Archive›Gowran Park · 1 June 2026

Gowran Park

1 June 2026 · 8 races

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1:29 — Today's Gate Sponsored By The INPBA Fillies Maiden

1m · Good · MDN · 11 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

1:59 — KCLR 96FM Apprentice Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 16 runners

Brains to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Medieval Night led; the map had Brains in front.

Real Petite won at 51.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

9 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Brains

Prominent · 3

Royal County GloryPinball WizardRock Etoile

Midfield · 7

Balance Of TradeReal PetiteGold DubloomsTynamiteMonastereHalf NutzHale Bopp

Hold Up · 5

Queen AethelflaedMedieval NightChou ChouHeart Of DarknessBelieveth

Brains is the sole confirmed front runner and should get an uncontested lead with Pinball Wizard, Royal County Glory and Rock Etoile sitting just behind in the prominent positions. The large field of 16 runners includes 12 hold-up horses who will be relying on the pace collapsing in the final two furlongs. With only one true leader, Brains can dictate a sustainable gallop without early pressure, which typically favours horses that can travel prominently and kick when the pace lifts. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and front runners who can control the tempo.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Holds

65% probability

If Brains sets a steady tempo and maintains his kick in the final furlong

The lack of pace pressure allows the leader and prominent runners to save energy for a decisive move, while the large pack of hold-up horses gets caught in traffic or arrives too late. Horses positioned within the first six at halfway have a significant tactical advantage.

BrainsRoyal County GloryPinball WizardQueen Aethelflaed

Late Surge Succeeds

20% probability

If the early pace proves too slow and the field bunches entering the straight

The hold-up horses get the perfect setup as prominent runners tie up after dictating, allowing late closers with tactical speed to sweep past in the final 100 yards. Fresh legs and a strong finishing kick become decisive factors.

Queen AethelflaedGold DubloomsBalance Of TradeHale Bopp

Front Runner Dominates

10% probability

If Brains gets soft fractions and finds another gear when challenged

The veteran exploits his uncontested position to build an unassailable lead, with his stamina reserves proving superior to horses trying to close from midfield or further back. His course form and tactical advantage prove decisive.

BrainsPinball WizardRoyal County GloryTynamite

Pace Collapse Chaos

5% probability

If Brains stops suddenly and the prominent horses all empty out together

The race turns into a sprint from the two-furlong pole with hold-up horses flying home, but the congestion and lack of early pace creates a messy finish where positioning luck becomes crucial. The best stayers emerge from the chaos.

Medieval NightHeart Of DarknessBalance Of TradeHalf Nutz

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Brains could steal this if allowed soft fractions as the only front runner in a large field

WATCH

Royal County Glory stepping up from 7f sprint distances may not last the final furlong at 1m

NOTE

Queen Aethelflaed's 2lb apprentice allowance puts her on attractive weight for hold-up tactics

WATCH

Rock Etoile and Medieval Night both show concerning fading patterns in their recent finishes

NOTE

The 12 hold-up horses will create significant traffic problems turning for home in this big field

2:34 — Sonix Entertainment Handicap

1m4f · Good · HCAP · 19 runners

Lead contested: Just Keep Flying v Spanish RisingHISTORIC

How it ran

Satono Chevalier led; the map had Just Keep Flying and Spanish Rising in front.

Obscenity won at 4.50 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Just Keep FlyingSpanish Rising

Prominent · 6

Not Just Any EagleVoice Of ReasonNavinskyBeauparcInthesmallhoursDaboya

Midfield · 5

Flying FortressCala BonitaDerry LadTatumBobby Kirova

Hold Up · 6

Stellar QualitySir CallistoSatono ChevalierObscenityPavilion EndJustenzia

Just Keep Flying and Spanish Rising are confirmed front runners who will contest the early lead in this 19-runner handicap over 1m4f. With two willing pace-setters, expect an honest gallop from the start that will string out this large field. The sustained tempo over the extended trip will create a true test of stamina. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can finish powerfully, as the early pace battle will leave the leaders vulnerable in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Early Pace

65% probability

If both Just Keep Flying and Spanish Rising go forward aggressively from the start

The dual pace angle creates an honest tempo that suits closers perfectly over this stamina-sapping trip. Hold-up horses like Stellar Quality, Flying Fortress and Obscenity can time their runs to perfection.

