Archive›Kilbeggan · 15 June 2026

Kilbeggan

15 June 2026 · 8 races

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4:40 — T. Murray & Son Ltd. Beginners Chase

2m4f · Soft · DEFAULT · 13 runners

Le Coq Hardi likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Impero led; the map had Le Coq Hardi in front.

Le Coq Hardi won at 2.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Le Coq Hardi

Prominent · 4

Positive EnergyLondonofficecallinImperoFollowing Orders

Midfield · 4

Orkneys JackCarriganeCoyote SpiritEphesus

Hold Up · 4

Road To The WeirMiss IrelandGlen To GlenFinnfaraway

Le Coq Hardi emerges as the clear pace angle with his prominent style and Henry De Bromhead's strong strike rate, likely to dictate from the front alongside fellow prominent runners Coyote Spirit, Following Orders, Impero and Londonofficecallin. This creates a genuine pace scenario rather than a crawl, with multiple horses wanting to be handy early over this 2m4f trip on yielding to soft ground. The sustained pace will set up perfectly for the hold-up horses to deliver late kicks, with Ephesus, Finnfaraway, Road To The Weir and Glen To Glen all possessing the tactical speed to benefit from a strong gallop. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up brigade who can track the pace battle and pounce late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Brigade Strikes

45% probability

If the prominent horses engage in a genuine pace battle from halfway

The sustained gallop will perfectly suit the patient tactics of the hold-up horses who can time their challenges perfectly. Ephesus and Glen To Glen are best positioned to capitalize on this scenario with their proven finishing kicks.

EphesusGlen To GlenFinnfarawayRoad To The Weir

Prominent Horse Survives

30% probability

If one prominent runner can escape the early pace pressure and dictate alone

Le Coq Hardi or Impero could steal a march if they can avoid the early scrimmaging and control the tempo. Their class advantage combined with tactical racing could prove decisive in a beginners chase.

Le Coq HardiImperoCoyote SpiritLondonofficecallin

Midfield Tracker Benefits

15% probability

If the pace collapses early and becomes stop-start

A horse tracking in behind the leaders but not committed to hold-up tactics could benefit from the tactical positioning. Positive Energy's recent form suggests he could profit from this scenario.

Positive EnergyFollowing OrdersCarriganeOrkneys Jack

Front Runner Wire-To-Wire

10% probability

If Le Coq Hardi can dominate from the front without serious pressure

His class edge and De Bromhead's tactical nous could see him control the race from flag to finish. The 25-day break should have him spot-on for this assignment.

Le Coq HardiCoyote SpiritImperoLondonofficecallin

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Orkneys Jack's 379-day absence combined with fade-in-finish tendency makes him a complete unknown quantity

WATCH

Watch Le Coq Hardi's early positioning as his pace-setting role will determine the entire race tempo

WATCH

Ephesus faces a fitness test after 168 days off but his hold-up style perfectly suits the likely race shape

NOTE

Glen To Glen carries just 152lbs compared to rivals on 166lbs giving him a significant weight advantage

NOTE

Following Orders could get caught in no-man's-land between the pace battle and hold-up horses

5:12 — Mongey Communications Galway Plate Trial Handicap Chase

2m4f · Soft · HCAP · 14 runners

Ol Man Dingle likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Gaelic Arc led; the map had Ol Man Dingle in front.

Ol Man Dingle won at 4.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ol Man Dingle

Prominent · 5

RiaanBoston RoverDrumgillWonlegRising Dust

Midfield · 6

Marv MichaelLinden ArdenMilan ForthWarriors WoodA Wave Of The SeaEl Champo

Hold Up · 2

Indiana JonesGaelic Arc

Ol Man Dingle will attempt to dictate terms from the front with his proven front-running style, though several prominent racers including Riaan, Boston Rover and Drumgill will track closely and apply pressure from early stages. The 2m4f trip on soft ground will create a searching gallop that gradually intensifies, with multiple horses capable of pressing the pace throughout. With no genuine hold-up specialists in the field bar Indiana Jones and Gaelic Arc, this becomes a test of sustained stamina rather than a sprint finish. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can travel well in the leading group and have the stamina reserves to respond when the pace intensifies in the final half-mile.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Gallop Grind

55% probability

If Ol Man Dingle sets a solid gallop and the prominent brigade travel well behind him through halfway.

The soft ground and trip will find out those lacking stamina reserves as the pace never relents, favouring horses with proven staying power who can grind out a finish. Boston Rover and Rising Dust have the class and stamina profiles to thrive in this demanding test.

Boston RoverRising DustRiaanWonleg

Early Pace Collapse

25% probability

If Ol Man Dingle goes too fast early or the prominent racers fail to apply sustained pressure.

The race becomes more tactical with a sprint finish developing, allowing fresher horses who haven't been involved in early pace battles to strike late. Warriors Wood and Milan Forth can benefit from their recent form and lighter weights in a more tactical affair.

Warriors WoodMilan ForthLinden ArdenEl Champo

Front Runner Dominance

12% probability

If Ol Man Dingle gets an easy lead and the field fails to apply enough pressure through the middle stages.

The front-runner builds an unassailable advantage as the chasing pack leaves their challenges too late on the testing ground. Ol Man Dingle's class advantage tells when allowed to dictate his own fractions in the testing conditions.

Ol Man DingleDrumgillBoston RoverRiaan

Late Surge Special

8% probability

If the early pace is moderate and the race develops into a cavalry charge from the back.

Indiana Jones and Gaelic Arc can use their hold-up styles to devastating effect if the race falls apart in front of them. The experienced duo benefit from a truly-run race where their stamina reserves prove decisive.

Indiana JonesGaelic ArcA Wave Of The SeaEl Champo

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Boston Rover's fitness after 239-day layoff could be crucial as Elliott horses often need their comeback runs despite his fresh record.

WATCH

Watch for early pace pressure on Ol Man Dingle as multiple prominent racers could force him into a speed duel.

WATCH

Several 7lb claimers including Drumgill and Gaelic Arc may struggle to get competitive early positions in this field size.

NOTE

Monitor how the soft ground affects the jumping as several horses including Indiana Jones have been making errors recently.

NOTE

Rising Dust's stamina reserves will be tested over this trip as his best form has come over shorter distances.

5:42 — Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Mares Hurdle

2m3f · Soft · DEFAULT · 11 runners

Venusienne likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Venusienne led, as the map showed.

Carmel's Phoenix won at 5.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Venusienne

Prominent · 3

Maximillian LadyKenisa SportCarmel's Phoenix

Midfield · 4

Where Eagles FlyLove At SeaPoetic TwistAnother Blunder

Hold Up · 3

Talas KeraMila BallerinaMaybe Someday

Venusienne is the only confirmed front-runner in this field and should get an uncontested lead, setting a moderate gallop that won't exhaust her reserves. The prominent runners Kenisa Sport, Love At Sea, Poetic Twist, Maximillian Lady and Carmel's Phoenix will track behind in the second rank, while the hold-up horses Another Blunder, Maybe Someday, Mila Ballerina and Talas Kera face the challenge of making up ground from the rear. With soft ground conditions favouring stamina and tactical racing, this controlled tempo will strongly favour the front-runner and prominent racers who can position close to the pace without having to make dramatic late moves.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Venusienne Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Venusienne gets the expected uncontested lead and maintains a steady gallop.

Her proven front-running ability on soft ground combines perfectly with the lack of pace pressure, allowing her to dictate terms and kick clear when the field comes under pressure. The W P Mullins-trained mare has winning form on similar going and can exploit her tactical advantage.

VenusiennePoetic TwistKenisa SportMaximillian Lady

Prominent Runners Prevail

30% probability

If the prominent racers successfully track Venusienne and outfinish her in the straight.

Kenisa Sport and Love At Sea have the class edge at OR 120 and 112 respectively, while their prominent styles allow them to stay close enough to strike when Venusienne tires. Both have shown they can quicken from handy positions on soft ground.

Kenisa SportLove At SeaPoetic TwistMaximillian Lady

Hold-Up Challenge Succeeds

15% probability

If the pace proves too steady and the closers get the perfect setup for their finishing kicks.

Talas Kera has the best recent hold-up form with a third place last time, while the soft ground will help stamina-laden types who can grind out their challenges late. The lack of early pace could create the ideal scenario for patient tactics.

Talas KeraAnother BlunderMaybe SomedayMila Ballerina

Surprise Package Emerges

10% probability

If Where Eagles Fly or Carmel's Phoenix produces an unexpected breakthrough performance.

Where Eagles Fly's unknown quantity status could hide improvement, while the four-year-old Carmel's Phoenix drops significantly in grade after bumper and point-to-point success. Fresh legs and unexposed potential might catch the more exposed runners.

Where Eagles FlyCarmel's PhoenixPoetic TwistMaximillian Lady

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Venusienne must be watched for how easily she gets to the front and whether any horse challenges her for the early lead

WATCH

Monitor the pace through the early stages - if it's too slow it could favour the hold-up horses like Talas Kera

NOTE

Keep an eye on Kenisa Sport's jumping and fluency given the lengthy 263-day absence for such a short-priced favourite

WATCH

Watch for Any signs of the soft ground becoming more testing as the day progresses, favouring stamina over speed

NOTE

Observe Where Eagles Fly's jumping and race positioning to assess the lightly-raced mare's true ability level

6:12 — Old Harbour Bar Tullamore (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle

2m · Soft · MDN · 17 runners

No obvious leaderHISTORIC

How it ran

Urinmydreams led.

Silly Mongoose won at 4.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 12

Yolanda's StarUndertheinfluenceSharuDrumadeiseJessie RoeGreat EntirelyBetterluckthistimeArizona RobbinsAdifferentballowaxSilver SaluteBrohatnaSonny Fella

Hold Up · 5

UrinmydreamsSky LewisSilly MongooseScotty JoeRose Mountain

With no confirmed front runner in this 17-runner field, the early pace will likely be modest as horses with hold-up and midfield styles dominate the entries. Sharu and Undertheinfluence may drift forward by default, but neither shows strong early pace, creating a tactical crawl through the early stages. The lack of genuine pace-setters will compress the field turning for home, setting up a cavalry charge finish where positioning and a clear run become critical. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses with tactical speed who can weave through traffic and produce a telling late burst.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Sprint Finish

60% probability

If the early pace stays steady with Sharu and Undertheinfluence content to lead at a crawl.

The field bunches turning for home creating a wall of horses where only those with racing room prosper. Hold-up specialists like Great Entirely and Silly Mongoose benefit from patient rides and late gaps.

Great EntirelySilly MongooseScotty JoeSharu

Moderate Pace Benefits

25% probability

If one of the hold-up horses like Brohatna or Silver Salute tracks closer than usual.

A steadier rhythm develops but still lacks true pace, allowing prominent trackers to stay in touch without pressure. Horses like Scotty Joe who can sit handy but finish benefit from the controlled tempo.

Scotty JoeBrohatnaGreat EntirelySharu

Messy Tactical Affair

10% probability

If jockeys get too cute and nobody wants to make the running early.

The pace becomes stop-start with multiple horses trying to get cover, leading to a bunched field and interference problems. The few horses that can secure good positions like Sharu prosper while others struggle in traffic.

SharuUndertheinfluenceSilly MongooseGreat Entirely

Surprise Pace Injection

5% probability

If an outsider like Sonny Fella or Arizona Robbins goes forward unexpectedly.

A genuine pace materializes creating a more conventional race shape where stamina becomes a factor. This could expose some hold-up horses but may suit those with proven staying ability on this ground.

Silver SaluteBrohatnaSilly MongooseJessie Roe

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Great Entirely and Scotty Joe getting prominent early positions as they could dominate if securing ideal racing room

WATCH

Sharu and Undertheinfluence being allowed to dictate a slow pace as it could set up their stamina reserves

WATCH

Traffic problems developing at the two-furlong pole given the large field and lack of early pace

NOTE

Silver Salute's fitness levels after 107 days off as he could be a factor if handling the break

NOTE

Amateur jockey tactics on Brohatna and Great Entirely as positioning will be crucial in tactical finish

6:42 — Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

3m½f · Soft · HCAP · 19 runners

Tango Theatre likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Roman Parish led; the map had Tango Theatre in front.

Island McCoo won at 3.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently.

