Archive›Hexham · 19 May 2026

Hexham

19 May 2026 · 7 races

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5:50 — Tynedale Agricultural Society Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

2m7½f · Soft · HCAP · 12 runners

Jeteye likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Artiste d'Ainay led; the map had Jeteye in front.

Jeteye won at 13.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Jeteye

Prominent · 4

DillarchieArtiste d'AinayValetteWatchoutitscookie

Midfield · 3

SeeyainthesuninnReagrove LordBray Dale

Hold Up · 4

ShighnessEast EagleMy Boy ChristyTwoplacesatonetime

Jeteye is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the start, likely setting an even gallop without pressure through the early stages. Prominent runners Artiste d'Ainay, Dillarchie, and Watchoutitscookie will track close behind, but none are natural pace-pressers. The large field of hold-up horses including Shighness, East Eagle, and My Boy Christy will be content to settle towards the rear. This sets up a classic scenario where the front-runner controls the tempo unchallenged until the closing stages, strongly favoring those who can either stay close to the pace or possess exceptional finishing kick from midfield.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Jeteye Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Jeteye maintains his advantage turning for home and the hold-up brigade leave their runs too late.

The 2024 C&D winner has proven stamina reserves and tactical speed to quicken when challenged. His recent Wetherby third suggests retained ability after the layoff, and controlling the tempo suits his front-running style perfectly.

JeteyeDillarchieArtiste d'AinayWatchoutitscookie

Late Surge Succeeds

30% probability

If the pace becomes truly steady and allows the back-markers to unleash sustained finishing kicks.

East Eagle and My Boy Christy both possess strong finishing speed and have shown their best form when allowed to come from behind. The soft ground will aid their stamina reserves in a staying finish.

East EagleMy Boy ChristyShighnessSeeyainthesuninn

Prominent Tracker Strikes

15% probability

If one of the prominent runners can stay close enough to Jeteye while retaining finishing power.

Dillarchie's recent hat-trick proves her current well-being, and her strong staying power makes her dangerous if within striking range. Watchoutitscookie has the class edge if reproducing his Exeter third.

DillarchieWatchoutitscookieArtiste d'AinayValette

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If Jeteye weakens before the home turn after his 27-day break and extended absence.

The race becomes a sprint finish where natural speed matters more than tactical positioning. This would suit horses with turn of foot regardless of their usual running style.

WatchoutitscookieEast EagleMy Boy ChristyArtiste d'Ainay

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Jeteye's jumping under pressure in the home straight as he's been off 27 days and could tire if his recent Wetherby effort flattered.

WATCH

Dillarchie's handling of the drop back in trip from her recent longer distance successes to this 2m7½f assignment.

WATCH

East Eagle's ability to secure the strong pace he needs from his hold-up position given Jeteye's likely uncontested lead.

NOTE

Any market support for Reagrove Lord given his 400-day absence but previous course form and weight advantage.

NOTE

My Boy Christy's positioning in the early stages as he's been prominent recently but usually races from behind.

6:20 — Port Of Blyth Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

1m7½f · Soft · HCAP · 7 runners

Chapel Green likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Diamond Mix led; the map had Chapel Green in front.

Conquer The Breeze won at 1.67 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Chapel Green

Prominent · 2

Diamond MixDream Jet

Midfield · 2

Conquer The BreezeChumlee

Hold Up · 2

Raffles WonderDon Occhetti

Chapel Green appears the most natural early leader with his prominent style and recent form showing front-running tendencies. Dream Jet may also press forward early given his prominent preference, creating a modest pace through the early stages. The majority of the field (Conquer The Breeze, Raffles Wonder, Don Occhetti, Chumlee) are hold-up horses who will settle towards the rear, meaning limited early pressure on the leaders. This tactical setup strongly favours prominent runners and those with early pace, as they can dictate terms without being harried in a race where most horses want to come from behind.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front runners dominate completely

45% probability

If Chapel Green and Dream Jet get an uncontested lead and maintain a sustainable gallop

The lack of pace pressure allows them to save energy for a strong finish while the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground on the testing ground. The prominent pair can kick clear approaching the final fence before the majority get into their stride.

