Archive›Ffos Las · 5 May 2026

Ffos Las

5 May 2026 · 6 races

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2:48 — Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Handicap Hurdle

2m · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

And She Was to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Model Approach led; the map had And She Was in front.

Model Approach won at 19.00 — led, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

And She Was

Prominent · 3

Uncle RemusCollanisiPrince Rhinegold

Midfield · 5

Peace MotivatorKates ChoiceWalk In The WestModel ApproachBowling Shane

Hold Up · 4

Forever PenywernGet The ValueBerkshire SmudgePenn Avenue

And She Was appears the only confirmed front runner in this field, with Uncle Remus, Collanisi and Prince Rhinegold likely to track her in the early stages. With minimal pace pressure, And She Was can dictate terms and set a sustainable gallop, though her pulled-up effort last time raises reliability concerns. The lack of genuine speed means this will develop into a tactical affair where positioning becomes crucial approaching the final flight. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and patient hold-up horses who can time their challenges, as the moderate early pace will leave plenty in reserve for a competitive finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Hold-Up Finish

45% probability

If And She Was sets uncontested fractions and the pace stays steady throughout

The moderate gallop allows hold-up horses to conserve energy and unleash finishing kicks. Penn Avenue, Forever Penywern and Berkshire Smudge benefit from patient rides and strong staying power over this trip.

Penn AvenueForever PenywernBerkshire SmudgeGet The Value

Prominent Tracker Success

30% probability

If Uncle Remus or Prince Rhinegold track the leader closely and strike approaching the last

The prominent horses avoid the risk of traffic problems while staying close enough to capitalise when the pace lifts. Uncle Remus uses his bumper-winning stamina while Prince Rhinegold draws on recent good form.

Uncle RemusPrince RhinegoldCollanisiWalk In The West

Pace Collapse Scramble

15% probability

If And She Was compounds or fades badly, leaving no clear leader turning in

The race becomes a messy tactical affair with multiple challengers hitting the front simultaneously. This favours the most battle-hardened handicappers who can quicken in a tight finish.

Get The ValueKates ChoiceModel ApproachForever Penywern

Wire-To-Wire Shock

10% probability

If And She Was improves dramatically from her pulled-up effort and maintains her lead throughout

The mare gets an uncontested lead and finds enough stamina to repel all challengers despite her poor recent form. Alan King's three winners from 21 runners suggests stable form is patchy but not impossible.

And She WasWalk In The WestUncle RemusPrince Rhinegold

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

And She Was could compound early if her fitness issues from the pulled-up run persist, leaving no pace in the race

WATCH

Walk In The West tends to fade in the finish so watch for early signs of weakening approaching the final flight

NOTE

Uncle Remus returns after 186 days off so monitor for any signs of rustiness in the early stages

WATCH

Penn Avenue switches from soft to good ground with an inexperienced claimer, watch market confidence levels

NOTE

Prince Rhinegold carries bottom weight but has regular off days, so early body language will be telling

3:18 — Mickey Bowen 51 Winners Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m4f · Good · NOV · 6 runners

Idaho Fire likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Getaway Vic led; the map had Idaho Fire in front.

Fairye Forth won at 1.30 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Idaho Fire

Prominent · 1

Getaway Vic

Midfield · 2

Fairye ForthYellow Card

Hold Up · 2

MariniereKind Intention

Idaho Fire looks the only natural early pace angle in this small field, likely to lead uncontested from the start. Fairye Forth and Getaway Vic will track prominently behind, but neither appears keen to press hard early. The moderate early gallop will allow hold-up horses Kind Intention and Mariniere to stay closer than usual, with Yellow Card likely trailing. This sets up a sustained drive from halfway where stamina and tactical positioning matter more than pure speed - favouring prominent trackers who can quicken off the steady pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Steady Pace Suits Class

55% probability

If Idaho Fire leads without pressure and the pace stays moderate throughout

The rhythm allows Fairye Forth to settle perfectly and unleash his superior class rating in the straight. His C&D form two weeks ago gives him a clear edge when the race develops into a staying test rather than speed contest.

Fairye ForthKind IntentionGetaway VicIdaho Fire

Front Runner Dominates

25% probability

If Idaho Fire gets an easy lead and has enough left to resist late challenges

The uncontested leader builds a crucial advantage turning for home and his stamina holds up. Paul Nicholls' charge proves his bumper promise was genuine and outbattles the closers.

