Archive›Hexham · 10 October 2026

Hexham

10 October 2026 · 7 races

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1:43 — Project Rugby Community Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

2m4f · Good · CLS4 · 3 runners

Presentandcorrect likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Northern Milan led; the map had Presentandcorrect in front.

Finisk Pride won at 1.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Presentandcorrect

Prominent · 1

Northern Milan

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Finisk Pride

Presentandcorrect is the only horse likely to dictate from the front, having raced prominently last time and coming from a yard and rider combination that favour a forward approach; Northern Milan has winning form at Hexham and should test that lead, but the horse fades in the finish and is unlikely to sustain a pressure role; Finisk Pride, returning after 175 days, will settle in midfield. The race will depend on whether Presentandcorrect can control the early hurdles and whether Northern Milan can stay close enough to pick it up in the closing stages. If Presentandcorrect gets loose on the front, it will set an uncontested gallop; front-runners have a strong record over this trip here, but this field is too light to build a sustained pace that would crush a closer. Prominent racers have fared best at Hexham over 2m4f, and that profile—a horse racing just off the pace with the option to pounce—suits the shape of this race.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Northern Milan pounces late

Scenario

If Presentandcorrect sets an uncontested gallop and tires in the closing hurdles.

Northern Milan has winning form at Hexham on good going and need only track the pace from just behind Presentandcorrect to be perfectly placed for a late run; horses that race prominent and strike late have won at this course and distance more often than the betting suggests. The wire-to-wire front-runner profile is underperforming here, and a stalker arriving fresh in the straight is the true danger.

Northern MilanPresentandcorrect

Presentandcorrect holds on

Scenario

If Presentandcorrect jumps cleanly, settles the pace to its liking, and finds enough in the closing stages to resist.

Presentandcorrect led in only one of its last five runs but was raced prominently last time and is expected to be ridden positively by a forward-thinking combination; on a true gallop with only two rivals, it may be able to control matters from the front and hold on. Front-runners do win at this track and trip with reasonable frequency.

PresentandcorrectNorthern Milan

Finisk Pride emerges

Scenario

If both Presentandcorrect and Northern Milan make early mistakes or fail to build a proper rhythm.

Finisk Pride has not run for 175 days and is returning at a 5yo against rivals with recent race experience; it would need the front two to falter and enough room to switch into the race in the closing hurdles. The form line is weak, and the absence tells against it sharply.

Finisk PrideNorthern Milan

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

WATCH

Northern Milan fading in the final furlong would gift the race to Presentandcorrect; watch whether Brown can time a run late enough to avoid burning out if the pace collapses.

NOTE

Presentandcorrect has not led in any of its last three runs; if it does not get the break and Northern Milan moves up early, the race may be decided in the first half-mile.

KEY

With only three runners and no obvious hold-up type, the race will be decided by how contested the middle stages are; a runaway Presentandcorrect front removes Northern Milan's late option and makes Finisk Pride's task impossible.

2:20 — Hitz Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

2m · Good · NOV · 9 runners

Circle of Steel likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Hourman won at 4.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

1 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Circle of Steel

Prominent · 2

Dark Tide RisingGet On Son

Midfield · 2

MhordartRock Armour

Hold Up · 4

Bogha BaisteHourmanArgentumHappy Harrison

Circle of Steel led in only one of its last two runs and races out of position here as a prominent type; this is not a confirmed front-runner, merely the most likely to get the lead if the yard and rider go forward. Dark Tide Rising, a genuine prominent racer with a recent win and three places from three runs on good ground, will contest the pace if it gets there. The race should develop as a low-intensity affair with Circle of Steel and Dark Tide Rising fighting for the early running, neither establishing a decisive advantage, which will leave the door open for a stalker to pick up the pieces in the closing stages. Front-runners have a strong record over this trip and going, but only when they hold the lead; the half-contested pace here favours a horse able to track and strike from prominent or midfield, not one forced to lead from flag to finish. The field holds more pace types than can all get forward: Dark Tide Rising and Circle of Steel will be the two fighting for position, while Get On Son and other prominent-natured runners will be pushed back or held up by the traffic.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Stalker closes on weak pace

Scenario

If Dark Tide Rising and Circle of Steel dispute a modest lead without breaking clear

Dark Tide Rising sits behind the early exchanges and picks up the most likely front-runner in the closing stages; a half-contested, low-intensity pace with no clear winner emerging until the run-in suits a horse with recent form on good ground and the tactical flexibility to attack late. The Strand Scorecard backs Dark Tide Rising as top choice, and its recent record (won, placed, placed on similar going) supports that verdict under any pace shape.

