Archive›Fontwell · 10 June 2026

Fontwell

10 June 2026 · 6 races

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2:30 — Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m3f · Good · NOV · 6 runners

Lead contested: Frenati v Viscountess NelsonFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Viscountess Nelson led, as the map showed.

Evening Tess won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

FrenatiViscountess Nelson

Prominent · 1

Elated

Midfield · 1

Maria Mes

Hold Up · 2

My Lady d'ExEvening Tess

Viscountess Nelson and Frenati will set the early gallop as the confirmed front runners, with Viscountess Nelson likely to take the lead given her stronger recent form after Frenati's fall last time. With only six runners and two keen leaders, this should produce a genuine gallop that will test stamina over the 2m3f trip. Elated will track the pace in third, while Evening Tess and the two hurdles debutants will need to make ground from behind. This honest pace strongly favours horses that can travel prominently and have the class to sustain their effort, benefiting front-running and prominent types over hold-up horses who may find too much to do.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

50% probability

If Viscountess Nelson leads and dictates fractions without serious pressure from Frenati

Her class advantage (OR 107, won last time) allows her to control the race and kick clear approaching the final flight. The honest gallop suits her proven stamina and Bowen can time her effort perfectly.

Viscountess NelsonElatedEvening TessFrenati

Pace Collapses Early

25% probability

If Frenati repeats her falling tendency or refuses to race aggressively after her Newton Abbot fall

Viscountess Nelson gets an easy lead but lacks the pressure to produce her best, allowing Elated or Evening Tess to close late with their superior RPRs. The tactical pace becomes a sprint finish that favours horses with turn of foot.

ElatedEvening TessViscountess NelsonMy Lady d'Ex

Dual Pace Battle

20% probability

If both Viscountess Nelson and Frenati engage in a sustained speed duel through the early and middle stages

Their mutual pace pressure creates opportunities for the closers, with Evening Tess perfectly positioned to benefit from her progressive profile and strong recent second. Harry Skelton can time his challenge as the leaders weaken.

Evening TessElatedMy Lady d'ExViscountess Nelson

Frenati Redemption Story

5% probability

If Frenati jumps cleanly and shows the form that won her Stratford bumper to challenge Viscountess Nelson throughout

Her front-running style creates the strongest gallop, but her class from that bumper win allows her to sustain the effort better than the favourite. Twiston-Davies rides a confident race to make amends for the recent fall.

FrenatiViscountess NelsonEvening TessElated

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Frenati's jumping at the first flight after falling there two weeks ago at Newton Abbot

WATCH

How aggressively Viscountess Nelson breaks from the stalls given her front-running style needs early position

NOTE

Whether Evening Tess can travel kindly in behind given the likely honest gallop will test her finishing kick

WATCH

Elated's ability to handle the step up to 2m3f as she's only raced over 2m in both hurdles starts

NOTE

Maria Mes showing any market moves given her 161-day absence and hurdles debut against stronger opposition

3:00 — Sun Racing The Home Of Racing Handicap Chase (Arc Summer Chase Series Qualifier)

2m3½f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Doctor Glide likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

A Little Something led; the map had Doctor Glide in front.

A Little Something won at 2.62 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Doctor Glide

Prominent · 1

Atreides

Midfield · 2

Footloose ManA Little Something

Hold Up · 2

Gore PointWellwillya

Doctor Glide will take this field along as the sole confirmed front runner, with Atreides, A Little Something and Footloose Man likely to press him early from prominent positions. With four horses wanting to race handily, the pace could become contested in the opening mile, particularly if the prominent runners don't settle behind Doctor Glide. This tactical squeeze should set up a true test of stamina over the final half-mile, creating a race shape that strongly favours the hold-up horses who can avoid the early pace battle and deliver late challenges.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the prominent runners press Doctor Glide early and create genuine pace pressure

The early pace battle will compromise the front division, allowing the patient riders to pick up the pieces in the home straight. Gore Point and Wellwillya benefit most from this tactical scenario with their hold-up styles.

Gore PointWellwillyaA Little SomethingAtreides

Footloose Man's Track Mastery

25% probability

If Footloose Man can secure an ideal stalking position behind the early leaders

His four previous wins at Fontwell give him a crucial edge, and he can time his challenge perfectly from a prominent but not pressured position. The consistent good ground matches his preferences exactly.

Footloose ManAtreidesA Little SomethingGore Point

Sustained Pace Suits

12% probability

If Doctor Glide is allowed an easy lead with the prominent horses settling behind him

The lack of early pressure allows the front division to maintain their advantage, with the race becoming a test of class rather than stamina. Doctor Glide's recent point wins suggest improved form.

Doctor GlideA Little SomethingAtreidesFootloose Man

Atreides Bounces Back

8% probability

If the visor continues to transform Atreides and his 19-day break has sharpened him up

His December course and distance win in heavy ground proves his effectiveness here, and the good ground won't inconvenience him. The prominent style works if he can avoid the early pace squeeze.

AtreidesGore PointFootloose ManA Little Something

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Doctor Glide's amateur jockey could misjudge the pace given the early pressure from prominent runners

WATCH

Gore Point's 195-day absence may show early despite his superior class credentials

NOTE

Atreides needs the visor to have the same transformative effect as his December wins

WATCH

Footloose Man's non-runner status despite being well-suited to the conditions and course

NOTE

Wellwillya's hold-up style requires the early pace to develop as expected to be competitive

3:30 — Celebrating The Life Of Trevor Schooley Handicap Hurdle

2m1½f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Sixty Plus to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Almuhit won at 1.22. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 2 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Sixty Plus

Prominent · 2

AlmuhitSun Joy

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Break PointGranny Hawkins

Sixty Plus is the only confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from the start, setting a sustainable pace without early pressure. Sun Joy and Almuhit will track prominently behind the leader, while Granny Hawkins and Break Point are likely to be held up at the rear in a slowly-run affair. With minimal early pace pressure, the race will develop into a tactical contest where horses need to be produced with well-timed challenges. This shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can deliver late kicks, as the lack of early pace will leave plenty in the tank for the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the pace stays steady throughout and no prominent tracker applies early pressure

The lack of pace allows hold-up horses to conserve energy and unleash devastating finishing kicks. Granny Hawkins and Break Point benefit most from this tactical setup with their patient styles.

Granny HawkinsBreak PointSun JoyAlmuhit

Prominent Trackers Strike

30% probability

If Sun Joy or Almuhit apply pressure to Sixty Plus turning for home

The race develops into a battle between the front three, with the prominent horses having positional advantage. Their forward positions prove decisive when the hold-up horses leave too much to do.

Sun JoyAlmuhitGranny HawkinsSixty Plus

Wire-To-Wire Upset

12% probability

If Sixty Plus maintains his gallop and the field fails to close the gap

The leader's class advantage tells as he controls every call without serious pressure until too late. His four-timer completing form at Worcester suggests he can repeat when conditions suit.

Sixty PlusGranny HawkinsSun JoyAlmuhit

Complete Pace Collapse

3% probability

If the early pace becomes crawling and the race turns into a sprint finish

The race becomes a lottery where positioning at the last hurdle matters more than running style. Any horse close enough at the business end can capitalize on the chaotic finish.

Break PointAlmuhitGranny HawkinsSun Joy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Sixty Plus could steal this if he gets an easy lead and the field allows him too much rope turning for home

WATCH

Sun Joy's fitness after that poor Fontwell effort last month, where he was beaten 17 lengths following a six-month break

WATCH

Granny Hawkins' jumping under pressure if she has to be produced earlier than ideal due to pace dynamics

NOTE

Break Point's hurdles readiness on stable debut for Luke Dace after flat racing focus recently

NOTE

Almuhit's hurdles sharpness returning to obstacles after summer flat racing campaign for current trainer

4:00 — Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Chase (Arc Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

3m2f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Special John likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Special John led, as the map showed.

Gata Ban won at 2.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Special John

Prominent · 1

Ballyfinn

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Gata BanEdgewell

Special John and Ballyfinn both possess prominent racing styles and will likely dispute the early lead in this small field. With no confirmed front-runners beyond Special John, the pace should be sustainable rather than cut-throat, allowing the leaders to dictate terms throughout the 3m2f journey. The lack of genuine pace pressure means horses that can position handily and stay strong will have a significant advantage over hold-up performers like Edgewell and Gata Ban, who may struggle to make up ground in a slowly-run race. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can position close to the pace and have the stamina to sustain their effort.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Special John Sustains Momentum

45% probability

If Special John can replicate his career-best Bangor form and handle the step up in class

His prominent style suits the likely pace scenario and Matt Griffiths can dictate terms from the front without serious pressure. The 25-day break since his impressive win keeps him fresh for this step up in grade.

Special JohnBallyfinnGata BanEdgewell

Ballyfinn Returns to Winning Form

30% probability

If Ballyfinn bounces back from his disappointing effort eight days after his course and distance victory

Anthony Honeyball's charge proved he handles these conditions when winning over C&D and his prominent style allows him to track Special John before challenging. The extra weight from his recent win may not stop him if returning to that level.

BallyfinnSpecial JohnGata BanEdgewell

Gata Ban Benefits from Fitness

15% probability

If the 4-day turnaround since her Worcester victory brings peak fitness rather than fatigue

Her recent course form is solid and the quick return could have her spot-on, though her hold-up style faces the tactical disadvantage of a likely modest pace. Neil Mulholland's 2/14 record suggests he times his runners well.

Gata BanSpecial JohnBallyfinnEdgewell

Edgewell Redeems Recent Form

10% probability

If Edgewell can rediscover his Hereford spring form and overcome his Warwick pull-up

His hold-up style needs a strong pace to be effective, which seems unlikely here given the small field composition. The 21-day break may have refreshed him but his recent form trend is concerning.

EdgewellGata BanSpecial JohnBallyfinn

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Special John's jumping under pressure if challenged - any mistakes could prove costly in this small field

WATCH

Ballyfinn's attitude after his flat effort following his course win - needs to show the same enthusiasm

WATCH

Edgewell's willingness to race after pulling up at Warwick - early signs of travel will reveal his wellbeing

NOTE

Gata Ban's position turning for home given her hold-up style may need the leaders to weaken significantly

NOTE

The pace through the middle stages - if too slow it will heavily favor the prominent pair over the hold-up horses

4:30 — Jewson Handicap Hurdle

2m3f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Dunaden Island to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kylenoe Dancer led; the map had Dunaden Island in front.

Easter Icon won at 5.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Dunaden Island

Prominent · 3

Easter IconA TickatickatimingKylenoe Dancer

Midfield · 3

Galactic JackMaestrowCharles Morin

Hold Up · 3

Kates ChoiceOur Brother JohnMistress Fox

Dunaden Island will take this race by the scruff of the neck from the start, with Tickatickatiming, Easter Icon and Kylenoe Dancer settling just behind in a prominent group. The pace will be steady rather than searching, as Dunaden Island has no genuine pace pressure and can dictate terms through the early stages. This will create a patient, building gallop that suits the hold-up horses perfectly, as the large contingent of backmarkers including Galactic Jack, Kates Choice, Mistress Fox and Charles Morin will get the patient ride they need before launching late challenges. The sustainable pace and weak early speed strongly favours hold-up horses who can time their runs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If Dunaden Island sets an uncontested lead and the pace stays modest through halfway

The patient gallop allows the backmarkers to conserve energy and unleash telling late runs, with the hold-up brigade sweeping past the tiring leaders. Galactic Jack, Kates Choice, Mistress Fox and Charles Morin all benefit from the tactical setup.

Mistress FoxGalactic JackKates ChoiceCharles Morin

Prominent tracker prevails

20% probability

If the pace quickens approaching the final mile and the hold-up horses get caught flat-footed

Easter Icon or Kylenoe Dancer can quicken from their forward positions while the backmarkers struggle for room or momentum. The prominent horses strike the ideal balance between position and finishing kick.