Idaho FireGetaway VicFairye ForthKind Intention

Hold Up Horse Strikes

12% probability

If the pace becomes truly crawling and turns into a sprint finish

Kind Intention gets the perfect setup for his debut over hurdles, tracking the slow pace perfectly. His bumper form behind smart horses like Storming George proves decisive when he unleashes his turn of foot late.

Kind IntentionMariniereFairye ForthIdaho Fire

Layoff Returns Fire

8% probability

If Getaway Vic's 390-day absence proves no hindrance and his bumper form translates

The Mickey Bowen-trained gelding shakes off the rust quickly and his 2-3 bumper record shows true. James Bowen gets him into the perfect stalking position to strike approaching the last.

Getaway VicFairye ForthKind IntentionIdaho Fire

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Idaho Fire stopping quickly again if pressured - has disappointed when asked serious questions in his last two hurdle starts

WATCH

Getaway Vic showing signs of ring rustiness early given his 390-day absence since last competitive outing

WATCH

Mariniere fading tamely in the straight as her recent form suggests stamina limitations at this trip

NOTE

Kind Intention jumping fluently on hurdle debut as bumper horses can struggle with the obstacles first time

NOTE

Fairye Forth travelling as smoothly as he did when second at this C&D two weeks ago on similar going

3:48 — James Bowen Ton Up Novices' Handicap Hurdle

3m · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Parliamo likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Times Are Green led; the map had Parliamo in front.

Parliamo won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Parliamo

Prominent · 2

ConstantinianHillwalk

Midfield · 3

Jaja JimmyStar TurnColby Mayfield

Hold Up · 3

Times Are GreenLes's Destiny StarDessie Haze

Parliamo represents the most obvious pace-setter with his prominent style and stamina-laden pedigree, likely to establish a measured tempo over this 3-mile trip. With only one confirmed front-runner and several hold-up horses including Times Are Green, Les's Destiny Star, and Star Turn, this sets up as a steady gallop that will quicken from the second-last hurdle. The lack of early pace pressure means the gallop may be too sedate for the prominent runners to assert, creating a tactical affair that builds late. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up brigade who can produce finishing kicks from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the early pace is modest and the race builds from 2 out

The patient tactics of the hold-up horses prove perfect as they sweep past tiring leaders in the final half-mile. The lack of early pressure allows closers to conserve energy for decisive late strikes.

Les's Destiny StarStar TurnTimes Are GreenDessie Haze

Prominent Runners Strike

25% probability

If Parliamo and the prominent duo kick clear turning in

Constantinian and Hillwalk capitalise on their forward positions when the pace quickens, getting first run on the field. Their class and proximity to the pace proves decisive against horses with ground to make up.

ConstantinianHillwalkParliamoLes's Destiny Star

Stamina Test Emerges

12% probability

If the gallop becomes truly searching throughout

The strong 3-mile pace finds out several runners as only those with proven stamina reserves can sustain their effort. Parliamo's pedigree and Times Are Green's staying potential become crucial factors in a war of attrition.

ParliamoTimes Are GreenConstantinianDessie Haze

Tactical Stalemate

8% probability

If the pace collapses completely into a crawl

The race becomes a sprint finish where pure speed trumps stamina, catching several hold-up horses flat-footed. Those with tactical speed and good positioning benefit from the sudden injection of pace.

HillwalkConstantinianStar TurnColby Mayfield

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Parliamo may struggle if amateur jockey Darren Andrews gets caught in tactical battle when pace quickens

WATCH

Times Are Green has failed to complete last two starts since handicapping, completion remains key question

NOTE

Star Turn wears first-time visor and showed improvement when switched to Mickey Bowen stable last time

WATCH

Several hold-up horses including Les's Destiny Star and Dessie Haze could get caught wide on the turn

NOTE

Hillwalk drops back to hurdles after mixed results but has proven 3-mile stamina from pointing days

4:18 — Sean Bowen Champion Jockey Handicap Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

3m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Buckna likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Buckna led, as the map showed.

