Archive›Haydock · 25 April 2026

Haydock

25 April 2026 · 7 races

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1:25 — Darley EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Good · NOV · 4 runners

Ravenspire to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Poker led; the map had Ravenspire in front.

Ravenspire won at 2.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ravenspire

Prominent · 2

Pursuit Of LovePoker

Midfield · 1

Quiet Summer

Hold Up · 0

None

Ravenspire will dictate from the front without serious pressure, creating a sustainable tempo over this 1m4f trip. Pursuit Of Love and Poker are likely to track prominently behind the leader, while Quiet Summer's positioning remains unclear given limited data. The uncontested pace scenario strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can position close to the action. This race shape clearly benefits horses with early speed who can secure good positions without energy expenditure.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Ravenspire Wire To Wire

45% probability

If Ravenspire gets an easy lead and maintains rhythm

The leader dictates comfortable fractions and proves too strong when challenged, having saved energy throughout. His recent Southwell win suggests he has the class edge when allowed to dominate.

RavenspirePursuit Of LovePokerQuiet Summer

Pursuit Of Love Strikes

35% probability

If Pursuit Of Love tracks the leader and times his challenge perfectly

The Appleby runner uses superior class to reel in Ravenspire in the final furlong, benefiting from the sustainable pace. William Buick's tactical nous proves decisive in a small field.

Pursuit Of LoveRavenspireQuiet SummerPoker

Quiet Summer Unknown Factor

12% probability

If the lightly-raced Balding runner shows significant improvement

The unexposed three-year-old surprises with a bold showing, though lack of recent form data makes this a wildcard scenario. The breeding suggests stamina for this trip.

Quiet SummerPursuit Of LoveRavenspirePoker

Poker Long Shot Success

8% probability

If the headgear and trip increase spark dramatic improvement

The Burke second-string benefits from the uncontested pace to run his best race for months. However, his moderate form figures make this highly unlikely.

PokerRavenspirePursuit Of LoveQuiet Summer

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Quiet Summer's positioning early will reveal tactical intentions given complete lack of form evidence

WATCH

Ravenspire must handle the step up from all-weather to turf after his Southwell success

NOTE

Pursuit Of Love's fitness levels after 56-day absence may determine challenge timing

NOTE

Poker's headgear debut could signal trainer confidence despite poor recent form

WATCH

The small field creates limited pace pressure which may favour the natural leader Ravenspire

2:00 — William Hill Price Boosts Every Day EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Good · NOV · 8 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:35 — William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Henlein likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Henlein and Croupier led, as the map showed.

Cosi Bello won at 3.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

7 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Henlein

Prominent · 4

Cerulean BayGreat AcclaimSarab StarKhafiz

Midfield · 3

CroupierCosi BelloThe Angel King

Hold Up · 4

MarshmanCaburnKorkerDarkness

Henlein stands alone as the confirmed front runner and will set a sustainable pace without pressure early. Cosi Bello, Khafiz, Great Acclaim, Sarab Star and Cerulean Bay will track in prominent positions, but none are natural gate-to-wire types. The middle portion will be steady with the prominent group content to wait, before a cavalry charge develops from the 2f pole as the hold-up horses Korker, Marshman, Caburn and Darkness get their chance. This controlled pace scenario strongly favours the prominent/midfield runners who can position handy and have something left for the finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Finish

45% probability

If Henlein sets a steady tempo and the prominent group tracks without pressure

The pace will be genuine but not punishing, allowing those in touch to sprint home strongly. Prominent runners with tactical speed like Great Acclaim and Sarab Star can capitalise on perfect positioning.

Great AcclaimSarab StarCosi BelloKhafiz

Late Kick Suits Closers

30% probability

If the pace is too slow and becomes a sprint from the 2f pole

Hold-up horses get the perfect scenario to unleash their finishing kicks from off the pace. Marshman's Listed form at 7f and Caburn's impressive return win become highly relevant.

MarshmanCaburnKorkerDarkness

Front Runner Dominates

15% probability

If Henlein gets easy fractions and kicks clear turning in

The lone leader gets first run and builds an unassailable advantage before the field can respond. His Group 1 placing in Australia demonstrates class that could prove decisive with the right setup.