Chapel GreenDream JetDiamond MixConquer The Breeze

Form horse strikes late

30% probability

If Conquer The Breeze reproduces his recent C&D winning form despite the unfavourable pace scenario

His class and fitness advantage from that impressive ten-day-ago victory allows him to overcome the tactical disadvantage and reel in tiring leaders. Diamond Mix could also benefit from a similar late surge given his dual C&D winning record.

Conquer The BreezeDiamond MixChapel GreenDream Jet

Pace collapses completely

15% probability

If both Chapel Green and Dream Jet fail to fire leaving no genuine pace in the race

The crawling early gallop turns into a sprint finish where any horse can win regardless of running style. This creates chaos where outsiders like the returning Raffles Wonder or even Don Occhetti could capitalise on the tactical mess.

Raffles WonderDon OcchettiDream JetDiamond Mix

Fitness tells decisive story

10% probability

If the returning horses Dream Jet and Raffles Wonder show their lengthy breaks too keenly

Their rustiness becomes apparent in the closing stages allowing the recently raced Conquer The Breeze and Diamond Mix to assert superiority. Chapel Green's more recent run gives him a decisive edge over the absentees in a tight finish.

Conquer The BreezeChapel GreenDiamond MixDream Jet

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Chapel Green and Dream Jet could steal this if they get soft early fractions with the field playing into their hands

WATCH

Conquer The Breeze needs to overcome tactical disadvantage but his recent C&D form makes him the main threat to leaders

NOTE

Diamond Mix's dual C&D winning record means he cannot be dismissed despite recent absence

WATCH

Dream Jet's 159-day break is a significant concern even with his excellent course record

NOTE

The hold-up majority (four horses) creates an unusual tactical dynamic that could backfire spectacularly

6:50 — Port Of Blyth Novices' Handicap Chase

2m4f · Soft · HCAP · 7 runners

Lewa House likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Tell Me Again led; the map had Lewa House in front.

Passengerontheship won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Lewa House

Prominent · 1

Gone With The Tide

Midfield · 3

PassengerontheshipOut On Her OwnReliance Kid

Hold Up · 2

Scairp DubhTell Me Again

Lewa House is the only confirmed front-runner in this small field and should get an uncontested lead, setting a sustainable gallop without early pressure from the predominantly hold-up oriented field. The lack of pace pressure means the tempo will likely be steady rather than searching, with Gone With The Tide potentially tracking in second but five others content to sit off the pace. Scairp Dubh, Tell Me Again, Out On Her Own and Passengerontheship will all be looking to come from behind in the closing stages. This tactical setup strongly favours the front-runner Lewa House, as he can dictate terms without interference and kick clear when the hold-up horses are still getting organized.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner Dominates

55% probability

If Lewa House gets an easy lead and times his effort correctly.

The veteran can control the race from the front without pressure, then quicken clear when the hold-up brigade are still finding their rhythm in the soft ground. His course experience and tactical advantage of setting his own fractions makes him very hard to peg back.

Lewa HouseGone With The TideScairp Dubh

Late Surge Prevails

25% probability

If the pace becomes too slow and sets up a sprint finish.

Scairp Dubh's superior class rating (OR 99) and recent winning form allows him to overcome the tactical disadvantage with a strong finishing kick. The hold-up horses get their preferred scenario of a cavalry charge finish where pure ability matters most.

Scairp DubhTell Me AgainPassengerontheshipOut On Her Own

Prominent Tracker Strikes

12% probability

If Gone With The Tide shows improved form and sits closer to the pace.

The lightly-weighted mare can stalk Lewa House throughout and strike when he weakens, benefiting from race fitness while avoiding the traffic problems that hold-up horses face. Her prominent style gives her first run on the improving hold-up runners.

