · 4

Swift JetI Ain't Your MateEspertiGingerbred

Ahanaglogh will set the pace from the front as the only confirmed leader in the field, with Martalmix'jac (who won from the front last time) potentially joining him early. The prominent runners Tommys Charm, Mythe Bridge, Bataillon, and Valirann Gold will track behind, but none are natural pace pressers. With soft ground over 3 miles and no genuine pace pressure on Ahanaglogh, this sets up as a steady gallop that will turn into a stamina test. This race shape strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can secure good positions early, as the lack of early pace will create a bunched field turning for home where track position becomes crucial.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If Ahanaglogh gets an easy lead with minimal early pressure from the prominent pack.

The 7-year-old can dictate terms completely and kick clear when the pace lifts, utilizing his low mileage and untapped 3-mile potential. Front runners with stamina reserves thrive when they control the tempo from start to finish.

AhanagloghMartalmix'jacEspertiValirann Gold

Prominent Pack Strikes

30% probability

If the prominent runners successfully track Ahanaglogh's steady pace and pounce in the home straight.

Mythe Bridge and Bataillon can use their consistent placing record to time their challenges perfectly as the leader tires. Horses with tactical speed who race prominently benefit from being in the right place as the race develops.

Mythe BridgeBataillionTommys CharmValirann Gold

Hold Up Surge

15% probability

If the steady early pace creates a completely false tempo and sets up a sprint finish.

Esperti and Swift Jet can unleash their finishing kicks from the back of the pack as the leaders come back to them. Back markers benefit when early pace is too slow and they have ground to make up.

EspertiHenry Box BrownSwift JetI Ain't Your Mate

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If Ahanaglogh stops quickly and none of the prominent runners can sustain their effort up the hill.

The race becomes a staying test where any horse with stamina can come from anywhere in the field. This chaotic scenario suits horses who stay strongly regardless of early positioning.

Valirann GoldStadmallenJohn W CreasyMartalmix'jac

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Ahanaglogh gets pressured early by Martalmix'jac as neither has the class to sustain a genuine pace battle

WATCH

Watch Henry Box Brown and I Ain't Your Mate with inexperienced riders (5lb and conditional) in a tactical 3-mile chase

NOTE

Watch Esperti's jumping after his 8-day turnaround from Ffos Las course win

WATCH

Watch Swift Jet's confidence after falling in his first two chase starts this winter

NOTE

Watch Valirann Gold's consistency issues as he produced a freak performance at Fontwell but has been unreliable throughout his career

7:12 — SWRSL - Dan Ward Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

2m4f · Soft · HCAP · 10 runners

Largy Panic likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ferando led; the map had Largy Panic in front.

Lemon Leaf won at 6.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Largy Panic

Prominent · 3

Lemon LeafYourcardismarkedKing Berry

Midfield · 3

FerandoMind HunterLancier Des Obeaux

Hold Up · 3

Midnight GingerKellebelleCould Be You

Largy Panic will take this field along at a steady gallop from the front, with Lemon Leaf, King Berry and Yourcardismarked tracking in prominent positions behind. The pace should be honest but not frantic over this extended 2m4f trip on testing soft ground, allowing the field to stay reasonably compact through the early stages. With several hold-up horses including Midnight Ginger, Could Be You, Kellebelle and Mind Hunter likely to be held back for late runs, the race will develop into a typical staying hurdle where stamina becomes crucial. This honest pace setup strongly favours prominent racers who can stay close to the pace without over-exerting, as they'll have first run on the hold-up horses when the serious racing begins.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Racers Dominate

65% probability

If the pace stays honest but testing throughout on the soft ground

Largy Panic and Lemon Leaf can dictate terms from forward positions, with their stamina telling over this trip as the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground in the testing conditions. The prominent racers get first run approaching the final flight and have enough left to repel late challenges.

Largy PanicLemon LeafYourcardismarkedKing Berry

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

20% probability

If the early pace is steady enough to allow a strong finishing kick

Kellebelle or Midnight Ginger can be produced with a well-timed late run to sweep past tiring leaders in the final furlong. Their trainers' patient tactics pay off as they find the gaps when it matters most.