HenleinGreat AcclaimCosi BelloSarab Star

Pace Collapse Sprint

10% probability

If multiple horses refuse to track Henlein and he gets very easy fractions

The race becomes a 2f dash where pure speed matters most, disadvantaging stamina-laden types. Those with gate speed like Cosi Bello can capitalise despite prominence preferences.

Cosi BelloKhafizGreat AcclaimSarab Star

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Henlein faces serious fitness concerns after 420 days off despite being the lone pace angle

WATCH

Cosi Bello and Cerulean Bay return from long layoffs that could blunt their effectiveness significantly

NOTE

Great Acclaim's blinkers application suggests connections expect improved performance from recent disappointing runs

WATCH

Korker's tendency to fade in finishes could be exposed if the pace becomes too strong early

NOTE

Marshman and Caburn represent the main hold-up threats if the pace becomes tactical

3:10 — William Hill Bet Builder Winnings Boost Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2½f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Ted Le Saux to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Empire Of Light led; the map had Ted Le Saux in front.

Empire Of Light won at 9.00 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ted Le Saux

Prominent · 4

Winter FlowerOuro PretoRoarin' SuccessEmpire Of Light

Midfield · 2

Due To HenryJujubella

Hold Up · 3

Cavolo NeroNaplesCancelled

Ted Le Saux will lead unchallenged early with Winter Flower, Due To Henry, Jujubella, and Empire Of Light all wanting prominent positions behind him. This creates a tactical logjam with four horses fighting for the same real estate, likely forcing some wider or further back than ideal. The sustained gallop over this extended distance will string out the field, with hold-up horses Cavolo Nero and Naples needing the pace to collapse. This race shape strongly favors the lone leader Ted Le Saux and any hold-up horse that gets the right gaps, as the prominent runners will compromise each other.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leader Gets Away

45% probability

If Ted Le Saux establishes a soft lead without pressure from the prominent pack.

The unchallenged leader can dictate fractions and kick clear when the prominent runners start fighting each other turning for home. Ted Le Saux benefits from splendid isolation while Cavolo Nero could pick up the pieces if given a clear run.

Ted Le SauxCavolo NeroWinter FlowerNaples

Prominent Battle Royal

30% probability

If Winter Flower, Due To Henry, Jujubella and Empire Of Light all race keenly for the same position.

These four will go at unsustainable fractions trying to sit second, setting up the race for a closer with tactical speed. Naples and Cavolo Nero can benefit from the pace meltdown if they get racing room when it matters.

Cavolo NeroNaplesWinter FlowerEmpire Of Light

Winter Flower Breaks Free

15% probability

If Winter Flower can secure sole possession of second place behind Ted Le Saux.

The Haggas mare gets the perfect trip tracking the leader while her rivals fight behind, then has the class to outkick Ted Le Saux when William Buick asks. Her September form at this trip gives her the edge in a tactical finish.

Winter FlowerTed Le SauxCavolo NeroDue To Henry

Empire Repeats Course Form

10% probability

If Empire Of Light can work into contention despite the traffic and repeat his Chester front-running win.

The course winner finds gaps when others can't and his mud form translates to this good ground over a trip that suits. Grant Tuer's 2/10 record suggests when they're ready, they're ready.

Empire Of LightWinter FlowerTed Le SauxJujubella

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ted Le Saux and how much rope William Buick gives him early - if he gets loose it's over

WATCH

Winter Flower's jumping from the stalls after 143 days off - needs to be handy early or traffic will kill her chances

NOTE

Cavolo Nero getting clear racing room turning for home - Ferguson's hold-up horses need luck in running

WATCH

The prominent quartet of Winter Flower, Due To Henry, Jujubella and Empire Of Light all fighting for the same piece of ground

NOTE

Naples showing any early zip compared to his tailed-off Doncaster return - needs to prove that run was just rustiness

3:45 — William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dunkeld Dreamer and Mr Seagull and Electrical and Gold Dawn led, as the map showed.

