Archive›Haydock · 9 May 2026

Haydock

9 May 2026 · 7 races

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12:45 — Pertemps Network Long Distance Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

3m½f · Good · HCAP · 15 runners

Al Sayah to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Eagle Fang led; the map had Al Sayah in front.

Matty's Getaway won at 8.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently.

5 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Al Sayah

Prominent · 6

Eagle FangSerious ChatLa PinsonniereMatty's GetawayBold EndeavourWalking On Air

Midfield · 4

Sea The CloudsTranquil SeaFlying FortuneGold For Alec

Hold Up · 4

Harbour LakeDeep CaveMoon d'OrangeLord Snootie

Al Sayah is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the start, but six horses (Matty's Getaway, La Pinsonniere, Serious Chat, Eagle Fang, Bold Endeavour, Sea The Clouds, Walking On Air) want prominent positions creating a traffic jam. This congestion will intensify approaching the business end with horses struggling for room 2-3 out. The sustainable early gallop set by uncontested Al Sayah, combined with the prominent logjam, strongly favours hold-up horses who can avoid the squeeze and deliver their challenge from cleaner water.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Heroes Deliver

65% probability

If the prominent pack gets tangled up from 3 out as predicted

The pace setters create perfect conditions for patient riders to weave through and strike late. Harbour Lake, Deep Cave and Flying Fortune benefit from clean runs while the early leaders tire from battling each other.

Harbour LakeDeep CaveFlying FortuneTranquil Sea

Prominent Survives Traffic

20% probability

If one of the prominent runners finds enough room to kick clear 2 out

The early pace proves sustainable enough for a forward-going horse to tough it out despite the crowding. Eagle Fang or Serious Chat use their class to emerge from the scrum.

Eagle FangSerious ChatMatty's GetawayLa Pinsonniere

Al Sayah Wire-To-Wire

10% probability

If the front-runner's sustainable gallop proves too tactical for closers

The uncontested leader gets such an easy time in front that he has enough left to repel late challenges. Al Sayah's 5lb rise proves insufficient to stop his winning run.

Al SayahWalking On AirBold EndeavourSea The Clouds

Complete Pace Collapse

5% probability

If Al Sayah goes too slowly and no prominent runner commits early enough

The race becomes a sprint finish with the entire field still in contention at the last. This chaotic finale suits horses with turn of foot regardless of early position.

Moon d'OrangeGold For AlecLord SnootieFlying Fortune

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Al Sayah must go a sensible gallop early or he'll have no answer to closers in the straight

WATCH

The prominent bunch of Eagle Fang, Serious Chat, Matty's Getaway and La Pinsonniere getting bunched up from 3 out where the track narrows

NOTE

Harbour Lake's jumping which can be sketchy when he's not fully tuned up, crucial for his chances of repeating last year's win

WATCH

Flying Fortune needs to settle better than in his three runs this year to be effective from off the pace

NOTE

Deep Cave's ability to handle the step back to hurdles after his recent chase wins over fences

1:15 — Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

1m7½f · Good · HCAP · 17 runners

Lead contested: Bucephalus v TellherthenameHISTORIC

How it ran

Mr McLoughlan led; the map had Bucephalus and Tellherthename in front.

Moon Chime won at 34.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

6 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

BucephalusTellherthename

Prominent · 6

AlnilamIndemnityHelnweinNo Ordinary JoeBubble DubiMagna Victor

Midfield · 4

Star Of GuitingMade U BlushMr McLoughlanFrontier Prince

Hold Up · 5

LaafiGibbs IslandHamlet's NightMoon ChimeDance And Glance

Bucephalus and Tellherthename are confirmed front-runners who will contest the early pace, with Bucephalus likely to force it from the flag given his front-running style and Tucker's 7lb claim. The honest gallop they set will stretch this 17-runner field over 1m7½f, creating a searching test that will find out the stamina reserves. Several prominent racers like Helnwein, Indemnity and Bubble Dubi will track the leaders closely, but the sustained pace will favor hold-up horses who can finish strongly off a solid tempo. This race shape clearly favors the hold-up merchants and strong finishers who can benefit from the pace injection.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

45% probability

If Bucephalus and Tellherthename set a genuine gallop and maintain it to 3f out

The sustained pace will set up perfectly for the closers, with Dance And Glance, Star Of Guiting and Made U Blush able to unleash their finishing kicks. The front-runners will weaken in the final furlong, allowing the patient riders to sweep past.

