Archive›Huntingdon · 7 May 2026

Huntingdon

7 May 2026 · 6 races

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1:15 — Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts "National Hunt" Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m4½f · Good · CLS4 · 2 runners

Loriko likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Katarcice led; the map had Loriko in front.

Loriko won at 1.80 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 2 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Loriko

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Katarcice

With only two runners, this becomes a tactical match between two hold-up horses who both prefer to race from off the pace. Neither Loriko nor Katarcice has natural pace-setting instincts, creating an unusual dynamic where someone must reluctantly lead. The absence of genuine front-runners means whoever goes forward will likely dictate a moderate tempo throughout the 2m4½f journey. This scenario strongly favours the horse with superior acceleration and finishing kick, as the restrained early pace will set up a sprint finish between two relatively fresh horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Reluctant Leader Wins

45% probability

If Loriko takes up the running early and dictates terms

The higher-rated horse can control the tempo to suit his finishing kick and prove too strong in the straight. His superior class rating (OR 121 vs 114) becomes decisive when both horses arrive relatively fresh at the business end.

LorikoKatarcice

Patient Tracker Prevails

35% probability

If Katarcice forces Loriko to lead and tracks him patiently

The less experienced horse can use his recent course form advantage and fresher profile to outfinish the favourite. His second place here over 2m on good ground in April gives him a tactical edge at this venue.

KatarciceLoriko

Slow Early Kick

15% probability

If both horses refuse to lead early creating a crawling pace

The race becomes a pure test of acceleration from the final hurdle, where Loriko's higher TopSpeed rating (117 vs 96) proves decisive. The lack of early pace exaggerates the importance of raw finishing speed over stamina.

LorikoKatarcice

Early Duel Backfires

5% probability

If both horses are pushed along from early to establish position

The unexpectedly strong early pace compromises both finishers, creating a war of attrition that neither truly wants. Katarcice's lighter recent racing schedule gives him a marginal fitness advantage in a slog.

KatarciceLoriko

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

WATCH

Watch the early pace - if both horses are reluctant to lead it could create an unusually slow tempo that turns this into a sprint

NOTE

Monitor Loriko's jumping rhythm early as his confidence needs rebuilding after recent disappointing efforts

KEY

If Katarcice gets first run in the straight his course advantage could prove decisive despite the class differential

1:45 — Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Lead contested: Hurricane Bay v Pep TalkingHISTORIC

How it ran

Pep Talking led, as the map showed.

Hurricane Bay won at 7.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Hurricane BayPep Talking

Prominent · 2

William CodyKoapey

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Ice In The VeinsBig Boy Barney

Hurricane Bay and Pep Talking are both confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead, creating an honest gallop from the start. Pep Talking comes off a dominant 10-length front-running win at Chepstow and will want to dictate, while Hurricane Bay has shown his best form leading in cheekpieces. With two keen pace-setters and a small field, the gallop will be solid throughout but not breakneck pace. This race shape favours the prominent racers like Koapey and William Cody who can track the leaders without getting involved in the early battle, then strike when the front-runners tire.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Tracker Prevails

45% probability

If the two leaders Hurricane Bay and Pep Talking engage in a pace duel from the start

The sustained gallop will suit horses like William Cody and Koapey who can sit just behind and pounce when the leaders weaken. William Cody has three C&D wins and ran well in his last two starts, while Koapey showed promise before recent falls.

William CodyKoapeyBig Boy BarneyIce In The Veins

Front Runner Dominates

30% probability

If Pep Talking gets an uncontested lead while Hurricane Bay struggles early

Pep Talking can dictate at his own pace and repeat his dominant Chepstow performance from the front. His recent 10-length win and 7-17 chase record shows he can control races when allowed to lead freely.

Pep TalkingHurricane BayWilliam CodyKoapey

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

15% probability

If the early pace is genuine and the leaders come back significantly in the final furlong

Big Boy Barney's hold-up style could prove effective if he gets the right setup from his C&D win. Ice In The Veins making his chase debut might also benefit from a strong pace to aim at.

Big Boy BarneyIce In The VeinsKoapeyWilliam Cody

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If both Hurricane Bay and Pep Talking fail to establish a rhythm or make errors

The race could become a tactical affair where any runner with tactical speed could capitalize. This scenario would likely favor the more experienced chasers who can adapt to a messy pace.

