Archive›Fontwell · 28 August 2026

Fontwell

28 August 2026 · 7 races

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4:05 — Watch Unbridled On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle

2m5½f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Motazzen likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Kom Tu Voudras led; the map had Motazzen in front.

Kom Tu Voudras won at 4.50 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Motazzen

Prominent · 1

Easter Icon

Midfield · 1

Baltray

Hold Up · 2

Kom Tu VoudrasBreak Point

Motazzen is the lone confirmed front-runner in a five-horse field over 2m5½f on Good ground at Fontwell, and with no genuine rival to press him, Brendan Powell can dictate a controlled, sustainable gallop from the front. Easter Icon is a prominent-type who may track closely, but Motazzen's lead is unlikely to be seriously contested, meaning the pace will be honest rather than searching. Kom Tu Voudras and Break Point are both hold-up horses who will need the race to be truly run to deliver their best from off the pace, while Baltray is a genuine hold-up type redistributed to midfield on the map because the field's rear is occupied — its true role is at the back, not tracking midfield. This race shape — a lone, uncontested leader on a fair gallop over a staying trip — most favours prominent-to-close types who can sit within striking range and pounce at the final flight, rather than deep hold-up horses who need a stronger tempo to generate momentum.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Motazzen Controls, Stays On

70% probability

If Motazzen bowls along at the front unchallenged and the pace proves honest enough to stretch the field without burning him out.

Motazzen sets the fractions he wants, Easter Icon shadows him in second, and neither is ever truly threatened by the hold-up horses failing to generate late momentum on a fair but not punishing gallop. Prominent-to-front types benefit directly as the back-markers lack the pace injection needed to reel in a measured leader.

MotazzenEaster IconBreak PointKom Tu Voudras

Hold-Up Horse Gets Home

14% probability

If the gallop is genuinely searching and the leaders empty in the final half-mile, leaving a late finisher to pick up.

Kom Tu Voudras, with sim-going form and experience at this sort of trip on Good ground, would be best placed of the hold-up brigade if the pace is stronger than anticipated. Break Point is also a possibility but has less convincing credentials at this trip and course type, limiting confidence in either delivering.

Kom Tu VoudrasBreak PointEaster Icon

Easter Icon Pounces Late

10% probability

If Easter Icon tracks Motazzen closely, waits for the leader to weaken, and the hold-up horses are left too much to do.

Easter Icon won last time out on Good going over a similar trip and is well placed stylistically to travel prominently before striking; an apprentice pilot (Isabelle Ryder, 5lb) keeps the weight competitive. If Motazzen fades after leading throughout, Easter Icon is the most natural beneficiary.

Easter IconKom Tu VoudrasMotazzen

Baltray Defies The Drift

6% probability

If the true hold-up horses — Baltray in particular — find themselves in better position than their redistribution suggests and the race truly develops into a test of stamina.

Baltray has placed three times over 26f on Good and stays well for Emma Lavelle, but the STYLE_FIT flag and redistribution caveat mean this shape requires things to go unusually right in terms of traffic and pace. Ben Jones would need a muddling, stop-start gallop to bring Baltray's stamina into play from an unfavoured position.

BaltrayKom Tu VoudrasBreak Point

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Motazzen's fractions are the race — watch whether Brendan Powell is allowed to coast in front undisturbed or whether Easter Icon pushes up to apply any pressure at all in the early stages.

WATCH

Baltray's true hold-up role means Ben Jones may struggle to find the position the map implies; watch whether Baltray settles at the rear rather than midfield, which would leave it needing a significantly stronger pace than anticipated.

WATCH

Break Point's jumping record and the step up in trip to 2m5½f on Good at the quirky Fontwell track is an untested combination — watch for any fluency issues at the early hurdles that could compromise its position.

NOTE

Easter Icon's apprentice rider Isabelle Ryder (5lb) faces a tactical challenge tracking a lone leader at Fontwell's figure-of-eight layout — watch how she positions relative to Motazzen from the outset, as that will define the finish.

4:40 — Download The At The Races App Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m1½f · Good · CLS4 · 8 runners

Rum Diamond likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Salkadan led; the map had Rum Diamond in front.