Dance And GlanceStar Of GuitingMade U BlushMr McLoughlan

Prominent Racers Strike

30% probability

If the early pace becomes moderate and the front-runners compromise each other

Helnwein, Indemnity and No Ordinary Joe can position prominently and have enough left to kick clear when the pace lifts. Their tactical positioning allows them to avoid traffic while still benefiting from the tempo.

IndemnityHelnweinNo Ordinary JoeBubble Dubi

Front-Runner Gets Away

15% probability

If Bucephalus or Tellherthename gets an uncontested lead and dictates fractions

The leader can control the race from the front, picking up the pace when it matters most while the field struggles to close the gap. Bucephalus has the course form to execute this perfectly.

BucephalusTellherthenameDance And GlanceIndemnity

Chaos Benefits Outsiders

10% probability

If there's significant interference or the favorites are caught wide throughout

The pace becomes stop-start, negating the class advantage and allowing horses like Magna Victor or Gibbs Island to capitalize on a messy race. Form gets thrown out the window in a tactical affair.

Magna VictorGibbs IslandFrontier PrinceMoon Chime

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Bucephalus and Tellherthename could compromise each other early if both go forward too aggressively

WATCH

Made U Blush is getting significant weight as a 4yo filly but faces much stiffer opposition than recent wins

NOTE

Moon Chime returns from a 210-day absence with an inexperienced 3lb claimer taking the ride

WATCH

Several horses including Bubble Dubi and Star Of Guiting return from lengthy breaks exceeding 50 days

NOTE

The good ground favors Indemnity who has a perfect 4-6 record on this surface over hurdles

1:48 — Pertemps Network 'Junior' National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)

1m7½f · Good · CLS3 · 10 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:30 — Pertemps Newton Handicap

1m3½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Double Combo to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Salkadan led; the map had Double Combo in front.

Salkadan won at 10.00 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Double Combo

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

SalkadanCrown Inn To WinCorduroyKeep It ClassicDue To Shine

Hold Up · 2

MyrrhBarbury Boy

Double Combo will lead from the gates with no other natural front runners to challenge him early. Kevin Stott can dictate a steady, uncontested pace over this stamina-testing trip, having led for most of the way on his last start. The race will develop into a classic staying test where the front runner controls the fractions, setting up a sprint finish from the home turn. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can finish, as they'll get the perfect scenario of a controlled pace followed by a sprint finish that suits their tactical style.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Lead Holds

45% probability

If Double Combo gets an easy lead and maintains strong galloping rhythm

The front runner controls every fraction and proves hard to pass up the straight, while the hold-up horses struggle to make up the ground despite the honest pace. Double Combo's stamina and tactical advantage prove decisive.

Double ComboBarbury BoySalkadanMyrrh

Late Closers Strike

35% probability

If the pace becomes too steady and creates a sprint finish

The controlled fractions set up perfectly for horses with a turn of foot, allowing the best finishers to sweep past Double Combo in the final furlong. Barbury Boy and Salkadan benefit most from this tactical setup.

Barbury BoySalkadanMyrrhCrown Inn To Win

Mid-Race Pressure Changes

12% probability

If jockeys push forward mid-race to challenge Double Combo

The pace quickens from the 6f marker as hold-up horses move earlier than planned, creating a more genuine test that suits horses with both stamina and pace. This compromises both front runner and pure closers.

Crown Inn To WinMyrrhBarbury BoyDouble Combo

Pace Collapse Sprint

8% probability

If Double Combo goes too slow and gets swamped by multiple challengers

The race becomes a pure sprint from 3f out with multiple horses converging simultaneously, favouring whoever has the best turn of foot regardless of early position. Pure speed trumps tactics.

SalkadanBarbury BoyMyrrhKeep It Classic

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Double Combo's jumping from the gates - if he's slow away or contested early, the entire race dynamic changes dramatically.