4 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tango Theatre

Prominent · 6

JaadilJoe's TurnIsland McCooLadies WellRoman ParishFr Gilligansvoyge

Midfield · 6

Derby RockBlinding LightBallyredinkingstonCeltic CrossingQueen KulinaMove It On Over

Hold Up · 6

Pilgrims WalkDearg MorBrianna LilyHay BabyStrong ContenderEverystep Oftheway

Tango Theatre and Jaadil will lead early with Fr Gilligansvoyge, Joe's Turn and Island McCoo tracking prominently, creating a solid gallop over this stamina test. The pace will be sustained rather than frantic given the distance and soft ground, with multiple prominent runners ensuring no single leader gets an easy time. The large field of 19 runners will string out significantly in the testing conditions, with many hold-up horses needing to navigate traffic problems in the straight. This race shape clearly favours prominent racers and early pace-setters who can avoid the inevitable scramble, as hold-up horses face too many variables over this trip on soft ground.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

60% probability

If the early pace is genuine but not suicidal, allowing the front division to stay strong

The leaders and prominent trackers maintain their advantage as the field strings out on soft ground over 3m½f. Hold-up horses struggle with the combination of testing ground, distance, and traffic in a large field.

Tango TheatreJaadilJoe's TurnIsland McCoo

Late Surge Succeeds

20% probability

If the early pace is too strong and the leaders tire badly in the final half-mile

The front runners pay for their exertions as fresher hold-up horses sweep through with strong finishing kicks. The soft ground aids stamina types who have conserved energy.

Dearg MorDerby RockBrianna LilyHay Baby

Mid-Division Strike

12% probability

If pace collapses early but moderate pressure is maintained throughout

Horses positioned in fourth to eighth early avoid both the pace pressure and traffic problems. They emerge as the field weakens to claim the spoils with well-timed moves.

Ladies WellRoman ParishPilgrims WalkEverystep Oftheway

Chaos and Surprise

8% probability

If multiple fallers or significant interference disrupts the race flow

The race becomes a lottery with positioning and luck determining the outcome more than ability. An unfancied runner benefits from a clear passage while better horses are hampered.

Fr GilligansvoygeQueen KulinaCeltic CrossingMove It On Over

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tango Theatre must handle the 234-day layoff despite his front-running style suiting this race perfectly

WATCH

Traffic problems will be severe in the home straight with 19 runners and multiple hold-up horses needing room

NOTE

Jaadil's recent consistency and prominent style makes him a serious threat to any pace scenario

WATCH

Multiple horses carry fade-in-finish warnings which could create a false pace and benefit late runners

NOTE

Ladies Well's 3-pound claimer and recent win makes her dangerous if getting first run on the leaders

7:12 — Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

3m½f · Soft · HCAP · 19 runners

Smackwater Jack likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Charlie's Gift led; the map had Smackwater Jack in front.

Love Like This won at 4.33 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Smackwater Jack

Prominent · 4

Gerrys WishDylan OakImperial TuneBack The West

Midfield · 8

Annie's BelleLove Like ThisThe Ducks WalkNot So SeriousKatie's CasperStonecarthyThree County StarYouknowme

Hold Up · 6

RiggsStretchemoutBrother HollieCharlie's GiftLily MilanChasing Crowns

Smackwater Jack will control this race from the front with no genuine pace pressure from a field dominated by hold-up horses. Back The West, Imperial Tune, and Gerrys Wish may track in behind but none are natural pace forcers. The moderate early gallop will allow the leader to dictate terms before the large pack of hold-up horses attempt their usual late challenges up the long Kilbeggan straight. This race shape clearly favours prominent runners and those with tactical pace, as the hold-up brigade will face a wall of traffic in a crowded finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dictates

45% probability

If Smackwater Jack gets an easy lead and controls the fractions

The 12-year-old can utilize his recent Killarney win confidence to kick clear when the hold-up horses are still organizing behind him. His prominent style perfectly suits a race lacking early pace pressure.

Smackwater JackImperial TuneGerrys WishDylan Oak

Tactical Speed Wins

30% probability

If the prominent runners can position perfectly behind the leader

Back The West and Dylan Oak can use their racing room advantage over the hold-up horses to strike at the perfect moment. The pace will be just strong enough to blunt the finishing kicks of the backmarkers.

Back The WestDylan OakSmackwater JackGerrys Wish

Hold-up Horse Surge

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish

The superior class horses like Riggs and Stretchemout can overcome traffic issues with raw ability in a slowly-run race. Charlie's Gift could also benefit from his decent recent form in these conditions.

RiggsStretchemoutCharlie's GiftBrother Hollie

Chaos in Large Field

10% probability

If early fallers or interference creates gaps for backmarkers

The 19-runner field creates multiple opportunities for traffic problems that could open doors for patient rides. Love Like This or Annie's Belle might capitalize on others' misfortune with clear runs.

Love Like ThisAnnie's BelleKatie's CasperThree County Star

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Smackwater Jack controlling fractions from the front - if uncontested he becomes very dangerous in weak pace scenario

WATCH

Traffic problems developing in straight with 19 runners - hold-up horses like Riggs and Stretchemout most vulnerable to getting blocked

WATCH

Dylan Oak returning after 744-day absence - fitness concerns despite class advantage and suitable running style

NOTE

Imperial Tune and Gerrys Wish positioning behind leader - their prominence could set up tactical advantage over backmarkers

NOTE

Several horses with fade tendencies including Chasing Crowns, Not So Serious, and Three County Star in stamina test

7:42 — Paul & Carmel Fay Memorial Handicap Hurdle

3m½f · Soft · HCAP · 14 runners

Encanto Bruno likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lisnamult Lad led; the map had Encanto Bruno in front.

Ad Caelum won at 11.00 — was held up, as the map had it.

5 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Encanto Bruno

Prominent · 5

Lisnamult LadBallybowJacovec CavernToll StoneCobra Queen

Midfield · 4

St Lawrence's WellCrossing The BarLittlebiggieDorans Law

Hold Up · 4

In Excelsis DeoAd CaelumRexemMoonovercloon

Encanto Bruno will lead from the start with no obvious challengers for the early pace, setting a comfortable rhythm through the first half of this 3m½f test. The prominent brigade of Lisnamult Lad, Ballybow, Jacovec Cavern, Toll Stone, and Cobra Queen will sit in behind the leader without applying early pressure. With such a sedate gallop likely, the race will become a sprint finish from the last hurdle, with the soft ground adding stamina demands. This race shape heavily favours hold-up horses and those with proven finishing kicks, as they can conserve energy behind the modest pace before unleashing late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Encanto Bruno sets his usual modest gallop and the race becomes a sprint finish from two out

The patient tactics of the hold-up brigade will pay dividends as they sweep past tiring prominent runners in the final furlong. Horses like In Excelsis Deo, Rexem, and Littlebiggie can use their finishing speed to maximum effect.

In Excelsis DeoRexemLittlebiggieAd Caelum

Prominent Tracker Prevails

25% probability

If one of the prominent horses can get first run on the field and maintain their position

Jacovec Cavern or Cobra Queen could capitalize on their handy position by quickening before the hold-up horses get organized. Their class and tactical positioning gives them the edge in a sustained drive.

Jacovec CavernCobra QueenToll StoneBallybow

Encanto Bruno Wire-to-Wire

12% probability

If the leader's stamina proves superior and he can resist all challengers in the straight

McConnell's gelding uses his 10-day freshness advantage to dictate throughout and find extra when challenged. His front-running style becomes an asset if others fail to close decisively.

Encanto BrunoLisnamult LadSt Lawrence's WellCrossing The Bar

Longshot Late Surge

8% probability

If the pace collapses completely and a forgotten horse produces a career-best finish

The combination of soft ground and steady pace allows an outsider like Moonovercloon or Dorans Law to produce an unexpected late rattle. Their longer odds reflect overlooked ability rather than lack of chance.

MoonovercloonDorans LawCrossing The BarLittlebiggie

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Encanto Bruno may not handle the sustained pressure if multiple challengers attack simultaneously in the straight

WATCH

Watch for any early scrimmaging among the prominent horses as this could set up the hold-up horses perfectly

NOTE

Monitor Jacovec Cavern's jumping rhythm as he's been foot-perfect recently and could steal a march at the last

WATCH

Keep an eye on In Excelsis Deo's position turning in as Bolger's horses often produce their best when least expected

NOTE

Observe whether Cobra Queen can maintain her position under pressure as she's shown a tendency to empty late in tough finishes

8:12 — Midlands National On 10th July (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race

2m · Soft · DEFAULT · 19 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 15 June 2026.

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