Archive›Kelso · 6 May 2026

Kelso

6 May 2026 · 8 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

1:55 — Strawmax Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m5f · Good · NOV · 3 runners

Dartmouth Castle likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Kashchei led; the map had Dartmouth Castle in front.

Kashchei won at 5.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Dartmouth Castle

Prominent · 1

Rupert The Prince

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Kashchei

Dartmouth Castle will control this race from the front, with his confirmed front-running style facing no serious pace pressure from the other two runners. Rupert The Prince may track from prominent position early but lacks recent form, while Kashchei's hold-up style means he'll be settling last. The uncontested lead will allow Dartmouth Castle to dictate fractions and kick when ready, creating a tempo that suits his stamina and tactical advantage. This race shape strongly favours the front runner who can control the pace without pressure.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Running

65% probability

If Dartmouth Castle gets an easy lead and controls the fractions

His wide-margin Sedgefield success showed he's effective when making all, and with no pace pressure he can time his effort perfectly. The 2m5f trip suits his stamina profile and he carries the highest rating with proven hurdles form.

Dartmouth CastleRupert The PrinceKashchei

Late Challenge Success

20% probability

If Kashchei times his run perfectly from the rear

The Irish raider's hold-up style could benefit if Dartmouth Castle goes too fast early, though his exposed maiden status is concerning. His RPR of 122 suggests ability but recent form lacks conviction.

KashcheiDartmouth CastleRupert The Prince

Prominent Tracker Strikes

10% probability

If Rupert The Prince can track the pace and outstay the leader

His flat racing background over 2m gives him stamina credentials, but 111 days off and disappointing recent hurdles debut are major negatives. The step up in trip might suit but fitness is questionable.

Rupert The PrinceDartmouth CastleKashchei

Pace Collapse Scenario

5% probability

If Dartmouth Castle goes too fast early and stops

This would require the leader to misjudge the pace badly given the lack of pressure, opening the door for either trailer. However, his recent controlled performance suggests he's learned tactical lessons.

KashcheiRupert The PrinceDartmouth Castle

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Dartmouth Castle gets pressured early - his game plan relies on controlling the tempo without interference

WATCH

Monitor Kashchei's jumping - Irish raider needs to stay in touch given small field and likely slow pace that won't suit closers

NOTE

Check Rupert The Prince's market support - any confidence would be significant given his fitness concerns and long absence

WATCH

Watch for tactical changes if pace becomes crawling - hold-up horses need some tempo to be effective in finish

NOTE

Observe Dartmouth Castle's jumping rhythm - any mistakes could disrupt his front-running strategy and open race up

2:25 — Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m7½f · Good · HCAP · 3 runners

Presentandcounting to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Walk On Quest led; the map had Presentandcounting in front.

Walk On Quest won at 1.83 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Presentandcounting

Prominent · 2

Walk On QuestThe Clonmel Kid

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 0

None

Presentandcounting will lead from the start with his natural front-running style, setting what should be an uncontested pace given Walk On Quest and The Clonmel Kid both prefer prominent positions rather than leading. With only three runners, the early gallop will be steady rather than fierce, allowing Presentandcounting to dictate terms without pressure. The race will likely develop into a tactical affair where positioning at the business end matters more than early pace, but the sustained nature of the gallop over this trip means the two prominent runners will need to time their challenges perfectly. This pace scenario clearly favours the leader Presentandcounting, who can control the race without interference and kick when it suits.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Presentandcounting Controls All

45% probability

If Presentandcounting gets an easy lead and isn't pressured until late.

He can dictate a rhythm that suits his stamina and kick clear when the challengers come, having saved energy by leading uncontested. His front-running style thrives when he's not harassed early and can time his own effort.

PresentandcountingWalk On Quest

Walk On Quest Times Perfect

30% probability

If Walk On Quest sits off the pace and produces his best finish in the final furlong.

His prominent style allows him to track Presentandcounting's every move and strike when the leader tires, with his class edge showing late. The good ground suits his previous winning form pattern perfectly.

Walk On QuestPresentandcounting

Clonmel Kid Causes Upset

15% probability

If The Clonmel Kid's recent Newcastle win translates to this higher grade and the pace becomes strong.

His prominent running combined with confidence from his last victory could see him outbattle more fancied rivals in a slowly-run race. The lighter weight helps him stay competitive against higher-rated opponents.

The Clonmel KidWalk On QuestPresentandcounting

Pace Collapse Favours None

10% probability

If all three runners go too slowly early and it becomes a sprint finish where class doesn't tell.

The tactical nature backfires for all connections with no one willing to commit early, leading to a messy finish where any of the three could prevail. Form and ratings become less reliable in such circumstances.

Walk On QuestThe Clonmel KidPresentandcounting

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Presentandcounting gets harassed early by either challenger as his form suggests he needs to control his own pace to be effective.

