Archive›Kilbeggan · 31 May 2026

Kilbeggan

31 May 2026 · 7 races

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2:26 — Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

2m3f · Good To Soft · MDN · 15 runners

Allroadsleadtorome to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Mighty Berkshire and Gunnery Sergeant led; the map had Allroadsleadtorome in front.

Mento won at 11.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

7 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Allroadsleadtorome

Prominent · 3

MentoFacile OceanL'As de Watt

Midfield · 7

The Red LadSonna LadyRobindeepotI Can Find EmUnknown FortuneImarajanBeacon Bypass

Hold Up · 4

CreevybegGunnery SergeantMighty BerkshireCaptain Hanley

Allroadsleadtorome emerges as the sole confirmed front-runner in this maiden field, likely to dictate terms with minimal early pressure. The prominent runners L'As de Watt, Mento and Facile Ocean may track him but lack proven pace-forcing tendencies, creating a moderate gallop. A large cohort of hold-up horses including Gunnery Sergeant, Captain Hanley, Imarajan and Mighty Berkshire will look to close late. This sustainable pace followed by a scramble from the back strongly favours hold-up performers who can time their challenges effectively.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If the pace stays moderate as expected with Allroadsleadtorome unchallenged early

The hold-up brigade gets perfect conditions to close strongly, with the experienced campaigners having crucial advantages over the debutants. Gunnery Sergeant and Captain Hanley emerge from the pack with superior finishing kicks.

Gunnery SergeantCaptain HanleyImarajanMighty Berkshire

Prominent Tracker Strikes

20% probability

If one of the experienced prominent runners can secure ideal position behind the leader

L'As de Watt or Facile Ocean travels smoothly in behind before quickening when the hold-up horses are still gathering momentum. Their positioning advantage proves decisive in the closing stages.

L'As de WattFacile OceanMentoGunnery Sergeant

Surprise Debut Winner

10% probability

If the large number of newcomers includes a well-schooled improver catching the market

A debutant shows superior natural ability and race-reading to overcome inexperience in a slowly-run affair. The lack of strong form in the field opens the door for fresh talent.

I Can Find EmRobindeepotThe Red LadSonna Lady

Wire-To-Wire Shock

5% probability

If Allroadsleadtorome faces no serious challenge and maintains his position throughout

The confirmed leader dictates ideal fractions for his own stamina and holds on as the closers leave their runs too late. His recent running suggests he can sustain a gallop better than his odds suggest.

AllroadsleadtoromeMentoL'As de WattFacile Ocean

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Gunnery Sergeant and Captain Hanley settling kindly in rear - their closing kicks could be devastating if the pace stays steady

WATCH

Facile Ocean's tendency to race keenly early - if he settles better he becomes a major player from prominent position

NOTE

Market movements on the Hanlon debutants The Red Lad and Sonna Lady - any strong support would indicate hidden ability

WATCH

Allroadsleadtorome's ability to sustain his gallop - previous form suggests he can outstay these if not pressured early

NOTE

L'As de Watt's jumping fluency - his Cork second suggests real ability if he can translate it to this longer trip

2:56 — Gannon Eco Novice Hurdle

3m · Good To Soft · NOV · 5 runners

Lead contested: Pets Georgina v Red Or WhiteHISTORIC

How it ran

Red Or White led, as the map showed.

Local News won at 2.25 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Pets GeorginaRed Or White

Prominent · 2

Local NewsMaster Haku

Midfield · 1

Lemmy Caution

Hold Up · 0

None

Pets Georgina and Red Or White will dispute the early lead in this small field, with both confirmed front runners likely to set a solid gallop over the 3-mile trip. The prominent racers Local News, Master Haku and Lemmy Caution should track the leaders closely given the lack of held-up horses in the field. With no genuine hold-up performers and limited pace pressure from just two leaders, this sets up as an honest but not overly demanding gallop that should suit the prominent runners who can position handily and have the class to kick when the race develops. This pace scenario clearly favours prominent racers who can travel well and have a turn of foot.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

45% probability

If the two leaders set a reasonable pace without killing each other off early

The classier prominent runners can sit in perfect tracking positions and use superior ability when the race heats up after the last. Local News and Master Haku are best positioned to exploit this scenario with their higher ratings and tactical speed.