KellebelleMidnight GingerCould Be YouMind Hunter

Pace Collapses Late

10% probability

If Largy Panic sets too strong an early gallop and burns out

The leaders come back dramatically in the final half-mile, allowing a mid-division runner like Yourcardismarked to pick up the pieces. This scenario suits horses with tactical speed who can bridge the gap between pace-setters and hold-up horses.

YourcardismarkedKing BerryLemon LeafKellebelle

Complete Tactical Mess

5% probability

If jockeys get their positioning badly wrong and the race becomes stop-start

The small field gets bunched up with poor positioning decisions, creating a sprint finish that suits whichever horse gets the clearest run. This chaotic finish could throw up any result from horses that normally wouldn't threaten.

Could Be YouMind HunterFerandoLancier Des Obeaux

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Largy Panic could set too strong a pace if not settled early, potentially compromising his chances despite being the most reliable front-runner

WATCH

Mind Hunter's fitness after 155 days off combined with new headgear suggests connections are concerned about his wellbeing and recent form

WATCH

Could Be You is completely unproven under rules and making significant changes on his first start for new connections

NOTE

Kellebelle's claimer Beau Morgan needs to time her challenge perfectly from the back as she has shown a tendency to need strong riding

NOTE

Yourcardismarked is stepping up significantly in trip for the first time, which could either unlock improvement or expose stamina limitations

7:42 — SWRSL - Dan Ward Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

2m4f · Soft · HCAP · 9 runners

Spanish Dancer likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lion Of The Desert led; the map had Spanish Dancer in front.

Lion Of The Desert won at 6.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Spanish Dancer

Prominent · 1

Royal Rhythm

Midfield · 4

Forest SpiritWhatmakes Honey BManceroJour d'Orage

Hold Up · 3

Lion Of The DesertCumhachtNeeps And Tatties

Spanish Dancer will likely lead or share early duties with Royal Rhythm, both prominent runners who should ensure a reasonable gallop without it becoming punishing. The seven hold-up horses will sit behind this modest pace, with Cumhacht, Neeps And Tatties, and Lion Of The Desert likely tracking closest. This sets up perfectly for the patient hold-up horses to close late on the testing ground, with the prominent pair vulnerable if they don't get first run. The race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can stay and finish, with the soft ground amplifying stamina demands over the extended 2m4f trip.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

60% probability

If Spanish Dancer and Royal Rhythm set a steady pace that becomes sitting duck tempo

The patient closers get perfect positioning behind the modest gallop and the soft ground plays to their stamina strengths over those who've done the donkey work. Cumhacht and Neeps And Tatties are best positioned to capitalize with their proven late-running styles.

CumhachtNeeps And TattiesManceroLion Of The Desert

Front Pair Battle Through

25% probability

If Spanish Dancer or Royal Rhythm get away with a soft lead and aren't seriously challenged until late

The lack of early pressure allows one of the prominent pair to conserve energy and resist the inevitable late surge from behind. Spanish Dancer's step up in trip could unlock improvement while Royal Rhythm has the class edge.

Spanish DancerRoyal RhythmCumhachtLion Of The Desert

Pace Collapse Finish

10% probability

If the early pace becomes crawling slow with Spanish Dancer unopposed

The race becomes a sprint finish where those with natural speed rather than stamina prevail, negating the ground and distance advantages. This would particularly suit any horse with residual flat speed who can quicken.

ManceroForest SpiritSpanish DancerRoyal Rhythm

Complete Pace Meltdown

5% probability

If both Spanish Dancer and Royal Rhythm disappoint early leaving no clear leader

Chaos ensues with multiple horses trying to fill the pace void, creating stop-start fractions that suit nothing and nobody. The race becomes a lottery where any horse finding clear running could prevail.

Lion Of The DesertWhatmakes Honey BJour d'OrageForest Spirit

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Spanish Dancer could be vulnerable if pressed early by Royal Rhythm, turning the race into stamina test that favours closers

WATCH

Royal Rhythm's 163-day absence and pulled-up last effort makes him unreliable despite the class edge he holds

NOTE

Cumhacht needs to overcome maiden tag but comes here with strongest recent form and perfectly suited running style

NOTE

The pace battle between Spanish Dancer and Royal Rhythm will determine whether hold-up horses get ideal setup

WATCH

Lion Of The Desert showed stamina limitations over 3m last time, needs to prove this shorter trip suits better

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 21 April 2026.

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