William CodyKoapeyPep TalkingBig Boy Barney

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hurricane Bay could set unsustainable fractions if he tries to match Pep Talking's early pace given his recent poor form

WATCH

Ice In The Veins showed free-running tendencies in his last hurdle start which could be problematic on chase debut

NOTE

Koapey's jumping after three recent falls including a penultimate fence tumble when going well

NOTE

William Cody's fitness after 51-day break despite strong course record

WATCH

Big Boy Barney needs the front-runners to go a strong pace to set up his hold-up style in this small field

2:15 — Virgin Bet A Good Bet Mares' Handicap Chase (Queen Boudicca Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB)

2m7½f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Lead contested: Catwalk Girl v Another Day OutHISTORIC

How it ran

Another Day Out led, as the map showed.

Catwalk Girl won at 4.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Catwalk GirlAnother Day Out

Prominent · 1

Kit's Coty

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Lady Jago

Catwalk Girl and Another Day Out are both confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead, creating an honest gallop from the outset with no restraint likely from either. Kit's Coty will sit prominently behind this pace, while Lady Jago as the sole hold-up horse will track from the rear in this small field. The dual pace angle up front should create a strong tempo over this stamina-testing trip, setting up the race for those who can sustain their effort rather than rely on a finishing kick. This honest pace scenario strongly favours prominent runners and front-runners with stamina, as Lady Jago's hold-up style will struggle to make up ground against horses who have been closer to a solid tempo throughout.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runners Duel Hard

45% probability

If Catwalk Girl and Another Day Out go at it hammer and tongs from flag-fall

The pace becomes very strong early with both leaders committed, creating maximum stamina test that plays to Another Day Out's proven staying power. Kit's Coty picks up the pieces late as the early leaders tire, while Lady Jago finds too much to do from the back.

Another Day OutKit's CotyCatwalk GirlLady Jago

Controlled Front Running

30% probability

If one of the leaders (likely Another Day Out) gets an easy lead with Catwalk Girl settling

The pace becomes more measured allowing the leader to control fractions and kick clear, with inexperienced Catwalk Girl unable to match the acceleration. Lady Jago gets into contention but the winner has already flown.

Another Day OutCatwalk GirlKit's CotyLady Jago

Late Prominent Challenge

15% probability

If Kit's Coty travels sweetly behind the pace and both leaders go too hard early

The early gallop takes its toll on Catwalk Girl and Another Day Out, allowing Kit's Coty to strike late with her class advantage. Her Ludlow win over Another Day Out gives confidence she can repeat the dose.

Kit's CotyLady JagoAnother Day OutCatwalk Girl

Hold-Up Success

10% probability

If the early pace is surprisingly moderate and Lady Jago gets the race run to suit

The tempo lacks bite allowing Lady Jago to stay closer than usual and her three chase wins suggest she has the class when conditions align. Her hold-up style works when the pace collapses.

Lady JagoKit's CotyAnother Day OutCatwalk Girl

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Another Day Out's jumping under pressure if Catwalk Girl forces a strong early pace

WATCH

Catwalk Girl's inexperience with amateur pilot Mr James King when racing gets serious

WATCH

Lady Jago's ability to get competitive from hold-up position given poor recent efforts

NOTE

Kit's Coty's fitness after 38-day break having shown best form fresh last season

2:45 — Virgin Bet Mares' Handicap Hurdle

2m3½f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Mary to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Hope Rising led; the map had Mary in front.

Mermaids Cave won at 3.25 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mary

Prominent · 2

Hope RisingNo No Fizz

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

NotnowlindaMermaids Cave

Mary will take the field along as the sole confirmed front-runner, with No No Fizz and Hope Rising likely tracking her in prominent positions early. The presence of three hold-up horses (Mermaids Cave, Notnowlinda) and only one natural leader suggests Mary can dictate terms without serious early pressure. With good ground conditions and a moderate 2m3½f distance, this setup creates a controlled tempo that builds gradually, allowing horses to stay in contention longer. This race shape strongly favours the prominent runners who can sit close to Mary and kick from a good position, as the hold-up horses may struggle to make up ground against the likely solid pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front-Running Display

45% probability

If Mary gets away with soft fractions early and builds a decisive lead

She can use her recent Warwick form to control from the front while the hold-up brigade struggle to close the gap. The prominent duo of No No Fizz and Hope Rising would be best placed to chase but may lack the finishing kick needed.