Gone With The TideLewa HouseOut On Her Own

Pace Collapses Early

8% probability

If Lewa House stops or makes jumping errors under pressure.

The race becomes a messy affair where any of the hold-up horses can capitalize, but the lack of early pace makes it a lottery finish. Whoever gets the clearest run and finds their rhythm first in the closing stages prevails.

Out On Her OwnPassengerontheshipTell Me AgainReliance Kid

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lewa House may be rusty after 55-day layoff and could surrender his crucial pace advantage early if not fully tuned up

WATCH

Gone With The Tide is 0-10 over hurdles and badly out of form, making chase debut a significant unknown despite prominent style

WATCH

Tell Me Again unseated early last time here and needs to prove he can get around safely before considering his finishing kick

NOTE

Scairp Dubh faces 17-day turnaround after his course win where only four of 13 completed the race

NOTE

Out On Her Own wears first-time hood on chase debut and needs to transfer hurdle form to the bigger obstacles

7:20 — Lynn Siddall Memorial Handicap Chase

3m · Soft · HCAP · 9 runners

The Clonmel Kid likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

West Lawn and The Clonmel Kid led, as the map showed.

West Lawn won at 11.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

The Clonmel Kid

Prominent · 3

Katie's MelodyKells PrioryKillybegs Jet Lady

Midfield · 2

Worth The WalkDr Shirocco

Hold Up · 3

Don BroccoMilan MilosWest Lawn

The Clonmel Kid will likely set the pace with Katie's Melody, Kells Priory, Killybegs Jet Lady and Worth The Walk all showing prominent tendencies, creating a competitive early gallop over this 3-mile test. The sustained pace should stretch the field, with the hold-up horses Dr Shirocco, Don Brocco, West Lawn and Milan Milos needing to find their rhythm from off the pace. With multiple prominent runners and a stamina-sapping distance on good to soft ground, this race shape strongly favours horses that can travel kindly in the first half and have the tactical speed to strike when the pace inevitably slows. The prominent racers who can adapt their position hold the tactical advantage.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the early pace proves testing but sustainable, allowing the front division to control

The pace-setters can dictate terms and kick clear when the hold-up horses are still getting organized. This tactical advantage proves decisive over the stamina-testing trip.

The Clonmel KidKatie's MelodyKells PrioryKillybegs Jet Lady

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

25% probability

If the prominent runners go too hard early and tie up in the closing stages

The pace collapses in the final half-mile, allowing the patient hold-up horses to sweep past tired leaders. Fresh legs triumph over tactical position.

Milan MilosDr ShiroccoDon BroccoWest Lawn

Killybegs Breakthrough

12% probability

If the handicap weights level the playing field and course experience counts

Her two runner-up efforts over course and distance give her the tactical knowledge to time her challenge perfectly. The 0-15 record finally ends with ideal conditions.

Killybegs Jet LadyWorth The WalkKatie's MelodyThe Clonmel Kid

Pace Collapse Chaos

8% probability

If The Clonmel Kid goes off too fast and the race becomes a sprint finish

The early pace proves unsustainable, creating a messy finish where any horse with a late kick can capitalise. Form goes out the window in a tactical lottery.

West LawnDon BroccoDr ShiroccoMilan Milos

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

The Clonmel Kid going too fast early - if he sets a fierce gallop he could stop quickly and compromise the entire pace scenario

WATCH

Katie's Melody's jumping on chase debut - any mistakes could end her chances and potentially bring down others in the prominent group

NOTE

Milan Milos and the tongue-tie effect - his Plumpton win came with this first-time aid so retaining it suggests connections expect another bold show

WATCH

Killybegs Jet Lady's 3lb claimer Alan Doyle in a competitive handicap chase - any tactical errors could cost her breakthrough moment

NOTE

The going changes through the card - if it rides slower than advertised it will further favour the prominent runners over hold-up horses

7:50 — Northumberland County Show Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m4f · Soft · NOV · 5 runners

Passing Diamond to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Passing Diamond led, as the map showed.