WATCH

Watch The Clonmel Kid's jumping under pressure as his inexperience at this level could show if the pace quickens significantly.

NOTE

Watch the pace through the middle stages as all three have stamina for the trip and may go too slowly, setting up a tactical finish.

WATCH

Watch Walk On Quest's position turning in as he needs to be close enough to challenge but not so close he hits the front too early.

NOTE

Watch for any market moves on The Clonmel Kid as his trainer Philip Kirby has been in good form recently with a decent strike rate.

2:55 — Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle

2m6½f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Kilmore Rock to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kilmore Rock led, as the map showed.

Jericoacoara won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Kilmore Rock

Prominent · 1

High Dancer

Midfield · 2

RememberthenameStarlyte

Hold Up · 2

RexemJericoacoara

Kilmore Rock is the only confirmed front runner and will lead unchallenged through the early stages, setting a sustainable gallop without pressure. High Dancer may track him prominently, but the majority of the field - Rexem, Rememberthename, Jericoacoara and Starlyte - are all hold-up horses who will settle towards the rear. This creates a slow early pace that will inevitably quicken dramatically from the final hurdle as five horses fan out for their finishing kicks. The tactical scenario strongly favours the front runner and prominent racers who can avoid the traffic problems that will inevitably develop in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Kilmore Rock Dominates Again

45% probability

If Kilmore Rock gets an easy lead and maintains his jumping rhythm like his recent C&D victory.

The defending champion controls the tempo and has too much in hand when the hold-up horses make their late charges, replicating his winning formula from last year and two weeks ago. His early advantage proves decisive as the closers struggle to make up the ground in time.

Kilmore RockHigh DancerRememberthenameJericoacoara

Hold-Up Horse Surge

30% probability

If the pace becomes truly pedestrian and Kilmore Rock stops in the final furlong.

The slow gallop sets up perfectly for the strong finishers, with Rememberthename and Jericoacoara producing their trademark late runs to sweep past the tiring leader. The winner emerges from the pack of closers who benefit from the target to aim at.

RememberthenameJericoacoaraRexemStarlyte

High Dancer Strikes

15% probability

If High Dancer can sit second throughout and outkick Kilmore Rock from the last hurdle.

The prominent runner gets the perfect trip in behind the leader and has enough class to prevail when they turn for home. High Dancer's superior rating tells as he times his challenge perfectly while avoiding the traffic issues affecting the hold-up horses.

High DancerKilmore RockRememberthenameJericoacoara

Rexem Experience Pays

10% probability

If Rexem's chasing experience helps him navigate the closing stages better than his rivals.

The veteran's racecraft proves crucial in a messy finish where his ability to find gaps and switch leads gives him the edge. Despite his hold-up style, Rexem's class and tactical nous allow him to emerge from the pack when others are still searching for racing room.

RexemRememberthenameKilmore RockHigh Dancer

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Kilmore Rock gets any early pressure from High Dancer as he needs to dictate terms uncontested to be effective

WATCH

Monitor the pace through halfway - if it's genuinely crawling the hold-up horses Rememberthename and Jericoacoara become very dangerous

NOTE

Check Rexem's jumping early as he's returning to hurdles after chasing and needs to settle properly for his finishing kick

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems in the straight as five hold-up horses will be looking for gaps simultaneously behind the leaders

NOTE

Observe High Dancer's position turning for home - if he's still on Kilmore Rock's heels he becomes the main danger

3:25 — 2000 Sacks Of Carrots Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

2m5f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Abbey Scope likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

She Won't Mind led; the map had Abbey Scope in front.

Abbey Scope won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Abbey Scope

Prominent · 3

Livano BelloWilliam YeatsLarkfield Lusive

Midfield · 4

She Won't MindCher TaraFairly FullingJoto

Hold Up · 3

Nitty GrittyDisco AnnieLester Mail

Abbey Scope will make the early running with Livano Bello, William Yeats, and Larkfield Lusive pressing from prominent positions, creating a genuine pace through the early stages. The large field of hold-up horses including Cher Tara, Nitty Gritty, Disco Annie, and Joto will create traffic problems and force riders to commit earlier than ideal on the climb to the finish. With multiple prominent runners setting solid fractions and the hold-up brigade potentially caught behind horses, this pace dynamic strongly favours prominent racers who can track the pace and have clear racing room when the tempo lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

65% probability

If Abbey Scope and the prominent group maintain honest fractions without going too fast

The hold-up horses get caught in traffic on the climb while prominent trackers have clear runs to challenge the leaders in the straight. This large field creates inevitable crowding that penalises those coming from behind.

Abbey ScopeLivano BelloLarkfield LusiveShe Won't Mind

Hold-Up Horse Finds Gap

20% probability

If the prominent pace collapses or traffic clears dramatically in the straight

A patient hold-up performer like Cher Tara or Nitty Gritty finds racing room and benefits from a strong finish when others have used their stamina. The pace scenario allows them to utilise their turn of foot.

