Archive›Killarney · 11 May 2026

Killarney

11 May 2026 · 8 races

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4:35 — Easy Clean Mares Maiden Hurdle

2m6½f · Good To Soft · MDN · 19 runners

3 vying for the leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Prophetess Miriam led, as the map showed.

Samba Train won at 3.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

10 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Prophetess MiriamNells PrincessSamba Train

Prominent · 6

Poetic TwistJulie LiathEarly BirdChosen PrincessMiss JocundFraher Field

Midfield · 4

Eagle RiverAn Bhfuil Tu ReidhIts All YellowLittle Neck Road

Hold Up · 6

Mia In MilanEyecanboogieLakewood RoseMysilverriverfealeLake OkeechobeeStrand Street Lass

Prophetess Miriam, Nells Princess, and Samba Train will ensure a strong gallop from flag to finish in this extended trip maiden. Samba Train has dual bumper wins and proven stamina, while Prophetess Miriam is a confirmed front-runner returning from a layoff. The sustained pace over 2m6½f will expose stamina limitations and test jumping under pressure. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and hold-up horses who can stay the extended trip and finish through tired legs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Gallop Sustained

50% probability

If all three front-runners go forward and maintain a searching pace throughout

The extended trip and relentless gallop will find out stamina limitations, setting up horses with proven staying power who can pick up the pieces. Those who can settle and finish strongly will benefit from the collapse of speed horses.

Samba TrainPoetic TwistEarly BirdFraher Field

Pace Collapses Late

25% probability

If the front-runners go too hard early and tie up in the final half-mile

The race will become a tactical affair with tired leaders vulnerable to late challengers who conserved energy. Hold-up horses with finishing kicks will thrive off the slow-motion finish.

EyecanboogieMiss JocundJulie LiathLakewood Rose

Moderate Early Tempo

15% probability

If Samba Train dictates a steady rhythm without serious pressure from the other leaders

A more even pace will favour horses who can travel kindly in midfield and have a sustained finish rather than a quick turn of foot. Class and experience become more important than pure stamina.

Early BirdPoetic TwistChosen PrincessMiss Jocund

Front-Runner Dominance

10% probability

If one of the pace-setters gets loose and dictates terms without serious challenge

An uncontested leader could prove hard to peg back over this extended trip, especially with soft ground conditions aiding stamina types. The winner comes from the early pace group.

Samba TrainProphetess MiriamNells PrincessJulie Liath

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Samba Train could get loose on the lead given her natural pace advantage and stamina-laden pedigree

WATCH

Watch for market moves on Fraher Field whose hurdles debut was too bad to be true

NOTE

Poetic Twist with Jack Kennedy suggests Elliott stable confidence despite 36-day break

WATCH

Early pace battle between three confirmed leaders could set up collapse scenario

NOTE

Several horses returning from lengthy breaks including Prophetess Miriam and Miss Jocund need fitness assessed

5:05 — Park2Travel Maiden Hurdle

2m4f · Good To Soft · MDN · 17 runners

Tomthescaffolder to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Hi Ho Idaho led; the map had Tomthescaffolder in front.

Hi Ho Idaho won at 2.75 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tomthescaffolder

Prominent · 6

Splendid FellowState PensionLucky VickLemmy CautionDanaliiTiger Twins

Midfield · 6

Hi Ho IdahoShire StarLivioDrumconnor HillBarnparkKing Maxios

Hold Up · 4

GlenroyalHappy MeAsk The BookieFriends Of Barry

Tomthescaffolder is the only confirmed front-runner in this 17-runner maiden hurdle and should get an uncontested lead at a sustainable gallop. The prominent horses like State Pension, Splendid Fellow, and Lemmy Caution will track behind but none are aggressive pace-pressers. This sets up a tactical affair where the pace will be steady rather than searching, before quickening from the back straight. Hold-up horses like Glenroyal and Happy Me will benefit most from this shape, as they'll have time to organise their runs and the race will develop into a sprint finish that favours those with tactical speed.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the pace stays steady and no prominent horse applies serious pressure to Tomthescaffolder.