Dunkeld Dreamer won at 19.00 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

See BlueElectricalSpiritoftheblues

Prominent · 4

Mr SeagullGo RimbaudCommanding OfficerGold Dawn

Midfield · 1

Dunkeld Dreamer

Hold Up · 1

Strength Of Spirit

See Blue, Spiritoftheblues and Electrical will clash from the gates, creating a genuine gallop over this staying mile trip. With Go Rimbaud, Commanding Officer, Mr Seagull, Gold Dawn and Dunkeld Dreamer all wanting prominent positions, the first half-mile will see serious congestion and positioning battles. The strong early pace will stretch the field approaching the home turn, but crucially test stamina reserves in the final two furlongs. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses like Strength Of Spirit who can capitalize on the inevitable pace collapse.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Benefits Closers

65% probability

If the three front-runners engage in a speed duel through halfway

The strong gallop will compromise the leaders and prominent runners, allowing late runners to sweep past tired horses in the final furlong. Strength Of Spirit's hold-up style perfectly suits this most likely outcome.

Strength Of SpiritGo RimbaudCommanding Officer

Prominent Runner Survives

20% probability

If one of the prominent racers secures the perfect tactical position behind the pace

Go Rimbaud or Commanding Officer could time their move perfectly, benefiting from the pace without being part of the early burn. Their class and tactical speed gives them the edge over pure hold-up types.

Go RimbaudCommanding OfficerStrength Of Spirit

Front Runner Steals It

10% probability

If See Blue or Spiritoftheblues gets an uncontested lead with the other pace-setters faltering early

A lone leader could control fractions and kick clear, especially if the prominent pack gets caught in traffic. See Blue's recent winning form makes him the most likely beneficiary.

See BlueSpiritoftheblues

Traffic Chaos Decides

5% probability

If the prominent congestion causes severe interference or checks in the straight

Random positioning from traffic problems could throw form out the window, allowing any horse with a clear passage to capitalize. The Burke-trained runners know how to find gaps.

Dunkeld DreamerStrength Of SpiritGold Dawn

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

See Blue and Spiritoftheblues both want the early lead after long breaks - one must compromise position

WATCH

The prominent quartet of Go Rimbaud, Commanding Officer, Mr Seagull and Gold Dawn creates major traffic risk turning in

WATCH

Strength Of Spirit needs gaps to appear in the straight as Jack Nicholls' 5lb claim won't help in a cavalry charge

NOTE

Electrical's stamina for the mile remains unproven after failing in two attempts beyond sprint distances

NOTE

Both Burke runners Strength Of Spirit and Dunkeld Dreamer are proven gap-finders if the pace sets up right

4:20 — William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ellie's de Vega led; the map had G'Emmethegreenlite and Houndhill and Call Me By My Name in front.

Flash Rascal won at 4.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

G'EmmethegreenliteHoundhillCall Me By My Name

Prominent · 4

ParanjapeWhiskey KissesJohn BarleycornBlack Endeavour

Midfield · 2

Full GasEllie's de Vega

Hold Up · 4

Stoic PoetFlash RascalAdalidaJenny Jerome

G'Emmethegreenlite, Houndhill, and Call Me By My Name will ensure a strong gallop from the start with three confirmed front-runners in a small field. The pace will be genuinely testing over 6f at Haydock, creating a stamina examination despite the sprint distance. This sustained gallop will stretch the field and expose any lack of fitness from the long-absent runners. The race shape strongly favours prominent racers and hold-up horses with a finishing kick, as the early leaders may burn out in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Gallop Suits Closers

45% probability

If the three front-runners maintain a fierce pace throughout

The early leaders will weaken in the final furlong, allowing hold-up horses with proven finishing speed to sweep past. Fresh runners with tactical speed will benefit most from this collapse.

Flash RascalJenny JeromeFull GasAdalida

Front Runner Dominates

30% probability

If one of the pace-setters breaks clear and sustains

G'Emmethegreenlite or Call Me By My Name could exploit their reduced marks to lead throughout if opponents fail to go with them early. The winner will need both pace and stamina to resist late challengers.