Cher TaraNitty GrittyDisco AnnieJoto

Returning Winner Returns

10% probability

If Larkfield Lusive's 263-day break proves no hindrance and retains last season's form

The dual summer winner on good ground uses class and tactical speed from a prominent position to outbattle the opposition. Previous course success at similar distances gives significant confidence.

Larkfield LusiveFairly FullingAbbey ScopeLivano Bello

Outsider Benefits From Chaos

5% probability

If the pace completely collapses or multiple fallers/mistakes create unusual circumstances

A lightly-weighted outsider like Joto or She Won't Mind capitalises on completely changed race dynamics. Requires significant disruption to the expected race flow to materialise.

JotoShe Won't MindFairly FullingLester Mail

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

She Won't Mind returning after 351 days off with previous bleeding issues could struggle badly if not fully recovered

WATCH

Nitty Gritty has pulled up in recent starts suggesting stamina problems that 2m5f could expose again

NOTE

Abbey Scope's prominent position could be compromised if jockey Danny McMenamin gets too keen early

WATCH

Traffic problems likely in home straight with 10 runners and multiple hold-up horses needing racing room simultaneously

NOTE

Larkfield Lusive's fitness after 263-day break will be evident in final furlong when stamina reserves tested

4:00 — 2000 Sacks Of Carrots Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

2m5f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Thorneylands to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Helsgetaway led; the map had Thorneylands in front.

Thorneylands won at 3.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Thorneylands

Prominent · 4

Vanilla DancerMaillot BlancLone StarRoyal Maggs

Midfield · 2

Georgie's MaltLong Time Listener

Hold Up · 3

Return To FloridaHelsgetawayVenturevango

Thorneylands is the only confirmed front runner and will dictate from the start without pressure early. Four horses (Vanilla Dancer, Maillot Blanc, Lone Star, Royal Maggs) want prominent positions creating congestion 2-3 furlongs out when the pace lifts. The hold-up brigade (Return To Florida, Helsgetaway, Long Time Listener, Venturevango) will have plenty to do from off the sustainable early gallop. This pace scenario strongly favours prominent racers who can secure good position early and avoid the traffic scramble.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Traffic Chaos

45% probability

If the four prominent runners clash for position approaching the business end

The sustainable early pace becomes frantic when Vanilla Dancer, Maillot Blanc, Lone Star and Royal Maggs converge. Those already in the clear prominent positions benefit most from the interference behind.

Vanilla DancerMaillot BlancLone StarRoyal Maggs

Leader Dominates Throughout

30% probability

If Thorneylands maintains strong gallop and prominent pack fails to organize

The front runner exploits the lack of early pressure and kicks clear when the prominent runners get in each other's way. Hold-up horses have too much ground to make up from the sustained tempo.

ThorneylandsVanilla DancerMaillot BlancReturn To Florida

Hold-Up Revival

15% probability

If the prominent congestion creates a stop-start pace allowing closers through

The traffic problems among the prominent quartet create gaps and slow the tempo enough for hold-up runners to strike. Return To Florida and Helsgetaway benefit from the clear runs created.

Return To FloridaHelsgetawayLong Time ListenerVanilla Dancer

Pace Collapse Benefits All

10% probability

If Thorneylands goes too slow and prominent runners conserve energy

The uncontested leader sets pedestrian fractions allowing everyone to stay in contention. The race becomes a sprint finish where class and condition matter most.

Maillot BlancReturn To FloridaVanilla DancerThorneylands

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Vanilla Dancer and Maillot Blanc clash for the same prominent pitch turning for home creating interference

WATCH

Thorneylands drifts right under pressure as he did when pulled up previously

WATCH

Return To Florida gets shuffled back further if the prominent pack compress the field early

NOTE

Royal Maggs pulls too hard in the hood first time and weakens approaching the final flight

NOTE

Long Time Listener makes eyecatching late progress if given patient ride by Charlie Maggs

4:32 — Bedmax Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m1f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Tanking Along to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Tanking Along led, as the map showed.

Singapore Trip won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tanking Along

Prominent · 3

Glory And HonourChapel GreenFlash Du Pistolet

Midfield · 1

Intenzo

Hold Up · 2

MoodofthemomentSingapore Trip

Tanking Along stands alone as the confirmed front runner and will set a sustainable gallop without pressure from the start. Chapel Green, Flash Du Pistolet, Glory And Honour and Intenzo will settle prominently behind, while hold-up merchants Moodofthemoment and Singapore Trip track from the rear. With only one natural leader, the pace will be controlled rather than fierce, allowing the front group to dictate throughout. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and the leader, as they can control the tempo and kick when ready without being softened up by early pressure.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leader Controls Throughout

55% probability

If Tanking Along maintains a steady gallop without serious early pressure

The uncontested leader can measure his effort perfectly and prove hard to pass, while prominent runners like Flash Du Pistolet and Glory And Honour can track him into contention. The sustainable pace negates the hold-up horses' finishing kick.