The tactical runners get the perfect setup with time to wind up their runs from off the pace. Glenroyal's flat speed and Happy Me's proven hurdle form become decisive assets in a sprint finish.

GlenroyalHappy MeHi Ho IdahoSplendid Fellow

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If one of the prominent horses like State Pension or Splendid Fellow travels strongly and kicks clear approaching the final flight.

The pace stays controlled but a well-positioned tracker gets first run on the field and holds on. State Pension's recent course form or Splendid Fellow's class edge could prove telling.

State PensionSplendid FellowLemmy CautionHi Ho Idaho

Surprise Front Runner

12% probability

If another horse unexpectedly goes forward early to challenge or pressure Tomthescaffolder's lead.

The increased pace stretches the field and creates gaps, allowing a closer that normally sits mid-division to capitalize. Hi Ho Idaho's class could shine if others tire from the stronger gallop.

Hi Ho IdahoBarnparkLucky VickTiger Twins

Leader Lasts Home

8% probability

If Tomthescaffolder gets such an easy time in front that he has enough left to resist late challenges.

The uncontested leader builds an unassailable advantage and the hold-up horses leave their runs too late. Tomthescaffolder's stamina reserves prove sufficient despite his long absence.

TomthescaffolderState PensionLemmy CautionSplendid Fellow

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Glenroyal making hurdle debut but his flat class and hold-up style perfectly suits this race shape

WATCH

Hi Ho Idaho has the highest rating but lightly raced horses can be vulnerable in big fields

NOTE

State Pension has course experience advantage and his prominent style could exploit any pace collapse

WATCH

Tomthescaffolder gets uncontested lead but 196 days off the track creates fitness doubts

NOTE

Lemmy Caution cost 250k and gets first hurdle run for Elliott, could improve significantly

5:37 — Killarney Town Retailers Association Novice Hurdle

2m4f · Good To Soft · NOV · 9 runners

Midnight Jet likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Midnight Jet led, as the map showed.

Midnight Jet won at 2.25 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Midnight Jet

Prominent · 3

Mc SwaggerMaster HakuColumbus

Midfield · 2

L'As de WattCloneen To The Max

Hold Up · 3

Mr HollywoodMinnatrixDon Jefe

Midnight Jet is the sole confirmed pace-setter and will dictate terms from the front without serious early pressure. Master Haku may track close behind given his front-running style, but the lack of genuine pace pressers means Midnight Jet can control fractions. The sustainable early gallop will set up a proper stamina test in the final 3-4 furlongs on this testing ground. This race shape clearly favours prominent racers and hold-up horses who can stay strongly, while front-runners face tactical disadvantages without the cover of a fierce early pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front-Runner Dominance

45% probability

If Midnight Jet gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning in

The Henry De Bromhead runner capitalises on his class edge and penalty-free status to control the race tactically. His proven course form and strong recent Fairyhouse win make him hard to peg back when allowed easy leads.

Midnight JetMaster HakuColumbusMr Hollywood

Late Charge Prevails

30% probability

If the pace becomes truly pedestrian and stamina becomes paramount

The ex-French raiders Columbus and Mr Hollywood benefit from their proven staying power and Willie Mullins' expertise with newcomers. Their Group 3 Flat form translates well to this extended trip when the race becomes a stamina test.

ColumbusMr HollywoodMidnight JetMinnatrix

Master Haku Penalty Defiance

15% probability

If Master Haku can stalk and outbattle Midnight Jet in the straight

The progressive Gordon Elliott runner uses his recent Kilbeggan win momentum and Jack Kennedy's tactical awareness to overcome his penalty. His front-running style gets him into the race while retaining enough for a battle.

Master HakuMidnight JetColumbusDon Jefe

Shock Outsider Success

10% probability

If the market principles fail to handle the testing conditions

The race falls apart tactically allowing a hold-up horse like Minnatrix to benefit from her bumper form on debut over hurdles. Hood first time and fresh legs from a long break could surprise the penalised favourites.