Passing Diamond won at 1.83 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Passing Diamond

Prominent · 1

Bold Step

Midfield · 1

Mister St Eloi

Hold Up · 2

Coniston CommanderRachel Lopez

Passing Diamond will dictate from the front with his proven leading style, facing no obvious early pressure from this small field. Bold Step and potentially Mister St Eloi will track in behind, while hold-up horses Coniston Commander and Rachel Lopez settle towards the rear. The uncontested lead will create a steady, sustainable gallop that builds gradually through the race. This moderate early pace strongly favours the hold-up horses who can capitalise on a strong finish when the tempo lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses prevail

45% probability

If Passing Diamond sets his usual steady tempo without early pressure

The patient riders get ideal positioning as the pace builds late, allowing the class horses to showcase their finishing kicks. Coniston Commander and potentially Rachel Lopez benefit most from this tactical setup.

Coniston CommanderRachel LopezBold StepMister St Eloi

Prominent tracker strikes

30% probability

If Bold Step or Mister St Eloi apply early pressure to Passing Diamond

The increased early pace stretches the field and suits the horses with tactical speed who can track the leaders closely. These prominent runners can kick clear before the hold-up horses get organised.

Bold StepMister St EloiPassing DiamondConiston Commander

Front runner dominates

15% probability

If Passing Diamond gets completely uncontested fractions and maintains his recent form peak

The leader builds an unassailable advantage through steady sectionals and kicks clear when challenged. His recent course win gives him confidence to repeat the performance.

Passing DiamondBold StepConiston Commander

Pace collapses completely

10% probability

If all runners settle and nobody wants the lead early

The race becomes a sprint finish where pure class and finishing speed determine the outcome regardless of running style. The most talented horse on the day wins from any position.

Bold StepConiston CommanderMister St EloiRachel Lopez

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mister St Eloi's fitness after 443 days off and whether he shows any early pace or settles as expected given his unknown running style.

WATCH

Bold Step's jumping on hurdles debut and whether the 130-day break affects his early positioning behind the likely leader Passing Diamond.

NOTE

Passing Diamond's ability to sustain his front-running style under top weight against this field after his recent exertions.

WATCH

Coniston Commander's jumping fluency on hurdles debut and whether Danny McMenamin can get him into contention from his hold-up style.

NOTE

Rachel Lopez's positioning early and whether Sean Quinlan attempts to improve on her 17-length course second from 10 days ago.

8:20 — Port Of Blyth Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Soft · HCAP · 13 runners

Double Digits to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sunset Hill led; the map had Double Digits in front.

Banderas won at 12.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Double Digits

Prominent · 2

ThewoodcornerWee Alki

Midfield · 6

BanderasThat OneTerroriseDivilabotherWell EducatedBorn Like Me

Hold Up · 4

Sunset HillKilbarry HillBalboaRed Cadillac

Double Digits provides the only confirmed front-running presence in this 13-runner field, with Thewoodcorner and Wee Alki likely to press from prominent positions early. The lack of pace pressure should allow Double Digits to dictate terms and set a sustainable gallop over this staying trip on testing ground. With most rivals adopting hold-up tactics, the race sets up perfectly for those who can travel closer to the pace and have the stamina to grind out the finish. This tactical setup strongly favours prominent racers and front-runners who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the large pack of hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Controls

45% probability

If Double Digits gets an uncontested lead and maintains a steady gallop

The 8-year-old can utilise his tactical advantage and proven stamina to repel late challenges on ground that will sap finishing kicks. His ability to dictate from the front becomes crucial when the hold-up brigade get in each other's way.

Double DigitsThewoodcornerWee AlkiRed Cadillac

Prominent Pressure Pays

30% probability

If Thewoodcorner or Wee Alki press Double Digits from the outset

The increased pace will set up the race for those tracking just behind the leaders who can strike at the ideal moment. Henderson's Thewoodcorner has the class and progressive profile to time his challenge perfectly.