Galop De Chasse won at 19.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

4 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Buckna

Prominent · 3

The Boola BossImperial AlexCopshill Lad

Midfield · 3

Hell HoundArrycanBalkardy

Hold Up · 3

Fairlawn FlyerGalop De ChasseKaruma Grey

Buckna is the confirmed front runner and will set a sustainable pace without early pressure, as most of the field comprises prominent or hold-up horses. The Boola Boss, Hell Hound, Imperial Alex, Copshill Lad and Arrycan will track behind in the prominent positions, while Karuma Grey, Galop De Chasse, Fairlawn Flyer and Balkardy will be held up further back. With only one natural leader and plenty of patient riders, this sets up as a slowly-run affair that will become a sprint from the final fence. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can quicken late, as they'll get the strong gallop they need in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

60% probability

If the pace stays slow until the home turn as expected

The patient tactics of the hold-up brigade will be perfectly suited as they can unleash their finishing kicks. Karuma Grey and Fairlawn Flyer are best positioned to capitalise on this tactical advantage.

Karuma GreyFairlawn FlyerGalop De ChasseBalkardy

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If one of the prominent horses can get first run on the leaders

The Boola Boss or Copshill Lad could exploit their forward position to steal a march before the hold-up horses can respond. Their recent form suggests they have the class to make it count.

The Boola BossCopshill LadHell HoundImperial Alex

Buckna Stays On

10% probability

If the pace-setter can dictate throughout without serious challenge

Buckna's uncontested lead could prove decisive if he can maintain his gallop to the line. His proven stamina over this trip gives him an outside chance of wire-to-wire success.

BucknaHell HoundThe Boola BossCopshill Lad

Pace Collapse Chaos

5% probability

If the pace becomes pedestrian and no one can quicken decisively

The race becomes a muddled affair where any horse with a pulse of speed can win. This randomness could favour an outsider who gets the right splits at the right time.

Imperial AlexArrycanGalop De ChasseBalkardy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Buckna could get too easy a lead if the field allows him to dawdle completely unchallenged in front

WATCH

The Boola Boss has race fitness advantage and proven form edge over Buckna from their recent Chepstow meeting

WATCH

Karuma Grey's 41-day break and amateur jockey Elizabeth Gale could prove costly in a competitive handicap

NOTE

Hell Hound's recent chase breakthrough suggests he's still improving and the step up in trip should suit

NOTE

Fairlawn Flyer's 149-day absence is a major concern despite his hold-up style fitting the likely race shape

4:48 — Gwyn Brace Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Alba Crus to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lion Of The Desert led; the map had Alba Crus in front.

Lion Of The Desert won at 4.50 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Alba Crus

Prominent · 4

Play On CourtThis SwayKylenoe DancerAlbert Park

Midfield · 3

ManceroMakinbeconMind Hunter

Hold Up · 4

Lion Of The DesertBells Of UffordDublin To MilanJukebox Joker

Alba Crus will lead from the start with no other confirmed front-runners in this field, allowing him to dictate an uncontested pace through the early stages. This Sway, Albert Park, Kylenoe Dancer and Play On Court will sit prominently behind the leader, while the majority including Lion Of The Desert, Bells Of Ufford, Mind Hunter and Mancero will track from mid-division or further back. With Alba Crus likely to set a steady tempo without pressure, the pace will build gradually, setting up a finish where horses need to find their effort from the back half of the field. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, as the sustainable early pace will leave plenty in reserve for those coming from behind.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Alba Crus sets an uncontested lead allowing the pace to remain steady through halfway

The sustainable gallop will suit patient tactics perfectly, with Lion Of The Desert and Mancero ideally placed to mount late challenges having both shown strong finishing kicks recently. Those held up off the steady pace will have plenty left for the closing stages.

Lion Of The DesertManceloBells Of UffordMind Hunter

Prominent Runners Strike

25% probability

If the prominent horses can maintain close order behind Alba Crus without being asked for too much effort early

This Sway and Kylenoe Dancer will be perfectly positioned to challenge from the second flight, with their proven ability to travel strongly in behind pace-setters. The moderate early gallop will leave them with enough in reserve to quicken when needed.

This SwayKylenoe DancerAlbert ParkPlay On Court

Front Runner Holds On

12% probability

If Alba Crus maintains a strong gallop from the front and the field fails to mount a serious challenge

The lack of other pace-pressers could allow Alba Crus to dictate completely, maintaining enough in reserve to resist late challengers despite his long absence. His previous good ground success suggests he can handle this assignment if getting his own way in front.