MinnatrixDon JefeMaster HakuColumbus

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Midnight Jet's jumping under pressure - any mistake when asked to quicken could end his chances

WATCH

Columbus and Mr Hollywood's fitness levels after 6+ month breaks despite their obvious class advantage

WATCH

Master Haku's ability to settle behind Midnight Jet rather than fighting for the lead early

NOTE

Minnatrix's hurdling technique on debut as her bumper form suggests ability if she can jump

NOTE

The pace through the first mile - if too slow it will compromise the front-runners' tactical advantages

6:07 — Killarney Oaks Hotel Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 15 runners

My Gaffer to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

My Gaffer led, as the map showed.

Burru won at 6.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

5 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

My Gaffer

Prominent · 6

William TellElusive OgieDuty BoundFalco BlitzTherellbguddaysyetBurru

Midfield · 4

ThemanintheanorakKing In LoveLord FfrenchMaxios Prime

Hold Up · 4

FiveonefiveRedwood QueenWatch The WeatherRoyal Soldier

My Gaffer will lead unopposed early with his front-running style, setting a sustainable tempo over this extended trip. The prominent group of Duty Bound, Elusive Ogie, William Tell, Falco Blitz, Burru and Therellbguddaysyet creates serious congestion behind the leader, particularly dangerous approaching the business end where they'll all be looking for racing room simultaneously. The large hold-up contingent including Watch The Weather, Fiveonefive, Themanintheanorak, King In Love and Royal Soldier will rely on the pace collapsing or finding gaps late. This race shape strongly favours the lone leader My Gaffer and patient hold-up horses who can navigate the prominent traffic jam.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If My Gaffer gets an easy lead and isn't pressured early

The sustainable pace plays into his stamina strengths and he kicks clear when the prominent pack gets tangled up turning for home. Hold-up horses like Watch The Weather and King In Love pick up the pieces but can't reach the winner.

My GafferWatch The WeatherKing In LoveThemanintheanorak

Late Surge Succeeds

30% probability

If the prominent pack goes too hard trying to get at My Gaffer

The pace collapses in the final half-mile allowing the patient hold-up brigade to sweep past tired leaders. Royal Soldier and Fiveonefive benefit most from their tactical approaches.

Royal SoldierFiveonefiveWatch The WeatherMaxios Prime

Prominent Traffic Chaos

15% probability

If the six prominent runners get bunched up and interfere with each other 2-3 out

The congestion causes multiple horses to lose momentum at the crucial moment, allowing an unimpeded hold-up horse to steal through. Themanintheanorak or Lord Ffrench could capitalize on cleaner passages.

ThemanintheanorakLord FfrenchMy GafferKing In Love

Pace Duel Develops

10% probability

If William Tell or Duty Bound pressure My Gaffer early

The faster tempo sets up perfectly for closers but burns out the early leaders completely. Watch The Weather's class tells in a war of attrition finish.

Watch The WeatherRoyal SoldierMaxios PrimeKing In Love

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for traffic problems in the prominent pack with Duty Bound, William Tell, Elusive Ogie, Therellbguddaysyet, Falco Blitz and Burru all wanting the same position behind My Gaffer

WATCH

Watch My Gaffer's stamina reserves over this extended trip as he hasn't won over 2m4f+ since his course success last year

NOTE

Watch for Royal Soldier bouncing back immediately from yesterday's fall at Fairyhouse when leading at the last fence

NOTE

Watch the going reports as several hold-up horses like King In Love prefer better ground conditions

WATCH

Watch for market moves on the long-absent runners Falco Blitz (568 days) and Lord Ffrench (207 days) indicating hidden readiness

6:37 — BOYLE Sports An Riocht Chase (Grade 3)

2m4½f · Good To Soft · G3 · 8 runners

Maxxum to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Senecia led; the map had Maxxum in front.