Dark Tide RisingCircle of SteelBogha Baiste

Front-runner holds on

Scenario

If Circle of Steel settles better than expected and establishes a clear lead at an honest pace

Circle of Steel leads into the final hurdles and holds on despite late pressure; the uncontested nature of its lead forces it to set a brisk enough tempo to prevent a late challenge. A front-runner carrying that scenario home would need to escape the attentions of Dark Tide Rising and prove harder to reach than its recent form suggests.

Circle of SteelDark Tide RisingHappy Harrison

Closer emerges from deep

Scenario

If the early pace collapses entirely and a hold-up horse finds clear running in the run-in

Bogha Baiste or another horse held up through the middle stages gets a clear run when the early exchanges peter out; a very weak pace would hand the advantage to a horse with tactical freedom and jumping fluency at the end. This requires the two early pace-setters to fade much earlier than their form suggests and a hold-up horse to prove significantly better than recent records indicate.

Bogha BaisteHourmanArgentum

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Dark Tide Rising has won on good ground at this distance and holds three placings in similar conditions; if it settles behind the pace, it will be the likeliest to strike home.

WATCH

Circle of Steel has not led in its last two runs and returns after 210 days out; if it does get the lead, holding on will be significantly harder than the early pace shape suggests.

WATCH

The field contains more front-runners and prominent racers than can all get forward; traffic and jostling for position at the early hurdles will compress the field and favour late runners waiting for a gap.

NOTE

Bogha Baiste has form on this ground and distance but comes in at much longer odds than Dark Tide Rising; it offers value only if the pace collapses sufficiently for a hold-up horse to get a clear run down the middle.

NOTE

Happy Harrison pulled hard in recent runs and is a hold-up type; its tendency to race keenly early may push it closer than ideal, reducing its finishing kick when it matters most.

3:05 — Tackling Insights Handicap Hurdle Race

2m7½f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Rebel Tribesman likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Rebel Tribesman led, as the map showed.

Medieval Gold won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Rebel Tribesman

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 2

Shallow RiverImperial Merlin

Hold Up · 3

Medieval GoldLihyanHeather Honey

Rebel Tribesman is the only horse showing a pattern of leading or racing prominently in recent runs, but even then it has led in just one of its last six starts and was ridden positively rather than dominantly last time out. The field contains at least three genuine hold-up horses (Imperial Merlin, Shallow River, Lihyan) whose natural position is at the rear, but there is not enough pace-setting material at the front to accommodate them all there; Imperial Merlin and Shallow River are stronger hold-up types than the field depth usually allows to operate, and will race closer to the action than they ideally prefer. Rebel Tribesman is unlikely to establish a runaway lead and may face pressure early; the pace is unlikely to be truly uncontested. This race will be won by a horse good enough to take advantage of moderate fractions and a crowded midfield—a profile that suits strong runners capable of picking up the pieces when the front is contested rather than a horse dependent on a lone lead or a genuine closing run from far back. Front-runners have a strong record over this trip, but only when they genuinely control it; the hold-up profile is vulnerable here because the lack of a clear pace cushion will compress the field and neutralize the advantage of a late run.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Medieval Gold capitalizes

Scenario

If Medieval Gold settles in the middle ranks and attacks the struggling leaders in the closing stages, as the handicapper has positioned it to do

Medieval Gold races well on this ground—three wins in seven runs on good going—and finds a race without a commanding tempo precisely suited to a horse that can track and pounce. Patrick Neville's stable is in form (2 wins from 3 recent runners), and Brian Hughes is a sharp operator over jumps; the rating of 121 on an official 113 leaves room for improvement.

Medieval GoldRebel TribesmanHeather Honey

Shallow River shows fight

Scenario

If Rebel Tribesman cannot establish a clear lead and Shallow River, despite racing above its natural hold-up position, finds enough momentum to strike in the final furlong

Shallow River holds a 130 rating—11lb clear of Medieval Gold on the card—and won decisively on this ground at 2m4f just three starts ago; a genuine heavyweight that can overcome a suboptimal race setup if it gets a run. The crowding in midfield may actually bring it into contention sooner than usual.

Shallow RiverMedieval GoldImperial Merlin

Rebel Tribesman holds on

Scenario

If Rebel Tribesman lands the lead early, Heather Honey and the other hold-up horses fail to quicken, and the uncontested tempo proves too much for the following field to overturn

Rebel Tribesman has won twice over 2m on good going from a similar pattern of racing prominently, and Jonathan Burke is an effective pilot; however, the horse has led in only one of six recent starts and is outrated by five rivals here, making it dependent on both securing the front and holding rivals at bay—a tall order. Jamie Snowden's yard is in moderate form.

Rebel TribesmanHeather Honey

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Medieval Gold has the highest winning strike-rate on today's ground (3 of 7) and sits perfectly in the handicap; do not underestimate it simply because it is not the headline horse.