Alba CrusThis SwayLion Of The DesertKylenoe Dancer

Mid-Division Surprise

8% probability

If the pace becomes very steady early allowing mid-field runners to stay closer than usual to the leaders

Horses like Dublin To Milan or Jukebox Joker could benefit from improved positioning if the early pace is crawling, though both have significant form concerns. The tactical advantage might outweigh their ability deficits if they can get into contention earlier than expected.

Jukebox JokerDublin To MilanMind HunterMakinbecon

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lion Of The Desert could dominate if his course and distance success translates with only a small penalty to overcome

WATCH

Alba Crus returning after 110 days may not have the fitness to sustain his front-running tactics throughout

WATCH

This Sway and Kylenoe Dancer both carry prominent-running credentials that could prosper if staying close to the uncontested leader

NOTE

Several horses trying new headgear including Albert Park, Dublin To Milan and Makinbecon could show improved performance

NOTE

The good ground conditions may not suit Bells Of Ufford who has shown better form on softer surfaces previously

5:22 — Adept GRP Cabinets Handicap Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)

2m5½f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Lead contested: L'Empire Vert v Rangatira JackHISTORIC

How it ran

Boston Joe led; the map had L'Empire Vert and Rangatira Jack in front.

Loki's Mischief won at 3.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

L'Empire VertRangatira Jack

Prominent · 3

Boston JoeJack's A LegendOf Corse I Can

Midfield · 3

BahtiyarRadharc Na SlaineSawpit Samantha

Hold Up · 3

Loki's MischiefJack's JuryLelant

L'Empire Vert and Rangatira Jack will dispute the early lead, with L'Empire Vert's superior class likely seeing him dictate terms through the first half of the race. Both front-runners have shown they can sustain their efforts, so expect an honest gallop throughout rather than a crawl. The sustained pace will stretch the field and expose any fitness doubts, particularly affecting the hold-up horses returning from breaks like Radharc Na Slaine and Of Corse I Can. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those with proven stamina who can track the pace and deliver when it counts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Gallop Benefits Class

45% probability

If L'Empire Vert and Rangatira Jack maintain a strong pace throughout

The honest gallop will suit the classier animals who can travel well in behind and have the ability to quicken when required. Horses like Loki's Mischief and Boston Joe with their higher ratings will thrive when the race becomes a test of class over the final half-mile.

Loki's MischiefBoston JoeJack's A LegendLelant

Front-Runners Collapse Late

30% probability

If the early pace proves too strong for both L'Empire Vert and Rangatira Jack

The sustained early gallop will take its toll on the leaders, allowing the better-handicapped hold-up horses to sweep past in the final furlong. Bahtiyar's recent form and light weight make him perfectly positioned to capitalise on this scenario.

BahtiyarRadharc Na SlaineJack's JuryLelant

L'Empire Vert Wire-to-Wire

15% probability

If L'Empire Vert can shake off Rangatira Jack and control the pace solo

His class advantage and Brendan Powell's tactical nous allow him to dictate ideal fractions before finding extra when challenged. The prominent runners tracking him will struggle to match his sustained kick up the hill.

L'Empire VertJack's A LegendBoston JoeLoki's Mischief

Fitness Questions Prove Costly

10% probability

If the returning horses from breaks fail to handle the sustained pace

Radharc Na Slaine's 187-day absence and Of Corse I Can's 130-day layoff become telling factors as the race develops into a stamina test. The race-fit horses who have run recently will prove superior in the closing stages.

Boston JoeBahtiyarJack's JuryL'Empire Vert

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Rangatira Jack's recent poor form despite market support last time could see him fold quickly if pressured early by L'Empire Vert

WATCH

Radharc Na Slaine's 187-day absence makes his fitness a major question mark despite his previous course success at Stratford

NOTE

Bahtiyar showed good form at Warwick just 12 days ago and the quick turnaround suggests connections are confident about his condition

WATCH

Jack's A Legend is making only his third chase start and his Newton Abbot mistake at the second-last fence highlights jumping concerns

NOTE

Boston Joe's consistency in similar company makes him a reliable each-way option despite Rebecca Curtis's recent poor strike rate

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 5 May 2026.

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