ThewoodcornerWee AlkiDouble DigitsSunset Hill

Hold Up Hero Emerges

15% probability

If the pace becomes truly crawling and turns into a sprint finish

One of the better hold-up horses can overcome traffic issues and produce a strong late surge. Balboa's recent Ayr win suggests he can capitalise if getting a clear passage late.

BalboaRed CadillacSunset HillThat One

Chaos Benefits Outsider

10% probability

If multiple fallers or interference creates an unconventional race shape

The disruption allows a moderate hold-up horse to inherit a winning position through fortune rather than merit. Well Educated's course experience could prove decisive if others encounter trouble.

Well EducatedDivilabotherBorn Like MeTerrorise

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Double Digits must be monitored closely in the betting - any significant support would confirm the front-running advantage is live

WATCH

Watch for any non-runners as this would reduce the traffic problems facing the hold-up horses significantly

WATCH

Thewoodcorner's market position will reveal Henderson's confidence in this progressive sort stepping up in class

NOTE

Ground conditions on the day - any further softening would enhance Double Digits' tactical edge further

NOTE

Early pace development crucial - if Thewoodcorner or Wee Alki fail to press Double Digits the race becomes easier for the leader

8:50 — Jason Arnup After Party 6th June Handicap Hurdle

2m · Soft · HCAP · 10 runners

Lead contested: Allbetsoff v MalangenHISTORIC

How it ran

Malangen led, as the map showed.

Fine Point won at 4.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

AllbetsoffMalangen

Prominent · 2

JustusFine Point

Midfield · 3

King KodiakAm I BovveredBlue Bear

Hold Up · 3

InterchangeableWestern SoldierFairly Fulling

Allbetsoff and Malangen will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners having natural pace. Allbetsoff has won twice over course and distance from the front, while Malangen showed his front-running intent at Perth just six days ago. This dual pace angle will create an honest gallop from flag to finish, with the leaders likely to go hard early before one or both come back to the field. The strong early pace clearly favours hold-up horses and prominent racers who can pick up the pieces, as the front-runners will soften each other up.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runners Collapse

45% probability

If Allbetsoff and Malangen go too hard early and both weaken significantly

The pace duel burns out the leaders leaving the race wide open for closers to sweep up. Hold-up horses like Western Soldier, Blue Bear and Interchangeable get the perfect setup to unleash late runs.

Western SoldierInterchangeableBlue BearAm I Bovvered

One Leader Survives

30% probability

If either Allbetsoff or Malangen gets the better of their pace duel and stays on

The survivor of the early battle has enough left to hold off late challenges on this stiff track. Malangen's recent Perth run suggests he can handle a hard race, while Allbetsoff has the course form advantage.

AllbetsoffMalangenFine PointFairly Fulling

Prominent Tracker Strikes

15% probability

If Fine Point or Justus can sit just behind the leaders without getting caught up in the pace

The prominent horses get the perfect trip tracking the leaders before striking at the ideal moment. Fine Point's recent third at Kelso showed improved form, while Justus has the class when right.

Fine PointJustusKing KodiakFairly Fulling

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If both leaders go too slow early or one pulls up/falls

A messy race develops where the pace scenarios fall apart entirely. This creates a tactical lottery where any horse with a bit of class can capitalize on the chaos.

King KodiakWestern SoldierFine PointJustus

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Malangen could be vulnerable having raced just six days ago at Perth after a hard front-running effort

WATCH

Blue Bear's 7-pound claiming jockey Oscar Palmer may struggle to position this hold-up horse effectively in a strongly-run race

NOTE

Allbetsoff's jumping could deteriorate after 170 days off, especially if pressured early by Malangen

NOTE

Fine Point's first-time cheekpieces worked well last time so any headgear removal would be significant

WATCH

Western Soldier needs the pace to collapse but his trainer Seamus Mullins is running at poor strike-rate recently

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 19 May 2026.

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