Senecia won at 11.00 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Maxxum

Prominent · 3

Three Card BragJesse EvansSenecia

Midfield · 2

ItsalladreamThe Banger Doyle

Hold Up · 2

Gentleman De MeeSa Fureur

Maxxum is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from flag fall, with prominent runners Jesse Evans, Three Card Brag, and Itsalladream tracking behind. The absence of pace pressure means Maxxum can control fractions and cruise into the straight without being hustled. Gentleman De Mee, Sa Fureur, and The Banger Doyle will be held up in rear, relying on late charges. This sustainable pace setup strongly favours prominent trackers who can position close enough to strike when Maxxum weakens, while hold-up horses face the difficult task of making up significant ground.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Trackers Strike

45% probability

If Maxxum sets reasonable fractions and prominent runners position perfectly

The tracking pack gets first run on the leader turning in, with Jesse Evans and Three Card Brag best placed to capitalize on their tactical advantage. Maxxum's lack of pressure allows him to kick clear briefly, but class tells in the finish.

Jesse EvansThree Card BragMaxxumSa Fureur

Maxxum Controls Throughout

25% probability

If the front runner maintains his jumping rhythm and stays strong to the line

The lack of early pace pressure allows Maxxum to dictate ideal fractions and kick clear at the business end. His recent chase form and tactical advantage prove decisive against higher-rated but poorly positioned rivals.

MaxxumJesse EvansThree Card BragGentleman De Mee

Hold-Up Heroes Charge

20% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish from the last

Gentleman De Mee and Sa Fureur unleash devastating late runs from their patient holds-up positions. Their superior class ratings and finishing kicks overwhelm the pace-advantaged runners in a thrilling climax.

Gentleman De MeeSa FureurJesse EvansThree Card Brag

Chaos At The Fences

10% probability

If jumping errors or falls disrupt the tactical picture and change the complexion

Multiple mistakes or fallers create an entirely different race dynamic, allowing outsiders like Senecia or The Banger Doyle to benefit. The race becomes a test of jumping accuracy rather than pure tactical positioning.

SeneciaThe Banger DoyleJesse EvansMaxxum

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Maxxum's jumping under pressure - any early mistakes could surrender his crucial tactical advantage and change the entire race dynamic.

WATCH

Jesse Evans' recovery from his disappointing run just 12 days ago - fitness levels will determine if he can capitalize on his ideal position.

WATCH

Three Card Brag's ability to handle the trip reduction from his usual staying distances - pace positioning becomes even more critical.

NOTE

Gentleman De Mee's early positioning with Cobden - needs to avoid being too far back given the likely lack of pace pressure.

NOTE

The ground conditions holding up through the card - any deterioration could impact the hold-up horses' finishing kicks.

7:07 — Dan Linehan's Handicap Chase

2m4½f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 18 runners

Lead contested: Butty O Brien v Brave EndeavourHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Oneforgonzo won at 4.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Butty O BrienBrave Endeavour

Prominent · 7

RusheenSophia RoseOllie La Ba BaBallybrittasMiss OreoKilkee BayTropical Image

Midfield · 4

SpringboardCoillte M C GCarrig WellsUptaurintop

Hold Up · 5

ThegraveyardbookieIamagetawayHascoeur ClermontToon TownOneforgonzo

Butty O Brien and Brave Endeavour are the confirmed front runners who will contest the early pace, with Butty O Brien the more reliable of the two given his recent front-running success at Wexford. This duo will create an honest gallop from the start, particularly with 18 runners needing to sort themselves out early. The prominent runners like Rusheen, Sophia Rose, and Ballybrittas will track the leaders closely, while the hold-up horses including Iamagetaway, Thegraveyardbookie, and Oneforgonzo will need the pace to be strong enough to set up their late charges. This race shape strongly favours the prominent racers who can sit handy and strike turning for home, as they avoid the early pace battle while staying close enough to capitalise when the leaders weaken.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Prevail

45% probability

If the two front runners create genuine pace and weaken in the final furlong

The honest gallop sets it up perfectly for the prominent runners who can track the pace without getting involved in the early battle, then strike decisively when the leaders tire. Rusheen, Sophia Rose, and Ballybrittas are perfectly positioned to exploit this scenario.

RusheenSophia RoseBallybrittasOllie La Ba Ba

Front Runner Dominates

25% probability

If Butty O Brien gets an easy lead and controls the fractions like at Wexford

His front-running tactics prove too effective for this field, especially with the cheekpieces helping him focus and his recent form suggesting he's well handicapped over this trip. The chasers struggle to reel him in over the final few fences.

Butty O BrienSpringboardBrave EndeavourTropical Image

Hold-Up Horses Strike

20% probability

If the early pace is genuinely strong and the field spreads out significantly

The front runners and prominent horses all come back to the hold-up brigade who have been patiently waiting in behind, with Iamagetaway and Oneforgonzo having the class to finish strongly. Kennedy's tactics on Iamagetaway prove decisive as he times his challenge perfectly.

IamagetawayOneforgonzoThegraveyardbookieCarrig Wells

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If both Butty O Brien and Brave Endeavour fail to maintain their early positions

The race becomes a messy affair with no genuine pace, turning into a sprint finish where any horse with a decent turn of foot can win. This suits the more versatile types who can adapt their running style.

Coillte M C GMiss OreoHascoeur ClermontUptaurintop

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Butty O Brien's jumping under pressure - front runners often struggle when headed in handicap chases with this field size

WATCH

Both Iamagetaway and Ballybrittas disappointed at Kilbeggan recently, so monitor if they've improved for that run

WATCH

Brave Endeavour's stamina - he fades in the finish and may not last home if he tries to match Butty O Brien early

NOTE

The reserves Springboard, Brave Endeavour, and Uptaurintop may not all get a run depending on declarations

NOTE

Sean Flanagan on Kilkee Bay making his chase debut for new connections after 221 days off

7:37 — Thorn Plant Hire Hunters Chase

2m7f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 13 runners

What Path to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

What Path led, as the map showed.

Solitary Man won at 2.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently.

7 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

What Path

Prominent · 5

Lifetime AmbitionJourney With MeSolitary ManJetoileBartlemy Boy

Midfield · 3

HeadcornPure DecentFakiera

Hold Up · 4

TullybegGin CocoEbenezer ScroogeGalon De Vauzelle

What Path will take this field along as the only confirmed front-runner, setting an honest but manageable gallop over this extended trip without early pressure. The prominent runners Journey With Me, Jetoile, Lifetime Ambition and Solitary Man will track within striking distance, while the hold-up brigade including Gin Coco, Tullybeg and several others will need the pace to develop properly in the closing stages. With a single leader and several hold-up horses needing the race to unfold, this tactical setup clearly favours the prominent trackers who can position handy and kick when the pace lifts approaching the business end.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Tracker Triumph

55% probability

If the honest pace allows prominent runners to travel smoothly and respond when the tempo increases

Journey With Me and Lifetime Ambition can track What Path's measured gallop before asserting their superior class when it matters. Their tactical positioning negates the hold-up horses who need more pace pressure to be effective.

Journey With MeLifetime AmbitionJetoileSolitary Man

Late Surge Success

25% probability

If What Path's gallop becomes too steady and the race develops into a sprint finish

The hold-up horses get their ideal scenario with plenty left for a telling late charge. Gin Coco and Tullybeg can unleash their finishing kicks when others have shot their bolt.

Gin CocoTullybegLifetime AmbitionJourney With Me

Lone Leader Lasts

12% probability

If What Path gets an easy lead and the chasers fail to organise an effective pursuit

The front-runner can dictate terms completely and prove hard to peg back despite his moderate profile. His tactical advantage outweighs the class deficit when the pace becomes stop-start.

What PathBartlemy BoyJourney With MeJetoile

Outsider Ambush

8% probability

If the race becomes messy with fallers or the main fancies underperform

The second-tier horses can capitalise on a chaotic contest where form goes out the window. Racing luck and a clear run become more valuable than pure ability.

HeadcornBartlemy BoySolitary ManGin Coco

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

What Path getting an uncontested lead could prove hard to peg back if the chasers get organised too late

WATCH

Journey With Me and Lifetime Ambition must travel smoothly in behind to capitalise on their class advantage

WATCH

Gin Coco and Tullybeg need the pace to quicken approaching two out to unleash their finishing kicks

NOTE

Several 7lb claimers aboard means jumping errors more likely in the closing stages

NOTE

Headcorn returning from long absence makes his fitness levels a major question mark

8:07 — Executive Helicopters Ladies (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race

2m1f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 12 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 11 May 2026.

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