Stellar QualityObscenityFlying FortressSatono Chevalier

Contested But Sustainable

20% probability

If one front runner drops back early leaving a single leader

The pace becomes more manageable allowing prominent runners to stay closer and kick earlier. Not Just Any Eagle and Beauparc can track the tempo and have enough left to sustain their challenge.

Not Just Any EagleBeauparcVoice Of ReasonNavinsky

Slow Early Fractions

10% probability

If both leaders are restrained creating crawling early splits

The race becomes a sprint finish favouring horses with tactical speed over pure stamina. Prominent runners can position perfectly for a devastating late kick when the tempo lifts.

DaboyaSir CallistoJustenziaPavilion End

Front Runner Dominates

5% probability

If Just Keep Flying gets loose on the lead without serious pressure

An uncontested leader can dictate terms and potentially stay on for glory over this trip. The lack of pace pressure allows the leader to reserve energy for a strong finish.

Just Keep FlyingSpanish RisingCala BonitaTatum

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Just Keep Flying and Spanish Rising both going forward could create unsustainably fast fractions that collapse the front end

WATCH

Stellar Quality holds strong claims if getting the expected strong pace from her hold-up style

NOTE

Satono Chevalier carrying momentum from back-to-back wins with minimal penalty

NOTE

Flying Fortress represents value angle for Cromwell stable with excellent strike rate

WATCH

Beauparc defending crown but poor turf return suggests vulnerability despite course win

3:09 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

1m1½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Thrifty Of Digby to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Thrifty Of Digby led, as the map showed.

Thrifty Of Digby won at 9.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Thrifty Of Digby

Prominent · 3

TachosOb La DiChica Guerrera

Midfield · 2

AkechetaSpanish Temptress

Hold Up · 2

River AraPink Oxalis

Thrifty Of Digby will lead unopposed from the start, setting a comfortable tempo with no sustained early pressure from the prominent runners Tachos, Ob La Di and Chica Guerrera who will likely settle behind her. The pace should be sustainable rather than punishing given the lack of multiple confirmed pace-setters, allowing the race to develop into a stamina test over the final three furlongs. With a modest gallop likely and the 1m1½f distance providing time for position changes, this race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce a sustained finish from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If Thrifty Of Digby sets a steady pace and the race becomes tactical

The moderate gallop allows the closers to get into perfect striking position and overwhelm the leaders with superior finishing kicks. Hold-up specialists like Pink Oxalis and Akecheta can utilise their proven ability to quicken from the rear.

Pink OxalisAkechetaRiver AraSpanish Temptress

Front running tactics pay

20% probability

If Thrifty Of Digby quickens the tempo mid-race and puts pressure on the field

The sustained gallop stretches the field and prevents the hold-up horses from mounting their usual late challenges. Thrifty Of Digby's course form and tactical advantage proves decisive with the prominent runners following her home.

Thrifty Of DigbyTachosOb La DiChica Guerrera

Prominent runners strike late

10% probability

If the prominent horses position perfectly and kick together entering the straight

Tachos and Ob La Di time their moves to perfection, getting first run on the leaders while having enough pace to hold off the closers. Their tactical positioning proves the winning formula in a truly-run race.

TachosOb La DiThrifty Of DigbyPink Oxalis

Pace collapse benefits all

5% probability

If Thrifty Of Digby goes too slow and the race becomes a sprint finish

The crawling pace turns the contest into a pure speed test where any horse can win regardless of running style. The finish becomes a lottery with form lines thrown out the window in the dash to the line.

River AraChica GuerreraSpanish TemptressAkecheta

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Thrifty Of Digby setting too fast an early pace which could compromise her finishing kick and open the race up

WATCH

Pink Oxalis and Akecheta getting too far back in the small field and running out of room to deliver their finishing efforts

NOTE

River Ara adapting to handicap company after nursery success as the only three-year-old against older fillies

WATCH

Tachos showing any signs of needing the run after her 206-day absence despite Dermot Weld's excellent strike rate

NOTE

The pace development through the middle stages as this will determine whether hold-up or prominent runners benefit most

3:44 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Gowran Classic (Smullen Series)

1m1½f · Good · DEFAULT · 20 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Flawless Fusion led; the map had Hardy Warrior and Bunyola Bay and Honouramongthieves in front.