WATCH

Shallow River's superior rating (130) is undermined by being forced to race above its hold-up position; if the early pace collapses and Rebel Tribesman is caught, Shallow River's momentum could arrive too late.

NOTE

Heather Honey returns after 189 days; if it shows sharp jumping and settles sweetly, the placing record on good going and familiarity with the track suggest a run at place odds, but the gap away is telling.

KEY

Rebel Tribesman is shown on the lead chiefly because the yard and rider tend to go forward, not because the horse has done so consistently; do not drift into backing it to win simply because it is early on; it led in only 1 of 6 recent starts.

NOTE

The field lacks a true front-running type capable of burning off rivals; moderate fractions and a ruck in the middle will be the likely script, favouring the finisher over the early aggressor.

3:45 — Cast Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Passing Diamond likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Passing Diamond led, as the map showed.

Passing Diamond won at 2.88 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Passing Diamond

Prominent · 1

Passengerontheship

Midfield · 1

Tiddesley Wood

Hold Up · 1

Ballykinlar

Passing Diamond led in five of its last six runs and will be ridden to the front from the off; Tiddesley Wood and Passengerontheship are genuine prominent types likely to race close behind. The pace should be set early and maintained, creating an honest gallop over the two and a quarter miles. Front-runners have a strong record over this trip and going here, winning at a better rate than the market expects. This is a shape that favours horses racing prominently or in front — but the field contains more horses suited to that role than can all secure it, so Tiddesley Wood and Passengerontheship are likely to race in a midfield position rather than their natural spot, leaving Passing Diamond to build an early advantage.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Passing Diamond leads home

Scenario

If Passing Diamond settles in front and controls the race as it has done in five of its last six outings.

Passing Diamond has the strongest recent record at this trip on good ground, has jumped off in front consistently, and front-runners hold a strong statistical edge here. Its rating of 125 is competitive, and with Ben Haslam's yard in form (1 win in 12 days) and Richie McLernon aboard, it has every tool to dictate.

Passing DiamondPassengerontheshipTiddesley Wood

Passengerontheship picks it up late

Scenario

If Passing Diamond tires in the final half-mile and Passengerontheship, dropped in midfield by Jonathan England, runs on strongly to take it.

Passengerontheship has five wins from its last 12 starts on good ground, is only 11lb behind Passing Diamond on the official ratings despite a much lower mark, and the yard (Sam England) is well in form. Hold-up horses are the underdogs here, but when one is this well-treated on form, a closing finish is viable.

PassengerontheshipBallykinlar

Tiddesley Wood finds extra

Scenario

If Tiddesley Wood, a genuine prominent racer held in check in this modest field, produces a sustained effort in the home straight to catch a tiring leader.

Tiddesley Wood won at 20 furlongs on good ground just over 200 days ago, has won and placed at Hexham, and raced well (1st) at this track in similar conditions; however, Brian Hughes will struggle to secure its natural position in this race shape, making a win here unlikely despite its credentials.

Tiddesley WoodPassing Diamond

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Passing Diamond has pulled hard in recent runs — if it over-races early and wastes energy, Passengerontheship's late charge becomes dangerous.

WATCH

Tiddesley Wood is a proven prominent racer but will be denied its natural position here by Passing Diamond's ambitions; watch how Hughes adapts its tactics.

NOTE

Passengerontheship's form (115722) shows recent inconsistency — it won 11 days ago but also finished seventh and second in the last four runs; the turnaround depends on which version shows up.

4:20 — Blaydon Races Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)

1m7½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Achille des Rocs likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Achille des Rocs led, as the map showed.

Mr Lincoln won at 5.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Achille des Rocs

Prominent · 2

Treaty BoyMr Lincoln

Midfield · 2

Langton WoldAthair Mor

Hold Up · 2

Jet RenegadeProspect House

Achille des Rocs led in three of its last five runs and came home leading last time, making it the likeliest to set the pace from the off over this mile and a half. The race should develop as an uncontested lead if Achille des Rocs gets away in front, with Mr Lincoln and Treaty Boy likely to press or shadow from prominent positions. This is a short, sharp chase where front-runners have a strong record over the trip and going, and a horse that can control the tempo from the start holds a material advantage—but Achille des Rocs has form for fading in the finish, which opens the door to a stalker or closer to arrive late and pick it apart. The shape favours either a horse that leads and holds on, or one that races handy and takes over in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Stalker runs down the leader

Scenario

If Mr Lincoln or another prominent racer sits within striking distance and Achille des Rocs fades as it has done recently.

Achille des Rocs will likely get the lead, but its fade in the finish—evident across recent runs—invites a handy rival to pick it off in the closing furlong. Mr Lincoln, a 6-year-old that has placed in three of its last six runs and carries a good record for the yard over this ground, is best positioned to take advantage from a prominent berth.