Local NewsMaster HakuLemmy Caution

Front Runners Battle Hard

30% probability

If Pets Georgina and Red Or White engage in a sustained speed duel from early in the race

The pace becomes strong enough to set up the race for the best stayer among the prominent group who can pick up the pieces. Lemmy Caution's recent 3-mile win suggests he could benefit most from a truly run race over this extended trip.

Lemmy CautionLocal NewsMaster Haku

Leader Gets Away

15% probability

If one of the front runners gets an uncontested lead while the other falls away or makes mistakes

The free-running leader could steal a march on the field and prove hard to peg back over this stamina-sapping distance. Red Or White has shown more consistency than Pets Georgina and would be the more likely beneficiary of this scenario.

Red Or WhiteLemmy CautionLocal News

Novice Errors Decide

10% probability

If jumping mistakes or inexperience cost the market leaders at crucial stages

The most reliable jumper among the remainder could capitalize on others' misfortunes in this novice event. Master Haku's Gordon Elliott schooling and recent hurdles experience could prove decisive if others falter.

Master HakuLocal NewsLemmy Caution

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pets Georgina could cause interference again if her jumping doesn't improve from the unseating incident just 6 days ago

WATCH

Red Or White needs to show more consistency than her 0-7 hurdles record suggests after repeatedly failing to convert ability into wins

NOTE

Master Haku stepping up significantly in trip from his 16.5f winning distance to this 3-mile test for the first time

WATCH

Lemmy Caution running back quickly after just 4 days since his poor effort at Down Royal following his Punchestown win

NOTE

Local News attempting to follow up her shock 100-1 maiden win with another prominent performance against stronger opposition

3:26 — Joe Quinn Transport Longford Handicap Hurdle

2m3f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 15 runners

Lead contested: Blue Reed v Not So SeriousHISTORIC

How it ran

Kalsman led; the map had Blue Reed and Not So Serious in front.

Blue Reed won at 9.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Blue ReedNot So Serious

Prominent · 3

KalsmanBrother HollieSekifi

Midfield · 6

Westin PimpernelFinnicky FillyInches AwayTuff DaysRajjnatinGlaoinn An Airgead

Hold Up · 4

Sheer RazJusticialismAnodandawinkAnnie's Belle

Blue Reed and Not So Serious will dispute the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set a solid gallop in this competitive handicap. Kalsman and Brother Hollie should track the pace in prominent positions, while the majority of the field including Sheer Raz, Justicialism, Finnicky Filly and Anodandawink will settle further back. With genuine pace-setters and a competitive field, the gallop should be honest throughout the 2m3f trip. This race shape clearly favours hold-up horses who can produce a sustained finish, as the early pace will set it up perfectly for closers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Collapse

45% probability

If Blue Reed and Not So Serious engage in a prolonged speed duel from flagfall

The honest gallop will find out both leaders in the final half-mile, allowing the hold-up performers to pick up the pieces with strong finishing kicks. This plays directly into the hands of those settled at the rear who can time their challenges perfectly.

Sheer RazJusticialismAnodandawinkFinnicky Filly

Tactical Front Running

30% probability

If Blue Reed gets an uncontested lead with Not So Serious settling behind

The moderate early pace will allow Blue Reed to dictate terms and kick for home when it matters, while prominent trackers can also benefit from the controlled tempo. Hold-up horses may struggle to make up ground without enough pace to aim at.

Blue ReedKalsmanBrother HollieJusticialism

Mid-Race Injection

15% probability

If Kalsman or Brother Hollie inject pace from the 6f pole to catch the leaders napping

The sudden acceleration will stretch the field and expose those without the class or fitness to respond. This benefits horses with tactical speed who can quicken when the pace lifts rather than pure stayers.

KalsmanSheer RazBrother HollieAnodandawink

Sustained Gallop Throughout

10% probability

If the pace remains steady and even from start to finish without significant changes

The consistent tempo will favour horses with stamina and proven staying power over those who rely on tactical kicks. This becomes a true test of endurance where experience and fitness tell.

JusticialismFinnicky FillyBlue ReedRajjnatin

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Blue Reed and Not So Serious could set unsustainable fractions if they engage in early speed duel

WATCH

Justicialism has fading tendency late and amateur rider may not time challenge optimally

WATCH

Several runners including Anodandawink and Inches Away show concerning patterns of weakening in finish

NOTE

Sheer Raz benefits from tongue-tie first time and Cromwell's 18% strike rate with equipment changes

NOTE

Kalsman showed benefit of comeback run last time and Down Royal form gives him solid claims here

4:00 — Midland Veterinary Handicap Hurdle

1m7½f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 13 runners

Premier Rogue likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Premier Rogue led, as the map showed.