Tanking AlongFlash Du PistoletGlory And HonourChapel Green

Prominent Runners Strike

25% probability

If the prominent quartet press Tanking Along from halfway and expose his stamina

Flash Du Pistolet and Glory And Honour can use their superior ratings to grind past a weakening leader in the final furlong. Chapel Green and Intenzo benefit from the stronger pace but may lack the class to win.

Flash Du PistoletGlory And HonourChapel GreenIntenzo

Hold-up Horses Finish Fast

12% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely strong due to prominent runners crowding the leader

Singapore Trip and Moodofthemoment can use their hold-up style to devastating effect as the leaders tire. The hat-trick seeking Singapore Trip particularly thrives when the pace collapses.

Singapore TripMoodofthemomentFlash Du PistoletGlory And Honour

Outsider Benefits From Pace

8% probability

If the race becomes a war of attrition between the main contenders

Intenzo or Chapel Green could steal through as the fancied runners tire from their efforts. The younger Intenzo especially could find improvement stepping up in trip with a strong pace to aim at.

IntenzoChapel GreenSingapore TripFlash Du Pistolet

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Tanking Along gets any early pressure from the prominent runners as he may not handle a fierce gallop

WATCH

Monitor Singapore Trip's jumping early as hold-up horses can get caught in traffic in small fields if not positioned well

NOTE

Check if Moodofthemoment shows early signs of another pull-up after his recent poor completion rate

WATCH

Watch for Flash Du Pistolet to make his move turning for home as he's the form horse in this grade

NOTE

Observe if Chapel Green travels with his old enthusiasm given his disappointing recent efforts

5:02 — Aidan & Margaret McDonnell's Golden Anniversary Open Hunters' Chase

2m7½f · Good · CLS4 · 7 runners

Lead contested: Brandy McQueen v Settle Down JillHISTORIC

How it ran

Northern Bound led; the map had Brandy McQueen and Settle Down Jill in front.

Settle Down Jill won at 11.00 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Brandy McQueenSettle Down Jill

Prominent · 1

Dressedtoimpress

Midfield · 2

Royal CaveEagles Rock

Hold Up · 2

WhatdeawantNorthern Bound

Brandy McQueen and Settle Down Jill will set the early pace in this small field, with both confirmed front-runners likely to contest the lead from the off. This creates an honest gallop that should stretch the field, particularly over 2m7½f where stamina becomes crucial. The pace pressure from two willing leaders will set up the race for the hold-up horses to close late. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up merchants who can benefit from the pace battle upfront and finish powerfully.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Brandy McQueen and Settle Down Jill engage in a pace battle early

The front-runners will weaken in the final half-mile, allowing the patient hold-up horses to sweep past with their superior stamina reserves. Northern Bound and Whatdeawant are ideally positioned to capitalize.

Northern BoundWhatdeawantEagles RockRoyal Cave

Front Runner Survives

25% probability

If one of the leaders breaks clear and avoids the pace battle

Either Brandy McQueen or Settle Down Jill could steal a march by going clear early, building an unassailable lead while their rival struggles. The hold-up horses would have too much ground to make up.

Brandy McQueenSettle Down JillDressedtoimpressNorthern Bound

Prominent Runner Strikes

12% probability

If Dressedtoimpress can track the leaders without being caught in the pace battle

The prominent runner can benefit from the ideal position behind the pace setters, avoiding their battle but staying close enough to pounce. This tactical advantage could prove decisive in a small field.

DressedtoimpressNorthern BoundWhatdeawantEagles Rock

Complete Pace Collapse

8% probability

If both front-runners fade dramatically leaving a tactical muddle

The race could develop into a sprint finish where any horse still traveling could win regardless of early position. This chaos scenario opens the door for any runner with stamina left.

Eagles RockRoyal CaveDressedtoimpressNorthern Bound

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Brandy McQueen pulled up last time at Hexham and needs to prove that was just a bad day rather than a sign of decline

WATCH

Eagles Rock returns after 394 days off and makes his rules debut, fitness and adaptation to regulation racing could be issues

NOTE

Northern Bound was pulled up on hunter chase debut at Ludlow, watch for any early signs of struggling with the discipline again

WATCH

Dressedtoimpress pulled up over this course and distance last month, monitor early for any repeat of that poor showing

NOTE

The pace battle between Brandy McQueen and Settle Down Jill will be crucial to how the race unfolds for the closers behind

5:32 — Racing TV Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m · Good · CLS4 · 10 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 6 May 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →