Archive›Kempton (AW) · 10 June 2026

Kempton (AW)

10 June 2026 · 8 races

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Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

5:08 — Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Apprentice Handicap (London Stayers' Series Qualifier)

2m · Standard · HCAP · 8 runners

Rogue Empire to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Saratoga Gold and Individualiste led; the map had Rogue Empire in front.

Rogue Empire won at 6.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Rogue Empire

Prominent · 1

Further Measure

Midfield · 4

FleurmanSaratoga GoldIndividualisteKarthon

Hold Up · 2

Tarbat NessVilaine Verlaine

Rogue Empire will dictate terms from the front with no other confirmed pace angles in this 8-runner field. Further Measure may press from a prominent position early, but the overall gallop will be steady and sustainable over this 2-mile trip. The lack of pace pressure means the leaders can control fractions, setting up a tactical finish where horses need to be well-positioned turning for home. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid a traffic-laden finish, while hold-up horses face the challenge of making up significant ground against a controlled tempo.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running

45% probability

If Rogue Empire gets an uncontested lead and Further Measure settles prominently without applying early pressure.

The pace will be manageable throughout, allowing the leaders to kick clear in the straight while hold-up horses struggle to make up ground from the back. Front-runners and prominent racers will dominate the finish with their positional advantage.

Rogue EmpireFurther MeasureFleurmanTarbat Ness

Late Hold-Up Surge

30% probability

If the early pace becomes overly sedate and creates a bunched field turning for home.

The lack of early tempo will compress the field, creating opportunities for hold-up horses with superior finishing kicks to sweep past tiring leaders. Strong stayers from the back will benefit from the tactical nature.

Saratoga GoldFleurmanTarbat NessKarthon

Mid-Race Pressure

15% probability

If Further Measure or another prominent runner applies sustained pressure to Rogue Empire from halfway.

The increased tempo will stretch the field and create a genuine test of stamina, suiting proven 2-mile performers over those stepping up in trip. Horses with proven stamina at this distance will prevail.

Further MeasureTarbat NessFleurmanSaratoga Gold

Pace Collapse Scramble

10% probability

If Rogue Empire goes too slow early then kicks too hard, creating a stop-start rhythm.

The uneven tempo will favour horses with tactical speed who can respond to pace changes, while one-paced gallopers struggle with the rhythm shifts. Adaptable types with recent form will benefit from the messy pace.

KarthonVilaine VerlaineFurther MeasureIndividualiste

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Rogue Empire if he goes off too fast early, could compromise his stamina reserves for the finish

WATCH

Further Measure for his positioning in the first half-mile, crucial he doesn't get caught wide tracking the leader

NOTE

Vilaine Verlaine for how she handles the significant step up in trip on her first attempt at 2 miles

WATCH

The pace through the first mile, if too slow it will set up a cavalry charge finish favouring hold-up horses

NOTE

Saratoga Gold for his jumping from the back of the field, needs to be produced with a clear run

5:40 — Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Standard · NOV · 9 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

6:10 — Unibet/EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m3f · Standard · CLS3 · 9 runners

No obvious leaderHISTORIC

How it ran

Tribal Queen led.

Tribal Queen won at 2.62 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 6

Salve AllegraGypsy Jazz QueenSullom VoePalomezcalPersian FlawMidnight Steppers

Hold Up · 3

Velvet VegaDanseuseTribal Queen

With no confirmed front runner and all nine runners showing hold-up tendencies, this shapes as a pedestrian early gallop where the field will bunch together through the middle stages. Gypsy Jazz Queen or Salve Allegra might reluctantly take up the running early but neither is a natural pace-setter, creating a tactical affair with plenty in contention turning for home. The lack of genuine pace will inevitably produce a sprint finish over the final three furlongs, heavily favoring horses with proven finishing kicks and tactical speed rather than sustained gallopers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Sprint Finish

65% probability

If the pace is genuinely slow with no one willing to commit until late

The field will arrive at the home turn in a bunch before exploding into a furious sprint, suiting horses with proven finishing kicks and race experience. Velvet Vega's Newmarket form gives her the strongest finishing credentials while Danseuse showed promise when third at Newcastle.

Velvet VegaDanseuseTribal QueenGypsy Jazz Queen

Debutant Breakthrough

20% probability

If the newcomers Gypsy Jazz Queen or Salve Allegra possess untapped ability

Strong breeding and top connections could see one of the newcomers improve dramatically from their first public appearance. The tactical nature would suit patient rides on potentially well-bred types with more to offer.

Gypsy Jazz QueenSalve AllegraVelvet VegaTribal Queen

Even Pace Benefits

10% probability

If someone maintains steady fractions without overly strong or weak early gallop

Moderate but consistent pace would favor the more experienced runners who have shown form at the trip. Tribal Queen's Appleby stable form and breeding suggests she could benefit from a fair test.

Tribal QueenVelvet VegaDanseuseGypsy Jazz Queen

Outsider Surprise

5% probability

If the Menuisier trio or Midnight Steppers finds dramatic improvement

One of the lesser-fancied runners discovers significant progress in a weak maiden. The slow pace could bring them into contention despite poor previous efforts.

Sullom VoePersian FlawPalomezcalMidnight Steppers

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Velvet Vega's market position will reveal connections' confidence after her promising Newmarket second

WATCH

Track any late support for unraced pair Gypsy Jazz Queen and Salve Allegra given strong stable form

NOTE

Monitor early pace development as slow fractions will compress field and create chaotic finish

WATCH

Menuisier's three runners all show fading tendencies which could be exposed in sprint finish

NOTE

Jockey bookings Murphy and Buick suggest Velvet Vega and Tribal Queen are well-regarded by connections

6:40 — Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)

1m · Standard · HCAP · 14 runners

Freddie's Star likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Havana Touch and Criminal and Hour By Hour led; the map had Freddie's Star in front.

Havana Touch won at 3.75 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Freddie's Star

Prominent · 3

Island HeroI Am MeHour By Hour

Midfield · 6

CriminalCelestias CometBilly MillHavana TouchJust TypicalMy Boy Harry

Hold Up · 4

Silca BayLady ManzorAmerican StateBold Suitor

With Freddie's Star withdrawn, this becomes a tactical affair lacking a confirmed front runner. Island Hero and Hour By Hour are the most likely pace-setters from their prominent styles, but neither is aggressive enough to create genuine tempo. The large field of hold-up horses including Criminal, Billy Mill, Havana Touch, and My Boy Harry will force a stop-start gallop over this sharp mile. This shape heavily favours prominent racers who can position close enough to strike, as the hold-up brigade will struggle for racing room in the sprint finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Crawl Favours Prominent

60% probability

If Island Hero or Hour By Hour set modest fractions with the field bunched behind

The lack of pace allows prominent runners to settle perfectly positioned before the field compresses turning for home. Hold-up horses get trapped behind the wall of runners as the race becomes a sprint from the 2f pole.

I Am MeHour By HourIsland HeroJust Typical

Early Pace Holds Up

25% probability

If Island Hero goes forward more aggressively than expected and maintains honest gallop

The stronger tempo stretches the field and creates gaps for the better hold-up horses to exploit in the final furlong. Billy Mill and Havana Touch can use their proven course form to good effect.

Billy MillHavana TouchMy Boy HarryCriminal

Silca Bay Strikes Again

12% probability

If the Goodwood winner can reproduce Friday's form despite quick turnaround

His confidence from the recent win and unpenalised status allows him to overcome the 5-day gap between races. Oliver Carmichael's 7lb claim becomes decisive in a tight finish.

Silca BayLady ManzorBold SuitorCelestias Comet

Outsider Ambush

3% probability

If the pace completely collapses and an unconsidered runner finds clear passage

The messy tactical race plays into the hands of a horse getting significant weight relief or returning from a break. American State or Just Typical benefit from the chaos.

American StateJust TypicalHour By HourCelestias Comet

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Island Hero returning after 285 days could blow out early if fitness is lacking

WATCH

Silca Bay racing for second time in 6 days may show effects of quick turnaround in final furlong

NOTE

Criminal with William Buick represents stable confidence despite poor recent form

WATCH

Multiple hold-up horses including Billy Mill and Havana Touch could get trapped if pace collapses completely

NOTE

Just Typical often loses lengths at start which could prove costly in tactical race

7:10 — Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div I)

6f · Standard · HCAP · 10 runners

Angel Of Anfield to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Arry Up led; the map had Angel Of Anfield in front.

Moonshine won at 6.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Angel Of Anfield

Prominent · 4

Angel LoveThe Lost SockMoonshineArry Up

Midfield · 2

Jumeirah SandsDeluded

Hold Up · 3

Rogue SupremacySiren SuitMarengo Storm

Angel Of Anfield stands alone as the confirmed front runner and should secure an uncontested lead in this 6f sprint. The prominent congestion comes from Angel Love, Moonshine, The Lost Sock, and Arry Up all wanting that tactical position, creating traffic problems entering the final 3f. With only one natural leader, Angel Of Anfield can dictate terms and steal a march on the field before the prominent runners can organize their challenge. This race shape strongly favours the lone leader and hold-up horses who can find clear water late - the prominent runners face the biggest tactical disadvantage.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Scores

45% probability

If Angel Of Anfield breaks cleanly and establishes an easy lead without pressure.

Angel Of Anfield gets first run on the field while prominent runners tangle behind him, allowing him to kick clear when the real pace arrives. The soft lead gives him energy reserves to resist late challengers who leave their runs too late.

Angel Of AnfieldJumeirah SandsMarengo StormRogue Supremacy

Hold-Up Horse Pounces

30% probability

If the prominent quartet creates early pace pressure and compromises each other.

The pace becomes genuine as Angel Love, Moonshine, The Lost Sock, and Arry Up jostle for position, setting up the race for closers. Hold-up horses like Rogue Supremacy and Siren Suit get perfect pace conditions to unleash late finishing kicks.

Rogue SupremacySiren SuitMarengo StormJumeirah Sands

Prominent Runner Prevails

15% probability

If one of the prominent runners secures the perfect stalking position without traffic.

A single prominent horse avoids the early congestion and tracks Angel Of Anfield in the clear, getting first shot at the leader turning for home. The tactical advantage of a clean trip trumps the pace disadvantage in a sprint finish.

MoonshineAngel LoveThe Lost SockArry Up

Chaos Benefits Outsider

10% probability

If severe early pace and traffic problems compromise all the fancied runners.

Multiple incidents in the prominent pack create a messy race where the winner comes from an unexpected source. A horse with the right trip at the right time capitalizes on others' misfortune to spring a surprise.

DeludedMarengo StormJumeirah SandsThe Lost Sock

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Angel Of Anfield's break from the stalls - if he misses it, the whole race dynamic changes and prominent runners seize control

WATCH

The first two furlongs where Angel Love, Moonshine, The Lost Sock, and Arry Up could create a pace meltdown fighting for position

NOTE

William Buick's tactics on Marengo Storm - if he gets aggressive early it signals strong confidence from the Hughes yard

WATCH

Siren Suit's position turning for home - needs to be in the first four to have any chance of delivering his finishing kick

NOTE

How much daylight Rogue Supremacy can find in the straight - his kick is sharp but needs racing room to be effective

7:40 — Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)

6f · Standard · HCAP · 10 runners

Lead contested: Front Line Fury v Big HarryHISTORIC

How it ran

Front Line Fury and Sir Alfie led, as the map showed.