Secret Rock won at 8.50 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Premier Rogue

Prominent · 2

Laurie BlueWalk Win

Midfield · 6

Diamond SecretI Feel FineEl RegaloBenzineMount HothamChesterbaylad

Hold Up · 4

High NotionsLe DiabloSecret RockMake The Plan

Premier Rogue will take the early lead with Walk Win and Laurie Blue likely to sit handy, but with only one confirmed pace-setter this sets up a moderate gallop rather than a searching test. The lack of genuine speed horses means the early pace will be comfortable, allowing the field to stay bunched longer than ideal. This moderate tempo strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, as front-runners like Premier Rogue face the risk of being swamped in the final furlong. The race shape clearly benefits hold-up performers who can stay close enough to strike in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If the pace stays moderate as expected with Premier Rogue unchallenged early

The comfortable gallop allows patient riders to keep their mounts closer than usual, setting up multiple late challengers to overwhelm the leaders. Le Diablo and Diamond Secret benefit most from being able to time their runs perfectly.

Le DiabloDiamond SecretSecret RockHigh Notions

Front Runners Steal It

20% probability

If Premier Rogue and Walk Win go faster than expected or the hold-up horses fail to close

The early leaders get first run on their rivals and the closing horses leave their moves too late on ground that may be testing their stamina. Premier Rogue holds on with Walk Win running into a place.

Premier RogueWalk WinLaurie BlueBenzine

Mid-Race Pace Injection

10% probability

If Laurie Blue or Walk Win decide to inject pace from the third flight onwards

The increased tempo stretches the field and exposes the stamina limitations of several runners, but still allows the classier hold-up horses to respond. This pace change suits horses with tactical speed who can bridge the gap.

High NotionsLaurie BlueLe DiabloPremier Rogue

Chaos and Jumping Errors

5% probability

If multiple horses make significant jumping mistakes or there are falls/interference

Poor jumping from several runners creates opportunities for those who jump cleanly and can pick up the pieces. The race becomes more about who survives than pure ability.

BenzineSecret RockChesterbayladDiamond Secret

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Walk Win has shown a clear pattern of fading in the finish across recent runs despite travelling well

WATCH

Make The Plan returning after 470 days off and switching back from chasing, likely needs the run

WATCH

El Regalo has been running poorly on the flat recently and trainer Ciaran Murphy is 0/9 in last 14 days

NOTE

Secret Rock making stable debut for Cian Collins after a long break, market support would be significant

NOTE

Benzine dropping back to hurdles after an excellent chasing debut, any jumping errors could prove costly

4:30 — Geoff Scally Centra Summerhill Beginners Chase

2m4½f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 10 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Apple's Of Bresil led, as the map showed.

Apple's Of Bresil won at 3.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Jackson LambApple's Of BresilMister Frostie

Prominent · 3

Something NobleLondonofficecallinBoston Rajj

Midfield · 1

Jane Eire

Hold Up · 3

HowdoyalikeherhomeChichester ParkBillie Frechette

Jackson Lamb, Apple's Of Bresil, and Mister Frostie will ensure a strong gallop from the start, with Jackson Lamb and Apple's Of Bresil both proven front-runners over similar trips. The sustained pace over 2m4½f will test stamina reserves, particularly as both main leaders have winning form at extended distances. With three confirmed pace-setters in a 10-runner field, the tempo will be honest throughout, creating opportunities for those who can settle and finish. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and hold-up horses who can capitalise on the expected pace collapse in the final half-mile.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Collapse

45% probability

If Jackson Lamb and Apple's Of Bresil maintain a relentless gallop through the first half of the race

The sustained tempo will drain the leaders, allowing patient hold-up horses to sweep past tired front-runners in the closing stages. Howdoyalikeherhome and Chichester Park can exploit their stamina reserves.

HowdoyalikeherhomeChichester ParkJane EireBillie Frechette

Front Runner Dominance

30% probability

If one of the pace-setters gets first run on their rivals and maintains momentum

Jackson Lamb or Apple's Of Bresil could steal a decisive advantage before the field can respond, using their tactical speed to build an unassailable lead. The winner will be the most prominent horse who avoids the scramble behind.

