Archive›Fontwell · 14 May 2026

Fontwell

14 May 2026 · 6 races

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5:34 — Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m1½f · Good · CLS4 · 10 runners

Lead contested: Secret Des Lune v Hidden FortuneFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Flash Bardot and Diamond White led; the map had Secret Des Lune and Hidden Fortune in front.

Hidden Fortune won at 4.50 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Secret Des LuneHidden Fortune

Prominent · 4

WhodunitSorgeanDiamond WhiteShutfrontdoor

Midfield · 1

Queens Up

Hold Up · 3

Saffron BelleFlash BardotRock Sensation

Secret Des Lune and Hidden Fortune will contest the early lead, with Secret Des Lune's three front-running efforts suggesting she'll force the pace. Hidden Fortune's point-to-point win and two bumper seconds show she can lead strongly, creating a legitimate speed duel. Four horses (Sorgean, Shutfrontdoor, Whodunit, Diamond White) want prominent positions behind them, guaranteeing traffic problems at the business end. This honest gallop followed by congestion 2-3 out will favour hold-up horses who can avoid the scramble and find clear runs late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Speed Duel Benefits Closers

45% probability

If Secret Des Lune and Hidden Fortune go too fast early and burn each other out

The pace collapse allows hold-up runners to sweep past the weakening leaders and prominent racers caught in traffic. Rock Sensation and Flash Bardot can time their runs perfectly from the back.

Rock SensationFlash BardotSaffron BelleDiamond White

Front Runner Survives

30% probability

If Hidden Fortune settles better than Secret Des Lune and kicks clear 3 out

Her point-to-point stamina tells as the pace moderates, allowing her to build an unassailable lead before the closers can respond. The prominent brigade get shuffled back in the straight.

Hidden FortuneSecret Des LuneShutfrontdoorSorgean

Prominent Escape Traffic

15% probability

If Sorgean or Shutfrontdoor get first run on the leaders before the pack closes

One prominent runner times their move perfectly to avoid the inevitable squeeze, capitalizing on their tactical position. Harry Fry's 2/3 record suggests Sorgean gets the perfect ride.

SorgeanShutfrontdoorDiamond WhiteWhodunit

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If both leaders stop quickly and the prominent horses also weaken from the early pace

The race becomes a staying test where any horse with stamina reserves can win, regardless of early position. Queens Up's longer trip experience could prove decisive despite her light rating.

Queens UpRock SensationFlash BardotDiamond White

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Secret Des Lune and Hidden Fortune could go too fast early, setting up a pace collapse that changes the entire complexion

WATCH

Sorgean, Shutfrontdoor, Whodunit and Diamond White all wanting prominent positions creates inevitable traffic problems 2-3 out

WATCH

Rock Sensation returning after 144 days could need the run despite her superior ratings on paper

NOTE

Freddie Mitchell's 3lb claim on Shutfrontdoor helps offset the Moore stable's poor recent form

NOTE

Queens Up is unproven at this trip but her light weight suggests connections expect improvement

6:10 — KSR Lighting Handicap Hurdle

2m3f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Motazzen to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Belgarum led; the map had Motazzen in front.

Belgarum won at 23.00 — led, where the map had it raced midfield.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Motazzen

Prominent · 3

OakleySun JoyHiconic

Midfield · 2

BelgarumKhalk'eau Spigao

Hold Up · 2

Bel OmbreTaritino

Motazzen will take the field along at a steady clip from the front, with Belgarum, Sun Joy, Oakley and Hiconic content to track in behind. The lack of genuine pace pressure means Motazzen can dictate terms without being harried early, creating a tactical advantage for the leader. Hold-up horses Bel Ombre, Taritino and Khalk'eau Spigao will need the race to develop into a strong gallop to be competitive. This tactical setup clearly favours prominent runners and the leader, as they can position handy without expending energy fighting for position.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Motazzen Controls Tempo

55% probability

If Motazzen is allowed to dictate a comfortable pace unchallenged

The leader gets an easy time of it and kicks clear turning for home before the hold-up horses can mount their challenge. Prominent runners like Oakley and Sun Joy benefit from the strong position but may struggle to peg back the leader.

MotazzenOakleySun JoyBelgarum

Prominent Battle Develops

25% probability

If Sun Joy or Oakley apply early pressure to Motazzen

The increased tempo plays into the hands of those tracking the pace, with fresher legs available for the finish. This creates opportunities for the better-rated prominent runners to strike.

Sun JoyOakleyBelgarumMotazzen

Hold-Up Challenge Emerges

12% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong throughout and hold-up horses get room

Bel Ombre and Taritino can use their closing kick to maximum effect in a truly-run race. The front-runners tire and become sitting ducks for the swooping finishers.

Bel OmbreTaritinoMotazzenOakley

Surprise Upset Materializes

8% probability

If the favourites fail to handle the track conditions or jumping

Khalk'eau Spigao's light weight or Hiconic's return to form creates an opening for an outsider. The race falls apart tactically allowing an unfancied runner to capitalize.

Khalk'eau SpigaoHiconicBelgarumSun Joy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

If Motazzen gets an uncontested lead, he becomes very difficult to peg back given his ability to control the race

WATCH

Sun Joy and Oakley must not get into an early battle for position, as this would compromise their finishing kick

WATCH

Hold-up horses Bel Ombre and Taritino need other pace angles to emerge or they'll have too much ground to make up

NOTE

Amateur jockey Mr Stone on Oakley requires monitoring for tactical positioning and whether he can deliver at the right moment

NOTE

First-time headgear on Belgarum and Hiconic suggests connections seeking improvement after disappointing recent efforts

6:40 — Fontwell Park Half Year Membership Novices' Handicap Chase

2m3½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Jaffa Cake to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lunar Ocean led; the map had Jaffa Cake in front.

Lunar Ocean won at 7.00 — led, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Jaffa Cake

Prominent · 3

BallyfinnLord MaherMisteroddsocks

Midfield · 1

Lunar Ocean

Hold Up · 2

All AuthorizedThickthorn Tom

Jaffa Cake will take this field along from the front, with Ballyfinn, Lord Maher, and Misteroddsocks likely to track him in the prominent positions early. With only one confirmed front runner and several prominent racers, the pace should be genuinely run but not suicidal, allowing the early leaders to dictate terms. The three hold-up horses (All Authorized, Thickthorn Tom, Lunar Ocean) will need the pace to collapse or find significant improvement to overcome their tactical disadvantage. This race shape strongly favours horses that can race prominently and have something left for the finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Horses Dominate

45% probability

If Jaffa Cake sets a reasonable pace and the prominent horses can follow the tempo

The race becomes a test of stamina between the front group, with hold-up horses struggling to make up ground on good ground over this trip. Ballyfinn's recent winning form and Lord Maher's class give them the edge over the sustained pace.

BallyfinnLord MaherMisteroddsocksJaffa Cake

Front Runner Kicks Clear

30% probability

If Jaffa Cake gets an easy lead and the field allows him too much rope early

The leader builds an unassailable advantage jumping the last few fences, with his stamina proving decisive over this extended trip. The prominent horses fail to close the gap despite their superior ratings.

Jaffa CakeBallyfinnLord MaherMisteroddsocks

Hold-Up Challenge Succeeds

15% probability

If the early pace becomes too strong and the front runners weaken significantly

The race falls apart from the second last fence, allowing one of the hold-up horses to capitalize on superior class or fitness. Thickthorn Tom's Skelton yard form and All Authorized's higher grade experience become crucial factors.

Thickthorn TomAll AuthorizedLunar OceanBallyfinn

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Jaffa Cake goes too slow early and it becomes a sprint from the home turn

The lack of early pace turns this into a tactical affair where superior class and finishing kick matter most. The better-rated horses can unleash their turn of foot despite racing from behind.

All AuthorizedLord MaherThickthorn TomLunar Ocean

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Jaffa Cake getting too easy a lead early - if unopposed through the first mile he could steal a march on superior rivals

WATCH

Lord Maher's jumping after 161 days off - any early mistakes could ruin his prominent racing style

WATCH

Lunar Ocean's jumping errors - has history of costly mistakes that could end his chances despite fitness

NOTE

Thickthorn Tom's headgear changes - tongue-tie addition suggests connections seeking improvement

NOTE

Ballyfinn carrying his penalty - watch if the 7lb rise affects his ability to keep up with early pace

7:10 — Southern Cranes And Access Handicap Hurdle

2m5½f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

For Old Times Sake to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Porridge led; the map had For Old Times Sake in front.

Gone Country won at 7.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

0 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

For Old Times Sake

Prominent · 3

RenoirTell The TaleLady Henrietta

Midfield · 4

Hurst HillGone CountryCounteractAnothermanicmonday

Hold Up · 3

Jager TimeNelson GatePorridge

For Old Times Sake is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from flag to flag without early pressure. The prominent runners Renoir, Lady Henrietta and Tell The Tale will track the leader through the early stages, while the bulk of the field including Hurst Hill, Jager Time, Nelson Gate and Porridge will sit patiently off the pace. With most runners preferring to come from behind and For Old Times Sake prone to fading late, this sets up a sustained gallop that will suit the hold-up horses who can produce their finishing kicks in the final half-mile.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If For Old Times Sake maintains a steady gallop without burning out early

The patient trackers get the perfect setup to unleash their finishing speed up the Fontwell hill. The lack of early pace pressure allows the hold-up specialists to position perfectly and strike when it matters.

Hurst HillJager TimeNelson GatePorridge

Prominent Runners Strike

25% probability

If the prominent horses can get close enough to For Old Times Sake without being strung out

Renoir or Lady Henrietta can use their forward positions to pounce when the leader weakens, avoiding the traffic problems that could hinder the back markers. Their tactical positioning proves crucial in a race where timing matters.

RenoirLady HenriettaTell The TaleJager Time

Leader Holds On

12% probability

If For Old Times Sake handles the extended trip better than expected and doesn't fade late

The new tongue-tie helps For Old Times Sake maintain his gallop to the line, with the hold-up horses leaving their runs too late on the testing Fontwell finish. Harry Cobden's experience proves vital in managing the pace.

For Old Times SakeTell The TaleRenoirHurst Hill

Pace Collapses Early

8% probability

If For Old Times Sake stops quickly or falls, leaving no clear pace-setter

The race becomes a messy tactical affair with the prominent runners forced to go forward earlier than ideal, suiting those with the most natural speed. The lack of a true pace test changes the complexion completely.

Lady HenriettaNelson GateRenoirCounteract

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

For Old Times Sake's early pace will determine the entire race shape - if he goes too fast early he'll stop quickly

WATCH

Watch the positioning of Hurst Hill and Jager Time turning for home as they need clear runs to unleash their finishing kicks

NOTE

Monitor how aggressively the prominent runners Renoir and Lady Henrietta track the leader through the early stages

WATCH

Nelson Gate's positioning will be crucial given the Moore yard's poor recent form affecting confidence

NOTE

Observe if Tell The Tale shows any rustiness early after his 117-day absence from competition

7:40 — V2 Radio Handicap Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)

2m2f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Ballywood to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ballywood led, as the map showed.

Holy Legend won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

6 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ballywood

Prominent · 2

DaanyMillies Mite

Midfield · 3

Model ApproachGone In SixtyHoly Legend

Hold Up · 2

Saint PoloGrain Trade

Ballywood is the sole confirmed pace-setter and will face no early pressure, allowing him to dictate a sustainable gallop from the front. With prominent runners Daany and Millies Mite likely settling just behind, and the majority of the field (Gone In Sixty, Grain Trade, Holy Legend, Saint Polo, Model Approach) adopting hold-up tactics, this creates a classic scenario where the pace-setter gets an easy lead. The lack of pace pressure means Ballywood can conserve energy for the finish, while the large contingent of hold-up horses will be relying on each other for late pace. This race shape strongly favours front-running and prominent tactics over hold-up horses who may find insufficient pace to run at.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Ballywood gets the uncontested lead he's likely to receive

The 12-year-old can control the tempo completely and kick clear when the jumps thin out the field behind him. With most rivals needing to come from off the pace, he can exploit their reliance on each other for a strong gallop.

BallywoodDaanyMillies MiteSaint Polo

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

30% probability

If the hold-up brigade can generate enough pace among themselves despite the lack of early speed

Gone In Sixty's class advantage and strong recent form could tell, while Grain Trade's higher rating might prove decisive if pace materializes. The winner emerges from a late cavalry charge of closers.

Gone In SixtyGrain TradeModel ApproachSaint Polo

Prominent Tracker Wins

15% probability

If Daany or Millies Mite can track Ballywood and outstay him

The prominent horses get the perfect trip behind the lone leader and have enough tactical speed to respond when Ballywood comes under pressure. Recent winner Model Approach could also benefit from this scenario if positioned closer than usual.

DaanyModel ApproachMillies MiteGone In Sixty

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Ballywood goes too slowly and the race becomes a sprint finish

The lack of any pace pressure creates a tactical mess where positioning and jumping become crucial factors. Saint Polo's higher rating could prove telling in a slowly-run affair where class rises to the top.

Saint PoloGrain TradeBallywoodGone In Sixty

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ballywood getting a soft lead could prove decisive given the lack of pace pressure he'll face

WATCH

Gone In Sixty needs others to go fast enough early to set up his finishing kick

NOTE

Model Approach moving closer to the pace than usual would suggest connections fancy their chances

WATCH

Millies Mite's recent habit of pulling up makes him a potential non-finisher

NOTE

Saint Polo's ability to handle the sharp drop back in trip from his recent 3m efforts

8:10 — Best Of British Events Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m1½f · Good · CLS5 · 12 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 14 May 2026.

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