Amazing Journey won at 3.50 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Front Line FuryBig Harry

Prominent · 3

Sir AlfieAngel GabrielGenerous Rascal

Midfield · 2

DeportedSeu Jo

Hold Up · 3

Sayidah Hard SpunAmazing JourneyExotic Baby

Front Line Fury and Big Harry are both confirmed front runners who will lock horns from the gates, ensuring a genuine early gallop over this sharp 6f trip. With Angel Gabriel and Generous Rascal likely to sit prominent behind the leading pair, the pace will be honest throughout with no let-up. The strong early tempo will set up the race for those with finishing kick from midfield or further back. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can unleash late speed, as the front runners will soften each other up in a sustained battle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Early Battle

60% probability

If Front Line Fury and Big Harry both jump well and engage in a pace duel from the start.

The relentless early gallop will drain both leaders and create perfect conditions for closers to strike late. Hold-up horses like Sayidah Hard Spun and Exotic Baby can time their runs to perfection as the pace collapses.

Sayidah Hard SpunExotic BabyAmazing JourneyDeported

One Leader Dominates

25% probability

If either Front Line Fury or Big Harry gets an uncontested lead while the other misses the break or settles.

The lone leader controls the fractions and may have enough left to resist late challenges on the slower going. Prominent runners can track the moderate pace and challenge strongly in the straight.

Big HarryAngel GabrielFront Line FuryGenerous Rascal

Messy Early Pace

10% probability

If both main pace setters are slowly away or tactical, creating a false early tempo.

The lack of early speed allows more horses to get competitive positions and turns it into a sprint finish. This brings stamina-shy types back into contention as they won't face the searching gallop expected.

Sir AlfieGenerous RascalAngel GabrielAmazing Journey

Mid-Race Injection

5% probability

If the prominent runners Angel Gabriel or Generous Rascal take over from faltering leaders at halfway.

The change of pace in mid-race catches some off guard while suiting those with tactical speed. This scenario can favor horses that need the race to unfold at a steady rhythm before quickening.

Angel GabrielAmazing JourneyGenerous RascalDeported

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Big Harry returning after 214 days off - watch if he shows any signs of rustiness or blows up late after making early running

WATCH

Front Line Fury and Big Harry both breaking from the gates together - if one is significantly slower away it changes the entire pace scenario

NOTE

Amazing Journey at the start - his recent issues getting away cleanly could compromise his hold-up style in a race where position matters

WATCH

Sayidah Hard Spun's positioning early - she needs to be within striking distance to capitalize on the expected pace collapse

NOTE

The pace after 2f - if it's not as strong as expected, the hold-up horses lose their key advantage

8:10 — Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Standard · HCAP · 9 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Possible led; the map had Golden Muse and Soleil d'Arizona and Desert Belle in front.

Golden Muse won at 3.25 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Golden MuseSoleil d'ArizonaDesert Belle

Prominent · 2

ShushiToo Farhh Gone

Midfield · 1

Possible

Hold Up · 3

Club ClassJindriCaramay

Golden Muse, Soleil d'Arizona, and Desert Belle will ensure a strong gallop from the start over this stamina-testing 1m4f trip. Golden Muse has early pace and form at the distance, while Soleil d'Arizona returns from hurdles with natural front-running instincts, and Desert Belle showed speed when winning at Southwell. The sustained tempo will stretch the field and test stamina reserves in the straight. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can finish powerfully, as the early burn will set up a closing kick for patient rides.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Gallop Suits Closers

60% probability

If the three front-runners maintain a genuine pace throughout

The strong tempo will find out the stamina reserves of prominent racers and set up perfect conditions for the hold-up brigade to finish strongly in the final two furlongs.

Club ClassJindriCaramayPossible

Front Runner Steals It

20% probability

If one of the pace-setters gets loose on the lead

Golden Muse or Desert Belle could exploit any tactical errors by getting first run and holding on, especially if the hold-up horses are caught napping or traffic-affected.