WATCH

Barbury Boy's position turning in - if he's too far back when the pace quickens, his winning chance diminishes significantly.

NOTE

Keep It Classic's effort level in the final 2f - his tendency to fade makes him unreliable even in favorable scenarios.

WATCH

Salkadan's position at halfway - needs to be within striking distance to utilize his proven finishing kick effectively.

NOTE

Crown Inn To Win tracking the pace - if he gets into an early battle, his lightweight advantage gets compromised.

3:05 — Pertemps Network Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

5 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Silver State led, as the map showed.

Mohaaraj won at 5.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 5

Silver StateHarlequin BreezeApplesandpearsJeddaalSea The Power

Prominent · 3

Dodge CityMohaarajAerial Silk

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Blue To BlueDelinquent

Silver State, Applesandpears, Sea The Power and Jeddaal will ensure a genuine gallop from the start with Harlequin Breeze also likely to race prominently. Silver State has shown devastating front-running form on turf while Applesandpears and Sea The Power both prefer to make their own pace, creating a potentially fierce early battle. The strong early tempo will test stamina reserves over this stiff Haydock mile. This pace dynamic strongly favours horses with proven hold-up tactics who can finish strongly, as the front-runners will likely compromise each other.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Strong Gallop

45% probability

If Silver State, Applesandpears and Sea The Power all go forward together creating relentless early pace

The fierce gallop will collapse the field in the final furlong, setting up a tactical finish for those held up. Blue To Blue and Delinquent's patient styles become major assets as the pace-setters pay the price.

Blue To BlueDelinquentAerial SilkMohaaraj

Tactical Battle Develops

30% probability

If the multiple pace-setters show mutual respect and settle into a more measured rhythm

A slower tempo allows Silver State or Jeddaal to control proceedings and kick clear when ready. Front-runners can dictate terms and prove too strong for the hold-up horses.

Silver StateJeddaalMohaarajDodge City

Mid-Race Acceleration

15% probability

If prominent runners like Dodge City and Aerial Silk move up to challenge the leaders turning for home

The injection of pace stretches the field but doesn't collapse the leaders completely. Mohaaraj's prominent style becomes ideal as he can track the move and respond.

MohaarajAerial SilkSilver StateBlue To Blue

Complete Collapse

10% probability

If all the front-runners go too hard early in genuine fast ground conditions

The pace becomes unsustainable and the entire leading group stops dramatically in the final two furlongs. Only the most patient hold-up horses can capitalise from the carnage.

Blue To BlueDelinquentAerial SilkDodge City

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Silver State could prove too strong if allowed uncontested lead given his recent front-running dominance

WATCH

Multiple pace-setters Applesandpears, Sea The Power and Jeddaal may neutralise each other early

WATCH

Blue To Blue switching from Karl Burke to Ruth Jefferson on stable debut could face settling issues

NOTE

Delinquent stepping up from all-weather success to turf handicap company for first time this season

NOTE

Ashley Lewis's 5lb claim on Jeddaal could prove crucial if race becomes competitive finish

3:40 — Pertemps Network Spring Trophy Stakes (Listed Race)

7f · Good · LST · 11 runners

Lead contested: Balmacara v Release The StormHISTORIC

How it ran

Poet Master led; the map had Balmacara and Release The Storm in front.

Lake Forest won at 2.20 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

BalmacaraRelease The Storm

Prominent · 3

Poet MasterMyalPalmar Bay

Midfield · 3

HeathcliffAudienceBeauty Destiny

Hold Up · 3

Lake ForestTen Bob TonyHolguin

Balmacara and Release The Storm will ensure a genuine gallop from the start, with both confirmed front-runners likely to dispute the early lead. Their presence guarantees an honest pace that will stretch the field and create a true test of stamina over this 7f trip. The sustained tempo will set up the race for the hold-up horses and those with proven finishing kicks. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up merchants who can stay wide of trouble and deliver their challenge late, particularly Lake Forest, Holguin, and Ten Bob Tony who all possess the tactical speed to capitalise on a truly-run contest.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the early pace is genuinely strong with both leaders going at it

The sustained gallop will perfectly suit the patient tactics of the hold-up brigade who can pick off tired leaders. Lake Forest, Holguin, and Ten Bob Tony all have the class and finishing speed to exploit this scenario.

Lake ForestHolguinTen Bob TonyHeathcliff

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If one of the pace-setters drops away early leaving a more moderate tempo

Myal or Poet Master can track the remaining leader and strike with a well-timed challenge in the final furlong. Their prominent style allows them to stay close enough to pounce when the pace slackens.

MyalPoet MasterPalmar BayRelease The Storm

Front-Runner Survives

12% probability

If Release The Storm gets an uncontested lead with Balmacara struggling early

The unbeaten 4-year-old can dictate terms and potentially have enough left to hold off late challenges. His two career wins were both front-running performances and he's open to significant improvement.

Release The StormBalmacaraPoet MasterMyal

Moderate Pace Backfires

8% probability

If both pace-setters go too slow in the early stages trying to outwait each other

The lack of early pressure allows more horses to remain competitive turning for home, creating a messy finish. This chaotic scenario could benefit an outsider getting a dream run through.

Beauty DestinyPalmar BayHeathcliffAudience

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Release The Storm and Balmacara both want the lead which could create a suicidal early pace

WATCH

Lake Forest returning from 182-day layoff but Haggas horses often need the run first time back

NOTE

Holguin has won this exact race twice before and historically goes well fresh after breaks

WATCH

Audience flashed tail in Dubai suggesting possible behavioural issues may resurface

NOTE

Beauty Destiny's tail-flashing debut suggests he may not have adapted to British racing yet

4:15 — Pertemps Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Ata Rangi likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Bravo Zulu led; the map had Ata Rangi in front.

Ata Rangi won at 7.00 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ata Rangi

Prominent · 3

SonDiamondonthehillHavana Blue

Midfield · 3

City CaptainBravo ZuluOne Night Thunder

Hold Up · 3

Diligent ResdevWarm SpellGlenfinnan

Ata Rangi stands alone as the confirmed front runner and should get an uncontested lead, with the prominent runners Bravo Zulu, Son, Diamondonthehill, Havana Blue and City Captain content to track rather than press. This creates a sustainable pace that won't stretch the field early, allowing the hold-up horses Diligent Resdev, Warm Spell, Glenfinnan and One Night Thunder to stay in touch throughout. The lack of early pace pressure means this race will develop into a sprint finish where stamina and tactical positioning matter more than pure speed. This moderate pace scenario strongly favours prominent trackers who can get first run on the leader, while also giving the hold-up horses a realistic chance if they can find racing room.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Holds

45% probability

If Ata Rangi gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning in

The lack of early pace allows the leader to conserve energy before asserting, while prominent trackers fail to respond quickly enough. Hold-up horses are left with too much to do despite the moderate gallop.

Ata RangiSonDiamondonthehillCity Captain

Prominent Tracker Pounces

30% probability

If one of the prominent runners gets first run on Ata Rangi

The moderate pace sets up perfectly for a horse tracking the leader to strike decisively in the final two furlongs. Ata Rangi's long absence becomes a factor when challenged.

SonCity CaptainDiamondonthehillBravo Zulu

Hold-up Horse Charges

15% probability

If the pace becomes even slower and the field bunches up

The lack of early gallop allows the back markers to stay closer than usual, setting up a cavalry charge finish. Superior class or fitness tells in a blanket finish.

Diligent ResdevOne Night ThunderWarm SpellGlenfinnan

Sprint Finish Scramble

10% probability

If multiple horses hit the front simultaneously in the final furlong

The moderate pace creates a bunched field turning in, leading to traffic problems and a messy finish where luck in running decides the outcome.

City CaptainWarm SpellHavana BlueDiamondonthehill

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ata Rangi may get too easy a lead early if prominent runners are content to sit, allowing him to dictate completely

WATCH

Traffic problems likely in straight as multiple hold-up horses look for racing room simultaneously

NOTE

Bravo Zulu's 7lb claimer Ashley Egan may lack experience for this tactical affair in competitive company

WATCH

Diligent Resdev's 275-day absence is extreme even with his class advantage from Bronze Cup win

NOTE

Son's recent close second suggests Tim Easterby has him spot on and the weight drop continues

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 9 May 2026.

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