Bunyola Bay won at 6.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Hardy WarriorBunyola BayHonouramongthieves

Prominent · 7

PerisherMiss RomagnaManton BayKarrygrantCherry Hill GirlLoch GamhnaFlawless Fusion

Midfield · 4

LouisianaMo MhuirinMarjorie DawMatilda Joslyngage

Hold Up · 6

Summer Is TomorrowKillashee WarriorSatoyamaBrownstownCamino VinoWhy Wyoming

Hardy Warrior, Bunyola Bay and Honouramongthieves will ensure a strong gallop from the start, with all three natural front-runners likely to press forward early over this stamina-testing 1m1½f trip. The sustained pace will stretch the field and create a searching test, particularly on good ground at Gowran Park where the emphasis falls on staying power. This strong gallop will suit prominent racers and hold-up horses with a turn of foot, while leaders may pay for their early exertions. The race shape clearly favours horses that can settle behind the pace and deliver their challenge in the final two furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Benefits Closers

60% probability

If Hardy Warrior and Bunyola Bay duel from the front

The leaders will set unsustainable fractions over this trip, allowing closers to pick up the pieces. Hold-up horses with class like Killashee Warrior and Summer Is Tomorrow will thrive off the strong gallop.

Killashee WarriorSummer Is TomorrowBrownstownSatoyama

Prominent Runners Strike

25% probability

If Perisher can settle just behind the leaders

The in-form Perisher can avoid the early burn-up while staying close enough to strike. His recent winning form and prominent style perfectly suits tracking the pace-setters.

PerisherManton BayHardy WarriorMiss Romagna

Early Leader Survives

10% probability

If Hardy Warrior gets an uncontested lead

With Bunyola Bay and Honouramongthieves potentially cancelling each other out, Hardy Warrior could steal a march. His class and OR 107 rating would be decisive if allowed easy fractions.

Hardy WarriorBunyola BayPerisherKillashee Warrior

Pace Collapses Late

5% probability

If all three front-runners compromise each other

A messy early pace battle could set up a sprint finish that doesn't suit this trip. The race would become tactical and favour the most talented regardless of position.

PerisherHardy WarriorSummer Is TomorrowKillashee Warrior

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hardy Warrior must handle early pressure from Bunyola Bay and Honouramongthieves or his class advantage evaporates

WATCH

Perisher's prominent style could be caught between wanting to track leaders and avoiding the early burn-up

WATCH

Killashee Warrior needs the pace to truly collapse given his hold-up style and 28-day break

NOTE

Satoyama disappointed as favourite yesterday at Listowel which raises immediate form concerns

NOTE

Summer Is Tomorrow may struggle with the step up to 1m1½f given his preference for 7f trips

4:19 — QuinnBet (C & G) Maiden

1m1½f · Good · MDN · 17 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

4:54 — Ladies Day July 25th Handicap (Div I)

1m1½f · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

Lead contested: Private Larry v Jewels LegacyHISTORIC

How it ran

Private Larry and Jewels Legacy led, as the map showed.

Sweet Baby Zou won at 4.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Private LarryJewels Legacy

Prominent · 3

OnyeisiAccelereightDawson Street

Midfield · 5

Minella BuoySwinging The WorldConnovaMusic And SongCadreville

Hold Up · 4

PlinySweet Baby ZouRoaming CoyoteKart Of Gold

Private Larry and Jewels Legacy are the confirmed front-runners, but both carry warnings for fading in the finish and lack recent form sharpness. This sets up a moderate early pace that should suit prominent racers like Accelereight and Onyeisi to track the leaders before the pace-setters weaken. The combination of willing but vulnerable leaders and a competitive handicap field over 1m1½f creates a race where horses with tactical speed can position handy and kick when the early leaders tire. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and those that can settle close enough to strike when the pace collapses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Capitalize

45% probability

If Accelereight and Onyeisi track the pace-setters perfectly through the early stages

The moderate gallop set by fading leaders allows sharp prominent racers to hit top gear just as Private Larry and Jewels Legacy weaken in the final two furlongs. Accelereight's recent Ballinrobe second and Onyeisi's consistent placing record make them ideally suited to exploit this tactical setup.