Golden MuseDesert BelleToo Farhh GoneShushi

Prominent Tracker Wins

12% probability

If the early pace is strong but not suicidal

Horses like Shushi and Too Farhh Gone positioned just behind the leaders can strike at the perfect moment, avoiding both the early burn and any late traffic problems.

ShushiToo Farhh GoneClub ClassGolden Muse

Pace Collapses Early

8% probability

If the front-runners compromise each other's speed early

Without sustained pressure, the race becomes a sprint finish where any horse can win regardless of position, though this seems unlikely given the natural pace in the field.

CaramayPossibleJindriToo Farhh Gone

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Soleil d'Arizona's fitness after 31 days off hurdles - any market support suggests connections confident but form transfer uncertain

WATCH

Golden Muse and Desert Belle could engage in a pace duel early that compromises both their winning chances

NOTE

Club Class needs Buick to find the right position from her wide draw to utilize her strong finishing kick

WATCH

Jindri returning after 202 days off - watch for any signs of ring-rustiness in the preliminaries

NOTE

Too Farhh Gone stepping up markedly in class - her recent Southwell form may not translate to this level

8:40 — Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier)

1m3f · Standard · HCAP · 14 runners

Pershalla to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Imperial Cult led; the map had Pershalla in front.

Imperial Cult won at 4.50 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Pershalla

Prominent · 3

KarakulaImperial CultUzincso

Midfield · 6

St Just In TimeSonnerie PowerSemeleSea Of CharmBlackwaterfootThree Yorkshiremen

Hold Up · 4

Man From HavanaWood WhispererRunning The GameGolspie

Pershalla is the sole confirmed front-runner and will be allowed to dictate terms without pressure through the early stages. Imperial Cult, Uzincso and Karakula may track prominently but none are natural pace-setters, allowing Pershalla to bowl along at sustainable fractions. The large field of hold-up horses including Sea Of Charm, Golspie, Wood Whisperer and Sonnerie Power will be bunched behind, creating potential traffic problems in the straight. This uncontested lead scenario strongly favours front-running and prominent racers who can secure early position and avoid the inevitable scramble from deep.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If Pershalla sets comfortable fractions without early pressure from the prominent trio

She can dictate ideal splits and kick clear when the field starts its move, while the massed ranks of hold-up horses get caught in traffic. The lack of pace pressure allows her stamina to tell over this extended trip.

PershallaImperial CultUzincsoKarakula

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Imperial Cult or Uzincso sit close enough to Pershalla to strike when she weakens

The experienced duo can use their tactical speed to pounce when the leader comes back to them in the final furlong. Their forward positions avoid the hold-up horse traffic while benefiting from the honest pace.

Imperial CultUzincsoKarakulaSonnerie Power

Hold-Up Horse Weaves Through

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and the field bunches entering the straight

One of the classier hold-up horses like Sea Of Charm or Golspie finds racing room and uses superior finishing speed. The slow tempo would suit their profiles but requires significant luck in running.

Sea Of CharmGolspieSonnerie PowerWood Whisperer

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If Pershalla goes too slow early and multiple horses challenge simultaneously in a cavalry charge

The race becomes a messy sprint finish where any horse with a clear run can prevail through sheer fortune. Form and class become secondary to racing luck in a blanket finish.

KarakulaRunning The GameMan From HavanaThree Yorkshiremen

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pershalla could steal this race if allowed uncontested fractions - monitor if any prominent horses challenge her early position

WATCH

Traffic problems likely in straight with 11 hold-up horses bunched together - watch for clear runs developing late

WATCH

Imperial Cult and Uzincso both need to track close enough to strike when leader weakens - their early positioning crucial

NOTE

Running The Game returning from 15-month absence - market support would indicate hidden fitness levels

NOTE

Apprentice Toby Moore(7) on Karakula reduces weight to 132lbs, significant advantage if horse reproduces recent form

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 10 June 2026.

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