Easter IconKylenoe DancerTickatickatimingMistress Fox

Front-runner steals it

10% probability

If Dunaden Island gets such an easy time that he retains enough stamina to resist late challenges

The leader builds an unassailable advantage through fractions that are too slow for the field to reel him back in time. His front-running style pays dividends when the tactics fall perfectly into place.

Dunaden IslandEaster IconKylenoe DancerMistress Fox

Complete pace collapse

5% probability

If the early pace is so pedestrian that it becomes a sprint finish where class tells

The race turns into a pure speed test over the final two furlongs, favouring horses with the highest ratings regardless of running style. Form horses with proven class edge out the outsiders in a bunched finish.

Easter IconKates ChoiceMistress FoxGalactic Jack

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Dunaden Island could get such an easy lead with inexperienced claimer Corcoran that he steals a march

WATCH

Easter Icon's 5lb claimer Ryder may struggle with pace judgement if the race develops into tactical battle

NOTE

Kylenoe Dancer needed his comeback run and could improve significantly for that racecourse gallop

WATCH

Our Brother John brings unknown point-to-point form but has been absent from rules racing since 2023

NOTE

Charles Morin showed improved stamina last time and this trip extension could unlock more improvement

5:00 — Cathedral Wealth Ahead Of The Field Handicap Hurdle

3m2f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Jack The Savage likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Jack The Savage led, as the map showed.

Jack The Savage won at 5.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Jack The Savage

Prominent · 1

Fravanco

Midfield · 1

Good Girl Rachel

Hold Up · 2

Muskerry RockAlan Bresil

Jack The Savage will lead from the front with Fravanco and Good Girl Rachel tracking in prominent positions through the early stages. The modest field size and single confirmed front runner suggests a steady, uncontested gallop over this staying trip on good ground. Alan Bresil and Muskerry Rock will be held up at the back, looking to time their challenges late. This pace setup strongly favours prominent racers who can stay close to Jack The Savage without having to make up significant ground in the finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner Wins

45% probability

If Jack The Savage gets an easy lead and dictates terms throughout

Sean Bowen can control the tempo from the front, saving enough for a sustained kick when the closers challenge. The lack of pace pressure allows the leader to retain stamina reserves for the demanding finish.

Jack The SavageFravancoGood Girl RachelMuskerry Rock

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If the pace is steady but one of the prominent runners has more left in the tank

Fravanco or Good Girl Rachel can stalk Jack The Savage comfortably before unleashing a telling burst in the straight. Their positioning advantage proves decisive over the hold-up horses who face too much ground to make up.

FravancoGood Girl RachelJack The SavageMuskerry Rock

Late Closer Surges

15% probability

If the early pace is genuinely pedestrian and sets up a sprint finish

Muskerry Rock uses Harry Skelton's timing to perfection, sweeping past tiring leaders in the final furlong. Alan Bresil could also benefit if the race becomes a pure stamina test with a genuine kick required.

Muskerry RockAlan BresilJack The SavageFravanco

Pace Collapse Benefit

10% probability

If Jack The Savage stops quickly and the prominent trackers also fade

The moderate early gallop leaves all the front-runners vulnerable to any horse with a finishing kick. Good Girl Rachel's light weight or Alan Bresil's hold-up style could prove advantageous in a slowly-run affair.

Good Girl RachelAlan BresilMuskerry RockFravanco

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Muskerry Rock's finishing kick may not materialise given his noted tendency to fade in the final stages despite recent win

WATCH

Jack The Savage faces first-time partnership with Sean Bowen after 78-day layoff, communication could be crucial in controlling the pace

NOTE

Fravanco showed clear improvement over this course and distance last time, suggesting the extended trip suits better than shorter hurdle races

WATCH

Alan Bresil has shown little over hurdles but recent second at Huntingdon suggests some current form, though trainer record is concerning

NOTE

Good Girl Rachel's 147lbs represents a significant weight advantage in a race where the top weight carries 168lbs

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 10 June 2026.

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