Jackson LambApple's Of BresilLondonofficecallinBoston Rajj

Tactical Speed Wins

15% probability

If the pace becomes overly strong early and multiple horses are in contention turning for home

A horse with tactical pace who has conserved energy will emerge from the pack to strike late. Billie Frechette's dual-purpose speed gives her the acceleration to capitalize when others are struggling.

Billie FrechetteSomething NobleChichester ParkJane Eire

Pace Steadies Early

10% probability

If the front-runners settle into a moderate rhythm rather than going hard from the start

The race becomes a sprint finish where class and recent form matter most, negating the stamina advantages of hold-up horses. Fresh legs and tactical positioning become crucial in a bunched finish.

Something NobleLondonofficecallinJackson LambBoston Rajj

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Jackson Lamb and Apple's Of Bresil could set unsustainable fractions given their front-running instincts and lengthy layoffs

WATCH

Howdoyalikeherhome needs to jump cleanly after being pulled up in successive starts when last seen

NOTE

Billie Frechette's weight advantage and recent run could prove decisive if the pace collapses as expected

NOTE

Something Noble represents the only four-year-old in the field and carries the lowest weight at 151lbs

WATCH

Multiple horses returning from lengthy breaks including Jackson Lamb (219d) and Apple's Of Bresil (370d) face fitness tests

5:00 — GUY Clothing & KODE Clothing & Footwear Handicap Chase

2m4½f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 12 runners

Trasna Na Pairce likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Gaelic Arc led; the map had Trasna Na Pairce in front.

Warriors Wood won at 4.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Trasna Na Pairce

Prominent · 4

Warriors WoodGaelic ArcCharlie LucianoVina Ardanza

Midfield · 3

General ClermontThe Dara ManLuimneach

Hold Up · 4

Bridie's BeauNo Flies On HimAndys FlameIamagetaway

Trasna Na Pairce will lead from the outset, with Vina Ardanza, General Clermont and Warriors Wood sitting prominently behind the pace-setter. The early gallop should be honest but not frantic over this 2m4½f trip, allowing the hold-up horses like Bridie's Beau, No Flies On Him and Andys Flame to settle towards the rear. Trasna Na Pairce's front-running style creates a searching test from three out, but the combination of his inexperience over fences (0-6 record) and the sustained nature of the test means the pace will set up perfectly for the hold-up brigade. This race shape strongly favours horses that can produce late kicks from off the pace, as the early leaders will come under pressure in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

55% probability

If Trasna Na Pairce sets steady fractions early but comes under pressure from three out.

The pace becomes searching late which exposes the front-runners' stamina limitations. Patient rides on proven stayers with tactical speed prove decisive in the final furlong.

Bridie's BeauNo Flies On HimAndys FlameIamagetaway

Prominent Runners Strike

25% probability

If General Clermont or Vina Ardanza can track Trasna Na Pairce without over-racing.

These experienced chasers can capitalize when the leader falters, using their race position to strike first. Their superior jumping experience over the novice chase horses gives them a crucial advantage.

General ClermontVina ArdanzaWarriors WoodCharlie Luciano

Pace Collapses Early

12% probability

If Trasna Na Pairce goes too fast early or makes jumping errors.

The race becomes a sprint from the final bend when the pace crumbles. Horses with natural speed rather than stamina benefit from the tactical change.

Warriors WoodGaelic ArcVina ArdanzaCharlie Luciano

Front Runner Dominates

8% probability

If Trasna Na Pairce gets an uncontested lead and jumps cleanly throughout.

His superior fitness from a recent run and the Henry De Bromhead stable form combine perfectly. The field fails to mount a serious challenge against his sustained gallop.

Trasna Na PairceGeneral ClermontVina ArdanzaWarriors Wood

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Trasna Na Pairce's jumping accuracy early - any mistakes will compromise his front-running tactics and open up the race.

WATCH

Andys Flame and No Flies On Him for market confidence given both need their first runs back from long layoffs.

WATCH

The pace through the first mile - if Trasna Na Pairce goes too fast early it will set up the hold-up horses perfectly.

NOTE

Bridie's Beau's headgear reaction - the new tongue tie and cheekpieces combination could spark improved jumping.

NOTE

General Clermont's position turning for home - his ability to track the leader without over-racing will determine his chances.

5:30 — Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race

1m7½f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 10 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 31 May 2026.

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