AccelereightOnyeisiPlinyRoaming Coyote

Hold-up Horse Strikes

30% probability

If the pace collapses dramatically in the final three furlongs allowing strong finishers to close

Pliny's class advantage becomes decisive as he sweeps past tired leaders, with his proven ability to finish strongly over this trip. Sweet Baby Zou and other hold-up merchants benefit from the strong pace setup despite their recent struggles.

PlinySweet Baby ZouMinella BuoyRoaming Coyote

Pace Surprise Victory

15% probability

If Private Larry defies his fading tendency and maintains his front-running kick to the line

The early leader finds improvement from gelding and first-time headgear, sustaining his gallop better than expected. Jewels Legacy or another pace-setter capitalizes on a tactical race where nobody makes a decisive move.

Private LarryAccelereightOnyeisiPliny

Outsider Breakthrough

10% probability

If the handicapper has been lenient and a lightly-raced improver finds significant progress

Connova returns much sharper after 211 days off, or Swinging The World benefits dramatically from stable change and gelding. The competitive nature of the handicap allows a horse on the upgrade to exploit the pace scenario.

ConnovaSwinging The WorldMusic And SongMinella Buoy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Private Larry and Jewels Legacy both carry fade warnings but must set the pace, creating potential collapse scenario

WATCH

Connova and Swinging The World return from extended breaks exceeding 200 days, fitness highly questionable

NOTE

Accelereight and Onyeisi are perfectly positioned as prominent runners to exploit the likely pace setup

WATCH

Multiple horses trying headgear for first time including Private Larry (hood) and Music And Song (blinkers)

NOTE

Sweet Baby Zou runs just 3 days after last start, quick turnaround may indicate Joseph O'Brien confidence

5:29 — Ladies Day July 25th Handicap (Div II)

1m1½f · Good · HCAP · 15 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Amrum won at 4.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

Zitkala SaA Pretty PennyBorora AuraCanon Law

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 7

ConcaireOchtar AgainnRodeo BluesCurious JaneStarflowThreebiggulpsWedding Year

Hold Up · 4

Neon EyesAmrumPremier PrincessMaker's Mark

Zitkala Sa, A Pretty Penny, and Borora Aura will force a strong early gallop in this competitive handicap with Canon Law also likely to race prominently. The sustained pace over 1m1½f will test stamina reserves, particularly given the good ground conditions at Gowran Park. With multiple front-runners committed to racing forward, the pace will be honest throughout creating a true test. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can finish late, as the early leaders will soften each other up.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If the pace-setters go too fast early and tie up in the final furlong

The strong early gallop will set up perfectly for horses with proven late kick who can pick off tired leaders. Patient tactics will be rewarded as stamina tells over this extended trip.

Neon EyesAmrumConcaireOchtar Againn

Front Runner Survives

20% probability

If one of the pace-setters gets an uncontested lead and controls fractions

A Pretty Penny or Borora Aura could steal a march if the others go too hard, allowing them to dictate and kick clear. Their natural speed advantage becomes decisive if they avoid the early battle.

A Pretty PennyBorora AuraCanon LawZitkala Sa

Pace Collapse Benefits

10% probability

If the early pace is moderate and the race becomes tactical

Without genuine pressure early, the race becomes a sprint finish where natural speed trumps stamina. The front-runners retain energy for a sustained drive to the line.

Zitkala SaA Pretty PennyRodeo BluesWedding Year

Outsider Strikes Late

5% probability

If the handicapper has underestimated an improver who benefits from the strong pace

A lightly-raced sort with untapped potential could emerge from the pack as others weaken. The combination of pace setup and weight relief creates the perfect storm.

StarflowWedding YearMaker's MarkCanon Law

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Zitkala Sa and A Pretty Penny could go too fast early in battle for lead, setting up perfect scenario for hold-up horses

WATCH

Amrum's quick reappearance after Friday run could be significant positive or concerning depending on recovery

WATCH

Wedding Year's all-weather improvement may not transfer back to turf despite suitable race conditions

NOTE

Starflow represents in-form Henry De Bromhead stable making handicap debut which could unlock hidden ability

NOTE

Neon Eyes and Ochtar Againn both ran well on handicap debuts here and hold-up styles suit expected pace

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 1 June 2026.

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