G'EmmethegreenliteCall Me By My NameHoundhillBlack Endeavour

Prominent Tracker Wins

20% probability

If a horse settles just behind the leaders and times their move perfectly

Black Endeavour or Paranjape could use their proven course form and tactical speed to strike at the optimal moment. They'll benefit from the strong pace without being embroiled in the early battle.

Black EndeavourParanjapeWhiskey KissesJohn Barleycorn

Pace Collapses Early

5% probability

If the front-runners go too fast and all three crack before the furlong pole

The race will become a sprint finish between the midfield and hold-up horses, favouring those with the best turn of foot. This scenario requires extreme early fractions to materialize.

Flash RascalFull GasJenny JeromeEllie's de Vega

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

G'Emmethegreenlite, Houndhill, and Call Me By My Name could set unsustainable fractions if all three commit to leading

WATCH

Flash Rascal needs to prove his AW form translates to turf having shown little on the surface previously

WATCH

Multiple horses returning from lengthy breaks including Stoic Poet (210 days) and G'Emmethegreenlite (274 days) may need the run

NOTE

First-time headgear changes on Whiskey Kisses (cheekpieces), John Barleycorn (blinkers), and Full Gas (cheekpieces) could spark improvement

NOTE

Call Me By My Name and G'Emmethegreenlite both racing off significantly reduced marks after disappointing campaigns

4:55 — William Hill Inside Track Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Punchbowl Flyer to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Punchbowl Flyer led, as the map showed.

Good Earth won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Punchbowl Flyer

Prominent · 2

Cherry CobblerHarry Mole

Midfield · 5

Good EarthMargorieDandy DinmontAndalprofitSedgemoor

Hold Up · 3

The Childe Of HaleJudicatureFiscal Policy

Punchbowl Flyer will lead from the gates with no other confirmed front-runners in this field, likely getting an uncontested lead through steady fractions. Cherry Cobbler and Harry Mole may track close behind as prominent racers, but neither will pressure the leader early. The lack of early pace means Punchbowl Flyer can dictate terms before the hold-up brigade including Dandy Dinmont, Good Earth, and Andalprofit launch their challenges. This sustainable pace scenario clearly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can capitalise on the soft lead, while hold-up horses face the risk of the leader getting first run.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner Win

45% probability

If Punchbowl Flyer gets the expected soft lead and maintains his recent good form.

The leader dictates comfortable fractions and kicks clear turning for home, holding off late challengers who leave their runs too late. Front-runners and prominent racers benefit from the lack of early pace pressure.

Punchbowl FlyerCherry CobblerHarry MoleAndalprofit

Hold-Up Horse Surge

30% probability

If the pace becomes truly crawling and allows closers to unleash devastating finishing kicks.

The modest early gallop sets up a sprint finish where horses with tactical speed can make ground quickly in the final furlong. Quality hold-up horses with good recent form can overcome the pace bias.

Dandy DinmontGood EarthAndalprofitFiscal Policy

Prominent Tracker Victory

15% probability

If Cherry Cobbler or Harry Mole track the leader closely and outstay Punchbowl Flyer in the final 100 yards.

The prominent racers get ideal positioning behind the uncontested leader and have enough left to pass the pace-setter when he weakens. This rewards horses that can combine early positioning with finishing kick.

Cherry CobblerHarry MolePunchbowl FlyerDandy Dinmont

Improving Handicapper Shock

10% probability

If Sedgemoor or Judicature benefit from their recent wins and lower weights to spring a surprise.

The light weights and confidence from recent victories allow these improvers to overcome less favourable draws or running styles. Class and form can triumph over pure pace positioning.

SedgemoorJudicatureGood EarthThe Childe Of Hale

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Punchbowl Flyer getting too soft a lead early - if uncontested through halfway he becomes very hard to peg back

WATCH

Cherry Cobbler's fitness after 80-day break - any rustiness could undermine his prominent racing style

NOTE

Dandy Dinmont's position turning for home - Tom Marquand needs to be handy enough to strike in this pace scenario

WATCH

Good Earth's jumping from the gates - his hold-up style requires quick early positioning to overcome pace bias

NOTE

Sedgemoor adapting to new stable - first run for John Ryan after recent trainer switch from John Butler

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 25 April 2026.

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