Mr LincolnProspect HouseAchille des Rocs

Contested lead and early pressure

Scenario

If Treaty Boy or another runner presses Achille des Rocs hard from an early stage, forcing a faster early gallop.

A contested pace would suit a horse that can sit third or fourth and pick up the pieces once the front-runners have scratched each other. Prospect House, freshest in the field after just six days off and boasting a recent win on the same ground, is well equipped to ease through and strike late.

Prospect HouseMr LincolnAchille des Rocs

Midfield horse emerges

Scenario

If Achille des Rocs is simply outpaced and Langton Wold or Athair Mor can pounce from midfield.

Langton Wold, a 7-year-old from a yard in form (one winner in the last three weeks), is rated 100 and has shown good recent efforts; if the front-runners spend themselves, it has the scope to pick off tired rivals in the final strides. Athair Mor has won only twice in a long career but is battle-hardened and familiar with this ground.

Langton WoldAthair MorProspect House

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Achille des Rocs sets a likely uncontested lead but has faded in the finish in recent runs—any prominent racer, particularly Mr Lincoln, will sense an opportunity to strike in the final furlong.

WATCH

Treaty Boy is 220 days since its last outing; while Derek Fox and Stuart Coltherd are competent connections, the lay-off is a marked concern on a sharp track that demands immediate sharpness.

NOTE

Prospect House is the only runner fresher than 11 days off and combines that with a recent winning record on the identical going and distance—a sleeper if early pace is contested.

4:55 — Tynedale Rfc Community Rugby Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

3m · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

No Regrets likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Wal Buck's led; the map had No Regrets in front.

Sledgehammer won at 2.88 — was held up, as the map had it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

No Regrets

Prominent · 2

Wal Buck'sGetaway Vic

Midfield · 2

JeteyeJet Legs

Hold Up · 4

DinonsSledgehammerLoulou MadrikRibeye

No Regrets led in 5 of its last 6 runs and will almost certainly set the pace here, with Getaway Vic, Wal Buck's and Jeteye likely to race prominently in support. If No Regrets gets away cleanly it should dictate an uncontested gallop; however, this field contains four genuine prominent or prominent-leaning types competing for the same ground early, which may force a more competitive tempo than the bare form suggests. The data favours front-runners over this trip and ground, but only if they hold their position — a contested early pace here will tire the early leaders and hand advantage to a stalker or hold-up horse waiting to strike in the closing stages. Front-runners have a strong record here; stalkers and hold-up horses suffer. The race will be won by whichever horse can either lead and hold on, or sit just behind a pressured pace and find extra when it matters most.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Jeteye runs down tired leader

Scenario

If No Regrets leads but is chased hard early, and Jeteye tracks the pace from behind

No Regrets will set a strong early gallop but faces pressure from Getaway Vic and Wal Buck's; Jeteye, racing behind this contested tempo, will have fresher legs at the second-last and pick up the pieces in the run-in. The data rewards front-runners only when they lead uncontested — a busy early pace here inverts that advantage to a prominent racer who isn't involved in the jostling and can close powerfully in the final furlong.

JeteyeGetaway VicNo Regrets

Getaway Vic leads home from front

Scenario

If Getaway Vic takes up the running early and No Regrets fails to assert

Getaway Vic has won on good ground over similar trips and will race positively from the off; it has won once and placed in four of five recent runs on this ground and has handled this distance. If it can clear the field and dictate a strong but uncontested pace, front-runners' form over this trip will favour a clear leader.

Getaway VicJeteyeNo Regrets

Ribeye closes late on soft ground

Scenario

If the early pace collapses and hold-up horses get their chance in a slowly run race

Ribeye has won on this ground and placed three times in nine similar outings; it will be held up and given a late run at the last two fences. A truly steady gallop would break the front-runners' stranglehold and allow a closer into contention, though the form and ratings strongly favour pace-led shapes here.

RibeyeLoulou MadrikDinons

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

No Regrets will be difficult to shift if allowed to lead uncontested, but watch whether Getaway Vic and Wal Buck's force a war of attrition in the first mile.

WATCH

Jet Legs and Jeteye are both significantly better on their merits than their likely early positions, and will need clear running room in the final two furlongs — if either gets boxed in, its winning chance dies.

NOTE

Getaway Vic pulled hard last time out; if it tries to take on No Regrets at the start, overextension could leave it empty-handed at the finish.

NOTE

Dinons ran just 8 days ago and may lack a run; front-runners rarely win after two outings in rapid succession over this trip.

5:30 — Clubs Of Northumberland Open National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)

2m · Good · CLS4 · 7 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 10 October 2026.

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