MaryNo No FizzHope RisingMermaids Cave

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Mary sets reasonable fractions but gets caught close home

No No Fizz or Hope Rising can use their tactical speed to sit handy and pounce when Mary's stamina wanes in the final furlong. The good ground suits both their profiles perfectly for this distance.

No No FizzHope RisingMaryNotnowlinda

Hold-Up Horse Charges Late

15% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely strong and the field gets strung out

Mermaids Cave or Notnowlinda could benefit from a truly-run race that sets up for their late finishing style. However, they need significant help from the pace scenario to be effective.

Mermaids CaveNotnowlindaMaryNo No Fizz

Complete Pace Collapse

10% probability

If Mary goes too slow and the race becomes a sprint finish

The tactical speed of the prominent runners becomes crucial in a bunched finish where positioning matters most. Hope Rising's class could tell in a messy finale despite the long absence.

Hope RisingNo No FizzMaryMermaids Cave

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hope Rising's fitness after 208 days off - any market confidence would be significant given the long layoff

WATCH

Mary's jumping rhythm early - needs to settle into a smooth rhythm to utilize her front-running advantage effectively

NOTE

Notnowlinda and Mermaids Cave positioning turning in - both need to be within striking distance to have any chance

WATCH

No No Fizz's attitude after being pulled up last time - needs to bounce back to her March course winning form

NOTE

The pace through the first mile - if Mary goes too fast early it opens up the race for the hold-up horses

3:15 — Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Hurdle

3m1f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Lead contested: Roe And Co v MoviddyHISTORIC

How it ran

Greedy Smith led; the map had Roe And Co and Moviddy in front.

Braganza Bay won at 5.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Roe And CoMoviddy

Prominent · 2

Greedy SmithRaby Mere

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Indian SunbirdBraganza Bay

Moviddy and the returning Roe And Co are both confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead in this small field, creating an honest gallop over the extended trip. With two genuine pace-setters likely to engage early, the tempo should be sustained rather than stop-start, though the 3m1f distance may force them to moderate slightly mid-race. The hold-up horses Indian Sunbird and Braganza Bay will benefit most from this setup, as the pace-setters are likely to soften each other up over the final mile, creating opportunities for strong finishers to sweep past tired leaders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

55% probability

If both front-runners engage early and maintain honest pace throughout

The sustained gallop plays perfectly into the hands of Indian Sunbird and Braganza Bay who can pick off tiring leaders. Strong finishers get ideal setup with pace to aim at over final two furlongs.

Indian SunbirdBraganza BayRaby MereGreedy Smith

Pace Collapses Mid-Race

25% probability

If Moviddy and Roe And Co go too fast early then significantly slow the tempo

The race becomes tactical in the middle stages, suiting the prominent runners who can position closer. Raby Mere and Greedy Smith benefit from the moderate finish that develops.

Raby MereGreedy SmithMoviddyIndian Sunbird

Front-Runner Survives

12% probability

If one pace-setter gets easy lead while the other struggles or doesn't engage

Moviddy or returning Roe And Co controls the race from the front without pressure. The lack of pace pressure allows the leader to save energy for sustained finish.

MoviddyRoe And CoRaby MereGreedy Smith

Tactical Crawl Throughout

8% probability

If both front-runners show early caution due to the extended distance

Race becomes very slowly run affair with sprint finish over final three furlongs. This neutralizes stamina advantages and favors horses with most natural speed regardless of style.

Greedy SmithRaby MereIndian SunbirdBraganza Bay

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Roe And Co withdrawal removes key pace element, making Moviddy potentially unopposed early

WATCH

Indian Sunbird returning from 186-day absence needs to show immediate sharpness to capitalize on race shape

NOTE

Raby Mere wearing cheekpieces again after successful return to form suggests connections expect improved effort

WATCH

Braganza Bay pulled up last time over fences and needs to prove recent troubles are behind him

NOTE

Weather conditions remain good across all races, confirming genuine good going for stamina test

3:50 — Virgin Bet Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m · Good · CLS5 · 5 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 7 May 2026.

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