Salkadan won at 1.67 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Rum Diamond

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

Short SymphonyNicolaiJust Call Me MoHoundswood WillowGrey Sands

Hold Up · 2

SalkadanOctober Surprise

Rum Diamond is the sole confirmed front-runner in this eight-runner juvenile maiden hurdle at Fontwell over 2m1½f on good ground, and with no rival likely to push hard for the lead, he can control matters from the front at a sustainable, uncontested gallop. The remainder of the field — Salkadan, Grey Sands, Houndswood Willow, Just Call Me Mo, Nicolai, October Surprise, and the unknown quantity Short Symphony — are all hold-up or midfield types by profile, meaning the early sections are unlikely to be truly searching. This field holds considerably more hold-up types than the race map can accommodate at the rear; Salkadan (prominent headgear, Dan Skelton yard in form) and Houndswood Willow are the most likely to push forward and grab a prominent position ahead of the genuine closers, but most will be shuffled wider in the field than their natural style demands. A controlled, single-paced gallop set by Rum Diamond with few pressing him suits horses who can travel prominently and produce a clean round of jumping, rewarding the horse who can sit closest to the pace and pounce — a prominent-to-midfield profile with clean hurdling technique is what this race shape is built for.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Rum Diamond Dictates Unchallenged

58% probability

If Rum Diamond leads from the front with no meaningful pressure and the field strings out behind at a steady pace.

Rum Diamond dictates on his own terms over the unique Fontwell figure-of-eight circuit, and any horse sitting second or third with clean jumping can cruise into contention off a slow tempo. The prominent-seated runner who travels well and jumps fluently — particularly Salkadan, who has form on good ground and backing from a firing stable — is best placed to reel him in late.

SalkadanHoundswood WillowOctober SurpriseGrey Sands

Closers Overrun Slow Pace

20% probability

If the steady gallop compresses the field in the straight and hold-up horses get a clear run to swamp the leader on the climb.

A falsely-run race at Fontwell can see a wall of horses descend on the leader in the final climb to the line, and with so many hold-up types forced to race closer than ideal, a late surge becomes plausible. Salkadan and Grey Sands, both carrying natural hold-up profiles, could benefit if they secure cover and produce a strong finishing burst.

SalkadanGrey SandsJust Call Me MoOctober Surprise

Pace Collapse, Front Pair Dominate

14% probability

If Rum Diamond fades after a solo lead and the horse who tracked him closest outstays the field up the run-in.

Rum Diamond is tagged with a fade warning and has been off 151 days, so if he ties up late, the horse who has raced prominently throughout — most likely Salkadan or Houndswood Willow — takes the spoils without needing to find a finishing kick.

Houndswood WillowSalkadanOctober SurpriseShort Symphony

Outsider Springs Surprise

8% probability

If Short Symphony or October Surprise, with unknown or underestimated profiles, finds the pace perfectly suited and delivers an unexpected performance.

Short Symphony is lightly raced and completely unexposed over hurdles, so a well-judged ride by Bryan Carver around a track that rewards accuracy could produce a shock result. October Surprise has shown enough flat form over a mile-plus to suggest stamina for this trip if the pace is truly honest.

Short SymphonyOctober SurpriseGrey SandsJust Call Me Mo

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Salkadan — Dan Skelton at 8/27 in 14 days with Harry Skelton in the saddle is the sharpest form angle in the race; watch him travel prominently and see whether he can put a race together over hurdles for the first time at a staying trip that suits.

WATCH

Rum Diamond's fitness after 151 days off is the single biggest variable shaping this race — if he ties up on the final Fontwell climb, the entire complexion changes from a front-runner's race to a scrap among closers.

WATCH

Short Symphony is completely unknown — no last-run data, lightly raced tag, and a small yard, but juvenile hurdle maiden fields frequently throw up surprises from unexposed horses who find the trip quickly.

NOTE

With so many hold-up horses unable to get their natural position, watch for scrimmaging out of the back straight as several riders simultaneously try to improve their position — jumping errors mid-race are a heightened risk in this field shape.

NOTE

Houndswood Willow with David Bass — an experienced jump jockey on a horse that needs a prominent spot it may actually be able to claim here — worth monitoring in the early stages to see if Bass takes it forward rather than settling as form suggests.

5:15 — Fontwell Park Family Festival Raceday Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m3f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Kotari likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Onehundredneighty led; the map had Kotari in front.

Delgany Second Now won at 3.25 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Kotari

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

Khalk'eau SpigaoDelgany Second NowWise CounsellorOnehundredneightyNorth Account

Hold Up · 1

Uncle Remus

Kotari is the sole confirmed pace-setter in this seven-runner field and, despite being a natural hold-up horse redistributed to the front, will almost certainly dictate from the outset given the absence of any genuine front-runner among the other six. With all remaining runners being hold-up or midfield types — Delgany Second Now, Khalk'eau Spigao, Onehundredneighty, North Account, Wise Counsellor, and Uncle Remus all naturally wanting to race off the pace — Kotari's solo lead is set to be uncontested and likely to produce a measured, galloping tempo over 2m3f on good ground at Fontwell's unique figure-of-eight track. The field holds significantly more hold-up types than the race shape can comfortably accommodate; of those, Delgany Second Now (Harry Skelton, Dan Skelton, recent winner) and Uncle Remus are most likely to push closer than their natural style suggests, seizing the better positions in a compressed midfield. This race shape strongly favours a horse capable of travelling mid-to-prominently and producing a sustained galloping effort rather than a sharp late burst — those who can track Kotari at close range through Fontwell's undulating turns and pounce turning for home hold the clearest positional advantage.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Kotari Controls, Tracks Win

62% probability

If Kotari bowls along at a fair but uncontested gallop and the closest tracker has the class to reel him in from two out.

Kotari sets a sustainable fractions on his own, keeping the field strung out on Fontwell's technical circuit, and a horse sitting second or third through the final loop can wear him down on the run-in without needing a sharp sprint.

Delgany Second NowUncle RemusOnehundredneightyKhalk'eau Spigao

Pace Collapse, Late Surge

18% probability

If Kotari goes too hard too soon racing out of his natural style and ties up before the last, leaving a late finisher to scoop the spoils.

Kotari, uncomfortable on the lead and without natural front-running instincts, over-races and weakens sharply from two out, opening the door for horses held up towards the rear of the compressed field.

OnehundredneightyUncle RemusWise CounsellorKhalk'eau Spigao

Muddling Pace, First Run

13% probability

If Kotari sets only a crawl and the race turns into a sprint finish from the home turn, rewarding the horse quickest to pick up off a slow tempo.

A false pace bunches the entire field together and the outcome swings on a sharp jump and immediate response to the whip at the last, conditions that slightly favour lighter weights and fresher legs.

Delgany Second NowWise CounsellorNorth AccountKhalk'eau Spigao

Front Runner Brave

7% probability

If Kotari, despite racing out of role, takes naturally to the lead and finds enough to hold on as the closers fail to close the gap.

Racing prominently from the front can suit a horse that simply finds its best form when uncontested, and if the chasing pack is slow to commit Kotari could steal enough first-fence-to-last ground to last home.

KotariDelgany Second NowUncle RemusOnehundredneighty

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch whether Kotari, a natural hold-up horse placed on the lead against his instincts, over-races or jumps poorly in the early stages — any error or resistance to the front role could unsettle the entire race shape immediately.

WATCH

Uncle Remus ran just six days ago; monitor in the paddock and early in the race for any signs of residual fatigue, as a horse that ties up on the back loop at Fontwell can compromise the whole field behind him.

WATCH

Delgany Second Now's connections (Dan and Harry Skelton) have been in sharp form (8/27 in 14 days) and the three-day turnaround suggests the horse is very well; watch for an aggressive early move to grab a prominent position that his natural hold-up style would not normally see him seek.

NOTE

North Account is flagged as a horse that fades in the finish and has a career record of 0W0P on Good ground over five attempts — worth monitoring as a race-spoiler if the pace is muddling and he briefly threatens before emptying.

NOTE

The entire field bar Kotari is composed of hold-up types compressed into a midfield cluster; watch the jumping at the first two hurdles for crowding or interference that could decisively reshuffle positions before the race settles into its shape.

5:50 — Back A Winner - Birchwood Kia Chichester Handicap Chase

2m5½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Ballinoulart likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Edgewell led; the map had Ballinoulart in front.

Youdecide won at 1.62 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ballinoulart

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

PawpawKing Of The StoryHelios AllenOf Corse I Can

Hold Up · 2

YoudecideEdgewell

Ballinoulart is the sole confirmed front-runner in this seven-runner handicap chase over 2m5½f at Fontwell on Good ground, and with no rival likely to seriously challenge for the lead, he sets a solo, controlled tempo from the front. That uncontested pace is genuinely sustainable — Ballinoulart has form figures of 224325 and has been placed prominently before, but without any pressure horse to force a genuine gallop, this race risks becoming a crawl before a sprint off the home turn. The field contains far more hold-up horses than can realistically operate from the rear — Pawpaw, King Of The Story, Helios Allen, and Of Corse I Can are all natural hold-up types who have been redistributed forward on the map simply because the true rear is overcrowded; in practice, several of them will likely track closer than usual, compressing the field into a mid-pace convoy. The dominant tactical verdict is that a controlled, falsely-run contest strongly favours closers and prominent racers with a late gear change rather than deep hold-up runners who need genuine pace to aim at — and the two genuine hold-up horses positioned naturally at the rear, Youdecide and Edgewell, are the profiles most likely to benefit if pace is genuine, but only if the tempo lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Ballinoulart Controls; Closers Strike

64% probability

If Ballinoulart dictates a modest solo gallop and the field concertinas, horses who can travel smoothly into contention from mid-division profit.

Ballinoulart sets an uncontested pace that is brisk enough to sort out the field over the fences but not truly punishing, allowing prominent trackers to stalk before striking; Edgewell's strong recent good-ground form (two wins) and proven 2m5f+ stamina make it ideally placed to pounce off this shape.

EdgewellYoudecidePawpawKing Of The Story

Messy Scramble; Form Horses Land

18% probability

If the overcrowded hold-up group forces chaotic early positioning and the pace becomes uneven with surges and checks.

Several redistributed hold-up types jostling for rear berths creates a ragged, stop-start gallop that suits horses who jump fluently and maintain rhythm; Youdecide's recent Goodwood win on Good and Edgewell's string of placed runs at this trip and going give them the class edge when order is restored.

YoudecideEdgewellPawpawBallinoulart

Ballinoulart Runs Away

12% probability

If the field allows Ballinoulart to bowl along completely unchallenged at an even hunting pace and the rest fail to organise a challenge.

A completely uncontested front-runner at a circuit like Fontwell, where the figure-of-eight layout rewards jumping accuracy, can steal a march before rivals realise the pace is slow; Ballinoulart's consistency record (five places from recent runs) and lower weight make this a genuine if minority threat.

BallinoulartPawpawOf Corse I CanKing Of The Story

Closers Fail; Pace Too Slow

6% probability

If the gallop is so falsely run that hold-up horses simply cannot reel in a front-runner with momentum over the last two fences.

A truly crawling pace removes any advantage for hold-up types whose style depends on making ground into a real gallop; Pawpaw (tailed off 551 days absent but a course winner on Good) and King Of The Story, despite style-fit concerns, could grab minor honours if they are forced up close enough to capitalise on the slow tempo.

PawpawKing Of The StoryOf Corse I CanHelios Allen

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Edgewell's jumping closely — two recent Good-ground wins over 23f-26f make it the most credible challenger to a controlled Ballinoulart tempo, and if it travels smoothly through the Fontwell bends it could hit the front earlier than rivals expect.

WATCH

Ballinoulart's rider Richard Upton claims 7lb which is one of the deepest claims on the card — watch whether the weight advantage is enough to offset inexperience at controlling a front-running ride on Fontwell's idiosyncratic figure-of-eight circuit.

WATCH

Pawpaw's 551-day absence is a red flag for punters — watch its behaviour in the parade ring and early jumping for any sign of rustiness before drawing conclusions, as a poorly-jumping or unfit horse returning from that layoff could cause interference at a fence.

NOTE

Monitor how many of the redistributed hold-up types (King Of The Story, Helios Allen, Of Corse I Can) actually take a position close to Ballinoulart in the early stages — if several drift forward the pace could quicken sooner than expected, changing the complexion of the race entirely.

NOTE

Youdecide's 3-day turnaround after its last run bears watching in the pre-race — Ben Pauling's T14 figures (3/7) suggest confidence, but a six-year-old running again within 72 hours must show no sign of physical wear before being relied upon to reproduce its winning run.

6:25 — Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Mares' Handicap Hurdle

3m2f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Camshaft to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Camshaft led, as the map showed.

Luna Run won at 3.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Camshaft

Prominent · 3

Steal A GlanceLuna RunAthena's Dream

Midfield · 1

Glorious Mist

Hold Up · 2

Mobile MammaLynsey Larue

Camshaft is the sole confirmed front-runner in a seven-runner field and, with no rival likely to seriously contest the lead, she should cruise into a comfortable, uncontested position from the outset over this stamina-sapping 3m2f trip at Fontwell. Luna Run, Steal A Glance, and Athena's Dream are all prominent types who will push forward behind her, creating an organised if somewhat clustered early order rather than a messy pace battle. Mobile Mamma, Lynsey Larue, and Glorious Mist are hold-up types, though Glorious Mist has been redistributed to midfield on the map because this field contains more genuine hold-up horses than the race shape can accommodate at the rear — Mobile Mamma and Lynsey Larue are most likely to secure the natural off-the-pace positions. With Camshaft setting a fair but manageable gallop on good ground, this race shape strongly favours prominent and front-running profiles that can travel comfortably within striking range and avoid the attrition of having to make up ground on Fontwell's idiosyncratic, tight-turning circuit.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Camshaft Controls And Wins

70% probability

If Camshaft dictates a sustainable front-running display and holds on from the front

Camshaft sets a comfortable tempo unchallenged, conserving energy through the early stages of this stamina test, and her recent course-and-distance-relevant form on good ground gives her every chance of lasting home. Prominent types who have tracked her closely, particularly Luna Run, are best placed to pounce if she tires, but the uncontested lead is a significant advantage.

CamshaftLuna RunSteal A GlanceAthena's Dream

Prominent Chaser Pounces Late

16% probability

If Camshaft sets too strong a pace for herself and one of the prominent trackers picks her off in the closing stages

Luna Run or Steal A Glance, tucked in behind on a good surface that suits their recent form profiles, stays close enough to the leader throughout and benefits if Camshaft's gallop proves marginally too keen over this extreme trip. This scenario suits the prominent types who can travel fluently at Fontwell's circuit without expending unnecessary energy.

Luna RunSteal A GlanceAthena's DreamMobile Mamma

Hold-Up Horse Swoops Late

9% probability

If the pace is strong enough to set up a decisive finish for a closer coming from off the bridle

Mobile Mamma or Lynsey Larue, held up in arrears by Skelton or Ring respectively, would need a genuinely pressured pace to generate the momentum required to reel in leaders around Fontwell's tight bends — a circuit that notoriously punishes horses who must make up significant ground. Given this field's limited collective pace and Camshaft's likely uncontested front-running, the prospect of a truly strong gallop materialising is modest at best.

Mobile MammaLynsey LarueLuna RunAthena's Dream

Attrition And Atypical Result

5% probability

If multiple runners make errors, fall back, or the race deteriorates into a messy, slow-sectioned affair

Fontwell's technical layout and a long 3m2f trip over hurdles can occasionally produce scattered, untidy races where the least error-prone survivor picks up the pieces. Glorious Mist, though lightly regarded and out of form, has experience over this style of trip in good ground, and a chaotic race shape could theoretically bring her back into contention despite her redistribution and poor recent figures.

Glorious MistLynsey LarueMobile MammaAthena's Dream

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Steal A Glance ran just three days ago — monitor closely in the paddock and early stages for signs of fatigue over this significantly longer trip than she has attempted before.

WATCH

Glorious Mist returns from 96 days off with two pulled-up runs in her recent past and is at risk of doing the same again — connections and market moves should be watched before the off.

WATCH

Lynsey Larue ran yesterday and connections have not explained the decision to run again within 24 hours — her jumping sharpness and early position should be monitored as she could fade quickly in the closing stages.

NOTE

If Camshaft is allowed a completely uncontested lead by the other prominent types (Luna Run, Steal A Glance), watch whether the pace becomes too steady — a slow gallop over 3m2f could compress the field and bring the hold-up horses Mobile Mamma and Lynsey Larue dangerously close at the finish.

NOTE

Luna Run's jockey Paul O'Brien should be tracked from the outset — if he pushes up to sit directly behind Camshaft in second, she becomes the most dangerous immediate threat to the front-runner in the final mile.

7:00 — Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m2f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Lead contested: She Is For Me Boys v A Little SomethingHISTORIC

How it ran

A Little Something led, as the map showed.

Merely A Detail won at 4.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

She Is For Me BoysA Little Something

Prominent · 1

Two To Tango

Midfield · 1

Martin's Denuo

Hold Up · 2

Person of InterestMerely A Detail

She Is For Me Boys and A Little Something are both confirmed front-runners, and with only six runners in this 2m2f handicap chase at Fontwell, the battle for the lead will be immediate and genuine from the off. Neither handler is likely to concede the rail willingly — She Is For Me Boys has front-running form at this sort of trip on good ground, while A Little Something has won back-to-back races leading throughout and carries tongue-tie that suggests she needs to bowl along. The honest, contested gallop this creates will burn up the front two early and place maximum pressure on their jumping, stretching the field out across Fontwell's unique figure-of-eight configuration. This race shape firmly favours hold-up horses who can relax off the pace, travel fresh into the contest in the latter stages, and pick up rivals who have been at each other's throats from the front — making late-running profiles the primary beneficiaries.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Contested Pace, Closers Reign

62% probability

If She Is For Me Boys and A Little Something push each other along from the flag, softening each other up and leaving the back-markers fresh for a sustained late challenge.

The genuine front-running battle will drain the leaders heading into the final fences, handing the race to those who tracked off the pace and conserve energy. Hold-up and midfield horses arrive with untapped momentum when the leaders tire, making this the dominant and most likely shape.

Person of InterestMerely A DetailTwo To TangoMartin's Denuo

Front Runner Dominates

18% probability

If one front runner jumps more fluently than the other early, establishing a rhythm that neuters the pace battle and turns this into a solo lead.

With a clear lead and jumping fuel in reserve, a lone pace-setter can dictate terms and control the fractions enough to grind out the win at Fontwell. She Is For Me Boys, whose record at this trip and going is strong, is the better candidate if this shape materialises.

She Is For Me BoysA Little SomethingTwo To TangoPerson of Interest

Prominent Player Pounces

12% probability

If the contested early pace is just honest rather than brutal, leaving the prominent traveller Two To Tango close enough to capitalise at the business end.

Two To Tango travels prominently and has an outstanding record on good ground at this type of trip, and the Lavelle yard's course-and-distance form makes this a live alternative shape. Sitting a length or two off a pace battle rather than being immersed in it would let the horse hit the final fence full of running.

Two To TangoMartin's DenuoShe Is For Me BoysPerson of Interest

Surprise Improver Strikes

8% probability

If Martin's Denuo, switching from all-weather and a hat-trick hunter fresh to obstacles, adapts quickly and exploits youth and a featherweight to close late.

At just 156lbs off a hat-trick and with an unbeaten sequence behind him, the David Pipe four-year-old carries the unknowns of a chase novice at a unique track but raw ability could bridge the experience gap if the race falls apart in front. The drop in weight and fresh legs give this raw shape a small but non-trivial chance.

Martin's DenuoMerely A DetailPerson of InterestTwo To Tango

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch A Little Something at the early fences — her recent fall and unseated-rider form flags genuine jumping fragility when pressed hard, and She Is For Me Boys will be at her shoulder from the very first obstacle.

KEY

If She Is For Me Boys and A Little Something lock horns through the first circuit, monitor both for errors at the ditch fences where fatigue-induced mistakes become likely in a genuine pace duel.

WATCH

Martin's Denuo is a complete unknown quantity over fences on turf — watch his jumping at the opening obstacles; a novicey leap or two early would confirm he is not a factor and would allow you to focus on the established performers.

WATCH

Two To Tango needs to travel prominently from the gate despite a 73-day break — if Charlie Todd is caught flat-footed and the horse is shuffled back into the pack early, the tactical edge that makes him competitive in this scenario evaporates.

NOTE

Person of Interest carries 167lbs and ran poorly on his most recent start (9th) but two of his last five runs at this distance on good ground produced wins — watch whether Harry Cobden positions him to get a tow into the race from the pace battle rather than being left isolated at the rear.

7:33 — Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle

2m1½f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

God Of Fire likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Aggagio led; the map had God Of Fire in front.

Graffiti won at 11.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

God Of Fire

Prominent · 3

AggagioDouble PowerRaffles Nobu

Midfield · 2

Charlie My BoyHarry Gulliver

Hold Up · 3

Brave GuestBest NightGraffiti

God Of Fire is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with no genuine rival looking to press him from the off, he should be able to control tempo from the front at a sustainable gallop around Fontwell's tight figure-of-eight circuit. Aggagio, Double Power, and Raffles Nobu are the prominent types likely to track him in the first two or three positions, creating a compact early order with the hold-up brigade — Best Night, Brave Guest, Graffiti — settled further back. The field actually carries more hold-up horses than the race shape can accommodate cleanly; Charlie My Boy and Harry Gulliver are genuine closers who will be forced to race in a more prominent position than is natural for them, compromising their chance of delivering a late run from the rear. With God Of Fire likely to dictate a controlled, uncontested pace, this race shape most benefits prominent racers who can travel smoothly just behind the leader and time their challenge at the penultimate hurdle — patient front-to-midfield types who handle a good surface are firmly favoured over those who need a true test to bring them into it late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

God Of Fire Dictates Cleanly

63% probability

If God Of Fire is allowed to bowl along in front unchallenged and the pace is measured enough to preserve his stamina into the straight.

God Of Fire sets a steady-to-fair tempo and the prominent trackers — Aggagio and Raffles Nobu — are best placed to mount their challenge as the field turns for home, with the leader potentially lasting into the places.

AggagioRaffles NobuGod Of FireBest Night

Prominent Challengers Swamp Leader

18% probability

If Aggagio or Raffles Nobu travel strongly enough to throw down a sustained challenge before the last and overhaul a tiring God Of Fire.

The pace proves just quick enough to pop the leader's stamina in the final half-mile, promoting those who tracked him throughout into winning contention; Raffles Nobu's recent win at this trip makes him a natural beneficiary.

Raffles NobuAggagioBest NightCharlie My Boy

Hold-Up Horse Gets Through Late

12% probability

If the early pace is fast enough to soften the leaders and create genuine gaps for closers to exploit in the final run-in.

Best Night, with strong placed form at this distance on good ground, is ideally positioned to finish with purpose if the race is run to suit; Brave Guest would also appreciate a test that brings them into it late.

Best NightBrave GuestGraffitiCharlie My Boy

Muddling Pace Causes Chaos

7% probability

If the gallop is uneven or God Of Fire is pressured unexpectedly, turning the race into a sprint for home where fortune plays a bigger role.

A ragged tempo scrambles the typical tactical order and any runner capable of quickening sharply off a steady early pace gets a chance; Graffiti's win on good ground and Charlie My Boy's solid placed record become relevant even if their routes through the race are less predictable.

GraffitiCharlie My BoyHarry GulliverDouble Power

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

God Of Fire — if he is allowed to coast in front unchallenged, the race becomes his to lose before the final hurdle; watch whether any prominent handler tries to press him early, as any pressure before halfway could dramatically change the race shape.

WATCH

Raffles Nobu — returned just five days ago and runs again here, so watch the market closely for any sign connections are happy; if he travels sweetly in the early stages his consistency at this trip makes him a genuine shape-winner.

WATCH

Charlie My Boy and Harry Gulliver — both are true hold-up horses who will be riding a position ahead of their comfort zone; if they end up racing too freely or too close to the pace, their finishing effort in the straight is likely to be compromised.

NOTE

Best Night — with ten of his last fifteen runs on good ground and a clean placed record across that sample, watch whether Rian Corcoran is able to get a clear passage turning for home, as the hold-up style requires an unobstructed run at the field late.

NOTE

Double Power — flagged as a runner who fades in the finish; if he travels prominently and begins to capitulate after the last, it may drag the field into a messy finish that opens the door for the closers further back.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 28 August 2026.

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